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Calculating ROI

4imprint.com
Hail to the King: How to calculate the
ROI of marketing efforts
In the French language, “roi” translates to king. But if
you speak English, you probably know that “ROI” is the
abbreviation for return on investment, something companies
care deeply about. Figuring out the ROI on marketing
and sales efforts helps determine if the investment yields
profits, and how much payback they give to the organization. So, if
you combine these two words in a sentence, you could say that measuring the
ROI is the king of marketing efforts. In fact, companies pay a king’s ransom for
investments in marketing campaigns. Whether it’s print ads, radio, television
or online, you need to know if your efforts are profitable. The most common
question marketers ask is: “Did this program (ad, television spot or online blast)
deliver a return on our investment?” If you can answer this question successfully
you’ll be able to determine what efforts give you the biggest bang for your buck.
When it comes to delivering value, knowing the ROI gives you a king’s power.
Let’s start with some good news. Although it can be difficult to calculate a return
on investment for marketing efforts, it’s not impossible. Are you ready for the bad
news? It’s a highly data-driven process and there are a lot of ways to do it. Each
model and method claims to be the “perfect” solution, but in reality, measuring
ROI is far from a one-size-fits-all activity. Your company will need to dig deep and
outline exactly what you want to measure in order to be successful.
How you determine ROI will vary based on different efforts and the level of detail
you want to evaluate. Do you want to know the ROI for your content marketing
strategy or your Facebook® campaign? Or, do you want to know if the price you
pay for television and radio ads justifies the investment? While experts vary on
the ways to calculate ROI, there is an overall agreement that it is a necessary task,
because otherwise you may be blindly throwing dollars at campaigns that aren’t
providing value. So where do you start?
This Blue Paper® looks at how you can successfully calculate a return on
investment (ROI). Whether you’re looking for the long-term or short-term
payback on a marketing investment, this paper will review some of the most
widely used ROI tools and methods that can give you king-like powers. Do it
correctly, and your “gut instinct” can go on vacation.

What is ROI anyway?
Most Chief Marketing Officers (CMOs) believe ROI should be the primary
measurement of marketing effectiveness. According to an IBM® survey, 63 percent
of CMOs surveyed think ROI will be the primary measurement by 2015. Yet the
© 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
same survey reported that 56 percent of CMOs felt ill-equipped to manage ROI.
Other surveys say the same thing, while most companies know measuring ROI is
important they aren’t exactly sure how to do it.1
A recent study from Columbia Business School looked at the struggles marketers
face with big data and digital tools as they pertain to calculating ROI. The 2012
study, Marketing ROI in the Era of Big Data surveyed hundreds of marketing
decision makers across multiple industries. One of the key findings was that when
it comes to calculating ROI, marketers know they need it, but cannot agree on
its meaning and implementation. Specifically, 31 percent of respondents said
that they believe simply measuring the audience you have reached is “marketing
ROI.” In addition, 57 percent are not basing their marketing budgets on any ROI
analysis, and 28 percent are still basing marketing budgets on gut instincts. The
study also revealed that 21 percent are using financial metrics
for “little” or “none” of their marketing budget and seven
percent are spending most, or all, of their marketing budget
with “no metrics” at all. Yet at the same time, 70 percent of
marketers say that their marketing efforts are under greater
scrutiny than in the past.2
Interestingly, the same study found that most marketers are
unsure how to leverage data to create more meaningful
ROI calculations. Only 19 percent of those surveyed collect new forms of digital
data like customer mobile device data and a mere 35 percent collect social media
data.3 Indeed, technology advancements have brought both opportunities
and challenges when factoring the ROI of marketing investments. Thanks to
advancements in analytics and marketing automation there is an abundance of
data available that companies can use to figure out the payback of marketing
efforts. At the same time, however, there can be so much data that companies
don’t know where to begin.
If you have a few minutes, there’s a great video on YouTube® that discusses how
companies should adapt marketing measurements in a changing world. The video
presenter is Dominique Hanssens, Professor of Marketing at UCLA and a cofounder of MarketShare®. Hanssens discusses the role of data models in advanced
marketing analytics, including how marketing executives must adapt to ROI
metrics to gauge and improve marketing effectiveness.
1  ensen, Sylvia. “4 Ways of Measuring Marketing ROI.” It’s All About Revenue The Revenue Marketing Blog RSS.
J
N.p., 26 Nov. 2012. Web. 18 Dec. 2013. http://blog.eloqua.com/measuring-marketing-roi/.
2  Study Finds Marketers Struggle with the Big Data and Digital Tools of Today.” PRNewswire N.p., 12 Mar. 2012.
“
Web. 19 Dec. 2013. http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/study-finds-marketers-struggle-with-the-bigdata-and-digital-tools-of-today-142312475.html.
3  Study Finds Marketers Struggle with the Big Data and Digital Tools of Today.” PRNewswire N.p., 12 Mar. 2012.
“
Web. 19 Dec. 2013. http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/study-finds-marketers-struggle-with-the-bigdata-and-digital-tools-of-today-142312475.html.
© 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
Why is it so hard to determine the ROI for marketing efforts?
Before we get to the how-to part of the Blue Paper, we need to understand
the challenges in determining the ROI for marketing efforts. If you identify
the bottlenecks in advance, you are better equipped to address any challenges
and troubleshoot obstacles. Because let’s face it, determining an ROI for any
marketing effort requires a full understanding of key measures and influencers.
You need to know what you’re up against before you start.
According to Marketo®, a firm that specializes in marketing measures, some of the
key challenges are:
•	 Knowing when to measure 
•	 Multiple touches 
•	 Multiple influencers  
•	 Extraneous variables4
First, according to Marketo, timing is everything,
especially when it comes to knowing when to measure.
The money you invest today will have an uncertain impact at an uncertain point
in the future. For example, the trade show you held last month may deliver
results immediately or in two years. But marketers need to decide where to invest
their money today. One of the first things marketers need to identify is when to
measure so that it can provide immediate value to the organization.
Second, multiple touches are another reason it can be hard to determine the ROI
on a particular marketing effort. Marketing wisdom says at least seven touches
are needed in order to convert a cold lead into a sale.  Whether or not this is the
exact number, the idea conveys an element of truth: Every marketer knows it
takes multiple touches to create a customer. This fact makes it difficult to allocate
revenue to any specific touch, and yet, it must be addressed to be successful.
In addition to multiple touches, every marketing effort also has multiple
influencers that make it difficult to ascertain the exact impact. For example, the
average buying committee at a mid-sized company is about six people. In larger
companies or with more complex purchases, committees can involve 21 or more
influencers. Different marketing programs affect each individual differently, so it
is a challenge to know which programs have the most impact.

