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A Quantitative Assessment of
     2 and 4 feet Sea Level Rise
on the Broward County, FL Landuse
              Using GIS


               Ugur Dagkilic
   Student Competition-Undergraduate Category
                  URISA, 2010
About the author;
Ugur Dagkilic holds a bachelor’s degree in Urban Planning and
certificates in Environmental Planning and GIS. For more than a decade,
he worked in South Florida as a truss designer. This experience
provided him the opportunity to experience some aspects of the civil
engineering and construction industry.
After realizing his interest in analysis using various tools, he got
enrolled in the Advanced GIS Certificate Program at Florida Atlantic
University in 2008 and will complete the program in May 2010. Besides
the academic education, he has been self-studying and improving his
knowledge in the field using various sources.
He can be reached;
By email at ugurdagkilic@yahoo.com or
By phone at 954-643-6053
About the project;
The project is the author’s first project after completing his core
GIS classes. After observing assorted sea level rise
demonstrations on the media, he personally wanted to experience
it. A quantitative effect of the sea level rise on urban environment
in terms of numbers and landuse categories would be a good
exercise.
Broward County, FL was a good project location due to its low
elevation, dataset availability and familiarity due to the authors
place of residence.
(Source: www.noaa.gov)

• Global warming and melting glaciers
• Sea level has been rising 1-10 mm/year around the continental
  U.S., probably faster
• Low-lying coastal towns
  are in danger in the long
  term

• Federal & Local Govt’s
  should make long term
  plans
How can I assess
the impact of sea level rise
 for the Broward County
        using GIS ?
          Florida State



       Broward County
Relevant Datasets




LIDAR for the Broward County          NED for the Broward County
Bare earth or unfiltered, 5 ft res.   1/9 arc-second (approx 3m res)
(http://gis.ihrc.fiu.edu)             1/3 arc-second (approx 10m res)
                                      1 arc-second (approx 30m res)
                                      1 m vertical resolution
                                      (http://seamless.usgs.gov)
Relevant Datasets




Broward County vector          DOQQ tiles for the
(polygon) type landuse         Broward County
(http://www.broward.org/       (www.labins.org)
planningcouncil/gisdata.htm)
How can I illustrate the
   sea level rise ?
Sea Level Rise & Elevation
     11.75
                          Elevation Data Brightness Scale
                          (1 ft vertical resolution)



        2                                             2 ft
       1                                              1 ft
       0                                            0 Level
     -0.72

A math query on the elevation dataset using the raster calculator
would provide the desired sea level rise effect
Methodology
                                                       Project Workspace
            Project Goal
                                                             Setup


                        Elevation Data                                                       Land-use Data
                                                           Data Collection
                       In raster format                                                    In polygon format



                            Conversion                                                         Dissolve and
                             into feet                                                            Merge


                       Determination of
                         2 and 4 feet                                                          Symbolization
                          sea level




                                         Conversion into                     Conversion into
         Remain as raster                                                                                  Remain as polygon
                                            polygon                              raster




                                                       Determine the
                       Multiply the files                                                  Intersect the
                                                    lands above 2 and 4
                      in raster calculator              feet sea level                       polygons


                                                                                                            Option 1 (Vector op)
Option 2 (Raster operation) is                          Quantify and

used for this project
                                                     Visualize the results
                                                                                                            Option 2 (Raster op)
Preparation


• Create the job folder, geodatabase
• Project the datasets into same spatial
reference
• Clip the datasets with the Broward County
border
Processing the
Elevation File
Elevation Conversion
 • Need the elevation data in feet
 • LIDAR vertical resolution is already in feet
 • DEM vertical resolution is 1 m
 • 1m = 3.28 ft

              Raster Calculator Query : Elev * 3.28
11.75                                                     38.56




-0.72                                                     -2.37
        Elevation in meter            Elevation in feet
2 and 4 feet sea level determination

 Raster Calculator Query : Elev ≥ 2




                                      Land above 2 feet water = 1
                                      Land below 2 feet water = 0




 Raster Calculator Query : Elev ≥ 4

Both LIDAR and NED datasets are
calculated for comparison purposes    Land above 4 feet water = 1
                                      Land below 4 feet water = 0
NED provides meaningful regions

