Towards a post carbon society ? The new citizen uses for the Living City Overview & Uses Cases in France

Carlos Moreno
Carlos MorenoSpécialiste des systèmes complexes, du monde numérique, de la ville de demain, de l'innovation
1
TOWARDS A POST CARBON SOCIETY ?
THE NEW CITIZEN USES FOR THE LIVING CITY
OVERVIEW & USES CASES IN FRANCE
2
HUMAN POPULATION: HOLOCENE ACTIVITY
1930
1960
2000
2013
1800
1987
1974
2
3
ZOOM 1950 - 2050
3
A WORLD THAT CHANGES…
4
URBANIZATION: HIGH DENSITY
5
6
A POST CARBON SOCIETY?
Other
Hydro-elec
Nuclear
biomass
Gas
Coal
Oil
A world based on fossil energy
We always consume more of each resource
7
CHANGE OUR LIVES? ENERGY & CO2
7
8
CLIMATE PROTECTION!
8
9
GLOBAL TEMPERATURE CHANGE
Food
Water
Ecosystems
Extreme
weather events
Risk of abrupt
and major
irreversible
changes
O°C 1°C 2°C 3°C 4°C 5°C
Falling crop yields in many areas, particularly developing regions
Possible rising yields in some high
latitude regions
Falling yields in many
developed regions
Small mountain glaciers
disappear – water supplies
threatened in several areas
Significant decreases in water
availability in many areas, including
Mediterranean and Southern Africa
Sea level rise threatens
major cities
Extenseive damage to
coral reefs
Rising number os species face extinction
Rising intensity of storms, forest fires, droughts, flooding and heat waves
Onset of irreversible melting of the
Greenland ice sheet
Increasing risk of dangerous feedbacks ans abrupt, large-scale shifts in
the climate system
Source IPCC
9
10
SECURITY RISKS & CLIMATE CHANGE
10
11
POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES
• Economics, society and new challenges of climate change,
Jacqueline Mc Glade – Director European Environment Agency
11
12
WORLD & CITY PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION
12
13
ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN EU & EU CITIES
13
14
EVOLUTION OF URBAN POPULATION IN FRANCE
YEARS / CRITERIA 1950 2012
URBAN POPULATION (MILLIONS) 24 M 48 M
URBAN POPULATION (%) 55% 78%
URBAN TERRITORY AREA (KM2
) 40 000 120 000
OIL CONSUMPTION
(PRIMARY ENERGY (MTOE))
13 MTOE 88 MTOE
CO2 EMISSIONS
(WITH BIOMASS LULUCF) (MILLIONS OF TONNES)
150-200 MtCO2 434 MtCO2
DISTANCE TRAVELLED A DAY
(LOCAL MOBILITY)
less than
6 km
25,5 km
TRAVELLERS MOBILITY
(BILLIONS OF PASSENGER/KILOMETRES) (PKM)
~ 110 980
14
Outskirts
Suburbs
Cities
VULNERABILITY OF CITY CENTERS
Example of the heat
wave of 2003 in Paris
15
16
POLLUTION CAN BE SEEN
March 2013 March 2014
16
17
TOWARDS A SUSTAINABLE CITY
Today’s city Sustainable city
Source : Figure courtesy of F. Butera
17
18
FROM A SUSTAINABLE CITY TO A POST CARBON CITY?
Uses Services
TechnologyCitizens
Post carbon
City
Factor 4
Adaptation to
climate
change
Dependency
on
fossil
energy
Sustainable
City
18
19
AN URBAN TRANSITION IS POSSIBLE
Transition to begin
now
Efficient economic
model in energy and
natural resources
Economic model based on
the increasing use of energy
and natural resources
Plan of investments in transition projects
Other proposals :
• Governance
• Taxation
• Market regulation
• Standards
• Behaviour change
19
20
PARIS 2013 CLIMATE PLAN
20
21
PARIS 2013 CLIMATE PLAN
The Halle Pajol the biggest French
urban solar plant
Jean Bouin stadium with solar roof
21
22
MOBILITY
22
23
HOT & COLD NETWORKS – GEOTHERMAL POWER
Geothermal power plant in the
North of Paris
23
24
PARIS CLIMATE PLAN ‘’BLEU CLIMAT’’
24
25
BETA PROGRAMME ®
• A transition programme in the Buildings, Employment,
Transportation and Agrifood sectors designed to cut carbon
emissions by a « factor 4 » by 2050
25
26
INCLUSIVE APPROACH:
MOBILISATION OF ALL THE TERRITORY ACTORS
That programme is structured on three time scales:
 0-1 year: possible actions already agreed or tested on pilot
sites
• 1-5 years: known actions requiring a first phase of planning
 5-10 years: actions with a wider scope that involve changes of
use
26
THE MAIN THING IS THAT THE CITY
HACKES TECHNOLOGY… S. SASSEN
ECOLOGICAL
SOCIAL
CULTURAL
ECONOMIC
RESILIENCE
OPENED PLATFORMS
FOR PLATFORMS CITIES
27
28
www.moreno-web.net
@CarlosMorenoFr
