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Impact Evaluation: HOW  and  WHEN  RURAL ROADS Benefit the Poor 乡村公路如何 以及 何时 造福穷人 :来自亚行案例研究的经验 Shanghai International Program for Development Evaluation Training Asia-Pacific Finance and Development Center 200 Panlong Road-Shanghai, October 13, 2008 Mala Hettige
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Study Objectives and Focus 研究的目的和重点 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.dadangsolihin.com
Methodological issues 方法论问题 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.dadangsolihin.com
Study Direction  研究方向 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.dadangsolihin.com
Definitions  定义 ,[object Object],[object Object],CAPITAL ASSETS 资产 Strategies 省级策略 Livelihood  www.dadangsolihin.com STRUCTURAL CONDITIONS 结构条件 INSTITUTIONS  机构 PROCESSES 过程 PROCESSES 过程 Physical 身体的 Financial 金钱的 Human 人的 Natural 自然的 Social  社会的 Livelihood  Outcomes 生计状况
Rural Roads…… 农村公路 …… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.dadangsolihin.com
Tools Used  使用的工具 No baseline data. Used secondary data and recall techniques  没有基线数据。使用二手数据和回忆法 PRA Tools to capture different groups 用于了解不同群体的概率风险评估工具   Key informant interviews 关键人物访谈 Household Surveys 家庭调查   Participant observations 参与者观察   Traffic Analysis   交通分析   Country workshops to validate preliminary findings 验证初步成果的农村培训班 Reporting Framework to traingulate information 用于阐释信息的报告框架 2 week stay in  Project & Control Sites   在项目和控制点驻扎两周 Participatory   poverty classification 参与式贫困分级 www.dadangsolihin.com
External Conditions affecting the ability to graduate from poverty   外部条件影响着摆脱贫穷的能力 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],When ? ……..(External and Structural Conditions are right) 何时? ……(外部和结构条件合适) www.dadangsolihin.com
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],When ? 何时? www.dadangsolihin.com
Family size and Social Networks……. 家庭大小和社会网络 ,[object Object],[object Object],www.dadangsolihin.com
But many of the very poor still live in a “walking world” 很多非常贫困的人仍然生活在“步行的世界” Poor walk often and use transport  only occasionally  穷人常常步行,而且 只是偶尔 乘坐交通工具 How ?  如何进行? 使用交通服务的频率(项目案例 ) 偶尔使用 经常使用 从来不用 比邻居好 比邻据差 差不多 对生活质量的认识 反馈百分比 百分比 比邻据差 比邻居好 差不多 外出购买物品时所用的交通工具(穷人) 其他 公交车 小巴士 卡车 小汽车 三轮 摩托车 自行车 其他 动物拉的车 步行 www.dadangsolihin.com
Who benefits more? 谁更受益? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How ? 如何进行? www.dadangsolihin.com
Item 各项设施 Project Site 项目地点 Control Site 控制地点 Share of Households  (%) 家庭数量 How ? 如何进行? Project sites have better access to  facilities  as they are available in village with roads .  ……and average time for  access services  is lower 项目地点可以更容易地获得一些设施,因为村庄中有公路可通。……而且获取这些服务的时间更短 到医疗所的平均时间(往返路程) 外出办理证件的平均时间(往返路程) 出差或外出上班的平均时间(往返路程) 化费的时间:分钟 化费的时间:分钟 化费的时间:分钟 www.dadangsolihin.com   Drinking  Water 饮用水     Protected Well or Tap 保护的水井或自来水 37 35 Private Well or Tap 自家水井或自来水 28 14 Piped to House 抽水到家 16 0 Unprotected Well 未受保护水井 11 24 Private Rainwater Tank 自家雨水收集罐 4 17 Other 其他 4 10 Sanitation 卫生状况     Private Flush 自家冲洗 5 7 Private Latrine 自家厕所 53 31 Public Latrine 公共厕所 4 1 Open Pit  露天厕所 20 22 Field 农田 15 29 Other 其他 3 10 Electricity 电     Yes  是 28 11 No  否 72 89
