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JLL Research
Cincinnati | Q1 2017
Industrial
Outlook
JLL Research
An in-depth look at the
Cincinnati industrial market.
Analysis includes leasing,
sales, construction and
employment.
© 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof.
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD 2017
Average asking rents ($/s.f.)
Q1 2017
Insight
The Cincinnati industrial market has been in rapid expansion mode since
2012. This growth has left many in the industry questioning whether or not the
market has reached its peak or if it is in the “9th inning” of the cycle. The first
quarter answered those questions as the market saw historic quarterly
absorption in addition to the largest announcement made in the market’s
history with Amazon’s air cargo hub. Positive absorption in the quarter was
driven by full building users leasing or purchasing the few quality available
blocks of space in the already tight market.
The signed deals spanned multiple submarkets from Northern Kentucky to
Monroe, displaying the strength of the overall market. Hayneedle leased IDI
Gazeley’s 994,000-square-foot building at Park North in Monroe, while Kroger
purchased Van Trust’s 674,000-square-foot speculative building on Mt. Zion
Road. Following the air cargo announcement, Amazon renewed its lease in
Litton Lane 2 and leased Litton Lane 1 from Duke Realty, totaling 1.4 million
square feet. Multiple full building users remain in the market leading
developers to move forward on development sites to answer the demand.
Outlook
The Cincinnati market has found success through its strategic location to 60
percent of the U.S. population within 500 miles as well as its proximity to
distribution hubs throughout the Midwest. The introduction of Amazon’s 3.0-
million-square-foot, $1.5 billion air cargo hub is another feather in the
market’s cap and one that will have an immediate and lasting impact on the
market as a whole. As demand in the market strengthens, developers will
battle a tightening supply of available land and will look to outlying
submarkets for development sites.
Fundamentals Forecast
YTD net absorption 2,625,368 s.f. ▲
Under construction 2,848,268 s.f. ▲
Total vacancy 3.2% ▼
Average asking rent (gross) $4.13 p.s.f. ▲
Concessions Falling ▼
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD
2017
Supply and demand (s.f.) Net absorption
Deliveries
Industrial market kicks off 2017 with quarter for the ages
6.4%
5.3%
4.4% 4.2%
3.2%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Total vacancy
• Northern Kentucky landed its biggest win to date with Amazon’s
investment of $1.5 billion for an Amazon Prime Air hub at CVG.
• Multiple full-building users leased or purchased newly constructed
properties in the first quarter, leaving only one newly delivered space
over 500,000 square feet available.
• Developers are scrambling to break ground on greenfield sites in the
furthermost southern and northern submarkets to meet demand for
large quality blocks of space.
Cincinnati Industrial Outlook
© 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof.
Inventory
(s.f.)
Quarterly
total net
absorption
(s.f.)
YTD
total net
absorption
(s.f.)
YTD
total net
absorption
(% of stock)
Total
vacancy
(%)
Total
availability
(%)
Average
total asking
rent
($ p.s.f.)
Quarterly
completions
(s.f.)
YTD
completions
(s.f.)
Under
construction
(s.f.)
