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Redesigning Air Traffic Control
Towers For the Future
MANUEL HERRERA
Jacobsen|Daniels
CHRIS GROH
Kutchins & Groh
2REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
OUTLINE
I
Presentation
Goal
II
Industry
Parallels
III
Current ATC
System & Major
Issues
IV
Industry
Proposed
Solutions
V
Presentation
Proposed
Solutions
VI
Conclusion
VII
Special Thanks
3REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
PRESENTATION GOAL
With the rising costs associated with construction,
building code compliance, technology updates, labor
union agreements, etc., maintaining the current Air
Traffic Control (ATC) system is simply impractical.
As the industry continues to grow and incorporate
more technology, the evolution of ATC is inevitable.
Today, both the public and private sectors are working
to push ATC into the future, making it more efficient
and safer.
However, today’s proposed solutions and concepts
are still falling short. Rather than working towards a
newly reinvented ATC system using technology as a
fundamental building block, today’s concepts simply
place technology on top of the existing system. This
“solution” is not only increasing the complexity of
ATC, but it’s also increasing its overall cost.
The Air Traffic Control (ATC) System is
oneofthefundamentalcornerstones
of aviation.
I
4REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
PRESENTATION GOAL
This presentation will show the potential of going
beyond the currently proposed industry solutions
and how a completely unmanned air traffic control
(UATC) system could be implemented. We’ll address
the financial and safety benefits, as well as potential
roadblocks, and why this idea isn’t out of the realm of
possibility.
We’ll also evaluate the current system, the challenges
it’s facing, and the solutions proposed by the industry.
The current trajectory of today’s
future concepts will still leave the
ATC system vulnerable to the most
common weak point in almost every
industry: human error.
I
5REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
INDUSTRY PARALLELS From Evolutionary to
Revolutionary
The term “innovation” has recently become a
buzzword in almost every industry to try to describe a
“forwardthinking”companyorproduct.Ithasbecome
synonymous with ping pong tables, beanbag chairs,
and offices with no walls.
However, innovation does not happen overnight and
it is not singular to one industry or product. Innovation
is an evolutionary process that results from taking an
already existing product or process, incorporating a
new discovery or process, and iterating the original
concept to improve overall efficiency.
A great example of this today, and parallel to the
idea of an unmanned air traffic control system, is the
inevitable path of the automobile towards autonomy,
starting with its invention through cruise control to
today.
“Three generations ago, many a tinkerer
struck it rich by taking a tool and making
an electronic version. Take a manual pump;
electrify it. Find a hand-wringer; electrify it.” 1
KEVIN KELLY
FOUNDING EXECUTIVE EDITOR
Wired Magazine
II
6REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
INDUSTRY PARALLELS: THE AUTOMATED CAR
The auto industry is an example of an industry that is currently going through significant changes and challenges in
implementing automation.2
Despite the resistance or limitations from special interest, legislation, or markets, full
automation is inevitable.
Car Invented
Semi-
Autonomous
Features on All
Vehicles
Mixed-Fleet on
Roadways
100%
Automation/
Restricted
Manual Driving
Initial Tasks
[Parallel park, cruise
control, etc.]
Initial Semi-
Autonomous
Features
[Tesla’s Autopilot, etc.]
AUTONOMOUS CAR MILESTONES Today
II
7REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
CURRENT ATC SYSTEM
Similar to the driving forces that support automation in vehicular traffic in our roads, current air traffic relies on a
complex system of procedures that passes an aircraft from one facility to the next, each with it’s own set of parameters
and challenges (e.g., intersection-to-intersection for vehicle traffic).3
Car Invented
TOWER TOWERTRACON TRACONEN ROUTE (CENTER)
III
8REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
CURRENT ATC SYSTEM On one flight from BWI to LAX, a pilot could end up
communicating with up to: 4
This cumbersome system is overburdened and will
not be sustainable to meet the industry’s future
growth. Also, as unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV)
usage increases over the years, this system will be
ineffective.
Controllers Facilities across
the country
28 11LAX
BWI
III
9REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
CURRENT SYSTEM:
MAJOR ISSUES
Today’s system faces 2 immediate and major breaking
points:
Thisissueisathreefoldandencompasses
the costs of maintaining the existing
infrastructure, updating the old
technology, and building new and/or
updating existing towers to meet State
& Federal compliances.
COSTSLABOR
According to the National Air Traffic
Controllers Association (NATCA), the
number of Air Traffic Controllers is at a 27-
year low.5
1
2
COSTS
LABOR
III
10REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
CURRENT SYSTEM:
COST ISSUES
By the Numbers:
Today’s ATC system is plagued with a deteriorating
infrastructure and facilities that are exceedingly past
their expected useful life.
A 2015 US DOT OIG report estimated the FAA spends
$142 Million Annually
just to maintain and operated inefficient towers.7
Facilities Expected Useful Life: 25 - 30 Yrs.
Average Age of Tracon Facility: Approx. 35 Yrs.
Average Age of En Route Center: Approx. 50 Yrs.
“ManyofFAA’sairtrafficcontrolfacilitieshave
exceeded their useful lives, and their physical
condition continues to deteriorate.” 6
2008 OIG REPORT
FAA’S MANAGEMENT AND MAINTENANCE OF
AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL FACILITIES
III
11REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
CURRENT SYSTEM:
COST ISSUES
Industry Impact:
RecentlySanFranciscoInternational (SFO)&McCarran
International Airport (LAS) in Las Vegas completed
construction on new ATC towers.
