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May 2012




    Coal:
    Closer Look at CCS
     Zpryme Smart Grid Insights Presents a Special Report Series (Part 3 of 3):


                                                                                  Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)


                                                                “We have a responsibility and a golden
                                                     opportunity to act, energy-related CO2 emissions
                                                        are at historic highs; under current policies, we
                                                          estimate that energy use and CO2 emissions
                                                        would increase by a third by 2020, and almost
                                                          double by 2050. This would likely send global
                                                             temperatures at least 6°C higher. Such an
                                                     outcome would confront future generations with
                                                     significant economic, environmental and energy
                                                      security hardships - a legacy that I know none of
                                                                             us wishes to leave behind.”




   1   www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org                                               Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012

   Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
Source: Richard H. Jones, IEA deputy executive director ambassador, April 2012
Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)




Table of Contents

CCS: In Brief.......................................................................... 3
CCS: Regulatory & Legal Issues ........................................ 4
    United States .................................................................... 4
    Globally ............................................................................. 4
CCS: Economics of Transportation .................................. 5
    United States .................................................................... 5
    Globally ............................................................................. 5
CCS: Environmental Policy Concerns ............................. 6
    United States: ................................................................... 6
    Globally: ............................................................................ 6
CCS: The Next Generation Work force ........................... 6
CCS: Capture ...................................................................... 7
CCS: Sequestration ............................................................. 8
CCS: Current Projects ......................................................... 8
    United States: ................................................................... 8
    Globally: ............................................................................ 9
CCS: Bottom Line .............................................................. 10
Q&A: Dr. Raymond L. Orbach, Energy Institute,
University of Texas at Austin ............................................ 11




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Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)




CCS: In Brief                                                             Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy have
                                                                          encouraged further CCS deployment and development.
Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) is the process                     Research and development has focused on advanced
by which carbon dioxide is captured from coal fired                       technology programs such as coal to liquid technology,
power plants and stored in either underground, offshore                   hydrogen turbines, advanced combustion, gasification
(below the ocean bed) or in mineral deposits, thus                        technology, underground coal gasification, solid oxide
preventing it from being released into the air. The process               fuel cells, and hydrogen from coal technologies. In
involves three stages:                                                    addition, new regulatory emission standards as natural gas
                                                                          facilities for coal-fired utility plants, as well as the
    (1) Capture of CO2 at point sources (such as power                    governmental dedication to furthering the CCS field has
        plants) and compression of the gas,                               solidified the nation’s commitment to further development
    (2) Transportation through pipelines and                              of the Carbon Capture and Sequestration field.
    (3) Sequestration (geological, marine, or mineral)
                                                                          Globally:
Although long-term costs associated with CCS may be
cost-competitive within each part of the process, different               Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) was discussed
technologies exist with varying costs based on their level of             at mandatory at COP-17 in Durban, South Africa to
development and maturity, elaborated below. CCS is an                     reduce worldwide emission standards, especially in
emerging technology which has still uncertain costs. While                developing countries like China and India. CCS will now
feasibility studies and pilot projects have been                          be eligible for carbon credits under the Clean
undertaken, large-scale commercial demonstration                          Development Mechanism, a program funded by
projects have not yet been carried out, although some                     developed countries to offset emissions in developing
are in planning stages. Cost uncertainty also exists around               countries. However, this proclamation comes at a time
site-specific variability.                                                when more CCS pilots are closing, rather than opening.

United States:                                                            In October, the Swedish utility Vattenfall has cancelled the
                                                                          proposed $2 billion CCS pilot project in Germany due to
The United States currently has the largest number of                     concerns about environmental safety, as well as problems
large-scale CCS projects and the largest number of fully-                 with the regulatory framework. Another proposed $1.5
operational projects worldwide, 25 out of 74 current and                  billion pilot in Scotland through Scottish power was also
potential projects in 2011 (Global CCS Institute). Funding                canceled due to project costs.i The Schwarze Project in
from sources such as the Department of Energy, the                        the EU was also closed December 5.
National Energy Technology Laboratory, and the
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Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)




CCS: Regulatory & Legal Issues                                            much of the CCS regulation is performed on the provincial
                                                                          level. Most of the CCS projects are operating in Alberta
                                                                          where several provincial regulatory boards oversee CCS
United States:
                                                                          operations, and laws such as the Alberta Climate Change
                                                                          and Emissions Act explicitly mention CCS, while the CCS
In the United States on the federal level, the majority of
                                                                          Act establishes long term liability. In addition, Alberta
regulation on CCS coal production lies with the
                                                                          announced it would be conducting a regulatory
Environmental Protection Agency. The Clean Air Act
                                                                          framework assessment to be sure the CCS projects would
places the health of the general public as a priority and
                                                                          be operated in the safest way possible.
requires the EPA to develop and enforce regulations to
prevent exposure to airborne contaminants. In January
                                                                          The EU has issued a number of directives that are
2011, it was expanded to include Greenhouse Gases,
                                                                          developed to govern Carbon Dioxide storage, integrated
including Carbon Dioxide, and the EPA began issuing
                                                                          pollution prevention, and Carbon Dioxide transportation.
permits to control Greenhouse Gases. Many states have
                                                                          Once the directives were established, the member states
internal regulations that govern the release of greenhouse
                                                                          have a period of time to modify the directives and institute
gases including carbon dioxide, including California and
                                                                          them as laws in their area. However, a lack of regulation
Oregon who regulate greenhouse gases produced by
                                                                          in areas such as Germany has halted pending CCS
coal-fired plants, while other states, such as Illinois and
                                                                          projects, even in advanced stages of regulation. The
Montana require CCS to be used by coal- fired plants in
                                                                          Netherlands are also facing a number of regulatory
their states. In March 2012, the EPA proposed the first
                                                                          challenges, as laws have not been significantly modified
National Carbon pollution standards for the nation, where
                                                                          to allow for successful sequestration.     In the UK, it is
all new plants would be held to emission standards.
                                                                          expected that most of the carbon storage will be offshore,
                                                                          so most of the laws that govern CCS are in regards to
Globally:
                                                                          offshore storage. The Energy Bill and the Energy Act
                                                                          establish a regulatory framework for CCS projects with
Canada has a well-developed regulatory framework for
                                                                          focus on offshore storage. In addition, the Energy Act
existing oil and gas regulations and has been adapting
                                                                          builds on the Petroleum Act of 1998 and the Electricity Act
them to CCS. In addition, Natural Resources Canada and
                                                                          of 1989 and would now require that all new large coal
the Department of the Environment provide additional
                                                                          fired plants demonstrate capture readiness.         Norway
regulations. CEPA has classified Carbon Dioxide as a toxin
                                                                          primarily regulates the permits assigned to CCS projects
and had regulations such as the Reduction of Carbon
                                                                          because carbon dioxide has been classified as a
Dioxide Emissions from coal Fired Generation of Electricity
                                                                          pollutant. In addition, the Norwegian Greenhouse Gas
Regulations as well as developed emissions performance
                                                                          Emission Trading Act established establishes limits on
standards to govern it on the federal level. However,
                                                                          greenhouse gas emissions, further regulating the field.
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Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)




