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German solar PV development
and subsidy policy
Ray Loa
1
What is in your mind when people talk
about solar energy?
• Solar energy has huge potential so we should all
focus on solar
• Solar energy is not efficient so we should focus
on other renewable energy sources instead
2
Germany set solar PV power record by
supplying 40% of total electricity demand.
• On July 7th, 1:45pm, PV power
supplied 40% of the total
electricity demand in Germany
(23.8GW)
• 5% of the electricity came from
PV in 2012
~10 times the world average
(0.5%)
>100 times compared to Taiwan
(0.03%)
3
Source: SMA Solar Technology; Taiwan Power Company; Deutshe Bank
Grid parity is a key concept in renewable
energy development.
• PV installation will boom after
grid parity is reached
– residential > commercial > industrial
• Italy and India have reached
grid parity, according to
Deutsche Bank, Germany and
Japan are close
• Before grid parity is reached, PV
development is driven by
subsidies, such as Feed-in-tariff
(FIT)
4
Source: US Department of Energy; Deutsche Bank
Grid parity definition:
LCoE <= Electricity rate
Phase I
(2000-2009)
Phase II
(2010-2011)
Phase III
(2012-)
Objective
Ground-mounted Ground-mounted Rooftop
PV system price
(Euro/Wp)
3-5 2 1.6
FIT(ct/kWh) 46-62 24-39 13.5-19.5
FIT rate degression Flat monthly Flat monthly Flat monthly +
Volume-based
Threshold No No 52GW by 2020
German FIT policy is divided into three phases by
different objectives and FIT designs.
5
Source: Deutsche Bank; BSW-Solar;Apricum GmbH
German FIT policy successfully drove
domestic PV installations.
6
Cumulative installed PV capacity and YoY% in Germany (2000-2012)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
YoY%
CumulativeinstalledPVcapacity[MWp]
Year
Source: Bundesministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz und Reaktorsicherheit - BMU
Taiwan has launched Million Rooftop PVs
Promotion with FIT and tender design.
• 130MW of total PV installation is targeted in 2013, which is divided into non-
tendered (40MW) and tendered (90MW)
• The objective is first rooftop, then ground-mounted PV installation
• Appealing FIT is expected to drive PV installation (IRR = 10%, PP = 9yr)
• Threshold yearly installation and tender process are adopted
7
Installation
scale
Phase I
(Jan. 1st-Jun. 30th)
[NTD/kWh]
Phase II
(Jul 1st-Dec. 31st)
[NTD/kWh]
Tender process
Rooftop 1-10kWh 8.3971 8.1836 No
10-100KWh 7.5432 7.3297 No
100-500kWh 7.1162 6.9027 Yes
>500kWh 6.3334 5.9776 Yes
Ground-mounted >1kWh 5.9776 5.6218 Yes
Source: Taiwan Million Rooftop PVs Promotion Office
Taiwan PV subsidy policy started slow but is
equipped with comprehensive design.
• High FIT rate at front will boost PV installation, and FIT rate
degression will take place along the timeline
• Threshold yearly installation and tender process are adopted to
control quantity and quality of PV installaiton
• Rooftop PV is targeted as main objective considering Taiwan’s land
limitation, remote PV is recommended
• Other issues as energy transition period and energy storage are
needed to be tackled along the PV development
8
Back up slides
9
30% of the solar energy in one second can
supply one year global electricity demand.
10
Source: KTH Renewable Energy Technology course
German PV system price dropped by 50%
from 2006-2011 with continued momentum.
11
Efficiency roadmap of solar cell technologies.
12
Source: NREL
Italy has reached grid parity by high
power price and high energy yield.
13
Solar PV power has flatten the load
curve in Germany.
14
Source: Energy Rebellion

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羅瑞瑜:German solar pv development and subsidy policy @ TEDx溫羅汀 Pre-event

  • 1. German solar PV development and subsidy policy Ray Loa 1
  • 2. What is in your mind when people talk about solar energy? • Solar energy has huge potential so we should all focus on solar • Solar energy is not efficient so we should focus on other renewable energy sources instead 2
  • 3. Germany set solar PV power record by supplying 40% of total electricity demand. • On July 7th, 1:45pm, PV power supplied 40% of the total electricity demand in Germany (23.8GW) • 5% of the electricity came from PV in 2012 ~10 times the world average (0.5%) >100 times compared to Taiwan (0.03%) 3 Source: SMA Solar Technology; Taiwan Power Company; Deutshe Bank
  • 4. Grid parity is a key concept in renewable energy development. • PV installation will boom after grid parity is reached – residential > commercial > industrial • Italy and India have reached grid parity, according to Deutsche Bank, Germany and Japan are close • Before grid parity is reached, PV development is driven by subsidies, such as Feed-in-tariff (FIT) 4 Source: US Department of Energy; Deutsche Bank Grid parity definition: LCoE <= Electricity rate
  • 5. Phase I (2000-2009) Phase II (2010-2011) Phase III (2012-) Objective Ground-mounted Ground-mounted Rooftop PV system price (Euro/Wp) 3-5 2 1.6 FIT(ct/kWh) 46-62 24-39 13.5-19.5 FIT rate degression Flat monthly Flat monthly Flat monthly + Volume-based Threshold No No 52GW by 2020 German FIT policy is divided into three phases by different objectives and FIT designs. 5 Source: Deutsche Bank; BSW-Solar;Apricum GmbH
  • 6. German FIT policy successfully drove domestic PV installations. 6 Cumulative installed PV capacity and YoY% in Germany (2000-2012) 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 YoY% CumulativeinstalledPVcapacity[MWp] Year Source: Bundesministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz und Reaktorsicherheit - BMU
  • 7. Taiwan has launched Million Rooftop PVs Promotion with FIT and tender design. • 130MW of total PV installation is targeted in 2013, which is divided into non- tendered (40MW) and tendered (90MW) • The objective is first rooftop, then ground-mounted PV installation • Appealing FIT is expected to drive PV installation (IRR = 10%, PP = 9yr) • Threshold yearly installation and tender process are adopted 7 Installation scale Phase I (Jan. 1st-Jun. 30th) [NTD/kWh] Phase II (Jul 1st-Dec. 31st) [NTD/kWh] Tender process Rooftop 1-10kWh 8.3971 8.1836 No 10-100KWh 7.5432 7.3297 No 100-500kWh 7.1162 6.9027 Yes >500kWh 6.3334 5.9776 Yes Ground-mounted >1kWh 5.9776 5.6218 Yes Source: Taiwan Million Rooftop PVs Promotion Office
  • 8. Taiwan PV subsidy policy started slow but is equipped with comprehensive design. • High FIT rate at front will boost PV installation, and FIT rate degression will take place along the timeline • Threshold yearly installation and tender process are adopted to control quantity and quality of PV installaiton • Rooftop PV is targeted as main objective considering Taiwan’s land limitation, remote PV is recommended • Other issues as energy transition period and energy storage are needed to be tackled along the PV development 8
  • 10. 30% of the solar energy in one second can supply one year global electricity demand. 10 Source: KTH Renewable Energy Technology course
  • 11. German PV system price dropped by 50% from 2006-2011 with continued momentum. 11
  • 12. Efficiency roadmap of solar cell technologies. 12 Source: NREL
  • 13. Italy has reached grid parity by high power price and high energy yield. 13
  • 14. Solar PV power has flatten the load curve in Germany. 14 Source: Energy Rebellion