Market Totals
Warehouse & Distribution 167,184,152 1,608,353 1,608,353 1.0% 3.2% 5.3% $3.80 678,224 678,224 2,780,484
Manufacturing 69,026,741 13,732 13,732 0.0% 2.1% 3.1% $2.84 0 0 0
Total Industrial 236,210,893 1,622,085 1,622,085 0.7% 2.9% 4.7% $3.61 678,224 678,224 2,780,484
Flex / R&D 11,932,167 -30,524 -32,917 -0.3% 10.7% 14.2% $6.65 0 0 0
Submarkets
Airport
Warehouse & Distribution 26,325,443 632,843 632,843 2.4% 1.6% 5.5% $4.19 0 0 1,062,658
Manufacturing 2,147,532 -56,000 -56,000 -2.6% 2.6% 2.6% $5.25 0 0 0
Total Industrial 28,472,975 576,843 576,843 2.0% 1.7% 5.3% $4.24 0 0 1,062,658
Flex / R&D 1,069,751 -3,116 -3,116 -0.3% 4.1% 13.3% $5.08 0 0 0
Blue Ash
Warehouse & Distribution 8,627,252 -16,876 -16,876 -0.2% 8.0% 9.6% $4.17 534,560 534,560 0
Manufacturing 2,524,938 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% $3.00 0 0 0
Total Industrial 11,152,190 -16,876 -16,876 -0.2% 6.2% 8.3% $4.04 534,560 534,560 0
Flex / R&D 1,719,749 -16,409 -16,409 -1.0% 7.0% 9.6% $6.81 0 0 0
Campbell County
Warehouse & Distribution 2,235,913 0 0 0.0% 2.8% 2.9% $5.99 0 0 0
Manufacturing 1,045,402 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0
Total Industrial 3,281,315 0 0 0.0% 1.9% 2.0% $5.99 0 0 0
Flex / R&D 567,895 -4,988 -7,381 -1.3% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0
Central / Midtown
Warehouse & Distribution 29,656,818 12,712 12,712 0.0% 2.6% 4.1% $3.97 0 0 173,262
Manufacturing 15,040,484 -37,665 -37,665 -0.3% 1.7% 2.7% $2.75 0 0 0
Total Industrial 44,697,302 -24,953 -24,953 -0.1% 2.3% 3.7% $3.66 0 0 173,262
Flex / R&D 824,506 46,258 46,258 5.6% 30.4% 31.2% $8.72 0 0 0
Covington
Warehouse & Distribution 3,176,777 23,000 23,000 0.7% 1.9% 1.9% $4.16 0 0 0
Manufacturing 779,862 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0
Total Industrial 3,956,639 23,000 23,000 0.6% 1.5% 1.5% $4.16 0 0 0
Flex / R&D 20,000 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $5.25 0 0 0
East
Warehouse & Distribution 5,660,129 -75,880 -75,880 -1.3% 2.3% 2.3% $3.96 0 0 0
Manufacturing 5,487,999 0 0 0.0% 12.3% 16.6% $2.50 0 0 0
Total Industrial 11,148,128 -75,880 -75,880 -0.7% 7.2% 9.4% $2.71 0 0 0
Flex / R&D 1,188,181 -6,000 -6,000 -0.5% 15.9% 19.7% $7.24 0 0 0
Florence / Richwood
Warehouse & Distribution 12,237,632 949,500 949,500 7.8% 2.0% 4.3% $3.51 0 0 0
Manufacturing 8,214,941 -9,200 -9,200 -0.1% 1.0% 1.4% $3.65 0 0 0
Total Industrial 20,452,573 940,300 940,300 4.6% 1.6% 3.2% $3.54 0 0 0
Flex / R&D 795,699 -4,925 -4,925 -0.6% 6.5% 12.2% $4.92 0 0 0
Q1 2017
Statistics
Cincinnati Industrial Outlook
© 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof.
Inventory
(s.f.)
Quarterly
total net
absorption
(s.f.)
YTD
total net
absorption
(s.f.)
YTD
total net
absorption
(% of stock)
Total
vacancy
(%)
Total
availability
(%)
Average
total asking
rent
($ p.s.f.)
Quarterly
completions
(s.f.)
YTD
completions
(s.f.)
Under
construction
(s.f.)
Submarkets (continued)
Hamilton
Warehouse & Distribution 6,209,488 0 0 0.0% 11.8% 12.0% $2.81 0 0 788,564
Manufacturing 1,741,094 0 0 0.0% 7.4% 7.4% $2.25 0 0 0
Total Industrial 7,950,582 0 0 0.0% 10.8% 11.0% $2.73 0 0 788,564
Flex / R&D 200,200 0 0 0.0% 0.7% 0.7% $6.60 0 0 0
I-71 Corridor
Warehouse & Distribution 4,785,348 -1,400 -1,400 0.0% 1.6% 2.1% $4.23 0 0 0
Manufacturing 4,695,416 116,597 116,597 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% $2.75 0 0 0
Total Industrial 9,480,764 115,197 115,197 1.2% 2.5% 2.8% $3.31 0 0 0
Flex / R&D 518,639 0 0 0.0% 17.6% 17.9% $7.25 0 0 0
Monroe / Middletown
Warehouse & Distribution 10,475,292 48,120 48,120 0.5% 3.6% 6.3% $3.75 143,664 143,664 756,000
Manufacturing 6,976,617 0 0 0.0% 1.2% 1.2% $2.25 0 0 0
Total Industrial 17,451,909 48,120 48,120 0.3% 2.6% 4.3% $3.59 143,664 143,664 756,000
