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Big Data for Development:
Challenges and Opportunities
                    May 2012
            United Nations Global Pulse




          Download the full paper at:
www.unglobalpulse.org/BigDataforDevWhitePaper
• Innovations in technology and greater affordability of digital
  devices have ushered in an Age of “Big Data,” an umbrella
  term for the explosion in the quantity and diversity of high
  frequency digital data.
• “Big Data” comes from everywhere: sensors used to gather
  climate information, social media, digital pictures and videos
  posted online, transaction records of online purchases, and
  from cell phone GPS signals…
• Real-time data can provide a snapshot of collective behavior
  changes at high frequency, high degrees of granularity and
  from a wide range of angles, which was never before
  possible
• This data can be analyzed in real-time, which ultimately
  creates the potential for more efficient and effective decision
  making
―It is time for the development community and
 policymakers around the world to recognize and
   seize this historic opportunity to address 21st
Century challenges, including the effects of global
volatility, climate change and demographic shifts,
               with 21st Century tools.‖
I. OPPORTUNITY




The world is experiencing a data revolution, or “data deluge.” the stock of digital data is expected
            to increase 44 times between 2007 and 2020, doubling every 20 months
• Relevance: Even in the developing world there is an
  increasing amount of mobile phones, social media and
  internet traffic
• Intent: With increasing global volatility, policymakers
  must respond more quickly and more efficiently to
  crises; knowing what is happening, in real-time, can
  help policymakers respond to mitigate the effects of
  disasters.
• Capacity: Big Data analytics can be used to discover
  trends in large, digital data sets
• A Growing Body of Evidence: Social-science
  research has shown that Twitter, Mobile phone data
  analysis, and Google Analytics can reveal issues and
  trends of concern to global development, such as
  disease outbreaks or mobility patterns.
A loose taxonomy of types of digital data sources
                             that are relevant to global development:
Data Exhaust                              Passively collected -- mobile phone data,   These digital services create networked
                                          transactional data, purchases, web          sensors of human behavior
                                          searches etc. and/or real-time data
                                          collected by UN agencies, NGOs and
                                          other aid organizations to monitor their
                                          projects (e.g. stock levels or school
                                          attendance).

Online Information                        Web content such as news media and          This approach considers web usage and
                                          social media interactions (e.g.             content as a sensor of human intent,
                                          blogs, Twitter), new                        sentiments, perceptions and want
                                          articles, obituaries,          e-
                                          commerce, job postings


Physical Sensors                          Satellite or infrared imagery of changing   This approach focuses on remote sensing
                                          landscapes, traffic patterns, light         of changes in human activity
                                          emissions, urban development and
                                          topographic changes, etc.


Citizen Reporting or Crowd-sourced Data   Information actively produced or submitted While not passively produced, this is a key
                                          by citizens through mobile phone-based     information source for verification and
                                          surveys, hotlines , user-generated maps    feedback
                                          etc
―…Big Data analytics refers to tools and
 methodologies that aim to transform massive
quantities of raw data into ‗data about data‘ – for
               analytical purposes.‖

    ―Some kinds of new digital data sources,
 particularly transactional records – such as the
number of microfinance loan defaults, number of
text messages sent, or mobile phone-based food
  vouchers activated – are as close as it gets to
             indisputable, hard data.‖
II. CHALLENGES
• Privacy – The most sensitive issue, with conceptual, legal
  and technological implications
• Access and Sharing – While some new data sources which
  may be relevant for development are accessible on the open
  web, there is still a great deal of data that is privately held by
  corporations and not available for analytical purposes
• Analysis & Interpretation – What type of data is being
  analyzed? Who is a representative sample of the population?
  How do we avoid misunderstanding relationships within data?
  (for example, correlation does not necessarily mean
  causation)
• Anomaly Detection – Characterizing (ab)normality in human
  ecosystems is very challenging. Must develop ways to
  characterize and detect socioeconomic anomalies in context.
―Because privacy is a pillar of democracy, we must
   remain alert to the possibility that it might be
 compromised by the rise of new technologies, and
      put in place all necessary safeguards.‖

  ―Another challenge lies partly in the fact that a
    significant share of the new data sources in
   question reflects perceptions, intentions, and
 desires. Understanding the mechanisms by which
    people express perceptions, intentions and
 desires—as well as how they differ between region
   or linguistic culture, and change over time—is
                         hard.‖
III. APPLICATION




  Changes in the number of Tweets mentioning the price of rice and actual food price inflation
(official statistics) in Indonesia proved to be closely correlated in a recent collaborative research
      project between Global Pulse and social media analytics company Crimson Hexagon.
• It is important to know your data. Big Data for Development
  are certainly not perfect data, but their value is tremendous if
  they are both properly understood and analyzed.
• The promise of Big Data for Development is, and will be, best
  fulfilled when its limitations, biases and features are
  adequately understood and taken into account when
  interpreting data.
• Properly analysed, Big Data offers the opportunity for an
  improved understanding of human behaviour that can support
  the field of global development: 1) Early warning, 2) Real-time
  awareness and 3) Real-time feedback.
Contextualization is key:
1) Data context. Indicators should not be interpreted in
   isolation. If one is concerned with anomaly detection, it
   is not so much the occurrence of one seemingly
   unusual fact or trend that should be concerning, but
   that of two, three or more.
2) Cultural context. Knowing what is „normal‟ in a country
   or regional context is prerequisite for recognising
   anomalies. Cultural practices vary widely around the
   world and these differences certainly extend to the
   digital world. There is a deeply ethnographic dimension
   in using Big Data. Different populations use services in
   different ways, and have different norms about how
   they communicate publicly about their lives.
Download the full paper at:
www.unglobalpulse.org/BigDataforDevWhitePaper