 Australia has a very well developed framework for CSS                    United States:
governance with six key areas of focus: certification
processes, property rights, monitoring, long-term liability,              There are existing CO2 pipelines in the US today of 2500km
financial issues, and incentivisation. Dating back as far as              that transport 50 million metric tons of CO2 annually.1
2006, the subsequent laws govern both the onshore and                     Transportation costs range from $1 to $5 per ton of CO2
offshore storage of greenhouse gases, and processing of                   transported 250 km, contingent upon the pipeline’s flow
coal fired plants.                                                        rate.2

China has established CCS as a priority, especially                       Globally:
considering that coal is the main form of electricity
generation for the country, which opens on average one                    In Europe and Asia, there are established pipelines in the
new coal fired plant a week. However, the country is in                   interior of the continent.          A complex infrastructure
the developing stages of CCS use and technology, thus                     transports carbon dioxide from processing locations to
lacking significant regulations in the field.                             storage facilities or to transport vessels for offshore
                                                                          deposition. In the future, it is likely this system will evolve to
CCS: Economics of Transportation                                          form clusters, which will then utilize feeder pipelines to for
                                                                          larger networks, thus increasing the efficiency and
                                                                          decreasing the cost of transportation.              In addition,
Transportation of captured CO2 is mainly done through
                                                                          advanced shipping systems are being developed for
pipelines; however, shipping is an alternative transport
                                                                          offshore storage, which is prevalent in countries like the
method; both processes are technologically mature
                                                                          United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Norway.                     In
today.
                                                                          Rotterdam, rail systems transport the processed carbon
                                                                          dioxide to large vessels which then transport the gas to
The cost structure for the transportation phase is almost
                                                                          offshore facilities. As technology advances, these vessels
entirely associated with fixed infrastructure i.e. construction
                                                                          become larger and have integrated online injection
costs (materials, equipment, installation, labor). Operation
                                                                          facilities to allow for ease in storing the carbon dioxide in
and maintenance costs are a relatively small portion of
                                                                          offshore facilities. In addition, utilizing cargo ships allows
the investment in transportation. The cost is mostly a
                                                                          for changes in storage location and offers increased
function of distance – and transport onshore is less
                                                                          flexibility. As the integrated hub approach to storage and
expensive than transporting to an offshore destination. In
either case shipments are subject to regulatory filing fees,
insurance costs, right-of-way costs, and contingencies                    1www.mckinseyquarterly.com/wrapper.aspx?ar=2247&story=true&url=http%3a%2f%2fwww.mc

                                                                          kinseyquarterly.com%2fWhat_is_carbon_capture_and_storage_2247%3fpagenum%3d1%23int
allowances.                                                               eractive_carbon_capture&pgn=whis08_exhibit
                                                                          2 fiesta.bren.ucsb.edu/~kolstad/HmPg/papers/CCS%20Costs%20Latrobe.pdf

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Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)




the integrated carrier options are more fully developed,                  an earlier development phase, such as China and India.
worldwide transport of carbon dioxide will become more                    Many areas have absolutely no regulation in place, such
efficient and affordable.                                                 as Malaysia and India. However, the EU has created
                                                                          programs where more developed nations are able to
CCS: Environmental Policy Concerns                                        invest in these lesser developed counterparts to allow for
                                                                          faster utilization of clean coal technology. To be truly
                                                                          successful, more uniform standards need to be developed
United States:
                                                                          across the world that establishes emissions standards,
                                                                          especially in the newly constructed plants in places like
Of key concern in the United States are the newly
                                                                          China. A collaboration of countries, as demonstrated in
announced environmental policy regulations. 106 coal
                                                                          United States and China joint ventures will allow China to
plants are predicted to close since 2010 due to the cost of
                                                                          take advantage of the more developed technology of
environmental improvements. While these standards are
                                                                          that in the United States.
beneficial for the overall environment, they are cost
prohibitive in many cases. Other concerns have been
expressed by environmental groups about the effects of                    CCS: The Next Generation Work force
CCS technology. Greenpeace has launched a “Coal is
Dirty” campaign where it explains its position that events                There are several workforce concerns as new CCS
such as the spill of coal ash sludge in December 2011 in                  technology is employed. The industry has evolved from
Tennessee and carbon dioxide leaks from naturally                         fairly straight forward coal burning facilities, to employing
sequestered sites and their damage to the surrounding                     very advanced laboratories where coal is burned in
environment should be closely monitored. Clearly both                     oxygen rich environment to allow for the most
sides of the issue have very differing opinions and the                   concentrated form of carbon dioxide to be removed. The
environmental policy decisions of the United States must                  skill level of operators to run these facilities has also
examine both the past and potential failures of current                   increased with these changes. In addition, the number of
policies, as well as its effect on the coal industry as a                 workers will shift, from many lower skilled positions, to fewer
whole in the future.                                                      highly skilled positions. However, as these plants grow with
                                                                          the new technologies, the number of highly skilled workers
Globally:                                                                 is likely to grow. To be able to meet these challenges, the
                                                                          coal industry has to offer skill advancement opportunities,
Globally the focus on environmental policy is of a different              where they can groom the workforce to meet the
focus. The environmental standards of Europe are more                     changing needs. In addition, several universities, such as
stringent than those of the United States, but it also                    the University of California San Diego offer advanced
understands the impact of their close neighbors that are in               environment technology programs, where engineering
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Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)




