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SMART SYSTEMS FORECAST
!                            Report Prospectus




                                       Harbor Research

                                   Boulder
                                   Cambridge UK
                                   www.harborresearch.com
Smart Systems
Forecast Report




Smart Systems Global Forecast 2012-2016
Evolving Internet of Things and
Machine-To-Machine




                                                                                                                                                                   Page ii
Market Opportunities




                                                                                                                                                                  !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0(
                                                                                                      The intersection of Information and
                                                                                                      Communications Technology (ICT) and device
                                                                                                      connectivity creates value at two disparate ends
                                                                                                      of the business spectrum. New IT technologies
                                                                                                      like cloud computing are moving to the enterprise
                                                                                                      and rapidly being embraced. Managed IT
                                                 capabilities in which inputs—from machines,          services will increasingly dominate ICT systems
                                                 people, video streams, maps, newsfeeds,              and networked services development.
                                                 sensors, and more—is digitized and placed
                                                 onto networks. These inputs are integrated into      At the other end of the spectrum, the rise of the
                                                 systems that connect people, processes, and          M2M and the “Internet of Things” has helped
                                                 knowledge to enable collective awareness,            transform product companies into value-added




                                                                                                                                                                                      © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                 creativity and better decision making. We have       service companies. Manufacturers are learning




                                                                                                                                                                                               All rights reserved
                                                                                                                                                            Harbor Research
                                                 now entered the age when everyday objects will       that by putting products on networks they are
                                                 communicate with, and control, other objects         essentially placing themselves into continuous
                                                 over a global data network—24/7/365.                 contact with their customers, thereby enabling
1)2&3#40)&5%&67)&89%)$(),%:+9                                                                         them to better understand their customer’s
Intelligent device communications and            This global network is the Internet. The objects     needs and act appropriately.
information technology are combining to create   are everything from consumer appliances to
new modes of asset intelligence, collaboration   the elevator you’ve been waiting for. It’s not       The intersection of these two trends creates
and decision making. People, information, and    “the future,” it’s now—this year, next year—and      an opportunity for new differentiated business
technology are becoming more connected,          thus it is vitally important that business leaders   models by cleverly combining the potential
distributed and pervasive enabling the           understand this phenomenon, its effects on their     of both. The two need to be interwoven and
convergence of physical and virtual worlds.      business, and what they should do right now to       mutually supportive, and increasingly, success in
Network awareness will include knowledge,        position themselves for opportunities that are       either goes to the player that effectively utilizes
people and things.                               literally just around the corner.                    the combined potential of both.
Smart Systems
    Forecast Report




The Changing Internet of Things Landscape




                                                                                                                                                                                 Page iii
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                                                                                                                                                                                !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0(
Harbor expects that Smart Systems and Internet
of Things opportunity will continue to shift away        !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*$#")2+$>&?&5$,7:%),%0$)
from its legacy focus on basic connectivity and
communications enablement towards more
                                                                                         Users                                   People
valuable managed services opportunities. Based
                                                                                                                                 Value
on all the knowledge gathered about technology                                          Content
                                                                                                                                 Added               User Interactions
evolution, supplier progress, and customer                                           Consumables                                 Elements            & Experience

adoption, here are our overarching observations             Mobile
                                                                                 PDAs
                                                                                                  Smart         Entertainment    Mobile Telephony,
                                                            Phones                                Phones           Devices       & IT Terminals
about the Smart Systems opportunity today:
                                                                         Supervisory Systems & Applications                      Services &
                                                                                                                                 Applications        Machine To Machine
»     Intelligent devices will have rapidly increasing                       Carrier & Network Services                                              Technology
                                                                                                                                                     & Enablement
                                                                     Software Tools, Middleware & Web Services
      intelligence and functionality. Demand for                                                                                 Tools &
                                                                        Network Infrastructure & Connectivity                    Infrastructure
      adaptability, agility and features will grow.




                                                                                                                                                                                                    © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                             All rights reserved
                                                                                                                                                                          Harbor Research
                                                                     Aerospace                             Vehicles
                                                                                                                                 Mobile
      in types, applications and capabilities as well       Marine               Rail             On-Road             Off-Road   Equipment
      as numerous client devices connected to                                                                                                        Product
                                                                           Complex Systemic Equipment                                                OEMs
                                                                                                                                 Fixed
      personal, local and wide-area networks.                              Simple Machines & Equipment                           Equipment

                                                                                                                                 Facility
»     Connectivity/Communication will become                                Facility Systems & Equipment
                                                                                                                                 Systems
                                                                Facility Infrastructure Components & Sub-Systems                 & Equipment
      nearly ubiquitous. Communications options
                                                                        Electrical Sub-Systems & Components
      will increase, have greater bandwidth, and                                                                                 Power &
                                                                       Mechanical Sub-Systems & Components
      be cheaper (free Internet access). Phone                                                                                   Control             Machine/Device
                                                                                                                                 Systems             Sub-Systems,
                                                                 Fluid & Pneumatic Sub-Systems & Components
      lines, Data lines, Power lines, Cable and                                                                                                      Assemblies,
                                                                                                                                                     Modules &
      Fiber Lines, Cellular, Satellite, and Radio                                Electronic Interconnect                         Embedded            Components
                                                                         Semiconductors & Micro-Electronics                      Electronics
      Frequency options will abound, all in
      service to providing communications and
      connectivity.
Smart Systems
    Forecast Report




Research Aims and Key Questions




                                                                                                                                                                       Page iv
»     Networked devices and systems will be            We strongly believe that the Smart Systems           people, processes, and knowledge to enable
      self-adapting. As witnessed by computers         market opportunity is reaching its tipping point     collective awareness and better decision




                                                                                                                                                                      !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0(
      beating chess pros and with automatically        for dramatic growth; there is now substantially      making. Our analysis and research is focused
      adjusting car seats, the digital nervous         greater recognition of the technological             on understanding the strategic business
      system will increasingly be of service to                                                             implications of growth within the emerging Smart
      users, not the other way around. Companies       connecting devices to the Internet. This             Systems arena.
      will exist to house, facilitate, and recommend   represents a whole new generation of technology
      better options for dealing with individual       innovation and, if history repeats because certain   We are particularly interested in answering the
      needs and tastes, where people will opt for                                                           following fundamental questions:
      service contracts instead of buying products     wave of growth in Smart Systems.
      outright.                                                                                             »   What key forces are impacting adoption
                                                                                                                of Smart Systems, M2M and connected
»     “Communities” will emerge. Networks of           @)'&-)()#$,7&#9A&59#4'(:(&B0)(%:+9(
                                                                                                                product solutions?
      collaborating companies, customers, people,      Our forecast report examines the current state
      devices, and sensors will be linked together     of intelligent device networking, a key element      »   What devices and applications are driving




                                                                                                                                                                                          © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                   All rights reserved
                                                                                                                                                                Harbor Research
      in border crossing relationships that will       of what we term Smart Systems. We prefer                 intelligent device networking?
      foster the development of a connected,           “Smart Systems” over other terms in common
      smart world. Inputs from the constituents        use—notably “M2M,” which usually stands for          »   What is the size and growth rate of the Smart
      listed above will be processed in real time      “machine-to-machine”—because it captures                 Systems opportunity?
      in order to provide instantaneous feedback       the profound enormity of the phenomenon -
      thus keeping the overall environment/                                                                 »   What managed services opportunities are
                                                       something much greater in scope than just
                                                                                                                developing by vertical market?
      ecosystem in balance.                            machine connectivity.

»     Vertical Smart Systems Solutions. End users                                                           »   What are the evolving competitive dynamics
      will emerge as a force and place greater         a new generation of systems architecture                 in the Smart Systems arena?
      emphasis on vertical solutions that readily      (hardware, software, network technologies
      integrate with enterprise systems -- end         and managed services) that provide real-             »   What are the biggest unmet growth
      customers will demand innovative solution                                                                 opportunities and biggest issues and hurdles
                                                       time awareness based on inputs from
                                                                                                                are there in the market impacting adoption of
      design and more effective service and            machines, people, video streams, maps,
                                                                                                                Smart Services?
      support.                                         newsfeeds, sensors, and more that integrate
Smart Systems
    Forecast Report




Market Opportunity Has Reached Its Tipping Point




                                                                                                                          Page v
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                                                                                                                         !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0(
Our analysis and forecast provides                 D#$E+$&-)()#$,7&3)90)&!)=")9%#%:+9&F#.&
comprehensive coverage of the intelligent
device networking market. We have interviewed
technology suppliers, product OEMs, service
providers, experts and users to obtain a
complete perspective on the marketplace. This
report provides our analysis and forecast that
includes all intelligently networked devices,
covering both Fixed (Wireline) and Wireless
technologies, including WWAN (cellular and
satellite), WLAN and WPAN.


Harbor segments the market into eleven key




                                                                                                                                             © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                                                             Enterprise   Mobile




                                                                                                                                                      All rights reserved
                                                                                                                   Harbor Research
venues as listed below. We analyze each venue
and related customer segments, application


machine types central to the evolving smart
systems arena.

