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The Internet of Cars

             Spawning New Business Models



              Andreas Mai
              Director Product Management
              Smart Connected Vehicles
              October 2012

Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Confidential   Internet Business Solutions Group   1
Trends Transforming Transportation




Smart                                                                                      Intelligent Transportation



                                                                              Internet
Networked                                                                     of Cars      Pervasive Computing




Electric                                                                                   Smart Grid
Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Confidential   Internet Business Solutions Group   2
Internet of Cars: Unlocking $1,400 in
             Benefits per Vehicle, per Year
  Internet of Cars                                                                                             Vehicle User
  Service Providers                                                                                             Lower insurance
   Traffic guidance, navigation,                                                                               Lower operation cost
    emergency services
                                                                                                                Less time stuck in
   “Google on wheels,”                                                                        $ 550
                                                                                                                 traffic, more productivity
    PAYD insurance,                                                    $160
    location-based services


                                                                       $300
   Auto OEM/OES                                                                                 $420           Society
    Lower service/warranty costs                                                                               Fewer crashes
    New profit pools                                                                                           Lower traffic/road/toll
    Architectural savings                                                                                       operation costs
                                                                      Benefits per vehicle, per year
                                                                                                                CO2 reduction

Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive and Economics Practices, 2011
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.       Cisco Confidential           Internet Business Solutions Group   3
The Internet Takes to the Road…




                                                            Running Transportation on
                                                             Networked Information




                                                Transportation Services Delivered by Technology
               Safety and                                             Operational                   Travel                         Revenue
                Security                                               Efficiency                 Experience                      Generation
Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive, 2011
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.          Cisco Confidential            Internet Business Solutions Group   4
THE “Savior-App”: Strategic Asset for
             the Entire Car Insurance Value Chain
                    Usage &                                       PAYD, PHYD, MHYD                                              10% - 30%
                    Behavior                                                                                                     Premiums
                                                                  Vehicle and driver health monitoring
                                                                  Safest-route
                    Crash                                         ADAS + V2V + V2I                                              20% - 35%
                  Prevention                                                                                                     of Crashes
                                                                  eCall/ ACN
                                                                  Virtual Black Box
             Fast & Correct                                       Driver vitals to first responders                               5% -15%
               Response                                           Investigation costs                                             Savings
                                                                  Fraud prevention and reduction (~80%)
              Claims & Cost                                       Stolen vehicle tracking / location                            30% - 80%
              Containment                                                                                                         Savings
                                                                  Pay as you speed
                                                                  Virtual violation detection and notification
            Connected Law                                         Automated payment                                             20% - 30%
             Enforcement                                        Savings per connected vehicle and year:                           Savings
                                                              $280 for insurance/ owner + $100 for society
Source: OctoTelematics, Cisco IBSG Automotive 2010
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.            Cisco Confidential         Internet Business Solutions Group   5
Marginal Return on U.S. Road “Business”

     U.S. Roads:
     4,000,000 Paved Road Miles
     x $6,800,000 Price per Mile
     = $27,000,000,000,000 Assets

     $100,000,000,000 Fuel Tax + Tolls
     = 0,4% Return on Assets


     “Depreciated” over 250 Years
             Source:                 An Analysis of the Current Investment Trend in the U.S.
                                     Toll Road Sector, MIT, 2008, Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Confidential       Internet Business Solutions Group   6
THE Future “Finance-Application”:
             Connecting for Smart Road Pricing

                                                     Smart Road Pricing / Vehicle-Miles-Traveled Tax




             Time of Day                                              Occupancy                   Congestion                         Speed

                     Weight                                           Road Type                  Fuel Economy                    Emissions



                                                                                                                                        CO2


Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.         Cisco Confidential            Internet Business Solutions Group   7
New Battleground: From Building Cars
             to Selling Travel Time Well Spent

         Extended Design
                                                                                         Connecting                                                     Marketing,
         and Supply Chain                                                              the Value Chain                                               Advertising, CRM




                                                              CONNECTED          CONNECTED                 CONNECTED        CONNECTED
                                                                within the car   to personal devices       around the car    to the cloud




                                   Travel Experience &                                                                            Distribution and
                                 Location-Based Services                                                                          Service Network




Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive, 2011
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                   Cisco Confidential                      Internet Business Solutions Group         8
Emergence of New Business Models
         Smart Parking                                                                          Mobility On-Demand




         Source: Web Research, 2011
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Confidential   Internet Business Solutions Group   9
Smart Shared Vehicle Concept:
             Dynamic Incentives for Redistribution
                                                                                                         Trip Destination
                                                                      $
                                                                      High Demand +
                                                                      Low Vehicle Stock
                                                                      = Low Drop-off Price


                                                                                                     Cheapest
                                                                                                     Trip Route