Flex / R&D 46,900 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0
Tri-County
Warehouse & Distribution 45,864,137 30,640 30,640 0.1% 3.0% 5.1% $3.78 0 0 0
Manufacturing 9,107,941 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% $4.11 0 0 0
Total Industrial 54,972,078 30,640 30,640 0.1% 2.5% 4.5% $3.80 0 0 0
Flex / R&D 4,087,159 -55,064 -55,064 -1.3% 11.0% 14.7% $6.29 0 0 0
West
Warehouse & Distribution 4,151,072 -21,976 -21,976 -0.5% 5.0% 6.3% $3.85 0 0 0
Manufacturing 708,242 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0
Totals 4,859,314 -21,976 -21,976 -0.5% 4.2% 5.4% $3.85 0 0 0
Flex/R&D 313,780 1,200 1,200 0.4% 14.0% 14.0% $6.91 0 0 0
Woodlawn / Evendale
Warehouse & Distribution 7,778,851 27,670 27,670 0.4% 2.0% 6.2% $3.33 0 0 0
Manufacturing 10,556,273 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0
Totals 18,335,124 27,670 27,670 0.2% 0.8% 2.6% $3.33 0 0 0
Flex/R&D 579,708 12,520 12,520 2.2% 6.5% 9.7% $4.65 0 0 0
Q1 2017
Statistics
Cincinnati Industrial Outlook
© 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof.
Q1 2017
Construction
Cincinnati Industrial Outlook
Address: Union Centre Blvd &
Seward Rd.
Square feet: 477,360
Tenant: TBD
Owner: Northpoint
Building type: Warehouse
Construction type: Speculative
Est. completion: Q2 2017
Address: 251-299 Exploration Dr.
Square feet: 756,000
Tenant: TBD
Owner: IDI Gazeley
Building type: Warehouse
Construction type: Speculative
Est. completion: Q4 2017
Address: Litton Ln.
Square feet: 589,193
Tenant: TBD
Owner: Hillwood
Building type: Warehouse
Construction type: Speculative
Est. completion: Q2 2017
Est. completion: Q2 2017
Address: 3501 Pt. Pleasant Rd.
Square feet: 264,000
Tenant: TBD
Owner: Dermody
Building type: Warehouse
Construction type: Speculative
Completed: Q1 2017
Address: 675 Gateway Blvd.
Square feet: 143,664
Tenant: TBD
Owner: IDI Gazeley
Building type: Warehouse
Construction type: Speculative
© 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof.
Q1 2017
Sales
Cincinnati Office Outlook
This report analyzes all industrial sales > 30,000 s.f.
$176,615,423
28
$68
-
70.5%
14.6%
5.75-6% 0 - $6,726,547
7.5-8% 0.0% 28 $128,933,142
Top 10 sales transactions this quarter
Size (s.f.) $ p.s.f. Sale date
605,586 $49 Jan-17
296,950 $71 Jun-16
345,600 $59 Dec-16
189,040 $80 Jun-16
325,350 $45 Mar-16
502,041 $25 Jan-17
72,000 $95 Jan-17
98,724 $58 Jan-17
245,154 $23 Feb-16
85,564 $57 Feb-16
Sales activity by building type
Transactions details
Number of partial interest
transactions
Top sellers (s.f.)Top buyers (s.f.)
Number of domestic
buyers
Foreign capital $
Average partial interest
acquired
Number of foreign buyers
Domestic Capital $
Average Class A price p.s.f. YTD
At a glance
Total volume YTD
Number of transactions YTD
Average Class A cap rate YTD
Sales volume $ by submarket
Warehouse/Dist. sales volume as
% of total YTD
Flex/R&D sales volume as % of
total YTD
Cap rate range
Core Class A Ind.
Core Class A Flex
20 Logistics Blvd. Gramercy Property Trust US Industrial REIT III Gateway $29,950,000
Building address Buyer company Seller company Sales price $
8611 Union Centre Blvd Procter & Gamble
5549-5585 Spellmire Dr Dalfen America Corp
8256 Union Centre Blvd Procter & Gamble
8779 Le Saint Dr Gramercy Property Trust
Cabot II OH2MO1 MO4 LLC $12,228,811
10100 Progress Way J.J. & WV Ltd. I-74 Business Group, LLC $6,855,000
4321-4649 Interstate Dr G& IX Interstate I LLC
1032 Seabrook Way MSI Properties LLC Charles J Kubicki LLC $4,898,880
3765 Port Union Rd Performance Food Group Inc Kite Holdings Ltd. $5,756,000
50 W Techne Center Dr CWCapital Asset Management Milford Park Tech Center LLC $5,666,666
Prologis
US Industrial REIT III Gateway
Prologis
Hackman Capital
$21,008,089
$20,230,000
$15,191,911
$14,674,394
$90,594,031 $53,792,192 $32,229,200
2,699,588 s.f.
