2. Changes in the way we view, adopt
and use mobility are an opportunity
to improve our cities, their liveability
and our economy; it will help us to
meet the challenges of population
growth, urbanisation and sustainability
5. Cars that provide point-
to-point travel at an
individual level.
Rail that provides mass
transit between key
destinations.
Light rail and buses
that service the
journeys in between.
When we think of transport challenges, we generally think in terms
of modes instead of journeys (e.g. very fast rail, light rail, bus rapid
transit etc.)
Modes in the traditional transport hierarchy
6. With regard to our expenditure
and planning, we tend to focus
more on the physical asset
(e.g. roads, rail, terminals) and
adding more capacity to these.
16. Transportation will no longer be
about modes and car ownership –
point-to-point, seamless mobility
that can be changed to suit people’s
needs will become the future.
17. The Internet of Things will connect
in real time:
• Devices
• Infrastructure
• People
• Government
• Business
Connectivity will increase
Internet of
Things
18. Autonomous
vehicles will…
represent a further step-change
in reduced car ownership, while
preserving independence and
relieving the load on fixed
public transport.
Advisian / 18
19. But to capture the benefits
of AVs our infrastructure
must evolve…
21. Future transport infrastructure
will need to be Smart
2017
Vehicle to
Vehicle
2018
Vehicle to
Device
2018
Vehicle to
Pedestrian
2018
Vehicle to
Home
2018
Vehicle to
Grid
2018
Vehicle to
Infrastructure
To be truly effective and capture the benefits autonomous
vehicles – connectivity is essential. This requires an on going
investment into upgrading and adding new infrastructure,
introducing more complexity.
Evolution of technology from vehicle to ‘anything’
22. The driverless car – complexity?
The eco system of the driverless car is full of considerations,
but equally rich with opportunity
- Cost
- Network effects and after-market
- Driver education
- Technology
- Consumer pull
Network density and after-market -
Legislation -
Infrastructure investment -
Consumer acceptance -
Geopolitical factors -
Self-driving operation considerations
23. Autonomous evolution or revolution
What else will go autonomous?
Taxis Shuttles Trains Trucks Ships Planes
We are moving from a past where ‘autonomous’ meant tightly controlled,
highly regulated and high-cost infrastructure, to one that is unconstrained,
ever changing, open, and driven by the community and industry.
24. What and when they will come online
– no one really knows
The Past
Driver Only1
Today
Assisted
2020-2025
Highly automated
2017-2020
Partially Automated
2026-2030
Fully automated
2
3
4
5
From now till 2040+ we are in transition - arguably a mixed fleet will exist for decades
36. Inform the public
Get them comfortable
Sell the benefits
Identify the risks and how they
will be eliminated
Education
37. Key areas to address:
• Roads rules governing vehicle
control
• Trials
• Vehicle safety and standards
• Data and cybersecurity
• Market driven technology and
innovation
• Harmonisation across States
Legislation and
Regulation
38. A planned proactive and communicated strategy is needed
Industry self
regulation
Codes of practice National guidelines Legislative solution
Governments
oversee deployment
and safety assurance
Increasing level of government control
Differing levels of government control in autonomous vehicle deployment (source: NTC)
39. How will governments maintain and
improve transportation?
Is the option of adopting road user
charging for AVs the step-change
opportunity?
AVs will impact both existing and new
infrastructure
Infrastructure
41. We need to get involved
and lead the transition!
PLAY VIDEO
Editor's Notes
Our laws, regulations and government structures are based on a past, silos dominated and changes take years to implement
The Uber response was reactive, disaggregated and slow even though Australia was a late adopter
Funding for public infrastructure is stretched, at breaking point with no easy and obvious alternatives
Our laws, regulations and government structures are based on a past, silos dominated and changes take years to implement
The Uber response was reactive, disaggregated and slow even though Australia was a late adopter
Funding for public infrastructure is stretched, at breaking point with no easy and obvious alternatives
We focus on the physical
Roads
Rail
Terminals e.g. Airports
Our planning and expenditure has been on adding capacity to these “physical assets”
This is unsustainable – doing the same is not an option
Different thinking is needed
Population growth, urbanisation and shifts in peoples needs and expectations are driving change
Two burning questions
Connectivity will increase – the Internet of Things connects devices, infrastructure, people, government and business in real time
Change is being led by industry and public demand
Transportation no longer about modes and car ownership – point to point seamless mobility that can be changed to suit needs and changes
Eg Bridj (in Boston), Simply Connect (in Manchester) – both provide point to point public transport moving away from the total independence of car ownership and total dependence on fixed public transport (eg rail) to something in between
Driverless vehicles represents a further step in reduced car ownership while preserving independence and relieving the load on fixed public transport
To capture the benefits of AVs our infrastructure needs to evolve
Traditional (existing infrastructure is impacted – changes and investments will be needed
To be truly effective and to capture benefits the driverless car
cannot be an island – connectivity to its environment is essential.
This requires an on going investment into upgrading and adding new
infrastructure which introduces more complexity.
From a past where autonomous meant tightly controlled, highly regulated and high cost infrastructure (rail/air) to one that is unconstrained, ever changing, open, driven by the community and industry
When?
From now till 2040+, we are in transition, arguably a mixed fleet will exist for decades
What are the influencers?
Public acceptance
Govt regs, harmonisation
Affordability
Suitable infrastructure
Legal and insurance
Industry agendas
“Leadership” and “active engagement
React
Provide guidance and remove barriers as they are found
Lead the transition, support industry, engage the public, invest in infrastructure, change laws and regulations
USA (Federal) issued guidance for the automotive sector, have left the remainder to individual States – remove barriers, encourage industry
Europe (EU) has issued guidance for Country regulators on development of self driving technology – interoperability and standardisation
Australia. NTC provides guidance, recommendations and coordination across States. Varying levels of engagement from each State. Commonwealth yet to act.
The technology, how to use it, its capabilities, actual benefits and limits – conduct trials, local State and National – understand how the mixed/transition environment works – for example is segregation necessary?
Inform and educate the public – get them comfortable (surveys tell us they are not at present), sell the benefits, identify the risks and how these will be eliminated
Need to move from theory and trials into real world applications that deliver benefits and engage the community.
The arrival of autonomous vehicles in Australia should not be allowed to “just happen”. Legislative and regulatory change is a fundamental enabler for this change to ensure innovation while still ensuring safety.
The current Australian framework is geared around control being maintained by the driver. This concept while now recommended by NTC to be that status quo for AVs, needs to be properly tested. The US is heading in the opposite direction where the manufacturer of the AV will probably be held responsible.
Key areas to address include:
Roads rules governing vehicle control
Trials
Vehicle safety and standards
Use of and access to data and cybersecurity
Market driven technology and innovation
Harmonisation across States
Harmonisation across States, clarity on liability and regulations that provide certainty and confidence to the public while not inhibiting innovation
Governments can act across the spectrum
A planned proactive and communicated strategy is needed
While a fully autonomous world is still some ways off, the transition is underway.
We can elect to let it happen to us, or we can get involved, influence and capture the benefits sooner
I contend that we need to get involved and take ownership
Add hyperlink in slide to:
https://techcrunch.com/2016/10/20/watch-this-autonomous-tesla-drive-from-home-to-work-on-its-own/