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An Empirical Study of
Hedge Funds in India and
     its Strategies


                 Ms. Parul Kumar
                    JIMS, Rohini,
                       New Delhi
Hedge Funds
 “To hedge one’s bets” i.e. betting on other
  side to limit the possibility of loss on a
  speculation.
 Hedge funds
    ◦  pool of funds of the highly influential investors,
    ◦ opened to limited number of investors
    ◦ require high investment
    ◦ include large number of expertise based
      investment strategies
    ◦ broad range objectives of risk and return.
Hedge Funds Contd.
They can invest in any type of opportunity luring in
the any market,
   be it options,
   derivatives,
   equities,
   bonds,
   undervalue securities,
   currencies,
   situations such as mergers or bankruptcies,
   domestic as well as international markets etc,
where they can expect to receive attractive returns
in all kind of risky situations.
Main motive of Hedge Funds

 Protecting   capital (i.e. the private pool
  of funds)
 Generating superior returns in all
  kinds of markets (i.e. even they
  promise takings in bearish markets)
 While attempting to minimize the risk
  i.e. to hedge.
Annualized Hedge Funds Return (2000 –
                       2009)
40%
       Bear Market Achievers                   Riding Asset Growth                 Crisis
30%

20%

10%

 0%

-10%

-20%

-30%

-40%

-50%
       2000    2001    2002           2003       2004     2005       2006   2007      2008


               MSCI All- Country World Index
               Hedge Fund Research Index Fund Weighted Composite Index
Objective
                          Second
 First Objective
                         Objective
• How hedge          • Which hedge
  funds have set       fund strategy
  their mark in        has proved to
  India                be best globally
• Lucrative            in the last 5
  opportunities in     years i.e. from
  India                year 2006-
                       2010.
Hedge Funds in India
 Asian countries are offering many
  opportunities
 Market in UK and US are facing
    ◦ huge meltdowns
    ◦ investors are finding hard to sustain there
    ◦ money making options are drying
   India is offering various necessary
    conditions for hedge funds to explore
    with its
    ◦ secondary market liquidity
    ◦ Futures
    ◦ options, etc.
Hedge Funds in India (Contd.)
 Investment can be made through FII
  (Foreign Institutional Investors) route.
 1% management fees of the
  investment amount
 doesn’t charge anything on
  performance or profit of the fund
 Thus giving India a plus point from
  others
 Thus attracting more HNIs to enter
  India through these.
Incremental Nominal GDP in billion US $
40,000



35,000


                                                                                    2035-2050
30,000
                                                                                    2020-2035
25,000                                                                              2006-2020

20,000



15,000



10,000



 5,000



    0

          China        India    United   Brazil   Mexico Indonesia Russia    United Germany   Japan
                                States                                      Kingdom
 Source: Goldman Sachs Report
Working Age Population Growth Rates (%
                        p.a.)
% p.a.   1.00%



         0.50%



         0.00%



         -0.50%



         -1.00%



         -1.50%




   Source: PwC Report
Hedge Funds in India


       Cater to                            Also has cost
      Individual
      Investors                                 to it


   First              Second                    Registration
Implication          Implication


 Uncorrelated              Increase in          Independent
   returns                   demand                 audit


   Surge in                 Increase
                                                Transparency
   earnings                competition


 Loose charm for            Reducing
                                                   Proper
 other investment          investment
     avenues                                     disclosure
                              fees
Performance of Indian Hedge Funds
          • $44,000 million AUM (assets under management) of
   2006     all Indian hedge funds
          • India’s high beta market generate effective returns.


          • Bull Run
   2007   • Q-India, Halbis, Baer Capital, Insynergy & FMG
            outperformed major hedge fund indices.

          • Experiment with complex strategies, resulted hard on
            the returns.
   2008   • India index was the worst performing index with loss
            of around 50%.


