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Marketshastra Round2
IMPLICATIONS : What are the implications of proliferation of apps in app stores today?
With a large number of popular apps in
the same category, there is
unprecedented competitiveness in the
market1
11070 10586 10522 10334
7128
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Number of apps with >50k downloads
Top 5 categories on Play Store™ by
number of apps with >50k downloads
~11.17% of all apps in the Play Store™
are either undeveloped or erratic1
Key Inferences
App stores are flooded by developers who are publishing new apps every day2
160%
200%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
iOS Android
YoY Growth Rate (# of
apps) as of 2014
180%
160%
150%
160%
170%
180%
190%
iOS Android
YoY Growth Rate (# of
developers) as of 2014
280,000
390,000
0 200000 400000 600000
iOS
Android
# of developers
1.6 million apps – Android
1.5 million apps – iOS 3
Sources: 1. – AppsBrain Statistics ; 2. – AppFigures Statistics ; 3. Statista Statistics ; 4. Primary research, see spreadsheet of responses
Play Store™ has ~290k apps with
average ratings of 4 or below
As more apps are developed, app
indifference is setting in, where most
apps go unnoticed or are commonly
under-utilized.
56% of the smartphone users
reported to have more than 20 apps
in their phone and only 12% claimed
to use more than 20 apps regularly4
(in a week), clearly showing signs of
app indifference.
Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi
Dawn of the
Future
Success of an App
App-first, app
only or otherwise
App-market
scenario
Current App Market Scenario(1/2)
App-development
today involves
minimal technical
expertise
The growing
smartphone market
makes development
lucrative
Disrupting the
market is nearly
impossible with
available technology
Surviving in the
existing market
needs high
responsiveness
Soon, most “me-too”
apps will fade with
emergence of clear
category leaders
The average
consumer is
becoming more
tech-savvy
SUCCESS FACTOR : What are the factors that affect the success of an app?
Current App Market Scenario(2/2)
App-differentiation and development
of USP
• Lack of market research
• Developer loses focus on problem-
solving, in awe of his creation
Carving out a niche positioning is necessary
for success in the fragmented app market,
like Hike focuses on free SMSes
1
Timing of release of apps
• Most apps are released without proper
testing, leading to poor initial customer
review
Focus should be on launching a tested, well-
developed version of the product, rather
than on moving in early in an already
crowded market
2
Security and privacy
• Use of insecure 3P frameworks may
cause phishing and ambiguous crashes
• Personal / app usage information
sharing makes people uncomfortable
Secure, though cost-heavy development is
sustainable
Look for alternative business models,
beyond selling BigData analytics feed
3
Consumer requirement identification
• Most apps address ‘nice-to-have’ needs
and with storage space constraints,
people don’t download these apps
Develop a ‘must-have’ need based core
competency for the app, around which
background features may be added
4
Responsiveness - update frequency
• User reviews post-launch and technical
expertise of the development team in
meeting the needs is crucial
Develop a sustainable and modifiable code
with a team that is prompt in responding to
development requirements
5
Factor Problems and Root Causes Solution
Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi
Dawn of the
Future
Success of an App
App-first, app
only or otherwise
App-market
scenario
DAWNOF THEFUTURE(1/2)
FUTURE OF APPS : A bubble that is waiting to burst or a fad that is here to stay??
The estimated world
population vs mobile device
population by the year
2016*
7.3B
world
10B
Mobile
device
For every 1 person in the
world, we would have 1.4
mobile devices
50
75
268
0
100
200
300
Jul-13 Jun-14 ^2017
App downloads (in
billions)*
^ - expected
A 560% increase in one and
half years in terms of app
downloads
11.4
24.5
0
10
20
30
2014 2016
Expected Revenue
through apps (in billion
dollars)*
A 215% increase in two
years in terms of expected
revenue
According to these data, the future of mobile apps looks bright and increasing at a healthy pace.
THE HARD
FACTS
The other side of the coin
Acquiring the first few thousand
users are easy, but post that it
costs app startups anywhere
between 250K to a million USD#,
just to make a play in the app
based services space.
*Source - http://businessdegrees.uab.edu
There aren’t that many app-
focused incubators anymore.
Also, the ones that are present
are indistinguishable from other
accelerators. This marks the end
of low-level entry opportunity.
Start up issues
“Facebook will be the gateway for content, and Google will be the gateway for transactions in the future.
Content is useful and helping users find that is interesting. But if you can enable a transaction, well, you’ve hit a
goldmine.”
- Vijay Anand, founder and CEO of The Startup Centre
Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi
Dawn of the
Future
Success of an App
App-first, app
only or otherwise
App-market
scenario
FUTURE OF APPS : A bubble that is waiting to burst or a fad that is here to stay??
