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Monetary policy and its effects

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Monetary policy and its effects

  1. 1. HOW WOULD A STRINGENT MONETARY POLICY IMPACT INVESTMENT DECISIONS ? How is it useful for a retail banker ? Batch Code : HYD01AA0213 Faculty: Vishwanathan Ramakrishnan Date : 30 October 2013 NAME ID NUMBER BHAVANA E130031000126 AJITH E130031000142 HIMAJA E130031000134
  2. 2. S.No Description 1 Introduction To Monetary Policy 2 Stringent Monetary Policy 3 Characteristics 4 Objective 5 Types of Monetary Policy 6 Factors Affecting Monetary Policy 7 Instruments 8 Impact on Investment Decision 9 Current Monetary Policy 10 Investments Options 11 Inferences
  3. 3.  Monetary policy is the process by which the monetary authority of a country controls the supply of money  It is release twice an year Slack season policy April - September Busy Season policy October- March
  4. 4.  Stringent Monetary policy means low liquidity in the markets which basically means interest rates are relatively higher
  5. 5.      Key changes in Bank Rate Rise in OMO Increase in SLR Increase in CRR Increase In RBI & bank lending policies
  6. 6.  Maintaining price stability  Infusion of adequate Credit to productive sectors.  Full employment  Balance of payments equilibrium  Neutrality of money  Equal income distribution
  7. 7. Inflation targeting: Objective is to keep inflation under control, such as Consumer Price Index, within a desired range Price level targeting : Is similar to inflation targeting . It actually takes past years into account. Monetary aggregates : To mainly control the amount of money in circulation.
  8. 8. Fixed exchange rate : The government declares a fixed exchange rate but does not actively buy or sell currency to maintain the rate . Gold standard : Price of the national currency is measured in units of gold bars.  It is kept constant by buying or selling gold at a fixed price in terms of the base currency
  9. 9. • Money not appealing in the Economy • Existence of Unorganized Financial Market
  10. 10.          Bank Rate Statutory Liquidity Ratio Open Market Operations Cash Reserve Ratio Repurchase Auction Rate(Repo) and Reverse Repurchase Auction Rate (Reverse Repo) Margin Requirement Credit Ceiling Direct Action Moral Persuasion
  11. 11. Impact on Investment Decisions On Economy o When Restrictive o When Accommodative
  12. 12.  Accommodative Monetary Policy: Cash is not king, as investors prefer to deploy their money anywhere rather than parking it in deposits that provide minimal returns  Restrictive Monetary Policy: Cash tends to do well here, since higher deposit rates induce consumers to save rather than spend
  13. 13. • Key changes in Interest rates will affect the Lending policy.
  14. 14. (per cent) 1 2 Repo Rate Marginal Standing Facility@ Cash Reserve Ratio* Statutory Liquidity Ratio* 3 Effective since Reverse Repo Rate 4 5 6 May 03, 2011 6.25 (+0.50) 7.25 (+0.50) 8.25 (+0.50) 6.00 24 June 16, 2011 6.50 (+0.25) 7.50 (+0.25) 8.50 (+0.25) 6.00 24 July 26, 2011 7.00 (+0.50) 8.00 (+0.50) 9.00 (+0.50) 6.00 24 September 16, 2011 7.25 (+0.25) 8.25 (+0.25) 9.25 (+0.25) 6.00 24 October 25, 2011 7.50 (+0.25) 8.50 (+0.25) 9.50 (+0.25) 6.00 24 January 28, 2012 7.50 8.50 9.50 5.50 (-0.50) 24 March 10, 2012 7.50 8.50 9.50 4.75 (-0.75) 24 August 11, 2012 7.00 8.00 9.00 4.75 23 (-1.00) September 22, 2012 7.00 8.00 9.00 4.50 (-0.25) 23 6.75 (-0.25) 7.75 (-0.25) 8.75 (-0.25) 4.25 23 6.75 7.75 8.75 4.00 (-0.25) 23 6.50 (-0.25) 6.25 (-0.25) 7.50 (-0.25) 7.25 (-0.25) 8.50 (-0.25) 8.25 (-0.25) 4.00 4.00 23 23 July 15, 2013 6.25 7.25 10.25 (+2.00) 4.00 23 0ct 29,2013 6.75 7.75 8.75 4.00 23 January 29, 2013 February 09, 2013 March 19, 2013 May 03, 2013 *: Per cent of net demand and time liabilities. @: With effect from Feb 13, 2012 Bank Rate was aligned to MSF rate. Note: Figures in parentheses indicate changes in percentage points.
  15. 15. Why & Why Not in…  Equities  Real Estates  Mutual Funds  Government Bonds
  16. 16.  It can have significant impact on every asset class  Awareness of monetary policy, helps to position the portfolios to benefit from policy changes and boost returns
  17. 17. Rbi.org.in Wikipedia Investopedia Economic times Youtube Financial express Investorwords.com

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