Our venue scope and coverage includes:
»     Resources: Mining equipment, pipelines,
      agricultural equipment, water/wastewater,
      and energy production

»     Industrial: Automation, control equipment,
      and manufacturing capital equipment

»     Transportation: Vehicles, Airplanes, &
      Transport Systems
Smart Systems
    Forecast Report




Smart Systems’ Scope
»     Homeland Security: National, border, and            connected to a terrestrial cellular network,




                                                                                                                                                                                                         Page vi
      public venue security                               including smart phones, and feature phones                                 network service charges, and support
                                                                                                                                     services.
»     Buildings: HVAC/environmental systems,
                                                      We further organize and segment opportunities
      access control systems, transport systems,                                                                               »     System Applications: System Applications




                                                                                                                                                                                                        !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0(
      and lighting                                    into four key layers as follows:                                               include status/monitoring, diagnostics,

»     Residential: Consumer appliances, lighting,     »   Network Hardware: the wireline or wireless                                 control/automation, and location/tracking.
      security, energy systems, and network               module attached to or embedded in each
      automation                                          machine to be connected.                                             »     Value-Added Application Services:
                                                                                                                                     application delivery services, including asset
»     Healthcare: Medical devices, telemedicine,      »   Network Services: the communication                                        management, energy management, supply
      care delivery technology, as well as lab            medium used to receive/send machine data                                   chain and customer support.
      equipment, such as centrifuges, incubators,
      freezers, and blood test equipment
                                                           *+$),#(%&F+A)4&!)=")9%#%:+9&!,7)"#&
»     Retail: Point of Sale systems (POS), vending
      machines (food/beverages, cigarettes, higher                              Venue
                                                                 Venues                                                            Resources
      value products like CDs), service equipment                               Venue = segment of the
                                                                                economy (e.g. Energy)
      (petrol pumps, washers/driers, refrigeration,
      car cleaning), entertainment, signage/                                                                                                                       These levels of the




                                                                                                                                                                                                                            © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                   segmentation model are




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     All rights reserved
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Harbor Research
      display (billboards, displays), scanners and                              Customer Segment
                                                                                                                                                                   about “where” the
                                                                Customer                                                           Electricity                     application occurs or
      registers, kiosks, digital signage, lighting,             Segments
                                                                                A homogenous “served” market segment                                               resides
                                                                                (e.g. Power Generation within Energy)
      and refrigeration systems

»     Consumer IT: Infotainment technologies in                                 Application Segment
      the home, including PCs, tablets, storage                Application      Applications provide a function or a
                                                                                related set of functions based on a
                                                                                                                                   Distribution System
                                                               Segments
      devices, cameras, game players, and home                                  grouping of related devices (e.g. fleet
                                                                                tracking or energy mgmt)
                                                                                                                                                                      These levels of the
                                                                                                                                                                      segmentation model are
                                                                                                                                                                      about “what” the function
                                                                                Device Segments & Categories                                                          of the device is or
»     Professional IT: Information and                          Device          A device segment is a lower level grouping                                            enables within a system
                                                                                based on the particular function of a device       Sub-Station Equipment
      communication in the                                     Segments
                                                                                (e.g. POS) and a device category refers to         (e.g. relays, switches, etc.)
      desktop PCs, tablets, netbooks, and                                       the actual type of device (e.g. mobile
                                                                                payment terminal).
      traditional laptops as well as infrastructure
      related assets such as servers, storage                       Device
                                                                   Categories
      devices, and communications equipment

»     Mobile Telephony: mobile terminals
Smart Systems
 Forecast Report




Methodology




                                                                                                                                                                                                       Page vii
Harbor combines a comprehensive top-down            using different connection technologies. The                                    suppliers, network equipment suppliers and
and bottom-up approach to ensure the most           results of these assessments have then been                                     channel participants such as distributors.




                                                                                                                                                                                                      !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0(
accurate forecast possible. All levels within the   cross-checked against actual connection module
forecast are linked.                                shipment data received from silicon and module

Device populations have been determined from
government statistics and related market analysis       D#$E+$&-)()#$,7&!"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&F)%7+A+4+='
on output and installed base across a very
diverse range of networked device segments.                                                 Device
                                                                                           Device
                                                                                           Device              Devices within                            Service Prices
                                                                                                                                                        Service Prices       Service
                                                                US, EU                    Populations
                                                                                         Populations           Applications/                           Service Prices
                                                                                                                                                         by application
                                                                                                                                                        by application
                                                                                        Populations                                                                          Providers,
Data for over 350 device categories in Harbor’s                 & Global Stats                                 Venues                                  By by country
                                                                                                                                                          Application
                                                                                                                                                           by country
                                                                                                                                                                             Industry
                                                                                            Application        By country                                                    Research
eleven key venues have been researched in this                  Suppliers,
                                                                                           Application
                                                                                          Application
                                                                                         Application
                                                                                           Penetration
                                                                                          Penetration
                                                                Industry                 Penetration
                                                                                        Penetrations                                                Service ARPUs
way in order to cover all areas where Harbor                    Comparisons
                                                                                           Technology          DIY;
                                                                                          Technology                                                                         Services
sees potential smart device and systems                         Suppliers,
                                                                Industry
                                                                                         Technology
                                                                                        Technology
                                                                                           Penetrations
                                                                                          Penetrations
                                                                                         Penetrations
                                                                                                               Commercial              SP Revenues
                                                                                                                                                                             Provider
                                                                                        Penetrations           Open Source,            By Application
                                                                                                                                                                             Info
opportunities. These numbers are cross-checked                  Comparisons                                    etc.
                                                                                     ConnectedDevice/
                                                                                                Device/
                                                                                    ConnectedDevice/                                  Airtime, Fixed line
                                                                                                                                     Airtime, Fixed line
                                                                                   ConnectedDevice/
against data and analysis from alternative                      Shipments          ConnectedProjections
                                                                                     Module
                                                                                    Module Projections
                                                                                   Module Projections
                                                                                      Projections
                                                                                                                                          Airtime,
                                                                                                                                            ARPUs
                                                                                                                                           ARPUs
                                                                                                                                       Fixed ARPUs




                                                                                                                                                                                                                          © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   All rights reserved
                                                                                                                                                                                                Harbor Research
sources such as expert interviews, industry                                                                                                                   ARPU 1
                                                                                                                                                                                 App 1 Rev
                                                                 Module Prices
                                                                 Module Prices
publications, academic analysis, market research                    Prices
                                                                  by technology
                                                                 by technology
                                                                By Technology                                                                                 ARPU 2             App 2 Rev
                                                                                                          Network
reports, and other sources.                                                                               Services                                            ARPU 3             App 3 Rev

                                                               Device Unit
Networking penetration of these device                           Values                                                                                      ARPU X              App X Rev

populations has been assessed from Harbor’s                                                      Factor C        Support Charges
                                                          Factor A           Software                                                       Diagnostics             Factor
analysis, based on input received from device                                                    Factor D            Provisioning
                                                          Factor B       Engineering                                                    Control/Automation          Factor
suppliers and industry comparisons across
                                                                                                                                         Location & Track           Factor
device segments. At the same time, device                                                                             Systems                                                    Value Added
                                                                                                                                          Status & Monitor          Factor        Application
categories have also been assessed for the                           Network
                                                                     Hardware
                                                                                                                     Applications
                                                                                                                                                                                   Services
                                                                                                                                           Configuration            Factor
alternative technologies that might be used to
                                                                                                                                               Other                Factor
network them. This approach seeks to minimize
the potential for double counting of devices
Smart Systems
Forecast Report




About Harbor Research




                                                                                             Page viii
                                                                                            !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0(
Harbor Research has more than twenty years of      Contact:
experience providing strategic consulting and      Kristin Deily
                                                   Analyst
research services to product manufacturers,
services organizations and core technology         Harbor Research, Inc.
clients. Harbor’s strategy and business            1942 Broadway Suite 201
development work is organized around               Boulder, CO 80302
emergent and disruptive opportunities, with a      p 303.786.9000
                                                   f 720.282.5801
unique focus on the impact of the Pervasive
Internet—the use of the Internet to accomplish     m 303.880.6098
global device networking that will revolutionize   Email: kdeily@harborresearch.com
business by unleashing entirely new modes of
                                                   Trinity House
system optimization, customer relationships, and   Cambridge Business Park
service delivery - what we call “Smart Systems &




                                                                                                                © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                   Cowley Road, CB4 OWZ UK




                                                                                                                         All rights reserved
                                                                                      Harbor Research
Services.”                                         p +44 122 339 3571
                                                   f +44 122 339 3501

                                                   w http://www.harborresearch.com
Smart Systems
Forecast Report




Report Structure and Content




                                                                                                                                               Page ix
Introduction and                  Forces and                        Smart Systems                       Evolving Market
Overview                          Trends                            Forecast                            Opportunities




                                                                                                                                              !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0(
Introduction                      Smart Systems Forces & Trends     Smart Systems Market Forecast       Evolving Market Opportunities
                                  Overview
                                                                    Organizing Schema & Methodology     Internet of Interactions
                                  Key Technology Drivers & Forces   Venues and Markets
Key Questions                                                                                           Challenges for Technology
                                  Competitive Forces                                                    Players
Report Structure and Organizing
Schema                            Customer Forces                   Applications Vs. Technologies       Challenges for Network
                                                                                                        Services Players
                                  Socio-Economic Forces             Market Potential
                                                                                                        Challeges for IT Systems
                                  Success Factors                   Network Hardware Revenues           Players
                                                                    Network Services Revenues
                                                                                                        Customer Challenges
                                                                    System Application Revenues
                                                                                                        Required Smart Systems Tools
                                                                    Value Added Applications Services
                                                                    Device Shipments by Network Type




                                                                                                                                                                  © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                           All rights reserved
                                                                                                                                        Harbor Research
                                                                    »   Resources Venue
                                                                    »   Industrial Venue
                                                                    »   Transportation Venue
                                                                    »   Homeland Security Venue
                                                                    »   Buildings Venue
                                                                    »   Residential Venue
                                                                    »   Healthcare Venue
                                                                    »   Retail Venue
                                                                    »   Consumer IT Venue
                                                                    »   Professional IT Venue
                                                                    »   Mobile Telephony Venue
Smart Systems
Forecast Report




