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World Winning Cities   World Winning Cities  Programme      China: Emerging City Winners
 
World Winning Cities in China
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],China: Emerging City Winners
Changing Perceptions  Some things you may know about China…. … ..and some things you probably didn't
The Western View of Chinese Markets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Chinese View of Western Approach ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
But China has come far:  The History of Property Investment 1988 1989 1990 1991 1997 2005 2006 P&G  enter Market/ Land lease system established Shanghai Centre - First real property project Macquarie GPA deal kicks off hard asset investment 1988 1990 2005 The property market since open policy 2003 Asian Financial crisis scares investors away 1997-8
Case Study: Shanghai Centre  (Completed 1990) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Case Study: Plaza 66  (Completed 2001) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Case Study: Morgan Stanley Deal ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Weight of money targeting China ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Weight of Money Targeting China
Foreign Investors in China
2005 ‘Prime’ Real Estate Investment in China Total > US$ 5.5bn Beijing Tianjin Shanghai Hangzhou Nanjing Other Guangzhou/ Guangdong
China - Yield Convergence?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],China: Emerging City Winners
China’s Cities Hierarchy Shanghai, Beijing, Hong Kong Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Macau Chongqing, Chengdu, Tianjin Wuhan, Xi’an, Qingdao, Suzhou Shenyang, Hangzhou, Nanjing, Dalian, Dongguan, Xiamen Harbin, Zhengzhou, Fuzhou Nanning, Wuxi, Changsha Kunming, Jinan, Ningbo, Nanchang Hefei, Changzhou, Changchun II III III II I
Traditional Focus of Economic Activity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Shift in Policy Emphasis onto Tier II cities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Dongguan Qingdao Shenyang Xiamen Suzhou Nanjing Shenzhen Tianjin Dalian Chengdu Xi’an Guangzhou Wuhan Hangzhou Chongqing Shanghai Beijing Hong Kong  Macau Tier I and II Cities: GDP Growth Tier I Tier II % 2005 Strongest Economic Growth in Tier II cities II III
Foreign Investors Move Across China The Beginning:   Hong Kong Wave One:   Beijing, Shanghai Guangzhou Wave Two:   Chengdu, Chongqing, Dalian, Hangzhou, Harbin, Jinan, Macau, Shenyang, Suzhou, Tianjin, Wuhan, Wuxi, Xian, Xiamen
Real Estate Capital Flows move to Tier II cities
Signals of Change: Retailer Expansion
Wal-Mart’s Presence - Over 60 Stores across China   Dalian Qingdao Beijing Tianjin Shanghai Shenyang Xiamen Shenzhen Shantou Dongguan Chongqing Kunming Fuzhou Changsha Wuhan Nanchang Changchun Harbin Jinan Nanjing Nanning Guiyang Taiyuan Source: Wal Mart Website
Macquarie Shopping Mall Portfolio Jinan Harbin Dalian Tianjin Shenyang Nanjing Nanning Changsha Wuhan Beijing Shanghai Guangzhou
Signals of Change: Bank Expansion
Signals of Change: High Tech Expansion
The Investors’ Geography   Taiwan Japan Korea MNCs Xiamen Dalian Qingdao Yangtze River Delta Xiamen II III
China 30: City Evolution Curve
China 30: City Evolution Curve Ningbo Wuxi Fuzhou Jinan Harbin Changchun Zhengzhou Changsha Maturing Shanghai Beijing Zhuhai Wenzhou Lanzhou Urumqi Kunming Hefei Nanchang Nanning Changzhou Growth Early Adopters Watch List Dormant Guangzhou Shenzhen Chengdu Hangzhou Tianjin Chongqing Suzhou Wuhan Nanjing Dalian Shenyang Qingdao Xi’an Xiamen Dongguan Short Term Winners Medium Term Winners Longer Term Winners
Property Opportunities Dormant Early Adopters Growth Property Opportunities Maturing Active Players in the Market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Various Investment opportunities for institutional investors
II III China’s Emerging Tier II Cities   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Dalian Tianjin Chengdu Suzhou Hangzhou
Tier II and |III cities: Drivers of Growth? ,[object Object],Industrial Heritage  Cities Ripple Effect  Cities Port  Cities Gateway  Cities R&D  Cities Administration  Targets  Hi-Tech  Cities Culture  Cities Neighbours  Cities Transportation  Cities
Industrial Heritage Cities Shenyang  &  Changchun ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hi-Tech Cities Dongguan  &  Wuhan ,[object Object],[object Object]
