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                                                                                                                          IPO Note | Ports
                                                                                                                            August 23, 2010



 Gujarat Pipavav Port                                                                          SUBSCRIBE
                                                                                               Issue Open: August 23, 2010
 Land Ahoy - Turnaround in sight                                                               Issue Close: August 26, 2010
 Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited (GPPL) is a private port in proximity to the
                                                                                               Issue Details
 north-western region which handles around 65% of the container cargo in India.
                                                                                               Face Value: Rs10
 We believe that GPPL is well-positioned to attract incremental container traffic given
 high capacity utilisation and port congestion at JNPT. We recommend Subscribe to              Present Eq. Paid up Capital: Rs314.9cr

                                          long-term
 the IPO at the lower price band with a long-term perspective.                                 Offer Size: 11.59cr-13.08cr Shares* (Fresh
                                                                                               Issue 10.42cr-11.90cr shares & Offer for
 No regulatory hurdles to set tariffs: GPPL is not a major port and hence is not
 covered under the purview of the Tariff Authority for Major Ports (TAMP). Thus,               sale 1.17cr shares)
 GPPL is free to set its own tariffs making it nimble to respond to changes in market          Post Eq. Paid up Capital*:Rs419.0cr-433.9cr
 dynamics. In order to attract volumes and combat with global recession, GPPL had              Issue size (amount): Rs500cr
 reduced tariff in CY2009. However, management has indicated to hike its container
                                                                                               Price Band: Rs42-48
 tariff by ~25% from CY2010 following improvement in the economy.
                                                                                               Promoters holding Pre-Issue: 57.9%
 Margins to improve with increase in utilisation rates: During CY2009 company
                                                                                               Promoters holding Post-Issue: 42.0%-43.5%
 experienced OPM expansion of 13% due to better capacity utilization. Going ahead,
                                                                                               Note:*at Lower and Upper price band
 we estimate 25% margin expansion to 45%,(Mundra clocks OPM of 70% and GPPL                    respectively
 management has guided OPM at ~60-70%) over next three years with improvng
 capacity utilisation. Further, we expect penalty charges to PRCL to fade away with            Book Building
 growing traffic and reduction in interest cost which will further enhance margins.            QIBs                            At least 60%
 Expensive valuations but underpinned with substantial growth potential: At the                Non-Institutional               At least 10%
 lower band of Rs42, GPPL trades at a premium to its global peers at 2.5x CY2011E
                                                                                               Retail                          At most 30%
 P/BV v/s 2.0x respectively. We believe that GPPL comes off a low base compared to
 some established ports and to that extent the growth should command a premium.
 On the domestic front, the company is trading at a substantial discount to the
                                                                                               Post Issue Shareholding Pattern
 Mundra port, which trades at 5.9x FY2012E P/BV. We believe that GPPL's discount
 to Mundra port is justified given the latter's larger scale of operations, revenue            Promoters Group                      42.0%
 from its SEZ and higher profitability growth. However, given GPPL's high growth               MF/Banks/Indian
 potential we believe that the 57% discount is unwarranted. Hence, we recommend                FIs/FIIs/Public & Others             58.0%

 Subscribe to the IPO at the lower price band with a long-term perspective.
Key Financials
 Y/E Dec. (Rs cr)           CY2008         CY2009      CY2010E       CY2011E        CY2012E
 Net Sales                     167.3         219.1         264.9        360.3         447.7
 % chg                           10.4          31.0         20.9          36.0         24.3
     Profit
 Net Profit                    (67.6)       (117.7)        (78.4)             7.6      55.1
 % chg                               -             -             -              -     621.7
 EBITDA Margin (%)                7.6          20.1         31.0          40.0         45.0
 FDEPS (Rs)                      (1.6)         (2.7)        (1.8)             0.2       1.3
 P/E (x)                             -             -             -      238.8          33.1
                                                                                              Param Desai
 P/BV (x)                         3.8           4.3           2.5             2.5       2.3   +91 22 4040 3800 Ext: 310
 RoE (%)                             -             -             -            1.0       7.1   Email: paramv.desai@angeltrade.com

 RoCE (%)                            -             -             -            5.7       9.0
                                                                                              Mihir Salot
 EV/EBITDA (x)                 159.0           51.5         29.3          17.1         12.3   +91 22 4040 3800 Ext: 307
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: * at the lower end of the price band                   mihirr.salot@angeltrade.com


Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                                                                  Company Background
                                                                  GPPL, incorporated in 1992, is the exclusive developer and operator of APM Terminals
                                                                  Pipavav - India's first private sector port. The company entered into a concession
                                                                  agreement with GMB in September 1998, to develop, construct, operate and maintain
                                                                  the port along with the foreshore land and waterfront for 30 years. It is promoted by
                                                                  APM Terminals (holding 57.9% pre-issue), one of the largest container terminal
                                                                  operators in the world with a global network of 49 terminals in 32 countries. The port
                                                                  is primarily engaged in multi-cargo and multi-user operations for container, bulk and
                                                                  LPG cargo. Moreover, it undertakes CFS operations, infrastructure and land related
                                                                  activities in the vicinity of the port. Currently, the container and bulk cargo handling
                                                                  capacity at the port stands at 0.6mn TEU and 5mn tonnes pa, respectively.


Exhibit 1: Time line of Events
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2.6HA of paved
                                                                                                                                                                                                        container yards
                                                                                                                                                                                                          developed

                                                                                                                                                                                                 2 PPQC
                                                                                                                                                                                               commissioned


                                                                                                                                                                                      Environment
                                                                                                                                                      Mainline container           friendly coal yard
                                                                                                                                                       vessel services               commissioned
                                                                                                                                                         operational


                                                                                                                                                      Vessel acceptance
                                                                                                               SKIL exits by selling stake to          draft incresed to
                                                                                                               APM Terminals Mauritius Ltd,           12.5mtrs (Phase I)
                                                                                                                IDFC and IDFC Infra Fund
                                                                                                                                                                                              3 PPQC
                                                                                                                                                                                            commissioned
                                                                                            Rail connectivity from
                                                                                             Surendranagar to
                                                                                              Pipavav started
                                                                                                                                                                        8 RTG cranes        10 eco-friendly
                                                                                                                                                                        commissioned         RTG cranes
                                                                                                                                                                                            commissioned
                                                               APMM Group
                                                               acquires 13.5%                                                                     1st Port to receive
                                                                                                                                                    Double Stack
                                                                                                                                                   Container Train                                       Vessel acceptance
                                                                                                                                                from ICD Kanakpura                                        draft - 14.0 mtrs
                                                         Concession Agreement                                                                    (Jaipur) to Pipavav                                         (Phase II)
                                                         between PRCL and IR                                               3 PQC
                                                                                                                        commissioned
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Constructed
                                                                                                                                                                                                            jetty no. 4 and
                                                                                                                                                                                                             modified bulk
                                                                                                                                                                                                               liquid jetty
             Concession Agreement
              with GMB and GoG
                                                                    Commercial operations                                                                                                                           Rly siding no. 5, 6
                                                                       commenced                                                                                                                                   and 7 commissioned


                                    PRCL incorporated
                                       as a JV with
                                     Indian Railways



1997                   1999                             2001                                2003                                  2005                                      2007                                   2009

Source: Company RHP Angel Research
                   ,


                                                                  Strategic location, robust infrastructure and strong connectivity

                                                                  APM Terminals Pipavav is strategically located at the mouth of the Gulf of Khambhat
                                                                  (formerly Gulf of Cambay) on the main maritime trade routes in the Arabian Sea. It
                                                                  offers shorter transit time vis-avis JNPT port for cargo to/from the industrialised
                                                                  hinterland in north India (generating ~65% of the total container throughput). We
                                                                  believe that given the high capacity utilisation and port congestion at JNPT, there is
                                                                  tremendous scope for diversion of volumes to the ports on the north-west coast providing
                                                                  significant cost and logistic advantages. The port offers favourable oceanographic
                                                                  conditions of 4,550 channel length and vessel acceptance draught of 14.5 meters
                                                                  (vis-à-vis 12.5 meters at JNPT and 12.5-17.5 meters at Mundra), which enable day
                                                                  and night navigation of ships through the year. There are four berths for handling


August 23, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                  bulk and containerised cargo and a dedicated LPG berth with strong ancillary
                  infrastructure in place. The port boasts of robust infrastructure by way of two CFS's,
                  eight panamax quay cranes (PQC), 18 rubber-tyre gantry (RTG) cranes, five re-stackers,
                  paved rail sidings and port users' buildings.

                  The company owns 38.8% in a joint venture (JV) with Indian Railways (IR), viz. Pipavav
                  Railways Corporation (PRCL), which maintains the 269km broad gauge railway link
                  connecting the port to the commercial hub of Surendranagar in Gujarat. India's first
                  double stack container rake service, with a capacity of 180 TEUs, was provided by
                  PRCL between the port and Kanakpura ICD (Jaipur) in March 2006. Presently, five to
                  six trains (maximum capacity of 22 trains) per day are being operated in each direction.
                  The port is also connected with NH-8E by a four-lane road link of 10km thereby
                  servicing vital commercial hubs between Mumbai and Delhi.