Smart Systems Forecast Exhibits




                                                                                                                                                                     Page x
G7#.%)$&8
Figure 1.1 Venue Segmentation Map                    Figure 3.11 Value Added Application Services        Figure 3.31 Value Added Application Revenue
Figure 1.2 Forecast Methodology                                  Revenue by Venue ($ millions)           Figure 3.32 Residential Venue - Global Revenue




                                                                                                                                                                    !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0(
                                                     Figure 3.12 Value Added Application Services                    Streams ($ millions)
                                                                 Revenue by Venue ($ millions)           Figure 3.33 System Application Revenue
G7#.%)$&88
                                                     Figure 3.13 Wireline Shipments 2016                 Figure 3.34 Value Added Application Revenue
Figure 2.1 Smart Systems Framework                   Figure 3.14 WWAN Shipments 2016                     Figure 3.35 Healthcare Venue - Global Revenue
Figure 2.2 Intelligent Device Hierarchy              Figure 3.15 WLAN Shipments 2016                                 Streams ($ millions)
Figure 2.3 Smart Systems Innovation Map
                                                     Figure 3.16 WPAN Shipments 2016                     Figure 3.36 System Application Revenue
                                                     Figure 3.17 Resources Venue - Global Revenue        Figure 3.37 Value Added Application Revenue
G7#.%)$&888                                                      Streams ($ millions)                    Figure 3.38 Retail Venue - Global Revenue
                                                     Figure 3.18 System Application Revenue                          Streams ($ millions)
Figure 2.4  Evolving Industry Value Structure
                                                     Figure 3.19 Value Added Application Revenue         Figure 3.39 System Application Revenue
Figure 3.1  Smart Systems Segmentation Taxonomy
                                                     Figure 3.20 Industrial Venue - Global Revenue       Figure 3.40 Value Added Application Revenue
Figure 3.2  Applications Versus Technologies
                                                                 Streams ($ millions)                    Figure 3.41 Consumer IT Venue - Global Revenue
Figure 3.3  Smart Systems Revenue Streams
                                                     Figure 3.21 System Application Revenue                          Streams ($ millions)
Figure 3.4  Smart Systems Revenue Streams
                                                     Figure 3.22 Value Added Application Revenue         Figure 3.42 System Application Revenue
Figure 3.5  Network Hardware Revenue Potential




                                                                                                                                                                                        © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                 All rights reserved
                                                                                                                                                              Harbor Research
                                                     Figure 3.23 Transportation Venue - Global Revenue   Figure 3.43 Value Added Application Revenue
            ($ millions)
Figure 3.6 Network Hardware Revenue Potential by                 Streams ($ millions)                    Figure 3.44 Professional IT Venue - Global Revenue
            Venue ($ millions)                       Figure 3.24 System Application Revenue                          Streams ($ millions)
Figure 3.7 Network Services Revenue Potential        Figure 3.25 Value Added Application Revenue         Figure 3.45 System Application Revenue
            ($ millions)                             Figure 3.26 Homeland Security Venue - Global        Figure 3.46 Value Added Application Revenue
Figure 3.8 Network Services Revenue Potential by                 Revenue Streams ($ millions)            Figure 3.47 Mobile Telephony Venue - Global
            Venue ($ millions)                       Figure 3.27 System Application Revenue                          Revenue Streams ($ millions)
Figure 3.9 System Application Revenue Potential by   Figure 3.28 Value Added Application Revenue         Figure 3.48 System Application Revenue
            Venue ($ millions)                       Figure 3.29 Buildings Venue - Global Revenue        Figure 3.49 Value Added Application Revenue
Figure 3.10 System Application Revenue Potential                 Streams ($ millions)
            by Venue ($ millions)                    Figure 3.30 System Application Revenue
Smart Systems
 Forecast Report




Appendices
Network Summaries                       Device Demographics               Venues                              Managed Services




                                                                                                                                                          Page xi
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Figure A.1   Total Devices Shipped by   »   Devices Shipped by Venue                                          Figure D.1 Managed Service Revenue
             Technology - Worldwide                                       »   Devices Shipped by                         by Venue - Worldwide
                                        »   Installed Device Base
Figure A.2   Total Devices Shipped by                                         Technology                      Figure D.2 Value Added Service
                                        »   Network Hardware Revenue by
             Geography - Worldwide                                        »   Installed Device Base by                   Revenue by Venue -
                                            Venue
Figure A.3   Total Devices Shipped by                                         Technology                                 Worldwide
                                        »   Managed Service Revenue by
             Venue - Worldwide                                            »   Revenue Streams                 Figure D.3 System Application
Figure A.4   Installed Device Base by
                                            Venue                                                                        Revenue by Venue -
                                                                          »   Network Hardware Revenue by
             Venue - Worldwide                                                Technology                                 Worldwide
Figure A.5   Total Network Hardware
             Revenue by Technology -    I#,7&H)<:,)&!)=")9%&                                                  3#40)&5AA)A&!)$<:,)(&*+$),#(%
             Worldwide                                                    K4+E#4&3)90)(J
                                        89,40A)(J
Figure A.6   Total Network Hardware                                       »   Industrial Venue Forecast       Value Added Services is broken
             Revenue by Region -        »   Wireline Worldwide Forecast                                       down according to each Venue, and
             Worldwide                  »   Wireline Regional Forecast    »   Buildings Venue Forecast        the System Application Revenue
Figure A.7   Total Network Hardware                                                                           Breakdown and the Value Added
             Revenue by Venue -         »   WWAN Worldwide Forecast       »   Retail Venue Forecast           Service Revenue Breakdown
             Worldwide                  »   WWAN Regional Forecast
                                                                                                              measures are presented for each
                                                                          »   Transportation Venue Forecast
                                        »   WLAN Worldwide Forecast
1)%2+$>&H)<:,)(&*+$),#(%                »   WLAN Regional Forecast                                            Figure D.24 System Applications
                                                                          »   Professional IT Venue




                                                                                                                                                                             © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                                                                                          Revenue Breakdown -




                                                                                                                                                                                      All rights reserved
                                                                                                                                                   Harbor Research
Figure A.8 Network Services Revenue
            by Venue - Worldwide        »   WPAN Worldwide Forecast                                                       Worldwide
                                                                          »   Healthcare Venue Forecast
Figure A.9 Network Services Revenue     »   WPAN Regional Forecast
            by Technology - Worldwide                                                                         Figure D.25 Value Added Service
                                                                          »   Homeland Security Venue                     Revenue Breakdown -
Figure A.10 Network Services Revenue                                          Forecast
            by Venue - N. America                                                                                         Worldwide
Figure A.11 Network Services Revenue                                      »   Resources Venue Forecast
            by Venue -Europe
Figure A.12 Network Services Revenue                                      »   Residential Venue Forecast
            by Venue - AsiaPac
Figure A.13 Network Services Revenue                                      »   Consumer IT Venue Forecast
            by Venue -ROW
Figure A.14 Network Services Revenue                                      »   Mobile Telephony Forecast
            by Technology- N. America
Figure A.15 Network Services Revenue
            by Technology - Europe
Figure A.16 Network Services Revenue
            by Technology- AsiaPac
Figure A.17 Network Services Revenue
            by Technology - ROW
Smart Systems
    Forecast Report


Device Demographics
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                                                                                                                                                                              Page xii
»        Resource Extraction:                    »    Machine Control                      »    On-Road Vehicles                »     Airports & Public Transit
        » Mobile Mining Equip - Surface              » CNC / Motion Controlllers               » Passenger                          » Inspection Equipment
        » Fixed Mining Equip - Underground           » Drives - AC / DC / Variable Speed       » SUV/Light                          »
        » Mining Tools                               » Human Machine Interfaces                » Commercial - Medium                » Surveillance Systems & Devices
        » Materials Handling                         » Motors & Actuators                      » Commercial - Heavy




                                                                                                                                                                             !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0(
                                                     » Programmable Logic Controllers          » Motorcycles/Bikes              »    Ports
I4),%$:,:%'M/+2)$&!'(%)"(J                           » Sensors & Switches - Discrete           » Military                           » Surveillance Systems & Devices
»           Power Generation                           Manufacturing                                                                » Intruder Detection Devices
        »    Central Stations - Nuclear/Fossil                                             »       Off-Road Vehicles                » Inspection Equipment
        »    Alternative Gen - Wind Turbines     »    Special Industrial Machines              »    Construction
        »    Alternative Gen - Solar                 » Robots                                  »    Agriculture                 »     Borders
        »    Alternative - Co-Gen                    » Assembly/Test Stands                    »    Recreational                    » Inspection Equipment
                                                                                               »    Military                        »
»           Transmission & Distribution          /$+,)((MG+9<)$%:9=J                                                                » Surveillance Systems & Devices
        »    Sub-Stations                        »       Control Systems                   5)$+(.#,)J
        »    Re-Closers - Power Distribution         »    Distributed Control Systems      »    Commercial                      /0E4:,&89L$#(%$0,%0$)J
        »    Relays - Power Distribution             »    Instruments - Process Control        » Airliners & Cargo Planes
        »    Switches & Heavy Switchgear             »    Stand-Alone Controllers              » Helicopters                    »    Electrical Grid
        »    Electricity Pylons & Towers             »    Valves & Actuators                   » Light Aircraft                     » Monitoring Systems
                                                     »    Analytic Instruments                                                      » Surveillance Systems & Devices
»        Premises Equipment                                                                »       Military                         » Intruder Detection Devices
        » Back-Up Power Equip                    »    Process Masurement/Analytics             »    Cargo Planes & Bombers
        » Meters                                     » Process Analytical Instruments          »    Helicopters                 »    Water/Wastewater
        » Energy Monitoring/Display                  » Flow Measurement                        »    Fighter Jets                    » Surveillance Systems & Devices
                                                     » Level Measurement                       »    Unmanned                        » Intruder Detection Devices
5=$:,04%0$)J                                         » Pressure Measurement
»           Farming Equipment                        » Temperature Measurement             F#$:9)J                              »    Pipelines/Telco Infrastructure
    »        Tractors & Farmyard Machines            » Process Variable Transmitters       »    Commercial                          » Monitoring Systems
    »        Harvesters                              » Telemetry/RTUs (Remote)                 » Passenger Ships                    » Surveillance Systems & Devices
                                                     » Temperature Controllers                 » Ferrrys & Fishing Vessels          » Intruder Detection Devices
»           Agricultural Infrastructure              » Position Sensing                        » Cargo Craft & Tankers