students are able to design cleaner technologies to guide                  A study completed by the International Energy Agency
clean energy in the future. The education these students                   (IEA) in 2011 studying 50 CO2 capture installations at power
obtain is priceless and can provide leaders for the future                 plants found the capital cost and levelized cost of energy
development of CCS, as well as develop better and safer                    is approximately $105 per megawatt hour for coal-fired
storage and/or utilization opportunities for carbon dioxide.               plants. On average, the cost of CO2 avoided is $55 per ton
The industry must become more forward looking, spurring                    of CO2 (using a pulverize coal plant without CCS as a
their own innovation instead of being controlled by                        reference point).5 The overnight costs of power plants with
stronger standards. The future is guaranteed to hold                       CCS in the OECD regions are $3,800 per kilowatt hour,
higher emissions requirements. By looking to employ better                 approximately 74% higher than plants without capture
solutions now, instead of being affected by changing                       technology.6 It was also found that none of the capture
requirements, the industry can thrive and lead the way to                  technologies outperformed any of the others in cost and
a more carbon-free coal future. To do that, it must                        performance.
employ the highest skilled workers possible, and transmit its
employees with this knowledge, thus being able to                          The same 2011 IEA study identified post-combustion CO2
develop, construct, operate and maintain future coal                       capture as to be the most researched and cost-effective
technology.                                                                option for gas-fired plants. The capital cost and levelized
                                                                           cost of energy is $102 per megawatt hour and the costs of
CCS: Capture                                                               CO2 avoided are $80 per ton of CO2 (using a natural gas
                                                                           combined cycle as a comparison). In this case, overnight
Capturing CO2 emissions from the point source has the                      costs are $1,700 per kilowatt hour; 82% higher than plants
highest associated costs of CCS; representing 70 percent                   without capture technology. On average, these costs are
of the total cost.3 These costs include the compression of                 higher in OECD countries, and cheaper in countries like
carbon dioxide for transport to the storage site. Capture                  China.
can take place pre-combustion, post-combustion or by
Oxyfuel combustion (only the latter two will work for                      Available technology allows 85-95% of the CO2 produced
retrofitting). For the capture phase, industrial separation                to be captured. However, CCS use does impose an
and combustion techniques such as CO2 scrubbers and                        energy penalty, requiring 10-40% additional energy (for
Oxyfuel are relatively mature, while technology such as air                Natural Gas Combined Cycle plants, Pulverized Coal
capture is primarily in a research phase.4                                 plants, Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle plants) to
                                                                           store the captured CO2 than a non-CCS plant.7


                                                                           5 www.iea.org/papers/2011/costperf_ccs_powergen.pdf
3 /tmp/PreviewPasteboardItems/Costs of CCS Wiki Page (dragged).pdf         6 Ibid.
4 www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/srccs/srccs_summaryforpolicymakers.pdf   7 Ibid.

7   www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org                                                                      Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012

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Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)




The cost structure associated with the capture phase is                              through EOR can be sold, offsetting the cost of storage
split between capital costs and operational costs at 60                              and producing a profit. If oil prices are low, however, EOR
percent and 40 percent respectively. 8                                               may not be profitable. The cost of storage in depleted oil
                                                                                     and gas wells ranges from $0.5-12 per ton of carbon
CCS: Sequestration                                                                   dioxide injected. The cost for storage in onshore deep
                                                                                     saline aquifers ranges from $0.2-5.1 per ton of carbon
Sequestration involves taking the compressed CO2 and                                 dioxide injected, while the cost for storage in offshore
storing it for a geological timescale. Storage strategies for                        aquifers ranges from $0.5-30 per ton of carbon dioxide
CO2 fall into three categories: geological, marine and                               injected.14
mineral. Of these, geological is the most mature while
mineral sequestration is still in a research phase.11                                For marine storage from a fixed pipeline, the cost ranges
Geological storage sites include deep saline formations,                             from $5-30 per ton of carbon dioxide injected. This cost
oil/gas or unmineable coal beds (still in demonstration                              variability can be attributed to distance from the shoreline
phase).12 There are considerable cost uncertainties with all                         and the differing depths and conditions at which the
of these storage methods as none are currently performed                             injection needs to occur. For marine storage via ship, the
at scale. Captured CO2 can also be used for EOR, as                                  cost ranges from $12-16 per ton of carbon dioxide
discussed above. Storage costs are split between capital                             injected. The cost range for ship-based injection is smaller
and operational investments: 80 percent of the cost of                               because costs do not increase with distance from the
storage is in capital; the remaining 20 percent is                                   shoreline. 15 These costs are estimates based on research
associated with ongoing operations, monitoring and                                   phases of projects – a demonstration project using marine
maintenance.13                                                                       storage has yet to be implemented.

EOR is the most mature of all of the storage technologies                            CCS: Current Projects
and its costs can range from -$99 (in the case of highly
successful EOR) to 67 per ton of carbon dioxide injected.                            United States:
This is largely dependent on the market price of oil at the
time of extraction. If oil prices are high, the oil extracted                        In the US, there is currently no economic incentive for
                                                                                     industry to capture carbon, as it adds additional cost. Sally
8 Carbon Capture & Storage: Assessing the Economics. McKinsey & Company, McKinsey    Benson, energy profession at Stanford elucidates this point:
Climate Change Initiative. 22 Sept. 2008.
11 www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/srccs/srccs_summaryforpolicymakers.pdf            “It's really just a matter of money. If we had a price on
12

www.mckinseyquarterly.com/wrapper.aspx?ar=2247&story=true&url=http%3a%2f%2fwww.mc
                                                                                     carbon that was $50 a metric ton, carbon capture and
kinseyquarterly.com%2fWhat_is_carbon_capture_and_storage_2247%3fpagenum%3d1%23int
eractive_carbon_capture&pgn=whis08_exhibit
13 Carbon Capture & Storage: Assessing the Economics. McKinsey & Company, McKinsey   14   www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/srccs/srccs_wholereport.pdf
Climate Change Initiative. 22 Sept. 2008.                                            15   Ibid.
8    www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org                                                                                    Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012

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Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)




storage would take off. But with no price on carbon in                                      Globally:
sight, companies can only sustain a certain amount of
investment. So really the impediment is creating the                                        IEA predicts that by 2050, 10% of CO2 emission reduction
incentive where people will pay that price for capturing                                    related to energy will come from CCS globally.20 Many
carbon." 16 This could be changed by implementing an                                        projects are currently operating that demonstrate the
economic incentive for plants to reduce emissions, such as                                  enormous potential of the CCS technology worldwide.
a tax break or a fine for emissions above a certain level.
                                                                                            Perhaps one of the most known CCS projects is the
Scientists from the Midwest Geological Sequestration                                        Sleipner Project, off the coast of Norway, ongoing since
Consortium, one of seven public-private partnerships                                        1996, where CO2 is being stored in an offshore saline
created by the Department of Energy to promote CO2,                                         formation. 12 million tons of CO2 have been stored to
are currently injecting 1 million metric tons of CO2 into a                                 date.21 The project has been successful in many regards
sandstone site in Illinois, a project which will take a year (a                             due to the Norwegian carbon tax implemented 20 years
coal plant on average emits 3 million metric tons of CO2                                    ago ($50 per metric ton).22 Injecting the CO2 offshore was
annually). The site has the potential to store 245.5 billion                                less expensive than paying the tax.
metric tons.17 This project will provide us the best estimate
of what sequestration will look like, practically, and is one                               In Alberta, Canada, $2 billion has been pledged to CCS
of the largest CCS projects to date and the first in the US.                                over a 15 year period, beginning in 2008. This is the largest
The CO2 is coming from a nearby ethanol refinery and will                                   amount a government has dedicated to CCS projects to
arrive at the site via pipeline.                                                            date, and the project will store 4 million tons of CO2 by
                                                                                            2015 with a goal to store 140 metric tons by 2050.23 In
Emissions from ethanol are comprised almost completely                                      Saskatchewan, the world’s largest CCS project is housed in
of CO2 so capture and compression costs are significantly                                   Weyburn. The site will hold 20 million tons of CO2 used for
lower than with a coal-fired plant. It will be stored 7,000                                 EOR when completed.24         This site is now providing
feet underground.18 The Illinois Basin – Decatur Project cost                               evidence as to the long-term storage capacity of CCS.
is $96 billion dollars in total. There are currently 150 small-                             The site is now part of an $80 million international
scale projects being carried out in the United States.19                                    monitoring project investigated to determine if the CO2 is