                                                                                                                   $$$
                                                                                                                   Low Demand +
          $$$                                                                                                      High Vehicle Stock
          High Demand +
                                                                                ?                                  = High Drop-off Price
          Low Vehicle Stock
          = High Pick-up Price
                                                                                                        $
                                                                                                        Low Demand +
                                                                                                        High Vehicle Stock
                                                         Trip Origin                                    = Low Pick-up price
Source: Kent Larson, MIT, Meeting of the Minds, Boulder 2011
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.             Cisco Confidential              Internet Business Solutions Group   10
Location Based Services:
             Multiple Building Blocks …


                                                                             Network




          Artificial Intelligence                                                          Ubiquitous Connectivity




                                                                             Context



Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Confidential    Internet Business Solutions Group   11
End-to-End Architecture is Essential –
                    Especially for Scaling Globally
                                                   Public Cloud                           Private (OEM) Cloud                  Enterprise Cloud
   Services




                                         Subscription-based                                Data Center/Virtual          Enterprise Video, Voice,
                                             Services                                           Servers                          Data




                                                                                               VNO
   Operation




                                                                                  Policy Enforcement, Flow-based                        Energy Service Providers
                                                                                         Management, DPI                                     (Smart Grid)
                                                                                                                                            Mobile SP 1 SP 1
                                                                                                                                                 Mobile

                                                                                         Communications SP 1
                                                                                             Mobile SP 1 Service
                                                                                                  Mobile
                                                                                            Providers, “Fog”
   Infrastructure




                     Mobile WiFi Offload                              DSRC Roadside               Consumer Network                  Electrical Charging Network
                      Wi-Fi Hotspots,                                   Infrastructure       Home/Dealership Wi-Fi Hotspots,         Charging Stations, Other
                        802.11u, 3G/4G                                 802.11p (V2I)                    Femtocells                              Services


                                                           V2I/Upstream Communication (Wi-Fi, 3G/4G, 802.11p, etc.)
   Vehicle




                                                                                         Software Client

                                                                                    V2V Communication (802.11p)
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                Cisco Confidential               Internet Business Solutions Group      12
Food For Thought
                                                     15-20% Savings = $6-8 B

                                                                                  ~$110 B+               ~$60 B
                                   RSE
                                   ITS                                              CV SPs                        Infra REITS
                                                                                      Auto
                                                                                      OEM
                                  PAYD
                                                                                                             40                 1.3T                   20%
                                                                      1/10th
                                                                                    Society
    Policy




                                    OBU

                                                                                    Vehicle                       Fuel Tax Share
                                    VMT                                              User
                                                                                                             20

Bottom                                                                         33% of U.S. Cars 20% of U.S. Roads
Line                                                                                                                                              $20-30B

                                                                                              550,000 Jobs                     $1.3T

   Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2012                                                                                                        U.S. Budget
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                Cisco Confidential              Internet Business Solutions Group         13
Making the Internet of Cars a Business

                                                                      No One CanWe Can…
                                                                        Together Do It Alone
                                                          Automotive                            Government




                                    Service Provider                                                  Infrastructure




                                                          Insurance                                  ITS




        Source: Cisco Smart Connected Vehicle Team 2012
Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.        Cisco Confidential    Internet Business Solutions Group   14
More Food for Thought on the
              “Internet of Cars”


               Executive Summary: A Business Case For Connecting Vehicles
               Government: A Catalyst to Unlock Societal Benefits of Transportation
               Carriers: Service Providers at a Crossroads
               Automotive: From Building Cars to Selling Travel Time Well-Spent
               Insurance: The Business of Preventing Crashes




                                                                      Andreas Mai: andmai@cisco.com

Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.      Cisco Confidential   Internet Business Solutions Group   16

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The Internet of Cars: Spawning New Business Models