carlos.moreno@cofelyineo-gdfsuez.com
THANK YOU
28
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Towards a post carbon society ? The new citizen uses for the Living City Overview & Uses Cases in France

  • 1. 1 TOWARDS A POST CARBON SOCIETY ? THE NEW CITIZEN USES FOR THE LIVING CITY OVERVIEW & USES CASES IN FRANCE
  • 2. 2 HUMAN POPULATION: HOLOCENE ACTIVITY 1930 1960 2000 2013 1800 1987 1974 2
  • 3. 3 ZOOM 1950 - 2050 3
  • 4. A WORLD THAT CHANGES… 4
  • 6. 6 A POST CARBON SOCIETY? Other Hydro-elec Nuclear biomass Gas Coal Oil A world based on fossil energy We always consume more of each resource
  • 7. 7 CHANGE OUR LIVES? ENERGY & CO2 7
  • 9. 9 GLOBAL TEMPERATURE CHANGE Food Water Ecosystems Extreme weather events Risk of abrupt and major irreversible changes O°C 1°C 2°C 3°C 4°C 5°C Falling crop yields in many areas, particularly developing regions Possible rising yields in some high latitude regions Falling yields in many developed regions Small mountain glaciers disappear – water supplies threatened in several areas Significant decreases in water availability in many areas, including Mediterranean and Southern Africa Sea level rise threatens major cities Extenseive damage to coral reefs Rising number os species face extinction Rising intensity of storms, forest fires, droughts, flooding and heat waves Onset of irreversible melting of the Greenland ice sheet Increasing risk of dangerous feedbacks ans abrupt, large-scale shifts in the climate system Source IPCC 9
  • 10. 10 SECURITY RISKS & CLIMATE CHANGE 10
  • 11. 11 POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES • Economics, society and new challenges of climate change, Jacqueline Mc Glade – Director European Environment Agency 11
  • 12. 12 WORLD & CITY PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION 12
  • 13. 13 ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN EU & EU CITIES 13
  • 14. 14 EVOLUTION OF URBAN POPULATION IN FRANCE YEARS / CRITERIA 1950 2012 URBAN POPULATION (MILLIONS) 24 M 48 M URBAN POPULATION (%) 55% 78% URBAN TERRITORY AREA (KM2 ) 40 000 120 000 OIL CONSUMPTION (PRIMARY ENERGY (MTOE)) 13 MTOE 88 MTOE CO2 EMISSIONS (WITH BIOMASS LULUCF) (MILLIONS OF TONNES) 150-200 MtCO2 434 MtCO2 DISTANCE TRAVELLED A DAY (LOCAL MOBILITY) less than 6 km 25,5 km TRAVELLERS MOBILITY (BILLIONS OF PASSENGER/KILOMETRES) (PKM) ~ 110 980 14 Outskirts Suburbs Cities
  • 15. VULNERABILITY OF CITY CENTERS Example of the heat wave of 2003 in Paris 15
  • 16. 16 POLLUTION CAN BE SEEN March 2013 March 2014 16
  • 17. 17 TOWARDS A SUSTAINABLE CITY Today’s city Sustainable city Source : Figure courtesy of F. Butera 17
  • 18. 18 FROM A SUSTAINABLE CITY TO A POST CARBON CITY? Uses Services TechnologyCitizens Post carbon City Factor 4 Adaptation to climate change Dependency on fossil energy Sustainable City 18
  • 19. 19 AN URBAN TRANSITION IS POSSIBLE Transition to begin now Efficient economic model in energy and natural resources Economic model based on the increasing use of energy and natural resources Plan of investments in transition projects Other proposals : • Governance • Taxation • Market regulation • Standards • Behaviour change 19
  • 21. 21 PARIS 2013 CLIMATE PLAN The Halle Pajol the biggest French urban solar plant Jean Bouin stadium with solar roof 21
  • 23. 23 HOT & COLD NETWORKS – GEOTHERMAL POWER Geothermal power plant in the North of Paris 23
  • 24. 24 PARIS CLIMATE PLAN ‘’BLEU CLIMAT’’ 24
  • 25. 25 BETA PROGRAMME ® • A transition programme in the Buildings, Employment, Transportation and Agrifood sectors designed to cut carbon emissions by a « factor 4 » by 2050 25
  • 26. 26 INCLUSIVE APPROACH: MOBILISATION OF ALL THE TERRITORY ACTORS That programme is structured on three time scales:  0-1 year: possible actions already agreed or tested on pilot sites • 1-5 years: known actions requiring a first phase of planning  5-10 years: actions with a wider scope that involve changes of use 26
  • 27. THE MAIN THING IS THAT THE CITY HACKES TECHNOLOGY… S. SASSEN ECOLOGICAL SOCIAL CULTURAL ECONOMIC RESILIENCE OPENED PLATFORMS FOR PLATFORMS CITIES 27