4  iller, Jon. “How to Measure the ROI of Your Marketing Programs.” Marketo Marketing Best Practices and
M
Thought Leadership. N.p., 14 Mar. 2013. Web. 18 Dec. 2013.
http://blog.marketo.com/blog/2013/03/how-to-measure-the-roi-of-your-marketing-programs.html.
© 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
Finally, there are a number of extraneous variables that make it difficult to obtain
the true ROI of certain efforts. In many cases, external factors can significantly
impact program results. Some of these may be economic trends, the weather, or
the quality of the sales reps. Just because revenues increased because the economy
improved, does that mean marketers can claim that their programs delivered better
ROI? It’s a slippery slope indeed. Yet, knowing the challenges in advance will help
your organization develop more realistic and actionable ROI models.
Gil Regev, Vice President of Marketing at MassiveImpact® summarized the
challenges in practical terms with the following observation: “Truth is, ROI on
marketing is difficult to measure. Media interest can yield immediate success, or it
can drive actual business months later, if at all. And when results do come, many
factors have to be considered–the forum, the message, the timing, and sometimes
even the product gets some credit.”5
Don Sexton, from the Columbia Business School, agrees. He recently said: “CMOs
face a dynamic and challenging environment for marketing today. They will find
no simple answers to effectively measuring marketing ROI amidst the growth of
big data and new digital marketing tools. Innovative marketing and effective
measurement will both be works in progress that require leadership, agility, and
constant learning.”6
Yet despite the difficulties, the fact remains: Measuring
ROI is critical, and the challenges and obstacles are not
insurmountable. Once you are aware of the parameters
that can affect ROI calculations, you can implement ways
to account for data discrepancies in order to produce
more accurate results.

Five steps to help you get started
Some companies choose to outsource the task of measuring marketing ROI. If
you have a king’s budget, there are many companies that can cull through your
corporate data in order to produce an accurate ROI. You could hire companies like
Accenture® or Marketo® to evaluate your ROI and develop quantitative ROI metrics.
However, many mid-sized and smaller companies do not have the funds to
outsource ROI calculations. Accordingly, we’ve identified five key steps that
companies can take right now to begin calculating a marketing ROI. Some of these

5  egev, Gil. “Can Marketing Ever Be Measured By Direct ROI?” CMO.COM, 11 Sept. 2013. Web. 18 Dec. 2013.
R
http://www.cmo.com/content/cmo-com/home/articles/2013/9/3/can_marketing_ever_b.html.
6  ogers, David, and Don Sexton. Marketing ROI in the Era of Big Data:. Rep. Columbia Business School, 2012.
R
Web. 19 Dec. 2013.
http://www4.gsb.columbia.edu/null/2012-BRITE-NYAMA-Marketing-ROI-Study?exclusive=filemgr.download.
© 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
tips can be found in the report Marketing ROI in the Era of Big Data.7
Step 1: Define what marketing ROI means for your organization
Before you can effectively measure ROI, you must define key performance indicator
metrics (KPIs), and agree upon the definition of “success.” You might want to check

out the Blue Paper on Metrics and Measures to gain a better understanding of things
you can measure. For example, a CMO might be interested in cost-per-lead and
the number of new leads at each phase of the sales funnel. But content marketing
managers might be interested in the number of blog posts and downloads
published. The point is that success can be defined in many ways, but in order to
evaluate the ROI, all stakeholders must agree on a starting point and identify what
metrics are most important.
As an example, you might considering viewing John McTigue’s blog post, Top 10
Inbound Marketing KPIs – The View From the Top. McTigue outlines some of the key

metrics that companies might look at to determine the ROI on inbound marketing
activities, such as sales revenues, customer acquisition costs and customer lifetime
value. HubSpot® even has an ROI calculator that can help assess monthly and annual
performance and assist with planning.
Step 2: Set realistic and measurable goals
Once your KPIs are defined and agreed upon, the next step
is to establish appropriate metrics. As your organization
gathers data over time, adjustments will need to be made.
Initial goals may be too aggressive or conservative, but it’s
important to be willing to adjust them accordingly.
In this step, you must also consider establishing guidelines for data presentation.
The general rule is to keep things simple. Executives should be able to tell if an
objective was met with a quick glance. If using a spreadsheet, consider a simple
color coding system—perhaps green if the goal was met and red if it was missed.
Step 3: Gather the right data needed
According to the study from the Columbia Business School, 51 percent of all
marketers say that a lack of sharing customer data across their organization is an
obstacle to effectively measuring ROI.8
If you are like most organizations and data is collected and managed in
7  ogers, David, and Don Sexton. Marketing ROI in the Era of Big Data:. Rep. Columbia Business School, 2012.
R
Web. 19 Dec. 2013.
http://www4.gsb.columbia.edu/null/2012-BRITE-NYAMA-Marketing-ROI-Study?exclusive=filemgr.download.
8  ogers, David, and Don Sexton. Marketing ROI in the Era of Big Data:. Rep. Columbia Business School, 2012.
R
Web. 19 Dec. 2013.
http://www4.gsb.columbia.edu/null/2012-BRITE-NYAMA-Marketing-ROI-Study?exclusive=filemgr.download.
© 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
multiple databases, establish a system for collecting the data needed from each
department. First and foremost, work with your sales and IT departments to
create a closed-loop process through your marketing automation platform. This
integration will provide you with timely feedback from sales on the impact of your
various activities in driving revenue.
Step 4: Monitor goals frequently
Experts suggest that KPIs are monitored on a weekly, if not daily, basis. Companies
that wait until the end of the month to evaluate performance will not be
successful long term. Noticing things like a decline in leads or sales can identify
when you need to put a plan to get back on track.
Step 5: Use your data to make better decisions
The days of relying on gut instincts are gone; collecting simple data is not going to
get you where you need to be. Successful marketers understand the importance of
using data to make decisions and justify budget requests to their bosses.

Now, let’s get technical
When calculating ROI, it’s important to define some key metrics. The return on
marketing investment (ROMI) is a relatively new metric that looks at the net of
marketing spending and divides it by the marketing dollars that are invested or
risked. In a 2010 survey of 200 marketing managers, nearly half reported that they
find the ROMI metric useful.9
Short-term ROMI is a simple index measuring the dollars of revenue (or market
share, contribution margin or other desired outputs) for every dollar of marketing
spent. For example, if a company spends $10,000 on a radio advertisement
and it delivers $50,000 in incremental revenue, then the ROMI factor is 5.0. If
the incremental contribution margin for that $50,000 in revenue is 60 percent,
then the margin ROMI (the incremental margin for $10,000 of marketing spent
is $30,000 (= $50,000 x 60 percent). Of which, the $10,000 spent on direct mail
advertising will be subtracted and the difference will be divided
by the same $10,000. Every dollar expended in radio advertising
translates an additional $2 to the company’s bottom line.10
Let’s get practical: How to calculate short-term ROMI for advertising
Let’s take a look at how a company might calculate a short-term
ROMI for advertising.