  • 1. The Internet of Cars Spawning New Business Models Andreas Mai Director Product Management Smart Connected Vehicles October 2012 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 1
  • 2. Trends Transforming Transportation Smart Intelligent Transportation Internet Networked of Cars Pervasive Computing Electric Smart Grid Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 2
  • 3. Internet of Cars: Unlocking $1,400 in Benefits per Vehicle, per Year Internet of Cars Vehicle User Service Providers  Lower insurance  Traffic guidance, navigation,  Lower operation cost emergency services  Less time stuck in  “Google on wheels,” $ 550 traffic, more productivity PAYD insurance, $160 location-based services $300 Auto OEM/OES $420 Society  Lower service/warranty costs  Fewer crashes  New profit pools  Lower traffic/road/toll  Architectural savings operation costs Benefits per vehicle, per year  CO2 reduction Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive and Economics Practices, 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 3
  • 4. The Internet Takes to the Road… Running Transportation on Networked Information Transportation Services Delivered by Technology Safety and Operational Travel Revenue Security Efficiency Experience Generation Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive, 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 4
  • 5. THE “Savior-App”: Strategic Asset for the Entire Car Insurance Value Chain Usage &  PAYD, PHYD, MHYD 10% - 30% Behavior Premiums  Vehicle and driver health monitoring  Safest-route Crash  ADAS + V2V + V2I 20% - 35% Prevention of Crashes  eCall/ ACN  Virtual Black Box Fast & Correct  Driver vitals to first responders 5% -15% Response  Investigation costs Savings  Fraud prevention and reduction (~80%) Claims & Cost  Stolen vehicle tracking / location 30% - 80% Containment Savings  Pay as you speed  Virtual violation detection and notification Connected Law  Automated payment 20% - 30% Enforcement Savings per connected vehicle and year: Savings $280 for insurance/ owner + $100 for society Source: OctoTelematics, Cisco IBSG Automotive 2010 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 5
  • 6. Marginal Return on U.S. Road “Business” U.S. Roads: 4,000,000 Paved Road Miles x $6,800,000 Price per Mile = $27,000,000,000,000 Assets $100,000,000,000 Fuel Tax + Tolls = 0,4% Return on Assets “Depreciated” over 250 Years Source: An Analysis of the Current Investment Trend in the U.S. Toll Road Sector, MIT, 2008, Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 6
  • 7. THE Future “Finance-Application”: Connecting for Smart Road Pricing Smart Road Pricing / Vehicle-Miles-Traveled Tax Time of Day Occupancy Congestion Speed Weight Road Type Fuel Economy Emissions CO2 Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 7
  • 8. New Battleground: From Building Cars to Selling Travel Time Well Spent Extended Design Connecting Marketing, and Supply Chain the Value Chain Advertising, CRM CONNECTED CONNECTED CONNECTED CONNECTED within the car to personal devices around the car to the cloud Travel Experience & Distribution and Location-Based Services Service Network Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive, 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 8
  • 9. Emergence of New Business Models Smart Parking Mobility On-Demand Source: Web Research, 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 9
  • 10. Smart Shared Vehicle Concept: Dynamic Incentives for Redistribution Trip Destination $ High Demand + Low Vehicle Stock = Low Drop-off Price Cheapest Trip Route $$$ Low Demand + $$$ High Vehicle Stock High Demand + ? = High Drop-off Price Low Vehicle Stock = High Pick-up Price $ Low Demand + High Vehicle Stock Trip Origin = Low Pick-up price Source: Kent Larson, MIT, Meeting of the Minds, Boulder 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 10
  • 11. Location Based Services: Multiple Building Blocks … Network Artificial Intelligence Ubiquitous Connectivity Context Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 11
  • 12. End-to-End Architecture is Essential – Especially for Scaling Globally Public Cloud Private (OEM) Cloud Enterprise Cloud Services Subscription-based Data Center/Virtual Enterprise Video, Voice, Services Servers Data VNO Operation Policy Enforcement, Flow-based Energy Service Providers Management, DPI (Smart Grid) Mobile SP 1 SP 1 Mobile Communications SP 1 Mobile SP 1 Service Mobile Providers, “Fog” Infrastructure Mobile WiFi Offload DSRC Roadside Consumer Network Electrical Charging Network Wi-Fi Hotspots, Infrastructure Home/Dealership Wi-Fi Hotspots, Charging Stations, Other 802.11u, 3G/4G 802.11p (V2I) Femtocells Services V2I/Upstream Communication (Wi-Fi, 3G/4G, 802.11p, etc.) Vehicle Software Client V2V Communication (802.11p) Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 12
  • 13. Food For Thought 15-20% Savings = $6-8 B ~$110 B+ ~$60 B RSE ITS CV SPs Infra REITS Auto OEM PAYD 40 1.3T 20% 1/10th Society Policy OBU Vehicle Fuel Tax Share VMT User 20 Bottom 33% of U.S. Cars 20% of U.S. Roads Line $20-30B 550,000 Jobs $1.3T Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2012  U.S. Budget Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 13
  • 14. Making the Internet of Cars a Business No One CanWe Can… Together Do It Alone Automotive Government Service Provider Infrastructure Insurance ITS Source: Cisco Smart Connected Vehicle Team 2012 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 14
  • 15.
  • 16. More Food for Thought on the “Internet of Cars”  Executive Summary: A Business Case For Connecting Vehicles  Government: A Catalyst to Unlock Societal Benefits of Transportation  Carriers: Service Providers at a Crossroads  Automotive: From Building Cars to Selling Travel Time Well-Spent  Insurance: The Business of Preventing Crashes Andreas Mai: andmai@cisco.com Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 16