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Oil & Gas Pricing, Trends and Project Updates - PART 2
US Gulf Coast Project
Construction Update
Lee Nichols, Director – Data Division, Gulf Publishing Company
• Detailed and up-to-date information on
active construction projects in the refining,
gas processing, LNG and petrochemical
industries across the globe
www.constructionboxscore.com
Total announced downstream project investments by region
2014-2025
Total investment = $1.162 Trillion
$128 B
$240 B
$64 B
$77.5 B
$158.5 B
$113 B
$381.5 B
Total new project announcements, 2012-2014
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Africa Asia-Pacific Canada Europe Latin America Middle East US
2012
2013
2014
Source: Hydrocarbon Processing Boxscore Database. European
region includes Russia and the CIS.
Total new project announcements
by region and sector, 2014
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Africa Asia-Pacific Canada Europe Latin America Middle East US
Refining
Petrochemical
Gas Processing/LNG
Source: Hydrocarbon Processing Boxscore Database. European
region includes Russia and the CIS.
New project announcements globally, July 2014 – February 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
New Project Announcements
New Project
Announcements
New project announcements, by region, July 2014 – February 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
July
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
Market share analysis of new projects, 2012-2014
10%, 20%, 26%, 35%
1%, 6%, 6%
8%, 8%, 9%
5%, 4%, 5%
18%, 17%, 12%
18%, 15%, 11%
30%, 24%, 22%
Gulf Coast new project market share, 2014-present
US vs. Gulf Coast
US - non-
Gulf Coast
US Gulf
Coast
65%
35%
Gulf Coast Market Share
Breakout
Alabama
Florida
Louisiana
Mississippi
Texas
56% 38%
4%
USGC Sector Breakdown
Refining
Gas
Processing/LNG
Petrochemical
45%
41%
14%
New project announcements along the Gulf Coast, 2012
Gas Processing/LNG Projects
Petrochemical Projects
Refining Projects
New project announcements along the Gulf Coast, 2013
New project announcements along the Gulf Coast, 2014 - present
US LNG Export Terminal Projects
1. Sabine Pass LNG
2. Freeport LNG
3. Lake Charles Exports (Trunkline)
4. Carib Energy
5. Dominion Cove Point LNG
6. Jordan Cove (Coos Bay)
7. Cameron LNG
8. Gulf Coast LNG Export
9. Gulf LNG Liquefaction
10. Oregon LNG
11. Southern LNG
12. Excelerate Liquefaction (Lavaca Bay)
13. Golden Pass LNG
14. Corpus Christi LNG (Cheniere)
15. Main Pass Energy Hub
16. CE FLNG
17. Waller LNG
18. Pangea LNG
19. Magnolia LNG
20. Trunkline LNG
21. Gasfin LNG
22. Venture Global LNG
23. EOS LNG
24. Barca LNG
25. Delfin LNG
26. Texas LNG
27. Louisiana LNG Energy
28. Strom LNG
29. SCT&E LNG
30. Downeast LNG
31. Live Oak LNG
32. Alaska LNG
US LNG export capacity due online by 2019 = 46 MMtpy
Project Location No. of liquefaction
trains
Capacity
Sabine Pass LNG Sabine Pass, LA 4 18 MMtpy
Cameron LNG Hackberry, LA 3 12 MMtpy
Freeport LNG Freeport, TX 2 9 MMtpy
Cove Point LNG Lusby, MD 1 5.75 MMtpy
• Second wave of projects could add an additional 30 MMtpy
• Additional trains at Sabine Pass, Freeport
• Corpus Christi LNG (greenfield)
• Outliers:
• Jordan Cove? Oregon LNG?
• Alaska LNG, Golden Pass
US refining capacity set to increase through 2020
• Surge in light crude refining
capacity
• Valero Expansions
• Condensate splitter
construction on the rise
• “Micro-refineries” come on
the scene
• Heavy oil projects to go
through?