Those towers cost:
These figures do not include costs to demolish existing
towers.
Also, once these towers were nearing completion -
it was discovered there was no room made for the
historic “paper strip” system. This system involved
controllers to literally pass along paper strips to track
aircraft.8
Million Million
$77 $100
SFO LAS
SFO LAS
III
12REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
CURRENT SYSTEM:
LABOR ISSUES
By The Numbers:9
Flights Handled Daily
Annual Costs Per ATC Trainee
Operations Handled in 2015
Controllers Eligible for
Retirement
Developmental
Controllers
70,000
$93,000
3,355 1,959
134 Million11,639 11,753
11,522
11,192
10,833
10,667
10,000
10,200
10,400
10,600
10,800
11,000
11,200
11,400
11,600
11,800
12,000
SEP 2011 SEP 2012 SEP 2013 SEP 2014 SEP 2015 MAR 2016
ATC Staffing
III
13REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
CURRENT SYSTEM:
LABOR ISSUES
Industry Impact:
As of Aug. 15, 2016, the FAA says 29,000 applicants
have applied for the 1,400 positions. However, even
if all those air traffic controllers are hired tomorrow,
experts estimate it will take an additional 1,500
controllers to maintain adequate staffing and keep up
with retirements.11
Staffing at Selected TRACON Facilities:
Staffing at Selected Airport Towers:
(875,136 Ops.) (104,623 Ops.) (412,915 Ops.)
“Wearerequiredtoworkallsortsofhours:day
or night, holidays, weekends, during our kids’
concerts, during family gatherings, etc. If we
aren’t feeling well, we can’t just take an over-
the-counter antihistamine without consulting
the flight surgeon and potentially losing our
medical. You can’t just put some work aside
to do tomorrow — if something needs to be
done, it needs to be done, and usually right
now.” 10
- SCOTT SHELERUD
26 YEARS EXPERIENCE
FAA Tower Controller
New York
60.1%
ORD
76.5%
MSY
75%
MIA
67.5%
Dallas
61.3%
Atlanta
69.1%
Denver
73%
III
14REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
INDUSTRY PROPOSED
SOLUTION
Theproblemsfacingtheindustryhavebeenanticipated
by Federal Government and the supported trade
groups. While most OIG reports recommend further
studies, the NATCA has developed definite solutions.
The recommendations from their website include:5
Streamline the hiring process by ensuring a path
for experienced controllers to be hired quickly and
allow military veterans and graduates of schools in
the FAA’s Collegiate Training Initiative (CTI) to be
hired more expeditiously.
Maximize the
capacity of the
FAA Academy in
Oklahoma City.
The aggressive FAA recruitment of experienced
former FAA controllers, military and civilian DOD
controllers and Federal Contract Tower controllers.
Stable, predictable funding for the FAA, including
ensuring that the FAA is not subject to future
sequester cuts.
AnFAAcontrollervacancy
announcement for
experienced controllers
that is open and
continuously maintained
365 days per year.
1
2
4
5
3
IV
15REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
INDUSTRY PROPOSED
SOLUTION
While the NATCA recommendations would solve
some of the issues facing the nation’s ATC, each
recommendation would require the FAA to receive
additional federal funding to increase its overall
budget.
Unfortunately, the reality of these recommendations
rely on the attitude of Congress during any given year.
This is not a feasible or sustainable strategy.
Political Reality:
IV
16REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
PRESENTATION PROPOSED
SOLUTION An unmanned air traffic control (UATC) system is a
system in which aircrafts communicate with other
aircrafts, as well as other various sensors, to receive
pertinent information throughout the various stages
of flight. The information and data collected by the
various aircraft and related sensors would be fed into
computers (whether onboard an aircraft or located at
an airport), interpreted through Artificial Intelligence
(AI), and sent as related instructions to pilots. The data
gathered from these sensors would include:
A system designed to gather data directly from the
source and report to pilots with minimal human
intervention will provide a more reliable, safer, and
less costly future.
•	 Aircraft Location
•	 Aircraft Speed
•	 Weather Conditions
•	 Location of Surrounding Aircraft
•	 Flying Conditions at Various Altitudes
•	 Ground Traffic at Departing/ Arriving Airports
Unmanned ATC:
V
17REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
UNMANNED AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL
An unmanned air traffic control system relies on various types of communication depending upon the situation.
While a future with a UATC system seems far-fetched, pieces of this puzzle are already being put in place throughout
various sections of the current system. With the right planning and implementation, this is a very feasible future.
GROUND CONTROL EN ROUTE CONTROL LOCAL CONTROL
V
18REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
PUZZLE PIECES NextGen:
The Next Generation Air Transportation System
(NextGen) is the FAA’s new National Airspace System
initiative that was started in 2003 and is expected to
be fully implemented by 2025.
The new system involves every aspect of US Aviation
and consists of 4 elements: 12
Automaticdependentsurveillance–broadcast:ADS-Bwill
use GPS satellite signals to provide air traffic controllers
and pilots with much more accurate information that
will help to keep aircraft safely separated in the sky and
on runways.
Next Generation Data Communications (Data Comm):
Data Comm will enable ATC to issue route information
withonetransmissiontotheaircraft’sflightmanagement
system.
Next Generation Network Enabled Weather (NNEW):
NNEW will provide a common weather picture across
the national airspace system, and enable better air
transportation decision making.
National Airspace System Voice Switch (NVS): NVS will
replace current voice systems with a single air/ground
and ground/ground voice communications system.