                                                                                            20 www.iea.org/papers/2011/costperf_ccs_powergen.pdf
                                                                                            21 news.stanford.edu/news/2011/december/benson-climate-change-120611.html
                                                                                            22 Ibid.
16 news.stanford.edu/news/2011/december/benson-climate-change-120611.html                   23
17 www.carboncapturejournal.com/displaynews.php?NewsID=869                                  www.edmontonjournal.com/opinion/Thomson+Redford+dogged+carbon+capture+plan/573
18 boingboing.net/2011/12/02/a-hole-in-the-ground.html                                      7238/story.html?cid=megadrop_story
19 summitcountyvoice.com/2011/11/28/climate-large-scale-carbon-capture-tried-in-illinois/   24 www.co2captureandstorage.info/project_specific.php?project_id=98

9    www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org                                                                                      Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012

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Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)




bubbling up – so far it has been deemed safe.25 However,                             provide additional cost savings.       Finally, the cost of
it is difficult to predict over time if the CO2 will stay in                         sequestering the concentrated carbon dioxide is also
place.                                                                               expensive, and although several sites have been identified
                                                                                     for potential storage facilities, the number of approved
CCS: Bottom Line                                                                     sites is still limited.

Unless national or international efforts focus on creating a                         As more improvements in the processes and technology
price on carbon, CCS is unlikely to be adopted in the near                           utilized through all parts of the CCS process advances,
term. The Coal Industry itself is opposing the forced                                from the processing at the coal fired utility plants, to
adoption of CCS technologies, as the cost of retrofitting                            transporting the gas to approved storage sites, the CCS
the currently operating coal facilities is prohibitive to                            technology will be more cost efficient, more readily
adoption. In fact, many facilities are citing these costs                            adopted, and utilized worldwide.
(specifically the costs of achieving the required higher
emissions standards) as the main reason for the plant
closures.      Although new technologies are being
developed to lower the cost of these improvements, they
have not reached the point where they are affordable
and offer a high return on investment in the short term.
These costs are likely to be recouped over years, making
them less attractive. However, its use in EOR may become
more prevalent as the costs associated with coal increase.
More pilot projects are necessary in order to understand
the long-term costs and potential health and
environmental impacts of CCS.

Currently, the Global CCS Institute lists 74 large scale CCS
projects currently being operating or in various stages of
development. These projects will set the pace and
develop new technology as they advance. Additionally,
the modes of transportation are also evolving from an
inefficient system to a hub-based system, which will

25www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/cenovus-study-finds-co2-not-leaking-from-
ground/article2254078/
10   www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org                                                                         Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012

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Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)




                                Q&A with
                                 Q&A: Dr. Raymond L. Orbach,                 CCS. Practically, it will mean that no new coal fired
                                 Energy Institute, University of             power plant can be built, unless it has sufficient CCS
                                                                             capability.
                                 Texas at Austin
                                                                             3. ZP: What environmental policy concerns                                are
                                DR. RAYMOND L. ORBACH                           currently affecting CCS the most in the US?
                                Director, Energy Institute                   Dr. Orbach: The cost of CCS is the greatest concern in
                                University of Texas at Austin                the U.S. It takes about a third of a power plant’s energy
                                                                             to capture CO2, making it uneconomical unless there is
About Dr. Raymond L. Orbach: Created by the Energy Policy Act of             an offset.
2005, Raymond Lee Orbach was nominated by President Bush to serve
as the first Under Secretary for Science at the U.S. Department of           4. ZP: What should the energy industry look forward to
Energy (DOE). On May 26, 2006, Dr. Orbach was unanimously                       from the University of Texas Energy Institute in 2012?
confirmed by the U.S. Senate and sworn in as Under Secretary on June
1, 2006. Dr. Orbach received his Bachelor of Science degree in Physics
from the California Institute of Technology in 1956. He received his
                                                                             Dr. Orbach: The Energy Institute is developing a process
Ph.D. degree in Physics from the University of California, Berkeley, in      for sequestration that is much more efficient than
1960 and was elected to Phi Beta Kappa.                                      current technologies, and includes an energy offset
                                                                             that would substantially reduce the net cost of CCS.
     1. ZP: What current technology trends are influencing
        CCS in the US?                                                    About: Energy Institute, University of Texas at Austin
     Dr. Orbach: The principal technological development is
                                                                          The Energy Institute at the University of Texas at Austin
     improvement of the “amine” liquids used to capture
                                                                          (http://energy.utexas.edu/) was created to address the
     CO2 from flue gas from coal fired power plants. This
                                                                          most challenging energy issues facing society today. Our
     development, led by Professor Gary Rochelle at UT
                                                                          mission is to provide guidance in the pursuit of a new
     Austin, operates at slightly higher temperatures, but
                                                                          energy paradigm that is at once viable and
     promises increased efficiency for CO2 capture.
                                                                          sustainable. The Institute’s overarching goal is to alter the
                                                                          trajectory of public discourse in a positive manner, as
     2. ZP: What US regulatory and legal initiatives will have
                                                                          exemplified in our credo – good policy based on good
        the greatest impact on CCS in 2012/13?
                                                                          science.
     Dr. Orbach: The recent EPA rule on greenhouse gas
     emissions  will  have   a   profound   effect  on
11   www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org                                                               Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012

Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)




The Energy Institute’s formation is premised on the notion
that colleges and universities are uniquely positioned to
conduct      independent      and      impartial  scientific
research. This concept is illustrated in our approach to
research, in which we assemble inter-disciplinary teams of
faculty from schools and colleges across campus to
address complex energy issues in a comprehensive
manner. Our aim is to inject science- and fact-based
analysis into what is often a contentious dialogue, and in
so doing bring clarity to the debate that shapes public
policy on energy issues.