R&D Cities Nanjing  &  Xi’an ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ripple Effect Cities Suzhou, Hangzhou, Wuxi, Changzhou, Hefei & Jinan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Neighbours Dalian, Qingdao, Xiamen & Fuzhou ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Administrative Targets Chengdu, Chongqing & Tianjin ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Port Cities Ningbo ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Transportation Hubs Zhengzhou  &  Nanchang ,[object Object],[object Object]
Gateway Cities Kunming, Harbin & Nanning ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Culture Cities Changsha ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],China: Emerging City Winners
China Logistics  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
China’s 20 Logistics Hotspots
Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research China’s 20 Logistics Hotspots
Bohai Bay 21% Yangtze River  Delta 43% Pearl River Delta 21% Other 15% Survey of 138 Logistics Operators Source:  China Supply Chain Council, Jones Lang LaSalle, 2006 China Warehousing Facilities: Current Activity
China Warehousing Uses Survey of 138 Logistics Operators Source:  China Supply Chain Council, Jones Lang LaSalle, 2006 Storage 25% Trans-Shipment 20% Industry   Operations  9% Value-Added Services 20% Reverse   Logistics 7% Consolidation 18% Current Warehousing Uses
Survey of 138 Logistics Operators Source:  China Supply Chain Council, Jones Lang LaSalle, 2006 Value-Added Logistics Consolidation Trans-Shipment Industry Operations Reverse Logistics Storage Score China Warehousing Uses – Growth Prospects
Source: Ministry of Communications of PRC, November 2006 China’s Future Expressway Network
Source: Ministry of Communications of PRC, November 2006 China’s Existing Rail Network
Mainland China’s Major Ports Network
‘ 000s tons ,[object Object],[object Object],China’s Top Freight Airports, 2005
Beijing 13% Tianjin 5% Shanghai 32% Suzhou 7% Guangzhou 12% Shenzhen 9% Chengdu 6% Xiamen 3% Greater Bohai Bay 21% Yangtze River  Delta 43% Pearl River Delta 21% Other 15% Survey of 138 Logistics Operators Source:  China Supply Chain Council, Jones Lang LaSalle, 2006 Region City Warehousing Facilities: Current Presence
Greater Bohai Bay 23% Yangtze River  Delta 27% Pearl River Delta 35% Other 15% Beijing 13% Tianjin 8% Shanghai 23% Suzhou 2% Guangzhou 19% Shenzhen 15% Chengdu 12% Region City Survey of 138 Logistics Operators Source:  China Supply Chain Council, Jones Lang LaSalle, 2006 China Warehousing Facilities: Plans for Next 2 Years
Source:  Jones Lang LaSalle, 2006 US$/sq m/year Warehousing Rental Ranges
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],China: Emerging City Winners
China: Retail Futures China’s Consumer Groups The Lost Generation The Emerging Middle Classes The Girls of the Economic Miracle The Little Emperors The New Elite and Super Rich The Vibrant Youth
World Largest Shopping Malls China South China Mall, Dongguan Golden Resources Mall, Beijing Panda Mall, Chengdu Grandview Mall, Guangzhou Oriental Plaza, Foshan Mall of China, Qingdao Triple 5 Mall, Wenzhou North America West Edmonton Mall, Alberta South Coast Plaza, Orange County Sawgrass Mills, Ft Lauderdale Mall of America, Minnesota Del Amo Fashion Center, LA Source: New York Times
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],China: Emerging City Winners
Beijing City Cobweb: Beijing
Shanghai City Cobweb: Shanghai
Guangzhou City Cobweb: Guangzhou
Shenzhen City Cobweb: Shenzhen
Chongqing City Cobweb: Chongqing
Chengdu City Cobweb: Chengdu
Tianjin City Cobweb: Tianjin
Wuhan City Cobweb: Wuhan
Xi'an City Cobweb: Xi’an
Hangzhou City Cobweb: Hangzhou
Suzhou City Cobweb: Suzhou
Nanjing City Cobweb: Nanjing
Dalian City Cobweb: Dalian
Xiamen City Cobweb: Xiamen

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World Winning Cities China Master Presentation

  • 1. World Winning Cities World Winning Cities Programme China: Emerging City Winners
  • 2.  
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  • 5. Changing Perceptions Some things you may know about China…. … ..and some things you probably didn't
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. But China has come far: The History of Property Investment 1988 1989 1990 1991 1997 2005 2006 P&G enter Market/ Land lease system established Shanghai Centre - First real property project Macquarie GPA deal kicks off hard asset investment 1988 1990 2005 The property market since open policy 2003 Asian Financial crisis scares investors away 1997-8
  • 9.
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  • 14. 2005 ‘Prime’ Real Estate Investment in China Total > US$ 5.5bn Beijing Tianjin Shanghai Hangzhou Nanjing Other Guangzhou/ Guangdong
  • 15. China - Yield Convergence?
  • 16.