9  eturn on Marketing Investment.” Wikipedia. Wikimedia Foundation, 23 Nov. 2013. Web. 11 Dec. 2013.
R
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Return_on_marketing_investment.
10  Return on Marketing Investment.” Wikipedia. Wikimedia Foundation, 23 Nov. 2013. Web. 18 Dec. 2013.
“
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Return_on_marketing_investment.
© 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
If a company wanted to determine the ROMI on a particular advertising
campaign, for example, a good starting point might be an examination of the
gross sales margin. Advertisers might look for an increase in gross sales margin,
which is simply the increase in sales revenue minus the costs to run the ad
campaign, which includes production costs and purchasing air time. For example,
after a $1,000 month-long ad campaign, a small business that has a sales increase
of $3,000 has a gross sales margin of $2,000.11
As a measurement, ROMI can be simply calculated mathematically by dividing the
gross sales margin with the ad campaign cost. From the previous example, ROMI is
calculated by dividing the $1,000 ad campaign into the $2,000 gross sales margin,
giving an ROMI of 200 percent. That means that for every ad dollar spent, it
generated two in new sales. A well-run TV ad campaign should produce between
300 and 500 percent ROMI, according to the Chief Marketer website.
There are other strategies to track ad effectiveness. According to Entrepreneur®,
some ads feature “loss leaders;” products that are underpriced in order to bring
customers to the store. A similar strategy is to advertise a special
product available for only a limited time. If sales of the product
increase, you know the ad is reaching customers. Also, advertisers
can use “word flags” to mark their ads, which are distinctive
words or phrases designed to resonate with the customers. If your
customers are repeating the joke in your advertisement back to you
or your employees, that also shows that the ad is working.
Let’s get practical: How to measure short-term ROMI of content marketing
What about measuring content marketing? According to the Custom Content
Council, 68 percent of CMOs say they are shifting their budgets from traditional
advertising to content marketing.12 When it comes to figuring out the ROMI of
content marketing efforts, a whole new set of metrics will need to be identified.
So how would you measure the ROMI of content marketing?
Mashable® printed a handy article on How to Measure the ROI of a Content
Marketing Strategy. The article presents four easy steps that can help companies
determine the payback of content marketing efforts.
The first step is to understand what you are measuring. Whereas traditional
media companies use readership and ad revenue as the measurement of success,
content marketing relies more on conversions and building brand awareness,

11  ane, Terry. “How to Measure ROI for Television Advertising.” Small Business. Houston Chronicle, n.d. Web. 18
L
Dec. 2013. http://smallbusiness.chron.com/measure-roi-television-advertising-67029.html.
12  now, Shane. “HOW TO: Measure the ROI of a Content Marketing Strategy.” Mashable. N.p., 4 July 2011.
S
Web. 19 Dec. 2013. http://mashable.com/2011/07/04/how-to-measure-roi-content-marketing-strategy/.
© 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
which can be an ambiguous metric. Accordingly, you might look at number of
subscribers, user signups, sales or other interactions. But the first step is to set a
goal, and then track progress from a baseline.
The second step is to use proxies to measure initial success. Proxies are things
like Facebook likes, retweets, shares, links back, comments, time spent on page,
average page views per visitor, followers, @mentions, etc. These kinds of proxies
present immediate signs of encouragement. Things like search engine ranking
take a while to manifest, but proxies will monitor how well your content is
resonating and how you’re building brand equity.
Thirdly, it’s important to measure both primary and
secondary conversion indicators. Measuring conversions
can be as simple as installing Google® Analytics or
keeping a spreadsheet of leads or even check marks
on a whiteboard. While keeping track of the raw
conversion numbers is important, it’s also crucial to
measure secondary indicators. If you’re measuring
leads, you might also look at the quality of leads,
retention period, lifetime value per lead, length of sales cycle, and number of
new customers referred by lead.
The final step is perhaps the most difficult: exercise patience. Content strategy for
most businesses isn’t about instant advertising metrics anymore. As a result, clear
ROMI data can take a while to accumulate.
If you want to learn how to determine the ROMI for Facebook efforts, there’s an
article for that, too. The Houston Chronicle outlines a few simple steps that can
help organizations measure the ROMI of Facebook in the article How to Measure
Your Facebook Campaign ROI.
What about long-term ROMI?
The long-term ROMI is a more sophisticated metric that balances marketing
and business analytics and is used by many of the world’s leading organizations.
Think of it this way, while short-term ROMI will give you an idea of how you are
doing right now, a long-term ROMI will tell you what to expect in the following
months or years. Companies like Hewlett Packard® and Procter  Gamble® use
long-term ROMI to measure the economic (i.e. cash-flow derived) benefits created
by marketing investments. For many other organizations, this method offers a
way to prioritize investments and allocate marketing and other resources on a
formalized basis.