1
2
3
4
V
19REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
PUZZLE PIECES Remote Towers:
In 2013, Saab, the Swedish aerospace and defence
company, installed their first remote air traffic control
tower at Örnsköldsvik Airport in Sweden.
According to Saab, “the Saab Remote Tower system is
an integrated package of subsystems which facilitates
the provision of a range of conventional ATS. High
definition images and all relevant airport systems
are transferred via a data network to an integrated
controller working position at the Remote Tower
Centre (RTC) that best suits the customer’s business
model.“
This system is designed to replace manned towers
and allow air traffic controllers to remotely monitor
an airfield. It can also allow for controllers to monitor
multiple low-traffic airports.
Remote towers offer a lower-cost solution for airports
that would not otherwise be able to afford an ATC or
update/upgrade current ATC services.13
V
20REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
PUZZLE PIECES Future Aircraft:
With the implementation of NextGen and industry
manufacturers incorporating more “smart” and
trackable technology into the aircraft of the future,
the cockpit would easily be able to record, receive,
send, and interpret data while in flight.
In addition to the multitude of sensors being placed
on-board, one of the biggest contributors to the future
of UATC will be the ability of controllers to send flight
route information via on-screen text.
The immediate benefit of receiving flight information
anddirectionsviatextisthiswillfreeupvoicechannels
for emergency response situations. It will also reduce
confusion or misinterpreted directions caused by
radio static or regional accents.
These advances in the industry are “on their own”
going to change the way we fly. However, as these
advances are looked at as puzzle pieces to the future,
the connection between them and how they can lead
to a UATC system becomes more apparent.
V
21REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
PUTTING THE PIECES TOGETHER - NEXTGEN
The adoption of NextGen will set all the initial pieces and sensors in place to move to a full UATC system. The data
collected from systems like ADS-B and NNEW will be integral to providing a UATC system with a real-time picture of
any aircraft’s current situation. It will also eliminate antiquated communications systems that were built on top of
each other and centralize them into one modern system.
Thesenewtechnologiesandupdatedprocesseswillallowforamorecomfortableintroductionandseamlessintegration
of a UATC system with pilots and the general public.
At it’s basic core, a UATC system - working within the NextGen system - will remove the need for a human to collect,
interpret, and communicate data back to pilots. This in turn will provide a clearer and safer picture of a pilot’s’
surroundings and drastically cut down on the expense of ATC while improving its efficiency.
V
22REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
PUTTING THE PIECES TOGETHER - FUTURE AIRCRAFT
Flight route information and directions via text messages, as mentioned earlier, will have great immediate benefits.
However,intermsofaUATCsystem,oneofthegreatestbenefitsisthatitwillconditionpilotstoreceivethisinformation
without hearing it from a person. This will make the adoption of a UATC system seamless for pilots, since the human
element will have already been removed.
It will also allow for traffic control directions to be translated into any language, which will reduce the language
barrier of becoming a pilot and open the career to more of the world’s population.
ENGLISH ARABIC FRENCH SPANISH
V
23REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
PUTTING THE PIECES TOGETHER - REMOTE TOWERS
RemoteTowerswillintroduceandconditionpilotstogetcomfortablewiththeideaoftakingdirectionsfromcontrollers
who are not physically present on the airfield.
Also, remote towers, combined with sending instructions via text messages, will create data sets that can be processed
through artificial intelligence (AI) so the system can learn pilot and controller tendencies, as well their responses to
certain situations. By collecting data from different airports across the country through a cloud network, the AI can
continuously learn and compare results from an almost infinite amount of scenarios. This will allow the system to
become smarter and better equipped to handle situations without the hazard of being overworked, sick, or distracted.
Through the collection of data, learning of human tendency/reactions, and analyzing different scenarios, the UATC
system can evolve overtime. It will move from an observing role, to making recommendations, to communicating
directions to pilots with controller oversight, and finally, full autonomy. The system would also be able to quickly
and proactively self-adapt to changes in air traffic demand without costly investment in procedural, operational, or
technology changes.
V
24REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
PATH TO AUTOMATION: UATCS
Similar to the autonomous car, this is not a process that happens overnight and certain milestones must be reached
before moving on to the next. While some of these milestones will happen simultaneously, some will require a
preceding milestone to help condition pilots and get them comfortable with a new method of communicating with
ATC.
100% Unmanned
Air Traffic Control
Commitment &
Development
of the NextGen
System
Beginning of Air
Traffic Control
Connecting the
AI to Pilots in the
Cockpit and Allow
Directions to be
Delivered with the
Monitoring of a
Controller
Incorporating
UATC AI into
Remote Towers
& Airfield
Towers to Make
Recommendations
to ControllersWider Adoption of
Remote Towers &
Allowing a UATC
AI to Observe and
Analyze Data
Implementation
of NextGen &
Experimenting
with Remote
Towers
Today
UATC MILESTONES
V
25REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
THE FUTURE: UATC Road Blocks:
With any change comes resistance and this resistance
is even stronger when entire industries evolve. As with
any new and innovative idea, a plethora of issues can
be called out from skeptics across industry. While in
its infancy, the idea of an unmanned air traffic control
system can bring up several issues - two of which
can be addressed up front. Ironically, the two issues
first brought up with an Unmanned Air Traffic Control
system are in fact solutions to the two major issues
the current system faces.
Adapting Careers: The issue that is most
common with innovation is the potential, and
probability of job loss.
Investment: As with any innovation, increased
up-frontcostsisinevitable.However,astrategic
cost up-front could result in a significant
amount of saving in the long run.
