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Trends in Loyalty and Customer
Communication 2010

Defining Loyalty, Measuring Loyalty, Optimizing Loyalty




September 2010
Walter Kitchenman
wkitchenman@hotmail.com
Part of a Series on Global Information Management


This presentation is part of a series of work by Walter Kitchenman
(http://www.linkedin.com/in/wkitchenman) covering the importance and use of Information.
Earlier studies documented the availability, use and benefits of shared consumer and other data
and how such transparency shapes businesses globally; inhibitors to sharing information
resources within large organizations; solutions for implementing Best Practice Information
Products and Knowledge Management; and an introduction to Digital Marketing and why it will
be critical in terms of future investments.
Purpose

This presentation describes the impact on Customer Loyalty of the
challenging economic, regulatory and technology environments 2009 –
2010. Publically available data were reviewed and extrapolations were
made where necessary.

• Identify and define Loyalty Metrics
• Show how Customer Communications strategies optimize Customer Loyalty
• Anticipate the impact on Customer Loyalty of a weakened economy,
  regulatory changes and the fluid Web 2.0 environment




                                        2
Agenda


1. The Big Picture.………………………………………………………..       4
2. Defining Loyalty………………………………………………………..       10
3. Measuring Loyalty …………………………………………………….       15
4. Forces Impacting Loyalty……………………………………………..   25
5. Communications and Loyalty…………………………………………    33
6. Improving Loyalty ..……………………………………………………      40
7. Summary ……………………………………………………………….             48




                          3
Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communication 2010
THE BIG PICTURE




                            4
THE BIG PICTURE> TAKEAWAYS

  For More than 100 Years Programs Have
  Rewarded Customers for Loyalty
  Evolution of Rewards Programs                                       • Developments since the 1980s are
                                                                        directly related to:
                                                                        –   Advances in IT and at POS

                                                                      • Future developments are supported by
                                Ubiquitous Rewards                      IT, specifically in the areas of:
                                   Instant Rewards                      –   Social media
                                                                        –   POS
                              Enterprise Rewards
                                                                        –   Web 2.0 (i.e. iAPPS, Tweets, etc)
                               Coalitions
                                                                        –   Mobile
                      Grocery & Convenience                             –   Proximity (RFID technologies)
                   Credit Cards                                         –   Wearable or “ubiquitous” computing
                 Rental Cars

                Hotels

           Airlines

S&H Green Stamps


       1890s                                         Today   Future
  Source: TowerGroup


                                                             5
THE BIG PICTURE> TAKEAWAYS


Take Aways
Customer satisfaction rates held steady 2010 y-t-d despite declining revenues.
Winners use more than one Loyalty Metric and measure campaigns over-time.

• Loyal Customers may not be profitable at a point in time making Lifecycle
   Management and Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) increasingly important
• Rewards programs are ubiquitous, especially in banking, as Debit
   surpasses Credit and offers loyalty programs as well
• Inserts, email campaigns and landing pages remain powerful tools to
   engender Loyalty as small improvements at the margin yield big results
• New media (e.g., iAPPS, Twitter, social networks) do not yield big numbers
   in terms of reaching Loyalty Members but have high adoption rates
• Highly Connected Individuals (HCI) may not produce a large CLV but carry
   brands with them on mobile and other devices and sway thousands
• There is a large untapped market for Loyalty Metrics among CMOs

                                       6
THE BIG PICTURE> KEY METRICS


The Loyalty Universe: Key Metrics
A 2.1% average opt-out rate annualized across 13 campaigns means 45% of a
list or dBase of potentially Loyal Customers may disappear.

• 1.8 billion members enrolled in Loyalty Programs in the US covering an
   estimated 129 million individuals
• US$2 billion spent annually in the US on Loyalty Programs and Loyalty
   Solution IT that is used to segment and target customers
• US households enrolled in 14 Loyalty Programs but are active in 6
• 50%+ of revenues come from fewer than 25% of Loyalty Members
• 35% of bookings are made by Loyalty Members (hotels and Casinos)
• 80%+ of CMOs prefer email for loyalty communications and marketing
• 20%+ of all marketing dollars will be spent on digital marketing by 2014
   and online technologies now receive the most new loyalty investments

                                       7
THE BIG PICTURE> KEY METRICS


 US Loyalty Memberships by Industry est. 2010
 There are 14 Loyalty Memberships per US household. Loyalty Programs reach
 an est. 129 million individuals. Financial services (cards) are biggest segment.

             Distribution of 1.8 billion Memberships by Major Industry Segment

                        Industry                          Millions of Members
 Financial Services                                              422
 Retail (Specialty & Dept. Stores)                               284
 Airlines                                                        277
 Grocery Stores & Fuel/Convenience Stores                        204
 Hotels                                                          162
 Casinos                                                         106
 Drug Stores                                                      74
 Restaurants                                                      14
 Car Rental & Cruise Lines                                        11
 Other                                                           128
Source: COLLOQUY; extrapolations from COLLOQUY data


                                                      8
THE BIG PICTURE> KEY METRICS


There is a Large Un-Tapped Market for
Loyalty Metrics Among CMOs
 Most marketers ignore the more complex measures of Loyalty and maintain
 limited dbases.

• 73% collect basic demographics
• 68% track location of Loyalty Members
• 33% measure satisfaction levels
• 27% measure brand loyalty
• 14% measure Advocacy Rates




Source: CMO Council 2009 - 2010


                                      9
Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communication 2010
DEFINING LOYALTY




                            10
DEFINING LOYALTY> DEFINITIONS


Loyalty is the Propensity of a Customer to Use a
Product in the Future

We Define Loyalty in Three Simple Ways

1. Customer Satisfaction
2. Emotions
3. Behaviors




                                 11
DEFINING LOYALTY> DEFINITIONS


Customer Satisfaction is Highly Related to
Loyalty and Customer Retention
Customer satisfaction and customer loyalty are the best predictors of
customer retention.

Three Broad Categories of Customers
• Dissatisfied Customer - Looking for another product or service
• Satisfied Customer - Open to the next better opportunity
• Loyal Customer - Returns despite offers by the competition.




                                     12
DEFINING LOYALTY> DEFINITIONS


Customer Dissatisfaction is a Very Important
Driver of Consumer Behavior
 Prompt resolution of a dissatisfied customer's issue results in 85% of
 them as repeat customers.