  • 17. China’s Cities Hierarchy Shanghai, Beijing, Hong Kong Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Macau Chongqing, Chengdu, Tianjin Wuhan, Xi’an, Qingdao, Suzhou Shenyang, Hangzhou, Nanjing, Dalian, Dongguan, Xiamen Harbin, Zhengzhou, Fuzhou Nanning, Wuxi, Changsha Kunming, Jinan, Ningbo, Nanchang Hefei, Changzhou, Changchun II III III II I
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Dongguan Qingdao Shenyang Xiamen Suzhou Nanjing Shenzhen Tianjin Dalian Chengdu Xi’an Guangzhou Wuhan Hangzhou Chongqing Shanghai Beijing Hong Kong Macau Tier I and II Cities: GDP Growth Tier I Tier II % 2005 Strongest Economic Growth in Tier II cities II III
  • 21. Foreign Investors Move Across China The Beginning: Hong Kong Wave One: Beijing, Shanghai Guangzhou Wave Two: Chengdu, Chongqing, Dalian, Hangzhou, Harbin, Jinan, Macau, Shenyang, Suzhou, Tianjin, Wuhan, Wuxi, Xian, Xiamen
  • 22. Real Estate Capital Flows move to Tier II cities
  • 23. Signals of Change: Retailer Expansion
  • 24. Wal-Mart’s Presence - Over 60 Stores across China Dalian Qingdao Beijing Tianjin Shanghai Shenyang Xiamen Shenzhen Shantou Dongguan Chongqing Kunming Fuzhou Changsha Wuhan Nanchang Changchun Harbin Jinan Nanjing Nanning Guiyang Taiyuan Source: Wal Mart Website
  • 25. Macquarie Shopping Mall Portfolio Jinan Harbin Dalian Tianjin Shenyang Nanjing Nanning Changsha Wuhan Beijing Shanghai Guangzhou
  • 26. Signals of Change: Bank Expansion
  • 27. Signals of Change: High Tech Expansion
  • 28. The Investors’ Geography Taiwan Japan Korea MNCs Xiamen Dalian Qingdao Yangtze River Delta Xiamen II III
  • 29. China 30: City Evolution Curve
  • 30. China 30: City Evolution Curve Ningbo Wuxi Fuzhou Jinan Harbin Changchun Zhengzhou Changsha Maturing Shanghai Beijing Zhuhai Wenzhou Lanzhou Urumqi Kunming Hefei Nanchang Nanning Changzhou Growth Early Adopters Watch List Dormant Guangzhou Shenzhen Chengdu Hangzhou Tianjin Chongqing Suzhou Wuhan Nanjing Dalian Shenyang Qingdao Xi’an Xiamen Dongguan Short Term Winners Medium Term Winners Longer Term Winners
  • 31.
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  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
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  • 42.
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  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 47. Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research China’s 20 Logistics Hotspots
  • 48. Bohai Bay 21% Yangtze River Delta 43% Pearl River Delta 21% Other 15% Survey of 138 Logistics Operators Source: China Supply Chain Council, Jones Lang LaSalle, 2006 China Warehousing Facilities: Current Activity
  • 49. China Warehousing Uses Survey of 138 Logistics Operators Source: China Supply Chain Council, Jones Lang LaSalle, 2006 Storage 25% Trans-Shipment 20% Industry Operations 9% Value-Added Services 20% Reverse Logistics 7% Consolidation 18% Current Warehousing Uses
  • 50. Survey of 138 Logistics Operators Source: China Supply Chain Council, Jones Lang LaSalle, 2006 Value-Added Logistics Consolidation Trans-Shipment Industry Operations Reverse Logistics Storage Score China Warehousing Uses – Growth Prospects
  • 51. Source: Ministry of Communications of PRC, November 2006 China’s Future Expressway Network
  • 52. Source: Ministry of Communications of PRC, November 2006 China’s Existing Rail Network
  • 53. Mainland China’s Major Ports Network
  • 54.
  • 55. Beijing 13% Tianjin 5% Shanghai 32% Suzhou 7% Guangzhou 12% Shenzhen 9% Chengdu 6% Xiamen 3% Greater Bohai Bay 21% Yangtze River Delta 43% Pearl River Delta 21% Other 15% Survey of 138 Logistics Operators Source: China Supply Chain Council, Jones Lang LaSalle, 2006 Region City Warehousing Facilities: Current Presence
  • 56. Greater Bohai Bay 23% Yangtze River Delta 27% Pearl River Delta 35% Other 15% Beijing 13% Tianjin 8% Shanghai 23% Suzhou 2% Guangzhou 19% Shenzhen 15% Chengdu 12% Region City Survey of 138 Logistics Operators Source: China Supply Chain Council, Jones Lang LaSalle, 2006 China Warehousing Facilities: Plans for Next 2 Years
  • 57. Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, 2006 US$/sq m/year Warehousing Rental Ranges
  • 58.
  • 59. China: Retail Futures China’s Consumer Groups The Lost Generation The Emerging Middle Classes The Girls of the Economic Miracle The Little Emperors The New Elite and Super Rich The Vibrant Youth
  • 60. World Largest Shopping Malls China South China Mall, Dongguan Golden Resources Mall, Beijing Panda Mall, Chengdu Grandview Mall, Guangzhou Oriental Plaza, Foshan Mall of China, Qingdao Triple 5 Mall, Wenzhou North America West Edmonton Mall, Alberta South Coast Plaza, Orange County Sawgrass Mills, Ft Lauderdale Mall of America, Minnesota Del Amo Fashion Center, LA Source: New York Times
  • 61.