                  Revenues driven by bulk and container cargo

                  GPPL's revenue is evenly contributed by container and dry bulk cargo. The company
                  derives its bulk cargo business mainly from the coal and fertilisers trade. While fertiliser
                  demand is usually robust between June-September owing to the sowing season, coal
                  imports are relatively less cyclical and sustain on demand from the power plants and
                  cement companies in the region. Although the container volumes have consistently
                  improved for GPPL (CAGR of 33.5% during CY2006-09), realisations have dropped
                  due to economic slowdown and trade discounts offered to the liners for calling on the
                  port. The company also provides marine services to Ultratech, which includes pilotage
                  services to vessels as well as port dues from these vessels.


                  Exhibit 2: Revenue break-up
                   120.0

                   100.0

                    80.0                         35.8
                                44.1                             42.0                              28
                                                                                   45
                    60.0

                    40.0
                                                 59.3            53.3                              60
                    20.0        49.5                                               47

                     0.0
                               CY2006          CY2007          CY2008            CY09          1QCY2010
                                 Container Cargo               Dry Bulk Cargo                 LPG Cargo
                                 Land-related Revenue          Marine Services to Ultratech   Others
                  Source: Company RHP Angel Research
                                     ,




August 23, 2010                                                                                             3
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                                                    IPO details
                                                    GPPL is coming out with its IPO for Rs500cr through fresh issue of 10.4-11.9cr shares
                                                    in the price band of Rs42-48 per share. Around Rs10cr has been earmarked for
                                                    employee applications. The issue proceeds would be utilised for prepayment of loans,
                                                    capital expenditure, purchase of capital equipment and general corporate purpose.
                                                    Besides, The Infrastructure Fund of India, LLC and The India Infrastructure Fund have
                                                    offered to partially sell their stakes to the tune of 7,601,248 and 4,106,121 shares
                                                    respectively, through the IPO.

Exhibit 3: Shareholding Pattern
 Shareholders                                                                             Pre-Issue
                                                                                          Pre
                                                                                           re-Issue                              Post Issue
                                                                                                                                 Post
                                                                                     no. of           % of                    no. of            % of
                                                                             Equity shares      Eq. capital           Equity shares       Eq. capital
 APM Terminals Mauritius Limited                                             182,152,360               57.9           182,152,360               42.0
 Total holding of Promoters (A)
                  Promoters                                                 182,152,360                57.9           182,152,360              42.0
 IDBI Trusteeship Services Limited A/C IDFC Infrastructure Fund
 - India Development Fund                                                     32,046,535               10.2            32,046,535                7.4
 IDBI Bank Limited                                                            27,958,615                8.9            27,958,615                6.4
 New York Life International India Fund (Mauritius) LLC                       14,748,160                4.7            14,748,160                3.4
 IDFC Trustee Company Ltd A/C IDFC Infrastructure Fund 2
 A/C IDFC Private Equity Fund II                                              12,752,302                4.1            12,752,302                2.9
 IL and FS Trust Co Ltd A/C IL&FS Private Equity Trust                        10,484,480                3.3            10,484,480                2.4
 The Infrastructure Fund of India LLC*                                        15,202,497                4.8                7,601,249             1.8
 The India Infrastructure Fund LLC*                                             8,212,843               2.6                4,106,722             0.9
 Other Institutional investors                                                43,611,614                1.7                5,626,672             1.3
 Total holding of the Institutional Investors (B)                             127032104                40.3           115,324,735              26.6
 Others (C)                                                                    5,679,555                1.8             5,679,555                1.3
 Total Pre-Issue Share Capital
       Pre
        re-Issue                                                            314,864,019              100.0            303,156,650              69.9
 Eligible Employees
 (pursuant to the Employee Reservation Portion)                                             0                0             2,380,952             0.5
 Public (pursuant to the Issue)                                                                                       128,374,036              29.6
 Total Post-Issue Share Capital
       Post
        ost-Issue                                                                                                     433,911,638             100.0
Source: Company RHP Angel Research; Note: Fresh Equity offering calculated at lower price band of Rs42/share, *partial exit
                   ,


                                                    Exhibit 4: Objects of the Issue
                                                                                            Amt. deployed Amt. to be
                                                                              Estimated             (as on used from     Estimated schedule
                                                      Particulars (Rs cr)          Cost          June '10) Proceeds FY2010 FY2011 FY2012
                                                      Prepayment of loans         1,075                  -           300       300        -         -
                                                      Capital expenditure            93                10             83        83        -         -
                                                      Capital equipment              34                  5            29        29        -         -
                                                      General Corporate Purpose         -                -             -          -       -         -
                                                      Total                       1,202                15            411
                                                    Source: Company RHP Angel Research
                                                                       ,



August 23, 2010                                                                                                                                         4
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                                                      Investment Rationale
                                                      Location advantages

                                                      GPPL's location on the west coast is strategic to service the landlocked north and
                                                      north-western region of India, which contribute ~65% of the cargo handled at the
                                                      Indian ports. Over the last five years, cargo traffic has registered 11.3% CAGR for
                                                      west coast ports v/s 5.2% for the east coast. It provides a convenient international
                                                      trade gateway to Europe, Africa, America and the Middle East. Further, JNPT which
                                                      handles around 60% of the container traffic may lose market share to ports like Mundra
                                                      and Pipavav who have larger draft to accommodate, faster evacuation and competitive
                                                      rates.

Exhibit 5: East coast traffic                                              Exhibit 6: Weast coast traffic
                                      CAGR 5.2%                                           400
              300                                                                                                                          337
                                                                264                                                      1.3 %
                                            255      255                                  350                     CAGR 1          311
              250             232                                                                                      294
                     216                                                                  300
                                                                                                          251
              200                                                                         250    220
                                                                            (mn tonnes)
(mn tonnes)




                                                                                          200
              150
                                                                                          150
              100
                                                                                          100
              50
                                                                                          50

               0                                                                           0
                    FY2006   FY2007        FY2008   FY2009     FY2010                           FY2006   FY2007       FY2008     FY2009   FY2010
Source: IPA, CRISIL, Angel Research                                        Source: IPA, CRISIL, Angel Research

                                                      Better connectivity to road and rail network

                                                      GPPL owns 38.8% stake in PRCL, which runs double stack container trains unlike
                                                      other ports that helps lower freight costs and ensures faster evacuation of containers
                                                      from the port. Further, the port has a four-lane road link of ~10km to the national
                                                      highway for transporting cargo to and fro the port. The distance via road from the
                                                      port to the key trading hubs such as Ahmedabad, Jaipur and Delhi is 302km, 873km,
                                                      and 1,115km, respectively.

                                                      No regulatory hurdles to set tariffs coupled with lower royalty charges

                                                      GPPL is not a major port and hence is not covered under the purview of the Tariff
                                                      Authority for Major Ports (TAMP). Thus, GPPL is free to set its own tariffs making it
                                                      nimble to respond to changes in market dynamics. In order to attract volumes and
                                                      combat with global recession, GPPL had reduced tariff in CY2009. However,
                                                      management has indicated to hike its container tariff by ~20-25% from CY2010
                                                      following improvement in the economy. On the other hand, as per the concession
                                                      agreement, GPPL is likely to pay waterfront royalty of Rs10/tonne for solid cargo and
                                                      Rs20/tonne for liquid cargo with 20% hike every three years. This works out to 1.5-
                                                      2.5% of revenues as royalty to the Gujarat Maritime Board (GMB), which is quite low
                                                      compared to the other private ports like Mundra.




August 23, 2010                                                                                                                                    5
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                  Diverse cargo mix

                  GPPL can handle a diverse mix of cargo such as coal, fertilizer, steel, minerals and
                  container. Thus, the port caters to a diverse set of end users. Further, re-location of the
                  LPG cargo jetty has resulted in zero revenues since the last two years as it was converted
                  into a multi-purpose cargo berth. However, we believe that the LPG cargo jetty will
                  start generating revenues from CY2011.

                  Exhibit 7: Cargo mix
                                   4,500
                                   4,000
                                   3,500
                                   3,000
                   ('000 tonnes)




                                   2,500
                                   2,000
                                   1,500
                                   1,000
                                    500
                                        0
                                              CY2008               CY2009       1QCY2010
                                            Coal     Fertiliser     Steel   Minerals     Containers      Others
                  Source: Company RHP Angel Research
                                     ,

                  Leveraging on promoter's global presence

                  APM Terminals is one of largest container terminal operators in the world with a
                  global network of 50 terminals spread across 34 countries and five continents. In
                  CY2009, globally APM terminals handled 31mn TEUs with revenues of US $3bn.
                  GPPL derived ~26.2% of revenues in CY2009 from the APMM group and has exclusive
                  rights for Maserk vessels to be called at the Pipavav port, which will provide visibility.

                  Exhibit 8: Revenue contribution from APMM group
                                   40
                                             34.2
                                   35
                                                                                                  28.6
                                   30                                             26.2
                                   25                              22.5
                   (%)




                                   20

                                   15

                                   10

                                    5

                                    0
                                            CY2007                CY2008        CY2009          1QCY2010
                  Source: Company RHP Angel Research
                                     ,




August 23, 2010                                                                                                   6
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                  Margins to improve with increase in utilisation rates and reduction in penalty

                  During CY2009 company experienced OPM expansion of 13% due to better capacity
                  utilization. Going ahead, we believe with favorable industry dynamics (15% container
                  and 8% cargo traffic CAGR over FY2010-15E) and economy back on track, this trend
                  to continue and company to enjoy operating leverage leading to enhancement in
                  margins. We have penciled in ~25% margin expansion to 45%,(Mundra clocks EBITDA
                  margins of 70% and GPPL management has guided margins at ~60-70%) over next
                  three years.