1,208,615 s.f. 1,276,721 s.f.
0 s.f.
500,000 s.f.
1,000,000 s.f.
1,500,000 s.f.
2,000,000 s.f.
2,500,000 s.f.
3,000,000 s.f.
$0
$50,000,000
$100,000,000
Warehouse / Distribution Manufacturing Flex/R&D
Sum of Price ($) Sum of RBA (SF)
35%
18%12%
10%
9%
6%
5%
Other Gramercy Property Trust
G & I IX Interstate LLC G& IX Interstate I LLC
Proctor & Gamble Dalfen America Corp
CWCapital Asset Management Performance Food Group Inc
MSI Properties LLC J.J. & WV Ltd.
34%
22%
18%
9%
6%
5%
Other Cabot II OH2M01 M04 LLC
US Industrial REIT III Gateway Prologis
Hackman Capital Milford Park Tech Center LLC
Kite Holdings Ltd Charles J Kubicki LLC
I-74Business Group, LLC
$73,639,522
$33,000,000
$21,797,624
$10,565,546
$8,745,547
$6,855,000
$6,779,000
$5,756,000
$4,649,105
$1,728,079
Tri-County
Florence/Richwood
Tri County
East
Blue Ash
West
Woodlawn/Evend…
Fairfield
Central/Midtown
Airport
© 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof.
20%
16%
15%12%
11%
10%
7%
Trade, Transportation & Utilities
Professional & Business Services
Educational & Health Services
Government
Manufacturing
Leisure & Hospitality
Financial Activities
Mining, Logging & Construction
Other Services
Information
Q1 2017
Employment
Cincinnati Industrial Outlook
4.7%U.S. unemployment
1.5%U.S. 12-month job growth
5.0%Cincinnati unemployment
1.9%Cincinnati12-month job growth
5.0%Ohio unemployment
0.8%Ohio 12-month job growth
0.0%
0.7%
1.4%
2.1%
2.8%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Cincinnati U.S.
-600
-500
200
300
1,400
2,200
2,700
3,000
4,600
6,300
-2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000
Leisure & Hospitality
Government
Information
Other Services
Professional & Business Services
Educational & Health Services
Manufacturing
Mining, Logging & Construction
Financial Activities
Trade, Transportation & Utilities
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Professional & Business Services Information
Government Financial Activities
0%
5%
10%
900,000
1,025,000
1,150,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Employment Unemployment
Employment vs. unemployment rate
Employment by industry Office employment trends (12-month change, 000s)
Job growth by sector (12-month change)
Job growth (12-month change)
Job growth by sector (12-month change)
© 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc.
All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof.
Andrew Batson
Vice President, Director of Research
+1 216 937 4374
andrew.batson@am.jll.com
Abby Armbruster
Research Analyst
+1 513 252 2148
abby.armbruster@am.jll.com
About JLL
JLL (NYSE: JLL) is a leading professional services firm that
specializes in real estate and investment management. A
Fortune 500 company, JLL helps real estate owners,
occupiers and investors achieve their business ambitions.
In 2016, JLL had revenue of $6.8 billion and fee revenue of
$5.8 billion and, on behalf of clients, managed 4.4 billion
square feet, or 409 million square meters, and completed
sales acquisitions and finance transactions of
approximately $136 billion. At year-end 2016, JLL had
nearly 300 corporate offices, operations in over 80
countries and a global workforce of more than 77,000. As
of December 31, 2016, LaSalle Investment Management
has $60.1 billion of real estate under asset management.
JLL is the brand name, and a registered trademark, of
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated. For further information,
visit www.jll.com.