Characteristics of a Dissatisfied Customer
• For every customer that complains at least 25 do not
• Dissatisfied customers tell 8 to 16 others about their dissatisfaction
• Highly networked dissatisfied customers tell thousands
• 91% of dissatisfied customers never purchase from the company again
• 68% of customers who do not return cite employee attitude




                                       13
DEFINING LOYALTY> DEFINITIONS


 Behaviors and Emotions Characterize
 Loyalty: Example from the Auto Industry
 Loyalty in the automotive industry involves many behaviors we identify intuitively
 with Customer Loyalty. Auto purchases elicit emotions to a great degree.

                                 Measures and Behaviors Identifed with Loyalty

          Retention                          Expansion               Compliance            Advocacy
 Repeat Buyer
 .                                     Increases                 Provides Info.        Recommends Brand
 Seeks Out Brand                       “Share of Wallet”         Self-Services         Supports Brand
 Avoids Competition                    Pays Price Premium        Complies w/Requests   and Positions
                                                                 Accepts Advice




Source: Derived in part from from Synovate


                                                            14
Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communications 2010
MEASURING LOYALTY




                            15
MEASURING LOYALTY>DEFINITIONS


Customer Loyalty is Quantified in Loyalty
Metrics

We Consider Six Common Loyalty Metrics

1. Net Promoter Scores (NPS)
2. Share of Wallet (SOW)
3. American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI)
4. Market Metrix Hospitality Index (MMHI)
5. Customer Lifetime Value (CLV)
6. Customer Effort Score (CES)




                                   16
MEASURING LOYALTY>TAKE AWAYS


Take Aways
No single metric predicts Loyalty for every company or industry.

• A loyal customer may not be a profitable customer
• The best metric is a combination of qualities that can be weighted
• Loyalty Metrics should be comparable over time and provide a base for
   the assessment of future performance
• Loyalty Metrics should decline due to inactivity - a prolonged period of
   account inactivity suggests the need for remedial action
• Loyalty Metrics should correlate highly with the likelihood of future
   purchases and account activity




                                       17
MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS


Net Promoter Scores (NPS) Show
Willingness to Recommend
The Net Promoter benchmark is popular for simplicity and claims it
correlates to company growth.

• Traditional customer-satisfaction measures omitted willingness to
   recommend
• Customers are asked "How likely is it that you would recommend us to a
   friend or colleague?" and then provide a rating from 0 ("Not at all likely")
   to 10 ("Extremely likely")
• Avis, HP and IBM are among the many prominent adopters of NPS




                                       18
MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS


Share of Wallet (SOW)

• Share of wallet (SOW) measures the share of money the customer
   spends on a brand in preference to other brands
• SOW is not necessarily a reliable indicator of Loyalty and works best
   when there are clear choices between well established brands
• SOW is an indication of the past and therefore not necessarily an
   indicator of what a customer will do tomorrow
• SOW measures behavior at a single point in time
• SOW works best as one of many Loyalty Metrics
• Financial Services firms, especially card issuers and card associations,
   track SOW trends




                                     19
MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS


American Customer Satisfaction Index
(ACSI) has Best Predictive Value
Since 1994 ACSI is a leading benchmark used to measure changes to
satisfaction over time, which in turn drives customer loyalty.




                                                        Customer
                        +                          =   Complaints
Customer Expectations                Customer
Perceived Overall Quality           Satisfaction
Perceived Value

                                                       Customer
                                                        Loyalty

                                         20
MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS


ACSI May Have Several Disadvantages as a
Measure of Loyalty
Many marketers believe that Quality and Value directly affect Loyalty
without going through Satisfaction.

• Complaints may be driver not consequence of satisfaction
• Some believe that satisfaction is a poor intermediary




                                     21
MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS


Market Metrix Hospitality Index (MMHI) was
Created in 1996
MMHI is an indicator of US customers‟ satisfaction and price
sensitivity for airlines, car rental, hotels and other hospitality services.

• Data for the MMHI are gathered from a national consumer panel
• Each quarter 35,000 new interviews are conducted with travelers
• Evaluations of all major U.S. hospitality brands in all 50 states
• Index is available quarterly and MMHI „winners‟ value this designation
• In 2009 – 2010 Customer Satisfaction was steady with the hospitality
   brands that best targeted Loyalty Program members leading the way
• The MMHI is a proprietary score



                                       22
MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS


Customer Lifetime Value (CLV): Long-Term
Measure of Customer Loyalty
Customer lifetime value (CLV) is the net present value of today's
customer's current and future contributions to profit.

• A loyal customer may not be a profitable customer
• Customers may be unprofitable because they cost too much to acquire or
    too much to keep loyal, or don‟t have resources at a particular point in
    time to make a purchase (autos, airlines)
• CLV measures profitability but the missing variable is share of wallet




                                       23
MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS


CEB Introduced a New Proprietary Loyalty
Metric: The Customer Effort Score
“The probability that a service interaction will drive disloyalty is
approximately four times greater than the chance it will create any
positive loyalty impression.” - Conference Executive Board

• The CES shows a strong negative correlation to loyalty
• The more effort a customer puts forth in a service interaction, the less
   likely they are to be loyal




                                      24
Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communications 2010
FORCES IMPACTING LOYALTY




                            25
FORCES>DEFINITIONS


External Forces Can Have a Major Impact on
Customer Loyalty

Three Important Forces Shape Customer Loyalty 2009 - 2010

1. The Economy
2. Regulation of Financial Services
3. Technology (Web 2.0)




                                      26
FORCES>TAKE AWAYS


Take Aways

• The declining economy has impacted on Loyalty and leading brands
   focused on Loyalty Members and received more than 50% of their
   revenues from 25% of customers (customer segmentation works)
• In cards, the largest loyalty program segment, the number and use of debit
   cards surpassed credit cards in 2009
• Regulatory changes in 2010 that impact Financial Services that provide
   more opportunities for opt-outs and fee hikes require a Communications
   Strategy
• Technology changes (Web 2.0) in 2010 mean that many Loyal Customers
   will take a brand with them through iAPPS, Tweets, RSS and social
   networking updates




                                     27
FORCES>ECONOMY


When Consumers Feel Less Wealthy there
are Broad Implications for Loyalty Programs
 Some key indicators mean that consumers cannot borrow and
 consume as they have in the past due to a lack of debt capacity.