                  GPPL is bound to transport minimum guaranteed traffic of 3mn tonnes through Pipavav
                  Rail Corporation Ltd (PRCL). GPPL paid around Rs 108cr and 30cr in CY2008 and
                  CY2009 respectively as penalty charges due to non-fulfillment of the Minimum
                  Guaranteed Quantity. PRCL currently provides railway transportation for ~ 35.0% of
                  the cargo going through the Port. We expect penalty charges to PRCL to fade away
                  with growing traffic which will further enhance margins.

                  Exhibit 9: EBIDTA trend
                             250                                                        45.0   50
                                                                           40.0                45
                             200                                                               40
                                                                 31.0                          35
                   (Rs cr)




                             150                                                               30




                                                                                                    (%)
                                                        20.1                                   25
                             100                                                               20
                                                                                               15
                                    7.2      7.6
                              50                                                               10
                                                                                               5
                               0                                                               0
                                   CY2007   CY2008     CY2009   CY2010E   CY2011E   CY2012E

                                            EBITDA (LHS)         EBITDA Margins (RHS)
                  Source: Company RHP Angel Research
                                     ,




August 23, 2010                                                                                           7
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                  Concerns
                  Slowdown in economy to impact global trade

                  As per the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the global economic growth rate has
                  declined from 5% in 2007 to 2.2% in 2009. As a result, sea-borne trade registered
                  subdued growth in 2009. Pertinently, GPPL's growth in container and bulk cargo is
                  largely dependent on the growth in sea-borne trade. However, unlike the developed
                  economies, the Asian countries, which are witnessing a surge in traffic following
                  improving economic conditions, contribute ~ 70% of overall sea-borne trade. Thus,
                  we expect GPPL to witness 25% CAGR in container traffic and 10% in bulk cargo over
                  the next three years on a low base and growing sea borne trade.

                  Competition risk

                  Competition may increase on the back of development of new ports in India as GMB
                  has invited bids for the development of additional ports in Gujarat, which may force
                  GPPL to reduce tariffs.

                  Dependence on small number of customers

                  The company's top five customers contributed ~46% of revenues with the promoter
                  group, APMM contributing 26% of overall revenues in CY2009. Hence, loss or significant
                  decrease in spend by any of its major customers may impact the company's profitability.




August 23, 2010                                                                                        8
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                                                     Outlook and Valuation
                                                     At the lower band of Rs42, GPPL trades at a premium to its global peers at 2.5x
                                                     CY2011E P/BV v/s 2.0x respectively. We believe that GPPL comes off a low base
                                                     compared to some established ports and to that extent the growth should command a
                                                     premium. On the domestic front, the company is trading at a substantial discount to
                                                     the Mundra port, which trades at 5.9x FY2012E P/BV. We believe that GPPL's discount
                                                     to Mundra port is justified given the latter's large scale of operations, revenue
                                                     contribution from its SEZ and higher profitability growth. However, given GPPL's high
                                                     growth potential we believe that the 57% discount is unwarranted. Consider, over the
                                                     last couple of years, GPPL has exhibited strong growth rates at the operating level
                                                     following an improvement in utilisation levels and growing traffic. GPPL also expects
                                                     to retire high-cost debt utilising Rs300cr from the issue proceeds resulting in reduction
                                                     in interest expenses from Rs115cr in CY2009 to Rs92cr in CY2011E. Further,
                                                     management has indicated to hike container tariffs in line with market dynamics with
                                                     re-negotiation of contracts from CY2010. Consequently, we expect GPPL to report
                                                     profit from CY2011E. We recommend Subscribe to the IPO at the lower price band
                                                             long-term
                                                     with a long-term perspective.

Exhibit 10: Peer Comparison - Indian
                                          Market Cap               P/E (x)                      P/B (x)                 EV/EBITDA (x)
                                                                                                                        EV/EBITDA             CAGR
                                                                                                                                          EPS CAGR (%)
 Companies                                    US $mn     CY09     CY10       CY11     CY09      CY10      CY11    CY09     CY10     CY11      CY09-11E
 Shanghai International Port Co.              12,891      32.4     19.2       18.1      3.8       2.6      2.4     18.8     11.4     10.7          13.8
 Shenzhen Chiwan Wharf holdings                1,265      17.5     17.1       15.7      2.6       2.9      2.7    12.5       9.4        8.1        25.3
 Shenzhen Yantian Port Holdings                1,239      22.5     17.9       17.3      2.5       1.8      1.9    34.7      19.2     27.0           2.7
 Forth Ports Plc                                  923     11.2     22.2       20.0      2.6       2.3      2.2     15.3     13.1     12.4           4.4
 DP World                                      8,682      21.4     26.2       20.9      1.0       1.1      1.1     13.4     12.1     10.6          11.8
 Average                                                  21.0     20.5       18.4      2.5       2.1      2.0    18.9     13.0     13.8          11.6
 Mundra Port and SEZ*                          6,884      49.1     33.1       22.6      9.2       7.4      5.9     36.0     24.2     17.8          48.6
 GPPL#                                            391         -        -     238.8      4.3       2.5      2.5    51.5     29.3     17.1               -
Source: Company RHP Bloomberg, Angel Research, Note: * Fiinancial year ending March; Prices as on 20th August, 2010; At lower end of price band Rs42/share
                   ,                                                                                                #




August 23, 2010                                                                                                                                            9
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                  Industry Overview
                  Non-major Indian ports to play a big role

                  As per data from the Department of Shipping, there are 12 major ports and ~190
                  minor ports handling 95% volumes and 70% in value terms of India's cargo. The
                  classification of a port as major/non-major is based on the control and governance
                  rather than its capacity or cargo traffic handled, with major ports falling under purview
                  of the Port Trusts regulated by the Central government and the non-major ports being
                  regulated by the State governments or run by private entities. Currently, just 60 non-
                  major ports handle traffic.

                  India's international trade recorded a CAGR of 19.0% during FY2005-10 with its
                  share in total world trade (including services) increasing from 1.1% in 2004 to 1.5% in
                  2008. It is interesting to note that while the traffic at major ports has risen at a CAGR
                  of 7.5% during FY2000-10 to 561mn tonnes, the non-major ports have witnessed a
                  CAGR of 15.6% to 266mn tonnes during the mentioned period. Consequently, the
                  share of non-major ports in total volume has increased from 18.7% in FY2000 to
                  32.0% in FY2010. While India's GDP grew at an average 8.0% between FY2006-10,
                  the port traffic increased at a CAGR of 9.8% during the period. As per CRISIL estimates,
                  the port traffic is expected to surge at a CAGR of 9.0% to 1,163mn tonnes between
                  FY2010-14 on the back of strong growth in the economy. Notably, traffic at non-
                  major ports is expected to grow at a faster CAGR of 19.5% (to 493mn tonnes) compared
                  to the major ports, which are expected to post a CAGR of 4.9% (674mn tonnes) over
                  the period. The share of non-major ports is thus likely to increase to 42.2% in FY2014.

                  Exhibit 11: Traffic handled at Indian ports
                   800
                                                                                                674
                   700
                   600                                                             561
                                                         519             530
                                                                                                  493
                   500                    464
                            424
                   400

                   300                                                                    266
                                              186              203          203
                   200          145
                   100
                      0


                                                 Major ports            Non-major ports
                  Source: CRISIL Research 2010 Report, Angel Research


                  Container cargo to outpace general cargo

                  It is estimated that 75% of the cargo, primarily capital and engineering goods, textiles
                  and food items can be transported in containers. It is estimated that globally
                  containerisation levels stand at ~80%, while in India it has stabilsed at around 50% in
                  the past few years. Moreover, while there is a direct relation between growth in the
                  economy and international trade for a country, it is also observed that demand for
                  containers changes in tandem with the GDP growth. In India, container traffic logged
                  a CAGR of 16% between FY2005-10 from 4.0mn TEU to 8.4mn TEU on the back of
                  strong growth in international trade. The share of non-major ports has seen a


August 23, 2010                                                                                         10
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                                                            phenomenal increase from less than one per cent in FY2005 to 14.0% in FY2010, led
                                                            by ports like Mundra and Pipavav. This was because of the strategic location of the
                                                            ports in Gujarat, which combined with Maharashtra handles 60% of the total container
                                                            traffic. Given a 2.0x sensitivity of the container growth to the GDP growth,
                                                            containerisation levels are expected to remain robust going forward.