About JLL Research
JLL’s research team delivers intelligence, analysis and
insight through market-leading reports and services that
illuminate today’s commercial real estate dynamics and
identify tomorrow’s challenges and opportunities. Our
more than 400 global research professionals track and
analyze economic and property trends and forecast
future conditions in over 60 countries, producing
unrivalled local and global perspectives. Our research and
expertise,
fueled by real-time information and innovative thinking
around the world, creates a competitive advantage for
our clients and drives successful strategies and optimal
real estate decisions.

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Jll cincinnati industrial outlook q1 2017

  • 1. JLL Research Cincinnati | Q1 2017 Industrial Outlook JLL Research An in-depth look at the Cincinnati industrial market. Analysis includes leasing, sales, construction and employment.
  • 2. © 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof. $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD 2017 Average asking rents ($/s.f.) Q1 2017 Insight The Cincinnati industrial market has been in rapid expansion mode since 2012. This growth has left many in the industry questioning whether or not the market has reached its peak or if it is in the “9th inning” of the cycle. The first quarter answered those questions as the market saw historic quarterly absorption in addition to the largest announcement made in the market’s history with Amazon’s air cargo hub. Positive absorption in the quarter was driven by full building users leasing or purchasing the few quality available blocks of space in the already tight market. The signed deals spanned multiple submarkets from Northern Kentucky to Monroe, displaying the strength of the overall market. Hayneedle leased IDI Gazeley’s 994,000-square-foot building at Park North in Monroe, while Kroger purchased Van Trust’s 674,000-square-foot speculative building on Mt. Zion Road. Following the air cargo announcement, Amazon renewed its lease in Litton Lane 2 and leased Litton Lane 1 from Duke Realty, totaling 1.4 million square feet. Multiple full building users remain in the market leading developers to move forward on development sites to answer the demand. Outlook The Cincinnati market has found success through its strategic location to 60 percent of the U.S. population within 500 miles as well as its proximity to distribution hubs throughout the Midwest. The introduction of Amazon’s 3.0- million-square-foot, $1.5 billion air cargo hub is another feather in the market’s cap and one that will have an immediate and lasting impact on the market as a whole. As demand in the market strengthens, developers will battle a tightening supply of available land and will look to outlying submarkets for development sites. Fundamentals Forecast YTD net absorption 2,625,368 s.f. ▲ Under construction 2,848,268 s.f. ▲ Total vacancy 3.2% ▼ Average asking rent (gross) $4.13 p.s.f. ▲ Concessions Falling ▼ 0 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD 2017 Supply and demand (s.f.) Net absorption Deliveries Industrial market kicks off 2017 with quarter for the ages 6.4% 5.3% 4.4% 4.2% 3.2% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total vacancy • Northern Kentucky landed its biggest win to date with Amazon’s investment of $1.5 billion for an Amazon Prime Air hub at CVG. • Multiple full-building users leased or purchased newly constructed properties in the first quarter, leaving only one newly delivered space over 500,000 square feet available. • Developers are scrambling to break ground on greenfield sites in the furthermost southern and northern submarkets to meet demand for large quality blocks of space. Cincinnati Industrial Outlook