© 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
There are several ways to calculate a long-term ROMI, in fact, it can make you
dizzy trying to determine what long-term metrics will work best for your company.
Hubspot published a handy guide on 7 Common Marketing Metrics that helps
explain the math behind some of the most popular marketing metrics. The article
walks you through some of the time-tested formulas in the marketing world and
is a good place to start. But, as explained by author Ryan Ghods, there are many
ways to calculate these formulas. He cautions that “based on your specific business
and the industry you operate in, you may want to tweak these formulas to better
represent the conclusions you’re after.”13
Brand valuation, for example, is a type of metric that is integrated into long-term
ROMI calculations. Brand valuation takes the corporate brand into account when
determining ROMI. For example, did you know that 80 percent of Google’s $125
billion market capitalization is attributed to its brand?14 That means that the
corporate brand plays an important role in future sales and marketing efforts.
Companies should be aware of the value of their brand in order to accurately
develop a long-term ROMI. If you need more information on brand valuation,
Patrick Collings, Managing Partner at Sagacite, posted an in-depth presentation
on measuring brand value.
Sometimes long-term ROMI models will draw on Customer Lifetime
Value (CLV) models to demonstrate the long-term value of incremental
customer acquisition or reduced churn rate. The purpose of the customer
lifetime value metric is to assess the value of each customer. The CLV
calculation process consists of four steps:
1.	 Forecasting of remaining customer lifetime (most often in years)
2.	  orecasting of future revenues (most often year-by-year), based on an
F
estimation about future products purchased and price paid
3.	 Estimation of costs for delivering those products
4.	 Calculation of the net present value of these future amounts15
Other, more sophisticated approaches like Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM)
include multi-year, long-term ROMI by including CLV and other types of analysis.
It’s a discipline that is highly effective in combining both short- and long-term
calculations to develop a more sophisticated ROMI for marketing efforts. Let’s
take a look at the MMM discipline in greater detail.
13  hods, Ryan. “A Simple Explanation of the Math Behind 7 Common Marketing Metrics.” A Simple Explanation
G
of the Math Behind 7 Common Marketing Metrics. N.p., 2 Apr. 2013. Web. 27 Dec. 2013.
http://blog.hubspot.com/marketing/math-behind-common-marketing-metrics.
14  ollings, Patrick. “Measuring Brand Value.” N.p., 3 Apr. 2010. Web. 27 Dec. 2013.
C
http://www.slideshare.net/pjcollings/measuring-brand-value-patrick-collings.
15  Customer Lifetime Value.” Wikipedia. Wikimedia Foundation, 22 Dec. 2013. Web. 24 Dec. 2013.
“
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Customer_lifetime_value.
© 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
Marketing Mix Modeling
Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) has become a widely-accepted methodology.
In the last 10 years, many consumer packaged goods (CPG) companies have
adopted MMM techniques with great success. Fortune 500 companies like Proctor
 Gamble®, Kraft®, Coca-Cola®, and Pepsi® use MMM as a key part of marketing
planning. A number of specialist firms now provide MMM services to companies
of all sizes, which has also increased its popularity. If you’d like to become an
expert on MMM, you can download the 75-page Definitive Guide to Marketing
Metrics and Marketing Analytics that is published by Marketo®.
As noted by McKinsey  Company®, MMM analytics must include industry
knowledge, brand-building impact estimates, and provide transparent
assumptions that are delivered in a way that makes sense to the business user.
This can be a challenge because the very nature of MMM is data-driven and
highly technical, yet it is also extremely effective in identifying long-term payback
for marketing investments.16
So what is it? Marketing Mix Modeling is an analytical approach that uses historic
information, such as syndicated point-of-sale data and companies’ internal data,
to quantify the sales impact of various marketing activities. Mathematically, this is
done by establishing a simultaneous relation of various marketing activities with
the sales, in the form of a linear or a non-linear equation, through the statistical
technique of regression. MMM defines the effectiveness of each of the marketing
elements in terms of its contribution to sales-volume effectiveness (volume
generated by each unit of effort), efficiency (sales volume generated divided by
cost) and ROI. These learnings are then adopted to adjust marketing tactics and
strategies, optimize the marketing plan and also to forecast sales while simulating
various scenarios.17
MMM factors in new media, such as the Internet, viral marketing, event
marketing, sports marketing, product placement, cell phones, and other
modern day conveniences that change the way consumers shop and buy
products and services. For example, think of how commercial viewing has
decreased, thanks to “on demand” viewing, and similar technologies,
that enable viewers to fast forward through commercials. These types
of factors require marketing departments to optimize the combination
of marketing and advertising investments to generate the greatest sales
growth and maximize profits. Marketing Mix Modeling measures the
potential value of all marketing inputs and identifies marketing investments that
16  Marketing Return on Investment.” Marketing Return on Investment. N.p., n.d. Web. 27 Dec. 2013.
“
http://www.mckinsey.com/client_service/marketing_and_sales/expertise/marketing_return_on_investment.
17  Marketing Mix Modeling.” Wikipedia. Wikimedia Foundation, 21 Nov. 2013. Web. 18 Dec. 2013.
“
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marketing_mix_modeling.
© 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
are most likely to produce long-term revenue growth.
Typically, Marketing Mix Modeling involves the use of multiple regression
techniques to help predict the optimal mix of marketing variables. Regression is
based on a number of inputs (or independent variables) and how these relate to
an outcome (or dependent variable) such as sales or profits. It’s a complex process,
but once the model is built and validated, the input variables (advertising,
promotion, etc.) can be manipulated to determine the net effect on a company’s
sales or profits. What kind of data goes into creating Marketing Mix Modeling?
Below are some of the data points you might include in MMM:
•	 Economic data
•	 Industry data
•	 Category data
•	 Advertising data (including copy testing)
ºº Promotional data
ºº Competitive data
ºº Service data
•	 Product data
ºº Pricing data
ºº Features and performance
•	 Market outcome data
ºº Sales
ºº Revenues
ºº Profits
When done correctly, Marketing Mix Modeling can provide the following insights:
•	 Contribution by marketing activity
•	 ROMI by marketing activity
•	 Effectiveness of marketing activity
•	 Optimal distribution of spends
•	 Learnings on how to execute each activity better.

© 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
By now you’ve probably gathered that MMM is only for the
serious and dedicated marketers. If you want to adopt this
model, you’ll need to learn more and perhaps seek advice
from a third party. You can learn more from a free download
on Marketing Mix Modeling from Forrester®. McKinsey 
Company® also outlines a 5 step approach to implement MMM
that can help you become familiar with the process.

Tools, tools and more tools
There is an abundance of tools to help calculate ROI in a variety of areas. N-Ten
has a tool that can calculate the ROI of your online ads. Or you can check out
Blogging Business Tips and its list of How to Calculate ROI for Paid Ads and Maximize
Online Profits. Entrepreneur.com® has a Pay-Per-Click ROI Calculator and Marketing

Mo® has a downloadable tool that measures the success of marketing efforts.
The marketing company Gossamar also has an easy to use ROMI calculator that
can help you determine the payback from inbound marketing and marketing
automation strategies. Users follow step-by-step instructions that even a nonanalyst user can understand. It also allows users to create “what if” scenarios
with data and houses best practice guidance.
If you want to calculate customer lifetime value, check out the CLV tool from
Harvard Business School®. And that’s just for starters. There’s no shortage of
resources that can help with your efforts to calculate an ROI.
Conclusion
Not everyone believes that calculating the ROI for marketing efforts is the holy grail
of measures. For example, an article in Forbes® claims that measuring ROI is the wrong
approach.18 According to Forbes author Daniel Kehrer: “Using ROI to gauge impact
can severely distort the true value marketing is delivering for your organization.”19
Kehrer and others assert that not only is measuring ROI limited. It falls short in
helping a company understand marketing’s contribution to business goals, or how
those contributions can be improved. To get a full picture of marketing effectiveness,
companies need to look holistically at the marketing investments a company makes.20
18  ehrer, Daniel. “Why ROI Is Often Wrong For Measuring Marketing Impact.” Forbes Magazine, 09 July 2013. Web. 24
K
Dec. 2013.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesinsights/2013/07/09/why-roi-is-often-wrong-for-measuring-marketing-impact/.
19  ehrer, Daniel. “Why ROI Is Often Wrong For Measuring Marketing Impact.” Forbes Magazine, 09 July 2013. Web. 24
K
Dec. 2013.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesinsights/2013/07/09/why-roi-is-often-wrong-for-measuring-marketing-impact/.
20  ehrer, Daniel. “Why ROI Is Often Wrong For Measuring Marketing Impact.” Forbes Magazine, 09 July 2013. Web. 24
K
Dec. 2013.
© 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
As Kehrer said, “if you settle for a seductively simple measure, such as
ROI, you may severely distort the true value that marketing is delivering
for your organization.”
Kehrer isn’t alone in his thoughts, either. Author Terry Lane notes that “in
many cases, determining the ROI of an ad campaign is more often a matter
of interpretation and judgment, as definitively tying sales to an ad is difficult,
especially with advertising that promotes a brand and not a specific product,
service or sale. Some businesses use advertisement to promote other goals, like
improved name recognition, where the ROI would be measured on values other
than increased sales or revenue.”21
True, measuring the ROI may not be the definitive metric that tells you how
successful you are in marketing efforts. However, it is a good yardstick that
can help you see whether or not your efforts are indeed providing value. And,
certainly measuring something is far better than nothing at all!

http://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesinsights/2013/07/09/why-roi-is-often-wrong-for-measuring-marketingimpact/.
21  ane, Terry. “How to Measure ROI for Television Advertising.” Small Business. N.p., n.d. Web. 18 Dec. 2013.
L
http://smallbusiness.chron.com/measure-roi-television-advertising-67029.html.

