Autonomous Vehicles and P3s: Vision of the Future
•
1 like•300 views
Keynote Andreas Mai, Executive Vice President Market Development & Digital Innovation, Keolis North America @ The Annual CCPPP National Conference in Toronto, November 6, 2018 We are in the early stages of a massively disruptive transformation of the transportation of people and goods. While autonomous technology is getting most of the attention today, an avalanche of digital technologies is driving much more exponential disruptions that have the potential to break the historic barriers between currently separated modes of personal, public and goods transportation and to topple the traditional business architectures of transportation companies. This presentation highlights some of the most disruptive trends and how new business models for public private partnerships could significantly reduce the cost of transportation for families and society.
Recommended
Recommended
More Related Content
What's hot
What's hot (19)
Similar to Autonomous Vehicles and P3s: Vision of the Future
Similar to Autonomous Vehicles and P3s: Vision of the Future (20)
More from Andreas Mai
More from Andreas Mai (15)
Recently uploaded
Recently uploaded (20)
Autonomous Vehicles and P3s: Vision of the Future
- 1. More Ways More Life EVP Market Development and Innovation Andreas Mai AV P3s: Vision of the Future November 6, 2018
- 2. Keolis: International leader in passenger mobility Source: Keolis2 SNCF 70%Shareholders 30% CDPQ France headquarter 16 countries 63,000 employees 6.2 Billion revenue 2.2 Billion railway passengers 3.2 Billion passengers +R $ All Modes MaaS 230 km 16 40 21,500 9 #1 in France2.9 Million 100,000 210,000 20,000 5
- 3. October 2018: Autonomous shuttle launch in Candiac 3 1st in Canada 1st in Mixed Traffic 1st V2I 1st AV Rail Crossing 1st Winter Test
- 4. 4 Candiac Pilot South Shore of Montréal Start: Oct 4, 2018 Duration: 1 year Length: ~ 2 km/ (1.3 Miles) Free service – 1 shuttle Runs 5 hours per day $350k Grant: Ministry of Economy, Innovation and Science of Québec R&D: Operation in winter conditions https://keoliscandiac.ca Source: Keolis Canada, Icons made by Freepik from www.flaticon.com
- 5. November 2017: Autonomous shuttle launch in Las Vegas 5 1st in USA 1st in Mixed Traffic 1st V2I
- 6. 6 What really happened in Vegas … Source: KeolisSource: Keolis and Navya Partnership Nov 2017 Human Error! 26 Billion Views
- 7. 7 Las Vegas Pilot Start: Nov 8, 2017 Duration: 1 year Free service – 1 shuttle Runs from 10am to 6pm Length: ~ 1 km/ (3/5 Miles) 35,000 passengers to date 4.8 “Rate your Driver” 8.8 6.8 After Ride Before Ride “Autonomous Vehicle Sentiment” +30% 10 98% “Recommend experience to a friend” Source: AAA Customer Survey
- 8. Almost fifty autonomous deployments in play 8 France Lyon Confluence (since Jun) Paris La Défense (since Jun) ADP (Aéroport Roissy CDG) World Electronics Forum Angers Coastal City Central City In Operation Demo/ Ramp-up Planned ITS World Montreal (Oct/Nov) Candiac (Quebec) (2018) 2nd Pilot in Las Vegas (Jan/ Since Nov) APTA Atlanta (Oct) Dubai Palm Jumeirah Australia (2018) Continental Europe Netherlands Aalborg, Copenhage (DK) Norway Various in Sweden & Belgium UK Queen Elizabeth Olympic Park, London (Sep) Northern England Smart City Expo World Congress Barcelona (Nov) Source: Keolis Autonomous Navya Partnership
- 9. Projecting the future of SDV? The fate of horses? 9 Current Number 276 Source: BCG, WEF Workshop Boston, July 2017 10-25 Years SDV Adoption 2030 ?2012
- 10. MaaS delivers high valuation today – adding autonomous technology will disrupt automakers and city transportation Source: WSJ, 10/30/18, Morgan Stanley, Forbes, New York Post, Curbed, Wired, NPR, 201810 $15B $80B