• Modest or slow growth of the US economy
• High unemployment
• No debt capacity among many consumers and businesses
• Falling housing values and rising foreclosures limit home equity
   borrowing
• Wall Street is edgy -- declining 401s reduce savings by as much as 40%
• Possible shift away from consumption-oriented growth to more
   investment oriented growth
• Shift away from Credit card use to Debit cards and even cash
                                      28
FORCES>ECONOMY

A Slow Economy Makes Loyalty Members
More Price Sensitive
                             Pricing 2010
Proportion Willing to Pay for Rewards Card by Category (Percent)

  Rewards Category              $0         $1 – $19   $20 – $29   $30+
  Airlines                      57%           9%         8%        22%
  Auto / Gas                    91%           3%         2%        2%
  Cash Rebate                   92%           4%         2%        2%
  Merchandise                   93%           3%         1%        1%
  Blended                       84%           4%         5%        3%
  Lifestyle                     91%           5%         2%        1%
  General T&E                   71%           8%         6%        12%
  All Others                    87%           6%         2%        2%




Source: TowerGroup


                                      29
FORCES>REGULATIONS


Banking Regulations Beginning in August
2009 Impact on the Largest Loyalty Segment
Well-designed landing pages can turn reporting of regulatory change and
fee hikes into an opportunity to promote Loyalty by capturing and mitigating
the reasons for opt-outs.

• 45 days notification of changes to credit card accounts - previously 15
   days' notice required unless customers defaulted on accounts
• 21 days to pay monthly balances without threat of late fees or penalties
• Opt-Out from interest rate hikes and fee increases and the ability to
   cancel accounts while paying off balances under older interest rates
• Restrictions on rate hikes, bans on marketing credit cards to young adults
   and gift card regulations took effect beginning in February 2010
• The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau approved in August 2010 has
   broad powers to enforce and interpret credit card regulations

                                      30
FORCES>REGULATIONS


Milestones in Legislation that Impact Loyalty


     Aug 2009                    July 2010                    Aug 2010                          Dec 2010


Credit card issuers        Federal rules on unfair     Credit card issuers must         Comptroller to submit
must give 45 days„         or deceptive credit card    reduce interest rates to         study on credit
advance notice of          practices and disclosure    previous levels after six        insurance and debt
significant changes in     take effect.                month reviews of                 agreements with cards.
terms and give                                         accounts that have been          Deadline for Fed to
consumers 21 days to                                   increased. Fees (late,           produce first biennial
make monthly                                           exceeding limit or other)        review of cost and
payments. Cardholders                                  must be proportional.            availability of cards and
gain right to Opt-Out of                                                                adequacy of laws.
certain changes in
terms.                                    Gift cards must be         Legislation creating the
                                          valid five years+;         first Consumer
                                          dormancy fees banned       Financial Services
                                          for 12 months.             Protection Bureau.


                                                      31
FORCES>TECHNOLOGY


Advances in Web 2.0 Impact on Loyalty
Communications
Loyal Customers use new media and take brand info with them. The
suitability of each should be assessed for each industry and campaign.

• Blogs (e.g., LiveJournal, Typepad, WordPress, etc.)
• Microblogs (e.g.,Twitter, Plurk, Identica, etc)
• Message Board/Forums
• Wiki (sites that allow the public to make changes)
• Video/Photo Sharing (e.g.,YouTube, Flickr, etc)
• Social Networks (e.g., Facebook, Myspace, Linkedin)
• Mainstream Media Blogs (e.g., Wall Street Journal, CNN, etc.)
• Mobile Apps (iPhone)

Source: Introduction to Digital Marketing (Walter Kitchenman)


                                                                32
Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communication 2010
COMMUNICATIONS AND LOYALTY




                            33
COMMUNICATIONS>DEFINITIONS


Communications Strategy is Critical to
Retaining Customers

We Consider Four Aspects of Customer Communication

1. Preferred Means of Communicating with Customers
2. Some Key Terms
3. Effectiveness of Email Campaigns 2010
4. Impact of Opt-Out Rates on Campaigns Over Time




                                  34
COMMUNICATIONS>TAKE AWAYS


Take Aways
Opt-out rates for major industries promoting Loyalty is about 2.1% and can
be lowered by testing alternative Communications Strategies and content.

• Email is a very cost effective means of contacting Loyal Customers and
   preferred by more than 80% of CMOs
• The Retention Rate (RR) should be above 95% (The amount of opt-ins
   less the number that have opted-out)
• A high Frequency of Mailings is expected to produce a high opt-out rate
• Opt-outs may result from poor creative content
• Leaders focus on and test an individual campaign's trend and step back
   and look at the big picture of all campaigns over time




                                      35
COMMUNICATIONS>DEFINITIONS


Used and Preferred Means of Communications
 Email is preferred by marketers because of low cost, the ability to automate
 targeted messages, measure results and test alternative approaches.



          Medium or Format                           % Using        % Preferring       Likely Trend
 Web Sites (Corporate & Landing)                 60                     45
 email                                           60                     84
 Word of Mouth                                   47                     n/a
 Point-of-Sale                                   46                     n/a
 Direct Mail, Statements, Inserts                42                     51
 Customer Service/Sales Reps                     39                     25
 Dedicated Sites (Loyalty Program)               60                     32
 SMS Texting                                     8                      24
 Social Networks                                 8                      16
 iAPPS                                           5                      n/a
Note: Based on 300 CMO responses across diverse industries                         .
Source: Extrapolated from 2009 CMO Council data


                                                               36
COMMUNICATIONS>DEFINITIONS


Some Key Terms

• Open Rate: Number of emails opened divided by the number of emails
   delivered (multiply by 100 to express the result as a percentage)
• Click-Through: A prospect takes an action and clicks on a link
• Click-Through Rate: Number of responses divided by the number of
   emails opened
• Hard Bounce/Soft Bounce: A "hard bounce" indicates a permanent failure
   due to a non-existent address or a blocking condition by the receiver; a
   "soft bounce" indicates a temporary failure due to a full mailbox or an
   unavailable server
• Unsubscribe: Canceling a service (e.g., an email newsletter or inclusion
   on a mailing list)




                                      37
COMMUNICATIONS>EFFECTIVENESS

Effectiveness of Email Campaigns 2010


         Average Open, Click, Bounce and Abuse Complaint Rates by Industry (%)

          Industry                 Open         Click          Soft               Hard                Abuse              Unsubscribes
                                   Rate         Rate         Bounces             Bounces            Complaints
 Financial Services                 20.9          2.5            2.8                 4.0                  .06                   .03
 Retail                             27.6          5.8            1.5                 2.8                  .08                   .42
 Airlines & Travel                  25.0          5.0            2.2                 3.7                  .10                   .40
 Grocery Stores                     36.6          7.9            .84                 2.0                  .09                   .63
 Hotels                             27.5          7.2            2.9                 5.3                  .08                   .50
 Restaurants                        26.2          3.4            1.3                 3.4                  .08                   .41




Source: Extrapolated from MailChimp‟s reporting of these rates based on 233 million emails sent in different campaigns 2009-20010


                                                                      38
COMMUNICATIONS>EFFECTIVENESS


Even a 2.1% Opt-Out Rate Should Prompt
Efforts to Improve Communications
On an annual basis, assuming 13 campaigns, a 2.1% Opt-Out rate per
campaign will yield a 45% opt-out/invalid rate.