  • 3. © 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof. Inventory (s.f.) Quarterly total net absorption (s.f.) YTD total net absorption (s.f.) YTD total net absorption (% of stock) Total vacancy (%) Total availability (%) Average total asking rent ($ p.s.f.) Quarterly completions (s.f.) YTD completions (s.f.) Under construction (s.f.) Market Totals Warehouse & Distribution 167,184,152 1,608,353 1,608,353 1.0% 3.2% 5.3% $3.80 678,224 678,224 2,780,484 Manufacturing 69,026,741 13,732 13,732 0.0% 2.1% 3.1% $2.84 0 0 0 Total Industrial 236,210,893 1,622,085 1,622,085 0.7% 2.9% 4.7% $3.61 678,224 678,224 2,780,484 Flex / R&D 11,932,167 -30,524 -32,917 -0.3% 10.7% 14.2% $6.65 0 0 0 Submarkets Airport Warehouse & Distribution 26,325,443 632,843 632,843 2.4% 1.6% 5.5% $4.19 0 0 1,062,658 Manufacturing 2,147,532 -56,000 -56,000 -2.6% 2.6% 2.6% $5.25 0 0 0 Total Industrial 28,472,975 576,843 576,843 2.0% 1.7% 5.3% $4.24 0 0 1,062,658 Flex / R&D 1,069,751 -3,116 -3,116 -0.3% 4.1% 13.3% $5.08 0 0 0 Blue Ash Warehouse & Distribution 8,627,252 -16,876 -16,876 -0.2% 8.0% 9.6% $4.17 534,560 534,560 0 Manufacturing 2,524,938 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% $3.00 0 0 0 Total Industrial 11,152,190 -16,876 -16,876 -0.2% 6.2% 8.3% $4.04 534,560 534,560 0 Flex / R&D 1,719,749 -16,409 -16,409 -1.0% 7.0% 9.6% $6.81 0 0 0 Campbell County Warehouse & Distribution 2,235,913 0 0 0.0% 2.8% 2.9% $5.99 0 0 0 Manufacturing 1,045,402 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0 Total Industrial 3,281,315 0 0 0.0% 1.9% 2.0% $5.99 0 0 0 Flex / R&D 567,895 -4,988 -7,381 -1.3% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0 Central / Midtown Warehouse & Distribution 29,656,818 12,712 12,712 0.0% 2.6% 4.1% $3.97 0 0 173,262 Manufacturing 15,040,484 -37,665 -37,665 -0.3% 1.7% 2.7% $2.75 0 0 0 Total Industrial 44,697,302 -24,953 -24,953 -0.1% 2.3% 3.7% $3.66 0 0 173,262 Flex / R&D 824,506 46,258 46,258 5.6% 30.4% 31.2% $8.72 0 0 0 Covington Warehouse & Distribution 3,176,777 23,000 23,000 0.7% 1.9% 1.9% $4.16 0 0 0 Manufacturing 779,862 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0 Total Industrial 3,956,639 23,000 23,000 0.6% 1.5% 1.5% $4.16 0 0 0 Flex / R&D 20,000 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $5.25 0 0 0 East Warehouse & Distribution 5,660,129 -75,880 -75,880 -1.3% 2.3% 2.3% $3.96 0 0 0 Manufacturing 5,487,999 0 0 0.0% 12.3% 16.6% $2.50 0 0 0 Total Industrial 11,148,128 -75,880 -75,880 -0.7% 7.2% 9.4% $2.71 0 0 0 Flex / R&D 1,188,181 -6,000 -6,000 -0.5% 15.9% 19.7% $7.24 0 0 0 Florence / Richwood Warehouse & Distribution 12,237,632 949,500 949,500 7.8% 2.0% 4.3% $3.51 0 0 0 Manufacturing 8,214,941 -9,200 -9,200 -0.1% 1.0% 1.4% $3.65 0 0 0 Total Industrial 20,452,573 940,300 940,300 4.6% 1.6% 3.2% $3.54 0 0 0 Flex / R&D 795,699 -4,925 -4,925 -0.6% 6.5% 12.2% $4.92 0 0 0 Q1 2017 Statistics Cincinnati Industrial Outlook
  • 4. © 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof. Inventory (s.f.) Quarterly total net absorption (s.f.) YTD total net absorption (s.f.) YTD total net absorption (% of stock) Total vacancy (%) Total availability (%) Average total asking rent ($ p.s.f.) Quarterly completions (s.f.) YTD completions (s.f.) Under construction (s.f.) Submarkets (continued) Hamilton Warehouse & Distribution 6,209,488 0 0 0.0% 11.8% 12.0% $2.81 0 0 788,564 Manufacturing 1,741,094 0 0 0.0% 7.4% 7.4% $2.25 0 0 0 Total Industrial 7,950,582 0 0 0.0% 10.8% 11.0% $2.73 0 0 788,564 Flex / R&D 200,200 0 0 0.0% 0.7% 0.7% $6.60 0 0 0 I-71 Corridor Warehouse & Distribution 4,785,348 -1,400 -1,400 0.0% 1.6% 2.1% $4.23 0 0 0 Manufacturing 4,695,416 116,597 116,597 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% $2.75 0 0 0 Total Industrial 9,480,764 115,197 115,197 1.2% 2.5% 2.8% $3.31 0 0 0 Flex / R&D 518,639 0 0 0.0% 17.6% 17.9% $7.25 0 0 0 Monroe / Middletown Warehouse & Distribution 10,475,292 48,120 48,120 0.5% 3.6% 6.3% $3.75 143,664 143,664 756,000 Manufacturing 6,976,617 0 0 0.0% 1.2% 1.2% $2.25 0 0 0 Total Industrial 17,451,909 48,120 48,120 0.3% 2.6% 4.3% $3.59 143,664 143,664 756,000 