Day 0 of Singularity University Executive Program, Jul, 2015

1. Singularity University
Exec Program
Day 0 - Orientation

2. Program Schedule
Day 0 - Orientation
Day 1 - Tech foundations
Day 2 & 3 - Application, Trends & tools
Day 4 - Tools & implications
Day 5 - Call to Action

3. Intro to
exponentials
Salim Ismail

4. Can you see the dog?

5. What about now?

6. Accelerating tech
Drones: 2kg —> 10 km (1 year ago);
4 kg now (doubles each 9 months)

7. 4 processes
Digitise
Disrupt
Demonetize
Democratize

8. I. Digitise
Dreamcatcher —> storing dreams
Beyond verbal —> decoding human
intonation
4-5 years from now —> impossible to
lie

9. II. Disrupt
Photography: from film to memory
card
3d printing: 35 years old tech

10. Why?
zero friction to move/copy
zero marginal cost
apply computation
correlation
machine learning
modeling
simulation

11. Vinod Khosla: rise
of mobile phones
“Ignore the experts and invent the future
you want”
McKinsey failed to predict the popularity of
cell phones, estimated in 1986 that the
number of cell phones in 2000 would be 1m
units. It was off by 108m! The forecast was
wrong 10000%! On that basis, AT&T decided
to divest itself of its cell phone business

12. Solar energy
In 23 years solar energy
Poorest countries = sunniest
countries —> how that would change
political & economic scene?
In 2016 solar energy cheaper than
electricity in US

13. Amygdala
Anything created before you were
born - normal
Anything between 15 & 35 —> new &
exciting!
Anything after you’re 35 —> against
nature of things

14. III. Demonetize
Newspapers —> google ad sales
Airbnb vs Hyatt
Information enables collaborative
consumption

15. IV. Democratize
1 meter resolution video with
nanorobot —> Emiliano (grad student
of SU)
Neurosky brain scanner -
focusatwill.com
Bitcoin’s block chain & decentralised
authentication

16. More examples
VR disrupts reality
Soylent - 1 drink equals 1day food,
formula is open sourced; 1.4
version was recently released
“People want to compete to feed the
world? That’s good”

17. Things to consider
Democracy isn’t compatible with
making fast decisions, while
exponential technologies require
such —> democracy might not be the
best political system

18. Practice —> apply
exponential tech to wine &
spirits industry
Self driving cars & Uber drive
consumption :)
Personalised drinks to avoid hangover
Cities are getting bigger, people lonely
—> VR sets & home cocktail sets
Look out for digitising smell & taste

19. Entrepreneurship
Pascal Finette

20. 10 rules
BETTER - 10x times instead of 10%
FASTER - 2 pizza rule of Jeff Bezos for team size
LOUDER - be known or be nothing
EXPLICIT - 8 words or less; Verb. Target. Outcome
FOCUSED
NETWORKED
SMARTER
RESILIENT - OK with failures
IGNORANT - don’t give a damn to bozos
RELAXED - sometimes you have to sharpen your axe

21. “The future is a renewable resource”

22. Abundance
Peter Diamandis

23. Linear vs
Exponential
Moore’s Law
Technology S-curve & nested S-
curves: Relay, Vacuum Tube,
Transistor, Integrated Circuit

24. Where have we seen
this in our life?
Wire-line Internet access (Dial-up,
DSL, Calbe Modem, Fiber optic)
Hard drives - IBM 350, MicroSD,
SanDisk
Digital camera
GPS

25. “6Ds” Exponential
Framework
Digitised
Deceptive
Disruptive
Dematerialise
Demonetise
Democratise

26. How?
By building platforms to use existing
resources (Uber, AirBnb & etc)

27. Abundance
Global income rises
Lifespan increases
Cost of food, energy, transpiration,
telecommunication diminishes
The end of poverty by 2030

28. Global reduction in
children per family
Health
Education

29. More examples
Life expectancy growth
Annual hours worked per person decreases
Automobile & airline fatality rates decrease
Annual global death rate from natural
disaster decrease
Bandwidth cost performance improves

30. Mindsets &
moonshots
Peter Diamandis

31. Your mindset
matters

32. Moonshot thinking
Going 10x bigger instead of 10%
improvement
When you shoot for 10x improvement you
approach the problem in a radically
different fashion
Attack a problemas though it is solved
100 times more worth it, but never 100 times
harder

33. Lockheed Skunk Works
(143 days for 1st US jet)
Massive transformative purpose (MTP) - win
the war
Small team - 2 pizza rule of Bezos
Extreme isolation
Authority & autonomy
Flexibility
Testing & Experimentation

34. –Reid Hoffman, Founder, LinkedIn
“If you’re not embarrassed by the
first version of your product, you’ve
launched too late”

35. Billionaire
Thinking
Passion & purpose
Experimentation
Long-term thinking
Optimistic thinking

36. Diamandis’s own 3
moonshots
100 years is the new 60s
Asteroids as a resource for
humanity
XPrize foundation

37. Aftertalk with
Salim Ismail

38. Truth Framework
True
Not true
Not justifiable Justifiable
ScientificIntuitive
Value-based
(stereotypical)
Absolute
(religious)

39. soulsoul
subconscious
conscious