                                                                                                                                                                                                 © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                          All rights reserved
    »        Irrigation Equip                        » Air Compressors




                                                                                                                                                                       Harbor Research
    »        Sprayers Sprinklers & Pumps             » Chillers                            »     Military - Naval
                                                                                               »& 5:$,$#L%&G#$$:)$(
;:4&?&K#(J                                       »    Final Control/Actuators                  »& G$0:()$(MH)(%$+')$(M5((#04%
»           Off-Shore                                » Valves                                  »& !0E"#$:9)(&
    »        Drilling Rigs                           » Pumps
    »        Floating Production Systems             » Motors                              »    Recreational
    »        Drill Ships                         I4),%$+9:,(J                                  » Pleasure Boats
    »        Submersible Rigs/Systems                                                          » Jetskis
                                                 »       Semiconductor Fab Equip
»     On-Shore                                   »       Auto Test/Assembly Equip          -#:4J
    » Drilling Rigs                              !0..4'&G7#:9J                             »    Rolling Stock
    »                                                                                          » Passenger Trains
                                                 »       Material Handling Equip               » Freight
»           Pipelines                            »       Auto ID (Bar Code, RFID)              » Sub-Ways & Light Rail
    »        Compressor Stations
    »        Pumps                                                                         »     Locomotion
    »        Monitoring Equip                                                                  »& N+,+"+%:<)(&O&D)#<'
    »        Meters                                                                            »& N+,+"+%:<)(&O&N:=7%
P#%)$J                                                                                     6$#9(.+$%#%:+9&89L$#(%$0,%0$)J
»           Water                                                                          »       Tolls/Tariffs
    »        Water/Wasterwater Processing                                                  »       Signage
    »        Drill Rigs                                                                    »       Tracking/ID Systems
    »        Desalinasation
    »        Pipeline Systems/Equip
    »        Meters
Smart Systems
 Forecast Report


Device Demographics
                 Q0:4A:9=(&                               -)(:A)9%:#4                          D)#4%7,#$)&                                  -)%#:4
                 3)90)                                    3)90)                                3)90)                                        3)90)

G+"")$,:#4&M&89A0(%$:#4&Q0:4A:9=(J                                          D+(.:%#4(&M&D)#4%7&H)4:<)$'J




                                                                                                                                                                       Page xiii
                                         5..4:#9,)(J                                                                     -)%#:4&!%+$)(&M&6$#9(#,%:+9(J
»& Q0:4A:9=&6$#9(:%&!'(%)"(                                                 »     Patient Care
                                         »& N#$=)&5..4:#9,)(                    » Drug Dispensers                        »& @:+(>(
   »& I4)<#%+$(R&I(,#4#%+$S&P#4>2#'(        »& H:(72#(7)$(                      » Dialysis Equipment                        »& 89L+$"#%:+9#4&@:+(>(
                                            »& -)L$:=)$#%+$(                    » Respiratory Equipment                     »& 6:,>)%:9=M6$#9(#,%:+9#4&@:+(>(
»& I4),%$:,#4&H:(%$:E0%:+9&IT0:.")9%        »& *$))C)$(                         » Incubators                                »& 56F(
   »& N+#A&G)9%)$&?&/#9)4&Q+#$A(            »& ;<)9(




                                                                                                                                                                      !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0(
   »& Q$)#>)$(S&K*G8M&-GH&H)<:,)(                                               »
                                            »& !%+<)(                           » Beds & Bedside Equipment               »& /+:9%O+LO!#4)&W/;!X&!'(%)"(
   »& /+2)$&;0%4)%(S&P:$:9=&H)<:,)(         »& P#(7:9=&F#,7:9)(                                                             »& *:V)A&?&F+E:4)&/;!&!'(%)"(
   »& !2:%,7=)#$S&G+9%$+4&K)#$              »& H$')$(                       »       Patient Monitoring                      »& P):=7&!,#4)(
   »& /+2)$&B0#4:%'&!'(%)"(                                                     »    Blood Glucose                          »& Q#$,+A)MH+%,+A)M-*H&!,#99)$(
   »& Q#,>O0.&/+2)$&!'(%)"(                                                     »    Blood Pressure                         »& H:=:%#4&!:=9#=)
                                         »& !"#44&5..4:#9,)(                    »    Dosimeters - Fixed
»& D35G&!'(%)"(                             »& 3#,00"&G4)#9)$(&                 »    Drug Dispensers - Fixed             D+%)4(S&-)(%#0$#9%(S&I9%)$%#:9")9%
   »& 5MG&U9:%(                             »& F:,$+2#<)(M&6+#(%)$&;<)9(&       »    Electro-Cardiac Monitors - Fixed
   »& Q4+2)$(&?&*#9(                        »& !"#44&@:%,7)9&5..4:#9,)(&        »    Intraveneous Monitors - Fixed       »& 5..4:#9,)(&#9A&!)$<:,)&IT0:.")9%
   »& Q+:4)$(S&G7:44)$(                     »& 6$#(7&G+".#,%+$(&                »    Pulse Oximeters - Fixed                »& G+"")$,:#4&5..4:#9,)(
   »& G+"E0(%:+9&G+9%$+44)$(                »&                                                                              »& 3#,00"&G4)#9)$(
   »& G++4:9=&6+2)$(S&/0".:9=&IT0:.                                         »       Patient Diagnostics                     »& G+"")$,:#4&@:%,7)9&5..4:#9,)(
   »& 3#$:#E4)&5:$&3+40")&G+9%$+4(       89L+%#:9")9%J                          »    Computer Aided Tomography              »& G+"")$,:#4&N#09A$'&5..4:#9,)(
                                                                                »    Magnetic Resonance Imaging             »& 8,)&?&P#%)$&H:(.)9()$(
»& N:=7%:9=&!'(%)"(&?&G+".+9)9%(         » Media
   »& N:=7%:9=&!'(%)"(S&*:V%0$)(           » DVRs,                              »    Ultra Sound Equipment
                                                                                »    X-Ray Machines - Healthcare         »& I9%)$%#:9")9%&IT0:.")9%
   »& N:=7%&!+,>)%(S&Q#44#(%(S&N#".(       » DVD Players                                                                    »&
   »& N:=7%&!2:%,7)(&?&H:"")$(             » Set Top Boxes                                                                  »& I4),%$+9:,&89(%$0")9%(
                                           » Stereo Systems                                                                 »& !+09A&F:V:9=
»& !#L)%'&#9A&!),0$:%'&!'(%)"(&            » Televisions                    »                                               »& N:=7%:9=&#9A&H:(.4#'&!'(%)"(
   »& !"+>)S&G7)":,#4S&K#(&H)%),%+$(                                            »    Blood Glucose Monitors - Fixed         »& !+09A&F:V:9=&IT0:.")9%
   »& *:$)&!)9(+$(&#9A&54#$"&/#9)4(      »& IA0O%#:9")9%                        »    Blood Pressure Meters - Fixed          »& !.)#>)$(
   »&                                       » Edu-tainment Toys                 »    Dosimeters - Fixed                     »& K#":9=MK#"E4:9=&F#,7:9)(
   »& 5,,)((&G+9%$+4(                       » Gaming Consoles                   »    Drug Dispensers - Fixed                »& Q+24:9=&!'(%)"(
   »& !),0$:%'&54#$"(                       » Learning Devices                  »    Electro- Cardiac Monitors - Fixed      »& H:=:%#4&Y0>)E+V)(
   »& !),0$:%'&G#")$#(                                                          »    Intraveneous Monitors - Fixed




