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Carbon Finance for Beginners   Part 1: Kyoto Protocol and its mechanisms Wednesday 28 March, 2007 Bratislava, Slovakia
Overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Climate change: history ,[object Object]
Direct Observations of Recent  Climate Change   Gobal mean temperature Global average sea level Northern hemisphere Snow cover   Source: WG I Contribution to the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, February 2007
Climate change: how it works Source: Department of Environment and Heritage. Government of South Australia
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Climate change causes: ”natural” greenhouse gases (GHG)
Annual greenhouse gas emission by sector Source: Global Warming Art
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Climate change causes: ”engineered” greenhouse gases (GHG)
Climate change: General UN Message Science is clear : warming of climate system is unequivocal and attributable to human activities Severe impacts of climate change are already being felt, particularly in developing countries, and  demand an urgent response Economic assessments  indicate that cost of inaction will exceed the cost of taking action now by several orders of magnitude.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],International Response: UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) 1992
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],International Response: Kyoto Protocol, 1997
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Emissions in reporting year Allocated allowances (AAU) Surplus of certificates Deficit of certificates Country A Country B CAP Trade in AAUs
Project-based mechanisms: JI and CDM ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Kyoto Architecture: Cap&trade, JI & CDM Bulgaria Denmark CAP Trade in AAUs Italy Difference between trade in AAUs, ERUs & CERs -   PRICE CDM projects Trade in CER (Certificates from CDM projects) Emissions in reporting year Allocated allowances (AAU) Surplus of allowances Deficit of allowance JI  projects Trade in ERUs (Certificates from JI projects) Ukraine ?
Kyoto Protocol in RBEC: chaotic picture  Annex I EU Member States ,[object Object],[object Object],Belarus , Russia, Ukraine ,[object Object],[object Object],Croatia ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Turkey ,[object Object],[object Object],Non-Annex I  South Caucasus, Moldova, Western Balkan, Central Asia ,[object Object],[object Object],Kazakhstan ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Carbon market: Project (micro) - level ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CDM Eligibility Requirements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],CDM Eligibility Requirements: Measuring emission reductions
Selection of  project baseline Source: GTZ
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],CER calculation: an example
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],CDM Eligibility Requirements: Additionality
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CDM Eligibility Requirements: Additionality tool Step 1. Identify legal alternative scenarios to the project  Step 2. Investment analysis   Step 3. Barrier analysis   Step 4. Common practice analysis   Step 5. Impact of CDM The proposed CDM project activity is additional
a) Rigorous process led by CDM Executive Board. b) Project Design Document (PDD) as the centerpiece  of the CDM process.  The PDD includes:  ・  project description   ・  additionality argumentation ・  CER calculation c) The PDD will be subject to     ・  public comments ・  scrutiny by an independent third party called the Designated Operational Entity (DOE)  24 CDM Project Cycle
CDM Project Cycle (1) Identifying CDM  project (PIN) PPs (2) Preparing Project Design Document (PDD) - PPs (3) Getting approval from each Party involved - DNA (4) Validation - DOE (5) Registration – CDM EB (6) Monitoring - PPs (7) Verification and Certification - DOE (8) Issuance of CERs – CDM EB (9) Distribution of CERs - PPs PPs – project participants; DNA – Designated National Authority DOE – Designated Operational Entity, CDM EB – CDM Executive Board
Project Participants ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Designated National Authority (DNA)  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Designated Operational Entity (DOE)  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CDM Executive Board (CDM EB)  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CDM Vs GEF Project Cycle  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CDM Project Cycle Vs GEF Project Cycle Step CDM GEF Project identification and development PIN/PDD PDGs/FSPs BUT: for CDM the existence of an “underlying project” is crucial (feasibility study, business plan, investors identified) before PIN/PDD Getting National approval Designated National Authority GEF Operational Focal Point Independent review DOE STAP Registration CDM EB GEF  Monitoring PPs based on PDD and approved Monitoring Methodology IAs based on IAs’ rules and approved prodoc Evaluation DOE Independent evaluators
Carbon market: Macro - level ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Overview of carbon markets: volume (tCO2) and value ($)
Overview of carbon markets: volume (tCO2) and value ($) EU-ETS Takes All: Shares of Volume (left) and Value (right) Transacted in the Carbon Market (2006 until September 30)
Project-based Transactions – Location of CDM & JI Projects ,[object Object],[object Object]
Type of technology in emission reduction projects (as a share of volume contracted)
Project-based Transactions – Who is buying @ what price level…..? ,[object Object],[object Object]
Market outlook to 2012 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THANK YOU FOR YOUR KIND ATTENTION