4imprint serves more than 100,000 businesses with innovative promotional items throughout the United States,
Canada, United Kingdom and Ireland. Its product offerings include giveaways, business gifts, personalized gifts,
embroidered apparel, promotional pens, travel mugs, tote bags, water bottles, Post-it Notes, custom calendars,
and many other promotional items. For additional information, log on to www.4imprint.com.

© 2013 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved

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Calculating ROI

  • 2. Hail to the King: How to calculate the ROI of marketing efforts In the French language, “roi” translates to king. But if you speak English, you probably know that “ROI” is the abbreviation for return on investment, something companies care deeply about. Figuring out the ROI on marketing and sales efforts helps determine if the investment yields profits, and how much payback they give to the organization. So, if you combine these two words in a sentence, you could say that measuring the ROI is the king of marketing efforts. In fact, companies pay a king’s ransom for investments in marketing campaigns. Whether it’s print ads, radio, television or online, you need to know if your efforts are profitable. The most common question marketers ask is: “Did this program (ad, television spot or online blast) deliver a return on our investment?” If you can answer this question successfully you’ll be able to determine what efforts give you the biggest bang for your buck. When it comes to delivering value, knowing the ROI gives you a king’s power. Let’s start with some good news. Although it can be difficult to calculate a return on investment for marketing efforts, it’s not impossible. Are you ready for the bad news? It’s a highly data-driven process and there are a lot of ways to do it. Each model and method claims to be the “perfect” solution, but in reality, measuring ROI is far from a one-size-fits-all activity. Your company will need to dig deep and outline exactly what you want to measure in order to be successful. How you determine ROI will vary based on different efforts and the level of detail you want to evaluate. Do you want to know the ROI for your content marketing strategy or your Facebook® campaign? Or, do you want to know if the price you pay for television and radio ads justifies the investment? While experts vary on the ways to calculate ROI, there is an overall agreement that it is a necessary task, because otherwise you may be blindly throwing dollars at campaigns that aren’t providing value. So where do you start? This Blue Paper® looks at how you can successfully calculate a return on investment (ROI). Whether you’re looking for the long-term or short-term payback on a marketing investment, this paper will review some of the most widely used ROI tools and methods that can give you king-like powers. Do it correctly, and your “gut instinct” can go on vacation. What is ROI anyway? Most Chief Marketing Officers (CMOs) believe ROI should be the primary measurement of marketing effectiveness. According to an IBM® survey, 63 percent of CMOs surveyed think ROI will be the primary measurement by 2015. Yet the © 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 3. same survey reported that 56 percent of CMOs felt ill-equipped to manage ROI. Other surveys say the same thing, while most companies know measuring ROI is important they aren’t exactly sure how to do it.1 A recent study from Columbia Business School looked at the struggles marketers face with big data and digital tools as they pertain to calculating ROI. The 2012 study, Marketing ROI in the Era of Big Data surveyed hundreds of marketing decision makers across multiple industries. One of the key findings was that when it comes to calculating ROI, marketers know they need it, but cannot agree on its meaning and implementation. Specifically, 31 percent of respondents said that they believe simply measuring the audience you have reached is “marketing ROI.” In addition, 57 percent are not basing their marketing budgets on any ROI analysis, and 28 percent are still basing marketing budgets on gut instincts. The study also revealed that 21 percent are using financial metrics for “little” or “none” of their marketing budget and seven percent are spending most, or all, of their marketing budget with “no metrics” at all. Yet at the same time, 70 percent of marketers say that their marketing efforts are under greater scrutiny than in the past.2 Interestingly, the same study found that most marketers are unsure how to leverage data to create more meaningful ROI calculations. Only 19 percent of those surveyed collect new forms of digital data like customer mobile device data and a mere 35 percent collect social media data.3 Indeed, technology advancements have brought both opportunities and challenges when factoring the ROI of marketing investments. Thanks to advancements in analytics and marketing automation there is an abundance of data available that companies can use to figure out the payback of marketing efforts. At the same time, however, there can be so much data that companies don’t know where to begin. If you have a few minutes, there’s a great video on YouTube® that discusses how companies should adapt marketing measurements in a changing world. The video presenter is Dominique Hanssens, Professor of Marketing at UCLA and a cofounder of MarketShare®. Hanssens discusses the role of data models in advanced marketing analytics, including how marketing executives must adapt to ROI metrics to gauge and improve marketing effectiveness. 1 ensen, Sylvia. “4 Ways of Measuring Marketing ROI.” It’s All About Revenue The Revenue Marketing Blog RSS. J N.p., 26 Nov. 2012. Web. 18 Dec. 2013. http://blog.eloqua.com/measuring-marketing-roi/. 2 Study Finds Marketers Struggle with the Big Data and Digital Tools of Today.” PRNewswire N.p., 12 Mar. 2012. “ Web. 19 Dec. 2013. http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/study-finds-marketers-struggle-with-the-bigdata-and-digital-tools-of-today-142312475.html. 3 Study Finds Marketers Struggle with the Big Data and Digital Tools of Today.” PRNewswire N.p., 12 Mar. 2012. “ Web. 19 Dec. 2013. http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/study-finds-marketers-struggle-with-the-bigdata-and-digital-tools-of-today-142312475.html. © 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 4. Why is it so hard to determine the ROI for marketing efforts? Before we get to the how-to part of the Blue Paper, we need to understand the challenges in determining the ROI for marketing efforts. If you identify the bottlenecks in advance, you are better equipped to address any challenges and troubleshoot obstacles. Because let’s face it, determining an ROI for any marketing effort requires a full understanding of key measures and influencers. You need to know what you’re up against before you start. According to Marketo®, a firm that specializes in marketing measures, some of the key challenges are: • Knowing when to measure  • Multiple touches  • Multiple influencers   • Extraneous variables4 First, according to Marketo, timing is everything, especially when it comes to knowing when to measure. The money you invest today will have an uncertain impact at an uncertain point in the future. For example, the trade show you held last month may deliver results immediately or in two years. But marketers need to decide where to invest their money today. One of the first things marketers need to identify is when to measure so that it can provide immediate value to the organization. Second, multiple touches are another reason it can be hard to determine the ROI on a particular marketing effort. Marketing wisdom says at least seven touches are needed in order to convert a cold lead into a sale.  Whether or not this is the exact number, the idea conveys an element of truth: Every marketer knows it takes multiple touches to create a customer. This fact makes it difficult to allocate revenue to any specific touch, and yet, it must be addressed to be successful. In addition to multiple touches, every marketing effort also has multiple influencers that make it difficult to ascertain the exact impact. For example, the average buying committee at a mid-sized company is about six people. In larger companies or with more complex purchases, committees can involve 21 or more influencers. Different marketing programs affect each individual differently, so it is a challenge to know which programs have the most impact. 