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Ecosystem management for DRR

  Integrated Natural Resource Management for
Disaster Risk Reduction on watershed level in the
               south of Kyrgyzstan




                          PEDRR Workshop
        “Ecosystems, Livelihoods and Disaster Risk Reduction”.
                 21-23 September in Bonn, Germany
Context of Kyrgyzstan
• The total area of Kyrgyzstan is
  198,500 sq km (76,640 sq mi). The
  country is almost completely
  mountainous. More than half of
  Kyrgyzstan lies at an elevation higher
  than 2,500 m (8,200 ft)

• Population 5,431,747

• Agrigalture is a significant sector of
  the economy. It comprises 35.3% of
  the total GDP and occupies 55% of
  the total labor force
Kyrgyzstan
                                     Mud flow disasters

• Since 1991 decrease in
  governmental resources for
  prevention of natural disasters,
  and recovery in case of
  emergency;
• Decentralisation:
  Responsibilities concerning
  disaster reduction and               Landslide disasters

  prevention are increasingly
  transferred from the state level
  to local level;
• Annual damages - 12 mln. $
• 1992-2008 more then
  200 000peoples affected
  (www.preventionweb.net)
Content of presentation
Experience from the ongoing project in Zerger
watershed;


1.   Integration of scientific results to practice for DRR

2.   To enhance dialogue between scientific and practitioner communities.

3.   Strengthening of local institutions for DRR management ;
Project area - Zerger watershed
Project area - Zerger watershed
•   The total basin area is
    43’617 hectares;
•   Altitude 1800-2354 m;
•   3 municipalities within the;
    basin area: Zerger, Jazy
    and Jylandy (17 villages);
•   The area’s population is
    20,000;
•   The area is prone to land
    slides (Tosoi village, 1994),
    mudflows and floods.
Definition by ISDR
"The combination of the probability of an event and its
negative consequences."

Risk     =      Hazards          x         Vulnerability

frequency, magnitude       exposure, asset, susceptibility
risk         =      hazards          x   vulnerability


   Hazards          Participatory hazards         Vulnerability
assessment by          & vulnerability        assessment by social
 expert group            assessment             group of experts

                         Measures,
                      recommended by
                          villagers


   Hazards assessment map with
      vulnerability elements



                          Risk assessment


                             Measures
Participatory hazard assessment
risk         =      hazards          x   vulnerability


   Hazards          Participatory hazards         Vulnerability
assessment by          & vulnerability        assessment by social
 expert group            assessment             group of experts

                         Measures,
                      recommended by
                          villagers


   Hazards assessment map with
      vulnerability elements



                          Risk assessment


                             Measures
Hazard assessment
                            Landslide hazards map
•   1st degree: very high
•   probability;
•   2nd degree: high;
•   3rd: medium;
•   4th: low probability.
risk         =      hazards          x   vulnerability


   Hazards          Participatory hazards         Vulnerability
assessment by          & vulnerability        assessment by social
 expert group            assessment             group of experts

                         Measures,
                      recommended by
                          villagers


   Hazards assessment map with
      vulnerability elements



                          Risk assessment


                             Measures
Vulnerability assessment
                      Poverty
• 53 % of households
  are poor according to
  the National Statistical
  Committee (in average
  per capita 10 Euro per
  month);
• More than 60% of
  households have
  income which is            Rich
  enough only for
                             Middle
  primary necessities                    Average
                                         Interview
  according to               Poor
                                         Official statistics
  assessment of the
                             Very poor
  respondents.
risk         =      hazards          x   vulnerability


   Hazards          Participatory hazards         Vulnerability
assessment by          & vulnerability        assessment by social
 expert group            assessment             group of experts

                         Measures,
                      recommended by
                          villagers


   Hazards assessment map with
      vulnerability elements



                          Risk assessment


                             Measures
risk         =      hazards          x   vulnerability


   Hazards          Participatory hazards         Vulnerability
assessment by          & vulnerability        assessment by social
 expert group            assessment             group of experts

                         Measures,
                      recommended by
                          villagers


   Hazards assessment map with
      vulnerability elements



                          Risk assessment


                             Measures
Strengthening of local institutions for DRR
              management
Integrated DRR approach with
         watershed management
• Reed control by planting
  alfalfa and sainfoin on rain
  fed land;
• Pasture management;
• Protection from mudflow
  by establishment of
  gabions.
Conclusions
What we are learning in Kyrgyzstan from this
experience?
• Need of new methods for integration of existing dates and
   involvement of national experts for assessment.
• Integration and synthesis of interdisciplinary knowledge on the
   watershed level.
• Broadening of understanding of local population to watershed
   level
• Need of clear practical recommendations for mitigation and
   adaptation measures on watershed level (international
   experience is needed)
• Watershed approach is sustainable but long-term (and capital-
   intensive?)
Thank you!
Integrated DRR approach with
         watershed management
• Reed control by planting
  alfalfa and sainfoin on rain
  fed land;
• Pasture management;
• Protection from mudflow
  by establishment of
  gabions.
How to reduce risks?

       Watershed
      management         Flood retention
                              dam                   USAR Team



Risk = Hazard * (Vulnerability - Coping Capacity)
R=H*V
                                              Land use plan



                          Early Warning
                             System                     EQ proof
                                                       construction
Hazard assessment

Mud flow and spring flood
  assessment

• 1st degree: very high
  probability;
• 2nd degree: high;
• 3rd: medium;
• 4th: low probability
Main project expected results

1. Concerned institutions and selected communities are trained
    on measures of detection, mitigation and response to
    disaster risks.
2. The first stage of the integrated local disaster risk
    management planning on village and watershed level has
    been completed.
3. Practice measures in the frame of plans implementation
    increased adaptation potential of local institutes for the
    DRR management.
Integrated DRR approach with
         watershed management
• Reed control by planting
  alfalfa and sainfoin on rain
  fed land;
• Pasture management;
• Protection from mudflow
  by establishment of
  gabions.