 Ex: A




 Ex: B




NED provides meaningful regions. In South        NED
Florida, if a house on a block is under water
means the whole block is under water             LIDAR
                                                (Bare earth)
LIDAR provides better accuracy




             Ex: A                            Ex: B

There are areas that are covered by NED but
not covered by LIDAR
Similarly;
                                                        NED
There are areas that are covered by LIDAR
but not covered by NED                                LIDAR
                                                      (Bare earth)
Which one to use; NED or LIDAR ?
                                       NED             LIDAR
 Accuracy                             Good              Better
 Easy to use                          Better            Good
 Computer crashes
                                      Better            Good
 due to the file size
 Meaningful Regions                   Better            Good
1/3 arc. sec. NED is used since it is easier to work with and it has
meaningful uniform regions. The idea and calculations of the project is
based on these regions.
However, LIDAR would be better if there was a custom script that
produces water based regions similar to NED.
Processing the
 Landuse File
Landuse Data




• Detailed landuse
classification
• Almost 30,000 block-level
attribute data
Dissolve & Merge on Landuse Data
                         • Used merge tool to
                         combine the block-
                         level attribute data
                         • Used dissolve tool to
                         generalize landuse
                         classes under new
                         landuse classification
Conversion of land-use into raster




Dissolved & Merged                    Symbolized raster land-use
Non-symbolized
Polygon Land-use

Set the cell size same as of the elevation data
Integrating the
Sea Level and Landuse Files
Matching land-use with sea level




 Landuse                Sea level            Outcome


• A simple map algebra operation
• Value 1 (land) keeps the values, 0 (water) replaces
them
Matching land-use with sea level
                 Land-use * 2 ft water file
2 ft
water



     L
 R
     A                                        Land above 2 ft water
 A
     N
 S
     D
 T
     U
 E
     S
 R
     E



4 ft
water            Land-use * 4 ft water file
                                              Land above 4 ft water
New land-use raster quantities




Original land-use      Attribute table         Attribute table
Attribute table        after 2 ft water rise   after 4 ft water rise




                    Export to MS Excel
Merge the attribute tables
   onto a single table
Convert the table
  into a chart
Conclusion..
• Mainly high residential (especially high rise buildings)
and conservation areas by the beach submerse with 2 feet
sea rise.
•Almost half of the county submerses with 4 feet sea rise
pointing out the degree of vulnerability of the county to 4
feet elevation difference.
•The precision of the results depends on a comprehensive
environmental analysis that uses the most up-to-date data
and employs various hydrologic analysis techniques.
The End




