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BRICS PMS Performance Update - 16 August 2010
1. MULTIPLE -STRATEGY
TREND RATED
AUTOMATIC TRADING SYSTEM
Portfolio Management Services (PMS)
Performance Update
16 August, 2010
Vivek Mavani – Vice President and Senior Portfolio Manager
2. BRICS Growth Synopsis
BRICS Growth is a Long only Diversified Equity Product aimed at generating Absolute
Returns
The Objective is:
Generate Steady & Consistent returns over medium to long term
Low Volatility
Cautious on Margin of Safety
The Focus is therefore on Stock Picking with a Buy and Hold philosophy
Invest in high quality and high growth companies at reasonable valuations and
hold them over a period of time. (Not trade in & out frequently)
Our conservative approach to managing investments, (especially during periods of
volatility) is reflected in our superior performance.
7. Compared to Top 20 Mutual Funds
Ranked on 1 month returns
Performance
Rank Scheme Name
1 Mth % 3 Mths % 6 Mths %
1 Brics Growth 7.60 18.11 30.78
2 IDFC Premier Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth 6.75 15.67 25.75
3 Canara Robeco Emerging Equities - Growth 4.50 16.03 27.15
4 Escorts Growth Plan - Growth 4.20 7.76 22.76
5 HDFC Equity Fund - Growth 4.19 12.93 22.36
6 Franklin India Opportunity Fund - Growth 3.98 9.69 14.87
7 Fortis Future Leaders Fund - Growth 3.93 13.18 24.37
8 SBI Magnum Global Fund 94 - Growth 3.71 12.82 18.64
9 Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme - Growth 3.57 13.58 22.03
10 DSP BlackRock Equity Fund - Growth 3.48 9.90 18.26
11 Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund - Growth 3.43 13.18 25.93
12 Tata Select Equity Fund - Appr 3.15 7.52 13.06
13 Morgan Stanley A.C.E Fund - Growth 3.06 9.72 17.14
14 HDFC Long Term Equity Fund - Growth 2.95 12.06 19.17
15 Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund - Growth 2.83 10.22 19.49
16 Franklin India High Growth Companies Fund - Growth 2.82 9.71 13.88
17 Franklin India Prima Fund - Growth 2.65 11.55 17.98
18 DSP BlackRock India Tiger Fund - Growth 2.58 9.42 15.75
19 DSP BlackRock Opportunities Fund - Growth 2.57 10.6 19.68
20 Religare Growth Fund - Growth 2.55 9.08 15.33
The comparison includes 250 Diversified Equity Funds across all Fund Houses
8. Compared to Top 20 Mutual Funds
Ranked on 3 month returns
Performance
Rank Scheme Name
1 Mth % 3 Mths % 6 Mths %
1 Brics Growth 7.60 18.11 30.78
2 Canara Robeco Emerging Equities - Growth 4.50 16.03 27.15
3 IDFC Premier Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth 6.75 15.67 25.75
4 Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme - Growth 3.57 13.58 22.03
5 Fortis Future Leaders Fund - Growth 3.93 13.18 24.37
6 Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund - Growth 3.43 13.18 25.93
7 HDFC Equity Fund - Growth 4.19 12.93 22.36
8 SBI Magnum Global Fund 94 - Growth 3.71 12.82 18.64
9 HDFC Long Term Equity Fund - Growth 2.95 12.06 19.17
10 Franklin India Prima Fund - Growth 2.65 11.55 17.98
11 HDFC Growth Fund - Growth 2.32 11.30 19.17
12 Fidelity Equity Fund - Growth 1.93 10.75 20.59
13 DSP BlackRock Opportunities Fund - Growth 2.57 10.6 19.68
14 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Growth 2.19 10.38 18.68
15 Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund - Growth 2.83 10.22 19.49
16 DSP BlackRock Equity Fund - Growth 3.48 9.90 18.26
17 Morgan Stanley A.C.E Fund - Growth 3.06 9.72 17.14
18 Franklin India High Growth Companies Fund - Growth 2.82 9.71 13.88
19 Franklin India Opportunity Fund - Growth 3.98 9.69 14.87
20 Fidelity India Growth Fund - Growth 1.45 9.65 18.78
The comparison includes 250 Diversified Equity Funds across all Fund Houses
9. Compared to Top 20 Mutual Funds
Ranked on 6 month returns
Performance
Rank Scheme Name
1 Mth % 3 Mths % 6 Mths %
1 Brics Growth 7.60 18.11 30.78
2 Canara Robeco Emerging Equities - Growth 4.50 16.03 27.15
3 Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund - Growth 3.43 13.18 25.93
4 IDFC Premier Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth 6.75 15.67 25.75
5 Fortis Future Leaders Fund - Growth 3.93 13.18 24.37
6 Escorts Growth Plan - Growth 4.20 7.76 22.76
7 HDFC Equity Fund - Growth 4.19 12.93 22.36
8 Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme - Growth 3.57 13.58 22.03
9 Fidelity Equity Fund - Growth 1.93 10.75 20.59
10 DSP BlackRock Opportunities Fund - Growth 2.57 10.60 19.68
11 Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund - Growth 2.83 10.22 19.49
12 ICICI Prudential Fusion Fund - IP - Growth 2.02 9.59 19.37
13 HDFC Growth Fund - Growth 2.32 11.30 19.17
14 HDFC Long Term Equity Fund - Growth 2.95 12.06 19.17
15 Fidelity India Growth Fund - Growth 1.45 9.65 18.78
16 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Growth 2.19 10.38 18.68
17 SBI Magnum Global Fund 94 - Growth 3.71 12.82 18.64
18 DSP BlackRock Equity Fund - Growth 3.48 9.90 18.26