With increase in the review rates by app
users and geo-targeted push
notifications, app marketers could step
up their game with increased
personalization. Also, with more
sophisticated tools for collecting and
analyzing in-app data, they are getting to
know their users preferences and are
much more empowered to tailor
messages to increase app usage.
Productivity apps Immersive appsUtility apps
OUR TWO CENTS
REVIEWS AND PERSONALIZATION : VITAL FOR SUCCESS UTILITY APPS : THE FORGOTTEN HERO
VIDEO MARKETING : ‘KILLING’ IT NICELY INTERNET OF THINGS : IS IT A THREAT TO APPS?
With video previews being the new ‘IN
thing’ in Apple’s app store, we predict that
we might see a full video adoption for
app marketing. Looking at the leader in the
video streaming market, YouTube,
the mobile traffic is expected to hit 50-
60% , with 98% of watching video on
their smartphone. The video ad market is
expected to hit $2.7B by 2017, YouTube will
be a key platform for advertisers for apps.
Fitness trackers. Smart watches. Health monitors.
The wearables got a lot of attention this year. The
Internet of Things (IoT) has already taken off, but
it is the future of IoT that is the concern.
From innovations like Google Glass and the
connected car, to the slew of new smart
watches, the future of mobile apps looks
to integrate them seamlessly into our lives. So, are
apps dead? Certainly not. Is the context of app
usage changing? Yes.
Utility apps are found in every mobile
phones and most mobile devices nowadays
comes with many implicitly installed utility
apps. Tapping into utility apps and making it
upgraded could draw traction to it and help
in increasing app downloads in future.
DAWNOF THEFUTURE(2/2)
Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi
Dawn of the
Future
Success of an App
App-first, app
only or otherwise
App-market
scenario
MARKETING: PRE-LAUNCH PHASE
Microsite containing USPs of the app and minimum interactive
features
Low investment in market research and competitor analyses
Development blog with regular updates about versions-in-progress
of the app
Identifying niche bloggers and social network admins who would
mention/write about the app
Rewarding active beta testers and offering them early sign-ups
Absence of a feedback loop of beta testers and early app users
Using unique keywords for the app name
App store optimization
Absence of a realistic release date
Absence of a precise and lucidly detailed description
Absence of organic acquisition of users
Lack of search engine marketing and absence in mobile
advertisement platforms
Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi
Dawn of the
Future
Success of an App
App-first, app
only or otherwise
App-market
scenario
SUCCESSOF AN APP (1/3)
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
Coexist, not compete
Offer services that current apps offer in a
bigger, better package
Engage potential customers on the microsite
with interactive features and experience
Provide sneak peaks, previews, invite-based
downloads, teaser videos for exclusivity
Invite tech reviewers and blogs to review the
new app – the good and the bad both
Build in social sharing so users can brag
about any new experience with the app
Encourage feedback from customers and
beta testers and incorporate modifications
More than a complete package Encourage users to brag
Microsite Matters Rave reviews Heed the Feedback
MARKETING: Launch Phase
SUCCESSOF AN APP (2/3)
Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi
Dawn of the
Future
Success of an App
App-first, app
only or otherwise
App-market
scenario
MARKETING: POST LAUNCH PHASE
Analyze the number of users who retain
the app after a month of the release to
compare it with predicted figures during
pre-launch phase
Release regular updates to keep users
and customers engaged and interested
Work towards having some content
work offline in the app, This will help in
caching requests and responses which
will make it easier to retrieve and
present content to the user without
having to make a network request
Do not overdo push notifications. Too
many notifications can irritate users and
prompt them to uninstall the app. Work
towards having a robust customer
response and support system.
Send emails to potential reviewers,
users, customers and testers. Start with
friends of the current users. Encourage
users to email their reviews to their
friends list.
Analyze the customer journey map –
what is the maximum executable
activity on the app. Improve the value of
the app by providing more similar
actionable items.
Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi
Dawn of the
Future
Success of an App
App-first, app
only or otherwise
App-market
scenario
SUCCESSOF AN APP (3/3)
Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi
Dawn of the
Future
Success of an App
App-first, app
only or otherwise
App-market
scenario
APPlicable or not?
Why?
Increasing smartphone penetration and
internet user base
On an average, more time spent on
mobile than computers due to
increased mobility of devices
Slow internet in India and other
developing countries hampers website
browsing
APP-FIRST, APP-ONLYOR OTHERWISE
Upcoming
trends
Accelerated Mobile Pages, which display rich high
quality but light weight websites with improved
mobile web performance
WebLight, which helps in display of websites in
lower, easily loading quality
Aggregator apps which display preferred website
content and store them for offline views too
Why
not?
