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02/04/2013



        US shale gas economics:
        giant with feet of clay?




18/10/2012   E&C Market info       slide 1
Conventional vs shale gas wells

• Production
    – Between 350 and 400 million m3 with a conventional gas well
    – Between 50 and 100 million m3 with a shale gas well

• Costs
     – The shale gas production costs are similar/higher




             Source: Dévelopement and production costs, International Energy Agency




02/04/2013     Shale gas economics                                                    slide 2
The market price : US vs EU hubs




02/04/2013   Shale gas economics   slide 3
The production profile




02/04/2013   Shale gas economics   slide 4
Economics




• Due to the profiles
    – Better pay back: even if more gas is produced with a conventional
      well, it seems to be less profitable due to the depreciation of money
      (Net Present Value formula)
    – The investment is covered after 2 years
    – For the same production of gas: a company can invest 3 times more
      money due to the faster pay back



 02/04/2013   Shale gas economics                                      slide 5
Any implications

• It’s by far more interesting for companies to invest in shale gas
  production

• BUT…

• It means that more than 1000 new wells have to be dwelled to
  assure the sustainability of the production

    - The fast depletion of shale gas deposits has to be balanced
    - Companies have to coutinuously invest. It’s profitable, but some of
    them are redeploying their activities towards unconventional oil
    production (seems to be even more profitable)



02/04/2013   Shale gas economics                                       slide 6
Any implications




• What would happen for the country is companies stopped
  drilling? …  risks


02/04/2013   Shale gas economics                           slide 7

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US shale gas economics: giant with feet of clay

  • 1. 02/04/2013 US shale gas economics: giant with feet of clay? 18/10/2012 E&C Market info slide 1
  • 2. Conventional vs shale gas wells • Production – Between 350 and 400 million m3 with a conventional gas well – Between 50 and 100 million m3 with a shale gas well • Costs – The shale gas production costs are similar/higher Source: Dévelopement and production costs, International Energy Agency 02/04/2013 Shale gas economics slide 2
  • 3. The market price : US vs EU hubs 02/04/2013 Shale gas economics slide 3
  • 4. The production profile 02/04/2013 Shale gas economics slide 4
  • 5. Economics • Due to the profiles – Better pay back: even if more gas is produced with a conventional well, it seems to be less profitable due to the depreciation of money (Net Present Value formula) – The investment is covered after 2 years – For the same production of gas: a company can invest 3 times more money due to the faster pay back 02/04/2013 Shale gas economics slide 5
  • 6. Any implications • It’s by far more interesting for companies to invest in shale gas production • BUT… • It means that more than 1000 new wells have to be dwelled to assure the sustainability of the production - The fast depletion of shale gas deposits has to be balanced - Companies have to coutinuously invest. It’s profitable, but some of them are redeploying their activities towards unconventional oil production (seems to be even more profitable) 02/04/2013 Shale gas economics slide 6
  • 7. Any implications • What would happen for the country is companies stopped drilling? …  risks 02/04/2013 Shale gas economics slide 7