Example of a Campaign Beginning with 10,000 potentially Loyal Customers
  3 Mos Out                           6 Mos Out                            9 Mos Out                           12 Mos Out

        10000                                 7500
       become                                become                            6500                               5800
         7500                                 6500                            become                            Becomes
                                                                               5800                               5500



                                                                                   45% Effective Opt-Out Rate


Source: Numerical example is extrapolated and derived from data included in the MineThatData Newsletter March 2007


                                                                     39
Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communication 2010
IMPROVING LOYALTY




                            40
IMPROVING>DEFINITIONS


Communication Tools are Used to Engender
Loyalty

We Consider Five Aspects of Improving Customer Loyalty

1. Rewards Programs
2. Traditional Communications Programs
3. Innovative use of Web 2.0 to Engender Loyalty
4. Use of Loyalty Solutions IT for Segmentation and Targeting
5. Importance of Digital Marketing in 2010 and Beyond




                                    41
IMPROVING>REWARDS

Loyalty Models Focused on Rewards Become
Ubiquitous (Especially in Financial Services)

                                                   Competition

           Model                          Description            Advantages          Disadvantages
 Proprietary                    Rewards Programs             • Control            • Cost
 Rewards Programs               sponsored by a Bank that                          • Solution flexibility
                                offer a blend of                                    from Fixed cost
                                Merchandise, T&E and / or                           structure
                                Cash Back Rewards
                                for spending.
 Co-Brand:                      General T&E and Airline      • Targeted           • Dependence on
 Airlines / T&E                 programs that have linked    • Shared promotion     Partners
 Rewards Programs               Travel Rewards with            costs              • Need for market
                                card usage.                                         focus is heightened
 Retail                         Private Label or Co-Brand    • Targeted           • Mixed ability to
 Rewards Programs               Programs that attempt to     • Shared promotion     capture general
                                capture lion's share of        costs with           Spend
                                category Spend.                Co-Brand partner
                                                             • Transaction data
Source: TowerGroup, MasterCard Advisors


                                                        42
IMPROVING>COMMUNICATIONS


Traditional Communications Programs to
Improve Loyalty Work and Improve Retention
When an economic downturn limits sales, Lifecycle Management Strategies
keep Loyal Customers involved with the brand.

Five Traditional Means to Keep in Touch with Customers
1. Program Announcements that display news and program alerts at
    specified times to specified participants
2. Collateral Materials such as enrollment forms, FAQ sheets, member
    cards, brochures and inserts
3. HTML email and promotional Web sites
4. Newsletters – both print and e-mail
5. Personalized direct mail (ex. - welcome letters, printed statements)


                                       43
IMPROVING>COMMUNICATIONS


Innovative Strategies that Take Advantage of
Web 2.0 also Engender Loyalty
Landing pages communicate regulatory changes and prevent opt-outs by
offering alternative products or reduced contact frequency.

• Web Content Management provides 24/7 control over content and messages
• Landing Pages can be personalized and used intelligently to reduce opt-out
   rates at the margins
• Integrated email tools deliver customers personalized "blast" HTML
   messages and event-triggered emails (i.e., "Congratulations" for reaching a
   goal, or “you haven‟t used your frequent miles, act now”)
• RSS Feeds, Tweets, iAPPS provide for Customer Communication that is
   faster than email
• RSS Feeds, Tweets, iAPPS provide for recap messages that summarize
   weekly communications or extend new offers


                                       44
IMPROVING>SEGMENTATION


Leaders Segment Customers and Conduct
Highly Targeted Campaigns Using IT
• Customers‟ interests and transactional behavior are analyzed in order to
   group them into segments
• Analytics are used to test campaigns, identify trends and compare groups
   or segments
• Demographic and transactional behavior is used to target segments
   across multiple channels both traditional and emerging (e.g., emails,
   personalized landing pages, RSS feeds and Tweets)
• Loyalty Solutions that perform these functions are developed in-house,
   acquired from third party vendors, hosted at third parties and accessed in
   a ASP model, or can be outsourced
• US$2 billion+ is spent annually on Loyalty Solutions and the Programs
   they support


                                      45
IMPROVING>SEGMENTATION


Targeting Increases levels of “Relevancy” to
Maximize Returns in a Bad Economy


 PURCHASE-BASED                 CLUSTER                       ACTUAL                  CHANNEL
  SEGMENTATION                 PROFILING                    PREFERENCES               ACTIONS
                             What are they like?                                      How best
  Which segments?                                       Where do they shop?
                             What do they like?                                    to reach them?
Define segments          Use Analytics to               Leverage Merchant      Design integrated
based on the types       understand:                    Aggregation            plan to target right
of transactions                                         Capabilities to        message to the right
                         •    Demographics
and/or purchases                                        examine Spend:         customer through the
                         •    Attitudes                                        right channel.
                                                        •   7,000+ merchants
                         •    Preferences                                      •   Mail or Email
                                                        •   Preferences
                         •    Propensity to Buy                                •   Web
                                                        •   Patterns
                                                                               •   RSS
                                                        •   Combinations
                                                                               •   Tweets



                                                   46
IMPROVING>DIGITAL


Digital Marketing Matters in 2010 and Beyond
 Online spending is only about 5% of ad dollars today but is projected to
 reach 21% of US marketing dollars by 2014 (US$55 billion).*

• Two thirds of US consumers are online
• Mobile and internet technologies are being adopted even faster outside the US
• Digital Marketing campaigns are measurable (assuming data is reliable)
• Online tools and analytics are better for direct response
• Online campaigns may generate more immediate sales
• Online tools and analytics are less expensive than traditional methods
• Numerous Third Party Solutions are available to help manage digital
    campaigns, determine their effectiveness and target dollars


Source: Forrester Research,* Introduction to Digital Marketing (Walter Kitchenman)


                                                                       47
Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communication 2010
SUMMARY




                            48
SUMMARY>DEVELOPMENTS


Key Developments
• Economic downturn leads successful brands to focus on Loyalty Program
   Members, who in turn provide more than 50% of revenues
• Small improvements at the margin yield large results over the course of
   many campaigns (e.g., a 2.1% opt-out rate may be 45% annualized)
• In Cards, the biggest sector in terms of Loyalty Programs, Debit surpassed
   Credit in the US in 2009 and are major part of Rewards‟ universe
• Regulatory changes and possible fee increases impact Cards and
   Financial Services require a Communications Strategy to limit opt-outs via
   well-designed inserts, email campaigns and targeted landing pages
• Emerging apps like iAPPS, Tweets and social networking keep companies
   involved with customers until economic circumstances improve
• Online channels dominate expected investments as most marketers plan
   to use digital marketing and networking tools to grow Loyalty Programs


                                     49
For More Info –
http://www.linkedin.com/in/wkitchenman

Walter Kitchenman is an author and consultant on strategic issues in financial services. He
spent more than a decade as an international banker in Latin America and Europe and helped
launch the leading boutique advisory firm covering the strategic use of IT. Most recently he was
VP in charge of knowledge management at MasterCard Worldwide. He has a graduate degree
from Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) and BA with special
honors from the Elliot School of George Washington University.