Exhibit 12: Container traffic trend                                                           Exhibit 13: Containerisation levels
      35.0                                                                        5.0                       600                                                                                       56
                 avg. factor of 2.1x to GDP growth
      30.0                                                                                                                                                                              54.2          54
                                                                                  4.0                       500
                                                                                                                                                                             52.2                     52
      25.0                                                                                                                                                                                     51.5
                                                                                                            400




                                                                                              (mn tonnes)
                                                                                  3.0                                                                                                                 50
      20.0
(%)




                                                                                        (x)




                                                                                                                                                                                                           (%)
                                                                                                            300                                                                                       48
      15.0                                                                                                                          47.4                47.2        47.5
                                                                                  2.0                                                          46.2                                                   46
                                                                                                            200            45.2
      10.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                      44
                                                                                  1.0
      5.0                                                                                                   100
                                                                                                                                                                                                      42
      0.0                                                                         0.0                         0                                                                                       40
             FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10                                            FY03     FY04       FY05     FY06        FY07     FY08       FY09     FY10
                 GDP growth (LHS)             Container traffic yoy chg (LHS)                                       EXIM traffic at major ports -LHS          Container share in non bulk cargo -RHS
Source: Ministry of Finance, IPA, Angel Research                                              Source: IPA, Angel Research


                                                            Dry Bulk Cargo

                                                            The bulk cargo trade in India is driven mainly by export of iron ore and import of coal
                                                            and fertlisers. Dry bulk cargo volumes at Indian ports have registered a CAGR of 8.4%
                                                            during FY2005-10 to 406mn tonnes of which 70% was handled by the major ports.
                                                            While the bulk cargo traffic at major ports has registered a CAGR of 7.0% between
                                                            FY2005-10, the non-major ports have witnessed a CAGR of 12.1% over the period.
                                                            As per CRISIL estimates, going ahead dry bulk cargo traffic at the Indian ports is set to
                                                            increase at a CAGR of 11.2% between FY2010-15. The key drivers for such growth
                                                            include phenomenal demand for coal (expected CAGR of 19.6% over FY2010-15) by
                                                            the cement and coal-based power plants, iron ore exports (expected CAGR of 6.9%
                                                            over the mentioned period) to countries like China and Japan.

                                                            Exhibit 14: Bulk cargo traffic at the Indian ports
                                                                            700

                                                                            600

                                                                            500                                                                                                                339
                                                              (mn tonnes)




                                                                            400
                                                                                                                                                                           122
                                                                            300                                                   98                   89
                                                                                    74                        81
                                                                            200
                                                                                                                                                                                               353
                                                                                                                                  258                  262                 284
                                                                            100    220                        236

                                                                              0
                                                                                   FY06                      FY07                 FY08                 FY09                FY10                FY15E
                                                                                                                    Major ports                 Non-major ports
                                                            Source: CRISIL Research 2010 Report, Angel Research




August 23, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                            11
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                  Restated Profit & Loss Statement
                   Particulars (Rs cr)      9M Dec.05      CY06    CY07    CY08    CY09    1QCY10
                   Sales                             76     135     152     167     219        54

                   Other Operating Income              -       -       -       -       -         -

                   Income from Operations            76     135     152     167     219        54

                   Operating expenses                26      49      60      61      95        18

                   Repairs and maintenance            4      14      11      14      16         3

                   Staff cost                         6      11      14      20      24         6

                   Administrative and other exp.     38      41      56      60      40        10

                   Total Expenditure                 74     115     141     155     175        38

                   EBITDA
                   EBITDA                             2      20      11      13      44        16

                   EBITDA margin (%)                2.8    15.0     7.2     7.6    20.1      29.6

                   Depreciation                      19      24      27      37      46        12

                   EBIT                             (17)     (4)    (16)    (24)     (2)        4

                   Interest Charges (Net)            44      47      39      74     116        36

                   Other Income                       2       7      13      31       5         3

                   PBT                              (59)    (43)    (42)    (67)   (112)      (30)

                   Provision for Taxation
                                 Taxation              -       -       -       -       -         -

                   Current Tax (incl FBT)              -       -       -       -       -         -

                   Deferred Tax                        -       -       -       -       -         -

                            PA
                   Reported PAT                     (59)    (43)    (42)    (68)   (112)      (30)

                   Prior Period/EO

                   Items/Adjustments                (13)     (8)     (4)      0      (6)        2

                            PA
                   Adjusted PAT                     (72)    (52)    (46)    (68)   (118)      (28)

                   APAT margin (%)                  (94)    (38)    (30)    (40)    (54)      (51)

                   Surplus Brought Forward         (373)   (497)   (549)   (595)   (649)     (780)

                   Amt. available for

                   appropriation                   (444)   (549)   (595)   (662)   (780)     (808)

                   Appropriations                      -       -       -       -       -         -

                   Surplus c/fwd. to B/S        (444)      (549)   (595)   (662)   (780)     (808)




August 23, 2010                                                                                 12
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                  Restated Balance Sheet
                   Particulars (Rs cr)              CY05    CY06    CY07    CY08    CY09     1QCY10
                   Gross Block                       680     878     869    1,161   1,593      1,597

                   Acc.Depreciation                   89     107     128     165      202       214

                   Less: Asset impairment            160     159     138     138      120       120

                   Net Block                         431     611     603     859    1,271     1,264

                   CWIP/Advance                       50      79     309     158       16        29

                   Investments                        78      78      78      83       83        83

                   CA , Loans & Advances
                   CA, Loans                         126      94     310     242      178       149

                   Inventories                         1       3       5       5        5         6

                   Sundry Debtors                      4      10       3       7       22        15

                   Cash and bank balances             82      48     255     170       80        55

                   Other Current Assets                1       2      10      10        3         4

                   Loans and Advances                 37      32      37      49       68        69

                   Total Assets                      685     862    1,300   1,342   1,548     1,525

                   Share Capital                     248     262     345     345      315       315

                   Reserves & Surplus               (111)   (168)    114      35       (7)      (35)

                   Minority Interest                    -       -       -       -        -         -

                                 Provisions
                   Liabilities & Provisions          548     769     841     961    1,240     1,245

                   Secured Loan                      384     586     589     657    1,056      1,073

                   Unsecured Loan                     14        -     28      84       33        32

                   Current Liabilities               122     138     176     187      118       107

                   Provisions                         29      45      48      33       33        33

                   Deferred Tax liabilities (net)       -       -       -       -        -         -

                   Total Liabilities                 685     862    1,300   1,342   1,548     1,525




August 23, 2010                                                                                   13
Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note




                  Restated Cash Flow Statement
                   Particulars (Rs cr)             9M Dec.05      CY06     CY07     CY08    CY09 1QCY10
                   A . Cash flow from operating activities
                   Net Profit / (loss) before taxation    (47)     (52)      (46)    (67)   (118)    (28)
                   Adjustment for                             -       -         -       -        -      -
                   Depreciation                             16      24        27      37       46     12
                   Impairment loss on fixed assets            -       -         -       -        -      -
                   Interest expenses                        31      47        40      75     116      36
                   Interest income                          (2)     (4)      (13)    (17)      (5)    (1)
                   Exceptional items                          -      8         4        -       6     (2)
                   Preoperative expenses                      -       -         -       -        -      -
                   (Profit)/Loss on sale/discard of assets -        (3)         -     (2)        -      -
                   (Profit)/Loss on sale of investments       -       -         -       -        -      -
                   Operating profit/(loss)
                   before working capital changes           (1)     21        13      26       45     18
                   (Increase)/Decrease in Inventories        1      (1)       (2)     (0)      (0)    (1)
                   (Increase)/Decrease in
                   Sundry Debtors                           (2)     (5)        6      (4)    (14)      7
                   (Increase)/Decrease in
                   Loans and Advances                       (6)      6         4     (23)    (26)      2
                   (Decrease)/Increase in Sundry
                   Creditors and Other liabilities          20      24        48     (21)    (16)    (17)
                   Cash flow from operation                 12      44        70     (22)    (12)      9
                   Direct taxes (paid)/refunds               1      (0)       (1)     (4)      (5)    (2)
                   Net cash from operating activities       12      44        69     (26)    (17)      8
                   B. Cash flow from investing activities
                   Purchase of Fixed assets               (30)    (242)    (277)    (149)   (324)    (13)
                   Proceeds from sale of fixed assets        2       6          -      3         -      -
                   Investments                            (68)        -         -       -        -      -
                   Interest income                           1       3         5      17       12       -
                   Net cash from investing activities     (95)    (232)    (272)    (129)   (312)    (13)
                   C. Cash flow from financing activities
                   Proceeds from issue of share capital   145         -      418        -    100        -
                   Proceeds from long term borrowings       51     200      105      130    1,199     15
                   Proceeds from short term borrowings 55.0           -         -   50.0     38.0       -
                   Repayment of long term borrowings      (70)     (24)      (86)    (61)   (803)       -
                   Repayment of short term borrowings         -       -         -       -    (88)       -
                   Repayment of preference shares             -       -         -       -    (52)       -
                   Premium on red. of pref. shares            -       -         -       -    (24)       -
                   Share issue expenses                       -   (0.1)     (1.2)       -    (0.1)      -
                   Interest paid                          (26)     (21)      (26)    (48)   (131)    (35)
                   Net cash from financing activities 155          154      410       71     239     (19)
                   Net (decrease)/increase in cash
                   and cash equivalents                     72     (34)     206      (85)    (90)    (25)
                   Cash and cash equivalents at
                   beginning of year                        10      82        48     255     170      80
                   Cash and cash equivalents at
                   end of year                              82      48      255      170       80     55



August 23, 2010                                                                                        14
Gujarat Pipavav Port




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  Ratings (Returns) :           Buy (> 15%)                               Accumulate (5% to 15%)                       Neutral (-5 to 5%)
                                Reduce (-5% to 15%)                       Sell (< -15%)
Gujarat Pipavav Port



               Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059.
                                                        Tel : (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800

