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The Inner Action of Foresight: Creative Visualisation World Futures Studies Federation 21 August 2005 Budapest, Hungary Dr. Wendy L. Schultz Infinite Futures [email_address] http://www.infinitefutures.com/
Futures Generation The rise and fall of images of the future precedes or accompanies the rise and fall of cultures.  As long as a society's image of the future is positive and flourishing, the flower of the culture is in full blossom.  Once the image of the future begins to decay and lose its vitality, however, the culture cannot long survive. Fred. L. Polak, 1961, vol. 1, p. 50.
Turbulence and creativity: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
From present problems to joy. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
4 steps to future generation… ,[object Object],[object Object]
4 steps to future generation… ,[object Object],[object Object]
From present problems to joy:
Trade your joys:
Create new joy:
Share your new joy:
Post your joys! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you!

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Shared Joy: a problem-to-vision interactive exercise.

  • 1. The Inner Action of Foresight: Creative Visualisation World Futures Studies Federation 21 August 2005 Budapest, Hungary Dr. Wendy L. Schultz Infinite Futures [email_address] http://www.infinitefutures.com/
  • 2. Futures Generation The rise and fall of images of the future precedes or accompanies the rise and fall of cultures. As long as a society's image of the future is positive and flourishing, the flower of the culture is in full blossom. Once the image of the future begins to decay and lose its vitality, however, the culture cannot long survive. Fred. L. Polak, 1961, vol. 1, p. 50.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 11.

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. This presentation / participatory exercise was designed for the opening plenary session of the World Futures Studies Federation’s XVIVth World Conference in Budapest, August 2005. The conference theme was “Futures Generation for Future Generations;” the goal of the exercise was simultaneously to introduce participants to each other, to demonstrate a quick visioning tool, to connect that to a creativity tool, and to engage participants in creating transformative goals for change.
  2. Letting other people colonize the future – setting aside both the creative opportunities and the responsibilities we each have to create a preferred future – produces a weak future, just as monoculture in farming creates vulnerabilities to diseases, parasites, predators, and shifts in environment. Choosing among alternatives means choosing to make trade-offs, compromises, and negotiating differentially distributed benefits and drawbacks. These negotiations are helped by the depth of field given us by parallax vision: the perspective gained from the overlay of multiple individual images of preferred futures. We need an ‘open source’ approach to creating a preferred future. And that begins with each of us articulating and clarifying our own individual visions. In the early 1950s a Dutch scholar named Frederich L. Polak challenged us all to generate transformative futures for future generations. His seminal work, The Image of the Future: Enlightening the past, orientating the present, forecasting the future , 1 takes as its task the analysis of cultural change based on the vibrancy of a culture's implicit image of the future. The rise and fall of images of the future precedes or accompanies the rise and fall of cultures. As long as a society's image of the future is positive and flourishing, the flower of the culture is in full blossom. Once the image of the future begins to decay and lose its vitality, however, the culture cannot long survive. 2 While he acknowledges that many forces interact to create history, he nonetheless affirms that the positive ideas and ideals of humanity, expressed as positive images of the future, make history what it is. These images serve as "motifs and guiding stars" to the societies which create them. Such an image must be "purposeful, vital, and inspiring:" These images must have the power to tear our civilization loose from the claws of the present and free it once more to think about and act for the future. The seed of these images becomes the life-blood of our culture, and the transfiguration of our civilization waits upon the sowing of new seed. Polak advocates a tripartite strategy: 1) reawaken the culture's dormant awareness of the future; 2) nourish cultural awareness; and 3) revitalize creativity. For the next few minutes we will work together to combine creativity with visioning.
  3. We will power our transformative futures generation with an engine of creativity that Arthur Koestler named “bisociation” in his classic work, The Act of Creation : combining elements of dissimilar sets; integrating two previously dissimilar frames of reference. In The Medici Effect , Frans Johansson refers to this as “intersection.” “ Habit and Originality" in The Act of Creation by Arthur Koestler; “ The Intersection -- Your Best Chance to Innovate,” in The Medici Effect by Frans Johansson.
  4. Many people find it difficult to let go of the problem-identifying and problem-solving perspectives that work ingrains in all of us. Often the best bridge to the ideal is a string of complaints: most people know what it is about the present they do NOT like. Consequently, the psychologically natural opening exercise for visioning is a problem-listing or "catharsis" stage, in which we list those characteristics that we absolutely reject as components of our preferred future. The statement of positive components can then begin with restating the negatives as their opposites: for example, if “cultural intolerance” is the hallmark of a flawed present, then “delight in cultural diversity” may be a major component of our preferred future. But for today’s exercise, we want to maintain our focus on the local, the personal, the immediate: what problems do you see in YOUR DAILY LIFE that, if reversed to their positive opposites, would create small points of joy in our shared future? [see the two examples on the slide]
  5. Three minutes: write down four local irritations / worries / concerns you have; they should be as specific, concrete, and locally focussed as possible, eg, NOT “increased conflict globally,” but rather “crime in my city”; or “military insurgents in my province.” Your specific worries might be environmental, but avoid “global warming” and focus on environmental issues within your city, community, or neighborhood; whatever the issue that concerns you, or problem you want to see fixed, state it as a local, specific problem. THEN RESTATE IT AS ITS POSITIVE OPPOSITE: for example, from “lack of arts resources in my local school system,” to “local corporate branches donate resources regularly to maintain a vibrant arts center in each of my community’s schools.” Two minutes: take each of your four specific future joys, and trade them one-by-one with different people seated around you -- make sure they can read your writing!
  6. Three minutes: you now have a pool of ideas for the future: the four you thought up yourself and traded away, and the four you’ve received from other people. Try to combine the different ideas in interesting ways: can you create several entirely new and transformative ideas from combinations of the eight in your idea pool? Seven minutes: now share the new ideas for the future that you created by combining and recombining your four joys with the four you received from other people. What joys seem to make other people smile in delight as well? Which seem to be the most useful? Which seem to be the most achievable? Which inspire you to start working to create them today?
  7. Three minutes: write down four local irritations / worries / concerns you have; they should be as specific, concrete, and locally focussed as possible, eg, NOT “increased conflict globally,” but rather “crime in my city”; or “military insurgents in my province.” Your specific worries might be environmental, but avoid “global warming” and focus on environmental issues within your city, community, or neighborhood; whatever the issue that concerns you, or problem you want to see fixed, state it as a local, specific problem. THEN RESTATE IT AS ITS POSITIVE OPPOSITE: for example, from “lack of arts resources in my local school system,” to “local corporate branches donate resources regularly to maintain a vibrant arts center in each of my community’s schools.”
  8. Two minutes: take each of your four specific future joys, and trade them one-by-one with different people seated around you -- make sure they can read your writing!
  9. Three minutes: you now have a pool of ideas for the future: the four you thought up yourself and traded away, and the four you’ve received from other people. Try to combine the different ideas in interesting ways: can you create several entirely new and transformative ideas from combinations of the eight in your idea pool?
  10. Seven minutes: now share the new ideas for the future that you created by combining and recombining your four joys with the four you received from other people. What joys seem to make other people smile in delight as well? Which seem to be the most useful? Which seem to be the most achievable? Which inspire you to start working to create them today?
  11. Over sixty people are sitting in this room, and each of you generated at least four joys, plus a few combined joys -- please POST THOSE ON THE “WALL OF SHARED JOYS” to my RIGHT on your way to coffee; I expect to see OVER TWO HUNDRED AND FIFTY! Feel free to add more ideas for future joy on the wall as ideas occur to you during presentations and conversations during the conference. Feel free to re-arrange the post-its to group and organize the joys by major themes.