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The Persistence of Error:
A Study of Retracted Articles on the
Internet and in Personal Libraries

2011 CrossRef Annual Member Meeting
November 15, 20110




Phil Davis, Ph.D.
pmd8@cornell.edu
An Elegant Solution to a Poorly
                       Understood Problem




2   November 21, 2011
What We Know
    •   Number of retractions small but increasing (Wager &
        Williams, 2011; Steen, 2011)
    •   Retracted articles continue to be cited as valid studies
        (Budd et al., 1998, 2011; Redman et al., 2008)
    •   Journal publishers are inconsistent with alerting
        readers: 41% articles watermarked, 32% contain no
        notification anywhere (Steen, 2011)
    •   Most publishers allow some form of self-archiving
        (SHERPA/Romeo; Morris, 2009)
    •   Authors often ignore publisher policy (Davis & Connolly,
        2007)
    •   Journal articles are likely to be found on non-publisher
        websites (Wren, 2005)

3   November 21, 2011
What We Assume
    •   Reaching readers is a communication problem that is
        not being solved by publishers and indexers alone.
    •   There is more than one access conduit to the scholarly
        literature
    •   Proliferation of article versions
    •   Scholars hoard articles in personal libraries
    •   Article status is static unless stated otherwise
    •   As retraction numbers are small, little incentive to
        search for updates (high-cost, low return)




4   November 21, 2011
What We Don’t Know
    •   Extent of proliferation of retracted papers on the
        public internet (out of the control of the publisher)
    •   Where they exist and which version(s)?
    •   What exists in readers personal libraries?




5   November 21, 2011
What We Did
    1.     Searched for copies of retracted papers on the
           public Internet. Excluded published version on
           publisher’s website
    2.     Created an API that searched the Mendeley
           database for retracted articles




6   November 21, 2011
PMC (no notice on page view or
                       pdf)




7   November 21, 2011
PMC (notice but not on pdf)




8   November 21, 2011
9   November 21, 2011
Advanced publication




10   November 21, 2011
Final manuscript on publisher’s site




11   November 21, 2011
Author manuscript in library
                         repository




12   November 21, 2011
Pub version in repository




13   November 21, 2011
Reviewer manuscript in repository




14   November 21, 2011
Author website




15   November 21, 2011
Classes




16   November 21, 2011
Hospital Labs




17   November 21, 2011
Journal clubs




18   November 21, 2011
Medical schools




19   November 21, 2011
University Research Institutes




20   November 21, 2011
Advocacy




21   November 21, 2011
Commercial websites




22   November 21, 2011
Author, medical business




23   November 21, 2011
Aggregation sites




24   November 21, 2011
Entire issue




25   November 21, 2011
Clearinghouses




26   November 21, 2011
27
                                                 Retracted articles




                                  0
                                                                                100
                                                                                                         120
                                                                                                               140
                                                                                                                     160
                                                                                                                                                 180




                                      20
                                           40
                                                60
                                                     80
                           1973
                           1975
                           1976




November 21, 2011
                           1977
                           1978
                           1979
                           1980
                           1981
                           1982
                           1983
                           1984
                           1985
                                                                                      No public copies




                           1986
                                                          Found public copies




                           1987
                           1988
                           1989
                           1990
                           1991
                           1992




                    Year
                           1993
                           1994
                           1995
                           1996
                           1997
                           1998
                           1999
                           2000
                                                                                                                      Public Copies on the Web




                           2001
                           2002
                           2003
                           2004
                           2005
                           2006
                           2007
                           2008
                           2009
                           2010
Summary of Web Study
     •   1,779 retracted articles from PubMed (1973-2010)
     •   308(12%) publicly-accessible copies (excluding
         published version on journal website)
     •   29 could be found in more than one location (max 5)
     •   90% of copies were published version; 9% final
         manuscripts; 1% other
     •   41% in PMC; 28% on educational sites; 7% commercial
     •   24% copies with retraction notices (5% excluding PMC
         page view)




28   November 21, 2011
A window into what is on computers




29   November 21, 2011
Mendeley API




                         Our API: http://www.fireisborn.org/retract/
30   November 21, 2011
Results from Mendeley
     •   75% (1,340 of 1,779 records) could be found in
         Mendeley (mean readers = 3.4, max = 133)
     •   Caveat: We are not certain if they have the PDF
     •   Concentration of “readers” in top journals
     •   High readership articles more than 3x likely to be
         found on public (non-repository) websites (OR
         3.28, 2.33-4.61, p<.0001)




31   November 21, 2011
Implications
     •   The problem of persistence cannot be controlled by
         copyright. Publishers lack control of articles
     •   Increased access comes with a versioning problem
     •   Essential problem: How do you reach readers when a
         Version of Record is no longer a Version of Record?




