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A FUNNY SOLUTION


     Xiaolin Lu
      April 1, 2003
What is this all about?


 Media companies (own or don’t own
  distribution infrastructure) want to grown
  business by directly connecting to users.
 Challenges are to overcome limitations of
  incumbents and embedded base (if own).
 Over-the-top was the idea then and is now
  widely adopted.
CHALLENGES
      Content           E-Commerce                     Investment


     $                                 $
                     Networks                                  Enablers


                      Customers

   Network Independent Content Distribution: good business model
    but too early to materialize due to the limited control of suppliers and
    customers
        Low switching cost
        Low barrier for substitutes
        Limited power of changing customer behavior
MIGRATION AND EXPANSION:
                      THREE-
                      THREE-ARM GIANT
                                  Content
                                  E-commerce



     Arm One                         Arm Two                           Arm Three
   Vertical integration        Network-inside-network,          Control the demarcation
through owned network          utilizing channels (6MHz          points while utilizing
                                       with AT&T)                  others’ networks



                                 Walled Garden
                   End-to-end control, aggregation, and distribution




   Control the customer presence and network access points
         Aggregation = Consumption = Revenue
         High cost for switching = High barrier fro substitutes
         Power of influence buyers and suppliers’ behavior
POSITIONING

                                               Critical
                                              Transition
                                                Period
                         #1
Stickiness




                                                           #2




                              Stickiness
                    #2                                     #3

                                                       #1
             #3

                  Cost                     Time
THE CONTROL
  3rd
parties
                                                           Owned
            Walled Garden
          Content& E-commerce
          Aggregation for ASPs
          ETE control
                                  POP
                                        Metro                ATT
                                                                     HG
                                         BB

                                                                      Piggy-
                                                           Others     back to
            Strict SLA                                                existing
             & Co-Lo                                                  equip +
                                                                      owned
                                                                      HG


         Utilize owned & others infrastructure & equipment
              Cost sharing
         Control the “Presence”
              Establish a logical network (yellow lines and dots)
ARM ONE: OWNED CABLE NETWORK


                DOCSIS            Already Upgraded DOCSIS          Current
                                                                    STB
                                     No Change
 Common
                                                                 Home         Home
Back-office
                                                                Gateway      Network
 Operation
                    MPEG           To Be Upgraded     MPEG         Low-cost
                   Ethernet         Digital Cable   Ethernet        STB




                                             DTV
                     Abandon
                   old upstream



             Digital Cable
                   Simple, low-cost, more bandwidth capacity
             More functions in customer primes equipment
                   Gain more control of customers
FEATURES OF DIGITAL CABLE
                                                                                Multiple
                                                                             Low-cost STBs
 Current
6MHz QAM
                                                                            Home Gateway
                                Digital                                   with multiple tuners

                                Cable
Wideband                                                                      Home Gateway
  QAM                                                                        with Single tuner



       Less stringent EOL requirements
            Low-cost design & deployment
            Low-cost equipment (amplifier, optics); Low power consumption
       Simplify HE equipment
            Common digital RF for all services (eliminate analog equipments)
       Move to wideband RF subcarrier
            Flexible and better bandwidth utilization (best statistic multiplexing)
            Easy A/D: digital baseband over fiber link
       Home networking for in-house distribution
            Create control and stickiness
ARM TWO: NETWORK-INSIDE-NETWORK
         NETWORK-INSIDE-

                                                     Common STB
             Headend
                                                     Use EPG to link to
              Data
                                 6MHz   STB           the 6MHz channel
             Stream   M QAM                          Walled Garden
                      U QAM                           inside 6MHz

Metro                 X QAM
 BB                                                  Common STB
                                 6MHz   STB HG       Ethernet to HG
              Dedicated                              Coax & others for
                Port                                  home network
                          QAM
                      M                  STB
                          QAM                        Stand alone HG
                      U
                      X   QAM    6MHz                Fully controlled
                                          HG          home networking




       Establish Content Distribution Infrastructure
            Co-location & SLA
       Define solution for signal injection at cable headend
ARM THREE: COMMODATIZE THE PIPE

             Content POP            Metro           HE     ACCESS   HG
                                     BB

                                                                            Value
                                                                            Commodity




                                                                    CM
                          POP       Metro           HE     ACCESS          HG
                                                                    DSL
                                     BB
  Walled Garden
Content & E-commerce
Aggregation for ASPs           Strict SLA
Control & management            & Co-Lo

                   Network                                               Network
                   Operation                 Build-in control            Operation
                    System                   mechanisms                   System
COMPARISONS
                      OPTION 1                     OPTION 2                      OPTION 3
                    Lowest                    Medium                        High
    COST            Utilizing existing        Utilizing existing tuner      New equipment
                     equipment
                    Low                       Control 6MHz                  Fully control
 CONTROL            Difficult to create                                      Unbundled-loop
                     stickiness                                                model
                     Difficult                  Utilize HPNA & wireless        Can use all means
   HOME
                                                                         
                                               Maybe difficult to use        Can re-use in-house
NETWORKING                                      in-house coax                  coax

    Legal           Easy                      Medium                        Difficult

                     Now                        Need development               Work with home
Time to Market
                                                                         
                                                                               network vendors
                       Current STB does not have the flexibility
   Issues              Next generation STB (DCT5K) is not ready
                       Stand alone HG may make more sense
SUMMARY