The Institute’s mission also includes the development of
interdisciplinary certificate and degree programs in                      Zpryme Credits
energy, to broaden the educational experience of                          Editor     Managing Editor Research Lead
students in this critical field of study.                                 Megan Dean Samarth Bahl    Stefan Trifonov

                                                                          Special Thanks To
                                                                          Dr. Raymond L. Orbach,                                 Energy Institute,
                                                                          Director                                               The University of Texas at Austin

                                                                          Disclaimer
                                                                          These materials and the information contained herein are provided by Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC and are
                                                                          intended to provide general information on a particular subject or subjects and is not an exhaustive treatment of
                                                                          such subject(s). Accordingly, the information in these materials is not intended to constitute accounting, tax, legal,
                                                                          investment, consulting or other professional advice or services. The information is not intended to be relied upon as
                                                                          the sole basis for any decision which may affect you or your business. Before making any decision or taking any
                                                                          action that might affect your personal finances or business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. These
                                                                          materials and the information contained herein is provided as is, and Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC makes no
                                                                          express or implied representations or warranties regarding these materials and the information herein. Without limiting
                                                                          the foregoing, Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC does not warrant that the materials or information contained
                                                                          herein will be error-free or will meet any particular criteria of performance or quality. Zpryme Research & Consulting,
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12   www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org                                                                                         Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012

Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3)




1   www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org                                           Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012

Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.