1
2
V
26REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
THE FUTURE: UATC Adapting Careers:
The most apparent issue with an unmanned air traffic
control system is the concern for loss of jobs for Air
Traffic Controllers. However, as previously proven,
today’s current job market is not able to meet the
demand for ATC’s needs and the pool of prospects is
getting smaller.
Also, the fear of job loss is not a substantial reason
to hold off society’s evolution, particularly because as
society changes so do the needs of the industry along
with the job roles needed to support it. The common
example is the impact the automobile industry had on
farriersandblacksmiths.Howeverasthetransportation
industry shifted, the jobs shifted from horseshoe
fabrication to mechanics, tire manufactures, etc. A
more relevant industry example is to simply track the
evolution of the navigator in the cockpit as aircraft got
smarter.
V
27REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
THE FUTURE: UATC Investment:
The initial cost of development of an Unmanned
Air Traffic Control system will undoubtedly be a big
up-front expense. However through public-private
partnerships (similar to those that solved a lot of the
issues on the federal level that the healthcare.gov site
experienced), these costs could be reduced.
Also, the cost of maintenance on any automated
system over time is significantly more affordable than
the cost of man hours - even more so when calculating
in overtime, costs of training, and scheduling.
$ V
28REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
THE FUTURE: UATC Benefits:
In addition to being a long-term sustainable solution
to today’s ATC’s biggest pain points, an Unmanned Air
Traffic Control system would drastically bring down
the cost of scaling air traffic control to other airports.
Thiscuttocostswouldallowsmallerairportsthatserve
general aviation operations to offer ATC services. As a
whole, this will make the industry safer as it continues
to grow.
Another big contribution of an UATC system is the
ability to incorporate and manage Unmanned Aerial
Vehicle activity. Today’s ATC has no way of being
able to track UAV activity within regulated airspace
(whether it be for commercial or personal). By having
manufactures share already existing GPS data of active
UAVs, a UATC system can safely notify both pilot and
operator of each other and direct them safely.
Because of the expected increase in UAV activity of the
next few years, this is something no current controller
will be able to safely manage.
V
29REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
CONCLUSION
The concept of an Unmanned Air Traffic Control System is a revolutionary long-term idea. However, as technology
evolves and people become more comfortable with computers handling more tasks, the evolution to this type of
system will be more embraced.
Unfortunately, a timeline for this system is not easy to predict because the biggest roadblock to this system will be
politics and special interest groups (labor unions, manufacturing and maintenance companies, etc.). This presentation
did not address or make any assumptions regarding particular parties involved, because there are too many factors
to assume. Also, the support for using technology differs when revenues are affected - whether that is increasing
revenue by decreasing labor costs or decreasing revenue because of a decline in membership. These realities are a
part of implementing an unmanned system and will inevitably be debated in Washington D.C. and across the country.
It is important to point out, however, that the FAA may currently be planning for this type of system and, because
of political reasons, may not be able to announce a true long-term approach. The sensors and data that is called for
through NextGen initiatives are directly in line with a hypothetically development strategy if the FAA was planning
for such a system. Regardless, an evolution to a semi-autonomous system as a precursor to an autonomous system
is inevitable and necessary to continue to have ATC serve as one of the fundamental cornerstones of future aviation.
VI
30REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
SPECIAL THANKS...
CYLE R. CANTRELL, C.M. & LEED GA
Manager of Aviation Services
Michael Baker International
Certifications:
- Certified Member, AAAE
- Green Associate, LEED
ROBERT F. TYKOSKI
Airfield/Airspace Planner
Seattle-Tacoma International Airport
Certifications:
- Certified Flight Instructor - Instrument Airplane, FAA
- Advanced Ground Instructor, FAA
- Commercial Pilot Certificate, FAA
- FAA-IDLE Level 3 AC 150/5300-17 - 150/5300-18, FAA
We would like to extend a special thanks to the people and organizations who assisted with this presentation.
VII
31REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE
APPENDIX: SOURCES
1: The Inevitable: Understanding The 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future - Kevin Kelly, 2016
2: Recode: The complete timeline to self-driving cars
http://www.recode.net/2016/5/16/11635628/self-driving-autonomous-cars-timeline
3: National Air Traffic Controller Association: Where We Work
www.natca.org/index.php/acronyms-breakdown/what-is-an-air-traffic-controller
4: Federal Aviation Administration: Flight Across America
https://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/flight_across_america/
5: National Air Traffic Controller Association: June 15, 2016: Controller Staffing at a 27-Year Low; Rinaldi Tells House Aviation Subcommittee the Situation is a “Crisis”
http://www.natca.org/index.php/media-center/news-archive/1316-june-15-2016-controller-staffing-at-a-27-year-low-rinaldi-tells-house-aviation-subcommittee-the-
situation-is-a-crisis
6: Office of Inspector General: FAA’S Management and Maintenance of Air Traffic Control Facilities
https://www.oig.dot.gov/sites/default/files/REVIEW_OF_FAA_FACILITIES.pdf
7: Office of Inspector General: Efficiency of FAA’s Air Traffic Control Towers Ranges Widely
https://www.oig.dot.gov/library-item/32652
8: The Seattle Times: Union: No room for old technology in new airport towers
http://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/union-no-room-for-old-technology-in-new-airport-towers/
9: National Air Traffic Controller Association: Aviation Facts
http://www.natca.org/index.php/acronyms-breakdown/facts-sheet
10: Mashable: What’s it like to be an air traffic controller?
