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From Risk To Opportunity
Guy Fraker
Founder: Knowledge
Services @
AutonomouStuff, LLC
Co-Founder &CEO
: get2kno, Inc.
You Inspire
Mission & Passion:
Grow Access as an
Alternative to
Ownership
Why: Access
Empowers
Learned to manage
“risk”.........
“Of course not.....you
haven’t learned it yet.
First learn, then do and
accomplish anything”
“Millions come and see
these mountains. Only a
few reach for them. I
can’t imagine those who do
are ever the same.
“If you don’t try- won’t you
always wonder..”
Diagnosing “Risk” to
create Opportunity
Weak
Signals
Then Ask-
“What If?”
Launch New
Entity
Form
Collaborativ
e Team-
Research
DEEP DIVE:
Create
Multiple
Scenarios
ID:
1. Core
Risk
2. Core
Opps
Ideation
Over a decade
collaborating with the
best
Personal
Transportation-
Always Scaled
To Culture
The “Haves” = Ownership
Shared Mobility
Has a Deep
History As Well
1920‘s: The Stars
Aligned
And car ownership went viral
1950‘s: The Interstate
Highway Act
Explosion in
Ownership &
VMT
Challenge: Innovation is counter-
intuitive- causes REACTION
Data Source : Dr. Ray Kurzweil MD, PhD CEO Kurzweil Technologies, Inc
Zoneof
Distress
Recognize
Problem or
opportunity
Plan &
Act
Solution
The Greatest Risks Are Often Internal
Whatpreventsattainingidealsolutions?A: With questions: 5 W’s
Q: How do we learn to think
differently?
Pace changes everything- It can also work
against you
10 15 20
Skip? React? Hope to follow?
Execute Grow Lead
Chris Anderson; The Long Tail, 2007, 2008
Car Share?
Tourism
Unions
Car
Ownership? P&C Ins ?
Taxis
Pre Web= 5-10 years; Now= 24-36 months
2. Market development:
Extend the core into new markets
4. Diversification:
Create a new future
1. Start-up Market Penetration:
Better positioning with improved products and
services
3. Product Development:
How to redefine/redeploy to create new
products?
New
Existing
Existing
New
Consumers
Maturation of a New Industry
As a Sector
Grows,
Existing
Industry Scale
Forces React-
Default Mode
Risk: Hype vs
Genuine
Products
Respect The Role
Others Own
Educate, Collaborate, Em
brace
Balance = Maximum
Efficiency
•Individual firm: Compete &
Grow
•As an industry (Shared
Mobility): Be Pro-
Active, Collaborate, Tell Our
Story
Together, We Will Succeed
China will build new 20
cities every year until 2050
to keep up with the
migration from rural to
urban
India: 1 million
people migrate from
rural to urban……
per week.
Improving 1 billion
lives within 1 decade
“Only a few can reach
for them. Those
that do will never be
the same”
•guy@get2kno.com or
•gfraker@autonomoustuff.co
m
•@cre8tfutures
• 309-660-5238
• guycf4
Thank you!

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