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Redistricting in Wisconsin

                      Presentation to the
       Wisconsin Land Information Association Conference
                       February 16, 2012


Sarah Kemp, Researcher
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Phone: 608-256-6781
Email: kemp@wisc.edu
Redistricting in Wisconsin
• Summary of the State Population

• Review of Redistricting History

• Research Question

• Data and Methodology

• Results

• Future Research
Total Population for the State of Wisconsin
                                      by Race/Ethnicity
                                           2000                    2010             2000 to 2010 Change
                                      Number      Percent     Number      Percent     Number        Percent
Total Population                    5,363,675     100.0%    5,686,986     100.0%      323,311         6.0%
Race/Ethnicity
One race                            5,296,780      98.8%    5,582,669      98.2%     285,889          5.4%
  Non-Hispanic White                4,769,857      88.9%    4,902,067      86.2%     132,210          2.8%
  African American                    304,460       5.7%      359,148       6.3%      54,688         18.0%
  American Indian                      47,228       0.9%       54,526       1.0%       7,298         15.5%
  Asian                                88,763       1.7%      129,234       2.3%      40,471         45.6%
 Hispanic or Latino (of any race)     192,921       3.6%      336,056       5.9%     143,135         74.2%


    The percentage of non-Hispanic white decreased while the percentage of
    all other race/ethnic groups increased from 2000 to 2010.

    All race/ethnic population groups increased from 2000 to 2010.

    Non-Hispanic white population increased the least (3%) while Hispanic
    population increased the most (74%).
Redistricting
Redistricting prior to 2011
State Statutes (1980s) - Reflect a good faith effort to apportion the
legislature giving due consideration to the maintenance of the integrity of
political subdivisions and of communities of interest. [4.001(3)]

Assembly and Senate districts were determined by the courts and not the
legislature in the 1990s and 2000s.


Summer of 2011
Act 39 (August 8, 2011) Local Redistricting - Wards and Supervisory Districts

Act 43 (August 23, 2011) Redistricting of Senate and Assembly Districts
Redistricting
Act 39 Section 5.15 (1) (a) 2. indicates that wards are to be
created in such a way that aldermanic and supervisory
districts can be created allowing enhanced participation by
members of racial or language minority groups.

Act 43 created the 2011 assembly and senate districts and
repealed the language regarding communities of interest.

2001     Blocks              Wards               Legislative Districts

2011     Blocks          Legislative Districts           Wards
Research Question
How does the concentration of racially and ethnically
distinct groups within Wisconsin’s legislative districts
compare between 2001 and 2011?

Data
• Census Block data, 2000 and 2010
• Assembly District data, 2002 and 2011

Methodology
• ArcGIS
Percent Population (over 18 years old)
                  by Race/Ethnicity
                                         Majority Race/Ethnicity, 2000
                     Non-Hispanic African                                        Native
                     White         American      Hispanic       Asian            American
Non-Hispanic White           94.0%        18.2%           26.2%          27.2%          14.9%
African American              1.6%        73.7%            7.5%           9.6%            0.1%
Hispanic                      2.1%          4.5%          61.1%           6.5%            1.7%
Asian                         1.3%          2.1%           2.6%          54.1%            0.0%
Native American               0.7%          0.6%           1.7%           0.9%          82.9%
Total                        99.8%        99.0%           99.1%          98.3%          99.6%

                                         Majority Race/Ethnicity, 2010
                     Non-Hispanic African                                        Native
                     White         American      Hispanic       Asian            American
Non-Hispanic White           91.5%        15.6%           23.0%          24.1%          13.4%
African American              2.1%        75.0%            9.2%          11.6%            0.3%
Hispanic                      3.3%          5.1%          63.7%           5.3%            2.4%
Asian                         2.0%          2.8%           2.3%          57.3%            0.1%
Native American               0.8%          0.6%           1.4%           0.8%          83.4%
Total                        99.8%        99.1%           99.6%          99.0%          99.7%
Majority Race/Ethnicity, 2000
                                                                          By Census Block
                     100.0%

