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1
CONFIDENTIAL
Valter Wolf - GSMA
Can you afford not to joyn?
2
The nature of personal communications is changing…
 Innovative communication services
 Consumer opt-in (limited
community reach)
 Best effort service principle
 Legal intercept questionable
 Agile & low operational costs
 Perceived ‘free’ Instant Message
 Indirect monetization model
 Core communication services
 Highly interoperable
 Reliable customer relationships
 Consumers opt out (~6 billion base)
 Direct service monetization
Messaging
Voice
APIs
Videoin the
future
new competitive environment
Source : GSMA
3
OTT messaging service adoption has been explosive and rapid
China : 200 million users (20% of population)
Japan : Line Messenger (Naver) – 60 million users in 14
months
Global : 20 million + users. 6 months ago – 2 billion inbound and outbound
Now : 4 billion messages sent daily (out of 10 billion inbound & outbound)
Partnerships springing up – H3G (UK), Reliance Communications (India)
China : QQ : 50% (228M) unique users access QQ IM
Korea : Smartphone penetration is 50%. KakaoTalk took
90% of messaging volumes within 1 year
Source : Strategy Analytics, www.engadget.com (Tony Bates CEO Skype interview), www.techcrunch.com (Skype user base), GSMA research & analysis
Global : 250 million active monthly subscribers; 6 – 10% paying subscribers
50% of traffic is video traffic
Russia : vKontakte.ru – 5 million downloads of IM product
5 – 8x more popular than Facebook in Russia (due to content)
4
Some operators are being forced to act to protect core revenue streams; others
still have some time
S. Korea:
Kakao Talk Effect
90% of smartphone
market in 1 year
Spain:
Whatsapp Effect
- Has killed SMS in
high end
smartphone
India & Australia:
SMS growth (30% &
60% respectively)
US:
Apple iMessage
effect
Europe:
Overall decline, but
aggressive
messaging bundles
help
Source : Strategy Analytics, www.techcrunch.com
So what : As an operator how do you ensure your services stay relevant to your customers?
5
CONFIDENTIAL
Strategic options for operators
“I don’t see the problem / not affecting my market”
• Danger of being too late … what if the wave is a tsunami?
• Opportunity to act before impact is seen
“Meet the challenge head-on with own OTT offering”
• Compete on features
• Operators not naturally well positioned to compete with more agile OTT
• Growth strategy, customer ownership and revenue model will be problems
“Utilise your strengths (reach, quality, ubiquity) to meet the challenge”
• Innovative and relevant new communication services
• Presented in the easiest way imaginable
• Industry standard
• Open and standard API framework
1. Declare the OTT
threat as irrelevant
2. Partner with or
build your own OTT
3. Leverage your
strengths
Source : GSMA
6
There’s growing momentum globally for interoperable RCS-e / joyn adoption
Early stage - Market evaluating
RCS without any commitment1
Interested Markets - Market with
multi-MNO roundtables underway /
MNOs evaluating technology / business
case
2
Hot prospects for country
commitment - Stated agreement to
launch from reference local operator(s)
3
Countries with committed launch
dates - RCS deployments ongoing or
agreed
4
Market development pipeline
N. America
Canada
Brazil
Portugal
Ireland UK
Netherlands
Sweden
Russia
Poland
Italy
France
Switzerland
Turkey China S Korea
Australia
New Zealand
South Africa
India
Saudi
Arabia
Qatar
Czech Republic
Japan
Greece
Romania
Slovakia
Hungary
Austria
Croatia
Finland
Norway
Belgium
Chile
Argentina
Malaysia
Indonesia
Mexico
Source : GSMA RCS Market Development
7
http://joynus.com/
8
CONFIDENTIAL
Thank You

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Future Communications

  • 1. 1 CONFIDENTIAL Valter Wolf - GSMA Can you afford not to joyn?
  • 2. 2 The nature of personal communications is changing…  Innovative communication services  Consumer opt-in (limited community reach)  Best effort service principle  Legal intercept questionable  Agile & low operational costs  Perceived ‘free’ Instant Message  Indirect monetization model  Core communication services  Highly interoperable  Reliable customer relationships  Consumers opt out (~6 billion base)  Direct service monetization Messaging Voice APIs Videoin the future new competitive environment Source : GSMA
  • 3. 3 OTT messaging service adoption has been explosive and rapid China : 200 million users (20% of population) Japan : Line Messenger (Naver) – 60 million users in 14 months Global : 20 million + users. 6 months ago – 2 billion inbound and outbound Now : 4 billion messages sent daily (out of 10 billion inbound & outbound) Partnerships springing up – H3G (UK), Reliance Communications (India) China : QQ : 50% (228M) unique users access QQ IM Korea : Smartphone penetration is 50%. KakaoTalk took 90% of messaging volumes within 1 year Source : Strategy Analytics, www.engadget.com (Tony Bates CEO Skype interview), www.techcrunch.com (Skype user base), GSMA research & analysis Global : 250 million active monthly subscribers; 6 – 10% paying subscribers 50% of traffic is video traffic Russia : vKontakte.ru – 5 million downloads of IM product 5 – 8x more popular than Facebook in Russia (due to content)
  • 4. 4 Some operators are being forced to act to protect core revenue streams; others still have some time S. Korea: Kakao Talk Effect 90% of smartphone market in 1 year Spain: Whatsapp Effect - Has killed SMS in high end smartphone India & Australia: SMS growth (30% & 60% respectively) US: Apple iMessage effect Europe: Overall decline, but aggressive messaging bundles help Source : Strategy Analytics, www.techcrunch.com So what : As an operator how do you ensure your services stay relevant to your customers?
  • 5. 5 CONFIDENTIAL Strategic options for operators “I don’t see the problem / not affecting my market” • Danger of being too late … what if the wave is a tsunami? • Opportunity to act before impact is seen “Meet the challenge head-on with own OTT offering” • Compete on features • Operators not naturally well positioned to compete with more agile OTT • Growth strategy, customer ownership and revenue model will be problems “Utilise your strengths (reach, quality, ubiquity) to meet the challenge” • Innovative and relevant new communication services • Presented in the easiest way imaginable • Industry standard • Open and standard API framework 1. Declare the OTT threat as irrelevant 2. Partner with or build your own OTT 3. Leverage your strengths Source : GSMA
  • 6. 6 There’s growing momentum globally for interoperable RCS-e / joyn adoption Early stage - Market evaluating RCS without any commitment1 Interested Markets - Market with multi-MNO roundtables underway / MNOs evaluating technology / business case 2 Hot prospects for country commitment - Stated agreement to launch from reference local operator(s) 3 Countries with committed launch dates - RCS deployments ongoing or agreed 4 Market development pipeline N. America Canada Brazil Portugal Ireland UK Netherlands Sweden Russia Poland Italy France Switzerland Turkey China S Korea Australia New Zealand South Africa India Saudi Arabia Qatar Czech Republic Japan Greece Romania Slovakia Hungary Austria Croatia Finland Norway Belgium Chile Argentina Malaysia Indonesia Mexico Source : GSMA RCS Market Development