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CCS Coal Projects

  • 1. Learn more @ www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org May 2012 Coal: Closer Look at CCS Zpryme Smart Grid Insights Presents a Special Report Series (Part 3 of 3): Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
  • 2. Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3) “We have a responsibility and a golden opportunity to act, energy-related CO2 emissions are at historic highs; under current policies, we estimate that energy use and CO2 emissions would increase by a third by 2020, and almost double by 2050. This would likely send global temperatures at least 6°C higher. Such an outcome would confront future generations with significant economic, environmental and energy security hardships - a legacy that I know none of us wishes to leave behind.” 1 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012 Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Source: Richard H. Jones, IEA deputy executive director ambassador, April 2012
  • 3. Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3) Table of Contents CCS: In Brief.......................................................................... 3 CCS: Regulatory & Legal Issues ........................................ 4 United States .................................................................... 4 Globally ............................................................................. 4 CCS: Economics of Transportation .................................. 5 United States .................................................................... 5 Globally ............................................................................. 5 CCS: Environmental Policy Concerns ............................. 6 United States: ................................................................... 6 Globally: ............................................................................ 6 CCS: The Next Generation Work force ........................... 6 CCS: Capture ...................................................................... 7 CCS: Sequestration ............................................................. 8 CCS: Current Projects ......................................................... 8 United States: ................................................................... 8 Globally: ............................................................................ 9 CCS: Bottom Line .............................................................. 10 Q&A: Dr. Raymond L. Orbach, Energy Institute, University of Texas at Austin ............................................ 11 2 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012 Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
  • 4. Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3) CCS: In Brief Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy have encouraged further CCS deployment and development. Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) is the process Research and development has focused on advanced by which carbon dioxide is captured from coal fired technology programs such as coal to liquid technology, power plants and stored in either underground, offshore hydrogen turbines, advanced combustion, gasification (below the ocean bed) or in mineral deposits, thus technology, underground coal gasification, solid oxide preventing it from being released into the air. The process fuel cells, and hydrogen from coal technologies. In involves three stages: addition, new regulatory emission standards as natural gas facilities for coal-fired utility plants, as well as the (1) Capture of CO2 at point sources (such as power governmental dedication to furthering the CCS field has plants) and compression of the gas, solidified the nation’s commitment to further development (2) Transportation through pipelines and of the Carbon Capture and Sequestration field. (3) Sequestration (geological, marine, or mineral) Globally: Although long-term costs associated with CCS may be cost-competitive within each part of the process, different Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) was discussed technologies exist with varying costs based on their level of at mandatory at COP-17 in Durban, South Africa to development and maturity, elaborated below. CCS is an reduce worldwide emission standards, especially in emerging technology which has still uncertain costs. While developing countries like China and India. CCS will now feasibility studies and pilot projects have been be eligible for carbon credits under the Clean undertaken, large-scale commercial demonstration Development Mechanism, a program funded by projects have not yet been carried out, although some developed countries to offset emissions in developing are in planning stages. Cost uncertainty also exists around countries. However, this proclamation comes at a time site-specific variability. when more CCS pilots are closing, rather than opening. United States: In October, the Swedish utility Vattenfall has cancelled the proposed $2 billion CCS pilot project in Germany due to The United States currently has the largest number of concerns about environmental safety, as well as problems large-scale CCS projects and the largest number of fully- with the regulatory framework. Another proposed $1.5 operational projects worldwide, 25 out of 74 current and billion pilot in Scotland through Scottish power was also potential projects in 2011 (Global CCS Institute). Funding canceled due to project costs.i The Schwarze Project in from sources such as the Department of Energy, the the EU was also closed December 5. National Energy Technology Laboratory, and the 3 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012 Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
  • 5. Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3) CCS: Regulatory & Legal Issues much of the CCS regulation is performed on the provincial level. Most of the CCS projects are operating in Alberta where several provincial regulatory boards oversee CCS United States: operations, and laws such as the Alberta Climate Change and Emissions Act explicitly mention CCS, while the CCS In the United States on the federal level, the majority of Act establishes long term liability. In addition, Alberta regulation on CCS coal production lies with the announced it would be conducting a regulatory Environmental Protection Agency. The Clean Air Act framework assessment to be sure the CCS projects would places the health of the general public as a priority and be operated in the safest way possible. requires the EPA to develop and enforce regulations to prevent exposure to airborne contaminants. In January The EU has issued a number of directives that are 2011, it was expanded to include Greenhouse Gases, developed to govern Carbon Dioxide storage, integrated including Carbon Dioxide, and the EPA began issuing pollution prevention, and Carbon Dioxide transportation. permits to control Greenhouse Gases. Many states have Once the directives were established, the member states internal regulations that govern the release of greenhouse have a period of time to modify the directives and institute gases including carbon dioxide, including California and them as laws in their area. However, a lack of regulation Oregon who regulate greenhouse gases produced by in areas such as Germany has halted pending CCS coal-fired plants, while other states, such as Illinois and projects, even in advanced stages of regulation. The Montana require CCS to be used by coal- fired plants in Netherlands are also facing a number of regulatory their states. In March 2012, the EPA proposed the first challenges, as laws have not been significantly modified National Carbon pollution standards for the nation, where to allow for successful sequestration. In the UK, it is all new plants would be held to emission standards. expected that most of the carbon storage will be offshore, so most of the laws that govern CCS are in regards to Globally: offshore storage. The Energy Bill and the Energy Act establish a regulatory framework for CCS projects with Canada has a well-developed regulatory framework for focus on offshore storage. In addition, the Energy Act existing oil and gas regulations and has been adapting builds on the Petroleum Act of 1998 and the Electricity Act them to CCS. In addition, Natural Resources Canada and of 1989 and would now require that all new large coal the Department of the Environment provide additional fired plants demonstrate capture readiness. Norway regulations. CEPA has classified Carbon Dioxide as a toxin primarily regulates the permits assigned to CCS projects and had regulations such as the Reduction of Carbon because carbon dioxide has been classified as a Dioxide Emissions from coal Fired Generation of Electricity pollutant. In addition, the Norwegian Greenhouse Gas Regulations as well as developed emissions performance Emission Trading Act established establishes limits on standards to govern it on the federal level. However, greenhouse gas emissions, further regulating the field. 4 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012 Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
  • 6. Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3) Australia has a very well developed framework for CSS United States: governance with six key areas of focus: certification processes, property rights, monitoring, long-term liability, There are existing CO2 pipelines in the US today of 2500km financial issues, and incentivisation. Dating back as far as that transport 50 million metric tons of CO2 annually.1 2006, the subsequent laws govern both the onshore and Transportation costs range from $1 to $5 per ton of CO2 offshore storage of greenhouse gases, and processing of transported 250 km, contingent upon the pipeline’s flow coal fired plants. rate.2 China has established CCS as a priority, especially Globally: considering that coal is the main form of electricity generation for the country, which opens on average one In Europe and Asia, there are established pipelines in the new coal fired plant a week. However, the country is in interior of the continent. A complex infrastructure the developing stages of CCS use and technology, thus transports carbon dioxide from processing locations to lacking significant regulations in the field. storage facilities or to transport vessels for offshore deposition. In the future, it is likely this system will evolve to CCS: Economics of Transportation form clusters, which will then utilize feeder pipelines to for larger networks, thus increasing the efficiency and decreasing the cost of transportation. In addition, Transportation of captured CO2 is mainly done through advanced shipping systems are being developed for pipelines; however, shipping is an alternative transport offshore storage, which is prevalent in countries like the method; both processes are technologically mature United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Norway. In today. Rotterdam, rail systems transport the processed carbon dioxide to large vessels which then transport the gas to The cost structure for the transportation phase is almost offshore facilities. As technology advances, these vessels entirely associated with fixed infrastructure i.e. construction become larger and have integrated online injection costs (materials, equipment, installation, labor). Operation facilities to allow for ease in storing the carbon dioxide in and maintenance costs are a relatively small portion of offshore facilities. In addition, utilizing cargo ships allows the investment in transportation. The cost is mostly a for changes in storage location and offers increased function of distance – and transport onshore is less flexibility. As the integrated hub approach to storage and expensive than transporting to an offshore destination. In either case shipments are subject to regulatory filing fees, insurance costs, right-of-way costs, and contingencies 1www.mckinseyquarterly.com/wrapper.aspx?ar=2247&story=true&url=http%3a%2f%2fwww.mc kinseyquarterly.com%2fWhat_is_carbon_capture_and_storage_2247%3fpagenum%3d1%23int allowances. eractive_carbon_capture&pgn=whis08_exhibit 2 fiesta.bren.ucsb.edu/~kolstad/HmPg/papers/CCS%20Costs%20Latrobe.pdf 5 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012 Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