• ExxonMobil – under
consideration
• Husky – halted by fire
• Marathon – delayed FID
US Petrochemicals
Major US Ethylene Projects
Company Location Capacity Start-Up
Chevron Phillips Chemical Cedar Bayou, TX 1.5 MMtpy 3Q/4Q 2017
ExxonMobil Baytown, TX 1.5 MMtpy 4Q 2016
Dow Chemical Freeport, TX 1.5 MMtpy 2017
Sasol Lake Charles, LA 1.5 MMtpy 2017
Formosa Plastics Point Comfort, TX 1 MMtpy 1Q 2017
Formosa Plastics Louisiana 1 MMtpy N/A
Occidental/Mexichem Ingleside, TX 544 Mtpy 2017
Axiall/Lotte Chemical Lake Charles, LA 1 MMtpy 2018 (HOLD)
Shell Monaca, PA 1-1.5 MMtpy 2019-2020
Odebrecht/Braskem Parkersburg, WV 1 MMtpy 2019-2020
Williams (Geismar 2) Geismer, LA 1 MMtpy N/A (PROPOSED)
LyondellBassell (expansion) Channelview, TX 275 Mtpy 2017 (Study)
Shintech Plaquemine Parish, LA 500 Mtpy 2018
LyondellBassell (expansion) Corpus Christi, TX 363 Mtpy 4Q 2015
Appalachian Resins Salem Township, OH 300 Mtpy 2019
Surge in US methanol projects
Company Location Capacity Cost, MM US$ Completion Date
Methanex – Geismar I Geismar, LA 1 MMtpy 550 Completed 2015
Methanex – Geismar II Geismar, LA 1 MMtpy 550 2Q 2016
Valero Norco, LA 1.6 MMtpy 700 2Q 2016
OCI (Natgasoline) Beaumont, TX 1.75 MMtpy 1,000 4Q 2016
NWIW – Port of Kalama Port of Kalama, WA 1.825 MMtpy 1,800 2018
NWIW – Port Westward, OR Port Westward, OR 1.825 MMtpy 1,000 2018
South Louisiana Methanol St. James Parish, LA 1.825 MMtpy 1,300 4Q 2016
Celanese/Mitsui – Clear Lake Clear Lake, TX 1.3 MMtpy 800 2Q 2015
Celanese – Bishop Bishop, TX 1.3 MMtpy 700-800 2018
LyondellBasell Channelview, TX 780 Mtpy 150 Completed 2013
CCI (Castleton Methanol Project) Braithwaite, LA 1.825 MMtpy 1,200 2019
Yuhuang Chemical (Plant 1) St. James Parish, LA 1.5 MMtpy 925 2018
Yuhuang Chemical (Plant 2) St. James Parish, LA 1.5 MMtpy 925 2020
Connell Group-Sino Life Ins. Corp. JV Shoal Point, TX 7.2 MMtpy 4,500 2020
PDH
Company Location Capacity Completion
Petrologistics Houston, TX 600 Mtpy 2010
Enterprise Mt. Belvieu, TX 750 Mtpy 1Q 2016
Dow Chemical Freeport, TX 750 Mtpy 2015
Formosa Point Comfort, TX 600 Mtpy 2016
Ascend/C3 Petrochemicals Chocolate Bayou,
TX
1 MMtpy 2017
REXtac Odessa, TX 300 Mtpy 3Q 2017
• 3.4 MMtpy of new PDH capacity by 2018
• Total CAPEX of nearly $5 billion
Lee Nichols
Lee.Nichols@Gulfpub.com
713-525-4626

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Oil & Gas Pricing, Trends and Project Updates - PART 2

  • 2. US Gulf Coast Project Construction Update Lee Nichols, Director – Data Division, Gulf Publishing Company
  • 3. • Detailed and up-to-date information on active construction projects in the refining, gas processing, LNG and petrochemical industries across the globe www.constructionboxscore.com
  • 4. Total announced downstream project investments by region 2014-2025 Total investment = $1.162 Trillion $128 B $240 B $64 B $77.5 B $158.5 B $113 B $381.5 B
  • 5. Total new project announcements, 2012-2014 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Africa Asia-Pacific Canada Europe Latin America Middle East US 2012 2013 2014 Source: Hydrocarbon Processing Boxscore Database. European region includes Russia and the CIS.
  • 6. Total new project announcements by region and sector, 2014 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Africa Asia-Pacific Canada Europe Latin America Middle East US Refining Petrochemical Gas Processing/LNG Source: Hydrocarbon Processing Boxscore Database. European region includes Russia and the CIS.