   Walled                Metro                                          Home
   Garden POP                               HE    ACCESS          HG
                         & BB                                          Network
   + NOS




 Content             Collaborate   with     Owned   network:    Work with home
  Aggregation         carriers to              Digital Cable       network vendors
  strategy            establish Content       Others: network-    to enable the NOS
 Network             Distribution             inside-network      and establish in-
  Operation System    Platform                                     house distribution
  for ETE control       Co-location                               and control
  (work with HG)        Managed  network                          platform
                         access (SLA)
WORKING STRUCTURE



  Content            E-Commerse

   Network Solution
                                  Content
                       Home
Owned    Network-
        In-network    Network
                                Distribution
                                 Platform

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A Funny Solution - over the top

  • 1. A FUNNY SOLUTION Xiaolin Lu April 1, 2003
  • 2. What is this all about?  Media companies (own or don’t own distribution infrastructure) want to grown business by directly connecting to users.  Challenges are to overcome limitations of incumbents and embedded base (if own).  Over-the-top was the idea then and is now widely adopted.
  • 3. CHALLENGES Content E-Commerce Investment $ $ Networks Enablers Customers  Network Independent Content Distribution: good business model but too early to materialize due to the limited control of suppliers and customers  Low switching cost  Low barrier for substitutes  Limited power of changing customer behavior
  • 4. MIGRATION AND EXPANSION: THREE- THREE-ARM GIANT  Content  E-commerce Arm One Arm Two Arm Three Vertical integration Network-inside-network, Control the demarcation through owned network utilizing channels (6MHz points while utilizing with AT&T) others’ networks Walled Garden End-to-end control, aggregation, and distribution  Control the customer presence and network access points  Aggregation = Consumption = Revenue  High cost for switching = High barrier fro substitutes  Power of influence buyers and suppliers’ behavior
  • 5. POSITIONING Critical Transition Period #1 Stickiness #2 Stickiness #2 #3 #1 #3 Cost Time
  • 6. THE CONTROL 3rd parties Owned Walled Garden Content& E-commerce Aggregation for ASPs ETE control POP Metro ATT HG BB Piggy- Others back to Strict SLA existing & Co-Lo equip + owned HG  Utilize owned & others infrastructure & equipment  Cost sharing  Control the “Presence”  Establish a logical network (yellow lines and dots)
  • 7. ARM ONE: OWNED CABLE NETWORK DOCSIS Already Upgraded DOCSIS Current STB  No Change Common Home Home Back-office Gateway Network Operation MPEG To Be Upgraded MPEG Low-cost Ethernet  Digital Cable Ethernet STB DTV Abandon old upstream  Digital Cable  Simple, low-cost, more bandwidth capacity  More functions in customer primes equipment  Gain more control of customers
  • 8. FEATURES OF DIGITAL CABLE Multiple Low-cost STBs Current 6MHz QAM Home Gateway Digital with multiple tuners Cable Wideband Home Gateway QAM with Single tuner  Less stringent EOL requirements  Low-cost design & deployment  Low-cost equipment (amplifier, optics); Low power consumption  Simplify HE equipment  Common digital RF for all services (eliminate analog equipments)  Move to wideband RF subcarrier  Flexible and better bandwidth utilization (best statistic multiplexing)  Easy A/D: digital baseband over fiber link  Home networking for in-house distribution  Create control and stickiness
  • 9. ARM TWO: NETWORK-INSIDE-NETWORK NETWORK-INSIDE-  Common STB Headend  Use EPG to link to Data 6MHz STB the 6MHz channel Stream M QAM  Walled Garden U QAM inside 6MHz Metro X QAM BB  Common STB 6MHz STB HG  Ethernet to HG Dedicated  Coax & others for Port home network QAM M STB QAM  Stand alone HG U X QAM 6MHz  Fully controlled HG home networking  Establish Content Distribution Infrastructure  Co-location & SLA  Define solution for signal injection at cable headend
  • 10. ARM THREE: COMMODATIZE THE PIPE Content POP Metro HE ACCESS HG BB Value Commodity CM POP Metro HE ACCESS HG DSL BB Walled Garden Content & E-commerce Aggregation for ASPs Strict SLA Control & management & Co-Lo Network Network Operation Build-in control Operation System mechanisms System
  • 11. COMPARISONS OPTION 1 OPTION 2 OPTION 3  Lowest  Medium  High COST  Utilizing existing  Utilizing existing tuner  New equipment equipment  Low  Control 6MHz  Fully control CONTROL  Difficult to create  Unbundled-loop stickiness model Difficult Utilize HPNA & wireless Can use all means HOME     Maybe difficult to use  Can re-use in-house NETWORKING in-house coax coax Legal  Easy  Medium  Difficult Now Need development Work with home Time to Market    network vendors  Current STB does not have the flexibility Issues  Next generation STB (DCT5K) is not ready  Stand alone HG may make more sense
  • 12. SUMMARY Walled Metro Home Garden POP HE ACCESS HG & BB Network + NOS  Content  Collaborate with  Owned network:  Work with home Aggregation carriers to Digital Cable network vendors strategy establish Content  Others: network- to enable the NOS  Network Distribution inside-network and establish in- Operation System Platform house distribution for ETE control  Co-location and control (work with HG)  Managed network platform access (SLA)
  • 13. WORKING STRUCTURE Content E-Commerse Network Solution Content Home Owned Network- In-network Network Distribution Platform