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Vortrag 27.10. 18 Uhr: Özlem Onaran, Global Crisis and the policy reaction in Europe: Can policy save capitalism from itself?

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Global crisis and the policy reaction in Europe: Can policy save capitalism from itself? Full paper: http://www.wu.ac.at/arbeitsmarkt/staff/onaran/research/onaran_crisiseurope_fi1.pdf Özlem Onaran
What does the crisis have to do with the university politics? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Multiple crises ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Global crisis 2007-? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
WAGE SHARE ↓ ( total wage bill/GDP) Profits are too high, and wages are too low: realization crisis Further increases in top income share and wage differentials: US, UK, Germany, Netherlands...
Wage share & unemployment in the Euro-area Wage share=total wage bill/GDP=wage*#employees/GDP=wage/productivity
 
Different countries, different crises: Western Europe ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Eastern Europe: 20 years of capitalism ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Policy reaction: West
 
Policy reaction: East & the New IMF? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The existing policies are missing the reasons ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Alternatives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Alternatives - EU ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
OECD September forecasts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Rate of profit (total economy, 1960-2009) back to or higher than late 1960s AMECO EC DG Finance, net return on net capital stock
Sectoral differences in profit rates do not tell a very different story ,[object Object],BEA
Financialization & the distribution of profits ‘ downsize and distribute’ instead of ‘retain and reinvest’ Onaran 09 /
Financialization & investment: less investments/profit US 1960-2008 Onaran 09
Current account deficit/GDP
 
Euroarea current account balances
 
 
OECD forecasts
...OECD forecasts
...OECD forecasts
Growth in GDP, (in 2000 prices) Employment (total, 1000)
Real wage (compensation per employee, deflator private consumption, index 2000=100) Adjusted wage share
Unemployment
 
 
 
 
 
 
Crisis, distribution, and labor ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Japanese Slump ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Japan
 
FDI Myth ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Keynesian policy? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Özlem Onaran & Engelbert Stockhammer Wirstschaftsuniversitaet Wien
  2. Özlem Onaran Wirstschaftsuniversitaet Wien
  3. Özlem Onaran Wirstschaftsuniversitaet Wien