- 11. Source: City of Boston, WEF, BCG Analysis, MIT Lab, NTSD, 2016, ecomo.world 2017 Social CommercialBottom Line Public Personal – 39% + 39%Riders Cars 29.7 35.4 14.7 9.0 Today Farebox U.S. Public Transport Budget $44.4 Billion AV Future 67% 80%Subsidy 11
- 12. 65% 62% 50% 10% 10% 12% 5% 4% 9% 20% 24% 29% 1985 2009 2017 Case study Bordeaux: We are beating the personal car 12 …AfterMode Share [%] + Before… Black … …White -20%
- 13. Case study Bordeaux: Keolis’ key achievements since 2009 13 Key performance indicators Bordeaux 2009 to 2017 14% 10.5% Fare Evasion Fare Box €36M € 71M +97% Ridership 94M 150M +60% Customer Satisfaction 87% 91% 761,000 residents 28 Municipalities merged to improve service & cost 1,315 residents per km2 578 km2 of land 4th largest city in France
- 14. Integrated Mobility-as-a-Service in Bordeaux: One App, one pricing model that rules them all 14 Source: Keolis $50 / month City Pass subscription One app for integrated & personalized multimodal end-to-end trip planning • Unlimited bus, metro, tram, P+R, boat • Options for bike sharing, car sharing • Access to dynamic ridesharing Each mode earns Eco-Loyalty points 1,800 Bikes 174 stations 2 River shuttles 23 PR facilities 41 Shuttles Paratransit 3 Lines 100 Trams 78 Lines 396 Buses Dynamic Ridesharing Car Sharing +R
- 15. Personal AlternativeTrafficPublic Source: ecomo.world, 2017, Images: Pixabay.com $ Collaboration Make public funding subject to: InnovationP3 P
- 16. .gov Outsource Public Assets Big Data ServicesFund Invest ROI Source: WEF 2015, ecomo.world, 2016, Images: Pixabay.com, usmint.gov, Wikipedia.org Operator s ITS Mesh P3 Develop innovative business models REITS $ Users Fair Price
- 17. Source: ecomo.world, 2017, Images: Pixabay.com, Wikipedia.org, Courtesy of General Motors EN-V MoreLess A fair price reflects our societal cost Dynamic DemandSupply 17
- 18. Source: ecomo.world, 2016, NTSD, 2016, Pixabay.com, Wikipedia.org 16¢ 24¢ 62¢ 96¢ 80¢ Societal Cost Subsidy True Cost per Passenger Mile in the U.S. [US¢] 124¢26¢ 128¢48¢ 83¢ 18
- 19. Society 44% 12% 44% True Cost of U.S. Ground Transportation OperationOwnership Source: Digitization of Road Transportation V@S Model, ecomo.world 2016, Images: Pixabay.com $5.6 Trillion Society $2.5 Trillion = $10,000 per Vehicle 17% 12% 2% 7% 6% 19
- 20. 20 Replacing cars with Mobility-as-a-Service could half the cost of ground transportation for families and society “True cost” of the average passenger car and estimated savings through MaaS USA, rounded [USD] Source: AAA, ecomo.world 2017, Keolis 2018 Family 2 Children 1 Car + 3 MaaS 4 MaaS $36,800 $24,400 $16,700 -56% -34% $6,200 $2,700 $3,400 $3,300 $1,700 $1,100 Per Vehicle/ Year Emissions Street Assets Crashes Time in Traffic Operation Ownership Society $9,500 Owner $8,900 $18,400 $18,400 -39% -16% 1) Including 8-16 days allowance for car share per month 1) 1)
- 21. SDV 2,400 880 80 $3,360 Work Media 0 Rest 56% Shop 1 @ 1.25 vehicle occupancy 2 Congestion, traffic light stops, looking for parking 113 Traffic Inefficiencies2 2015 580 Hours Value of Driving Time Source: Digitization of Road Transportation V@S Model, Andreas Mai, 2016 U.S. Driving Time per Year1 21
- 22. 22 “Free” Ride Pay to Play Why? …if I can Source: ecomo.world, 2016, Images: Pixabay.com, Goodfreephotos.com, Wikipedia.org Model
- 23. 23 Future business model for transportation? A fair price: Covering the true societal cost Source: Images Toyota e-Palette Concept, Pixabay.com, Picpedia.org, Wikipedia.org, General Motors EN-V concept The French 2% co-funding model “All inclusive” model “Free” Ride
- 24. We have a lot of work to do. Let’s make a difference! 24 “If you always do what you’ve always done, you’ll always get what you’ve always got.” Henry Ford
- 25. 25 Thank you!