32   November 21, 2011
Solutions
     Given 90% public copies are publisher
     version, CrossMark would be seen by the future reader



     Caveats:
     •   Reader still responsible for initializing verification check
     •   Authors often write directly from bibliographic software
     •   Doesn’t prevent reuse/recycling of citations
     •   Doesn’t automatically update older PDFs (without symbol)
     •   Institutional self-archiving mandates may increase author
         manuscripts


33   November 21, 2011
1. Before Reading




34   November 21, 2011
2. Before Writing




35   November 21, 2011
3. Before Publication




36   November 21, 2011
Tripartite Solution


     1.      Before Reading
     2.      Before Writing
     3.      Before Publication




37   November 21, 2011

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The Persistence of Error (2011 CrossRef Annual Meeting)

  • 1. The Persistence of Error: A Study of Retracted Articles on the Internet and in Personal Libraries 2011 CrossRef Annual Member Meeting November 15, 20110 Phil Davis, Ph.D. pmd8@cornell.edu
  • 2. An Elegant Solution to a Poorly Understood Problem 2 November 21, 2011
  • 3. What We Know • Number of retractions small but increasing (Wager & Williams, 2011; Steen, 2011) • Retracted articles continue to be cited as valid studies (Budd et al., 1998, 2011; Redman et al., 2008) • Journal publishers are inconsistent with alerting readers: 41% articles watermarked, 32% contain no notification anywhere (Steen, 2011) • Most publishers allow some form of self-archiving (SHERPA/Romeo; Morris, 2009) • Authors often ignore publisher policy (Davis & Connolly, 2007) • Journal articles are likely to be found on non-publisher websites (Wren, 2005) 3 November 21, 2011
  • 4. What We Assume • Reaching readers is a communication problem that is not being solved by publishers and indexers alone. • There is more than one access conduit to the scholarly literature • Proliferation of article versions • Scholars hoard articles in personal libraries • Article status is static unless stated otherwise • As retraction numbers are small, little incentive to search for updates (high-cost, low return) 4 November 21, 2011
  • 5. What We Don’t Know • Extent of proliferation of retracted papers on the public internet (out of the control of the publisher) • Where they exist and which version(s)? • What exists in readers personal libraries? 5 November 21, 2011
  • 6. What We Did 1. Searched for copies of retracted papers on the public Internet. Excluded published version on publisher’s website 2. Created an API that searched the Mendeley database for retracted articles 6 November 21, 2011
  • 7. PMC (no notice on page view or pdf) 7 November 21, 2011
  • 8. PMC (notice but not on pdf) 8 November 21, 2011
  • 9. 9 November 21, 2011
  • 10. Advanced publication 10 November 21, 2011
  • 11. Final manuscript on publisher’s site 11 November 21, 2011
  • 12. Author manuscript in library repository 12 November 21, 2011
  • 13. Pub version in repository 13 November 21, 2011
  • 14. Reviewer manuscript in repository 14 November 21, 2011
  • 15. Author website 15 November 21, 2011
  • 16. Classes 16 November 21, 2011
  • 17. Hospital Labs 17 November 21, 2011
  • 18. Journal clubs 18 November 21, 2011
  • 19. Medical schools 19 November 21, 2011
  • 21. Advocacy 21 November 21, 2011
  • 22. Commercial websites 22 November 21, 2011
  • 23. Author, medical business 23 November 21, 2011
  • 24. Aggregation sites 24 November 21, 2011
  • 25. Entire issue 25 November 21, 2011
  • 26. Clearinghouses 26 November 21, 2011
  • 27. 27 Retracted articles 0 100 120 140 160 180 20 40 60 80 1973 1975 1976 November 21, 2011 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 No public copies 1986 Found public copies 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Public Copies on the Web 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 28. Summary of Web Study • 1,779 retracted articles from PubMed (1973-2010) • 308(12%) publicly-accessible copies (excluding published version on journal website) • 29 could be found in more than one location (max 5) • 90% of copies were published version; 9% final manuscripts; 1% other • 41% in PMC; 28% on educational sites; 7% commercial • 24% copies with retraction notices (5% excluding PMC page view) 28 November 21, 2011
  • 29. A window into what is on computers 29 November 21, 2011
  • 30. Mendeley API Our API: http://www.fireisborn.org/retract/ 30 November 21, 2011
  • 31. Results from Mendeley • 75% (1,340 of 1,779 records) could be found in Mendeley (mean readers = 3.4, max = 133) • Caveat: We are not certain if they have the PDF • Concentration of “readers” in top journals • High readership articles more than 3x likely to be found on public (non-repository) websites (OR 3.28, 2.33-4.61, p<.0001) 31 November 21, 2011
  • 32. Implications • The problem of persistence cannot be controlled by copyright. Publishers lack control of articles • Increased access comes with a versioning problem • Essential problem: How do you reach readers when a Version of Record is no longer a Version of Record? 32 November 21, 2011
  • 33. Solutions Given 90% public copies are publisher version, CrossMark would be seen by the future reader Caveats: • Reader still responsible for initializing verification check • Authors often write directly from bibliographic software • Doesn’t prevent reuse/recycling of citations • Doesn’t automatically update older PDFs (without symbol) • Institutional self-archiving mandates may increase author manuscripts 33 November 21, 2011
  • 34. 1. Before Reading 34 November 21, 2011
  • 35. 2. Before Writing 35 November 21, 2011
  • 36. 3. Before Publication 36 November 21, 2011
  • 37. Tripartite Solution 1. Before Reading 2. Before Writing 3. Before Publication 37 November 21, 2011

Editor's Notes

  1. PMC states that the article is retracted and there is no direct link, although the PDF is still found on their website
  2. Journal of Clinical Investigation
  3. Ukrain ftp sites with entire issues of journals
  4. Iran