  • 7. New project announcements globally, July 2014 – February 2015 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 New Project Announcements New Project Announcements
  • 8. New project announcements, by region, July 2014 – February 2015 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 July August September October November December January February
  • 9. Market share analysis of new projects, 2012-2014 10%, 20%, 26%, 35% 1%, 6%, 6% 8%, 8%, 9% 5%, 4%, 5% 18%, 17%, 12% 18%, 15%, 11% 30%, 24%, 22%
  • 10. Gulf Coast new project market share, 2014-present US vs. Gulf Coast US - non- Gulf Coast US Gulf Coast 65% 35% Gulf Coast Market Share Breakout Alabama Florida Louisiana Mississippi Texas 56% 38% 4% USGC Sector Breakdown Refining Gas Processing/LNG Petrochemical 45% 41% 14%
  • 11. New project announcements along the Gulf Coast, 2012 Gas Processing/LNG Projects Petrochemical Projects Refining Projects
  • 12. New project announcements along the Gulf Coast, 2013
  • 13. New project announcements along the Gulf Coast, 2014 - present
  • 14. US LNG Export Terminal Projects 1. Sabine Pass LNG 2. Freeport LNG 3. Lake Charles Exports (Trunkline) 4. Carib Energy 5. Dominion Cove Point LNG 6. Jordan Cove (Coos Bay) 7. Cameron LNG 8. Gulf Coast LNG Export 9. Gulf LNG Liquefaction 10. Oregon LNG 11. Southern LNG 12. Excelerate Liquefaction (Lavaca Bay) 13. Golden Pass LNG 14. Corpus Christi LNG (Cheniere) 15. Main Pass Energy Hub 16. CE FLNG 17. Waller LNG 18. Pangea LNG 19. Magnolia LNG 20. Trunkline LNG 21. Gasfin LNG 22. Venture Global LNG 23. EOS LNG 24. Barca LNG 25. Delfin LNG 26. Texas LNG 27. Louisiana LNG Energy 28. Strom LNG 29. SCT&E LNG 30. Downeast LNG 31. Live Oak LNG 32. Alaska LNG
  • 15. US LNG export capacity due online by 2019 = 46 MMtpy Project Location No. of liquefaction trains Capacity Sabine Pass LNG Sabine Pass, LA 4 18 MMtpy Cameron LNG Hackberry, LA 3 12 MMtpy Freeport LNG Freeport, TX 2 9 MMtpy Cove Point LNG Lusby, MD 1 5.75 MMtpy • Second wave of projects could add an additional 30 MMtpy • Additional trains at Sabine Pass, Freeport • Corpus Christi LNG (greenfield) • Outliers: • Jordan Cove? Oregon LNG? • Alaska LNG, Golden Pass
  • 16. US refining capacity set to increase through 2020 • Surge in light crude refining capacity • Valero Expansions • Condensate splitter construction on the rise • “Micro-refineries” come on the scene • Heavy oil projects to go through? • ExxonMobil – under consideration • Husky – halted by fire • Marathon – delayed FID
  • 18. Major US Ethylene Projects Company Location Capacity Start-Up Chevron Phillips Chemical Cedar Bayou, TX 1.5 MMtpy 3Q/4Q 2017 ExxonMobil Baytown, TX 1.5 MMtpy 4Q 2016 Dow Chemical Freeport, TX 1.5 MMtpy 2017 Sasol Lake Charles, LA 1.5 MMtpy 2017 Formosa Plastics Point Comfort, TX 1 MMtpy 1Q 2017 Formosa Plastics Louisiana 1 MMtpy N/A Occidental/Mexichem Ingleside, TX 544 Mtpy 2017 Axiall/Lotte Chemical Lake Charles, LA 1 MMtpy 2018 (HOLD) Shell Monaca, PA 1-1.5 MMtpy 2019-2020 Odebrecht/Braskem Parkersburg, WV 1 MMtpy 2019-2020 Williams (Geismar 2) Geismer, LA 1 MMtpy N/A (PROPOSED) LyondellBassell (expansion) Channelview, TX 275 Mtpy 2017 (Study) Shintech Plaquemine Parish, LA 500 Mtpy 2018 LyondellBassell (expansion) Corpus Christi, TX 363 Mtpy 4Q 2015 Appalachian Resins Salem Township, OH 300 Mtpy 2019
  • 19. Surge in US methanol projects Company Location Capacity Cost, MM US$ Completion Date Methanex – Geismar I Geismar, LA 1 MMtpy 550 Completed 2015 Methanex – Geismar II Geismar, LA 1 MMtpy 550 2Q 2016 Valero Norco, LA 1.6 MMtpy 700 2Q 2016 OCI (Natgasoline) Beaumont, TX 1.75 MMtpy 1,000 4Q 2016 NWIW – Port of Kalama Port of Kalama, WA 1.825 MMtpy 1,800 2018 NWIW – Port Westward, OR Port Westward, OR 1.825 MMtpy 1,000 2018 South Louisiana Methanol St. James Parish, LA 1.825 MMtpy 1,300 4Q 2016 Celanese/Mitsui – Clear Lake Clear Lake, TX 1.3 MMtpy 800 2Q 2015 Celanese – Bishop Bishop, TX 1.3 MMtpy 700-800 2018 LyondellBasell Channelview, TX 780 Mtpy 150 Completed 2013 CCI (Castleton Methanol Project) Braithwaite, LA 1.825 MMtpy 1,200 2019 Yuhuang Chemical (Plant 1) St. James Parish, LA 1.5 MMtpy 925 2018 Yuhuang Chemical (Plant 2) St. James Parish, LA 1.5 MMtpy 925 2020 Connell Group-Sino Life Ins. Corp. JV Shoal Point, TX 7.2 MMtpy 4,500 2020
  • 20. PDH Company Location Capacity Completion Petrologistics Houston, TX 600 Mtpy 2010 Enterprise Mt. Belvieu, TX 750 Mtpy 1Q 2016 Dow Chemical Freeport, TX 750 Mtpy 2015 Formosa Point Comfort, TX 600 Mtpy 2016 Ascend/C3 Petrochemicals Chocolate Bayou, TX 1 MMtpy 2017 REXtac Odessa, TX 300 Mtpy 3Q 2017 • 3.4 MMtpy of new PDH capacity by 2018 • Total CAPEX of nearly $5 billion