2010
Walter Kitchenman
wkitchenman@hotmail.com
Trends in Loyalty and Customer
Communication 2010

Defining Loyalty, Measuring Loyalty, Optimizing Loyalty




September 2010
Walter Kitchenman
wkitchenman@hotmail.com

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Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communications 2010

  • 1. Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communication 2010 Defining Loyalty, Measuring Loyalty, Optimizing Loyalty September 2010 Walter Kitchenman wkitchenman@hotmail.com
  • 2. Part of a Series on Global Information Management This presentation is part of a series of work by Walter Kitchenman (http://www.linkedin.com/in/wkitchenman) covering the importance and use of Information. Earlier studies documented the availability, use and benefits of shared consumer and other data and how such transparency shapes businesses globally; inhibitors to sharing information resources within large organizations; solutions for implementing Best Practice Information Products and Knowledge Management; and an introduction to Digital Marketing and why it will be critical in terms of future investments.
  • 3. Purpose This presentation describes the impact on Customer Loyalty of the challenging economic, regulatory and technology environments 2009 – 2010. Publically available data were reviewed and extrapolations were made where necessary. • Identify and define Loyalty Metrics • Show how Customer Communications strategies optimize Customer Loyalty • Anticipate the impact on Customer Loyalty of a weakened economy, regulatory changes and the fluid Web 2.0 environment 2
  • 4. Agenda 1. The Big Picture.……………………………………………………….. 4 2. Defining Loyalty……………………………………………………….. 10 3. Measuring Loyalty ……………………………………………………. 15 4. Forces Impacting Loyalty…………………………………………….. 25 5. Communications and Loyalty………………………………………… 33 6. Improving Loyalty ..…………………………………………………… 40 7. Summary ………………………………………………………………. 48 3
  • 5. Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communication 2010 THE BIG PICTURE 4
  • 6. THE BIG PICTURE> TAKEAWAYS For More than 100 Years Programs Have Rewarded Customers for Loyalty Evolution of Rewards Programs • Developments since the 1980s are directly related to: – Advances in IT and at POS • Future developments are supported by Ubiquitous Rewards IT, specifically in the areas of: Instant Rewards – Social media – POS Enterprise Rewards – Web 2.0 (i.e. iAPPS, Tweets, etc) Coalitions – Mobile Grocery & Convenience – Proximity (RFID technologies) Credit Cards – Wearable or “ubiquitous” computing Rental Cars Hotels Airlines S&H Green Stamps 1890s Today Future Source: TowerGroup 5
  • 7. THE BIG PICTURE> TAKEAWAYS Take Aways Customer satisfaction rates held steady 2010 y-t-d despite declining revenues. Winners use more than one Loyalty Metric and measure campaigns over-time. • Loyal Customers may not be profitable at a point in time making Lifecycle Management and Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) increasingly important • Rewards programs are ubiquitous, especially in banking, as Debit surpasses Credit and offers loyalty programs as well • Inserts, email campaigns and landing pages remain powerful tools to engender Loyalty as small improvements at the margin yield big results • New media (e.g., iAPPS, Twitter, social networks) do not yield big numbers in terms of reaching Loyalty Members but have high adoption rates • Highly Connected Individuals (HCI) may not produce a large CLV but carry brands with them on mobile and other devices and sway thousands • There is a large untapped market for Loyalty Metrics among CMOs 6
  • 8. THE BIG PICTURE> KEY METRICS The Loyalty Universe: Key Metrics A 2.1% average opt-out rate annualized across 13 campaigns means 45% of a list or dBase of potentially Loyal Customers may disappear. • 1.8 billion members enrolled in Loyalty Programs in the US covering an estimated 129 million individuals • US$2 billion spent annually in the US on Loyalty Programs and Loyalty Solution IT that is used to segment and target customers • US households enrolled in 14 Loyalty Programs but are active in 6 • 50%+ of revenues come from fewer than 25% of Loyalty Members • 35% of bookings are made by Loyalty Members (hotels and Casinos) • 80%+ of CMOs prefer email for loyalty communications and marketing • 20%+ of all marketing dollars will be spent on digital marketing by 2014 and online technologies now receive the most new loyalty investments 7
  • 9. THE BIG PICTURE> KEY METRICS US Loyalty Memberships by Industry est. 2010 There are 14 Loyalty Memberships per US household. Loyalty Programs reach an est. 129 million individuals. Financial services (cards) are biggest segment. Distribution of 1.8 billion Memberships by Major Industry Segment Industry Millions of Members Financial Services 422 Retail (Specialty & Dept. Stores) 284 Airlines 277 Grocery Stores & Fuel/Convenience Stores 204 Hotels 162 Casinos 106 Drug Stores 74 Restaurants 14 Car Rental & Cruise Lines 11 Other 128 Source: COLLOQUY; extrapolations from COLLOQUY data 8
  • 10. THE BIG PICTURE> KEY METRICS There is a Large Un-Tapped Market for Loyalty Metrics Among CMOs Most marketers ignore the more complex measures of Loyalty and maintain limited dbases. • 73% collect basic demographics • 68% track location of Loyalty Members • 33% measure satisfaction levels • 27% measure brand loyalty • 14% measure Advocacy Rates Source: CMO Council 2009 - 2010 9
  • 11. Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communication 2010 DEFINING LOYALTY 10
  • 12. DEFINING LOYALTY> DEFINITIONS Loyalty is the Propensity of a Customer to Use a Product in the Future We Define Loyalty in Three Simple Ways 1. Customer Satisfaction 2. Emotions 3. Behaviors 11
  • 13. DEFINING LOYALTY> DEFINITIONS Customer Satisfaction is Highly Related to Loyalty and Customer Retention Customer satisfaction and customer loyalty are the best predictors of customer retention. Three Broad Categories of Customers • Dissatisfied Customer - Looking for another product or service • Satisfied Customer - Open to the next better opportunity • Loyal Customer - Returns despite offers by the competition. 12
  • 14. DEFINING LOYALTY> DEFINITIONS Customer Dissatisfaction is a Very Important Driver of Consumer Behavior Prompt resolution of a dissatisfied customer's issue results in 85% of them as repeat customers. Characteristics of a Dissatisfied Customer • For every customer that complains at least 25 do not • Dissatisfied customers tell 8 to 16 others about their dissatisfaction • Highly networked dissatisfied customers tell thousands • 91% of dissatisfied customers never purchase from the company again • 68% of customers who do not return cite employee attitude 13