                                                                                                                                                                                          © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                   All rights reserved
                                                                                                                                                                Harbor Research
                                         N:L)(%'4)J                             »    Pulse Oximeters - Fixed             K#(&M&G+9<)9:)9,)&;0%4)%(J
-)(:A)9%:#4&Q0:4A:9=(J
»& I4),%$:,#4&H:(%$:E0%:+9&IT0:.")9%&    »& N:L)(%'4)&H)<:,)(               »       Remote Patient Monitoring            »& *0)4:9=&#9A&-).#:$(
   »& G+9(0")$&U9:%(&?&N+#A&G)9%)$(         » Digital Picture Frames            »    Blood Glucose Monitors                 »& K#(&/0".(&#9A&H:(.)9(:9=&
   »& F:9:#%0$)&Q$)#>)$(S&K*8GM&-GH&        » Health & Fitness Devices          »    Blood Pressure Meters                     !'(%)"(
      H)<:,)(&?&*0()(                       » Home Energy Displays              »    Electro- Cardiac Monitors              »& 5:$&?&P#%)$&H:(.)9()$(
   »& /+2)$&;0%4)%(S&!.0$(&?&P:$:9=&        » IP Cameras                        »    Hearing Aid Devices                    »& H:#=9+(%:,&6)$":9#4(&
      H)<:,)(                               » Adjustable Beds                   »    Pacemakers                             »& 6)(%&IT0:.")9%
   »& !2:%,7=)#$S&8(+4#%+$(&?&G+9%$+4&      » IP Phone Systems                  »    Dosimeters - Portable
      K)#$                                                                      »    Drug Dispensers - Portable          »& G+9<)9:)9,)(
   »& D35G&!'(%)"(&?&G+".+9)9%(           »                                     »    Electro- Cardiac Monitors              »& H:(.)9()$(
                                         F+E:4)J                                »    Intraveneous Monitors - Portable
   »& 5MG&U9:%(&?&G+"L+$%&G++4:9=                                               »    Pulse Oximeters - Portable
   »& Q+:4)$(S&D)#%&/0".                 »& 89L+%#:9")9%
   »&                                       » MP3 Music & Video Players     -)()#$,7J
»& N:=7%:9=&!'(%)"(&?&G+".+9)9%(            » Portable Gaming Devices
   »& N#".(S&Q04E(S&60E)(S&!+,>)%(                                          »       Laboratories
   »& N:=7%&!2:%,7)(&?&H:"")$(           »& N:L)(%'4)                           »    Centrifuges - Laboratory
   »& N:=7%:9=&Q#44#(%(                     » Digital Cameras                   »    Freezers - Laboratory
   »& 6$#'(&?&N:=7%&*:V%0$)(                » Digital Video Cameras             »    Incubators - Laboratory
                                            » GPS Navigation Devices            »    Microscopes
»& /+2)$&B0#4:%'&!'(%)"(&                                                       »    Spectrometers
   »& 6$#9(:)9%&3+4%#=)&!0$=)&                                                  »    Weigh Scales - Laboratory
      !0..$)((:+9&H)<:,)(
»& !#L)%'&!'(%)"(&?&G+".+9)9%(&
   »& G#$E+9&F+9+V:A)&H+,%+$(
   »& 5,,)((&G+9%$+4(
   »& !),0$:%'&54#$"(
Smart Systems
 Forecast Report


Device Demographics

                 G+9(0")$&86                 /$+L)((:+9#4&86                    F+E:4)&6)4).7+9'
                 3)90)                       3)90)                              3)90)




                                                                                                          Page xiv
                               I9%)$.$:()&M&G+"")$,:#4J               6)4).7+9'J
»& G+".0%:9=                   »& G+".0%:9=                           »& G)44&/7+9)(&
   »& H)(>%+.&/G(                 »& H)(>%+.&/G(
   »& N#.%+.&/G(                  »& P+$>(%#%:+9(                     F+E:4)&6)$":9#4(J
   »& 1)%E++>(                    »& H:(.4#'(
                                                                      » Feature Phones




                                                                                                         !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0(
   »& U4%$#&F+E:4)&/G(            »& 1)%E++>(
                                  »& U4%$#&F+E:4)&/G(                 » SmartPhones
»& !%+$#=)&                       »& 67:9&G4:)9%(
   »& !%+$#=)&H)<:,)(             »& /)9M6#E4)%
   »& F)A:#&!)$<)$(
                               »& !)$<)$(&#9A&!%+$#=)&
»& 1)%2+$>:9=&                    »& !)$<)$(S&Q4#A)(S&-#,>(&M&*$))O
   »& K#%)2#'(                       !%#9A:9=
   »& D0E(                        »& !%+$#=)&H)<:,)(
   »& -+0%)$(&                    »& F)A:#&!)$<)$(
   »& !2:%,7)(
                               »& 1)%2+$>:9=&
»& /$:9%:9=&M&8"#=:9=             »& K#%)2#'(
   »& /$:9%)$(                    »& D0E(
   »& G+.:)$(                     »& -+0%)$(&
   »& !,#99)$(                    »& !2:%,7)(
   »& *#V&F#,7:9)(&
                               »& /$:9%:9=&M&8"#=:9=
F+E:4)J                           »& /$:9%)$(
                                  »& G+.:)$(
» Tablets                         »& !,#99)$(
» E-Readers                       »& *#V&F#,7:9)(&
» Laptop PCs
                               F+E:4)J
                               »   Tablets
                               »   Pen-Based Systems




                                                                                                                             © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc.
                                                                                                                                      All rights reserved
                                                                                                   Harbor Research
                               »   Industrial PDAs
                               »   Laptop PCs

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Harbor Research Smart Systems Global Forecast Report 2012-2016