To improve inclusiveness…need.. more than a rural road 要改善农村的封闭…  … 需要的… …不仅仅是一条乡村公路 How ? 如何进行? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.dadangsolihin.com
Some poor have graduated with commercialization… 有些穷人已经通过经商摆脱了贫困…… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How ? 如何进行? www.dadangsolihin.com
Study Conclusions 研究结论 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.dadangsolihin.com
Considerations for Implementation of Road Projects  对实施公路项目的几点考虑 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.dadangsolihin.com
Thank you! 谢谢! www.adb.org/Evaluation
www.dadangsolihin.com ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Dadang Solihin currently  is Director for  Regional D evelopment Performance Evaluation at  Indonesian National Development Planning Agency  (Bappenas). He  holds MA degree in Economics from University of Colorado, USA. His previous post is  Director for System and Reporting of Development Performance Evaluation at  Bappenas.  Dadang Solihin’s Profile

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Impact Evaluation: HOW and WHEN RURAL ROADS Benefit the Poor 乡村公路如何以及何时造福穷人:来自亚行案例研究的经验

  • 1. Impact Evaluation: HOW and WHEN RURAL ROADS Benefit the Poor 乡村公路如何 以及 何时 造福穷人 :来自亚行案例研究的经验 Shanghai International Program for Development Evaluation Training Asia-Pacific Finance and Development Center 200 Panlong Road-Shanghai, October 13, 2008 Mala Hettige
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  • 8. Tools Used 使用的工具 No baseline data. Used secondary data and recall techniques 没有基线数据。使用二手数据和回忆法 PRA Tools to capture different groups 用于了解不同群体的概率风险评估工具 Key informant interviews 关键人物访谈 Household Surveys 家庭调查 Participant observations 参与者观察 Traffic Analysis 交通分析 Country workshops to validate preliminary findings 验证初步成果的农村培训班 Reporting Framework to traingulate information 用于阐释信息的报告框架 2 week stay in Project & Control Sites 在项目和控制点驻扎两周 Participatory poverty classification 参与式贫困分级 www.dadangsolihin.com
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  • 12. But many of the very poor still live in a “walking world” 很多非常贫困的人仍然生活在“步行的世界” Poor walk often and use transport only occasionally 穷人常常步行,而且 只是偶尔 乘坐交通工具 How ? 如何进行? 使用交通服务的频率(项目案例 ) 偶尔使用 经常使用 从来不用 比邻居好 比邻据差 差不多 对生活质量的认识 反馈百分比 百分比 比邻据差 比邻居好 差不多 外出购买物品时所用的交通工具(穷人) 其他 公交车 小巴士 卡车 小汽车 三轮 摩托车 自行车 其他 动物拉的车 步行 www.dadangsolihin.com
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  • 14. Item 各项设施 Project Site 项目地点 Control Site 控制地点 Share of Households (%) 家庭数量 How ? 如何进行? Project sites have better access to facilities as they are available in village with roads . ……and average time for access services is lower 项目地点可以更容易地获得一些设施,因为村庄中有公路可通。……而且获取这些服务的时间更短 到医疗所的平均时间(往返路程) 外出办理证件的平均时间(往返路程) 出差或外出上班的平均时间(往返路程) 化费的时间:分钟 化费的时间:分钟 化费的时间:分钟 www.dadangsolihin.com   Drinking Water 饮用水     Protected Well or Tap 保护的水井或自来水 37 35 Private Well or Tap 自家水井或自来水 28 14 Piped to House 抽水到家 16 0 Unprotected Well 未受保护水井 11 24 Private Rainwater Tank 自家雨水收集罐 4 17 Other 其他 4 10 Sanitation 卫生状况     Private Flush 自家冲洗 5 7 Private Latrine 自家厕所 53 31 Public Latrine 公共厕所 4 1 Open Pit 露天厕所 20 22 Field 农田 15 29 Other 其他 3 10 Electricity 电     Yes 是 28 11 No 否 72 89
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  • 19. Thank you! 谢谢! www.adb.org/Evaluation
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