          • More cautious in year 2009 and 2010
   2009   • Taking some worthwhile sectoral and stock calls
          • Gloomy picture of hedge fund success
          • First 7 months having almost deep losses and very
            bleak returns
   2010   • Funds which focused on inflation sensitive India
            gained around 15.48% according to HFRX India
            index
Hedge Fund Strategies
   Emerging Markets
    ◦ Invest in emerging markets
    ◦ Emerging markets offer less options for short selling, so these are mostly
      long biased and employ growth or value approach to investing in equities.
   Convertible Arbitrage
    ◦ Make profit from arbitrage of convertible securities
    ◦ Make money from mispricing & volatility
    ◦ Usually buy a convertible bond, and take a short position in underlying
      equity.
   Long- Short Equity
    ◦ Base strategy of the initial hedge fund formations by Jones.
    ◦ Hedging portfolio of longs by portfolio of shorts.
    ◦ Main focus on the stock picking opportunities.
   Global macro
    ◦ Invest in developed as well as developing countries.
    ◦ Enough flexibility can invest in any security in any market where there is an
      opportunity.
    ◦ These can be illiquid & carry a high risk due to correlation of emerging
      economies.
Hedge Fund Strategies (Contd.)
   Event Driven
    ◦ Focus on events of corporate life cycle like merger and
      acquisitions, buybacks, demerger, spin-offs etc,.
   Merger/Risk Arbitrage
    ◦ Focus on the companies which are going through any
      merger or takeover
    ◦ Both the acquiring company and the target.
    ◦ The risk is deal risk rather than a market risk.
   Distressed Securities
    ◦ Buying the bonds or securities of companies facing or
      approaching bankruptcy or restructuring
    ◦ Tries to benefit from the price movement of these securities.
   Equity Market Neutral
    ◦ Market timing rather than stock picking.
    ◦ Taking long and short position in the undervalued and
      overvalued securities
    ◦ Has low volatility.
Methodology
   Use of secondary data
    ◦ Related to the returns (ROR)
    ◦ Various hedge fund strategies
   Average of returns from year 2006-2010 are taken
    into consideration
    ◦ conclude the ranking of each strategy
    ◦ comparison from the data extracted from Hedge funds
      research and Dow Jones Credit Suisse indices.
 12 strategies from Hedge fund research indices
 7 strategies from Dow Jones Credit Suisse indices
 Risk levels are measured through standard
  deviation between last 5 years.
Table I: Hedge Fund Research Index (HFRX) Returns, 2006-2010
 HFRX Returns               10          09          08      07         06    Avg     Stdev     Min      Max    Rank

 Global Hedge Fund       5.19       13.4     (23.25)     9.26    2.72       1.46     14.40   (23.25)   13.4    7


   Equal Weighted        5.29       11.44    (21.9)      8.83    1.28       0.99     13.35   (21.9)    11.44   8
     Strategies


   Absolute Return       (0.12)     (3.58)   (13.09)     7.43    (0.03)     (1.88)   7.45    (13.09)   7.43    11


 Market Directional      9.32       29.34    (29.7)      10.45   4.2        4.72     21.48   (29.7)    29.34   2


Convertible Arbitrage    8.76       42.46    (58.37)     9.57    (5.69)     (0.65)   36.77   (58.37)   42.46   10


 Distressed Securities   8.34       (5.6)    (30.69)     9.56    1.21       (3.44)   16.41   (30.69)   9.56    12


    Equity Hedge         8.92       13.14    (25.45)     9.23    4.19       2.01     15.67   (25.45)   13.14   4


Equity Market Neutral 2.64          (5.56)   (1.16)      4.76    0.21       0.18     3.93    (5.56)    4.76    9


    Event Driven         1.98       16.59    (22.11)     10.32   2.81       1.92     14.70   (22.11)   16.59   5


        Macro            (1.73)     (8.78)   5.61        5.61    6.67       1.48     6.64    (8.78)    6.67    6
  Merger Arbitrage       5.69       8.14     3.69        10.73   3.72       6.39     3.03    3.69      10.73   1


    Relative Value       7.65       38.47    (37.6)      10.65   (0.97)     3.64     27.39   (37.6)    38.47   3
      Arbitrage
Table II: Dow Jones Credit Suisse Hedge Fund Indices Returns, 2006-2010
 Dow Jones Credit Suisse     10          9     8       7      6    Avg     Stdev    Min       Max   Rank
          indices
Convertible Arbitrage       0.9    3.24      -2.79   0.11   1.04   0.50   2.18     -2.79   3.24     7



Emerging Markets            0.81   2.04      -2.19   2.51   1.8    0.99   1.89     -2.19   2.51     1



Event Driven s              0.6    1.6       -1.46   1.64   1.03   0.68   1.27     -1.46   1.64     6



Fixed Income Arbitrage      0.38   0.3       1.01    1.29   0.86   0.77   0.42     0.3     1.29     3



Global Macro                0.69   0.48      0.98    1.21   0.39   0.75   0.34     0.39    1.21     4



Long/Short Equity           0.58   1.47      -0.85   1.5    1.02   0.74   0.97     -0.85   1.5      5