http://mashable.com/2015/05/21/air-traffic-controller-career-profile/#8dpQV_7j_SqZ
11: NBC Bay Area: Crisis in Air Traffic Control Towers
http://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/local/Crisis-in-Control-Towers-390763982.html
12: Federal Administration Aviation: NextGen Programs
https://www.faa.gov/nextgen/programs/
13: SAAB: Remote Tower - It’s a New Era in Air Traffic Control
http://saab.com/fi/security/air-traffic-management/air-traffic-management/remote-tower/

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2016 ACC Competition

  • 1. Redesigning Air Traffic Control Towers For the Future MANUEL HERRERA Jacobsen|Daniels CHRIS GROH Kutchins & Groh
  • 2. 2REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE OUTLINE I Presentation Goal II Industry Parallels III Current ATC System & Major Issues IV Industry Proposed Solutions V Presentation Proposed Solutions VI Conclusion VII Special Thanks
  • 3. 3REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE PRESENTATION GOAL With the rising costs associated with construction, building code compliance, technology updates, labor union agreements, etc., maintaining the current Air Traffic Control (ATC) system is simply impractical. As the industry continues to grow and incorporate more technology, the evolution of ATC is inevitable. Today, both the public and private sectors are working to push ATC into the future, making it more efficient and safer. However, today’s proposed solutions and concepts are still falling short. Rather than working towards a newly reinvented ATC system using technology as a fundamental building block, today’s concepts simply place technology on top of the existing system. This “solution” is not only increasing the complexity of ATC, but it’s also increasing its overall cost. The Air Traffic Control (ATC) System is oneofthefundamentalcornerstones of aviation. I
  • 4. 4REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE PRESENTATION GOAL This presentation will show the potential of going beyond the currently proposed industry solutions and how a completely unmanned air traffic control (UATC) system could be implemented. We’ll address the financial and safety benefits, as well as potential roadblocks, and why this idea isn’t out of the realm of possibility. We’ll also evaluate the current system, the challenges it’s facing, and the solutions proposed by the industry. The current trajectory of today’s future concepts will still leave the ATC system vulnerable to the most common weak point in almost every industry: human error. I
  • 5. 5REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE INDUSTRY PARALLELS From Evolutionary to Revolutionary The term “innovation” has recently become a buzzword in almost every industry to try to describe a “forwardthinking”companyorproduct.Ithasbecome synonymous with ping pong tables, beanbag chairs, and offices with no walls. However, innovation does not happen overnight and it is not singular to one industry or product. Innovation is an evolutionary process that results from taking an already existing product or process, incorporating a new discovery or process, and iterating the original concept to improve overall efficiency. A great example of this today, and parallel to the idea of an unmanned air traffic control system, is the inevitable path of the automobile towards autonomy, starting with its invention through cruise control to today. “Three generations ago, many a tinkerer struck it rich by taking a tool and making an electronic version. Take a manual pump; electrify it. Find a hand-wringer; electrify it.” 1 KEVIN KELLY FOUNDING EXECUTIVE EDITOR Wired Magazine II
  • 6. 6REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE INDUSTRY PARALLELS: THE AUTOMATED CAR The auto industry is an example of an industry that is currently going through significant changes and challenges in implementing automation.2 Despite the resistance or limitations from special interest, legislation, or markets, full automation is inevitable. Car Invented Semi- Autonomous Features on All Vehicles Mixed-Fleet on Roadways 100% Automation/ Restricted Manual Driving Initial Tasks [Parallel park, cruise control, etc.] Initial Semi- Autonomous Features [Tesla’s Autopilot, etc.] AUTONOMOUS CAR MILESTONES Today II
  • 7. 7REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE CURRENT ATC SYSTEM Similar to the driving forces that support automation in vehicular traffic in our roads, current air traffic relies on a complex system of procedures that passes an aircraft from one facility to the next, each with it’s own set of parameters and challenges (e.g., intersection-to-intersection for vehicle traffic).3 Car Invented TOWER TOWERTRACON TRACONEN ROUTE (CENTER) III
  • 8. 8REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE CURRENT ATC SYSTEM On one flight from BWI to LAX, a pilot could end up communicating with up to: 4 This cumbersome system is overburdened and will not be sustainable to meet the industry’s future growth. Also, as unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) usage increases over the years, this system will be ineffective. Controllers Facilities across the country 28 11LAX BWI III
  • 9. 9REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE CURRENT SYSTEM: MAJOR ISSUES Today’s system faces 2 immediate and major breaking points: Thisissueisathreefoldandencompasses the costs of maintaining the existing infrastructure, updating the old technology, and building new and/or updating existing towers to meet State & Federal compliances. COSTSLABOR According to the National Air Traffic Controllers Association (NATCA), the number of Air Traffic Controllers is at a 27- year low.5 1 2 COSTS LABOR III
  • 10. 10REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE CURRENT SYSTEM: COST ISSUES By the Numbers: Today’s ATC system is plagued with a deteriorating infrastructure and facilities that are exceedingly past their expected useful life. A 2015 US DOT OIG report estimated the FAA spends $142 Million Annually just to maintain and operated inefficient towers.7 Facilities Expected Useful Life: 25 - 30 Yrs. Average Age of Tracon Facility: Approx. 35 Yrs. Average Age of En Route Center: Approx. 50 Yrs. “ManyofFAA’sairtrafficcontrolfacilitieshave exceeded their useful lives, and their physical condition continues to deteriorate.” 6 2008 OIG REPORT FAA’S MANAGEMENT AND MAINTENANCE OF AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL FACILITIES III