4 iller, Jon. “How to Measure the ROI of Your Marketing Programs.” Marketo Marketing Best Practices and M Thought Leadership. N.p., 14 Mar. 2013. Web. 18 Dec. 2013. http://blog.marketo.com/blog/2013/03/how-to-measure-the-roi-of-your-marketing-programs.html. © 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 5. Finally, there are a number of extraneous variables that make it difficult to obtain the true ROI of certain efforts. In many cases, external factors can significantly impact program results. Some of these may be economic trends, the weather, or the quality of the sales reps. Just because revenues increased because the economy improved, does that mean marketers can claim that their programs delivered better ROI? It’s a slippery slope indeed. Yet, knowing the challenges in advance will help your organization develop more realistic and actionable ROI models. Gil Regev, Vice President of Marketing at MassiveImpact® summarized the challenges in practical terms with the following observation: “Truth is, ROI on marketing is difficult to measure. Media interest can yield immediate success, or it can drive actual business months later, if at all. And when results do come, many factors have to be considered–the forum, the message, the timing, and sometimes even the product gets some credit.”5 Don Sexton, from the Columbia Business School, agrees. He recently said: “CMOs face a dynamic and challenging environment for marketing today. They will find no simple answers to effectively measuring marketing ROI amidst the growth of big data and new digital marketing tools. Innovative marketing and effective measurement will both be works in progress that require leadership, agility, and constant learning.”6 Yet despite the difficulties, the fact remains: Measuring ROI is critical, and the challenges and obstacles are not insurmountable. Once you are aware of the parameters that can affect ROI calculations, you can implement ways to account for data discrepancies in order to produce more accurate results. Five steps to help you get started Some companies choose to outsource the task of measuring marketing ROI. If you have a king’s budget, there are many companies that can cull through your corporate data in order to produce an accurate ROI. You could hire companies like Accenture® or Marketo® to evaluate your ROI and develop quantitative ROI metrics. However, many mid-sized and smaller companies do not have the funds to outsource ROI calculations. Accordingly, we’ve identified five key steps that companies can take right now to begin calculating a marketing ROI. Some of these 5 egev, Gil. “Can Marketing Ever Be Measured By Direct ROI?” CMO.COM, 11 Sept. 2013. Web. 18 Dec. 2013. R http://www.cmo.com/content/cmo-com/home/articles/2013/9/3/can_marketing_ever_b.html. 6 ogers, David, and Don Sexton. Marketing ROI in the Era of Big Data:. Rep. Columbia Business School, 2012. R Web. 19 Dec. 2013. http://www4.gsb.columbia.edu/null/2012-BRITE-NYAMA-Marketing-ROI-Study?exclusive=filemgr.download. © 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 6. tips can be found in the report Marketing ROI in the Era of Big Data.7 Step 1: Define what marketing ROI means for your organization Before you can effectively measure ROI, you must define key performance indicator metrics (KPIs), and agree upon the definition of “success.” You might want to check out the Blue Paper on Metrics and Measures to gain a better understanding of things you can measure. For example, a CMO might be interested in cost-per-lead and the number of new leads at each phase of the sales funnel. But content marketing managers might be interested in the number of blog posts and downloads published. The point is that success can be defined in many ways, but in order to evaluate the ROI, all stakeholders must agree on a starting point and identify what metrics are most important. As an example, you might considering viewing John McTigue’s blog post, Top 10 Inbound Marketing KPIs – The View From the Top. McTigue outlines some of the key metrics that companies might look at to determine the ROI on inbound marketing activities, such as sales revenues, customer acquisition costs and customer lifetime value. HubSpot® even has an ROI calculator that can help assess monthly and annual performance and assist with planning. Step 2: Set realistic and measurable goals Once your KPIs are defined and agreed upon, the next step is to establish appropriate metrics. As your organization gathers data over time, adjustments will need to be made. Initial goals may be too aggressive or conservative, but it’s important to be willing to adjust them accordingly. In this step, you must also consider establishing guidelines for data presentation. The general rule is to keep things simple. Executives should be able to tell if an objective was met with a quick glance. If using a spreadsheet, consider a simple color coding system—perhaps green if the goal was met and red if it was missed. Step 3: Gather the right data needed According to the study from the Columbia Business School, 51 percent of all marketers say that a lack of sharing customer data across their organization is an obstacle to effectively measuring ROI.8 If you are like most organizations and data is collected and managed in 7 ogers, David, and Don Sexton. Marketing ROI in the Era of Big Data:. Rep. Columbia Business School, 2012. R Web. 19 Dec. 2013. http://www4.gsb.columbia.edu/null/2012-BRITE-NYAMA-Marketing-ROI-Study?exclusive=filemgr.download. 8 ogers, David, and Don Sexton. Marketing ROI in the Era of Big Data:. Rep. Columbia Business School, 2012. R Web. 19 Dec. 2013. http://www4.gsb.columbia.edu/null/2012-BRITE-NYAMA-Marketing-ROI-Study?exclusive=filemgr.download. © 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 7. multiple databases, establish a system for collecting the data needed from each department. First and foremost, work with your sales and IT departments to create a closed-loop process through your marketing automation platform. This integration will provide you with timely feedback from sales on the impact of your various activities in driving revenue. Step 4: Monitor goals frequently Experts suggest that KPIs are monitored on a weekly, if not daily, basis. Companies that wait until the end of the month to evaluate performance will not be successful long term. Noticing things like a decline in leads or sales can identify when you need to put a plan to get back on track. Step 5: Use your data to make better decisions The days of relying on gut instincts are gone; collecting simple data is not going to get you where you need to be. Successful marketers understand the importance of using data to make decisions and justify budget requests to their bosses. Now, let’s get technical When calculating ROI, it’s important to define some key metrics. The return on marketing investment (ROMI) is a relatively new metric that looks at the net of marketing spending and divides it by the marketing dollars that are invested or risked. In a 2010 survey of 200 marketing managers, nearly half reported that they find the ROMI metric useful.9 Short-term ROMI is a simple index measuring the dollars of revenue (or market share, contribution margin or other desired outputs) for every dollar of marketing spent. For example, if a company spends $10,000 on a radio advertisement and it delivers $50,000 in incremental revenue, then the ROMI factor is 5.0. If the incremental contribution margin for that $50,000 in revenue is 60 percent, then the margin ROMI (the incremental margin for $10,000 of marketing spent is $30,000 (= $50,000 x 60 percent). Of which, the $10,000 spent on direct mail advertising will be subtracted and the difference will be divided by the same $10,000. Every dollar expended in radio advertising translates an additional $2 to the company’s bottom line.10 Let’s get practical: How to calculate short-term ROMI for advertising Let’s take a look at how a company might calculate a short-term ROMI for advertising. 9 eturn on Marketing Investment.” Wikipedia. Wikimedia Foundation, 23 Nov. 2013. Web. 11 Dec. 2013. R http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Return_on_marketing_investment. 