Research Team
Fundamental:
Sarabjit Kour Nangra                                                                               VP-Research, Pharmaceutical                                                            sarabjit@angeltrade.com
Vaibhav Agrawal                                                                                    VP-Research, Banking                                                                   vaibhav.agrawal@angeltrade.com
Vaishali Jajoo                                                                                     Automobile                                                                             vaishali.jajoo@angeltrade.com
Shailesh Kanani                                                                                    Infrastructure, Real Estate                                                            shailesh.kanani@angeltrade.com
Anand Shah                                                                                         FMCG , Media                                                                           anand.shah@angeltrade.com
Deepak Pareek                                                                                      Oil & Gas                                                                              deepak.pareek@angeltrade.com
Sushant Dalmia                                                                                     Pharmaceutical                                                                         sushant.dalmia@angeltrade.com
Rupesh Sankhe                                                                                      Cement, Power                                                                          rupeshd.sankhe@angeltrade.com
Param Desai                                                                                        Real Estate, Logistics, Shipping                                                       paramv.desai@angeltrade.com
Sageraj Bariya                                                                                     Fertiliser, Mid-cap                                                                    sageraj.bariya@angeltrade.com
Viraj Nadkarni                                                                                     Retail, Hotels, Mid-cap                                                                virajm.nadkarni@angeltrade.com
Paresh Jain                                                                                        Metals & Mining                                                                        pareshn.jain@angeltrade.com
Amit Rane                                                                                          Banking                                                                                amitn.rane@angeltrade.com
John Perinchery                                                                                    Capital Goods                                                                          john.perinchery@angeltrade.com
Jai Sharda                                                                                         Mid-cap                                                                                jai.sharda@angeltrade.com
Sharan Lillaney                                                                                    Mid-cap                                                                                sharanb.lillaney@angeltrade.com
Amit Vora                                                                                          Research Associate (Oil & Gas)                                                         amit.vora@angeltrade.com
V Srinivasan                                                                                       Research Associate (Cement, Power)                                                     v.srinivasan@angeltrade.com
Aniruddha Mate                                                                                     Research Associate (Infra, Real Estate)                                                aniruddha.mate@angeltrade.com
Mihir Salot                                                                                        Research Associate (Logistics, Shipping)                                               mihirr.salot@angeltrade.com
Chitrangda Kapur                                                                                   Research Associate (FMCG, Media)                                                       chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com
Vibha Salvi                                                                                        Research Associate (IT, Telecom)                                                       vibhas.salvi@angeltrade.com
Pooja Jain                                                                                         Research Associate (Metals & Mining)                                                   pooja.j@angeltrade.com
Yaresh Kothari                                                                                     Research Associate (Automobile)                                                        yareshb.kothari@angeltrade.com
Shrinivas Bhutda                                                                                   Research Associate (Banking)                                                           shrinivas.bhutda@angeltrade.com
Sreekanth P .V.S                                                                                   Research Associate (FMCG, Media)                                                       sreekanth.s@angeltrade.com
Hemang Thaker                                                                                      Research Associate (Capital Goods)                                                     hemang.thaker@angeltrade.com

Technicals:
Shardul Kulkarni                                                                                   Sr. Technical Analyst                                                                  shardul.kulkarni@angeltrade.com
Mileen Vasudeo                                                                                     Technical Analyst                                                                      vasudeo.kamalakant@angeltrade.com
Derivatives:
Siddarth Bhamre                                                                                    Head - Derivatives                                                                     siddarth.bhamre@angeltrade.com
Jaya Agarwal                                                                                       Derivative Analyst                                                                     jaya.agarwal@angeltrade.com

Institutional Sales Team:

Mayuresh Joshi                                                                                     VP - Institutional Sales                                                               mayuresh.joshi@angeltrade.com
Abhimanyu Sofat                                                                                    AVP - Institutional Sales                                                              abhimanyu.sofat@angeltrade.com
Nitesh Jalan                                                                                       Sr. Manager                                                                            niteshk.jalan@angeltrade.com
Pranav Modi                                                                                        Sr. Manager                                                                            pranavs.modi@angeltrade.com
Sandeep Jangir                                                                                     Sr. Manager                                                                            sandeepp.jangir@angeltrade.com
Ganesh Iyer                                                                                        Sr. Manager                                                                            ganeshb.Iyer@angeltrade.com
Jay Harsora                                                                                        Sr. Dealer                                                                             jayr.harsora@angeltrade.com
Meenakshi Chavan                                                                                   Dealer                                                                                 meenakshis.chavan@angeltrade.com
Gaurang Tisani                                                                                     Dealer                                                                                 gaurangp.tisani@angeltrade.com

Production Team:
Bharathi Shetty                                                                                    Research Editor                                                                        bharathi.shetty@angeltrade.com
Simran Kaur                                                                                        Research Editor                                                                        simran.kaur@angeltrade.com
Bharat Patil                                                                                       Production                                                                             bharat.patil@angeltrade.com
Dilip Patel                                                                                        Production                                                                             dilipm.patel@angeltrade.com