  • 11. 11REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE CURRENT SYSTEM: COST ISSUES Industry Impact: RecentlySanFranciscoInternational (SFO)&McCarran International Airport (LAS) in Las Vegas completed construction on new ATC towers. Those towers cost: These figures do not include costs to demolish existing towers. Also, once these towers were nearing completion - it was discovered there was no room made for the historic “paper strip” system. This system involved controllers to literally pass along paper strips to track aircraft.8 Million Million $77 $100 SFO LAS SFO LAS III
  • 12. 12REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE CURRENT SYSTEM: LABOR ISSUES By The Numbers:9 Flights Handled Daily Annual Costs Per ATC Trainee Operations Handled in 2015 Controllers Eligible for Retirement Developmental Controllers 70,000 $93,000 3,355 1,959 134 Million11,639 11,753 11,522 11,192 10,833 10,667 10,000 10,200 10,400 10,600 10,800 11,000 11,200 11,400 11,600 11,800 12,000 SEP 2011 SEP 2012 SEP 2013 SEP 2014 SEP 2015 MAR 2016 ATC Staffing III
  • 13. 13REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE CURRENT SYSTEM: LABOR ISSUES Industry Impact: As of Aug. 15, 2016, the FAA says 29,000 applicants have applied for the 1,400 positions. However, even if all those air traffic controllers are hired tomorrow, experts estimate it will take an additional 1,500 controllers to maintain adequate staffing and keep up with retirements.11 Staffing at Selected TRACON Facilities: Staffing at Selected Airport Towers: (875,136 Ops.) (104,623 Ops.) (412,915 Ops.) “Wearerequiredtoworkallsortsofhours:day or night, holidays, weekends, during our kids’ concerts, during family gatherings, etc. If we aren’t feeling well, we can’t just take an over- the-counter antihistamine without consulting the flight surgeon and potentially losing our medical. You can’t just put some work aside to do tomorrow — if something needs to be done, it needs to be done, and usually right now.” 10 - SCOTT SHELERUD 26 YEARS EXPERIENCE FAA Tower Controller New York 60.1% ORD 76.5% MSY 75% MIA 67.5% Dallas 61.3% Atlanta 69.1% Denver 73% III
  • 14. 14REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE INDUSTRY PROPOSED SOLUTION Theproblemsfacingtheindustryhavebeenanticipated by Federal Government and the supported trade groups. While most OIG reports recommend further studies, the NATCA has developed definite solutions. The recommendations from their website include:5 Streamline the hiring process by ensuring a path for experienced controllers to be hired quickly and allow military veterans and graduates of schools in the FAA’s Collegiate Training Initiative (CTI) to be hired more expeditiously. Maximize the capacity of the FAA Academy in Oklahoma City. The aggressive FAA recruitment of experienced former FAA controllers, military and civilian DOD controllers and Federal Contract Tower controllers. Stable, predictable funding for the FAA, including ensuring that the FAA is not subject to future sequester cuts. AnFAAcontrollervacancy announcement for experienced controllers that is open and continuously maintained 365 days per year. 1 2 4 5 3 IV
  • 15. 15REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE INDUSTRY PROPOSED SOLUTION While the NATCA recommendations would solve some of the issues facing the nation’s ATC, each recommendation would require the FAA to receive additional federal funding to increase its overall budget. Unfortunately, the reality of these recommendations rely on the attitude of Congress during any given year. This is not a feasible or sustainable strategy. Political Reality: IV
  • 16. 16REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE PRESENTATION PROPOSED SOLUTION An unmanned air traffic control (UATC) system is a system in which aircrafts communicate with other aircrafts, as well as other various sensors, to receive pertinent information throughout the various stages of flight. The information and data collected by the various aircraft and related sensors would be fed into computers (whether onboard an aircraft or located at an airport), interpreted through Artificial Intelligence (AI), and sent as related instructions to pilots. The data gathered from these sensors would include: A system designed to gather data directly from the source and report to pilots with minimal human intervention will provide a more reliable, safer, and less costly future. • Aircraft Location • Aircraft Speed • Weather Conditions • Location of Surrounding Aircraft • Flying Conditions at Various Altitudes • Ground Traffic at Departing/ Arriving Airports Unmanned ATC: V
  • 17. 17REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE UNMANNED AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL An unmanned air traffic control system relies on various types of communication depending upon the situation. While a future with a UATC system seems far-fetched, pieces of this puzzle are already being put in place throughout various sections of the current system. With the right planning and implementation, this is a very feasible future. GROUND CONTROL EN ROUTE CONTROL LOCAL CONTROL V
  • 18. 18REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE PUZZLE PIECES NextGen: The Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) is the FAA’s new National Airspace System initiative that was started in 2003 and is expected to be fully implemented by 2025. The new system involves every aspect of US Aviation and consists of 4 elements: 12 Automaticdependentsurveillance–broadcast:ADS-Bwill use GPS satellite signals to provide air traffic controllers and pilots with much more accurate information that will help to keep aircraft safely separated in the sky and on runways. Next Generation Data Communications (Data Comm): Data Comm will enable ATC to issue route information withonetransmissiontotheaircraft’sflightmanagement system. Next Generation Network Enabled Weather (NNEW): NNEW will provide a common weather picture across the national airspace system, and enable better air transportation decision making. National Airspace System Voice Switch (NVS): NVS will replace current voice systems with a single air/ground and ground/ground voice communications system. 1 2 3 4 V
  • 19. 19REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE PUZZLE PIECES Remote Towers: In 2013, Saab, the Swedish aerospace and defence company, installed their first remote air traffic control tower at ÖrnskĂśldsvik Airport in Sweden. According to Saab, “the Saab Remote Tower system is an integrated package of subsystems which facilitates the provision of a range of conventional ATS. High definition images and all relevant airport systems are transferred via a data network to an integrated controller working position at the Remote Tower Centre (RTC) that best suits the customer’s business model.“ This system is designed to replace manned towers and allow air traffic controllers to remotely monitor an airfield. It can also allow for controllers to monitor multiple low-traffic airports. Remote towers offer a lower-cost solution for airports that would not otherwise be able to afford an ATC or update/upgrade current ATC services.13 V