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Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
 

Big Data for Development: Opportunities and Challenges, Summary Slidedeck

  • 1. Big Data for Development: Challenges and Opportunities May 2012 United Nations Global Pulse Download the full paper at: www.unglobalpulse.org/BigDataforDevWhitePaper
  • 2. • Innovations in technology and greater affordability of digital devices have ushered in an Age of “Big Data,” an umbrella term for the explosion in the quantity and diversity of high frequency digital data. • “Big Data” comes from everywhere: sensors used to gather climate information, social media, digital pictures and videos posted online, transaction records of online purchases, and from cell phone GPS signals… • Real-time data can provide a snapshot of collective behavior changes at high frequency, high degrees of granularity and from a wide range of angles, which was never before possible • This data can be analyzed in real-time, which ultimately creates the potential for more efficient and effective decision making
  • 3. ―It is time for the development community and policymakers around the world to recognize and seize this historic opportunity to address 21st Century challenges, including the effects of global volatility, climate change and demographic shifts, with 21st Century tools.‖
  • 4. I. OPPORTUNITY The world is experiencing a data revolution, or “data deluge.” the stock of digital data is expected to increase 44 times between 2007 and 2020, doubling every 20 months
  • 5. • Relevance: Even in the developing world there is an increasing amount of mobile phones, social media and internet traffic • Intent: With increasing global volatility, policymakers must respond more quickly and more efficiently to crises; knowing what is happening, in real-time, can help policymakers respond to mitigate the effects of disasters. • Capacity: Big Data analytics can be used to discover trends in large, digital data sets • A Growing Body of Evidence: Social-science research has shown that Twitter, Mobile phone data analysis, and Google Analytics can reveal issues and trends of concern to global development, such as disease outbreaks or mobility patterns.
  • 6. A loose taxonomy of types of digital data sources that are relevant to global development: Data Exhaust Passively collected -- mobile phone data, These digital services create networked transactional data, purchases, web sensors of human behavior searches etc. and/or real-time data collected by UN agencies, NGOs and other aid organizations to monitor their projects (e.g. stock levels or school attendance). Online Information Web content such as news media and This approach considers web usage and social media interactions (e.g. content as a sensor of human intent, blogs, Twitter), new sentiments, perceptions and want articles, obituaries, e- commerce, job postings Physical Sensors Satellite or infrared imagery of changing This approach focuses on remote sensing landscapes, traffic patterns, light of changes in human activity emissions, urban development and topographic changes, etc. Citizen Reporting or Crowd-sourced Data Information actively produced or submitted While not passively produced, this is a key by citizens through mobile phone-based information source for verification and surveys, hotlines , user-generated maps feedback etc
  • 7. ―…Big Data analytics refers to tools and methodologies that aim to transform massive quantities of raw data into ‗data about data‘ – for analytical purposes.‖ ―Some kinds of new digital data sources, particularly transactional records – such as the number of microfinance loan defaults, number of text messages sent, or mobile phone-based food vouchers activated – are as close as it gets to indisputable, hard data.‖
  • 9. • Privacy – The most sensitive issue, with conceptual, legal and technological implications • Access and Sharing – While some new data sources which may be relevant for development are accessible on the open web, there is still a great deal of data that is privately held by corporations and not available for analytical purposes • Analysis & Interpretation – What type of data is being analyzed? Who is a representative sample of the population? How do we avoid misunderstanding relationships within data? (for example, correlation does not necessarily mean causation) • Anomaly Detection – Characterizing (ab)normality in human ecosystems is very challenging. Must develop ways to characterize and detect socioeconomic anomalies in context.
  • 10. ―Because privacy is a pillar of democracy, we must remain alert to the possibility that it might be compromised by the rise of new technologies, and put in place all necessary safeguards.‖ ―Another challenge lies partly in the fact that a significant share of the new data sources in question reflects perceptions, intentions, and desires. Understanding the mechanisms by which people express perceptions, intentions and desires—as well as how they differ between region or linguistic culture, and change over time—is hard.‖
  • 11. III. APPLICATION Changes in the number of Tweets mentioning the price of rice and actual food price inflation (official statistics) in Indonesia proved to be closely correlated in a recent collaborative research project between Global Pulse and social media analytics company Crimson Hexagon.
  • 12. • It is important to know your data. Big Data for Development are certainly not perfect data, but their value is tremendous if they are both properly understood and analyzed. • The promise of Big Data for Development is, and will be, best fulfilled when its limitations, biases and features are adequately understood and taken into account when interpreting data. • Properly analysed, Big Data offers the opportunity for an improved understanding of human behaviour that can support the field of global development: 1) Early warning, 2) Real-time awareness and 3) Real-time feedback.
  • 13. Contextualization is key: 1) Data context. Indicators should not be interpreted in isolation. If one is concerned with anomaly detection, it is not so much the occurrence of one seemingly unusual fact or trend that should be concerning, but that of two, three or more. 2) Cultural context. Knowing what is „normal‟ in a country or regional context is prerequisite for recognising anomalies. Cultural practices vary widely around the world and these differences certainly extend to the digital world. There is a deeply ethnographic dimension in using Big Data. Different populations use services in different ways, and have different norms about how they communicate publicly about their lives.
  • 14. Download the full paper at: www.unglobalpulse.org/BigDataforDevWhitePaper