Decreasing free storage due to
explosion of apps in each category
Rise of app indifference due to
excess apps in every usable category
Additional download costs & apps
requiring constant data usage to stay
updated disillusions users
App-only strategy is only a fad, not a long term
solution as more apps lead to customer confusion and
disillusionment
Websites are both more developer-friendly and user-
friendly
With technology, websites are getting lighter on
mobile browsers. Also, internet is becoming faster.
OurTake
Thank you

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Mobile apps - Breaking away from the clutter

  • 2. IMPLICATIONS : What are the implications of proliferation of apps in app stores today? With a large number of popular apps in the same category, there is unprecedented competitiveness in the market1 11070 10586 10522 10334 7128 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 Number of apps with >50k downloads Top 5 categories on Play Store™ by number of apps with >50k downloads ~11.17% of all apps in the Play Store™ are either undeveloped or erratic1 Key Inferences App stores are flooded by developers who are publishing new apps every day2 160% 200% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% iOS Android YoY Growth Rate (# of apps) as of 2014 180% 160% 150% 160% 170% 180% 190% iOS Android YoY Growth Rate (# of developers) as of 2014 280,000 390,000 0 200000 400000 600000 iOS Android # of developers 1.6 million apps – Android 1.5 million apps – iOS 3 Sources: 1. – AppsBrain Statistics ; 2. – AppFigures Statistics ; 3. Statista Statistics ; 4. Primary research, see spreadsheet of responses Play Store™ has ~290k apps with average ratings of 4 or below As more apps are developed, app indifference is setting in, where most apps go unnoticed or are commonly under-utilized. 56% of the smartphone users reported to have more than 20 apps in their phone and only 12% claimed to use more than 20 apps regularly4 (in a week), clearly showing signs of app indifference. Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi Dawn of the Future Success of an App App-first, app only or otherwise App-market scenario Current App Market Scenario(1/2) App-development today involves minimal technical expertise The growing smartphone market makes development lucrative Disrupting the market is nearly impossible with available technology Surviving in the existing market needs high responsiveness Soon, most “me-too” apps will fade with emergence of clear category leaders The average consumer is becoming more tech-savvy
  • 3. SUCCESS FACTOR : What are the factors that affect the success of an app? Current App Market Scenario(2/2) App-differentiation and development of USP • Lack of market research • Developer loses focus on problem- solving, in awe of his creation Carving out a niche positioning is necessary for success in the fragmented app market, like Hike focuses on free SMSes 1 Timing of release of apps • Most apps are released without proper testing, leading to poor initial customer review Focus should be on launching a tested, well- developed version of the product, rather than on moving in early in an already crowded market 2 Security and privacy • Use of insecure 3P frameworks may cause phishing and ambiguous crashes • Personal / app usage information sharing makes people uncomfortable Secure, though cost-heavy development is sustainable Look for alternative business models, beyond selling BigData analytics feed 3 Consumer requirement identification • Most apps address ‘nice-to-have’ needs and with storage space constraints, people don’t download these apps Develop a ‘must-have’ need based core competency for the app, around which background features may be added 4 Responsiveness - update frequency • User reviews post-launch and technical expertise of the development team in meeting the needs is crucial Develop a sustainable and modifiable code with a team that is prompt in responding to development requirements 5 Factor Problems and Root Causes Solution Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi Dawn of the Future Success of an App App-first, app only or otherwise App-market scenario
  • 4. DAWNOF THEFUTURE(1/2) FUTURE OF APPS : A bubble that is waiting to burst or a fad that is here to stay?? The estimated world population vs mobile device population by the year 2016* 7.3B world 10B Mobile device For every 1 person in the world, we would have 1.4 mobile devices 50 75 268 0 100 200 300 Jul-13 Jun-14 ^2017 App downloads (in billions)* ^ - expected A 560% increase in one and half years in terms of app downloads 11.4 24.5 0 10 20 30 2014 2016 Expected Revenue through apps (in billion dollars)* A 215% increase in two years in terms of expected revenue According to these data, the future of mobile apps looks bright and increasing at a healthy pace. THE HARD FACTS The other side of the coin Acquiring the first few thousand users are easy, but post that it costs app startups anywhere between 250K to a million USD#, just to make a play in the app based services space. *Source - http://businessdegrees.uab.edu There aren’t that many app- focused incubators anymore. Also, the ones that are present are indistinguishable from other accelerators. This marks the end of low-level entry opportunity. Start up issues “Facebook will be the gateway for content, and Google will be the gateway for transactions in the future. Content is useful and helping users find that is interesting. But if you can enable a transaction, well, you’ve hit a goldmine.” - Vijay Anand, founder and CEO of The Startup Centre Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi Dawn of the Future Success of an App App-first, app only or otherwise App-market scenario