  • 20. 20REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE PUZZLE PIECES Future Aircraft: With the implementation of NextGen and industry manufacturers incorporating more “smart” and trackable technology into the aircraft of the future, the cockpit would easily be able to record, receive, send, and interpret data while in flight. In addition to the multitude of sensors being placed on-board, one of the biggest contributors to the future of UATC will be the ability of controllers to send flight route information via on-screen text. The immediate benefit of receiving flight information anddirectionsviatextisthiswillfreeupvoicechannels for emergency response situations. It will also reduce confusion or misinterpreted directions caused by radio static or regional accents. These advances in the industry are “on their own” going to change the way we fly. However, as these advances are looked at as puzzle pieces to the future, the connection between them and how they can lead to a UATC system becomes more apparent. V
  • 21. 21REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE PUTTING THE PIECES TOGETHER - NEXTGEN The adoption of NextGen will set all the initial pieces and sensors in place to move to a full UATC system. The data collected from systems like ADS-B and NNEW will be integral to providing a UATC system with a real-time picture of any aircraft’s current situation. It will also eliminate antiquated communications systems that were built on top of each other and centralize them into one modern system. Thesenewtechnologiesandupdatedprocesseswillallowforamorecomfortableintroductionandseamlessintegration of a UATC system with pilots and the general public. At it’s basic core, a UATC system - working within the NextGen system - will remove the need for a human to collect, interpret, and communicate data back to pilots. This in turn will provide a clearer and safer picture of a pilot’s’ surroundings and drastically cut down on the expense of ATC while improving its efficiency. V
  • 22. 22REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE PUTTING THE PIECES TOGETHER - FUTURE AIRCRAFT Flight route information and directions via text messages, as mentioned earlier, will have great immediate benefits. However,intermsofaUATCsystem,oneofthegreatestbenefitsisthatitwillconditionpilotstoreceivethisinformation without hearing it from a person. This will make the adoption of a UATC system seamless for pilots, since the human element will have already been removed. It will also allow for traffic control directions to be translated into any language, which will reduce the language barrier of becoming a pilot and open the career to more of the world’s population. ENGLISH ARABIC FRENCH SPANISH V
  • 23. 23REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE PUTTING THE PIECES TOGETHER - REMOTE TOWERS RemoteTowerswillintroduceandconditionpilotstogetcomfortablewiththeideaoftakingdirectionsfromcontrollers who are not physically present on the airfield. Also, remote towers, combined with sending instructions via text messages, will create data sets that can be processed through artificial intelligence (AI) so the system can learn pilot and controller tendencies, as well their responses to certain situations. By collecting data from different airports across the country through a cloud network, the AI can continuously learn and compare results from an almost infinite amount of scenarios. This will allow the system to become smarter and better equipped to handle situations without the hazard of being overworked, sick, or distracted. Through the collection of data, learning of human tendency/reactions, and analyzing different scenarios, the UATC system can evolve overtime. It will move from an observing role, to making recommendations, to communicating directions to pilots with controller oversight, and finally, full autonomy. The system would also be able to quickly and proactively self-adapt to changes in air traffic demand without costly investment in procedural, operational, or technology changes. V
  • 24. 24REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE PATH TO AUTOMATION: UATCS Similar to the autonomous car, this is not a process that happens overnight and certain milestones must be reached before moving on to the next. While some of these milestones will happen simultaneously, some will require a preceding milestone to help condition pilots and get them comfortable with a new method of communicating with ATC. 100% Unmanned Air Traffic Control Commitment & Development of the NextGen System Beginning of Air Traffic Control Connecting the AI to Pilots in the Cockpit and Allow Directions to be Delivered with the Monitoring of a Controller Incorporating UATC AI into Remote Towers & Airfield Towers to Make Recommendations to ControllersWider Adoption of Remote Towers & Allowing a UATC AI to Observe and Analyze Data Implementation of NextGen & Experimenting with Remote Towers Today UATC MILESTONES V
  • 25. 25REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE THE FUTURE: UATC Road Blocks: With any change comes resistance and this resistance is even stronger when entire industries evolve. As with any new and innovative idea, a plethora of issues can be called out from skeptics across industry. While in its infancy, the idea of an unmanned air traffic control system can bring up several issues - two of which can be addressed up front. Ironically, the two issues first brought up with an Unmanned Air Traffic Control system are in fact solutions to the two major issues the current system faces. Adapting Careers: The issue that is most common with innovation is the potential, and probability of job loss. Investment: As with any innovation, increased up-frontcostsisinevitable.However,astrategic cost up-front could result in a significant amount of saving in the long run. 1 2 V