  • 7. Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3) the integrated carrier options are more fully developed, an earlier development phase, such as China and India. worldwide transport of carbon dioxide will become more Many areas have absolutely no regulation in place, such efficient and affordable. as Malaysia and India. However, the EU has created programs where more developed nations are able to CCS: Environmental Policy Concerns invest in these lesser developed counterparts to allow for faster utilization of clean coal technology. To be truly successful, more uniform standards need to be developed United States: across the world that establishes emissions standards, especially in the newly constructed plants in places like Of key concern in the United States are the newly China. A collaboration of countries, as demonstrated in announced environmental policy regulations. 106 coal United States and China joint ventures will allow China to plants are predicted to close since 2010 due to the cost of take advantage of the more developed technology of environmental improvements. While these standards are that in the United States. beneficial for the overall environment, they are cost prohibitive in many cases. Other concerns have been expressed by environmental groups about the effects of CCS: The Next Generation Work force CCS technology. Greenpeace has launched a “Coal is Dirty” campaign where it explains its position that events There are several workforce concerns as new CCS such as the spill of coal ash sludge in December 2011 in technology is employed. The industry has evolved from Tennessee and carbon dioxide leaks from naturally fairly straight forward coal burning facilities, to employing sequestered sites and their damage to the surrounding very advanced laboratories where coal is burned in environment should be closely monitored. Clearly both oxygen rich environment to allow for the most sides of the issue have very differing opinions and the concentrated form of carbon dioxide to be removed. The environmental policy decisions of the United States must skill level of operators to run these facilities has also examine both the past and potential failures of current increased with these changes. In addition, the number of policies, as well as its effect on the coal industry as a workers will shift, from many lower skilled positions, to fewer whole in the future. highly skilled positions. However, as these plants grow with the new technologies, the number of highly skilled workers Globally: is likely to grow. To be able to meet these challenges, the coal industry has to offer skill advancement opportunities, Globally the focus on environmental policy is of a different where they can groom the workforce to meet the focus. The environmental standards of Europe are more changing needs. In addition, several universities, such as stringent than those of the United States, but it also the University of California San Diego offer advanced understands the impact of their close neighbors that are in environment technology programs, where engineering 6 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012 Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
  • 8. Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3) students are able to design cleaner technologies to guide A study completed by the International Energy Agency clean energy in the future. The education these students (IEA) in 2011 studying 50 CO2 capture installations at power obtain is priceless and can provide leaders for the future plants found the capital cost and levelized cost of energy development of CCS, as well as develop better and safer is approximately $105 per megawatt hour for coal-fired storage and/or utilization opportunities for carbon dioxide. plants. On average, the cost of CO2 avoided is $55 per ton The industry must become more forward looking, spurring of CO2 (using a pulverize coal plant without CCS as a their own innovation instead of being controlled by reference point).5 The overnight costs of power plants with stronger standards. The future is guaranteed to hold CCS in the OECD regions are $3,800 per kilowatt hour, higher emissions requirements. By looking to employ better approximately 74% higher than plants without capture solutions now, instead of being affected by changing technology.6 It was also found that none of the capture requirements, the industry can thrive and lead the way to technologies outperformed any of the others in cost and a more carbon-free coal future. To do that, it must performance. employ the highest skilled workers possible, and transmit its employees with this knowledge, thus being able to The same 2011 IEA study identified post-combustion CO2 develop, construct, operate and maintain future coal capture as to be the most researched and cost-effective technology. option for gas-fired plants. The capital cost and levelized cost of energy is $102 per megawatt hour and the costs of CCS: Capture CO2 avoided are $80 per ton of CO2 (using a natural gas combined cycle as a comparison). In this case, overnight Capturing CO2 emissions from the point source has the costs are $1,700 per kilowatt hour; 82% higher than plants highest associated costs of CCS; representing 70 percent without capture technology. On average, these costs are of the total cost.3 These costs include the compression of higher in OECD countries, and cheaper in countries like carbon dioxide for transport to the storage site. Capture China. can take place pre-combustion, post-combustion or by Oxyfuel combustion (only the latter two will work for Available technology allows 85-95% of the CO2 produced retrofitting). For the capture phase, industrial separation to be captured. However, CCS use does impose an and combustion techniques such as CO2 scrubbers and energy penalty, requiring 10-40% additional energy (for Oxyfuel are relatively mature, while technology such as air Natural Gas Combined Cycle plants, Pulverized Coal capture is primarily in a research phase.4 plants, Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle plants) to store the captured CO2 than a non-CCS plant.7 5 www.iea.org/papers/2011/costperf_ccs_powergen.pdf 3 /tmp/PreviewPasteboardItems/Costs of CCS Wiki Page (dragged).pdf 6 Ibid. 4 www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/srccs/srccs_summaryforpolicymakers.pdf 7 Ibid. 7 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012 Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
  • 9. Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3) The cost structure associated with the capture phase is through EOR can be sold, offsetting the cost of storage split between capital costs and operational costs at 60 and producing a profit. If oil prices are low, however, EOR percent and 40 percent respectively. 8 may not be profitable. The cost of storage in depleted oil and gas wells ranges from $0.5-12 per ton of carbon CCS: Sequestration dioxide injected. The cost for storage in onshore deep saline aquifers ranges from $0.2-5.1 per ton of carbon Sequestration involves taking the compressed CO2 and dioxide injected, while the cost for storage in offshore storing it for a geological timescale. Storage strategies for aquifers ranges from $0.5-30 per ton of carbon dioxide CO2 fall into three categories: geological, marine and injected.14 mineral. Of these, geological is the most mature while mineral sequestration is still in a research phase.11 For marine storage from a fixed pipeline, the cost ranges Geological storage sites include deep saline formations, from $5-30 per ton of carbon dioxide injected. This cost oil/gas or unmineable coal beds (still in demonstration variability can be attributed to distance from the shoreline phase).12 There are considerable cost uncertainties with all and the differing depths and conditions at which the of these storage methods as none are currently performed injection needs to occur. For marine storage via ship, the at scale. Captured CO2 can also be used for EOR, as cost ranges from $12-16 per ton of carbon dioxide discussed above. Storage costs are split between capital injected. The cost range for ship-based injection is smaller and operational investments: 80 percent of the cost of because costs do not increase with distance from the storage is in capital; the remaining 20 percent is shoreline. 15 These costs are estimates based on research associated with ongoing operations, monitoring and phases of projects – a demonstration project using marine maintenance.13 storage has yet to be implemented. EOR is the most mature of all of the storage technologies CCS: Current Projects and its costs can range from -$99 (in the case of highly successful EOR) to 67 per ton of carbon dioxide injected. United States: This is largely dependent on the market price of oil at the time of extraction. If oil prices are high, the oil extracted In the US, there is currently no economic incentive for industry to capture carbon, as it adds additional cost. Sally 8 Carbon Capture & Storage: Assessing the Economics. McKinsey & Company, McKinsey Benson, energy profession at Stanford elucidates this point: Climate Change Initiative. 22 Sept. 2008. 11 www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/srccs/srccs_summaryforpolicymakers.pdf “It's really just a matter of money. If we had a price on 12 www.mckinseyquarterly.com/wrapper.aspx?ar=2247&story=true&url=http%3a%2f%2fwww.mc carbon that was $50 a metric ton, carbon capture and kinseyquarterly.com%2fWhat_is_carbon_capture_and_storage_2247%3fpagenum%3d1%23int eractive_carbon_capture&pgn=whis08_exhibit 13 Carbon Capture & Storage: Assessing the Economics. McKinsey & Company, McKinsey 14 www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/srccs/srccs_wholereport.pdf Climate Change Initiative. 22 Sept. 2008. 15 Ibid. 8 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012 Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