Managed Futures             1.14   -1.08     2.29    1.39   0.99   0.95   1.24     -1.08   2.29     2
Findings
Hedge Fund Research Index             Dow Jones Credit Suisse
                                              index
1. Merger Arbitrage with return    1. Emerging Markets (return
   of 6.39%                        +0.99%)
2.    Market directional with      2. Managed futures (return
     return of 4.72%               0.95%)
3.    HFRX index returns for
     emerging markets is 17.12
     % for 2010
4.     HFRX India Index returns
     is 15.47% for 2010

• Convertible Equity Arbitrage ranked last on the basis of
  return in both the indices
      strategy need to be evaluated further
      limited options available for convertible securities
Parul kumar hedge funds ppt

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Parul kumar hedge funds ppt

  • 1. An Empirical Study of Hedge Funds in India and its Strategies Ms. Parul Kumar JIMS, Rohini, New Delhi
  • 2. Hedge Funds  “To hedge one’s bets” i.e. betting on other side to limit the possibility of loss on a speculation.  Hedge funds ◦ pool of funds of the highly influential investors, ◦ opened to limited number of investors ◦ require high investment ◦ include large number of expertise based investment strategies ◦ broad range objectives of risk and return.
  • 3. Hedge Funds Contd. They can invest in any type of opportunity luring in the any market,  be it options,  derivatives,  equities,  bonds,  undervalue securities,  currencies,  situations such as mergers or bankruptcies,  domestic as well as international markets etc, where they can expect to receive attractive returns in all kind of risky situations.
  • 4. Main motive of Hedge Funds  Protecting capital (i.e. the private pool of funds)  Generating superior returns in all kinds of markets (i.e. even they promise takings in bearish markets)  While attempting to minimize the risk i.e. to hedge.
  • 5. Annualized Hedge Funds Return (2000 – 2009) 40% Bear Market Achievers Riding Asset Growth Crisis 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 MSCI All- Country World Index Hedge Fund Research Index Fund Weighted Composite Index
  • 6. Objective Second First Objective Objective • How hedge • Which hedge funds have set fund strategy their mark in has proved to India be best globally • Lucrative in the last 5 opportunities in years i.e. from India year 2006- 2010.
  • 7. Hedge Funds in India  Asian countries are offering many opportunities  Market in UK and US are facing ◦ huge meltdowns ◦ investors are finding hard to sustain there ◦ money making options are drying  India is offering various necessary conditions for hedge funds to explore with its ◦ secondary market liquidity ◦ Futures ◦ options, etc.
  • 8. Hedge Funds in India (Contd.)  Investment can be made through FII (Foreign Institutional Investors) route.  1% management fees of the investment amount  doesn’t charge anything on performance or profit of the fund  Thus giving India a plus point from others  Thus attracting more HNIs to enter India through these.
  • 9. Incremental Nominal GDP in billion US $ 40,000 35,000 2035-2050 30,000 2020-2035 25,000 2006-2020 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 China India United Brazil Mexico Indonesia Russia United Germany Japan States Kingdom Source: Goldman Sachs Report
  • 10. Working Age Population Growth Rates (% p.a.) % p.a. 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% -0.50% -1.00% -1.50% Source: PwC Report
  • 11. Hedge Funds in India Cater to Also has cost Individual Investors to it First Second Registration Implication Implication Uncorrelated Increase in Independent returns demand audit Surge in Increase Transparency earnings competition Loose charm for Reducing Proper other investment investment avenues disclosure fees
  • 12. Performance of Indian Hedge Funds • $44,000 million AUM (assets under management) of 2006 all Indian hedge funds • India’s high beta market generate effective returns. • Bull Run 2007 • Q-India, Halbis, Baer Capital, Insynergy & FMG outperformed major hedge fund indices. • Experiment with complex strategies, resulted hard on the returns. 2008 • India index was the worst performing index with loss of around 50%. • More cautious in year 2009 and 2010 2009 • Taking some worthwhile sectoral and stock calls • Gloomy picture of hedge fund success • First 7 months having almost deep losses and very bleak returns 2010 • Funds which focused on inflation sensitive India gained around 15.48% according to HFRX India index