19 ICICI Prudential Discovery Fund - Growth 1.66 7.70 18.11
20 Franklin India Prima Fund - Growth 2.65 11.55 17.98
The comparison includes 250 Diversified Equity Funds across all Fund Houses
10. BRICS Growth NAV Trend
Indices have been range bound in the BRICS Growth NAV v/s Indices (normalised)
last nine months, with interim periods of
150
volatility
145
Yet BRICS Growth has delivered steady 140
& consistent returns in line with our
135
objective
130
Performance has been a result of our 125
Stock Picking 120
Leading to consistency in our 115
performance as well as increasing out- 110
performance of our returns compared to 105
the benchmark indices
100
95
90
85
1-Nov-09
1-Apr-10
1-May-10
1-Jul-10
1-Aug-10
1-Feb-10
1-Dec-09
1-Jan-10
1-Mar-10
1-Jun-10
1-Oct-09
BRICS Growth Nifty Sensex
S&P 500 CNX Midcap
11. BRICS Growth Outperformance
Our out-performance has been BRICS Growth NAV Outperformance vis-a-vis Indices
increasing over a period of time 40%
35%
Our Strategy has been to :
30%
Buying during panics
Book partial profits during sharp 25%
rallies
20%
Remain liquid in the interim
15%
Large liquidity helps :
Protect against volatility 10%
Provides enough courage and
5%
conviction to buy into panics
0%
Current cash/liquid balances ~ at 18% of
the Portfolio -5%
-10%
1-Apr-2010
1-May-2010
1-Aug-2010
1-Nov-2009
1-Feb-2010
1-Jul-2010
1-Dec-2009
1-Jan-2010
1-Mar-2010
1-Jun-2010
1-Oct-2009
Nifty Sensex S&P 500 CNX MidCap
12. Portfolio Breakup
Sectoral Allocation Market Cap
Branded
Garments & Cash 18% Cash 18%
Retail 21% Large Cap
34%
Construction
6%
Banking & Media 6% Small Cap
Finance 14% 19%
Consumer
Oil & Gas Goods 13% Mid Cap
22% 29%
Large Cap. More than Rs 5,000 crores
Mid-Cap Rs 1,000 - 5,000 crores
Small Cap. Less than Rs 1,000 crores
14. 10 Biggest falls since October 2009
How much a portfolio falls during a Points Points % Fall -
correction / sharp downturn is as % Fall - % Fall -
Date Fall - Fall - BRICS
important as how much it gains in a bull Nifty Sensex
market Nifty Sensex Growth
Protecting capital is often more important 27-Jan-10 -159.65 -3.19% -490.64 -2.92% -2.29%
during periods of volatility
03-Nov-09 -147.80 -3.14% -491.34 -3.09% -0.36%
Downside protection equally contributes
to superior returns over a period of time 19-May-10 -146.55 -2.89% -467.27 -2.77% -0.84%
We have managed to fall less than the 25-May-10 -137.20 -2.78% -447.07 -2.71% -1.62%
indices during each of the sharp falls /
panics since our inception 05-Feb-10 -126.70 -2.61% -434.02 -2.68% -0.47%
27-Oct-09 -124.20 -2.50% -387.10 -2.31% -0.65%
21-Jan-10 -127.55 -2.44% -423.35 -2.42% -1.32%
01-Jun-10 -116.10 -2.28% -372.60 -2.20% -1.24%
Against -- Nifty Sensex
26-Nov-09 -102.60 -2.01% -344.02 -2.00% -0.95%
Beta * 0.4023 0.3995
07-Jun-10 -101.50 -1.98% -336.62 -1.97% -0.99%
*Beta measures the volatility of the
portfolio relative to the index 04-Feb-10 -86.50 -1.75% -271.10 -1.64% -0.28%
15. Market Outlook
Global macro economic risks will continue to weigh on the markets. Will definitely have
repercussions on India over a period of time, if not on a daily basis
Rest of 2010, Markets are likely to remain range bound with negative bias and sharp
interim volatility
Markets have been very discriminating against corporates under-performing expectations. As a
result valuations/multiples could de-rate over a period of time. These stocks may not bounce
back for a while even if the overall markets do
Corporates that have delivered/exceeded expectations have witnessed re-rating of multiples and
have seen sharp bounce backs after each panic/fall
Overall Valuations are reasonable, but definitely not cheap
In some sectors/stocks valuations already factor in fairly aggressive growth rates for FY11
and FY12. Corporate performances could disappoint in those cases given high
expectations
Q1 FY2011 results have just about met the expectations. In fact most sectors under-
performed the expectations on profit margin front.
Pockets of opportunities still available in those stocks where growth v/s valuations are still
favourable
16. Our Strategy
“Time” in the markets is more important than “Timing” the markets
Superior long-term sustainable returns are not made by timing the markets in terms of selling at
the peaks. They are a result of purchase prices that are attractive in terms of valuations with
adequate margin of safety
Even in range bound markets there are enough stocks providing consistent and absolute returns.
Stock picking therefore is the key
Our strategy going ahead would continue to be:
Buy on declines/panics
Use the sharp rallies for part profit booking
Hold large cash/liquidity during interim periods
The sectors that we are bullish are and continue to be over weight:
Banking & Financial Services,
Gas Transportation & Distribution
Domestic Consumption oriented sectors including Paints, Branded Garments, Media etc.