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Equity Research
FMT-1(Assignment)
  GROUP M2
Pharmaceutical Industry
• Involved in developing, producing, and
  marketing drugs or pharmaceuticals licensed
  for use as medications.
• Industry worth 839 billion US$ with a growth
  of 4.5% on a year on year basis.
• The periods for comparison is one year for all
  the four companies.
Companies Analyzed
     Company             Revenue         Number of Employees
  (Established in)     (Net income)        2012 estimate
                       2012 estimate


    Dr. Reddy’s          US$2.1 bn             14923
  Laboratory(DRL)       (US$300 mn)
      (1984)
    Sun Pharma            US$ 1.46 bn          11200
      (1983)            (US$540.9 mn)

      Ranbaxy            US$ 1.82 bn           10435
       (1961)          (US$ 333.04 mn)

GlaxoSmithKline(GSK)     ₤27.387 bn            97389
      (2000)             (£5.458 bn)

      Biocon           US$283.01 mn            5585
      (1978)           (US$46.41 mn)
KEY RATIOS
                           DR REDDY'S                                GLAXOSMITHKL
     KEY RATIOS           LABORATORY     SUN PHARMA      RANBAXY          INE         BIOCON
                        Mar-12    Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-11 Dec-11 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-10 Mar-12 Mar-11
  Debt-Equity Ratio      0.25      0.18   0.01 0.01 1.23 0.82          0      0     0.08   0.1
Long Term Debt-Equity
                                                                                           0.03   0.04
        Ratio            0.08      0.04      0       0    0.62   0.61      0        0
    Current Ratio        2.45      2.31     3.5     3.9   1.09   2.04    2.41     2.89     1.59   1.75
     Quick Ratio         2.11      1.63    2.67    3.06   0.88    1.6    2.12     2.55     1.44    1.6
    Fixed Assets         2.08      1.96     2.9     2.6   2.56   2.05    8.11     7.09     1.38   1.49
      Inventory          5.67      5.45    5.81    5.32   4.84   4.12    7.82     8.06     5.22   6.16
       Debtors           3.65      3.77    5.91    5.77   3.05   3.97   36.15    42.78     3.72   3.99
                                                                        2,791.   1,357.
                                                                                          180.06 518.2
Interest Cover Ratio    19.2      107.25     0       0   2.19 24.71       09       08
     PBIDTM (%)         24.03      24.53   51.5    48.04 20.95 27.94    39.36    39.86    24.92   38.01
      PBITM (%)         19.59      19.88   49.64   46.01 17.34 23.87    38.51    39.04    19.07   32.38
     PBDTM (%)          23.01      24.34   51.5    48.04 13.01 26.98    39.35    39.83    24.82   37.95
     APATM (%)          13.46      16.73   47.25   43.79 9.21 17.95      24.7    26.16    15.92   28.7
      ROCE (%)          16.63      15.1    27.03   23.28   0   15.6     47.71    45.47    13.59   26.3
      RONW (%)          14.33      14.97   26.07   22.32   0   21.15    30.69    30.55    12.64   26.16
 Price Earning (P/E)    34.1       32.14   31.76   34.54   0   22.21    44.29    38.87    19.89   15.28
Price to Book Value (
                                                                                           2.27   3.53
        P/BV)            4.44      4.61    7.27    6.85   8.89   4.92   8.54     10.28
   Price/Cash EPS
                                                                                          14.28 12.73
      (P/CEPS)          25.37      24.97   30.52 32.93 -6.16 18.49 41.98 37.57
Working Capital Ratios

                                                               Glaxosmithkli
                     Dr. Reddys    Sun Pharma    Ranbaxy            ne          Biocon
                     Mar-   Mar-   Mar-   Mar-   Mar-   Mar-    Mar-   Mar-    Mar-   Mar-
                      11     10     11     10     11     10      11     10      11     10


RM Holding Period 134.48 104.48 157.93 142.46 134.51 137.88 73.53 66.98 48.61 54.39
FG Conversion
Period               22.23 18.28 21.49      19 40.24 35.02 47.59 50.76 11.38          7.87
Debtor Conversion
Period                  98 101.69 101.98 120.4 90.22 96.25       8.53 10.66 108.76 110.76