  • 5. FUTURE OF APPS : A bubble that is waiting to burst or a fad that is here to stay?? With increase in the review rates by app users and geo-targeted push notifications, app marketers could step up their game with increased personalization. Also, with more sophisticated tools for collecting and analyzing in-app data, they are getting to know their users preferences and are much more empowered to tailor messages to increase app usage. Productivity apps Immersive appsUtility apps OUR TWO CENTS REVIEWS AND PERSONALIZATION : VITAL FOR SUCCESS UTILITY APPS : THE FORGOTTEN HERO VIDEO MARKETING : ‘KILLING’ IT NICELY INTERNET OF THINGS : IS IT A THREAT TO APPS? With video previews being the new ‘IN thing’ in Apple’s app store, we predict that we might see a full video adoption for app marketing. Looking at the leader in the video streaming market, YouTube, the mobile traffic is expected to hit 50- 60% , with 98% of watching video on their smartphone. The video ad market is expected to hit $2.7B by 2017, YouTube will be a key platform for advertisers for apps. Fitness trackers. Smart watches. Health monitors. The wearables got a lot of attention this year. The Internet of Things (IoT) has already taken off, but it is the future of IoT that is the concern. From innovations like Google Glass and the connected car, to the slew of new smart watches, the future of mobile apps looks to integrate them seamlessly into our lives. So, are apps dead? Certainly not. Is the context of app usage changing? Yes. Utility apps are found in every mobile phones and most mobile devices nowadays comes with many implicitly installed utility apps. Tapping into utility apps and making it upgraded could draw traction to it and help in increasing app downloads in future. DAWNOF THEFUTURE(2/2) Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi Dawn of the Future Success of an App App-first, app only or otherwise App-market scenario
  • 6. MARKETING: PRE-LAUNCH PHASE Microsite containing USPs of the app and minimum interactive features Low investment in market research and competitor analyses Development blog with regular updates about versions-in-progress of the app Identifying niche bloggers and social network admins who would mention/write about the app Rewarding active beta testers and offering them early sign-ups Absence of a feedback loop of beta testers and early app users Using unique keywords for the app name App store optimization Absence of a realistic release date Absence of a precise and lucidly detailed description Absence of organic acquisition of users Lack of search engine marketing and absence in mobile advertisement platforms Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi Dawn of the Future Success of an App App-first, app only or otherwise App-market scenario SUCCESSOF AN APP (1/3) 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
  • 7. Coexist, not compete Offer services that current apps offer in a bigger, better package Engage potential customers on the microsite with interactive features and experience Provide sneak peaks, previews, invite-based downloads, teaser videos for exclusivity Invite tech reviewers and blogs to review the new app – the good and the bad both Build in social sharing so users can brag about any new experience with the app Encourage feedback from customers and beta testers and incorporate modifications More than a complete package Encourage users to brag Microsite Matters Rave reviews Heed the Feedback MARKETING: Launch Phase SUCCESSOF AN APP (2/3) Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi Dawn of the Future Success of an App App-first, app only or otherwise App-market scenario
  • 8. MARKETING: POST LAUNCH PHASE Analyze the number of users who retain the app after a month of the release to compare it with predicted figures during pre-launch phase Release regular updates to keep users and customers engaged and interested Work towards having some content work offline in the app, This will help in caching requests and responses which will make it easier to retrieve and present content to the user without having to make a network request Do not overdo push notifications. Too many notifications can irritate users and prompt them to uninstall the app. Work towards having a robust customer response and support system. Send emails to potential reviewers, users, customers and testers. Start with friends of the current users. Encourage users to email their reviews to their friends list. Analyze the customer journey map – what is the maximum executable activity on the app. Improve the value of the app by providing more similar actionable items. Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi Dawn of the Future Success of an App App-first, app only or otherwise App-market scenario SUCCESSOF AN APP (3/3)
  • 9. Indian Institute of Foreign Trade | Delhi Dawn of the Future Success of an App App-first, app only or otherwise App-market scenario APPlicable or not? Why? Increasing smartphone penetration and internet user base On an average, more time spent on mobile than computers due to increased mobility of devices Slow internet in India and other developing countries hampers website browsing APP-FIRST, APP-ONLYOR OTHERWISE Upcoming trends Accelerated Mobile Pages, which display rich high quality but light weight websites with improved mobile web performance WebLight, which helps in display of websites in lower, easily loading quality Aggregator apps which display preferred website content and store them for offline views too Why not? Decreasing free storage due to explosion of apps in each category Rise of app indifference due to excess apps in every usable category Additional download costs & apps requiring constant data usage to stay updated disillusions users App-only strategy is only a fad, not a long term solution as more apps lead to customer confusion and disillusionment Websites are both more developer-friendly and user- friendly With technology, websites are getting lighter on mobile browsers. Also, internet is becoming faster. OurTake