Flex / R&D 46,900 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0 Tri-County Warehouse & Distribution 45,864,137 30,640 30,640 0.1% 3.0% 5.1% $3.78 0 0 0 Manufacturing 9,107,941 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% $4.11 0 0 0 Total Industrial 54,972,078 30,640 30,640 0.1% 2.5% 4.5% $3.80 0 0 0 Flex / R&D 4,087,159 -55,064 -55,064 -1.3% 11.0% 14.7% $6.29 0 0 0 West Warehouse & Distribution 4,151,072 -21,976 -21,976 -0.5% 5.0% 6.3% $3.85 0 0 0 Manufacturing 708,242 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0 Totals 4,859,314 -21,976 -21,976 -0.5% 4.2% 5.4% $3.85 0 0 0 Flex/R&D 313,780 1,200 1,200 0.4% 14.0% 14.0% $6.91 0 0 0 Woodlawn / Evendale Warehouse & Distribution 7,778,851 27,670 27,670 0.4% 2.0% 6.2% $3.33 0 0 0 Manufacturing 10,556,273 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0 Totals 18,335,124 27,670 27,670 0.2% 0.8% 2.6% $3.33 0 0 0 Flex/R&D 579,708 12,520 12,520 2.2% 6.5% 9.7% $4.65 0 0 0 Q1 2017 Statistics Cincinnati Industrial Outlook
  • 5. © 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof. Q1 2017 Construction Cincinnati Industrial Outlook Address: Union Centre Blvd & Seward Rd. Square feet: 477,360 Tenant: TBD Owner: Northpoint Building type: Warehouse Construction type: Speculative Est. completion: Q2 2017 Address: 251-299 Exploration Dr. Square feet: 756,000 Tenant: TBD Owner: IDI Gazeley Building type: Warehouse Construction type: Speculative Est. completion: Q4 2017 Address: Litton Ln. Square feet: 589,193 Tenant: TBD Owner: Hillwood Building type: Warehouse Construction type: Speculative Est. completion: Q2 2017 Est. completion: Q2 2017 Address: 3501 Pt. Pleasant Rd. Square feet: 264,000 Tenant: TBD Owner: Dermody Building type: Warehouse Construction type: Speculative Completed: Q1 2017 Address: 675 Gateway Blvd. Square feet: 143,664 Tenant: TBD Owner: IDI Gazeley Building type: Warehouse Construction type: Speculative
  • 6. © 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof. Q1 2017 Sales Cincinnati Office Outlook This report analyzes all industrial sales > 30,000 s.f. $176,615,423 28 $68 - 70.5% 14.6% 5.75-6% 0 - $6,726,547 7.5-8% 0.0% 28 $128,933,142 Top 10 sales transactions this quarter Size (s.f.) $ p.s.f. Sale date 605,586 $49 Jan-17 296,950 $71 Jun-16 345,600 $59 Dec-16 189,040 $80 Jun-16 325,350 $45 Mar-16 502,041 $25 Jan-17 72,000 $95 Jan-17 98,724 $58 Jan-17 245,154 $23 Feb-16 85,564 $57 Feb-16 Sales activity by building type Transactions details Number of partial interest transactions Top sellers (s.f.)Top buyers (s.f.) Number of domestic buyers Foreign capital $ Average partial interest acquired Number of foreign buyers Domestic Capital $ Average Class A price p.s.f. YTD At a glance Total volume YTD Number of transactions YTD Average Class A cap rate YTD Sales volume $ by submarket Warehouse/Dist. sales volume as % of total YTD Flex/R&D sales volume as % of total YTD Cap rate range Core Class A Ind. Core Class A Flex 20 Logistics Blvd. Gramercy Property Trust US Industrial REIT III Gateway $29,950,000 Building address Buyer company Seller company Sales price $ 8611 Union Centre Blvd Procter & Gamble 5549-5585 Spellmire Dr Dalfen America Corp 8256 Union Centre Blvd Procter & Gamble 8779 Le Saint Dr Gramercy Property Trust Cabot II OH2MO1 MO4 LLC $12,228,811 10100 Progress Way J.J. & WV Ltd. I-74 Business Group, LLC $6,855,000 4321-4649 Interstate Dr G& IX Interstate I LLC 1032 Seabrook Way MSI Properties LLC Charles J Kubicki LLC $4,898,880 3765 Port Union Rd Performance Food Group Inc Kite Holdings Ltd. $5,756,000 50 W Techne Center Dr CWCapital Asset Management Milford Park Tech Center LLC $5,666,666 Prologis US Industrial REIT III Gateway Prologis Hackman Capital $21,008,089 $20,230,000 $15,191,911 $14,674,394 $90,594,031 $53,792,192 $32,229,200 2,699,588 s.f. 1,208,615 s.f. 1,276,721 s.f. 0 s.f. 500,000 s.f. 1,000,000 s.f. 1,500,000 s.f. 2,000,000 s.f. 2,500,000 s.f. 3,000,000 