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Gujarat Pipava Port IPO

  • 1. Ports IPO Note | Ports August 23, 2010 Gujarat Pipavav Port SUBSCRIBE Issue Open: August 23, 2010 Land Ahoy - Turnaround in sight Issue Close: August 26, 2010 Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited (GPPL) is a private port in proximity to the Issue Details north-western region which handles around 65% of the container cargo in India. Face Value: Rs10 We believe that GPPL is well-positioned to attract incremental container traffic given high capacity utilisation and port congestion at JNPT. We recommend Subscribe to Present Eq. Paid up Capital: Rs314.9cr long-term the IPO at the lower price band with a long-term perspective. Offer Size: 11.59cr-13.08cr Shares* (Fresh Issue 10.42cr-11.90cr shares & Offer for No regulatory hurdles to set tariffs: GPPL is not a major port and hence is not covered under the purview of the Tariff Authority for Major Ports (TAMP). Thus, sale 1.17cr shares) GPPL is free to set its own tariffs making it nimble to respond to changes in market Post Eq. Paid up Capital*:Rs419.0cr-433.9cr dynamics. In order to attract volumes and combat with global recession, GPPL had Issue size (amount): Rs500cr reduced tariff in CY2009. However, management has indicated to hike its container Price Band: Rs42-48 tariff by ~25% from CY2010 following improvement in the economy. Promoters holding Pre-Issue: 57.9% Margins to improve with increase in utilisation rates: During CY2009 company Promoters holding Post-Issue: 42.0%-43.5% experienced OPM expansion of 13% due to better capacity utilization. Going ahead, Note:*at Lower and Upper price band we estimate 25% margin expansion to 45%,(Mundra clocks OPM of 70% and GPPL respectively management has guided OPM at ~60-70%) over next three years with improvng capacity utilisation. Further, we expect penalty charges to PRCL to fade away with Book Building growing traffic and reduction in interest cost which will further enhance margins. QIBs At least 60% Expensive valuations but underpinned with substantial growth potential: At the Non-Institutional At least 10% lower band of Rs42, GPPL trades at a premium to its global peers at 2.5x CY2011E Retail At most 30% P/BV v/s 2.0x respectively. We believe that GPPL comes off a low base compared to some established ports and to that extent the growth should command a premium. On the domestic front, the company is trading at a substantial discount to the Post Issue Shareholding Pattern Mundra port, which trades at 5.9x FY2012E P/BV. We believe that GPPL's discount to Mundra port is justified given the latter's larger scale of operations, revenue Promoters Group 42.0% from its SEZ and higher profitability growth. However, given GPPL's high growth MF/Banks/Indian potential we believe that the 57% discount is unwarranted. Hence, we recommend FIs/FIIs/Public & Others 58.0% Subscribe to the IPO at the lower price band with a long-term perspective. Key Financials Y/E Dec. (Rs cr) CY2008 CY2009 CY2010E CY2011E CY2012E Net Sales 167.3 219.1 264.9 360.3 447.7 % chg 10.4 31.0 20.9 36.0 24.3 Profit Net Profit (67.6) (117.7) (78.4) 7.6 55.1 % chg - - - - 621.7 EBITDA Margin (%) 7.6 20.1 31.0 40.0 45.0 FDEPS (Rs) (1.6) (2.7) (1.8) 0.2 1.3 P/E (x) - - - 238.8 33.1 Param Desai P/BV (x) 3.8 4.3 2.5 2.5 2.3 +91 22 4040 3800 Ext: 310 RoE (%) - - - 1.0 7.1 Email: paramv.desai@angeltrade.com RoCE (%) - - - 5.7 9.0 Mihir Salot EV/EBITDA (x) 159.0 51.5 29.3 17.1 12.3 +91 22 4040 3800 Ext: 307 Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: * at the lower end of the price band mihirr.salot@angeltrade.com Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
  • 2. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note Company Background GPPL, incorporated in 1992, is the exclusive developer and operator of APM Terminals Pipavav - India's first private sector port. The company entered into a concession agreement with GMB in September 1998, to develop, construct, operate and maintain the port along with the foreshore land and waterfront for 30 years. It is promoted by APM Terminals (holding 57.9% pre-issue), one of the largest container terminal operators in the world with a global network of 49 terminals in 32 countries. The port is primarily engaged in multi-cargo and multi-user operations for container, bulk and LPG cargo. Moreover, it undertakes CFS operations, infrastructure and land related activities in the vicinity of the port. Currently, the container and bulk cargo handling capacity at the port stands at 0.6mn TEU and 5mn tonnes pa, respectively. Exhibit 1: Time line of Events 2.6HA of paved container yards developed 2 PPQC commissioned Environment Mainline container friendly coal yard vessel services commissioned operational Vessel acceptance SKIL exits by selling stake to draft incresed to APM Terminals Mauritius Ltd, 12.5mtrs (Phase I) IDFC and IDFC Infra Fund 3 PPQC commissioned Rail connectivity from Surendranagar to Pipavav started 8 RTG cranes 10 eco-friendly commissioned RTG cranes commissioned APMM Group acquires 13.5% 1st Port to receive Double Stack Container Train Vessel acceptance from ICD Kanakpura draft - 14.0 mtrs Concession Agreement (Jaipur) to Pipavav (Phase II) between PRCL and IR 3 PQC commissioned Constructed jetty no. 4 and modified bulk liquid jetty Concession Agreement with GMB and GoG Commercial operations Rly siding no. 5, 6 commenced and 7 commissioned PRCL incorporated as a JV with Indian Railways 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 Source: Company RHP Angel Research , Strategic location, robust infrastructure and strong connectivity APM Terminals Pipavav is strategically located at the mouth of the Gulf of Khambhat (formerly Gulf of Cambay) on the main maritime trade routes in the Arabian Sea. It offers shorter transit time vis-avis JNPT port for cargo to/from the industrialised hinterland in north India (generating ~65% of the total container throughput). We believe that given the high capacity utilisation and port congestion at JNPT, there is tremendous scope for diversion of volumes to the ports on the north-west coast providing significant cost and logistic advantages. The port offers favourable oceanographic conditions of 4,550 channel length and vessel acceptance draught of 14.5 meters (vis-à-vis 12.5 meters at JNPT and 12.5-17.5 meters at Mundra), which enable day and night navigation of ships through the year. There are four berths for handling August 23, 2010 2
  • 3. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note bulk and containerised cargo and a dedicated LPG berth with strong ancillary infrastructure in place. The port boasts of robust infrastructure by way of two CFS's, eight panamax quay cranes (PQC), 18 rubber-tyre gantry (RTG) cranes, five re-stackers, paved rail sidings and port users' buildings. The company owns 38.8% in a joint venture (JV) with Indian Railways (IR), viz. Pipavav Railways Corporation (PRCL), which maintains the 269km broad gauge railway link connecting the port to the commercial hub of Surendranagar in Gujarat. India's first double stack container rake service, with a capacity of 180 TEUs, was provided by PRCL between the port and Kanakpura ICD (Jaipur) in March 2006. Presently, five to six trains (maximum capacity of 22 trains) per day are being operated in each direction. The port is also connected with NH-8E by a four-lane road link of 10km thereby servicing vital commercial hubs between Mumbai and Delhi. Revenues driven by bulk and container cargo GPPL's revenue is evenly contributed by container and dry bulk cargo. The company derives its bulk cargo business mainly from the coal and fertilisers trade. While fertiliser demand is usually robust between June-September owing to the sowing season, coal imports are relatively less cyclical and sustain on demand from the power plants and cement companies in the region. Although the container volumes have consistently improved for GPPL (CAGR of 33.5% during CY2006-09), realisations have dropped due to economic slowdown and trade discounts offered to the liners for calling on the port. The company also provides marine services to Ultratech, which includes pilotage services to vessels as well as port dues from these vessels. Exhibit 2: Revenue break-up 120.0 100.0 80.0 35.8 44.1 42.0 28 45 60.0 40.0 59.3 53.3 60 20.0 49.5 47 0.0 CY2006 CY2007 CY2008 CY09 1QCY2010 Container Cargo Dry Bulk Cargo LPG Cargo Land-related Revenue Marine Services to Ultratech Others Source: Company RHP Angel Research , August 23, 2010 3
  • 4. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note IPO details GPPL is coming out with its IPO for Rs500cr through fresh issue of 10.4-11.9cr shares in the price band of Rs42-48 per share. Around Rs10cr has been earmarked for employee applications. The issue proceeds would be utilised for prepayment of loans, capital expenditure, purchase of capital equipment and general corporate purpose. Besides, The Infrastructure Fund of India, LLC and The India Infrastructure Fund have offered to partially sell their stakes to the tune of 7,601,248 and 4,106,121 shares respectively, through the IPO. Exhibit 3: Shareholding Pattern Shareholders Pre-Issue Pre re-Issue Post Issue Post no. of % of no. of % of Equity shares Eq. capital Equity shares Eq. capital APM Terminals Mauritius Limited 182,152,360 57.9 182,152,360 42.0 Total holding of Promoters (A) Promoters 182,152,360 57.9 182,152,360 42.0 IDBI Trusteeship Services Limited A/C IDFC Infrastructure Fund - India Development Fund 32,046,535 10.2 32,046,535 7.4 IDBI Bank Limited 27,958,615 8.9 27,958,615 6.4 New York Life International India Fund (Mauritius) LLC 14,748,160 4.7 14,748,160 3.4 IDFC Trustee Company Ltd A/C IDFC Infrastructure Fund 2 A/C IDFC Private Equity Fund II 12,752,302 4.1 12,752,302 2.9 IL and FS Trust Co Ltd A/C IL&FS Private Equity Trust 10,484,480 3.3 10,484,480 2.4 The Infrastructure Fund of India LLC* 15,202,497 4.8 7,601,249 1.8 The India Infrastructure Fund LLC* 8,212,843 2.6 4,106,722 0.9 Other Institutional investors 43,611,614 1.7 5,626,672 1.3 Total holding of the Institutional Investors (B) 127032104 40.3 115,324,735 26.6 Others (C) 5,679,555 1.8 5,679,555 1.3 Total Pre-Issue Share Capital Pre re-Issue 314,864,019 100.0 303,156,650 69.9 Eligible Employees (pursuant to the Employee Reservation Portion) 0 0 2,380,952 0.5 Public (pursuant to the Issue) 128,374,036 29.6 Total Post-Issue Share Capital Post ost-Issue 433,911,638 100.0 Source: Company RHP Angel Research; Note: Fresh Equity offering calculated at lower price band of Rs42/share, *partial exit , Exhibit 4: Objects of the Issue Amt. deployed Amt. to be Estimated (as on used from Estimated schedule Particulars (Rs cr) Cost June '10) Proceeds FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 Prepayment of loans 1,075 - 300 300 - - Capital expenditure 93 10 83 83 - - Capital equipment 34 5 29 29 - - General Corporate Purpose - - - - - - Total 1,202 15 411 Source: Company RHP Angel Research , August 23, 2010 4