  • 15. DEFINING LOYALTY> DEFINITIONS Behaviors and Emotions Characterize Loyalty: Example from the Auto Industry Loyalty in the automotive industry involves many behaviors we identify intuitively with Customer Loyalty. Auto purchases elicit emotions to a great degree. Measures and Behaviors Identifed with Loyalty Retention Expansion Compliance Advocacy Repeat Buyer . Increases Provides Info. Recommends Brand Seeks Out Brand “Share of Wallet” Self-Services Supports Brand Avoids Competition Pays Price Premium Complies w/Requests and Positions Accepts Advice Source: Derived in part from from Synovate 14
  • 16. Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communications 2010 MEASURING LOYALTY 15
  • 17. MEASURING LOYALTY>DEFINITIONS Customer Loyalty is Quantified in Loyalty Metrics We Consider Six Common Loyalty Metrics 1. Net Promoter Scores (NPS) 2. Share of Wallet (SOW) 3. American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) 4. Market Metrix Hospitality Index (MMHI) 5. Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) 6. Customer Effort Score (CES) 16
  • 18. MEASURING LOYALTY>TAKE AWAYS Take Aways No single metric predicts Loyalty for every company or industry. • A loyal customer may not be a profitable customer • The best metric is a combination of qualities that can be weighted • Loyalty Metrics should be comparable over time and provide a base for the assessment of future performance • Loyalty Metrics should decline due to inactivity - a prolonged period of account inactivity suggests the need for remedial action • Loyalty Metrics should correlate highly with the likelihood of future purchases and account activity 17
  • 19. MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS Net Promoter Scores (NPS) Show Willingness to Recommend The Net Promoter benchmark is popular for simplicity and claims it correlates to company growth. • Traditional customer-satisfaction measures omitted willingness to recommend • Customers are asked "How likely is it that you would recommend us to a friend or colleague?" and then provide a rating from 0 ("Not at all likely") to 10 ("Extremely likely") • Avis, HP and IBM are among the many prominent adopters of NPS 18
  • 20. MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS Share of Wallet (SOW) • Share of wallet (SOW) measures the share of money the customer spends on a brand in preference to other brands • SOW is not necessarily a reliable indicator of Loyalty and works best when there are clear choices between well established brands • SOW is an indication of the past and therefore not necessarily an indicator of what a customer will do tomorrow • SOW measures behavior at a single point in time • SOW works best as one of many Loyalty Metrics • Financial Services firms, especially card issuers and card associations, track SOW trends 19
  • 21. MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) has Best Predictive Value Since 1994 ACSI is a leading benchmark used to measure changes to satisfaction over time, which in turn drives customer loyalty. Customer + = Complaints Customer Expectations Customer Perceived Overall Quality Satisfaction Perceived Value Customer Loyalty 20
  • 22. MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS ACSI May Have Several Disadvantages as a Measure of Loyalty Many marketers believe that Quality and Value directly affect Loyalty without going through Satisfaction. • Complaints may be driver not consequence of satisfaction • Some believe that satisfaction is a poor intermediary 21
  • 23. MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS Market Metrix Hospitality Index (MMHI) was Created in 1996 MMHI is an indicator of US customers‟ satisfaction and price sensitivity for airlines, car rental, hotels and other hospitality services. • Data for the MMHI are gathered from a national consumer panel • Each quarter 35,000 new interviews are conducted with travelers • Evaluations of all major U.S. hospitality brands in all 50 states • Index is available quarterly and MMHI „winners‟ value this designation • In 2009 – 2010 Customer Satisfaction was steady with the hospitality brands that best targeted Loyalty Program members leading the way • The MMHI is a proprietary score 22
  • 24. MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS Customer Lifetime Value (CLV): Long-Term Measure of Customer Loyalty Customer lifetime value (CLV) is the net present value of today's customer's current and future contributions to profit. • A loyal customer may not be a profitable customer • Customers may be unprofitable because they cost too much to acquire or too much to keep loyal, or don‟t have resources at a particular point in time to make a purchase (autos, airlines) • CLV measures profitability but the missing variable is share of wallet 23
  • 25. MEASURING LOYALTY>LOYALTY METRICS CEB Introduced a New Proprietary Loyalty Metric: The Customer Effort Score “The probability that a service interaction will drive disloyalty is approximately four times greater than the chance it will create any positive loyalty impression.” - Conference Executive Board • The CES shows a strong negative correlation to loyalty • The more effort a customer puts forth in a service interaction, the less likely they are to be loyal 24
  • 26. Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communications 2010 FORCES IMPACTING LOYALTY 25
  • 27. FORCES>DEFINITIONS External Forces Can Have a Major Impact on Customer Loyalty Three Important Forces Shape Customer Loyalty 2009 - 2010 1. The Economy 2. Regulation of Financial Services 3. Technology (Web 2.0) 26
  • 28. FORCES>TAKE AWAYS Take Aways • The declining economy has impacted on Loyalty and leading brands focused on Loyalty Members and received more than 50% of their revenues from 25% of customers (customer segmentation works) • In cards, the largest loyalty program segment, the number and use of debit cards surpassed credit cards in 2009 • Regulatory changes in 2010 that impact Financial Services that provide more opportunities for opt-outs and fee hikes require a Communications Strategy • Technology changes (Web 2.0) in 2010 mean that many Loyal Customers will take a brand with them through iAPPS, Tweets, RSS and social networking updates 27
  • 29. FORCES>ECONOMY When Consumers Feel Less Wealthy there are Broad Implications for Loyalty Programs Some key indicators mean that consumers cannot borrow and consume as they have in the past due to a lack of debt capacity. • Modest or slow growth of the US economy • High unemployment • No debt capacity among many consumers and businesses • Falling housing values and rising foreclosures limit home equity borrowing • Wall Street is edgy -- declining 401s reduce savings by as much as 40% • Possible shift away from consumption-oriented growth to more investment oriented growth • Shift away from Credit card use to Debit cards and even cash 28
