2. Components of a Bank Balance Sheet
Liabilities
Assets
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
1. Cash & Balances with
RBI
2. Bal. With Banks &
Money at Call and
Short Notices
3. Investments
4. Advances
5. Fixed Assets
6. Other Assets
Capital
Reserve & Surplus
Deposits
Borrowings
Other Liabilities
3. Banks profit and loss account
A bank’s profit & Loss Account has the following
components:
I.
II.
Income: This includes Interest Income and
Other Income.
Expenses: This includes Interest Expended,
Operating Expenses and Provisions &
contingencies.
4. Evolution
In the 1940s and the 1950s, there was an abundance of funds in
banks in the form of demand and savings deposits. Hence, the focus
then was mainly on asset management
But as the availability of low cost funds started to decline, liability
management became the focus of bank management efforts
In the 1980s, volatility of interest rates in USA and Europe caused
the focus to broaden to include the issue of interest rate risk. ALM
began to extend beyond the bank treasury to cover the loan and
deposit functions
Banks started to concentrate more on the management of both sides
of the balance sheet
5. What is Asset Liability Management??
The process by which an institution manages its balance
sheet in order to allow for alternative interest rate and
liquidity scenarios
Banks and other financial institutions provide services
which expose them to various kinds of risks like credit
risk, interest risk, and liquidity risk
Asset-liability management models enable institutions to
measure and monitor risk, and provide suitable
strategies for their management.
6.
An effective Asset Liability Management Technique aims to manage the
volume, mix, maturity, rate sensitivity, quality and liquidity of assets and
liabilities as a whole so as to attain a predetermined acceptable
risk/reward ratio
It is aimed to stabilize short-term profits, long-term earnings and longterm substance of the bank. The parameters for stabilizing ALM system
are:
1.
Net Interest Income (NII)
2.
3.
Net Interest Margin (NIM)
Economic Equity Ratio
7. 3 tools used by banks for ALM
ALM information
systems
ALM Organization
ALM Process
8. ALM Information Systems
Usage of Real Time information system to gather the
information about the maturity and behavior of loans and
advances made by all other branches of a bank
ABC Approach :
analysing the behaviour of asset and liability products in the
top branches as they account for significant business
then making rational assumptions about the way in which
assets and liabilities would behave in other branches
The data and assumptions can then be refined over time as the
bank management gain experience
The spread of computerisation will also help banks in
accessing data.
9. ALM Organization
The board should have overall responsibilities and should set the limit
for liquidity, interest rate, foreign exchange and equity price risk
The Asset - Liability Committee (ALCO)
ALCO, consisting of the bank's senior management (including
CEO) should be responsible for ensuring adherence to the limits
set by the Board
Is responsible for balance sheet planning from risk - return
perspective including the strategic management of interest rate
and liquidity risks
The role of ALCO includes product pricing for both deposits and
advances, desired maturity profile of the incremental assets and
liabilities,
It will have to develop a view on future direction of interest rate
movements and decide on a funding mix between fixed vs floating
rate funds, wholesale vs retail deposits, money market vs capital
market funding, domestic vs foreign currency funding
It should review the results of and progress in implementation of
the decisions made in the previous meetings
11. Categories of Risk
Risk is the chance or probability of loss or
damage
Credit Risk
Market Risk
Operational Risk
Transaction Risk
/default risk
/counterparty risk
Portfolio risk
/Concentration risk
Settlement risk
Commodity risk
Process risk
Interest Rate risk
Infrastructure risk
Forex rate risk
Model risk
Equity price risk
Human risk
Liquidity risk
12. But under ALM risks that are typically
managed are….
Currency
Risk
Liquidity
Risk
Interest
Rate
Risk
Will now be discussed in detail
13. Liquidity Risk
Liquidity risk arises from funding of long term assets by short term
liabilities, thus making the liabilities subject to refinancing
Funding
risk
• Arises due to unanticipated withdrawals of
the deposits from wholesale or retail clients
Time risk
• It arises when an asset turns into a NPA.
So, the expected cash flows are no longer
available to the bank.
Call Risk
• Due to crystallisation of contingent
liabilities and unable to undertake
profitable business opportunities when
available.
14. Liquidity Risk Management
Bank’s liquidity management is the process of generating
funds to meet contractual or relationship obligations at
reasonable prices at all times
Liquidity Management is the ability of bank to ensure that its
liabilities are met as they become due
Liquidity positions of bank should be measured on an ongoing
basis
A standard tool for measuring and managing net funding
requirements, is the use of maturity ladder and calculation of
cumulative surplus or deficit of funds as selected maturity
dates is adopted
15. Statement of Structural Liquidity
All Assets & Liabilities to be reported as per
their maturity profile into 8 maturity Buckets:
i.
1 to 14 days
ii. 15 to 28 days
iii. 29 days and up to 3 months
iv. Over 3 months and up to 6 months
v. Over 6 months and up to 1 year
vi. Over 1 year and up to 3 years
vii. Over 3 years and up to 5 years
viii. Over 5 years
16. Statement of structural liquidity
Places all cash inflows and outflows in the maturity ladder as per
residual maturity
Maturing Liability: cash outflow
Maturing Assets : Cash Inflow
Classified in to 8 time buckets
Mismatches in the first two buckets not to exceed 20% of outflows
Shows the structure as of a particular date
Banks can fix higher tolerance level for other maturity buckets.