No. of days in
working capital     190.22 144.48 392.36 187.91 226.11 123.55 280.85 278.86 229.8 192.28
Dr. Reddy’s Laboratory(Analysis)
• Current Ratio at 1.44 ,lower than 2:1.Liquidity
  good before 2010.
• Debtor collection period increased from 95 to
  99 days which should be bought down.
• Low gearing company, Interest coverage ratio
  drastically reduced which may affect raising
  funds.
• Return on Capital Employed high and
  increasing.
Sun Pharma
• Current ratio improved over last year, liquidity
  position good.
• Inventory turnover increased but not a
  problem as liquidity position is good.
• Healthy increase in the profitability ratios of
  the company.
• Cash rich company and hence no debt, Debt
  equity ratio is zero.
Ranbaxy
• Current Ratio worsened compared to previous
  year. It is at 1.00 well below the ideal
  2:1,Company’s liquidity position has worsened.
• Debtor collection period increased from 91 days
  to 119 days. Debtors taking more days now to
  repay the debt worsening the liquidity of the
  company.
• Company in losses in the current year though it
  made profits till last year. This is due to the
  enormous increase in the “Miscellaneous
  Expenses” of the company.
GlaxoSmithKline
• Current Ratio at 2.67.Decreased when
  compared to last year it was above the thumb
  rule of 2.0.
• Return on Capital Employed improved from
  last year and is at a healthy 47.71%.
Biocon
• Current Ratio fell from 1.75 to 1.59 and it is
  still below 2:1 ratio. Debtors now taking more
  days to return the debt, increased from 90 to
  97 days.
• Debt Equity ratio fell from 0.1 to 0.08 so a low
  gearing company.
• Return on Capital Employed and Return on
  Equity have reduced significantly when
  compared with last year.
Risk and Return Analysis
                                                             Required
                  Average     Risk
                                      Market       Risk       Rate of   Alpha
Company   Beta     Return     Free
                                      Return    (Variance)    Return      (ἀ)
                  on Stock   Return

  DRL     0.21    0.020%      8%      -0.035%     5.22        6.26%     0.028

  Sun
                                      -0.035%
Pharma    0.21    0.048%      8%                  3.12        6.25%     0.055


Ranbaxy                               -0.035%
          0.54    -0.09%      8%                  7.77        3.62%     0.074

                                      -0.035%
  GSK     0.036   0.075%      8%                  3.15        7.70%     0.076


 Biocon                               -0.035%     8.32
          0.52    -0.09%      8%                              3.76%     0.078
Portfolio Risk and Return
Portfolio Return                -0.00942


Portfolio Risk(for sunpharma,
Dr.reddy and GlaxoSmithKline)   0.157759
Portfolio Beta                   0.30819
Risk free return                       8
Market Return                   -0.03568
Required Return                 1.520462
Co-variances
                                             Return on
                 Return on     Return on                  Return on   Return On
                                            Glaxo Smith
                SunPharma      Dr.Reddy                    Ranbaxy     Biocon
                                               Kline
   Return on
               4.515793642
  SunPharma
   Return on
               0.880738595    5.219180547
   Dr.Reddy
                                          3.15534052
Return on Glaxo 0.326325511   0.620647204
                                               3
  Return on                               0.61146284
               1.046097722    1.221240798            7.767644091
   Ranbaxy                                     2



  Return On                                 0.59669728
               0.917574653    1.378536454              2.382855991 8.314926192
   Biocon                                        1
Characteristic Line of Ranbaxy
                                        Return On Ranbaxy                      y = 0.544x - 0.074
                          20                                                       R² = 0.118


                          15


                          10


                           5
Axis Title




                           0                                          Return On Ranbaxy
     -15       -10   -5         0                5   10     15   20   Linear (Return On Ranbaxy)
                           -5


                          -10


                          -15


                          -20
                                    Axis Title
Characteristic Line of Biocon
                                       Return On Biocon
                         25
                                                                             y = 0.526x - 0.078
                         20                                                      R² = 0.104

                         15

                         10

                          5
Axis Title




                          0                                         Return On Biocon
     -15      -10   -5         0                5   10    15   20   Linear (Return On Biocon)
                          -5

                         -10

                         -15

                         -20

                         -25
                                   Axis Title
Characteristic Line of GlaxoSmithKline
                                  Return on Glaxosmithkline
                                                                                  y = 0.036x + 0.076
                        12                                                            R² = 0.001

                        10

                         8

                         6

                         4
Axis Title




                         2
                                                                   Return on Glaxosmithkline
                         0                                         Linear (Return on Glaxosmithkline)
     -15     -10   -5         0                5   10   15    20
                         -2

                         -4

                         -6

                         -8

                        -10
                                  Axis Title
Characteristics of SunPharma
                                     Return on SunPharma
                         10
                                                                               y = 0.217x + 0.055
                                                                                   R² = 0.032

