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Covering Your Local Economy:
It's Everybody's Business
In 2013 …
Marilyn Geewax
NPR Senior Business Editor
mgeewax@npr.org
@geewaxnpr
Geewax
Marilyn
Akron	
  Beacon	
  Journal	
  
The	
  Atlanta	
  Journal-­‐
Cons4tu4on	
  
Cox	
  Washington	
  Bureau	
  
NPR	
  
Geewax
Marilyn
•  Currently senior business editor for NPR’s
National Desk
•  She was the national economics
correspondent for Cox Newspapers’
Washington Bureau.
•  Prior to 1999, worked for the Cox flagship
paper, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution.
•  Geewax earned a master’s degree at
Georgetown University, where she focused
on international economic affairs.
•  From 2001 to 2006, Geewax taught a
business journalism class as an adjunct
professor at George Washington University.
What We Will Explore Today
•  The Great Recession – What Happened?
•  How Are We Doing Now?
•  What Is Driving the Recovery?
•  What's Likely to Happen Next?
•  Can You Tell If Your Area Is Doing Better
Or Worse Than the Rest of the USA?
Six Years of Troubles
Try to Remember…
•  Think Back to 2007.
•  Did You Realize Then That The U.S.
Economy Was Tanking?
You Rarely Know What’s
Happening in Such a Big Economy
The slowdown in the housing sector
“is a concern, but at this point we
don't see it as being a broad
financial concern or a major factor
in assessing the course of the
economy.”
-- Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke
Speaking to the House in Feb. 2007.
2008 Was A Brutal Year For
The Gross Domestic Product
Bureau of Economic Analysis data
Unemployment Shot Up,
Then Drifted Down
http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000
Searching for Work For Months
– The Key Problem
So Where Are We Now?
Based On What You're Seeing,
What's Likely To Happen Next?
•  A recession
•  A boom
•  Slow growth
•  I don’t know.
.
What Happen In
The First Half of 2013?
Q. Another Slump? Or A Boom?
A. Most economists say the economy has
been growing, but at a sluggish pace.
http://data.bls.gov/timeseri
Jobless Rate – The Key Number
•  7.4 percent today, which is lousy
•  But in October 2009, it was 10 percent
Nearly 12 Million Still
Searching For Jobs
Nearly 5 million are Long-Term Unemployed
But We Have Good News, Too
Jobs Are Returning In Many Sectors
And the Economy Has Been Growing For
Four Years
3.8 Million Job Openings –
Mostly For Skilled Workers
GDP Is At Least Steady
New-Home Sales Up Sharply
from the Same Time Last Year
Some Economists Think 2014
Could Bring Much Better Growth
Three reasons:
1.  Energy Expansion
2.  Agriculture Boom
3.  Construction Resumption
Booming Oil Industry Struggling
to Fill Job Openings
Farmers Have Been Adding Land
Abby Fentress Swanson/Harvest Public Media
New-Home Sales Create Jobs for
Landscapers, Furniture Stores, Etc.
How Can You Tell If Your Area
Is Doing Better?
•  Jobs, Jobs, Jobs (BLS.gov)
•  Home Prices (S&P/Case-Shiller Index)
•  Home Foreclosures (RealtyTrac)
•  Local Bankers (Is Lending Improving?)
•  Local Car Dealers (What Are People
Buying? Trucks for Work??)
America Will Recover When
Jobs Come Back

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Covering Your Local Economy - Part I by Marilyn Geewax

  • 1. Covering Your Local Economy: It's Everybody's Business In 2013 … Marilyn Geewax NPR Senior Business Editor mgeewax@npr.org @geewaxnpr
  • 2. Geewax Marilyn Akron  Beacon  Journal   The  Atlanta  Journal-­‐ Cons4tu4on   Cox  Washington  Bureau   NPR  
  • 3. Geewax Marilyn •  Currently senior business editor for NPR’s National Desk •  She was the national economics correspondent for Cox Newspapers’ Washington Bureau. •  Prior to 1999, worked for the Cox flagship paper, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. •  Geewax earned a master’s degree at Georgetown University, where she focused on international economic affairs. •  From 2001 to 2006, Geewax taught a business journalism class as an adjunct professor at George Washington University.
  • 4. What We Will Explore Today •  The Great Recession – What Happened? •  How Are We Doing Now? •  What Is Driving the Recovery? •  What's Likely to Happen Next? •  Can You Tell If Your Area Is Doing Better Or Worse Than the Rest of the USA?
  • 5. Six Years of Troubles
  • 6. Try to Remember… •  Think Back to 2007. •  Did You Realize Then That The U.S. Economy Was Tanking?
  • 7. You Rarely Know What’s Happening in Such a Big Economy The slowdown in the housing sector “is a concern, but at this point we don't see it as being a broad financial concern or a major factor in assessing the course of the economy.” -- Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke Speaking to the House in Feb. 2007.
  • 8. 2008 Was A Brutal Year For The Gross Domestic Product Bureau of Economic Analysis data
  • 9. Unemployment Shot Up, Then Drifted Down http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000
  • 10. Searching for Work For Months – The Key Problem
  • 11. So Where Are We Now? Based On What You're Seeing, What's Likely To Happen Next? •  A recession •  A boom •  Slow growth •  I don’t know. .
  • 12. What Happen In The First Half of 2013? Q. Another Slump? Or A Boom? A. Most economists say the economy has been growing, but at a sluggish pace.
  • 13. http://data.bls.gov/timeseri Jobless Rate – The Key Number •  7.4 percent today, which is lousy •  But in October 2009, it was 10 percent
  • 14. Nearly 12 Million Still Searching For Jobs Nearly 5 million are Long-Term Unemployed
  • 15. But We Have Good News, Too Jobs Are Returning In Many Sectors And the Economy Has Been Growing For Four Years
  • 16. 3.8 Million Job Openings – Mostly For Skilled Workers
  • 17. GDP Is At Least Steady
  • 18. New-Home Sales Up Sharply from the Same Time Last Year
  • 19. Some Economists Think 2014 Could Bring Much Better Growth Three reasons: 1.  Energy Expansion 2.  Agriculture Boom 3.  Construction Resumption
  • 20. Booming Oil Industry Struggling to Fill Job Openings
  • 21. Farmers Have Been Adding Land Abby Fentress Swanson/Harvest Public Media
  • 22. New-Home Sales Create Jobs for Landscapers, Furniture Stores, Etc.
  • 23. How Can You Tell If Your Area Is Doing Better? •  Jobs, Jobs, Jobs (BLS.gov) •  Home Prices (S&P/Case-Shiller Index) •  Home Foreclosures (RealtyTrac) •  Local Bankers (Is Lending Improving?) •  Local Car Dealers (What Are People Buying? Trucks for Work??)
  • 24. America Will Recover When Jobs Come Back