                                                                                                                   Non-Hispanic White
                      90.0%
                                                                                                                   African American

                      80.0%
                                                                                                                   Hispanic

                      70.0%                                                                                        Asian

                                                                                                                   Native American
                      60.0%
Percent Population




                      50.0%


                      40.0%


                      30.0%


                      20.0%


                      10.0%


                       0.0%
                              Non-Hispanic White   African American               Hispanic                 Asian                      Native American
                                                                      Race/Ethnicity Majority Population
Majority Race/Ethnicity, 2010
                                                                          By Census Block
                     100.0%

                                                                                                                   Non-Hispanic White
                      90.0%
                                                                                                                   African American

                      80.0%
                                                                                                                   Hispanic

                      70.0%                                                                                        Asian

                                                                                                                   Native American
                      60.0%
Percent Population




                      50.0%


                      40.0%


                      30.0%


                      20.0%


                      10.0%


                       0.0%
                              Non-Hispanic White   African American               Hispanic                 Asian                      Native American
                                                                      Race/Ethnicity Majority Population
2000 Minority Population (over 18) by Census Block
2010 Minority Population (over 18) by Census Block
Results
             Majority Minority Population by Assembly District, 2000

                          African                                      Native
                          American      Hispanic       Asian           American
     Non-Hispanic White           18.3%          26.5%         28.6%          14.9%
     African American             74.4%           7.6%         10.1%            0.1%
     Hispanic                      4.6%          61.6%          3.3%            1.7%
     Asian                         2.1%           2.6%         57.0%            0.0%
     Native American               0.6%           1.7%          0.9%          83.3%
     District Count                  64             77            79              47

              Majority Minority Populaton by Assembly District, 2010

                          African                                      Native
                          American      Hispanic       Asian           American
     Non-Hispanic White           15.7%          23.1%         24.3%          13.5%
     African American             75.7%           9.2%         11.7%            0.3%
     Hispanic                      5.1%          64.0%          5.3%            2.4%
     Asian                         2.8%           2.3%         57.8%            0.1%
     Native American               0.6%           1.4%          0.8%          98.5%
     District Count                  93             94            92              74
Results

           Top 5 Assembly Districts with Greatest Population Totals

 African American         Hispanic                Asian               Native American
 2000       2010       2000      2010      2000           2010        2000      2010
       10         10         8         8          77             77        36         36
       16         16         9         9          18             11        74         74
       17         18        61        66          78             18         5         87
       11         17        64        47          85             16        34          5
       18         11        88        65          81             98        92          6
Findings
• Percent minority population increased while percent non-Hispanic
  white population decreased from 2000 to 2010.

• Persons of color appear to be more dispersed throughout the
  State of Wisconsin from 2000 to 2010.

• Percent population (over 18) of majority minority population has
  increased for African American, Hispanic and native American
  populations within assembly districts.

• Asian American percent population (over 18) remained the same
  within assembly districts.
Future Research
• Evaluate population in assembly districts with a
  higher concentration of minority populations.

• Compare 2000 & 2010 minority population by local
  wards.

• Compare 2010 population by 2001 assembly districts
  to 2000 population by 2001 assembly districts.
THANK YOU !

           Sarah Kemp
 Applied Population Laboratory
University of Wisconsin-Madison
         608-256-6781
        kemp@wisc.edu