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2 aida gareeva pedrr workshop session 3

  • 1. Ecosystem management for DRR Integrated Natural Resource Management for Disaster Risk Reduction on watershed level in the south of Kyrgyzstan PEDRR Workshop “Ecosystems, Livelihoods and Disaster Risk Reduction”. 21-23 September in Bonn, Germany
  • 2. Context of Kyrgyzstan • The total area of Kyrgyzstan is 198,500 sq km (76,640 sq mi). The country is almost completely mountainous. More than half of Kyrgyzstan lies at an elevation higher than 2,500 m (8,200 ft) • Population 5,431,747 • Agrigalture is a significant sector of the economy. It comprises 35.3% of the total GDP and occupies 55% of the total labor force
  • 3. Kyrgyzstan Mud flow disasters • Since 1991 decrease in governmental resources for prevention of natural disasters, and recovery in case of emergency; • Decentralisation: Responsibilities concerning disaster reduction and Landslide disasters prevention are increasingly transferred from the state level to local level; • Annual damages - 12 mln. $ • 1992-2008 more then 200 000peoples affected (www.preventionweb.net)
  • 4. Content of presentation Experience from the ongoing project in Zerger watershed; 1. Integration of scientific results to practice for DRR 2. To enhance dialogue between scientific and practitioner communities. 3. Strengthening of local institutions for DRR management ;
  • 5. Project area - Zerger watershed
  • 6. Project area - Zerger watershed • The total basin area is 43’617 hectares; • Altitude 1800-2354 m; • 3 municipalities within the; basin area: Zerger, Jazy and Jylandy (17 villages); • The area’s population is 20,000; • The area is prone to land slides (Tosoi village, 1994), mudflows and floods.
  • 7. Definition by ISDR "The combination of the probability of an event and its negative consequences." Risk = Hazards x Vulnerability frequency, magnitude exposure, asset, susceptibility
  • 8. risk = hazards x vulnerability Hazards Participatory hazards Vulnerability assessment by & vulnerability assessment by social expert group assessment group of experts Measures, recommended by villagers Hazards assessment map with vulnerability elements Risk assessment Measures
  • 10. risk = hazards x vulnerability Hazards Participatory hazards Vulnerability assessment by & vulnerability assessment by social expert group assessment group of experts Measures, recommended by villagers Hazards assessment map with vulnerability elements Risk assessment Measures
  • 11. Hazard assessment Landslide hazards map • 1st degree: very high • probability; • 2nd degree: high; • 3rd: medium; • 4th: low probability.
  • 12. risk = hazards x vulnerability Hazards Participatory hazards Vulnerability assessment by & vulnerability assessment by social expert group assessment group of experts Measures, recommended by villagers Hazards assessment map with vulnerability elements Risk assessment Measures
  • 13. Vulnerability assessment Poverty • 53 % of households are poor according to the National Statistical Committee (in average per capita 10 Euro per month); • More than 60% of households have income which is Rich enough only for Middle primary necessities Average Interview according to Poor Official statistics assessment of the Very poor respondents.
  • 14. risk = hazards x vulnerability Hazards Participatory hazards Vulnerability assessment by & vulnerability assessment by social expert group assessment group of experts Measures, recommended by villagers Hazards assessment map with vulnerability elements Risk assessment Measures
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. risk = hazards x vulnerability Hazards Participatory hazards Vulnerability assessment by & vulnerability assessment by social expert group assessment group of experts Measures, recommended by villagers Hazards assessment map with vulnerability elements Risk assessment Measures
  • 18. Strengthening of local institutions for DRR management
  • 19. Integrated DRR approach with watershed management • Reed control by planting alfalfa and sainfoin on rain fed land; • Pasture management; • Protection from mudflow by establishment of gabions.
  • 20. Conclusions What we are learning in Kyrgyzstan from this experience? • Need of new methods for integration of existing dates and involvement of national experts for assessment. • Integration and synthesis of interdisciplinary knowledge on the watershed level. • Broadening of understanding of local population to watershed level • Need of clear practical recommendations for mitigation and adaptation measures on watershed level (international experience is needed) • Watershed approach is sustainable but long-term (and capital- intensive?)
  • 22. Integrated DRR approach with watershed management • Reed control by planting alfalfa and sainfoin on rain fed land; • Pasture management; • Protection from mudflow by establishment of gabions.
  • 23. How to reduce risks? Watershed management Flood retention dam USAR Team Risk = Hazard * (Vulnerability - Coping Capacity) R=H*V Land use plan Early Warning System EQ proof construction
  • 24. Hazard assessment Mud flow and spring flood assessment • 1st degree: very high probability; • 2nd degree: high; • 3rd: medium; • 4th: low probability
  • 25. Main project expected results 1. Concerned institutions and selected communities are trained on measures of detection, mitigation and response to disaster risks. 2. The first stage of the integrated local disaster risk management planning on village and watershed level has been completed. 3. Practice measures in the frame of plans implementation increased adaptation potential of local institutes for the DRR management.
  • 26. Integrated DRR approach with watershed management • Reed control by planting alfalfa and sainfoin on rain fed land; • Pasture management; • Protection from mudflow by establishment of gabions.