                          5




                          0
Axis Title




     -15      -10   -5         0                5   10   15   20
                                                                   Return on SunPharma
                                                                   Linear (Return on SunPharma)
                          -5




                         -10




                         -15
                                   Axis Title
Characteristic Line of DRL
                                     Return on Dr Reddy
                        30
                                                                               y = 0.216x + 0.028
                                                                                   R² = 0.027
                        25

                        20

                        15

                        10
Axis Title




                         5                                          Return on Dr Reddy
                                                                    Linear (Return on Dr Reddy)
                         0
     -15     -10   -5         0                5   10     15   20
                         -5

                        -10

                        -15

                        -20
                                  Axis Title

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Equity research final

  • 2. Pharmaceutical Industry • Involved in developing, producing, and marketing drugs or pharmaceuticals licensed for use as medications. • Industry worth 839 billion US$ with a growth of 4.5% on a year on year basis. • The periods for comparison is one year for all the four companies.
  • 3. Companies Analyzed Company Revenue Number of Employees (Established in) (Net income) 2012 estimate 2012 estimate Dr. Reddy’s US$2.1 bn 14923 Laboratory(DRL) (US$300 mn) (1984) Sun Pharma US$ 1.46 bn 11200 (1983) (US$540.9 mn) Ranbaxy US$ 1.82 bn 10435 (1961) (US$ 333.04 mn) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) ₤27.387 bn 97389 (2000) (£5.458 bn) Biocon US$283.01 mn 5585 (1978) (US$46.41 mn)
  • 4. KEY RATIOS DR REDDY'S GLAXOSMITHKL KEY RATIOS LABORATORY SUN PHARMA RANBAXY INE BIOCON Mar-12 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-11 Dec-11 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-10 Mar-12 Mar-11 Debt-Equity Ratio 0.25 0.18 0.01 0.01 1.23 0.82 0 0 0.08 0.1 Long Term Debt-Equity 0.03 0.04 Ratio 0.08 0.04 0 0 0.62 0.61 0 0 Current Ratio 2.45 2.31 3.5 3.9 1.09 2.04 2.41 2.89 1.59 1.75 Quick Ratio 2.11 1.63 2.67 3.06 0.88 1.6 2.12 2.55 1.44 1.6 Fixed Assets 2.08 1.96 2.9 2.6 2.56 2.05 8.11 7.09 1.38 1.49 Inventory 5.67 5.45 5.81 5.32 4.84 4.12 7.82 8.06 5.22 6.16 Debtors 3.65 3.77 5.91 5.77 3.05 3.97 36.15 42.78 3.72 3.99 2,791. 1,357. 180.06 518.2 Interest Cover Ratio 19.2 107.25 0 0 2.19 24.71 09 08 PBIDTM (%) 24.03 24.53 51.5 48.04 20.95 27.94 39.36 39.86 24.92 38.01 PBITM (%) 19.59 19.88 49.64 46.01 17.34 23.87 38.51 39.04 19.07 32.38 PBDTM (%) 23.01 24.34 51.5 48.04 13.01 26.98 39.35 39.83 24.82 37.95 APATM (%) 13.46 16.73 47.25 43.79 9.21 17.95 24.7 26.16 15.92 28.7 ROCE (%) 16.63 15.1 27.03 23.28 0 15.6 47.71 45.47 13.59 26.3 RONW (%) 14.33 14.97 26.07 22.32 0 21.15 30.69 30.55 12.64 26.16 Price Earning (P/E) 34.1 32.14 31.76 34.54 0 22.21 44.29 38.87 19.89 15.28 Price to Book Value ( 2.27 3.53 P/BV) 4.44 4.61 7.27 6.85 8.89 4.92 8.54 10.28 Price/Cash EPS 14.28 12.73 (P/CEPS) 25.37 24.97 30.52 32.93 -6.16 18.49 41.98 37.57
  • 5. Working Capital Ratios Glaxosmithkli Dr. Reddys Sun Pharma Ranbaxy ne Biocon Mar- Mar- Mar- Mar- Mar- Mar- Mar- Mar- Mar- Mar- 11 10 11 10 11 10 11 10 11 10 RM Holding Period 134.48 104.48 157.93 142.46 134.51 137.88 73.53 66.98 48.61 54.39 FG Conversion Period 22.23 18.28 21.49 19 40.24 35.02 47.59 50.76 11.38 7.87 Debtor Conversion Period 98 101.69 101.98 120.4 90.22 96.25 8.53 10.66 108.76 110.76 No. of days in working capital 190.22 144.48 392.36 187.91 226.11 123.55 280.85 278.86 229.8 192.28