  • 1. SMART SYSTEMS FORECAST ! Report Prospectus Harbor Research Boulder Cambridge UK www.harborresearch.com
  • 2. Smart Systems Forecast Report Smart Systems Global Forecast 2012-2016 Evolving Internet of Things and Machine-To-Machine Page ii Market Opportunities !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( The intersection of Information and Communications Technology (ICT) and device connectivity creates value at two disparate ends of the business spectrum. New IT technologies like cloud computing are moving to the enterprise and rapidly being embraced. Managed IT capabilities in which inputs—from machines, services will increasingly dominate ICT systems people, video streams, maps, newsfeeds, and networked services development. sensors, and more—is digitized and placed onto networks. These inputs are integrated into At the other end of the spectrum, the rise of the systems that connect people, processes, and M2M and the “Internet of Things” has helped knowledge to enable collective awareness, transform product companies into value-added © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. creativity and better decision making. We have service companies. Manufacturers are learning All rights reserved Harbor Research now entered the age when everyday objects will that by putting products on networks they are communicate with, and control, other objects essentially placing themselves into continuous over a global data network—24/7/365. contact with their customers, thereby enabling 1)2&3#40)&5%&67)&89%)$(),%:+9 them to better understand their customer’s Intelligent device communications and This global network is the Internet. The objects needs and act appropriately. information technology are combining to create are everything from consumer appliances to new modes of asset intelligence, collaboration the elevator you’ve been waiting for. It’s not The intersection of these two trends creates and decision making. People, information, and “the future,” it’s now—this year, next year—and an opportunity for new differentiated business technology are becoming more connected, thus it is vitally important that business leaders models by cleverly combining the potential distributed and pervasive enabling the understand this phenomenon, its effects on their of both. The two need to be interwoven and convergence of physical and virtual worlds. business, and what they should do right now to mutually supportive, and increasingly, success in Network awareness will include knowledge, position themselves for opportunities that are either goes to the player that effectively utilizes people and things. literally just around the corner. the combined potential of both.
  • 3. Smart Systems Forecast Report The Changing Internet of Things Landscape Page iii ;<)$#$,7:9=&3:)2 !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( Harbor expects that Smart Systems and Internet of Things opportunity will continue to shift away !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*$#")2+$>&?&5$,7:%),%0$) from its legacy focus on basic connectivity and communications enablement towards more Users People valuable managed services opportunities. Based Value on all the knowledge gathered about technology Content Added User Interactions evolution, supplier progress, and customer Consumables Elements & Experience adoption, here are our overarching observations Mobile PDAs Smart Entertainment Mobile Telephony, Phones Phones Devices & IT Terminals about the Smart Systems opportunity today: Supervisory Systems & Applications Services & Applications Machine To Machine » Intelligent devices will have rapidly increasing Carrier & Network Services Technology & Enablement Software Tools, Middleware & Web Services intelligence and functionality. Demand for Tools & Network Infrastructure & Connectivity Infrastructure adaptability, agility and features will grow. © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. All rights reserved Harbor Research Aerospace Vehicles Mobile in types, applications and capabilities as well Marine Rail On-Road Off-Road Equipment as numerous client devices connected to Product Complex Systemic Equipment OEMs Fixed personal, local and wide-area networks. Simple Machines & Equipment Equipment Facility » Connectivity/Communication will become Facility Systems & Equipment Systems Facility Infrastructure Components & Sub-Systems & Equipment nearly ubiquitous. Communications options Electrical Sub-Systems & Components will increase, have greater bandwidth, and Power & Mechanical Sub-Systems & Components be cheaper (free Internet access). Phone Control Machine/Device Systems Sub-Systems, Fluid & Pneumatic Sub-Systems & Components lines, Data lines, Power lines, Cable and Assemblies, Modules & Fiber Lines, Cellular, Satellite, and Radio Electronic Interconnect Embedded Components Semiconductors & Micro-Electronics Electronics Frequency options will abound, all in service to providing communications and connectivity.
  • 4. Smart Systems Forecast Report Research Aims and Key Questions Page iv » Networked devices and systems will be We strongly believe that the Smart Systems people, processes, and knowledge to enable self-adapting. As witnessed by computers market opportunity is reaching its tipping point collective awareness and better decision !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( beating chess pros and with automatically for dramatic growth; there is now substantially making. Our analysis and research is focused adjusting car seats, the digital nervous greater recognition of the technological on understanding the strategic business system will increasingly be of service to implications of growth within the emerging Smart users, not the other way around. Companies connecting devices to the Internet. This Systems arena. will exist to house, facilitate, and recommend represents a whole new generation of technology better options for dealing with individual innovation and, if history repeats because certain We are particularly interested in answering the needs and tastes, where people will opt for following fundamental questions: service contracts instead of buying products wave of growth in Smart Systems. outright. » What key forces are impacting adoption of Smart Systems, M2M and connected » “Communities” will emerge. Networks of @)'&-)()#$,7&#9A&59#4'(:(&B0)(%:+9( product solutions? collaborating companies, customers, people, Our forecast report examines the current state devices, and sensors will be linked together of intelligent device networking, a key element » What devices and applications are driving © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. All rights reserved Harbor Research in border crossing relationships that will of what we term Smart Systems. We prefer intelligent device networking? foster the development of a connected, “Smart Systems” over other terms in common smart world. Inputs from the constituents use—notably “M2M,” which usually stands for » What is the size and growth rate of the Smart listed above will be processed in real time “machine-to-machine”—because it captures Systems opportunity? in order to provide instantaneous feedback the profound enormity of the phenomenon - thus keeping the overall environment/ » What managed services opportunities are something much greater in scope than just developing by vertical market? ecosystem in balance. machine connectivity. » Vertical Smart Systems Solutions. End users » What are the evolving competitive dynamics will emerge as a force and place greater a new generation of systems architecture in the Smart Systems arena? emphasis on vertical solutions that readily (hardware, software, network technologies integrate with enterprise systems -- end and managed services) that provide real- » What are the biggest unmet growth customers will demand innovative solution opportunities and biggest issues and hurdles time awareness based on inputs from are there in the market impacting adoption of design and more effective service and machines, people, video streams, maps, Smart Services? support. newsfeeds, sensors, and more that integrate
  • 5. Smart Systems Forecast Report Market Opportunity Has Reached Its Tipping Point Page v ;$=#9:C#%:+9&#9A&!%$0,%0$) !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( Our analysis and forecast provides D#$E+$&-)()#$,7&3)90)&!)=")9%#%:+9&F#.& comprehensive coverage of the intelligent device networking market. We have interviewed technology suppliers, product OEMs, service providers, experts and users to obtain a complete perspective on the marketplace. This report provides our analysis and forecast that includes all intelligently networked devices, covering both Fixed (Wireline) and Wireless technologies, including WWAN (cellular and satellite), WLAN and WPAN. Harbor segments the market into eleven key © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. Enterprise Mobile All rights reserved Harbor Research venues as listed below. We analyze each venue and related customer segments, application machine types central to the evolving smart systems arena. Our venue scope and coverage includes: » Resources: Mining equipment, pipelines, agricultural equipment, water/wastewater, and energy production » Industrial: Automation, control equipment, and manufacturing capital equipment » Transportation: Vehicles, Airplanes, & Transport Systems
