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2. Historical performances of SENSEX since 1979.
Also follows a brief analytical study giving a
view on behavioral pattern of SENSEX.
The following slides only shows glimpses of SENSEX.
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3. SENSEX
20000
18000
16000
14000
12000
Value
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
year

4. YEAR SENSEX value (Rs.) The Rolling Return- CAGR(%)
(Avg. values)
No. of years 1 2 3 5 7 10 15 20 25
1979 126.50
1980 133.10 5.22
1981 187.20 40.65 21.65
1982 228.80 22.22 31.11 21.84
1983 230.10 0.57 10.87 20.02
1984 256.60 11.52 5.90 11.08 15.19
1985 409.60 59.63 33.42 21.42 25.21
1986 575.50 40.50 49.76 35.74 25.18 24.16
1987 492.20 -14.47 9.62 24.25 16.56 20.54
1988 554.60 12.68 -1.83 10.63 19.24 16.78
1989 666.70 20.21 16.38 5.03 21.04 16.51 18.08
1990 1109.20 66.37 41.42 31.11 22.05 25.19 23.62
1991 1451.22 30.83 47.54 37.80 20.32 28.08 22.73
1992 3246.03 123.68 71.07 69.49 45.83 34.41 30.37
1993 2719.57 -16.22 36.89 34.84 37.44 24.84 28.01
1994 4024.60 47.99 11.35 40.50 43.27 35.01 31.69 25.94
1995 3417.56 -15.08 12.10 1.73 25.24 29.66 23.63 24.16
1996 3422.17 0.14 -7.79 7.96 18.72 26.32 19.52 21.38
1997 3851.03 12.53 6.15 -1.46 3.48 19.46 22.84 20.71
1998 3531.61 -8.29 1.59 1.10 5.36 13.55 20.34 19.97
1999 4096.62 16.00 3.14 6.18 0.36 3.38 19.91 20.28 18.99
2000 4821.12 17.69 16.84 7.78 7.12 8.52 15.83 17.87 19.66
2001 3528.49 -26.81 -7.19 -0.03 0.61 -1.86 9.29 12.85 15.81
2002 3293.38 -6.66 -17.35 -7.02 -3.08 -0.53 0.14 13.51 14.26
2003 4412.60 33.98 11.83 -2.91 4.55 3.70 4.96 14.83 15.91
2004 5422.33 22.88 28.31 15.40 5.77 5.01 3.03 15.00 16.48 16.22
2005 7756.16 43.04 32.58 33.05 9.98 11.89 8.54 13.84 15.84 17.66
2006 11417.16 47.20 45.11 37.28 26.47 15.77 12.80 14.74 16.11 17.87
2007 16407.11 43.71 45.44 44.64 37.87 19.12 15.60 11.41 19.16 18.64
2008 14452.08 -11.92 12.51 23.05 26.78 22.31 15.13 11.78 17.71 18.01
2009 12789.06 -11.51 -11.71 3.85 18.72 21.39 12.06 8.01 15.92 16.92
2010 18380.32 43.72 12.77 3.86 18.83 22.61 14.32 11.87 15.07 16.43
2011 17813.68 -3.08 18.02 7.22 9.30 18.52 17.58 11.63 13.36 14.72

5. No. of Years 1 2 3 5 7 10 15 20 25
Average Return
23.41 18.95 18.18 18.12 17.86 16.96 16.10 16.48 17.06
(%)
Probability of Loss 9/32 5/31 4/30 1/28 2/26 0/23 0/18 0/13 0/8
Mean (%) 48.43 26.86 31.24 21.37 16.57 15.92 16.98 16.51 16.68
Maximum growth
123.68 71.07 69.49 45.83 35.01 31.69 25.94 19.66 18.64
(%)
Minimum growth
-26.81 -17.35 -7.02 -3.08 -1.86 0.14 8.01 13.36 14.72
(%)

6. Max v/s Avg v/s Min - Rolling Return
140.00
120.00
100.00
80.00
60.00
CAGR (%)
max
avg
40.00 min
20.00
0.00
1 2 3 5 7 10 15 20 25
-20.00
-40.00
no. of years