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Customer Development in the
    High Tech Enterprise


  MBA 295-F/EMBA 295-F

   Customer Development

           Steve Blank
        sblank@kandsranch.com




                                1
Class 3: Agenda

           Logistics/Questions
     

           CASE: E-Ink
     

           Product Development
     

           Boyd & the OODA Loop
     

           Customer Development
     




MBA295-F    Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009   2
If
Startups Fail from a Lack of customers
   not Product Development Failure

              Then Why Do we have:
    process to manage product development




    no process to manage customer development





MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009   3
Product Development Model


    Concept/            Product             Alpha/Beta         Launch/
   Seed Round            Dev.                  Test            1st Ship




MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009   4
What’s Wrong With This?

                            Product Development

                                             Alpha/Beta
    Concept/             Product                                    Launch/
                                                Test
   Seed Round             Dev.                                      1st Ship


                                                                - Create Demand
                                         - Hire PR Agency
                  - Create Marcom
Marketing                                                       - Launch Event
                                         - Early Buzz
                    Materials
                                                                - “Branding”
                  - Create Positioning




  MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise      Spring 2009    5
What’s Wrong With This?

                            Product Development

    Concept/             Product              Alpha/Beta               Launch/
   Seed Round             Dev.                   Test                  1st Ship


                                                                  - Create Demand
                                           - Hire PR Agency
                  - Create Marcom
Marketing                                                         - Launch Event
                                           - Early Buzz
                    Materials
                                                                  - “Branding”
                  - Create Positioning


                                                                  • Build Sales
                                         • Hire Sales VP
Sales                                                              Organization
                                         • Hire 1st Sales Staff




  MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise         Spring 2009   6
What’s Wrong With This?


                             Product Development

      Concept/            Product              Alpha/Beta              Launch/
     Seed Round            Dev.                   Test                 1st Ship


                                                                   - Create Demand
                                            - Hire PR Agency
                   - Create Marcom
 Marketing                                                         - Launch Event
                                            - Early Buzz
                     Materials
                                                                   - “Branding”
                   - Create Positioning


                                                                   • Build Sales
                                          • Hire Sales VP
  Sales                                                             Organization
                                          • Hire 1st Sales Staff


 Business
                                                                   • Do deals for FCS
                                             • Hire First
Development
                                               Bus Dev


   MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise         Spring 2009      7
10 Things I Hate About
                Product Development
            Where are the Customers?
      1.

            The Focus on First Customer Ship
      2.

            Emphasis on Execution vs. Learning & Discovery
      3.

            No Customer-centric milestones
      4.

            Product dev. to measure Sales
      5.

            Product dev. to measure Marketing
      6.

            Premature Scaling
      7.

            Death Spiral
      8.

            Three Types of Startups
      9.

            Unrealistic Expectations
      10.




MBA295-F     Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009   8
Chasing The FCS Date
    Sales & Marketing costs are front loaded


        focused on execution vs. learning & discovery
    


    First Customer Ship becomes the goal



    Execution & hiring predicated on business plan hypothesis



    Heavy spending hit if product launch is wrong



    Financial projections, assumes all startups are the same



                                        =
    You don’t know if you’re wrong until you’re out of
                     business/money


MBA295-F    Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009   9
An Inexpensive Fix

     Focus on Customers and Markets
               from Day One

                                   How?




MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009   10
Boyd’s OODA “Loop”
         Observe                                Orient                                 Decide                      Act
                               Implicit                                                      Implicit
                              Guidance                                                      Guidance
   Unfolding
                              & Control                                                     & Control
                                                    Cultural
Circumstances
                                                   Traditions


                                          Genetic
                                                                Analyses &
                              Feed        Heritage
                                                                                                                   Action
                                                                                         Decision         Feed
                                                                              Feed
                Observations Forward                            Synthesis                                Forward
                                                                             Forward
                                                                                       (Hypothesis)                (Test)
                                               New
                                                             Previous
                                           Information
   Outside                                                  Experience                                                  Unfolding
 Information                                                                                                           Interaction
                                                                                                                          With
                 Unfolding                                                                                            Environment
                Interaction                      Feedback
                   With
               Environment                                Feedback




      Orientation shapes observation, shapes decision, shapes action, and in turn is shaped by the feedback
      and other phenomena coming into our observing window.


         Competitive advantage comes from quickness over the entire “loop,” not just
         from the O-to-O-to-D-to-A sequence.


    MBA295-F                  Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise                          Spring 2009                  11
Build a Customer Development Process


                          Product Development

  Concept/             Product             Alpha/Beta         Launch/
 Seed Round             Dev.                  Test            1st Ship




                     Customer Development

            ?                  ?                                    ?
                                                    ?




MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009   12
Customer Development is as important
      as Product Development

                                Product Development

         Concept/            Product            Alpha/Beta          Launch/
         Bus. Plan            Dev.                 Test             1st Ship




                        Customer Development

        Customer                                                   Company
                           Customer              Customer
        Discovery                                                  Building
                           Validation            Creation




  MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009    13
Customer Development is as important
      as Product Development

                                Product Development

         Concept/            Product            Alpha/Beta          Launch/
         Bus. Plan            Dev.                 Test             1st Ship




                        Customer Development

        Customer                                                   Company
                           Customer              Customer
        Discovery                                                  Building
                           Validation            Creation




  MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009    14
Customer Development Heuristics

     There are no facts inside your building, so get


     outside
          Founders in front of customers
      

     Find a Market for the Product as spec’d


          I.e Develop for the Few, not the Many
      

     Learning and Discovery versus linear execution


     Earlyvangelists make your company


     Market Types Matter





    MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009   15
Customer & Product Development
                      Synchronization
                            Product Development


       Concept/            Product             Alpha/Beta         Launch/
       Bus. Plan            Dev.                  Test            1st Ship




                      Customer Development
      Customer                                                      Scale
                         Customer              Customer
      Discovery                                                   Company
                         Validation            Creation




MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009    16
Product Development

                            Product Development


       Concept/            Product             Alpha/Beta         Launch/
       Bus. Plan            Dev.                  Test            1st Ship




But really, how does this work?


MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009    17
Customer Development:
                     Big Ideas

     Parallel process to Product Development




     Measurable Checkpoints for the entire company




     Not tied to FCS, but to customer milestones




     Iterative to represent reality




     Executed by a small team including CEO





    MBA295-F   Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   Spring 2009   18

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Customer Development 3: Introduction

  • 1. Customer Development in the High Tech Enterprise MBA 295-F/EMBA 295-F Customer Development Steve Blank sblank@kandsranch.com 1
  • 2. Class 3: Agenda Logistics/Questions  CASE: E-Ink  Product Development  Boyd & the OODA Loop  Customer Development  MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 2
  • 3. If Startups Fail from a Lack of customers not Product Development Failure Then Why Do we have: process to manage product development  no process to manage customer development  MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 3
  • 4. Product Development Model Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 4
  • 5. What’s Wrong With This? Product Development Alpha/Beta Concept/ Product Launch/ Test Seed Round Dev. 1st Ship - Create Demand - Hire PR Agency - Create Marcom Marketing - Launch Event - Early Buzz Materials - “Branding” - Create Positioning MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 5
  • 6. What’s Wrong With This? Product Development Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship - Create Demand - Hire PR Agency - Create Marcom Marketing - Launch Event - Early Buzz Materials - “Branding” - Create Positioning • Build Sales • Hire Sales VP Sales Organization • Hire 1st Sales Staff MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 6
  • 7. What’s Wrong With This? Product Development Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship - Create Demand - Hire PR Agency - Create Marcom Marketing - Launch Event - Early Buzz Materials - “Branding” - Create Positioning • Build Sales • Hire Sales VP Sales Organization • Hire 1st Sales Staff Business • Do deals for FCS • Hire First Development Bus Dev MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 7
  • 8. 10 Things I Hate About Product Development Where are the Customers? 1. The Focus on First Customer Ship 2. Emphasis on Execution vs. Learning & Discovery 3. No Customer-centric milestones 4. Product dev. to measure Sales 5. Product dev. to measure Marketing 6. Premature Scaling 7. Death Spiral 8. Three Types of Startups 9. Unrealistic Expectations 10. MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 8
  • 9. Chasing The FCS Date Sales & Marketing costs are front loaded  focused on execution vs. learning & discovery  First Customer Ship becomes the goal  Execution & hiring predicated on business plan hypothesis  Heavy spending hit if product launch is wrong  Financial projections, assumes all startups are the same  = You don’t know if you’re wrong until you’re out of business/money MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 9
  • 10. An Inexpensive Fix Focus on Customers and Markets from Day One How? MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 10
  • 11. Boyd’s OODA “Loop” Observe Orient Decide Act Implicit Implicit Guidance Guidance Unfolding & Control & Control Cultural Circumstances Traditions Genetic Analyses & Feed Heritage Action Decision Feed Feed Observations Forward Synthesis Forward Forward (Hypothesis) (Test) New Previous Information Outside Experience Unfolding Information Interaction With Unfolding Environment Interaction Feedback With Environment Feedback Orientation shapes observation, shapes decision, shapes action, and in turn is shaped by the feedback and other phenomena coming into our observing window. Competitive advantage comes from quickness over the entire “loop,” not just from the O-to-O-to-D-to-A sequence. MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 11
  • 12. Build a Customer Development Process Product Development Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship Customer Development ? ? ? ? MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 12
  • 13. Customer Development is as important as Product Development Product Development Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Bus. Plan Dev. Test 1st Ship Customer Development Customer Company Customer Customer Discovery Building Validation Creation MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 13
  • 14. Customer Development is as important as Product Development Product Development Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Bus. Plan Dev. Test 1st Ship Customer Development Customer Company Customer Customer Discovery Building Validation Creation MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 14
  • 15. Customer Development Heuristics There are no facts inside your building, so get  outside Founders in front of customers  Find a Market for the Product as spec’d  I.e Develop for the Few, not the Many  Learning and Discovery versus linear execution  Earlyvangelists make your company  Market Types Matter  MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 15
  • 16. Customer & Product Development Synchronization Product Development Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Bus. Plan Dev. Test 1st Ship Customer Development Customer Scale Customer Customer Discovery Company Validation Creation MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 16
  • 17. Product Development Product Development Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Bus. Plan Dev. Test 1st Ship But really, how does this work? MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 17
  • 18. Customer Development: Big Ideas Parallel process to Product Development  Measurable Checkpoints for the entire company  Not tied to FCS, but to customer milestones  Iterative to represent reality  Executed by a small team including CEO  MBA295-F Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Spring 2009 18