  • 26. 26REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE THE FUTURE: UATC Adapting Careers: The most apparent issue with an unmanned air traffic control system is the concern for loss of jobs for Air Traffic Controllers. However, as previously proven, today’s current job market is not able to meet the demand for ATC’s needs and the pool of prospects is getting smaller. Also, the fear of job loss is not a substantial reason to hold off society’s evolution, particularly because as society changes so do the needs of the industry along with the job roles needed to support it. The common example is the impact the automobile industry had on farriersandblacksmiths.Howeverasthetransportation industry shifted, the jobs shifted from horseshoe fabrication to mechanics, tire manufactures, etc. A more relevant industry example is to simply track the evolution of the navigator in the cockpit as aircraft got smarter. V
  • 27. 27REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE THE FUTURE: UATC Investment: The initial cost of development of an Unmanned Air Traffic Control system will undoubtedly be a big up-front expense. However through public-private partnerships (similar to those that solved a lot of the issues on the federal level that the healthcare.gov site experienced), these costs could be reduced. Also, the cost of maintenance on any automated system over time is significantly more affordable than the cost of man hours - even more so when calculating in overtime, costs of training, and scheduling. $ V
  • 28. 28REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE THE FUTURE: UATC Benefits: In addition to being a long-term sustainable solution to today’s ATC’s biggest pain points, an Unmanned Air Traffic Control system would drastically bring down the cost of scaling air traffic control to other airports. Thiscuttocostswouldallowsmallerairportsthatserve general aviation operations to offer ATC services. As a whole, this will make the industry safer as it continues to grow. Another big contribution of an UATC system is the ability to incorporate and manage Unmanned Aerial Vehicle activity. Today’s ATC has no way of being able to track UAV activity within regulated airspace (whether it be for commercial or personal). By having manufactures share already existing GPS data of active UAVs, a UATC system can safely notify both pilot and operator of each other and direct them safely. Because of the expected increase in UAV activity of the next few years, this is something no current controller will be able to safely manage. V
  • 29. 29REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE CONCLUSION The concept of an Unmanned Air Traffic Control System is a revolutionary long-term idea. However, as technology evolves and people become more comfortable with computers handling more tasks, the evolution to this type of system will be more embraced. Unfortunately, a timeline for this system is not easy to predict because the biggest roadblock to this system will be politics and special interest groups (labor unions, manufacturing and maintenance companies, etc.). This presentation did not address or make any assumptions regarding particular parties involved, because there are too many factors to assume. Also, the support for using technology differs when revenues are affected - whether that is increasing revenue by decreasing labor costs or decreasing revenue because of a decline in membership. These realities are a part of implementing an unmanned system and will inevitably be debated in Washington D.C. and across the country. It is important to point out, however, that the FAA may currently be planning for this type of system and, because of political reasons, may not be able to announce a true long-term approach. The sensors and data that is called for through NextGen initiatives are directly in line with a hypothetically development strategy if the FAA was planning for such a system. Regardless, an evolution to a semi-autonomous system as a precursor to an autonomous system is inevitable and necessary to continue to have ATC serve as one of the fundamental cornerstones of future aviation. VI
  • 30. 30REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE SPECIAL THANKS... CYLE R. CANTRELL, C.M. & LEED GA Manager of Aviation Services Michael Baker International Certifications: - Certified Member, AAAE - Green Associate, LEED ROBERT F. TYKOSKI Airfield/Airspace Planner Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Certifications: - Certified Flight Instructor - Instrument Airplane, FAA - Advanced Ground Instructor, FAA - Commercial Pilot Certificate, FAA - FAA-IDLE Level 3 AC 150/5300-17 - 150/5300-18, FAA We would like to extend a special thanks to the people and organizations who assisted with this presentation. VII
  • 31. 31REDESIGNING AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWERS FOR THE FUTURE APPENDIX: SOURCES 1: The Inevitable: Understanding The 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future - Kevin Kelly, 2016 2: Recode: The complete timeline to self-driving cars http://www.recode.net/2016/5/16/11635628/self-driving-autonomous-cars-timeline 3: National Air Traffic Controller Association: Where We Work www.natca.org/index.php/acronyms-breakdown/what-is-an-air-traffic-controller 4: Federal Aviation Administration: Flight Across America https://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/flight_across_america/ 5: National Air Traffic Controller Association: June 15, 2016: Controller Staffing at a 27-Year Low; Rinaldi Tells House Aviation Subcommittee the Situation is a “Crisis” http://www.natca.org/index.php/media-center/news-archive/1316-june-15-2016-controller-staffing-at-a-27-year-low-rinaldi-tells-house-aviation-subcommittee-the- situation-is-a-crisis 6: Office of Inspector General: FAA’S Management and Maintenance of Air Traffic Control Facilities https://www.oig.dot.gov/sites/default/files/REVIEW_OF_FAA_FACILITIES.pdf 7: Office of Inspector General: Efficiency of FAA’s Air Traffic Control Towers Ranges Widely https://www.oig.dot.gov/library-item/32652 8: The Seattle Times: Union: No room for old technology in new airport towers http://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/union-no-room-for-old-technology-in-new-airport-towers/ 9: National Air Traffic Controller Association: Aviation Facts http://www.natca.org/index.php/acronyms-breakdown/facts-sheet 10: Mashable: What’s it like to be an air traffic controller? http://mashable.com/2015/05/21/air-traffic-controller-career-profile/#8dpQV_7j_SqZ 11: NBC Bay Area: Crisis in Air Traffic Control Towers http://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/local/Crisis-in-Control-Towers-390763982.html 12: Federal Administration Aviation: NextGen Programs https://www.faa.gov/nextgen/programs/ 13: SAAB: Remote Tower - It’s a New Era in Air Traffic Control http://saab.com/fi/security/air-traffic-management/air-traffic-management/remote-tower/