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Redistricting

  • 1. Redistricting in Wisconsin Presentation to the Wisconsin Land Information Association Conference February 16, 2012 Sarah Kemp, Researcher University of Wisconsin-Madison Phone: 608-256-6781 Email: kemp@wisc.edu
  • 2. Redistricting in Wisconsin • Summary of the State Population • Review of Redistricting History • Research Question • Data and Methodology • Results • Future Research
  • 3. Total Population for the State of Wisconsin by Race/Ethnicity 2000 2010 2000 to 2010 Change Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Total Population 5,363,675 100.0% 5,686,986 100.0% 323,311 6.0% Race/Ethnicity One race 5,296,780 98.8% 5,582,669 98.2% 285,889 5.4% Non-Hispanic White 4,769,857 88.9% 4,902,067 86.2% 132,210 2.8% African American 304,460 5.7% 359,148 6.3% 54,688 18.0% American Indian 47,228 0.9% 54,526 1.0% 7,298 15.5% Asian 88,763 1.7% 129,234 2.3% 40,471 45.6% Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 192,921 3.6% 336,056 5.9% 143,135 74.2%  The percentage of non-Hispanic white decreased while the percentage of all other race/ethnic groups increased from 2000 to 2010.  All race/ethnic population groups increased from 2000 to 2010.  Non-Hispanic white population increased the least (3%) while Hispanic population increased the most (74%).
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Redistricting Redistricting prior to 2011 State Statutes (1980s) - Reflect a good faith effort to apportion the legislature giving due consideration to the maintenance of the integrity of political subdivisions and of communities of interest. [4.001(3)] Assembly and Senate districts were determined by the courts and not the legislature in the 1990s and 2000s. Summer of 2011 Act 39 (August 8, 2011) Local Redistricting - Wards and Supervisory Districts Act 43 (August 23, 2011) Redistricting of Senate and Assembly Districts
  • 7. Redistricting Act 39 Section 5.15 (1) (a) 2. indicates that wards are to be created in such a way that aldermanic and supervisory districts can be created allowing enhanced participation by members of racial or language minority groups. Act 43 created the 2011 assembly and senate districts and repealed the language regarding communities of interest. 2001 Blocks Wards Legislative Districts 2011 Blocks Legislative Districts Wards
  • 8. Research Question How does the concentration of racially and ethnically distinct groups within Wisconsin’s legislative districts compare between 2001 and 2011? Data • Census Block data, 2000 and 2010 • Assembly District data, 2002 and 2011 Methodology • ArcGIS
  • 9. Percent Population (over 18 years old) by Race/Ethnicity Majority Race/Ethnicity, 2000 Non-Hispanic African Native White American Hispanic Asian American Non-Hispanic White 94.0% 18.2% 26.2% 27.2% 14.9% African American 1.6% 73.7% 7.5% 9.6% 0.1% Hispanic 2.1% 4.5% 61.1% 6.5% 1.7% Asian 1.3% 2.1% 2.6% 54.1% 0.0% Native American 0.7% 0.6% 1.7% 0.9% 82.9% Total 99.8% 99.0% 99.1% 98.3% 99.6% Majority Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Non-Hispanic African Native White American Hispanic Asian American Non-Hispanic White 91.5% 15.6% 23.0% 24.1% 13.4% African American 2.1% 75.0% 9.2% 11.6% 0.3% Hispanic 3.3% 5.1% 63.7% 5.3% 2.4% Asian 2.0% 2.8% 2.3% 57.3% 0.1% Native American 0.8% 0.6% 1.4% 0.8% 83.4% Total 99.8% 99.1% 99.6% 99.0% 99.7%
  • 10. Majority Race/Ethnicity, 2000 By Census Block 100.0% Non-Hispanic White 90.0% African American 80.0% Hispanic 70.0% Asian Native American 60.0% Percent Population 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Non-Hispanic White African American Hispanic Asian Native American Race/Ethnicity Majority Population
  • 11. Majority Race/Ethnicity, 2010 By Census Block 100.0% Non-Hispanic White 90.0% African American 80.0% Hispanic 70.0% Asian Native American 60.0% Percent Population 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Non-Hispanic White African American Hispanic Asian Native American Race/Ethnicity Majority Population
  • 12. 2000 Minority Population (over 18) by Census Block
  • 13. 2010 Minority Population (over 18) by Census Block
  • 14. Results Majority Minority Population by Assembly District, 2000 African Native American Hispanic Asian American Non-Hispanic White 18.3% 26.5% 28.6% 14.9% African American 74.4% 7.6% 10.1% 0.1% Hispanic 4.6% 61.6% 3.3% 1.7% Asian 2.1% 2.6% 57.0% 0.0% Native American 0.6% 1.7% 0.9% 83.3% District Count 64 77 79 47 Majority Minority Populaton by Assembly District, 2010 African Native American Hispanic Asian American Non-Hispanic White 15.7% 23.1% 24.3% 13.5% African American 75.7% 9.2% 11.7% 0.3% Hispanic 5.1% 64.0% 5.3% 2.4% Asian 2.8% 2.3% 57.8% 0.1% Native American 0.6% 1.4% 0.8% 98.5% District Count 93 94 92 74
  • 15. Results Top 5 Assembly Districts with Greatest Population Totals African American Hispanic Asian Native American 2000 2010 2000 2010 2000 2010 2000 2010 10 10 8 8 77 77 36 36 16 16 9 9 18 11 74 74 17 18 61 66 78 18 5 87 11 17 64 47 85 16 34 5 18 11 88 65 81 98 92 6
  • 16. Findings • Percent minority population increased while percent non-Hispanic white population decreased from 2000 to 2010. • Persons of color appear to be more dispersed throughout the State of Wisconsin from 2000 to 2010. • Percent population (over 18) of majority minority population has increased for African American, Hispanic and native American populations within assembly districts. • Asian American percent population (over 18) remained the same within assembly districts.
  • 17. Future Research • Evaluate population in assembly districts with a higher concentration of minority populations. • Compare 2000 & 2010 minority population by local wards. • Compare 2010 population by 2001 assembly districts to 2000 population by 2001 assembly districts.
  • 18. THANK YOU ! Sarah Kemp Applied Population Laboratory University of Wisconsin-Madison 608-256-6781 kemp@wisc.edu

