This document discusses future jobs and scenarios for education. It suggests that the future of work is uncertain and that assumptions about education needing to focus only on individual learners or prepare students for competition may not hold true. While technological progress will influence the future, its effects are hard to predict accurately. The nature of work is changing with the blurring of sector boundaries. New exciting careers and opportunities will emerge in fields like sustainable farming and video games, relying on STEM skills, but many jobs will still be low-paid. The future remains unclear, and multiple perspectives should be considered when envisioning future jobs and education.

1. Future Jobs Suggestions from the Beyond Current Horizons programme

6. The challenges we are facing Should education continue to be organised around the unit of the individual learner? Should ‘the school’ retain its dominant position in assumptions about educational futures? Should preparation for competition within a knowledge economy remain a primary goal for education?

7. There are many possible futures

10. Futures can be... Probable Possible Preferable

11. Foreseeable consequences... What’s likely to happen But be wary of predictions...

12. Machines were supposed to take over...

13. Vs. The promise of a teleworking paradise

14. And the reality...

15. Technological progress can inform predictions But we need to avoid technological determinism Technologies reflect society but also shape and modify it

16. e.g., automation

17. Technology leads to blurring of sectoral boundaries

19. Pensions and insurance

21. What we wish vs what might happen The skills we value (according to OECD and PISA)

23. The Lisbon strategy The EU should“… become the most competitive and dynamic knowledge-based economy in the world, capable of sustainable economic growth with more and better jobs and greater social cohesion...”

24. Is all this slightly utopian?

25. Some data... Between now and 2020 occupational change will not produce any significant reduction of low paid jobs Almost a quarter of the entire workforce and about a third of all female workers will remain low paid Source: IPPR –Institute for Public Policy Research

27. It’s not all doom and gloom The Knowledge economy as a broader cultural and economic movement Knowledge is going to be even more important

28. “advanced” organic farming ?

29. Xtreme power www.xtremepowerinc.com

30. The UK video game industry

31. New exciting opportunities can and will arise and STEM knowledge can provide young people with the most relevant resources to see them

32. Thanks! And remember www.futurelab.org.uk www.beyondcurrenthorizons.org.uk www.visionmapper.org.uk

33. And some references... Cooke, G. and Lawton, K., Institute for Public Policy Research, Working out of poverty: A study of the low-paid and the ‘working poor’, London, 2008. Department for Work and Pensions, In-work poverty: A systematic review, London, 2008. Joseph Rowntree Foundation, Addressing in-work poverty, York, 2008. Ewart Keep (2009), Labour market structures and trends, the future of work and the implications for initial E&T. (www.beyondcurrenthorizons.org)