17. An Example of Structural Liquidity Statement
15-28
1-14Days Days
Capital
Liab-fixed Int
Liab-floating Int
Others
Total outflow
Investments
Loans-fixed Int
Loans - floating
300 200
350 400
50 50
700 650
200 150
50 50
200 150
Loans BPLR Linked
100 150
Others
50 50
Total Inflow
600 550
Gap
-100 -100
Cumulative Gap -100 -200
Gap % to Total Outflow -15.38
-14.29
30 Days- 3 Mths - 6 Mths - 1Year - 3 3 Years - Over 5
3 Month 6 Mths
1Year
Years
5 Years Years
200 600 600 300 200
350 450 500 450 450
0
550 1050 1100 750 650
250 250 300 100 350
0 100 150 50 100
200 150 150 150 50
200 500 350 500 100
0
0
0
0
0
650 1000 950 800 600
100 -50 -150 50 -50
-100 -150 -300 -250 -300
18.18
-4.76
-13.64
6.67
-7.69
200
200
450
200
1050
900
100
50
100
200
1350
300
0
28.57
Total
200
2600
3400
300
6500
2500
600
1100
2000
300
6500
0
0
18. Addressing the mismatches
Mismatches can be positive or negative
Positive Mismatch: M.A.>M.L. and Negative Mismatch M.L.>M.A.
In case of +ve mismatch, excess liquidity can be deployed in money
market instruments, creating new assets & investment swaps etc.
For –ve mismatch, it can be financed from market borrowings
(Call/Term), Bills rediscounting, Repos & deployment of foreign
currency converted into rupee.
19. Currency Risk
The increased capital flows from different nations following
deregulation have contributed to increase in the volume of
transactions
Dealing in different currencies brings opportunities as well as risk
To prevent this banks have been setting up overnight limits and
undertaking active day time trading
Value at Risk approach to be used to measure the risk associated
with forward exposures. Value at Risk estimates probability of
portfolio losses based on the statistical analysis of historical price
trends and volatilities.
20. Interest Rate Risk
Interest Rate risk is the exposure of a bank’s financial conditions
to adverse movements of interest rates
Though this is normal part of banking business, excessive
interest rate risk can pose a significant threat to a bank’s earnings
and capital base
Changes in interest rates also affect the underlying value of the
bank’s assets, liabilities and off-balance-sheet item
Interest rate risk refers to volatility in Net Interest Income (NII) or
variations in Net Interest Margin(NIM)
NIM = (Interest income – Interest expense) / Earning assets
22.
Re-pricing Risk: The assets and liabilities could re-price at different
dates and might be of different time period. For example, a loan on
the asset side could re-price at three-monthly intervals whereas the
deposit could be at a fixed interest rate or a variable rate, but repricing half-yearly
Basis Risk: The assets could be based on LIBOR rates whereas the
liabilities could be based on Treasury rates or a Swap market rate
Yield Curve Risk: The changes are not always parallel but it could
be a twist around a particular tenor and thereby affecting different
maturities differently
Option Risk: Exercise of options impacts the financial institutions by
giving rise to premature release of funds that have to be deployed in
unfavourable market conditions and loss of profit on account of
foreclosure of loans that earned a good spread.
23. Risk Measurement Techniques
Various techniques for measuring exposure of
banks to interest rate risks
Maturity Gap Analysis
Duration
Simulation
Value at Risk
24. Maturity gap method (IRS)
THREE OPTIONS:
A)
Rate Sensitive Assets>Rate
Liabilities= Positive Gap
B)
Rate Sensitive Assets<Rate
Liabilities = Negative Gap
C)
Rate Sensitive Assets=Rate
Liabilities = Zero Gap
Sensitive
Sensitive
Sensitive
25. Gap Analysis
Simple maturity/re-pricing Schedules can be used to generate
simple indicators of interest rate risk sensitivity of both
earnings and economic value to changing interest rates
- If a negative gap occurs (RSA<RSL) in given time band, an
increase in market interest rates could cause a decline in NII
- conversely, a positive gap (RSA>RSL) in a given time band,
an decrease in market interest rates could cause a decline in
NII
The basic weakness with this model is that this method takes
into account only the book value of assets and liabilities and
hence ignores their market value.
26. Duration Analysis
It basically refers to the average life of the asset or the
liability
It is the weighted average time to maturity of all the preset
values of cash flows
The larger the value of the duration, the more sensitive is the
price of that asset or liability to changes in interest rates
As
per the above equation, the bank will be immunized from
interest rate risk if the duration gap between assets and the
liabilities is zero.
27. Simulation
Basically simulation models utilize computer power
to provide what if scenarios, for example: What if:
The absolute level of interest rates shift
Marketing plans are under-or-over achieved
Margins achieved in the past are not sustained/improved
Bad debt and prepayment levels change in different interest
rate scenarios
There are changes in the funding mix e.g.: an increasing
reliance on short-term funds for balance sheet growth
This dynamic capability adds value to this method
and improves the quality of information available to
the management
28. Value at Risk (VaR)
Refers to the maximum expected loss that a bank can suffer in
market value or income:
Over a given time horizon,
Under normal market conditions,
At a given level or certainty
It enables the calculation of market risk of a portfolio for which
no historical data exists. VaR serves as Information Reporting
to stakeholders
It enables one to calculate the net worth of the organization at
any particular point of time so that it is possible to focus on
long-term risk implications of decisions that have already been
taken or that are going to be taken
29. Th a n k
Y o u !!!
Group 1 :
Nandita Sadhwani – 11020241089
Mayank Chandola
11020241087
Priyanka Hirwani - 11020241097