  • 5. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note Investment Rationale Location advantages GPPL's location on the west coast is strategic to service the landlocked north and north-western region of India, which contribute ~65% of the cargo handled at the Indian ports. Over the last five years, cargo traffic has registered 11.3% CAGR for west coast ports v/s 5.2% for the east coast. It provides a convenient international trade gateway to Europe, Africa, America and the Middle East. Further, JNPT which handles around 60% of the container traffic may lose market share to ports like Mundra and Pipavav who have larger draft to accommodate, faster evacuation and competitive rates. Exhibit 5: East coast traffic Exhibit 6: Weast coast traffic CAGR 5.2% 400 300 337 264 1.3 % 255 255 350 CAGR 1 311 250 232 294 216 300 251 200 250 220 (mn tonnes) (mn tonnes) 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 0 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 Source: IPA, CRISIL, Angel Research Source: IPA, CRISIL, Angel Research Better connectivity to road and rail network GPPL owns 38.8% stake in PRCL, which runs double stack container trains unlike other ports that helps lower freight costs and ensures faster evacuation of containers from the port. Further, the port has a four-lane road link of ~10km to the national highway for transporting cargo to and fro the port. The distance via road from the port to the key trading hubs such as Ahmedabad, Jaipur and Delhi is 302km, 873km, and 1,115km, respectively. No regulatory hurdles to set tariffs coupled with lower royalty charges GPPL is not a major port and hence is not covered under the purview of the Tariff Authority for Major Ports (TAMP). Thus, GPPL is free to set its own tariffs making it nimble to respond to changes in market dynamics. In order to attract volumes and combat with global recession, GPPL had reduced tariff in CY2009. However, management has indicated to hike its container tariff by ~20-25% from CY2010 following improvement in the economy. On the other hand, as per the concession agreement, GPPL is likely to pay waterfront royalty of Rs10/tonne for solid cargo and Rs20/tonne for liquid cargo with 20% hike every three years. This works out to 1.5- 2.5% of revenues as royalty to the Gujarat Maritime Board (GMB), which is quite low compared to the other private ports like Mundra. August 23, 2010 5
  • 6. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note Diverse cargo mix GPPL can handle a diverse mix of cargo such as coal, fertilizer, steel, minerals and container. Thus, the port caters to a diverse set of end users. Further, re-location of the LPG cargo jetty has resulted in zero revenues since the last two years as it was converted into a multi-purpose cargo berth. However, we believe that the LPG cargo jetty will start generating revenues from CY2011. Exhibit 7: Cargo mix 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 ('000 tonnes) 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 CY2008 CY2009 1QCY2010 Coal Fertiliser Steel Minerals Containers Others Source: Company RHP Angel Research , Leveraging on promoter's global presence APM Terminals is one of largest container terminal operators in the world with a global network of 50 terminals spread across 34 countries and five continents. In CY2009, globally APM terminals handled 31mn TEUs with revenues of US $3bn. GPPL derived ~26.2% of revenues in CY2009 from the APMM group and has exclusive rights for Maserk vessels to be called at the Pipavav port, which will provide visibility. Exhibit 8: Revenue contribution from APMM group 40 34.2 35 28.6 30 26.2 25 22.5 (%) 20 15 10 5 0 CY2007 CY2008 CY2009 1QCY2010 Source: Company RHP Angel Research , August 23, 2010 6
  • 7. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note Margins to improve with increase in utilisation rates and reduction in penalty During CY2009 company experienced OPM expansion of 13% due to better capacity utilization. Going ahead, we believe with favorable industry dynamics (15% container and 8% cargo traffic CAGR over FY2010-15E) and economy back on track, this trend to continue and company to enjoy operating leverage leading to enhancement in margins. We have penciled in ~25% margin expansion to 45%,(Mundra clocks EBITDA margins of 70% and GPPL management has guided margins at ~60-70%) over next three years. GPPL is bound to transport minimum guaranteed traffic of 3mn tonnes through Pipavav Rail Corporation Ltd (PRCL). GPPL paid around Rs 108cr and 30cr in CY2008 and CY2009 respectively as penalty charges due to non-fulfillment of the Minimum Guaranteed Quantity. PRCL currently provides railway transportation for ~ 35.0% of the cargo going through the Port. We expect penalty charges to PRCL to fade away with growing traffic which will further enhance margins. Exhibit 9: EBIDTA trend 250 45.0 50 40.0 45 200 40 31.0 35 (Rs cr) 150 30 (%) 20.1 25 100 20 15 7.2 7.6 50 10 5 0 0 CY2007 CY2008 CY2009 CY2010E CY2011E CY2012E EBITDA (LHS) EBITDA Margins (RHS) Source: Company RHP Angel Research , August 23, 2010 7
  • 8. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note Concerns Slowdown in economy to impact global trade As per the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the global economic growth rate has declined from 5% in 2007 to 2.2% in 2009. As a result, sea-borne trade registered subdued growth in 2009. Pertinently, GPPL's growth in container and bulk cargo is largely dependent on the growth in sea-borne trade. However, unlike the developed economies, the Asian countries, which are witnessing a surge in traffic following improving economic conditions, contribute ~ 70% of overall sea-borne trade. Thus, we expect GPPL to witness 25% CAGR in container traffic and 10% in bulk cargo over the next three years on a low base and growing sea borne trade. Competition risk Competition may increase on the back of development of new ports in India as GMB has invited bids for the development of additional ports in Gujarat, which may force GPPL to reduce tariffs. Dependence on small number of customers The company's top five customers contributed ~46% of revenues with the promoter group, APMM contributing 26% of overall revenues in CY2009. Hence, loss or significant decrease in spend by any of its major customers may impact the company's profitability. August 23, 2010 8
  • 9. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note Outlook and Valuation At the lower band of Rs42, GPPL trades at a premium to its global peers at 2.5x CY2011E P/BV v/s 2.0x respectively. We believe that GPPL comes off a low base compared to some established ports and to that extent the growth should command a premium. On the domestic front, the company is trading at a substantial discount to the Mundra port, which trades at 5.9x FY2012E P/BV. We believe that GPPL's discount to Mundra port is justified given the latter's large scale of operations, revenue contribution from its SEZ and higher profitability growth. However, given GPPL's high growth potential we believe that the 57% discount is unwarranted. Consider, over the last couple of years, GPPL has exhibited strong growth rates at the operating level following an improvement in utilisation levels and growing traffic. GPPL also expects to retire high-cost debt utilising Rs300cr from the issue proceeds resulting in reduction in interest expenses from Rs115cr in CY2009 to Rs92cr in CY2011E. Further, management has indicated to hike container tariffs in line with market dynamics with re-negotiation of contracts from CY2010. Consequently, we expect GPPL to report profit from CY2011E. We recommend Subscribe to the IPO at the lower price band long-term with a long-term perspective. Exhibit 10: Peer Comparison - Indian Market Cap P/E (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/EBITDA CAGR EPS CAGR (%) Companies US $mn CY09 CY10 CY11 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY09-11E Shanghai International Port Co. 12,891 32.4 19.2 18.1 3.8 2.6 2.4 18.8 11.4 10.7 13.8 Shenzhen Chiwan Wharf holdings 1,265 17.5 17.1 15.7 2.6 2.9 2.7 12.5 9.4 8.1 25.3 Shenzhen Yantian Port Holdings 1,239 22.5 17.9 17.3 2.5 1.8 1.9 34.7 19.2 27.0 2.7 Forth Ports Plc 923 11.2 22.2 20.0 2.6 2.3 2.2 15.3 13.1 12.4 4.4 DP World 8,682 21.4 26.2 20.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 13.4 12.1 10.6 11.8 Average 21.0 20.5 18.4 2.5 2.1 2.0 18.9 13.0 13.8 11.6 Mundra Port and SEZ* 6,884 49.1 33.1 22.6 9.2 7.4 5.9 36.0 24.2 17.8 48.6 GPPL# 391 - - 238.8 4.3 2.5 2.5 51.5 29.3 17.1 - Source: Company RHP Bloomberg, Angel Research, Note: * Fiinancial year ending March; Prices as on 20th August, 2010; At lower end of price band Rs42/share , # August 23, 2010 9
  • 10. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note Industry Overview Non-major Indian ports to play a big role As per data from the Department of Shipping, there are 12 major ports and ~190 minor ports handling 95% volumes and 70% in value terms of India's cargo. The classification of a port as major/non-major is based on the control and governance rather than its capacity or cargo traffic handled, with major ports falling under purview of the Port Trusts regulated by the Central government and the non-major ports being regulated by the State governments or run by private entities. Currently, just 60 non- major ports handle traffic. India's international trade recorded a CAGR of 19.0% during FY2005-10 with its share in total world trade (including services) increasing from 1.1% in 2004 to 1.5% in 2008. It is interesting to note that while the traffic at major ports has risen at a CAGR of 7.5% during FY2000-10 to 561mn tonnes, the non-major ports have witnessed a CAGR of 15.6% to 266mn tonnes during the mentioned period. Consequently, the share of non-major ports in total volume has increased from 18.7% in FY2000 to 32.0% in FY2010. While India's GDP grew at an average 8.0% between FY2006-10, the port traffic increased at a CAGR of 9.8% during the period. As per CRISIL estimates, the port traffic is expected to surge at a CAGR of 9.0% to 1,163mn tonnes between FY2010-14 on the back of strong growth in the economy. Notably, traffic at non- major ports is expected to grow at a faster CAGR of 19.5% (to 493mn tonnes) compared to the major ports, which are expected to post a CAGR of 4.9% (674mn tonnes) over the period. The share of non-major ports is thus likely to increase to 42.2% in FY2014. Exhibit 11: Traffic handled at Indian ports 800 674 700 600 561 519 530 493 500 464 424 400 300 266 186 203 203 200 145 100 0 Major ports Non-major ports Source: CRISIL Research 2010 Report, Angel Research Container cargo to outpace general cargo It is estimated that 75% of the cargo, primarily capital and engineering goods, textiles and food items can be transported in containers. It is estimated that globally containerisation levels stand at ~80%, while in India it has stabilsed at around 50% in the past few years. Moreover, while there is a direct relation between growth in the economy and international trade for a country, it is also observed that demand for containers changes in tandem with the GDP growth. In India, container traffic logged a CAGR of 16% between FY2005-10 from 4.0mn TEU to 8.4mn TEU on the back of strong growth in international trade. The share of non-major ports has seen a August 23, 2010 10
