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Evaluating Regional Projects &
Opportunities for PRRS Elimination
Bob Morrison DVM, MBA, PhD
University of Minnesota 
&
USDA PRRS CAP
Outline
• National Incidence Project

• Regional projects

• Working groups
“PRRS is sure ______ this year”
National PRRS Incidence Project
• 5 cooperating systems, all anonymous
– 192 sow farms with 584,200 sows as of July 1,
2011
• Vets report change in status on weekly
basis
– dx criteria vary across systems
• Positive unstable (infected) herds are not
considered “at risk”
Limitations
• Data are not representative of US industry.

• Monitoring of herds varies among the 5
systems and PRRS status might be a
“best guess”.

• Calculation methods are evolving.
Progress Regionally:
• High density - Farms in high density are
being bombarded with virus.
– Filtering will significantly decrease incidence of
infection and can be wise investment.
– There is little room for error.
Where are we going?
• National incidence / prevalence project
– Location based risk assessment
– Sharing status, location … & sequence
aggregate
2009 / '10 43%
2010 / '11 39%
2011 / '12 50%
2012 / '13 40%
2017 / '18 25%
2022 / '23 10%
Where are we?
N212MN Project

• N212MN funding
– ’04 – ’06 - none
– ’07 – ’09 - USDA
– ‘10 – ’12 – PRRS CAP
& UMN SDEC
• Rice
– MPB
– BI PRRS Initiative
– AASV
• Disclosure:
– RBM - 2 sow farms
in Stevens Cy
• IACUC:
– 0711A21864
Stevens County
Stevens County
2004
2011
Reduced infected farms from
31 in 2004 to none known in
2012 (5.7% of sites unknown)
Voluntary, Producer-led
• All within the region will benefit,


 
 but

• Not all will participate.

“Producer-led”:

- Acceptance

- Patience

- Subtle persistence
First Expansion
Second Expansion
Identified sites in the region
• 251 negative sites
• 46 positive sites
• 409 unknown sites
• 706 sites identified

• 315 have signed the participation
agreement
Has sows
Growing pigs, no sows
negative
unknown
positive
Nate Winkelman
Local &
regional
vets
Swine Vet Center
PRRS CAP website
Region: West Michigan Density sows:24000 total, 17/sq mile
Date feb 11, 2012 Density pigs: 245000 total; 176/ sq mi
<=100 >3000
Farrow to wean 0
Farrow to feeder 0
Farrow to finish 2
Show
Unknown
<=100 >3000
Unknown 0
Positive 0
Positive stable 2
Negative provisional 0
Negative 0 2 0 3
3 1 1
0 0 1
0 0 0
6 2 5
Sow herd size
101-600 601-1500 1501-3000
4 1 0
4 2 8
3 0 1
Sow herd size
101-600 601-1500 1501-3000
MI Sow herd status
0
8
15
23
30
2010 Q2 2010 Q4 2011 Q2 2011 Q42011 Q4
Unknown
Positive
Positive stable
Negative provisional
Negative
Current Issues & Workgroups:
• 7 working groups

• Failure of some closure programs

• Risk factors for spread in hog dense
regions
Seven working groups:
1. Standard Of Practice for sow herd management &
sampling
2. Certifying regions based on PRRS surveillance
and results
3. Risk based sampling
4. Incorporating oral fluids into sampling-testing
guidelines
5. Managing the risk of disclosure 
6. Farrow to finish herds
7. Guidelines for implementing common reports,
including mapping legends
“Voluntary, producer-led, coordinated,
regional disease control programs”

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Dr. Bob Morrison - Update on Regional PRRS Elimination Efforts

  • 1. Evaluating Regional Projects & Opportunities for PRRS Elimination Bob Morrison DVM, MBA, PhD University of Minnesota & USDA PRRS CAP
  • 2. Outline • National Incidence Project • Regional projects • Working groups
  • 3. “PRRS is sure ______ this year”
  • 4. National PRRS Incidence Project • 5 cooperating systems, all anonymous – 192 sow farms with 584,200 sows as of July 1, 2011 • Vets report change in status on weekly basis – dx criteria vary across systems • Positive unstable (infected) herds are not considered “at risk”
  • 5. Limitations • Data are not representative of US industry. • Monitoring of herds varies among the 5 systems and PRRS status might be a “best guess”. • Calculation methods are evolving.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Progress Regionally: • High density - Farms in high density are being bombarded with virus. – Filtering will significantly decrease incidence of infection and can be wise investment. – There is little room for error.
  • 10.
  • 11. Where are we going? • National incidence / prevalence project – Location based risk assessment – Sharing status, location … & sequence
  • 12. aggregate 2009 / '10 43% 2010 / '11 39% 2011 / '12 50% 2012 / '13 40% 2017 / '18 25% 2022 / '23 10%
  • 14. N212MN Project • N212MN funding – ’04 – ’06 - none – ’07 – ’09 - USDA – ‘10 – ’12 – PRRS CAP & UMN SDEC • Rice – MPB – BI PRRS Initiative – AASV • Disclosure: – RBM - 2 sow farms in Stevens Cy • IACUC: – 0711A21864
  • 16. Stevens County 2004 2011 Reduced infected farms from 31 in 2004 to none known in 2012 (5.7% of sites unknown)
  • 17. Voluntary, Producer-led • All within the region will benefit, but • Not all will participate. “Producer-led”: - Acceptance - Patience - Subtle persistence
  • 18.
  • 21. Identified sites in the region • 251 negative sites • 46 positive sites • 409 unknown sites • 706 sites identified • 315 have signed the participation agreement
  • 22. Has sows Growing pigs, no sows negative unknown positive Nate Winkelman Local & regional vets Swine Vet Center
  • 24.
  • 25. Region: West Michigan Density sows:24000 total, 17/sq mile Date feb 11, 2012 Density pigs: 245000 total; 176/ sq mi <=100 >3000 Farrow to wean 0 Farrow to feeder 0 Farrow to finish 2 Show Unknown <=100 >3000 Unknown 0 Positive 0 Positive stable 2 Negative provisional 0 Negative 0 2 0 3 3 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 5 Sow herd size 101-600 601-1500 1501-3000 4 1 0 4 2 8 3 0 1 Sow herd size 101-600 601-1500 1501-3000 MI Sow herd status 0 8 15 23 30 2010 Q2 2010 Q4 2011 Q2 2011 Q42011 Q4 Unknown Positive Positive stable Negative provisional Negative
  • 26. Current Issues & Workgroups: • 7 working groups • Failure of some closure programs • Risk factors for spread in hog dense regions
  • 27. Seven working groups: 1. Standard Of Practice for sow herd management & sampling 2. Certifying regions based on PRRS surveillance and results 3. Risk based sampling 4. Incorporating oral fluids into sampling-testing guidelines 5. Managing the risk of disclosure 6. Farrow to finish herds 7. Guidelines for implementing common reports, including mapping legends