  • 10. Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3) storage would take off. But with no price on carbon in Globally: sight, companies can only sustain a certain amount of investment. So really the impediment is creating the IEA predicts that by 2050, 10% of CO2 emission reduction incentive where people will pay that price for capturing related to energy will come from CCS globally.20 Many carbon." 16 This could be changed by implementing an projects are currently operating that demonstrate the economic incentive for plants to reduce emissions, such as enormous potential of the CCS technology worldwide. a tax break or a fine for emissions above a certain level. Perhaps one of the most known CCS projects is the Scientists from the Midwest Geological Sequestration Sleipner Project, off the coast of Norway, ongoing since Consortium, one of seven public-private partnerships 1996, where CO2 is being stored in an offshore saline created by the Department of Energy to promote CO2, formation. 12 million tons of CO2 have been stored to are currently injecting 1 million metric tons of CO2 into a date.21 The project has been successful in many regards sandstone site in Illinois, a project which will take a year (a due to the Norwegian carbon tax implemented 20 years coal plant on average emits 3 million metric tons of CO2 ago ($50 per metric ton).22 Injecting the CO2 offshore was annually). The site has the potential to store 245.5 billion less expensive than paying the tax. metric tons.17 This project will provide us the best estimate of what sequestration will look like, practically, and is one In Alberta, Canada, $2 billion has been pledged to CCS of the largest CCS projects to date and the first in the US. over a 15 year period, beginning in 2008. This is the largest The CO2 is coming from a nearby ethanol refinery and will amount a government has dedicated to CCS projects to arrive at the site via pipeline. date, and the project will store 4 million tons of CO2 by 2015 with a goal to store 140 metric tons by 2050.23 In Emissions from ethanol are comprised almost completely Saskatchewan, the world’s largest CCS project is housed in of CO2 so capture and compression costs are significantly Weyburn. The site will hold 20 million tons of CO2 used for lower than with a coal-fired plant. It will be stored 7,000 EOR when completed.24 This site is now providing feet underground.18 The Illinois Basin – Decatur Project cost evidence as to the long-term storage capacity of CCS. is $96 billion dollars in total. There are currently 150 small- The site is now part of an $80 million international scale projects being carried out in the United States.19 monitoring project investigated to determine if the CO2 is 20 www.iea.org/papers/2011/costperf_ccs_powergen.pdf 21 news.stanford.edu/news/2011/december/benson-climate-change-120611.html 22 Ibid. 16 news.stanford.edu/news/2011/december/benson-climate-change-120611.html 23 17 www.carboncapturejournal.com/displaynews.php?NewsID=869 www.edmontonjournal.com/opinion/Thomson+Redford+dogged+carbon+capture+plan/573 18 boingboing.net/2011/12/02/a-hole-in-the-ground.html 7238/story.html?cid=megadrop_story 19 summitcountyvoice.com/2011/11/28/climate-large-scale-carbon-capture-tried-in-illinois/ 24 www.co2captureandstorage.info/project_specific.php?project_id=98 9 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012 Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
  • 11. Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3) bubbling up – so far it has been deemed safe.25 However, provide additional cost savings. Finally, the cost of it is difficult to predict over time if the CO2 will stay in sequestering the concentrated carbon dioxide is also place. expensive, and although several sites have been identified for potential storage facilities, the number of approved CCS: Bottom Line sites is still limited. Unless national or international efforts focus on creating a As more improvements in the processes and technology price on carbon, CCS is unlikely to be adopted in the near utilized through all parts of the CCS process advances, term. The Coal Industry itself is opposing the forced from the processing at the coal fired utility plants, to adoption of CCS technologies, as the cost of retrofitting transporting the gas to approved storage sites, the CCS the currently operating coal facilities is prohibitive to technology will be more cost efficient, more readily adoption. In fact, many facilities are citing these costs adopted, and utilized worldwide. (specifically the costs of achieving the required higher emissions standards) as the main reason for the plant closures. Although new technologies are being developed to lower the cost of these improvements, they have not reached the point where they are affordable and offer a high return on investment in the short term. These costs are likely to be recouped over years, making them less attractive. However, its use in EOR may become more prevalent as the costs associated with coal increase. More pilot projects are necessary in order to understand the long-term costs and potential health and environmental impacts of CCS. Currently, the Global CCS Institute lists 74 large scale CCS projects currently being operating or in various stages of development. These projects will set the pace and develop new technology as they advance. Additionally, the modes of transportation are also evolving from an inefficient system to a hub-based system, which will 25www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/cenovus-study-finds-co2-not-leaking-from- ground/article2254078/ 10 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012 Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
  • 12. Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3) Q&A with Q&A: Dr. Raymond L. Orbach, CCS. Practically, it will mean that no new coal fired Energy Institute, University of power plant can be built, unless it has sufficient CCS capability. Texas at Austin 3. ZP: What environmental policy concerns are DR. RAYMOND L. ORBACH currently affecting CCS the most in the US? Director, Energy Institute Dr. Orbach: The cost of CCS is the greatest concern in University of Texas at Austin the U.S. It takes about a third of a power plant’s energy to capture CO2, making it uneconomical unless there is About Dr. Raymond L. Orbach: Created by the Energy Policy Act of an offset. 2005, Raymond Lee Orbach was nominated by President Bush to serve as the first Under Secretary for Science at the U.S. Department of 4. ZP: What should the energy industry look forward to Energy (DOE). On May 26, 2006, Dr. Orbach was unanimously from the University of Texas Energy Institute in 2012? confirmed by the U.S. Senate and sworn in as Under Secretary on June 1, 2006. Dr. Orbach received his Bachelor of Science degree in Physics from the California Institute of Technology in 1956. He received his Dr. Orbach: The Energy Institute is developing a process Ph.D. degree in Physics from the University of California, Berkeley, in for sequestration that is much more efficient than 1960 and was elected to Phi Beta Kappa. current technologies, and includes an energy offset that would substantially reduce the net cost of CCS. 1. ZP: What current technology trends are influencing CCS in the US? About: Energy Institute, University of Texas at Austin Dr. Orbach: The principal technological development is The Energy Institute at the University of Texas at Austin improvement of the “amine” liquids used to capture (http://energy.utexas.edu/) was created to address the CO2 from flue gas from coal fired power plants. This most challenging energy issues facing society today. Our development, led by Professor Gary Rochelle at UT mission is to provide guidance in the pursuit of a new Austin, operates at slightly higher temperatures, but energy paradigm that is at once viable and promises increased efficiency for CO2 capture. sustainable. The Institute’s overarching goal is to alter the trajectory of public discourse in a positive manner, as 2. ZP: What US regulatory and legal initiatives will have exemplified in our credo – good policy based on good the greatest impact on CCS in 2012/13? science. Dr. Orbach: The recent EPA rule on greenhouse gas emissions will have a profound effect on 11 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012 Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
  • 13. Special Report Series | Coal: Closer Look at CCS (Part 3 of 3) The Energy Institute’s formation is premised on the notion that colleges and universities are uniquely positioned to conduct independent and impartial scientific research. This concept is illustrated in our approach to research, in which we assemble inter-disciplinary teams of faculty from schools and colleges across campus to address complex energy issues in a comprehensive manner. Our aim is to inject science- and fact-based analysis into what is often a contentious dialogue, and in so doing bring clarity to the debate that shapes public policy on energy issues. The Institute’s mission also includes the development of interdisciplinary certificate and degree programs in Zpryme Credits energy, to broaden the educational experience of Editor Managing Editor Research Lead students in this critical field of study. Megan Dean Samarth Bahl Stefan Trifonov Special Thanks To Dr. Raymond L. Orbach, Energy Institute, Director The University of Texas at Austin Disclaimer These materials and the information contained herein are provided by Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC and are intended to provide general information on a particular subject or subjects and is not an exhaustive treatment of such subject(s). Accordingly, the information in these materials is not intended to constitute accounting, tax, legal, investment, consulting or other professional advice or services. The information is not intended to be relied upon as the sole basis for any decision which may affect you or your business. Before making any decision or taking any action that might affect your personal finances or business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. These materials and the information contained herein is provided as is, and Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC makes no express or implied representations or warranties regarding these materials and the information herein. Without limiting the foregoing, Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC does not warrant that the materials or information contained herein will be error-free or will meet any particular criteria of performance or quality. Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC expressly disclaims all implied warranties, including, without limitation, warranties of merchantability, title, fitness for a particular purpose, noninfringement, compatibility, security, and accuracy. Prediction of future events is inherently subject to both known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results to vary materially. Your use of these and the information contained herein is at your own risk and you assume full responsibility and risk of loss resulting from the use thereof. Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC will not be liable for any special, indirect, incidental, consequential, or punitive damages or any other damages whatsoever, whether in an action of contract, statute, tort (including, without limitation, negligence), or otherwise, relating to the use of these materials and the information contained herein. 12 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org Zpryme Smart Grid Insights | May 2012 Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved.
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