  • 6. Smart Systems Forecast Report Smart Systems’ Scope » Homeland Security: National, border, and connected to a terrestrial cellular network, Page vi public venue security including smart phones, and feature phones network service charges, and support services. » Buildings: HVAC/environmental systems, We further organize and segment opportunities access control systems, transport systems, » System Applications: System Applications !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( and lighting into four key layers as follows: include status/monitoring, diagnostics, » Residential: Consumer appliances, lighting, » Network Hardware: the wireline or wireless control/automation, and location/tracking. security, energy systems, and network module attached to or embedded in each automation machine to be connected. » Value-Added Application Services: application delivery services, including asset » Healthcare: Medical devices, telemedicine, » Network Services: the communication management, energy management, supply care delivery technology, as well as lab medium used to receive/send machine data chain and customer support. equipment, such as centrifuges, incubators, freezers, and blood test equipment *+$),#(%&F+A)4&!)=")9%#%:+9&!,7)"#& » Retail: Point of Sale systems (POS), vending machines (food/beverages, cigarettes, higher Venue Venues Resources value products like CDs), service equipment Venue = segment of the economy (e.g. Energy) (petrol pumps, washers/driers, refrigeration, car cleaning), entertainment, signage/ These levels of the © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. segmentation model are All rights reserved Harbor Research display (billboards, displays), scanners and Customer Segment about “where” the Customer Electricity application occurs or registers, kiosks, digital signage, lighting, Segments A homogenous “served” market segment resides (e.g. Power Generation within Energy) and refrigeration systems » Consumer IT: Infotainment technologies in Application Segment the home, including PCs, tablets, storage Application Applications provide a function or a related set of functions based on a Distribution System Segments devices, cameras, game players, and home grouping of related devices (e.g. fleet tracking or energy mgmt) These levels of the segmentation model are about “what” the function Device Segments & Categories of the device is or » Professional IT: Information and Device A device segment is a lower level grouping enables within a system based on the particular function of a device Sub-Station Equipment communication in the Segments (e.g. POS) and a device category refers to (e.g. relays, switches, etc.) desktop PCs, tablets, netbooks, and the actual type of device (e.g. mobile payment terminal). traditional laptops as well as infrastructure related assets such as servers, storage Device Categories devices, and communications equipment » Mobile Telephony: mobile terminals
  • 7. Smart Systems Forecast Report Methodology Page vii Harbor combines a comprehensive top-down using different connection technologies. The suppliers, network equipment suppliers and and bottom-up approach to ensure the most results of these assessments have then been channel participants such as distributors. !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( accurate forecast possible. All levels within the cross-checked against actual connection module forecast are linked. shipment data received from silicon and module Device populations have been determined from government statistics and related market analysis D#$E+$&-)()#$,7&!"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&F)%7+A+4+=' on output and installed base across a very diverse range of networked device segments. Device Device Device Devices within Service Prices Service Prices Service US, EU Populations Populations Applications/ Service Prices by application by application Populations Providers, Data for over 350 device categories in Harbor’s & Global Stats Venues By by country Application by country Industry Application By country Research eleven key venues have been researched in this Suppliers, Application Application Application Penetration Penetration Industry Penetration Penetrations Service ARPUs way in order to cover all areas where Harbor Comparisons Technology DIY; Technology Services sees potential smart device and systems Suppliers, Industry Technology Technology Penetrations Penetrations Penetrations Commercial SP Revenues Provider Penetrations Open Source, By Application Info opportunities. These numbers are cross-checked Comparisons etc. ConnectedDevice/ Device/ ConnectedDevice/ Airtime, Fixed line Airtime, Fixed line ConnectedDevice/ against data and analysis from alternative Shipments ConnectedProjections Module Module Projections Module Projections Projections Airtime, ARPUs ARPUs Fixed ARPUs © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. All rights reserved Harbor Research sources such as expert interviews, industry ARPU 1 App 1 Rev Module Prices Module Prices publications, academic analysis, market research Prices by technology by technology By Technology ARPU 2 App 2 Rev Network reports, and other sources. Services ARPU 3 App 3 Rev Device Unit Networking penetration of these device Values ARPU X App X Rev populations has been assessed from Harbor’s Factor C Support Charges Factor A Software Diagnostics Factor analysis, based on input received from device Factor D Provisioning Factor B Engineering Control/Automation Factor suppliers and industry comparisons across Location & Track Factor device segments. At the same time, device Systems Value Added Status & Monitor Factor Application categories have also been assessed for the Network Hardware Applications Services Configuration Factor alternative technologies that might be used to Other Factor network them. This approach seeks to minimize the potential for double counting of devices
  • 8. Smart Systems Forecast Report About Harbor Research Page viii !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( Harbor Research has more than twenty years of Contact: experience providing strategic consulting and Kristin Deily Analyst research services to product manufacturers, services organizations and core technology Harbor Research, Inc. clients. Harbor’s strategy and business 1942 Broadway Suite 201 development work is organized around Boulder, CO 80302 emergent and disruptive opportunities, with a p 303.786.9000 f 720.282.5801 unique focus on the impact of the Pervasive Internet—the use of the Internet to accomplish m 303.880.6098 global device networking that will revolutionize Email: kdeily@harborresearch.com business by unleashing entirely new modes of Trinity House system optimization, customer relationships, and Cambridge Business Park service delivery - what we call “Smart Systems & © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. Cowley Road, CB4 OWZ UK All rights reserved Harbor Research Services.” p +44 122 339 3571 f +44 122 339 3501 w http://www.harborresearch.com
  • 9. Smart Systems Forecast Report Report Structure and Content Page ix Introduction and Forces and Smart Systems Evolving Market Overview Trends Forecast Opportunities !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( Introduction Smart Systems Forces & Trends Smart Systems Market Forecast Evolving Market Opportunities Overview Organizing Schema & Methodology Internet of Interactions Key Technology Drivers & Forces Venues and Markets Key Questions Challenges for Technology Competitive Forces Players Report Structure and Organizing Schema Customer Forces Applications Vs. Technologies Challenges for Network Services Players Socio-Economic Forces Market Potential Challeges for IT Systems Success Factors Network Hardware Revenues Players Network Services Revenues Customer Challenges System Application Revenues Required Smart Systems Tools Value Added Applications Services Device Shipments by Network Type © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. All rights reserved Harbor Research » Resources Venue » Industrial Venue » Transportation Venue » Homeland Security Venue » Buildings Venue » Residential Venue » Healthcare Venue » Retail Venue » Consumer IT Venue » Professional IT Venue » Mobile Telephony Venue
  • 10. Smart Systems Forecast Report Smart Systems Forecast Exhibits Page x G7#.%)$&8 Figure 1.1 Venue Segmentation Map Figure 3.11 Value Added Application Services Figure 3.31 Value Added Application Revenue Figure 1.2 Forecast Methodology Revenue by Venue ($ millions) Figure 3.32 Residential Venue - Global Revenue !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( Figure 3.12 Value Added Application Services Streams ($ millions) Revenue by Venue ($ millions) Figure 3.33 System Application Revenue G7#.%)$&88 Figure 3.13 Wireline Shipments 2016 Figure 3.34 Value Added Application Revenue Figure 2.1 Smart Systems Framework Figure 3.14 WWAN Shipments 2016 Figure 3.35 Healthcare Venue - Global Revenue Figure 2.2 Intelligent Device Hierarchy Figure 3.15 WLAN Shipments 2016 Streams ($ millions) Figure 2.3 Smart Systems Innovation Map Figure 3.16 WPAN Shipments 2016 Figure 3.36 System Application Revenue Figure 3.17 Resources Venue - Global Revenue Figure 3.37 Value Added Application Revenue G7#.%)$&888 Streams ($ millions) Figure 3.38 Retail Venue - Global Revenue Figure 3.18 System Application Revenue Streams ($ millions) Figure 2.4 Evolving Industry Value Structure Figure 3.19 Value Added Application Revenue Figure 3.39 System Application Revenue Figure 3.1 Smart Systems Segmentation Taxonomy Figure 3.20 Industrial Venue - Global Revenue Figure 3.40 Value Added Application Revenue Figure 3.2 Applications Versus Technologies Streams ($ millions) Figure 3.41 Consumer IT Venue - Global Revenue Figure 3.3 Smart Systems Revenue Streams Figure 3.21 System Application Revenue Streams ($ millions) Figure 3.4 Smart Systems Revenue Streams Figure 3.22 Value Added Application Revenue Figure 3.42 System Application Revenue Figure 3.5 Network Hardware Revenue Potential © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. All rights reserved Harbor Research Figure 3.23 Transportation Venue - Global Revenue Figure 3.43 Value Added Application Revenue ($ millions) Figure 3.6 Network Hardware Revenue Potential by Streams ($ millions) Figure 3.44 Professional IT Venue - Global Revenue Venue ($ millions) Figure 3.24 System Application Revenue Streams ($ millions) Figure 3.7 Network Services Revenue Potential Figure 3.25 Value Added Application Revenue Figure 3.45 System Application Revenue ($ millions) Figure 3.26 Homeland Security Venue - Global Figure 3.46 Value Added Application Revenue Figure 3.8 Network Services Revenue Potential by Revenue Streams ($ millions) Figure 3.47 Mobile Telephony Venue - Global Venue ($ millions) Figure 3.27 System Application Revenue Revenue Streams ($ millions) Figure 3.9 System Application Revenue Potential by Figure 3.28 Value Added Application Revenue Figure 3.48 System Application Revenue Venue ($ millions) Figure 3.29 Buildings Venue - Global Revenue Figure 3.49 Value Added Application Revenue Figure 3.10 System Application Revenue Potential Streams ($ millions) by Venue ($ millions) Figure 3.30 System Application Revenue