  • 13. Hedge Fund Strategies  Emerging Markets ◦ Invest in emerging markets ◦ Emerging markets offer less options for short selling, so these are mostly long biased and employ growth or value approach to investing in equities.  Convertible Arbitrage ◦ Make profit from arbitrage of convertible securities ◦ Make money from mispricing & volatility ◦ Usually buy a convertible bond, and take a short position in underlying equity.  Long- Short Equity ◦ Base strategy of the initial hedge fund formations by Jones. ◦ Hedging portfolio of longs by portfolio of shorts. ◦ Main focus on the stock picking opportunities.  Global macro ◦ Invest in developed as well as developing countries. ◦ Enough flexibility can invest in any security in any market where there is an opportunity. ◦ These can be illiquid & carry a high risk due to correlation of emerging economies.
  • 14. Hedge Fund Strategies (Contd.)  Event Driven ◦ Focus on events of corporate life cycle like merger and acquisitions, buybacks, demerger, spin-offs etc,.  Merger/Risk Arbitrage ◦ Focus on the companies which are going through any merger or takeover ◦ Both the acquiring company and the target. ◦ The risk is deal risk rather than a market risk.  Distressed Securities ◦ Buying the bonds or securities of companies facing or approaching bankruptcy or restructuring ◦ Tries to benefit from the price movement of these securities.  Equity Market Neutral ◦ Market timing rather than stock picking. ◦ Taking long and short position in the undervalued and overvalued securities ◦ Has low volatility.
  • 15. Methodology  Use of secondary data ◦ Related to the returns (ROR) ◦ Various hedge fund strategies  Average of returns from year 2006-2010 are taken into consideration ◦ conclude the ranking of each strategy ◦ comparison from the data extracted from Hedge funds research and Dow Jones Credit Suisse indices.  12 strategies from Hedge fund research indices  7 strategies from Dow Jones Credit Suisse indices  Risk levels are measured through standard deviation between last 5 years.
  • 16. Table I: Hedge Fund Research Index (HFRX) Returns, 2006-2010 HFRX Returns 10 09 08 07 06 Avg Stdev Min Max Rank Global Hedge Fund 5.19 13.4 (23.25) 9.26 2.72 1.46 14.40 (23.25) 13.4 7 Equal Weighted 5.29 11.44 (21.9) 8.83 1.28 0.99 13.35 (21.9) 11.44 8 Strategies Absolute Return (0.12) (3.58) (13.09) 7.43 (0.03) (1.88) 7.45 (13.09) 7.43 11 Market Directional 9.32 29.34 (29.7) 10.45 4.2 4.72 21.48 (29.7) 29.34 2 Convertible Arbitrage 8.76 42.46 (58.37) 9.57 (5.69) (0.65) 36.77 (58.37) 42.46 10 Distressed Securities 8.34 (5.6) (30.69) 9.56 1.21 (3.44) 16.41 (30.69) 9.56 12 Equity Hedge 8.92 13.14 (25.45) 9.23 4.19 2.01 15.67 (25.45) 13.14 4 Equity Market Neutral 2.64 (5.56) (1.16) 4.76 0.21 0.18 3.93 (5.56) 4.76 9 Event Driven 1.98 16.59 (22.11) 10.32 2.81 1.92 14.70 (22.11) 16.59 5 Macro (1.73) (8.78) 5.61 5.61 6.67 1.48 6.64 (8.78) 6.67 6 Merger Arbitrage 5.69 8.14 3.69 10.73 3.72 6.39 3.03 3.69 10.73 1 Relative Value 7.65 38.47 (37.6) 10.65 (0.97) 3.64 27.39 (37.6) 38.47 3 Arbitrage
  • 17. Table II: Dow Jones Credit Suisse Hedge Fund Indices Returns, 2006-2010 Dow Jones Credit Suisse 10 9 8 7 6 Avg Stdev Min Max Rank indices Convertible Arbitrage 0.9 3.24 -2.79 0.11 1.04 0.50 2.18 -2.79 3.24 7 Emerging Markets 0.81 2.04 -2.19 2.51 1.8 0.99 1.89 -2.19 2.51 1 Event Driven s 0.6 1.6 -1.46 1.64 1.03 0.68 1.27 -1.46 1.64 6 Fixed Income Arbitrage 0.38 0.3 1.01 1.29 0.86 0.77 0.42 0.3 1.29 3 Global Macro 0.69 0.48 0.98 1.21 0.39 0.75 0.34 0.39 1.21 4 Long/Short Equity 0.58 1.47 -0.85 1.5 1.02 0.74 0.97 -0.85 1.5 5 Managed Futures 1.14 -1.08 2.29 1.39 0.99 0.95 1.24 -1.08 2.29 2
  • 18. Findings Hedge Fund Research Index Dow Jones Credit Suisse index 1. Merger Arbitrage with return 1. Emerging Markets (return of 6.39% +0.99%) 2. Market directional with 2. Managed futures (return return of 4.72% 0.95%) 3. HFRX index returns for emerging markets is 17.12 % for 2010 4. HFRX India Index returns is 15.47% for 2010 • Convertible Equity Arbitrage ranked last on the basis of return in both the indices  strategy need to be evaluated further  limited options available for convertible securities