  • 11. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note phenomenal increase from less than one per cent in FY2005 to 14.0% in FY2010, led by ports like Mundra and Pipavav. This was because of the strategic location of the ports in Gujarat, which combined with Maharashtra handles 60% of the total container traffic. Given a 2.0x sensitivity of the container growth to the GDP growth, containerisation levels are expected to remain robust going forward. Exhibit 12: Container traffic trend Exhibit 13: Containerisation levels 35.0 5.0 600 56 avg. factor of 2.1x to GDP growth 30.0 54.2 54 4.0 500 52.2 52 25.0 51.5 400 (mn tonnes) 3.0 50 20.0 (%) (x) (%) 300 48 15.0 47.4 47.2 47.5 2.0 46.2 46 200 45.2 10.0 44 1.0 5.0 100 42 0.0 0.0 0 40 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 GDP growth (LHS) Container traffic yoy chg (LHS) EXIM traffic at major ports -LHS Container share in non bulk cargo -RHS Source: Ministry of Finance, IPA, Angel Research Source: IPA, Angel Research Dry Bulk Cargo The bulk cargo trade in India is driven mainly by export of iron ore and import of coal and fertlisers. Dry bulk cargo volumes at Indian ports have registered a CAGR of 8.4% during FY2005-10 to 406mn tonnes of which 70% was handled by the major ports. While the bulk cargo traffic at major ports has registered a CAGR of 7.0% between FY2005-10, the non-major ports have witnessed a CAGR of 12.1% over the period. As per CRISIL estimates, going ahead dry bulk cargo traffic at the Indian ports is set to increase at a CAGR of 11.2% between FY2010-15. The key drivers for such growth include phenomenal demand for coal (expected CAGR of 19.6% over FY2010-15) by the cement and coal-based power plants, iron ore exports (expected CAGR of 6.9% over the mentioned period) to countries like China and Japan. Exhibit 14: Bulk cargo traffic at the Indian ports 700 600 500 339 (mn tonnes) 400 122 300 98 89 74 81 200 353 258 262 284 100 220 236 0 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY15E Major ports Non-major ports Source: CRISIL Research 2010 Report, Angel Research August 23, 2010 11
  • 12. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note Restated Profit & Loss Statement Particulars (Rs cr) 9M Dec.05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 1QCY10 Sales 76 135 152 167 219 54 Other Operating Income - - - - - - Income from Operations 76 135 152 167 219 54 Operating expenses 26 49 60 61 95 18 Repairs and maintenance 4 14 11 14 16 3 Staff cost 6 11 14 20 24 6 Administrative and other exp. 38 41 56 60 40 10 Total Expenditure 74 115 141 155 175 38 EBITDA EBITDA 2 20 11 13 44 16 EBITDA margin (%) 2.8 15.0 7.2 7.6 20.1 29.6 Depreciation 19 24 27 37 46 12 EBIT (17) (4) (16) (24) (2) 4 Interest Charges (Net) 44 47 39 74 116 36 Other Income 2 7 13 31 5 3 PBT (59) (43) (42) (67) (112) (30) Provision for Taxation Taxation - - - - - - Current Tax (incl FBT) - - - - - - Deferred Tax - - - - - - PA Reported PAT (59) (43) (42) (68) (112) (30) Prior Period/EO Items/Adjustments (13) (8) (4) 0 (6) 2 PA Adjusted PAT (72) (52) (46) (68) (118) (28) APAT margin (%) (94) (38) (30) (40) (54) (51) Surplus Brought Forward (373) (497) (549) (595) (649) (780) Amt. available for appropriation (444) (549) (595) (662) (780) (808) Appropriations - - - - - - Surplus c/fwd. to B/S (444) (549) (595) (662) (780) (808) August 23, 2010 12
  • 13. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note Restated Balance Sheet Particulars (Rs cr) CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 1QCY10 Gross Block 680 878 869 1,161 1,593 1,597 Acc.Depreciation 89 107 128 165 202 214 Less: Asset impairment 160 159 138 138 120 120 Net Block 431 611 603 859 1,271 1,264 CWIP/Advance 50 79 309 158 16 29 Investments 78 78 78 83 83 83 CA , Loans & Advances CA, Loans 126 94 310 242 178 149 Inventories 1 3 5 5 5 6 Sundry Debtors 4 10 3 7 22 15 Cash and bank balances 82 48 255 170 80 55 Other Current Assets 1 2 10 10 3 4 Loans and Advances 37 32 37 49 68 69 Total Assets 685 862 1,300 1,342 1,548 1,525 Share Capital 248 262 345 345 315 315 Reserves & Surplus (111) (168) 114 35 (7) (35) Minority Interest - - - - - - Provisions Liabilities & Provisions 548 769 841 961 1,240 1,245 Secured Loan 384 586 589 657 1,056 1,073 Unsecured Loan 14 - 28 84 33 32 Current Liabilities 122 138 176 187 118 107 Provisions 29 45 48 33 33 33 Deferred Tax liabilities (net) - - - - - - Total Liabilities 685 862 1,300 1,342 1,548 1,525 August 23, 2010 13
  • 14. Gujarat Pipavav Port | IPO Note Restated Cash Flow Statement Particulars (Rs cr) 9M Dec.05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 1QCY10 A . Cash flow from operating activities Net Profit / (loss) before taxation (47) (52) (46) (67) (118) (28) Adjustment for - - - - - - Depreciation 16 24 27 37 46 12 Impairment loss on fixed assets - - - - - - Interest expenses 31 47 40 75 116 36 Interest income (2) (4) (13) (17) (5) (1) Exceptional items - 8 4 - 6 (2) Preoperative expenses - - - - - - (Profit)/Loss on sale/discard of assets - (3) - (2) - - (Profit)/Loss on sale of investments - - - - - - Operating profit/(loss) before working capital changes (1) 21 13 26 45 18 (Increase)/Decrease in Inventories 1 (1) (2) (0) (0) (1) (Increase)/Decrease in Sundry Debtors (2) (5) 6 (4) (14) 7 (Increase)/Decrease in Loans and Advances (6) 6 4 (23) (26) 2 (Decrease)/Increase in Sundry Creditors and Other liabilities 20 24 48 (21) (16) (17) Cash flow from operation 12 44 70 (22) (12) 9 Direct taxes (paid)/refunds 1 (0) (1) (4) (5) (2) Net cash from operating activities 12 44 69 (26) (17) 8 B. Cash flow from investing activities Purchase of Fixed assets (30) (242) (277) (149) (324) (13) Proceeds from sale of fixed assets 2 6 - 3 - - Investments (68) - - - - - Interest income 1 3 5 17 12 - Net cash from investing activities (95) (232) (272) (129) (312) (13) C. Cash flow from financing activities Proceeds from issue of share capital 145 - 418 - 100 - Proceeds from long term borrowings 51 200 105 130 1,199 15 Proceeds from short term borrowings 55.0 - - 50.0 38.0 - Repayment of long term borrowings (70) (24) (86) (61) (803) - Repayment of short term borrowings - - - - (88) - Repayment of preference shares - - - - (52) - Premium on red. of pref. shares - - - - (24) - Share issue expenses - (0.1) (1.2) - (0.1) - Interest paid (26) (21) (26) (48) (131) (35) Net cash from financing activities 155 154 410 71 239 (19) Net (decrease)/increase in cash and cash equivalents 72 (34) 206 (85) (90) (25) Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year 10 82 48 255 170 80 Cash and cash equivalents at end of year 82 48 255 170 80 55 August 23, 2010 14
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  • 16. Gujarat Pipavav Port Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059. Tel : (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800 Research Team Fundamental: Sarabjit Kour Nangra VP-Research, Pharmaceutical sarabjit@angeltrade.com Vaibhav Agrawal VP-Research, Banking vaibhav.agrawal@angeltrade.com Vaishali Jajoo Automobile vaishali.jajoo@angeltrade.com Shailesh Kanani Infrastructure, Real Estate shailesh.kanani@angeltrade.com Anand Shah FMCG , Media anand.shah@angeltrade.com Deepak Pareek Oil & Gas deepak.pareek@angeltrade.com Sushant Dalmia Pharmaceutical sushant.dalmia@angeltrade.com Rupesh Sankhe Cement, Power rupeshd.sankhe@angeltrade.com Param Desai Real Estate, Logistics, Shipping paramv.desai@angeltrade.com Sageraj Bariya Fertiliser, Mid-cap sageraj.bariya@angeltrade.com Viraj Nadkarni Retail, Hotels, Mid-cap virajm.nadkarni@angeltrade.com Paresh Jain Metals & Mining pareshn.jain@angeltrade.com Amit Rane Banking amitn.rane@angeltrade.com John Perinchery Capital Goods john.perinchery@angeltrade.com Jai Sharda Mid-cap jai.sharda@angeltrade.com Sharan Lillaney Mid-cap sharanb.lillaney@angeltrade.com Amit Vora Research Associate (Oil & Gas) amit.vora@angeltrade.com V Srinivasan Research Associate (Cement, Power) v.srinivasan@angeltrade.com Aniruddha Mate Research Associate (Infra, Real Estate) aniruddha.mate@angeltrade.com Mihir Salot Research Associate (Logistics, Shipping) mihirr.salot@angeltrade.com Chitrangda Kapur Research Associate (FMCG, Media) chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com Vibha Salvi Research Associate (IT, Telecom) vibhas.salvi@angeltrade.com Pooja Jain Research Associate (Metals & Mining) pooja.j@angeltrade.com Yaresh Kothari Research Associate (Automobile) yareshb.kothari@angeltrade.com Shrinivas Bhutda Research Associate (Banking) shrinivas.bhutda@angeltrade.com Sreekanth P .V.S Research Associate (FMCG, Media) sreekanth.s@angeltrade.com Hemang Thaker Research Associate (Capital Goods) hemang.thaker@angeltrade.com Technicals: Shardul Kulkarni Sr. Technical Analyst shardul.kulkarni@angeltrade.com Mileen Vasudeo Technical Analyst vasudeo.kamalakant@angeltrade.com Derivatives: Siddarth Bhamre Head - Derivatives siddarth.bhamre@angeltrade.com Jaya Agarwal Derivative Analyst jaya.agarwal@angeltrade.com Institutional Sales Team: Mayuresh Joshi VP - Institutional Sales mayuresh.joshi@angeltrade.com Abhimanyu Sofat AVP - Institutional Sales abhimanyu.sofat@angeltrade.com Nitesh Jalan Sr. Manager niteshk.jalan@angeltrade.com Pranav Modi Sr. Manager pranavs.modi@angeltrade.com Sandeep Jangir Sr. Manager sandeepp.jangir@angeltrade.com Ganesh Iyer Sr. Manager ganeshb.Iyer@angeltrade.com Jay Harsora Sr. Dealer jayr.harsora@angeltrade.com Meenakshi Chavan Dealer meenakshis.chavan@angeltrade.com Gaurang Tisani Dealer gaurangp.tisani@angeltrade.com Production Team: Bharathi Shetty Research Editor bharathi.shetty@angeltrade.com Simran Kaur Research Editor simran.kaur@angeltrade.com Bharat Patil Production bharat.patil@angeltrade.com Dilip Patel Production dilipm.patel@angeltrade.com Angel Broking Ltd: BSE Sebi Regn No : INB 010996539 / CDSL Regn No: IN - DP - CDSL - 234 - 2004 / PMS Regn Code: PM/INP000001546 Angel Securities Ltd:BSE: INB010994639/INF010994639 NSE: INB230994635/INF230994635 Membership numbers: BSE 028/NSE:09946 Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM / CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302