  • 11. Smart Systems Forecast Report Appendices Network Summaries Device Demographics Venues Managed Services Page xi H)<:,)(&*+$),#(% I#,7&H)<:,)&!)=")9%&89,40A)(J I#,7&3)90)&G#%)=+$'&89,40A)(J F#9#=)A&!)$<:,)&*+$),#(% !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( Figure A.1 Total Devices Shipped by » Devices Shipped by Venue Figure D.1 Managed Service Revenue Technology - Worldwide » Devices Shipped by by Venue - Worldwide » Installed Device Base Figure A.2 Total Devices Shipped by Technology Figure D.2 Value Added Service » Network Hardware Revenue by Geography - Worldwide » Installed Device Base by Revenue by Venue - Venue Figure A.3 Total Devices Shipped by Technology Worldwide » Managed Service Revenue by Venue - Worldwide » Revenue Streams Figure D.3 System Application Figure A.4 Installed Device Base by Venue Revenue by Venue - » Network Hardware Revenue by Venue - Worldwide Technology Worldwide Figure A.5 Total Network Hardware Revenue by Technology - I#,7&H)<:,)&!)=")9%& 3#40)&5AA)A&!)$<:,)(&*+$),#(% Worldwide K4+E#4&3)90)(J 89,40A)(J Figure A.6 Total Network Hardware » Industrial Venue Forecast Value Added Services is broken Revenue by Region - » Wireline Worldwide Forecast down according to each Venue, and Worldwide » Wireline Regional Forecast » Buildings Venue Forecast the System Application Revenue Figure A.7 Total Network Hardware Breakdown and the Value Added Revenue by Venue - » WWAN Worldwide Forecast » Retail Venue Forecast Service Revenue Breakdown Worldwide » WWAN Regional Forecast measures are presented for each » Transportation Venue Forecast » WLAN Worldwide Forecast 1)%2+$>&H)<:,)(&*+$),#(% » WLAN Regional Forecast Figure D.24 System Applications » Professional IT Venue © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. Revenue Breakdown - All rights reserved Harbor Research Figure A.8 Network Services Revenue by Venue - Worldwide » WPAN Worldwide Forecast Worldwide » Healthcare Venue Forecast Figure A.9 Network Services Revenue » WPAN Regional Forecast by Technology - Worldwide Figure D.25 Value Added Service » Homeland Security Venue Revenue Breakdown - Figure A.10 Network Services Revenue Forecast by Venue - N. America Worldwide Figure A.11 Network Services Revenue » Resources Venue Forecast by Venue -Europe Figure A.12 Network Services Revenue » Residential Venue Forecast by Venue - AsiaPac Figure A.13 Network Services Revenue » Consumer IT Venue Forecast by Venue -ROW Figure A.14 Network Services Revenue » Mobile Telephony Forecast by Technology- N. America Figure A.15 Network Services Revenue by Technology - Europe Figure A.16 Network Services Revenue by Technology- AsiaPac Figure A.17 Network Services Revenue by Technology - ROW
  • 12. Smart Systems Forecast Report Device Demographics -)(+0$,)(& 89A0(%$:#4& 6$#9(.+$%#%:+9 D+")4#9A 3)90) 3)90) 3)90) !),0$:%' 3)90) F:9:9=J H:(,$)%)&F#90L#,%0$:9=J 3)7:,4)(J I9%$'&!'(%)"(J Page xii » Resource Extraction: » Machine Control » On-Road Vehicles » Airports & Public Transit » Mobile Mining Equip - Surface » CNC / Motion Controlllers » Passenger » Inspection Equipment » Fixed Mining Equip - Underground » Drives - AC / DC / Variable Speed » SUV/Light » » Mining Tools » Human Machine Interfaces » Commercial - Medium » Surveillance Systems & Devices » Materials Handling » Motors & Actuators » Commercial - Heavy !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( » Programmable Logic Controllers » Motorcycles/Bikes » Ports I4),%$:,:%'M/+2)$&!'(%)"(J » Sensors & Switches - Discrete » Military » Surveillance Systems & Devices » Power Generation Manufacturing » Intruder Detection Devices » Central Stations - Nuclear/Fossil » Off-Road Vehicles » Inspection Equipment » Alternative Gen - Wind Turbines » Special Industrial Machines » Construction » Alternative Gen - Solar » Robots » Agriculture » Borders » Alternative - Co-Gen » Assembly/Test Stands » Recreational » Inspection Equipment » Military » » Transmission & Distribution /$+,)((MG+9<)$%:9=J » Surveillance Systems & Devices » Sub-Stations » Control Systems 5)$+(.#,)J » Re-Closers - Power Distribution » Distributed Control Systems » Commercial /0E4:,&89L$#(%$0,%0$)J » Relays - Power Distribution » Instruments - Process Control » Airliners & Cargo Planes » Switches & Heavy Switchgear » Stand-Alone Controllers » Helicopters » Electrical Grid » Electricity Pylons & Towers » Valves & Actuators » Light Aircraft » Monitoring Systems » Analytic Instruments » Surveillance Systems & Devices » Premises Equipment » Military » Intruder Detection Devices » Back-Up Power Equip » Process Masurement/Analytics » Cargo Planes & Bombers » Meters » Process Analytical Instruments » Helicopters » Water/Wastewater » Energy Monitoring/Display » Flow Measurement » Fighter Jets » Surveillance Systems & Devices » Level Measurement » Unmanned » Intruder Detection Devices 5=$:,04%0$)J » Pressure Measurement » Farming Equipment » Temperature Measurement F#$:9)J » Pipelines/Telco Infrastructure » Tractors & Farmyard Machines » Process Variable Transmitters » Commercial » Monitoring Systems » Harvesters » Telemetry/RTUs (Remote) » Passenger Ships » Surveillance Systems & Devices » Temperature Controllers » Ferrrys & Fishing Vessels » Intruder Detection Devices » Agricultural Infrastructure » Position Sensing » Cargo Craft & Tankers © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. All rights reserved » Irrigation Equip » Air Compressors Harbor Research » Sprayers Sprinklers & Pumps » Chillers » Military - Naval »& 5:$,$#L%&G#$$:)$( ;:4&?&K#(J » Final Control/Actuators »& G$0:()$(MH)(%$+')$(M5((#04% » Off-Shore » Valves »& !0E"#$:9)(& » Drilling Rigs » Pumps » Floating Production Systems » Motors » Recreational » Drill Ships I4),%$+9:,(J » Pleasure Boats » Submersible Rigs/Systems » Jetskis » Semiconductor Fab Equip » On-Shore » Auto Test/Assembly Equip -#:4J » Drilling Rigs !0..4'&G7#:9J » Rolling Stock » » Passenger Trains » Material Handling Equip » Freight » Pipelines » Auto ID (Bar Code, RFID) » Sub-Ways & Light Rail » Compressor Stations » Pumps » Locomotion » Monitoring Equip »& N+,+"+%:<)(&O&D)#<' » Meters »& N+,+"+%:<)(&O&N:=7% P#%)$J 6$#9(.+$%#%:+9&89L$#(%$0,%0$)J » Water » Tolls/Tariffs » Water/Wasterwater Processing » Signage » Drill Rigs » Tracking/ID Systems » Desalinasation » Pipeline Systems/Equip » Meters
  • 13. Smart Systems Forecast Report Device Demographics Q0:4A:9=(& -)(:A)9%:#4 D)#4%7,#$)& -)%#:4 3)90) 3)90) 3)90) 3)90) G+"")$,:#4&M&89A0(%$:#4&Q0:4A:9=(J D+(.:%#4(&M&D)#4%7&H)4:<)$'J Page xiii 5..4:#9,)(J -)%#:4&!%+$)(&M&6$#9(#,%:+9(J »& Q0:4A:9=&6$#9(:%&!'(%)"( » Patient Care »& N#$=)&5..4:#9,)( » Drug Dispensers »& @:+(>( »& I4)<#%+$(R&I(,#4#%+$S&P#4>2#'( »& H:(72#(7)$( » Dialysis Equipment »& 89L+$"#%:+9#4&@:+(>( »& -)L$:=)$#%+$( » Respiratory Equipment »& 6:,>)%:9=M6$#9(#,%:+9#4&@:+(>( »& I4),%$:,#4&H:(%$:E0%:+9&IT0:.")9% »& *$))C)$( » Incubators »& 56F( »& N+#A&G)9%)$&?&/#9)4&Q+#$A( »& ;<)9( !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( »& Q$)#>)$(S&K*G8M&-GH&H)<:,)( » »& !%+<)( » Beds & Bedside Equipment »& /+:9%O+LO!#4)&W/;!X&!'(%)"( »& /+2)$&;0%4)%(S&P:$:9=&H)<:,)( »& P#(7:9=&F#,7:9)( »& *:V)A&?&F+E:4)&/;!&!'(%)"( »& !2:%,7=)#$S&G+9%$+4&K)#$ »& H$')$( » Patient Monitoring »& P):=7&!,#4)( »& /+2)$&B0#4:%'&!'(%)"( » Blood Glucose »& Q#$,+A)MH+%,+A)M-*H&!,#99)$( »& Q#,>O0.&/+2)$&!'(%)"( » Blood Pressure »& H:=:%#4&!:=9#=) »& !"#44&5..4:#9,)( » Dosimeters - Fixed »& D35G&!'(%)"( »& 3#,00"&G4)#9)$(& » Drug Dispensers - Fixed D+%)4(S&-)(%#0$#9%(S&I9%)$%#:9")9% »& 5MG&U9:%( »& F:,$+2#<)(M&6+#(%)$&;<)9(& » Electro-Cardiac Monitors - Fixed »& Q4+2)$(&?&*#9( »& !"#44&@:%,7)9&5..4:#9,)(& » Intraveneous Monitors - Fixed »& 5..4:#9,)(&#9A&!)$<:,)&IT0:.")9% »& Q+:4)$(S&G7:44)$( »& 6$#(7&G+".#,%+$(& » Pulse Oximeters - Fixed »& G+"")$,:#4&5..4:#9,)( »& G+"E0(%:+9&G+9%$+44)$( »& »& 3#,00"&G4)#9)$( »& G++4:9=&6+2)$(S&/0".:9=&IT0:. » Patient Diagnostics »& G+"")$,:#4&@:%,7)9&5..4:#9,)( »& 3#$:#E4)&5:$&3+40")&G+9%$+4( 89L+%#:9")9%J » Computer Aided Tomography »& G+"")$,:#4&N#09A$'&5..4:#9,)( » Magnetic Resonance Imaging »& 8,)&?&P#%)$&H:(.)9()$( »& N:=7%:9=&!'(%)"(&?&G+".+9)9%( » Media »& N:=7%:9=&!'(%)"(S&*:V%0$)( » DVRs, » Ultra Sound Equipment » X-Ray Machines - Healthcare »& I9%)$%#:9")9%&IT0:.")9% »& N:=7%&!+,>)%(S&Q#44#(%(S&N#".( » DVD Players »& »& N:=7%&!2:%,7)(&?&H:"")$( » Set Top Boxes »& I4),%$+9:,&89(%$0")9%( » Stereo Systems »& !+09A&F:V:9= »& !#L)%'&#9A&!),0$:%'&!'(%)"(& » Televisions » »& N:=7%:9=&#9A&H:(.4#'&!'(%)"( »& !"+>)S&G7)":,#4S&K#(&H)%),%+$( » Blood Glucose Monitors - Fixed »& !+09A&F:V:9=&IT0:.")9% »& *:$)&!)9(+$(&#9A&54#$"&/#9)4( »& IA0O%#:9")9% » Blood Pressure Meters - Fixed »& !.)#>)$( »& » Edu-tainment Toys » Dosimeters - Fixed »& K#":9=MK#"E4:9=&F#,7:9)( »& 5,,)((&G+9%$+4( » Gaming Consoles » Drug Dispensers - Fixed »& Q+24:9=&!'(%)"( »& !),0$:%'&54#$"( » Learning Devices » Electro- Cardiac Monitors - Fixed »& H:=:%#4&Y0>)E+V)( »& !),0$:%'&G#")$#( » Intraveneous Monitors - Fixed © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. All rights reserved Harbor Research N:L)(%'4)J » Pulse Oximeters - Fixed K#(&M&G+9<)9:)9,)&;0%4)%(J -)(:A)9%:#4&Q0:4A:9=(J »& I4),%$:,#4&H:(%$:E0%:+9&IT0:.")9%& »& N:L)(%'4)&H)<:,)( » Remote Patient Monitoring »& *0)4:9=&#9A&-).#:$( »& G+9(0")$&U9:%(&?&N+#A&G)9%)$( » Digital Picture Frames » Blood Glucose Monitors »& K#(&/0".(&#9A&H:(.)9(:9=& »& F:9:#%0$)&Q$)#>)$(S&K*8GM&-GH& » Health & Fitness Devices » Blood Pressure Meters !'(%)"( H)<:,)(&?&*0()( » Home Energy Displays » Electro- Cardiac Monitors »& 5:$&?&P#%)$&H:(.)9()$( »& /+2)$&;0%4)%(S&!.0$(&?&P:$:9=& » IP Cameras » Hearing Aid Devices »& H:#=9+(%:,&6)$":9#4(& H)<:,)( » Adjustable Beds » Pacemakers »& 6)(%&IT0:.")9% »& !2:%,7=)#$S&8(+4#%+$(&?&G+9%$+4& » IP Phone Systems » Dosimeters - Portable K)#$ » Drug Dispensers - Portable »& G+9<)9:)9,)( »& D35G&!'(%)"(&?&G+".+9)9%( » » Electro- Cardiac Monitors »& H:(.)9()$( F+E:4)J » Intraveneous Monitors - Portable »& 5MG&U9:%(&?&G+"L+$%&G++4:9= » Pulse Oximeters - Portable »& Q+:4)$(S&D)#%&/0". »& 89L+%#:9")9% »& » MP3 Music & Video Players -)()#$,7J »& N:=7%:9=&!'(%)"(&?&G+".+9)9%( » Portable Gaming Devices »& N#".(S&Q04E(S&60E)(S&!+,>)%( » Laboratories »& N:=7%&!2:%,7)(&?&H:"")$( »& N:L)(%'4) » Centrifuges - Laboratory »& N:=7%:9=&Q#44#(%( » Digital Cameras » Freezers - Laboratory »& 6$#'(&?&N:=7%&*:V%0$)( » Digital Video Cameras » Incubators - Laboratory » GPS Navigation Devices » Microscopes »& /+2)$&B0#4:%'&!'(%)"(& » Spectrometers »& 6$#9(:)9%&3+4%#=)&!0$=)& » Weigh Scales - Laboratory !0..$)((:+9&H)<:,)( »& !#L)%'&!'(%)"(&?&G+".+9)9%(& »& G#$E+9&F+9+V:A)&H+,%+$( »& 5,,)((&G+9%$+4( »& !),0$:%'&54#$"(
  • 14. Smart Systems Forecast Report Device Demographics G+9(0")$&86 /$+L)((:+9#4&86 F+E:4)&6)4).7+9' 3)90) 3)90) 3)90) Page xiv I9%)$.$:()&M&G+"")$,:#4J 6)4).7+9'J »& G+".0%:9= »& G+".0%:9= »& G)44&/7+9)(& »& H)(>%+.&/G( »& H)(>%+.&/G( »& N#.%+.&/G( »& P+$>(%#%:+9( F+E:4)&6)$":9#4(J »& 1)%E++>( »& H:(.4#'( » Feature Phones !"#$%&!'(%)"(&*+$),#(%&-).+$%&/$+(.),%0( »& U4%$#&F+E:4)&/G( »& 1)%E++>( »& U4%$#&F+E:4)&/G( » SmartPhones »& !%+$#=)& »& 67:9&G4:)9%( »& !%+$#=)&H)<:,)( »& /)9M6#E4)% »& F)A:#&!)$<)$( »& !)$<)$(&#9A&!%+$#=)& »& 1)%2+$>:9=& »& !)$<)$(S&Q4#A)(S&-#,>(&M&*$))O »& K#%)2#'( !%#9A:9= »& D0E( »& !%+$#=)&H)<:,)( »& -+0%)$(& »& F)A:#&!)$<)$( »& !2:%,7)( »& 1)%2+$>:9=& »& /$:9%:9=&M&8"#=:9= »& K#%)2#'( »& /$:9%)$( »& D0E( »& G+.:)$( »& -+0%)$(& »& !,#99)$( »& !2:%,7)( »& *#V&F#,7:9)(& »& /$:9%:9=&M&8"#=:9= F+E:4)J »& /$:9%)$( »& G+.:)$( » Tablets »& !,#99)$( » E-Readers »& *#V&F#,7:9)(& » Laptop PCs F+E:4)J » Tablets » Pen-Based Systems © 2012 Harbor Research, Inc. All rights reserved Harbor Research » Industrial PDAs » Laptop PCs