  • 6. Dr. Reddy’s Laboratory(Analysis) • Current Ratio at 1.44 ,lower than 2:1.Liquidity good before 2010. • Debtor collection period increased from 95 to 99 days which should be bought down. • Low gearing company, Interest coverage ratio drastically reduced which may affect raising funds. • Return on Capital Employed high and increasing.
  • 7. Sun Pharma • Current ratio improved over last year, liquidity position good. • Inventory turnover increased but not a problem as liquidity position is good. • Healthy increase in the profitability ratios of the company. • Cash rich company and hence no debt, Debt equity ratio is zero.
  • 8. Ranbaxy • Current Ratio worsened compared to previous year. It is at 1.00 well below the ideal 2:1,Company’s liquidity position has worsened. • Debtor collection period increased from 91 days to 119 days. Debtors taking more days now to repay the debt worsening the liquidity of the company. • Company in losses in the current year though it made profits till last year. This is due to the enormous increase in the “Miscellaneous Expenses” of the company.
  • 9. GlaxoSmithKline • Current Ratio at 2.67.Decreased when compared to last year it was above the thumb rule of 2.0. • Return on Capital Employed improved from last year and is at a healthy 47.71%.
  • 10. Biocon • Current Ratio fell from 1.75 to 1.59 and it is still below 2:1 ratio. Debtors now taking more days to return the debt, increased from 90 to 97 days. • Debt Equity ratio fell from 0.1 to 0.08 so a low gearing company. • Return on Capital Employed and Return on Equity have reduced significantly when compared with last year.
  • 11. Risk and Return Analysis Required Average Risk Market Risk Rate of Alpha Company Beta Return Free Return (Variance) Return (ἀ) on Stock Return DRL 0.21 0.020% 8% -0.035% 5.22 6.26% 0.028 Sun -0.035% Pharma 0.21 0.048% 8% 3.12 6.25% 0.055 Ranbaxy -0.035% 0.54 -0.09% 8% 7.77 3.62% 0.074 -0.035% GSK 0.036 0.075% 8% 3.15 7.70% 0.076 Biocon -0.035% 8.32 0.52 -0.09% 8% 3.76% 0.078
  • 12. Portfolio Risk and Return Portfolio Return -0.00942 Portfolio Risk(for sunpharma, Dr.reddy and GlaxoSmithKline) 0.157759 Portfolio Beta 0.30819 Risk free return 8 Market Return -0.03568 Required Return 1.520462
  • 13. Co-variances Return on Return on Return on Return on Return On Glaxo Smith SunPharma Dr.Reddy Ranbaxy Biocon Kline Return on 4.515793642 SunPharma Return on 0.880738595 5.219180547 Dr.Reddy 3.15534052 Return on Glaxo 0.326325511 0.620647204 3 Return on 0.61146284 1.046097722 1.221240798 7.767644091 Ranbaxy 2 Return On 0.59669728 0.917574653 1.378536454 2.382855991 8.314926192 Biocon 1
  • 14. Characteristic Line of Ranbaxy Return On Ranbaxy y = 0.544x - 0.074 20 R² = 0.118 15 10 5 Axis Title 0 Return On Ranbaxy -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Linear (Return On Ranbaxy) -5 -10 -15 -20 Axis Title
  • 15. Characteristic Line of Biocon Return On Biocon 25 y = 0.526x - 0.078 20 R² = 0.104 15 10 5 Axis Title 0 Return On Biocon -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Linear (Return On Biocon) -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 Axis Title
  • 16. Characteristic Line of GlaxoSmithKline Return on Glaxosmithkline y = 0.036x + 0.076 12 R² = 0.001 10 8 6 4 Axis Title 2 Return on Glaxosmithkline 0 Linear (Return on Glaxosmithkline) -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 Axis Title
  • 17. Characteristics of SunPharma Return on SunPharma 10 y = 0.217x + 0.055 R² = 0.032 5 0 Axis Title -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Return on SunPharma Linear (Return on SunPharma) -5 -10 -15 Axis Title
  • 18. Characteristic Line of DRL Return on Dr Reddy 30 y = 0.216x + 0.028 R² = 0.027 25 20 15 10 Axis Title 5 Return on Dr Reddy Linear (Return on Dr Reddy) 0 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 -5 -10 -15 -20 Axis Title