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. The Applied Population Lab is a group of research and outreach professionals located within the Department of Community and Environmental Sociology at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. We specialize in providing demographic information to individuals and groups in the State of Wisconsin and elsewhere. We have been providing small area population estimates and projections since the mid-1960s.Today I will be discussing redistricting in the State of Wisconsin and how race/ethnic groups are concentrated within the Assembly Districts.
  2. Overall State Population 2000 & 2010 by race/ethnicity.
  3. There are several components to the redistricting statutes that were adopted in the 1980s. The part of the statutes that I’m interested in for this research states that assembly and senate districts maintain the integrity of the political subdivisions & of communities of interest.In the summer of 2011 these laws were rewritten.
  4. Act 39 & Act 43So what did this mean for the redistricting process. . .In 2001, local governments utilized WISE-LR to create wards. After this process was complete ward boundaries were given to the legislature.In 2011, local governments had already begun the process of creating ward boundaries (using WISE-LR) when the legislature adopted these new laws, Act 39 and Act 43, creating the senate and assembly districts.
  5. My purpose today is to investigate how do racially and ethnically distinct groups within Wisconsin’s legislative districts compare between 2001 and 2011?The intent of the law has been to create districts that will enhance participation of different racial or ethnic minority groups in the political process. I’m interested in making this comparison to see if the outcome from two different processes created districts that would then provide an opportunity for participation by members of racial or language minority groups.Data - Shapefiles downloaded from the Legislative Technology Services Bureau: http://legis.wisconsin.gov/ltsb/redistricting/data.htm
  6. Change in population (over 18 yrs old) from 2000 to 2010Non-Hispanic White Majority - % White has decreasedwhile three other race/ethnic groups (African American, Hispanic, Asian) has increased from 2000 to 2010. American Indian has remained relatively the same.
  7. Now if we look at the same information in a graph form some additional observations can be made. Of the different race/ethnic groups in the State of Wisconsin White and to some degree Native Americans are less diverse than African American, Hispanic , and Asian.
  8. Similar patterns from 2000 to 2010. Non-Hispanic white decreases while other race and ethnic groups increase.More diversity within majority minority populations or is the population more dispersed throughout the state?
  9. Map of 2000 Minority Blocks
  10. Map of 2010 Minority Blocks