  • 30. FORCES>ECONOMY A Slow Economy Makes Loyalty Members More Price Sensitive Pricing 2010 Proportion Willing to Pay for Rewards Card by Category (Percent) Rewards Category $0 $1 – $19 $20 – $29 $30+ Airlines 57% 9% 8% 22% Auto / Gas 91% 3% 2% 2% Cash Rebate 92% 4% 2% 2% Merchandise 93% 3% 1% 1% Blended 84% 4% 5% 3% Lifestyle 91% 5% 2% 1% General T&E 71% 8% 6% 12% All Others 87% 6% 2% 2% Source: TowerGroup 29
  • 31. FORCES>REGULATIONS Banking Regulations Beginning in August 2009 Impact on the Largest Loyalty Segment Well-designed landing pages can turn reporting of regulatory change and fee hikes into an opportunity to promote Loyalty by capturing and mitigating the reasons for opt-outs. • 45 days notification of changes to credit card accounts - previously 15 days' notice required unless customers defaulted on accounts • 21 days to pay monthly balances without threat of late fees or penalties • Opt-Out from interest rate hikes and fee increases and the ability to cancel accounts while paying off balances under older interest rates • Restrictions on rate hikes, bans on marketing credit cards to young adults and gift card regulations took effect beginning in February 2010 • The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau approved in August 2010 has broad powers to enforce and interpret credit card regulations 30
  • 32. FORCES>REGULATIONS Milestones in Legislation that Impact Loyalty Aug 2009 July 2010 Aug 2010 Dec 2010 Credit card issuers Federal rules on unfair Credit card issuers must Comptroller to submit must give 45 days„ or deceptive credit card reduce interest rates to study on credit advance notice of practices and disclosure previous levels after six insurance and debt significant changes in take effect. month reviews of agreements with cards. terms and give accounts that have been Deadline for Fed to consumers 21 days to increased. Fees (late, produce first biennial make monthly exceeding limit or other) review of cost and payments. Cardholders must be proportional. availability of cards and gain right to Opt-Out of adequacy of laws. certain changes in terms. Gift cards must be Legislation creating the valid five years+; first Consumer dormancy fees banned Financial Services for 12 months. Protection Bureau. 31
  • 33. FORCES>TECHNOLOGY Advances in Web 2.0 Impact on Loyalty Communications Loyal Customers use new media and take brand info with them. The suitability of each should be assessed for each industry and campaign. • Blogs (e.g., LiveJournal, Typepad, WordPress, etc.) • Microblogs (e.g.,Twitter, Plurk, Identica, etc) • Message Board/Forums • Wiki (sites that allow the public to make changes) • Video/Photo Sharing (e.g.,YouTube, Flickr, etc) • Social Networks (e.g., Facebook, Myspace, Linkedin) • Mainstream Media Blogs (e.g., Wall Street Journal, CNN, etc.) • Mobile Apps (iPhone) Source: Introduction to Digital Marketing (Walter Kitchenman) 32
  • 34. Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communication 2010 COMMUNICATIONS AND LOYALTY 33
  • 35. COMMUNICATIONS>DEFINITIONS Communications Strategy is Critical to Retaining Customers We Consider Four Aspects of Customer Communication 1. Preferred Means of Communicating with Customers 2. Some Key Terms 3. Effectiveness of Email Campaigns 2010 4. Impact of Opt-Out Rates on Campaigns Over Time 34
  • 36. COMMUNICATIONS>TAKE AWAYS Take Aways Opt-out rates for major industries promoting Loyalty is about 2.1% and can be lowered by testing alternative Communications Strategies and content. • Email is a very cost effective means of contacting Loyal Customers and preferred by more than 80% of CMOs • The Retention Rate (RR) should be above 95% (The amount of opt-ins less the number that have opted-out) • A high Frequency of Mailings is expected to produce a high opt-out rate • Opt-outs may result from poor creative content • Leaders focus on and test an individual campaign's trend and step back and look at the big picture of all campaigns over time 35
  • 37. COMMUNICATIONS>DEFINITIONS Used and Preferred Means of Communications Email is preferred by marketers because of low cost, the ability to automate targeted messages, measure results and test alternative approaches. Medium or Format % Using % Preferring Likely Trend Web Sites (Corporate & Landing) 60 45 email 60 84 Word of Mouth 47 n/a Point-of-Sale 46 n/a Direct Mail, Statements, Inserts 42 51 Customer Service/Sales Reps 39 25 Dedicated Sites (Loyalty Program) 60 32 SMS Texting 8 24 Social Networks 8 16 iAPPS 5 n/a Note: Based on 300 CMO responses across diverse industries . Source: Extrapolated from 2009 CMO Council data 36
  • 38. COMMUNICATIONS>DEFINITIONS Some Key Terms • Open Rate: Number of emails opened divided by the number of emails delivered (multiply by 100 to express the result as a percentage) • Click-Through: A prospect takes an action and clicks on a link • Click-Through Rate: Number of responses divided by the number of emails opened • Hard Bounce/Soft Bounce: A "hard bounce" indicates a permanent failure due to a non-existent address or a blocking condition by the receiver; a "soft bounce" indicates a temporary failure due to a full mailbox or an unavailable server • Unsubscribe: Canceling a service (e.g., an email newsletter or inclusion on a mailing list) 37
  • 39. COMMUNICATIONS>EFFECTIVENESS Effectiveness of Email Campaigns 2010 Average Open, Click, Bounce and Abuse Complaint Rates by Industry (%) Industry Open Click Soft Hard Abuse Unsubscribes Rate Rate Bounces Bounces Complaints Financial Services 20.9 2.5 2.8 4.0 .06 .03 Retail 27.6 5.8 1.5 2.8 .08 .42 Airlines & Travel 25.0 5.0 2.2 3.7 .10 .40 Grocery Stores 36.6 7.9 .84 2.0 .09 .63 Hotels 27.5 7.2 2.9 5.3 .08 .50 Restaurants 26.2 3.4 1.3 3.4 .08 .41 Source: Extrapolated from MailChimp‟s reporting of these rates based on 233 million emails sent in different campaigns 2009-20010 38
  • 40. COMMUNICATIONS>EFFECTIVENESS Even a 2.1% Opt-Out Rate Should Prompt Efforts to Improve Communications On an annual basis, assuming 13 campaigns, a 2.1% Opt-Out rate per campaign will yield a 45% opt-out/invalid rate. Example of a Campaign Beginning with 10,000 potentially Loyal Customers 3 Mos Out 6 Mos Out 9 Mos Out 12 Mos Out 10000 7500 become become 6500 5800 7500 6500 become Becomes 5800 5500 45% Effective Opt-Out Rate Source: Numerical example is extrapolated and derived from data included in the MineThatData Newsletter March 2007 39
  • 41. Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communication 2010 IMPROVING LOYALTY 40