10 Return on Marketing Investment.” Wikipedia. Wikimedia Foundation, 23 Nov. 2013. Web. 18 Dec. 2013. “ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Return_on_marketing_investment. © 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 8. If a company wanted to determine the ROMI on a particular advertising campaign, for example, a good starting point might be an examination of the gross sales margin. Advertisers might look for an increase in gross sales margin, which is simply the increase in sales revenue minus the costs to run the ad campaign, which includes production costs and purchasing air time. For example, after a $1,000 month-long ad campaign, a small business that has a sales increase of $3,000 has a gross sales margin of $2,000.11 As a measurement, ROMI can be simply calculated mathematically by dividing the gross sales margin with the ad campaign cost. From the previous example, ROMI is calculated by dividing the $1,000 ad campaign into the $2,000 gross sales margin, giving an ROMI of 200 percent. That means that for every ad dollar spent, it generated two in new sales. A well-run TV ad campaign should produce between 300 and 500 percent ROMI, according to the Chief Marketer website. There are other strategies to track ad effectiveness. According to Entrepreneur®, some ads feature “loss leaders;” products that are underpriced in order to bring customers to the store. A similar strategy is to advertise a special product available for only a limited time. If sales of the product increase, you know the ad is reaching customers. Also, advertisers can use “word flags” to mark their ads, which are distinctive words or phrases designed to resonate with the customers. If your customers are repeating the joke in your advertisement back to you or your employees, that also shows that the ad is working. Let’s get practical: How to measure short-term ROMI of content marketing What about measuring content marketing? According to the Custom Content Council, 68 percent of CMOs say they are shifting their budgets from traditional advertising to content marketing.12 When it comes to figuring out the ROMI of content marketing efforts, a whole new set of metrics will need to be identified. So how would you measure the ROMI of content marketing? Mashable® printed a handy article on How to Measure the ROI of a Content Marketing Strategy. The article presents four easy steps that can help companies determine the payback of content marketing efforts. The first step is to understand what you are measuring. Whereas traditional media companies use readership and ad revenue as the measurement of success, content marketing relies more on conversions and building brand awareness, 11 ane, Terry. “How to Measure ROI for Television Advertising.” Small Business. Houston Chronicle, n.d. Web. 18 L Dec. 2013. http://smallbusiness.chron.com/measure-roi-television-advertising-67029.html. 12 now, Shane. “HOW TO: Measure the ROI of a Content Marketing Strategy.” Mashable. N.p., 4 July 2011. S Web. 19 Dec. 2013. http://mashable.com/2011/07/04/how-to-measure-roi-content-marketing-strategy/. © 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 9. which can be an ambiguous metric. Accordingly, you might look at number of subscribers, user signups, sales or other interactions. But the first step is to set a goal, and then track progress from a baseline. The second step is to use proxies to measure initial success. Proxies are things like Facebook likes, retweets, shares, links back, comments, time spent on page, average page views per visitor, followers, @mentions, etc. These kinds of proxies present immediate signs of encouragement. Things like search engine ranking take a while to manifest, but proxies will monitor how well your content is resonating and how you’re building brand equity. Thirdly, it’s important to measure both primary and secondary conversion indicators. Measuring conversions can be as simple as installing Google® Analytics or keeping a spreadsheet of leads or even check marks on a whiteboard. While keeping track of the raw conversion numbers is important, it’s also crucial to measure secondary indicators. If you’re measuring leads, you might also look at the quality of leads, retention period, lifetime value per lead, length of sales cycle, and number of new customers referred by lead. The final step is perhaps the most difficult: exercise patience. Content strategy for most businesses isn’t about instant advertising metrics anymore. As a result, clear ROMI data can take a while to accumulate. If you want to learn how to determine the ROMI for Facebook efforts, there’s an article for that, too. The Houston Chronicle outlines a few simple steps that can help organizations measure the ROMI of Facebook in the article How to Measure Your Facebook Campaign ROI. What about long-term ROMI? The long-term ROMI is a more sophisticated metric that balances marketing and business analytics and is used by many of the world’s leading organizations. Think of it this way, while short-term ROMI will give you an idea of how you are doing right now, a long-term ROMI will tell you what to expect in the following months or years. Companies like Hewlett Packard® and Procter Gamble® use long-term ROMI to measure the economic (i.e. cash-flow derived) benefits created by marketing investments. For many other organizations, this method offers a way to prioritize investments and allocate marketing and other resources on a formalized basis. © 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 10. There are several ways to calculate a long-term ROMI, in fact, it can make you dizzy trying to determine what long-term metrics will work best for your company. Hubspot published a handy guide on 7 Common Marketing Metrics that helps explain the math behind some of the most popular marketing metrics. The article walks you through some of the time-tested formulas in the marketing world and is a good place to start. But, as explained by author Ryan Ghods, there are many ways to calculate these formulas. He cautions that “based on your specific business and the industry you operate in, you may want to tweak these formulas to better represent the conclusions you’re after.”13 Brand valuation, for example, is a type of metric that is integrated into long-term ROMI calculations. Brand valuation takes the corporate brand into account when determining ROMI. For example, did you know that 80 percent of Google’s $125 billion market capitalization is attributed to its brand?14 That means that the corporate brand plays an important role in future sales and marketing efforts. Companies should be aware of the value of their brand in order to accurately develop a long-term ROMI. If you need more information on brand valuation, Patrick Collings, Managing Partner at Sagacite, posted an in-depth presentation on measuring brand value. Sometimes long-term ROMI models will draw on Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) models to demonstrate the long-term value of incremental customer acquisition or reduced churn rate. The purpose of the customer lifetime value metric is to assess the value of each customer. The CLV calculation process consists of four steps: 1. Forecasting of remaining customer lifetime (most often in years) 2. orecasting of future revenues (most often year-by-year), based on an F estimation about future products purchased and price paid 3. Estimation of costs for delivering those products 4. Calculation of the net present value of these future amounts15 Other, more sophisticated approaches like Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) include multi-year, long-term ROMI by including CLV and other types of analysis. It’s a discipline that is highly effective in combining both short- and long-term calculations to develop a more sophisticated ROMI for marketing efforts. Let’s take a look at the MMM discipline in greater detail. 13 hods, Ryan. “A Simple Explanation of the Math Behind 7 Common Marketing Metrics.” A Simple Explanation G of the Math Behind 7 Common Marketing Metrics. N.p., 2 Apr. 2013. Web. 27 Dec. 2013. http://blog.hubspot.com/marketing/math-behind-common-marketing-metrics. 14 ollings, Patrick. “Measuring Brand Value.” N.p., 3 Apr. 2010. Web. 27 Dec. 2013. C http://www.slideshare.net/pjcollings/measuring-brand-value-patrick-collings. 