s.f. $0 $50,000,000 $100,000,000 Warehouse / Distribution Manufacturing Flex/R&D Sum of Price ($) Sum of RBA (SF) 35% 18%12% 10% 9% 6% 5% Other Gramercy Property Trust G & I IX Interstate LLC G& IX Interstate I LLC Proctor & Gamble Dalfen America Corp CWCapital Asset Management Performance Food Group Inc MSI Properties LLC J.J. & WV Ltd. 34% 22% 18% 9% 6% 5% Other Cabot II OH2M01 M04 LLC US Industrial REIT III Gateway Prologis Hackman Capital Milford Park Tech Center LLC Kite Holdings Ltd Charles J Kubicki LLC I-74Business Group, LLC $73,639,522 $33,000,000 $21,797,624 $10,565,546 $8,745,547 $6,855,000 $6,779,000 $5,756,000 $4,649,105 $1,728,079 Tri-County Florence/Richwood Tri County East Blue Ash West Woodlawn/Evend… Fairfield Central/Midtown Airport
  • 7. © 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof. 20% 16% 15%12% 11% 10% 7% Trade, Transportation & Utilities Professional & Business Services Educational & Health Services Government Manufacturing Leisure & Hospitality Financial Activities Mining, Logging & Construction Other Services Information Q1 2017 Employment Cincinnati Industrial Outlook 4.7%U.S. unemployment 1.5%U.S. 12-month job growth 5.0%Cincinnati unemployment 1.9%Cincinnati12-month job growth 5.0%Ohio unemployment 0.8%Ohio 12-month job growth 0.0% 0.7% 1.4% 2.1% 2.8% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Cincinnati U.S. -600 -500 200 300 1,400 2,200 2,700 3,000 4,600 6,300 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 Leisure & Hospitality Government Information Other Services Professional & Business Services Educational & Health Services Manufacturing Mining, Logging & Construction Financial Activities Trade, Transportation & Utilities -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Professional & Business Services Information Government Financial Activities 0% 5% 10% 900,000 1,025,000 1,150,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Employment Unemployment Employment vs. unemployment rate Employment by industry Office employment trends (12-month change, 000s) Job growth by sector (12-month change) Job growth (12-month change) Job growth by sector (12-month change)
  • 8. © 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof. Andrew Batson Vice President, Director of Research +1 216 937 4374 andrew.batson@am.jll.com Abby Armbruster Research Analyst +1 513 252 2148 abby.armbruster@am.jll.com About JLL JLL (NYSE: JLL) is a leading professional services firm that specializes in real estate and investment management. A Fortune 500 company, JLL helps real estate owners, occupiers and investors achieve their business ambitions. In 2016, JLL had revenue of $6.8 billion and fee revenue of $5.8 billion and, on behalf of clients, managed 4.4 billion square feet, or 409 million square meters, and completed sales acquisitions and finance transactions of approximately $136 billion. At year-end 2016, JLL had nearly 300 corporate offices, operations in over 80 countries and a global workforce of more than 77,000. As of December 31, 2016, LaSalle Investment Management has $60.1 billion of real estate under asset management. JLL is the brand name, and a registered trademark, of Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated. For further information, visit www.jll.com. About JLL Research JLL’s research team delivers intelligence, analysis and insight through market-leading reports and services that illuminate today’s commercial real estate dynamics and identify tomorrow’s challenges and opportunities. Our more than 400 global research professionals track and analyze economic and property trends and forecast future conditions in over 60 countries, producing unrivalled local and global perspectives. Our research and expertise, fueled by real-time information and innovative thinking around the world, creates a competitive advantage for our clients and drives successful strategies and optimal real estate decisions.