     Ugur Dagkilic
ugurdagkilic@yahoo.com

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Sea-level rise and GIS

  • 1. A Quantitative Assessment of 2 and 4 feet Sea Level Rise on the Broward County, FL Landuse Using GIS Ugur Dagkilic Student Competition-Undergraduate Category URISA, 2010
  • 2. About the author; Ugur Dagkilic holds a bachelor’s degree in Urban Planning and certificates in Environmental Planning and GIS. For more than a decade, he worked in South Florida as a truss designer. This experience provided him the opportunity to experience some aspects of the civil engineering and construction industry. After realizing his interest in analysis using various tools, he got enrolled in the Advanced GIS Certificate Program at Florida Atlantic University in 2008 and will complete the program in May 2010. Besides the academic education, he has been self-studying and improving his knowledge in the field using various sources. He can be reached; By email at ugurdagkilic@yahoo.com or By phone at 954-643-6053
  • 3. About the project; The project is the author’s first project after completing his core GIS classes. After observing assorted sea level rise demonstrations on the media, he personally wanted to experience it. A quantitative effect of the sea level rise on urban environment in terms of numbers and landuse categories would be a good exercise. Broward County, FL was a good project location due to its low elevation, dataset availability and familiarity due to the authors place of residence.
  • 4. (Source: www.noaa.gov) • Global warming and melting glaciers • Sea level has been rising 1-10 mm/year around the continental U.S., probably faster
  • 5. • Low-lying coastal towns are in danger in the long term • Federal & Local Govt’s should make long term plans
  • 6. How can I assess the impact of sea level rise for the Broward County using GIS ? Florida State Broward County
  • 7. Relevant Datasets LIDAR for the Broward County NED for the Broward County Bare earth or unfiltered, 5 ft res. 1/9 arc-second (approx 3m res) (http://gis.ihrc.fiu.edu) 1/3 arc-second (approx 10m res) 1 arc-second (approx 30m res) 1 m vertical resolution (http://seamless.usgs.gov)
  • 8. Relevant Datasets Broward County vector DOQQ tiles for the (polygon) type landuse Broward County (http://www.broward.org/ (www.labins.org) planningcouncil/gisdata.htm)
  • 9. How can I illustrate the sea level rise ?
  • 10. Sea Level Rise & Elevation 11.75 Elevation Data Brightness Scale (1 ft vertical resolution) 2 2 ft 1 1 ft 0 0 Level -0.72 A math query on the elevation dataset using the raster calculator would provide the desired sea level rise effect
  • 11. Methodology Project Workspace Project Goal Setup Elevation Data Land-use Data Data Collection In raster format In polygon format Conversion Dissolve and into feet Merge Determination of 2 and 4 feet Symbolization sea level Conversion into Conversion into Remain as raster Remain as polygon polygon raster Determine the Multiply the files Intersect the lands above 2 and 4 in raster calculator feet sea level polygons Option 1 (Vector op) Option 2 (Raster operation) is Quantify and used for this project Visualize the results Option 2 (Raster op)
  • 12. Preparation • Create the job folder, geodatabase • Project the datasets into same spatial reference • Clip the datasets with the Broward County border
  • 14. Elevation Conversion • Need the elevation data in feet • LIDAR vertical resolution is already in feet • DEM vertical resolution is 1 m • 1m = 3.28 ft Raster Calculator Query : Elev * 3.28 11.75 38.56 -0.72 -2.37 Elevation in meter Elevation in feet
  • 15. 2 and 4 feet sea level determination Raster Calculator Query : Elev ≥ 2 Land above 2 feet water = 1 Land below 2 feet water = 0 Raster Calculator Query : Elev ≥ 4 Both LIDAR and NED datasets are calculated for comparison purposes Land above 4 feet water = 1 Land below 4 feet water = 0
  • 16. NED provides meaningful regions Ex: A Ex: B NED provides meaningful regions. In South NED Florida, if a house on a block is under water means the whole block is under water LIDAR (Bare earth)
  • 17. LIDAR provides better accuracy Ex: A Ex: B There are areas that are covered by NED but not covered by LIDAR Similarly; NED There are areas that are covered by LIDAR but not covered by NED LIDAR (Bare earth)
  • 18. Which one to use; NED or LIDAR ? NED LIDAR Accuracy Good Better Easy to use Better Good Computer crashes Better Good due to the file size Meaningful Regions Better Good 1/3 arc. sec. NED is used since it is easier to work with and it has meaningful uniform regions. The idea and calculations of the project is based on these regions. However, LIDAR would be better if there was a custom script that produces water based regions similar to NED.
  • 20. Landuse Data • Detailed landuse classification • Almost 30,000 block-level attribute data
  • 21. Dissolve & Merge on Landuse Data • Used merge tool to combine the block- level attribute data • Used dissolve tool to generalize landuse classes under new landuse classification
  • 22. Conversion of land-use into raster Dissolved & Merged Symbolized raster land-use Non-symbolized Polygon Land-use Set the cell size same as of the elevation data
  • 23. Integrating the Sea Level and Landuse Files
  • 24. Matching land-use with sea level Landuse Sea level Outcome • A simple map algebra operation • Value 1 (land) keeps the values, 0 (water) replaces them
  • 25. Matching land-use with sea level Land-use * 2 ft water file 2 ft water L R A Land above 2 ft water A N S D T U E S R E 4 ft water Land-use * 4 ft water file Land above 4 ft water
  • 26. New land-use raster quantities Original land-use Attribute table Attribute table Attribute table after 2 ft water rise after 4 ft water rise Export to MS Excel
  • 27. Merge the attribute tables onto a single table
  • 28. Convert the table into a chart
  • 29. Conclusion.. • Mainly high residential (especially high rise buildings) and conservation areas by the beach submerse with 2 feet sea rise. •Almost half of the county submerses with 4 feet sea rise pointing out the degree of vulnerability of the county to 4 feet elevation difference. •The precision of the results depends on a comprehensive environmental analysis that uses the most up-to-date data and employs various hydrologic analysis techniques.
  • 30. The End Ugur Dagkilic ugurdagkilic@yahoo.com