15 Customer Lifetime Value.” Wikipedia. Wikimedia Foundation, 22 Dec. 2013. Web. 24 Dec. 2013. “ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Customer_lifetime_value. © 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 11. Marketing Mix Modeling Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) has become a widely-accepted methodology. In the last 10 years, many consumer packaged goods (CPG) companies have adopted MMM techniques with great success. Fortune 500 companies like Proctor Gamble®, Kraft®, Coca-Cola®, and Pepsi® use MMM as a key part of marketing planning. A number of specialist firms now provide MMM services to companies of all sizes, which has also increased its popularity. If you’d like to become an expert on MMM, you can download the 75-page Definitive Guide to Marketing Metrics and Marketing Analytics that is published by Marketo®. As noted by McKinsey Company®, MMM analytics must include industry knowledge, brand-building impact estimates, and provide transparent assumptions that are delivered in a way that makes sense to the business user. This can be a challenge because the very nature of MMM is data-driven and highly technical, yet it is also extremely effective in identifying long-term payback for marketing investments.16 So what is it? Marketing Mix Modeling is an analytical approach that uses historic information, such as syndicated point-of-sale data and companies’ internal data, to quantify the sales impact of various marketing activities. Mathematically, this is done by establishing a simultaneous relation of various marketing activities with the sales, in the form of a linear or a non-linear equation, through the statistical technique of regression. MMM defines the effectiveness of each of the marketing elements in terms of its contribution to sales-volume effectiveness (volume generated by each unit of effort), efficiency (sales volume generated divided by cost) and ROI. These learnings are then adopted to adjust marketing tactics and strategies, optimize the marketing plan and also to forecast sales while simulating various scenarios.17 MMM factors in new media, such as the Internet, viral marketing, event marketing, sports marketing, product placement, cell phones, and other modern day conveniences that change the way consumers shop and buy products and services. For example, think of how commercial viewing has decreased, thanks to “on demand” viewing, and similar technologies, that enable viewers to fast forward through commercials. These types of factors require marketing departments to optimize the combination of marketing and advertising investments to generate the greatest sales growth and maximize profits. Marketing Mix Modeling measures the potential value of all marketing inputs and identifies marketing investments that 16 Marketing Return on Investment.” Marketing Return on Investment. N.p., n.d. Web. 27 Dec. 2013. “ http://www.mckinsey.com/client_service/marketing_and_sales/expertise/marketing_return_on_investment. 17 Marketing Mix Modeling.” Wikipedia. Wikimedia Foundation, 21 Nov. 2013. Web. 18 Dec. 2013. “ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marketing_mix_modeling. © 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 12. are most likely to produce long-term revenue growth. Typically, Marketing Mix Modeling involves the use of multiple regression techniques to help predict the optimal mix of marketing variables. Regression is based on a number of inputs (or independent variables) and how these relate to an outcome (or dependent variable) such as sales or profits. It’s a complex process, but once the model is built and validated, the input variables (advertising, promotion, etc.) can be manipulated to determine the net effect on a company’s sales or profits. What kind of data goes into creating Marketing Mix Modeling? Below are some of the data points you might include in MMM: • Economic data • Industry data • Category data • Advertising data (including copy testing) ºº Promotional data ºº Competitive data ºº Service data • Product data ºº Pricing data ºº Features and performance • Market outcome data ºº Sales ºº Revenues ºº Profits When done correctly, Marketing Mix Modeling can provide the following insights: • Contribution by marketing activity • ROMI by marketing activity • Effectiveness of marketing activity • Optimal distribution of spends • Learnings on how to execute each activity better. © 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 13. By now you’ve probably gathered that MMM is only for the serious and dedicated marketers. If you want to adopt this model, you’ll need to learn more and perhaps seek advice from a third party. You can learn more from a free download on Marketing Mix Modeling from Forrester®. McKinsey Company® also outlines a 5 step approach to implement MMM that can help you become familiar with the process. Tools, tools and more tools There is an abundance of tools to help calculate ROI in a variety of areas. N-Ten has a tool that can calculate the ROI of your online ads. Or you can check out Blogging Business Tips and its list of How to Calculate ROI for Paid Ads and Maximize Online Profits. Entrepreneur.com® has a Pay-Per-Click ROI Calculator and Marketing Mo® has a downloadable tool that measures the success of marketing efforts. The marketing company Gossamar also has an easy to use ROMI calculator that can help you determine the payback from inbound marketing and marketing automation strategies. Users follow step-by-step instructions that even a nonanalyst user can understand. It also allows users to create “what if” scenarios with data and houses best practice guidance. If you want to calculate customer lifetime value, check out the CLV tool from Harvard Business School®. And that’s just for starters. There’s no shortage of resources that can help with your efforts to calculate an ROI. Conclusion Not everyone believes that calculating the ROI for marketing efforts is the holy grail of measures. For example, an article in Forbes® claims that measuring ROI is the wrong approach.18 According to Forbes author Daniel Kehrer: “Using ROI to gauge impact can severely distort the true value marketing is delivering for your organization.”19 Kehrer and others assert that not only is measuring ROI limited. It falls short in helping a company understand marketing’s contribution to business goals, or how those contributions can be improved. To get a full picture of marketing effectiveness, companies need to look holistically at the marketing investments a company makes.20 18 ehrer, Daniel. “Why ROI Is Often Wrong For Measuring Marketing Impact.” Forbes Magazine, 09 July 2013. Web. 24 K Dec. 2013. http://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesinsights/2013/07/09/why-roi-is-often-wrong-for-measuring-marketing-impact/. 19 ehrer, Daniel. “Why ROI Is Often Wrong For Measuring Marketing Impact.” Forbes Magazine, 09 July 2013. Web. 24 K Dec. 2013. http://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesinsights/2013/07/09/why-roi-is-often-wrong-for-measuring-marketing-impact/. 20 ehrer, Daniel. “Why ROI Is Often Wrong For Measuring Marketing Impact.” Forbes Magazine, 09 July 2013. Web. 24 K Dec. 2013. © 2014 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 14. As Kehrer said, “if you settle for a seductively simple measure, such as ROI, you may severely distort the true value that marketing is delivering for your organization.” Kehrer isn’t alone in his thoughts, either. Author Terry Lane notes that “in many cases, determining the ROI of an ad campaign is more often a matter of interpretation and judgment, as definitively tying sales to an ad is difficult, especially with advertising that promotes a brand and not a specific product, service or sale. Some businesses use advertisement to promote other goals, like improved name recognition, where the ROI would be measured on values other than increased sales or revenue.”21 True, measuring the ROI may not be the definitive metric that tells you how successful you are in marketing efforts. However, it is a good yardstick that can help you see whether or not your efforts are indeed providing value. And, certainly measuring something is far better than nothing at all! http://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesinsights/2013/07/09/why-roi-is-often-wrong-for-measuring-marketingimpact/. 21 ane, Terry. “How to Measure ROI for Television Advertising.” Small Business. N.p., n.d. Web. 18 Dec. 2013. L http://smallbusiness.chron.com/measure-roi-television-advertising-67029.html. 4imprint serves more than 100,000 businesses with innovative promotional items throughout the United States, Canada, United Kingdom and Ireland. Its product offerings include giveaways, business gifts, personalized gifts, embroidered apparel, promotional pens, travel mugs, tote bags, water bottles, Post-it Notes, custom calendars, and many other promotional items. For additional information, log on to www.4imprint.com. © 2013 4imprint, Inc. All rights reserved