  • 42. IMPROVING>DEFINITIONS Communication Tools are Used to Engender Loyalty We Consider Five Aspects of Improving Customer Loyalty 1. Rewards Programs 2. Traditional Communications Programs 3. Innovative use of Web 2.0 to Engender Loyalty 4. Use of Loyalty Solutions IT for Segmentation and Targeting 5. Importance of Digital Marketing in 2010 and Beyond 41
  • 43. IMPROVING>REWARDS Loyalty Models Focused on Rewards Become Ubiquitous (Especially in Financial Services) Competition Model Description Advantages Disadvantages Proprietary Rewards Programs • Control • Cost Rewards Programs sponsored by a Bank that • Solution flexibility offer a blend of from Fixed cost Merchandise, T&E and / or structure Cash Back Rewards for spending. Co-Brand: General T&E and Airline • Targeted • Dependence on Airlines / T&E programs that have linked • Shared promotion Partners Rewards Programs Travel Rewards with costs • Need for market card usage. focus is heightened Retail Private Label or Co-Brand • Targeted • Mixed ability to Rewards Programs Programs that attempt to • Shared promotion capture general capture lion's share of costs with Spend category Spend. Co-Brand partner • Transaction data Source: TowerGroup, MasterCard Advisors 42
  • 44. IMPROVING>COMMUNICATIONS Traditional Communications Programs to Improve Loyalty Work and Improve Retention When an economic downturn limits sales, Lifecycle Management Strategies keep Loyal Customers involved with the brand. Five Traditional Means to Keep in Touch with Customers 1. Program Announcements that display news and program alerts at specified times to specified participants 2. Collateral Materials such as enrollment forms, FAQ sheets, member cards, brochures and inserts 3. HTML email and promotional Web sites 4. Newsletters – both print and e-mail 5. Personalized direct mail (ex. - welcome letters, printed statements) 43
  • 45. IMPROVING>COMMUNICATIONS Innovative Strategies that Take Advantage of Web 2.0 also Engender Loyalty Landing pages communicate regulatory changes and prevent opt-outs by offering alternative products or reduced contact frequency. • Web Content Management provides 24/7 control over content and messages • Landing Pages can be personalized and used intelligently to reduce opt-out rates at the margins • Integrated email tools deliver customers personalized "blast" HTML messages and event-triggered emails (i.e., "Congratulations" for reaching a goal, or “you haven‟t used your frequent miles, act now”) • RSS Feeds, Tweets, iAPPS provide for Customer Communication that is faster than email • RSS Feeds, Tweets, iAPPS provide for recap messages that summarize weekly communications or extend new offers 44
  • 46. IMPROVING>SEGMENTATION Leaders Segment Customers and Conduct Highly Targeted Campaigns Using IT • Customers‟ interests and transactional behavior are analyzed in order to group them into segments • Analytics are used to test campaigns, identify trends and compare groups or segments • Demographic and transactional behavior is used to target segments across multiple channels both traditional and emerging (e.g., emails, personalized landing pages, RSS feeds and Tweets) • Loyalty Solutions that perform these functions are developed in-house, acquired from third party vendors, hosted at third parties and accessed in a ASP model, or can be outsourced • US$2 billion+ is spent annually on Loyalty Solutions and the Programs they support 45
  • 47. IMPROVING>SEGMENTATION Targeting Increases levels of “Relevancy” to Maximize Returns in a Bad Economy PURCHASE-BASED CLUSTER ACTUAL CHANNEL SEGMENTATION PROFILING PREFERENCES ACTIONS What are they like? How best Which segments? Where do they shop? What do they like? to reach them? Define segments Use Analytics to Leverage Merchant Design integrated based on the types understand: Aggregation plan to target right of transactions Capabilities to message to the right • Demographics and/or purchases examine Spend: customer through the • Attitudes right channel. • 7,000+ merchants • Preferences • Mail or Email • Preferences • Propensity to Buy • Web • Patterns • RSS • Combinations • Tweets 46
  • 48. IMPROVING>DIGITAL Digital Marketing Matters in 2010 and Beyond Online spending is only about 5% of ad dollars today but is projected to reach 21% of US marketing dollars by 2014 (US$55 billion).* • Two thirds of US consumers are online • Mobile and internet technologies are being adopted even faster outside the US • Digital Marketing campaigns are measurable (assuming data is reliable) • Online tools and analytics are better for direct response • Online campaigns may generate more immediate sales • Online tools and analytics are less expensive than traditional methods • Numerous Third Party Solutions are available to help manage digital campaigns, determine their effectiveness and target dollars Source: Forrester Research,* Introduction to Digital Marketing (Walter Kitchenman) 47
  • 49. Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communication 2010 SUMMARY 48
  • 50. SUMMARY>DEVELOPMENTS Key Developments • Economic downturn leads successful brands to focus on Loyalty Program Members, who in turn provide more than 50% of revenues • Small improvements at the margin yield large results over the course of many campaigns (e.g., a 2.1% opt-out rate may be 45% annualized) • In Cards, the biggest sector in terms of Loyalty Programs, Debit surpassed Credit in the US in 2009 and are major part of Rewards‟ universe • Regulatory changes and possible fee increases impact Cards and Financial Services require a Communications Strategy to limit opt-outs via well-designed inserts, email campaigns and targeted landing pages • Emerging apps like iAPPS, Tweets and social networking keep companies involved with customers until economic circumstances improve • Online channels dominate expected investments as most marketers plan to use digital marketing and networking tools to grow Loyalty Programs 49
  • 51. For More Info – http://www.linkedin.com/in/wkitchenman Walter Kitchenman is an author and consultant on strategic issues in financial services. He spent more than a decade as an international banker in Latin America and Europe and helped launch the leading boutique advisory firm covering the strategic use of IT. Most recently he was VP in charge of knowledge management at MasterCard Worldwide. He has a graduate degree from Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) and BA with special honors from the Elliot School of George Washington University. 2010 Walter Kitchenman wkitchenman@hotmail.com
  • 52. Trends in Loyalty and Customer Communication 2010 Defining Loyalty, Measuring Loyalty, Optimizing Loyalty September 2010 Walter Kitchenman wkitchenman@hotmail.com