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Carbon finance for beginners (Kyoto Protocol and its mechanisms; Current state of carbon market), UNDP

  • 1. Carbon Finance for Beginners Part 1: Kyoto Protocol and its mechanisms Wednesday 28 March, 2007 Bratislava, Slovakia
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Direct Observations of Recent Climate Change Gobal mean temperature Global average sea level Northern hemisphere Snow cover Source: WG I Contribution to the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, February 2007
  • 5. Climate change: how it works Source: Department of Environment and Heritage. Government of South Australia
  • 6.
  • 7. Annual greenhouse gas emission by sector Source: Global Warming Art
  • 8.
  • 9. Climate change: General UN Message Science is clear : warming of climate system is unequivocal and attributable to human activities Severe impacts of climate change are already being felt, particularly in developing countries, and demand an urgent response Economic assessments indicate that cost of inaction will exceed the cost of taking action now by several orders of magnitude.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. Kyoto Architecture: Cap&trade, JI & CDM Bulgaria Denmark CAP Trade in AAUs Italy Difference between trade in AAUs, ERUs & CERs - PRICE CDM projects Trade in CER (Certificates from CDM projects) Emissions in reporting year Allocated allowances (AAU) Surplus of allowances Deficit of allowance JI projects Trade in ERUs (Certificates from JI projects) Ukraine ?
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. Selection of project baseline Source: GTZ
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. CDM Eligibility Requirements: Additionality tool Step 1. Identify legal alternative scenarios to the project Step 2. Investment analysis Step 3. Barrier analysis Step 4. Common practice analysis Step 5. Impact of CDM The proposed CDM project activity is additional
  • 27. a) Rigorous process led by CDM Executive Board. b) Project Design Document (PDD) as the centerpiece of the CDM process. The PDD includes: ・ project description   ・ additionality argumentation ・ CER calculation c) The PDD will be subject to    ・ public comments ・ scrutiny by an independent third party called the Designated Operational Entity (DOE) 24 CDM Project Cycle
  • 28. CDM Project Cycle (1) Identifying CDM project (PIN) PPs (2) Preparing Project Design Document (PDD) - PPs (3) Getting approval from each Party involved - DNA (4) Validation - DOE (5) Registration – CDM EB (6) Monitoring - PPs (7) Verification and Certification - DOE (8) Issuance of CERs – CDM EB (9) Distribution of CERs - PPs PPs – project participants; DNA – Designated National Authority DOE – Designated Operational Entity, CDM EB – CDM Executive Board
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34. CDM Project Cycle Vs GEF Project Cycle Step CDM GEF Project identification and development PIN/PDD PDGs/FSPs BUT: for CDM the existence of an “underlying project” is crucial (feasibility study, business plan, investors identified) before PIN/PDD Getting National approval Designated National Authority GEF Operational Focal Point Independent review DOE STAP Registration CDM EB GEF Monitoring PPs based on PDD and approved Monitoring Methodology IAs based on IAs’ rules and approved prodoc Evaluation DOE Independent evaluators
  • 35.
  • 36. Overview of carbon markets: volume (tCO2) and value ($)
  • 37. Overview of carbon markets: volume (tCO2) and value ($) EU-ETS Takes All: Shares of Volume (left) and Value (right) Transacted in the Carbon Market (2006 until September 30)
  • 38.
  • 39. Type of technology in emission reduction projects (as a share of volume contracted)
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42. THANK YOU FOR YOUR KIND ATTENTION

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Key difference - the host country;
  2. Key difference - the host country;
  3. Key difference - the host country;
  4. Key difference - the host country;