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Evaluating the Parking Standard
Reform in London:
A Matched-Pair Approach
Fei Li
New York University
Wagner Graduate School of Public Service

Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy
Why care about parking Standards?

 Underused parking
(Willson, 1995)
 More costly housing
(Jia & Wachs, 1998)

Minimum Parking Standard

Higher Car
Ownership
and Usage

 Barring redevelopment
(Manville and Shoup, 2010)
 Greater car dependence
(Shoup, 2005)

Excess Parking
Supply
Lower
Density

Lower Parking
Costs

Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy

Higher
Housing
Costs

2
Reforming Parking Policy
 Three approaches to parking regulation (Barter, 2010)
 The traditional approach: minimum parking standards
 The market approach: deregulating off-street parking &
pricing on-street parking (Shoup, 2005)

 Comprehensive parking management: maximum
parking standards (parking caps), on-street parking
control, etc.

Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy

3
London Parking Reform
 Following two national policies (PPG3, PPG13) and the
2004 London Plan:
 An across-the-board shift from minimum to maximum car
parking standards (mainly for residential uses)
 Encouraging car free developments in downtown areas

 On-street parking controls limiting car usage

 To evaluate the effect of the parking reform, we compare
the parking provision in pre-reform (1997-2000) and postreform (2004-2010) developments
Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy

4
The Study Area
Parking standards
(# of spaces per unit)
Borough

Prereform
(Min)

Postreform
(Max)

# of cars per
household

Commuting
by car (%)

2001

2001

2011

2011
Barnet
Harrow

Hammersmith
and Fulham
(H & F)
Islington

0-1

0.5

Mixed

0.51

0.41

16.82

6.39

Lambeth

0-1

0.25-1

Mixed

0.61

0.51

20.07

1-1.5

1-1.5

None

0.74

0.66

30.82

15.29

Newham

1.5-3

1-3

Reduced

0.63

0.60

29.25

12.67

Southwark

1.1

0-2

Mixed

0.59

0.50

21.84

8.66

Westminster

1

1-1.5

Increased

0.54

0.46

14.43

6.48

Bexley

1.33-2.5

1-2

Reduced

1.13

1.17

50.75

33.43

None

0.65

0.54

19.00

Waltham
Forest

Redbridge

8.73

Havering
Brent

Brent

1.2-2.16

1-2

Reduced

0.88

0.80

36.11

1.5-3

1-2

Reduced

1.16

1.18

45.23

1-2

1

Reduced

0.79

0.77

36.59

1-2

Reduced

1.09

1.06

40.70

24.40

H&F K&C

Barking
and
Dagenham

Greenwich
Southwark
Lambeth

Hounslow
Richmond
upon
Thames

Wandsworth

Bexley

Lewisham

Merton
Kingston

18.71

1-3

Hackney
Islington

Tower Newham
Hamlets
Westminster C.o.L.

Ealing

28.91

Greenwich

Camden

Hillingdon

18.67

Bromley
Richmond
upon Thames

Outer
London

Haringey

9.12

Lewisham

Inner
London

1-1.6

1-1.6

±

Enfield

Change

Bromley
Sutton

Croydon

Legend
Selected Boroughs
0

1 2

4

6

8
Miles

Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy

Inner London

5
Estimating the Policy Effect
 607 pairs of pre- and post-reform developments
matched by location and development type
 The average reform effect on parking supply:
𝑌 = 𝑋𝛽 + 𝛿𝑍 + 𝜀

 Pairwise difference estimator:
𝐸 𝑖 = 𝑌𝑖

𝑚𝑖𝑛

− 𝑌𝑖

𝑚𝑎𝑥

= 𝜀𝑖

Pre-reform parking supply

𝑚𝑖𝑛

− 𝜀𝑖

𝑚𝑎𝑥

Capping effect

Binding effect

− 𝛿

Post-reform parking supply

Parking standard

Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy

6
Results

Average
Reform
Effect (𝜹)

Percent Bound by
Minimum Parking
Standards (%)

Average
Binding
Effect

Percent Capped by
Maximum Parking
Standards (%)

Average
Capping
Effect

Inner
London

0.65
(62%)

27.3

0.87
(81%)

8.2

0.49
(30%)

Outer
London

0.81
(28%)

28.4

0.75
(41%)

20.1

0.90
(33%)

Total

0.73
(45%)

27.8

0.81
(61%)

14.2

0.78
(32%)

Figures in parentheses are the percentages of reduction in pre-reform parking supply.

Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy

7
Conclusions & Policy Implications
 A larger part of the average effect in London parking
reform is attributable to the elimination of minimum
parking standards
 Minimum parking standards cause greater market
distortion in the inner city

 The London parking reform suggests the potential for
an efficient parking market with minimal regulation
on off-street parking provision and flexible on-street
parking prices
Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy

8

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Evaluating the parking standard reform in London a matched-pair approach - Fei Li - Lee Schipper Scholar - Transforming Transportation 2014 - EMBARQ The World Bank

  • 1.
  • 2. Evaluating the Parking Standard Reform in London: A Matched-Pair Approach Fei Li New York University Wagner Graduate School of Public Service Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy
  • 3. Why care about parking Standards?  Underused parking (Willson, 1995)  More costly housing (Jia & Wachs, 1998) Minimum Parking Standard Higher Car Ownership and Usage  Barring redevelopment (Manville and Shoup, 2010)  Greater car dependence (Shoup, 2005) Excess Parking Supply Lower Density Lower Parking Costs Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy Higher Housing Costs 2
  • 4. Reforming Parking Policy  Three approaches to parking regulation (Barter, 2010)  The traditional approach: minimum parking standards  The market approach: deregulating off-street parking & pricing on-street parking (Shoup, 2005)  Comprehensive parking management: maximum parking standards (parking caps), on-street parking control, etc. Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy 3
  • 5. London Parking Reform  Following two national policies (PPG3, PPG13) and the 2004 London Plan:  An across-the-board shift from minimum to maximum car parking standards (mainly for residential uses)  Encouraging car free developments in downtown areas  On-street parking controls limiting car usage  To evaluate the effect of the parking reform, we compare the parking provision in pre-reform (1997-2000) and postreform (2004-2010) developments Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy 4
  • 6. The Study Area Parking standards (# of spaces per unit) Borough Prereform (Min) Postreform (Max) # of cars per household Commuting by car (%) 2001 2001 2011 2011 Barnet Harrow Hammersmith and Fulham (H & F) Islington 0-1 0.5 Mixed 0.51 0.41 16.82 6.39 Lambeth 0-1 0.25-1 Mixed 0.61 0.51 20.07 1-1.5 1-1.5 None 0.74 0.66 30.82 15.29 Newham 1.5-3 1-3 Reduced 0.63 0.60 29.25 12.67 Southwark 1.1 0-2 Mixed 0.59 0.50 21.84 8.66 Westminster 1 1-1.5 Increased 0.54 0.46 14.43 6.48 Bexley 1.33-2.5 1-2 Reduced 1.13 1.17 50.75 33.43 None 0.65 0.54 19.00 Waltham Forest Redbridge 8.73 Havering Brent Brent 1.2-2.16 1-2 Reduced 0.88 0.80 36.11 1.5-3 1-2 Reduced 1.16 1.18 45.23 1-2 1 Reduced 0.79 0.77 36.59 1-2 Reduced 1.09 1.06 40.70 24.40 H&F K&C Barking and Dagenham Greenwich Southwark Lambeth Hounslow Richmond upon Thames Wandsworth Bexley Lewisham Merton Kingston 18.71 1-3 Hackney Islington Tower Newham Hamlets Westminster C.o.L. Ealing 28.91 Greenwich Camden Hillingdon 18.67 Bromley Richmond upon Thames Outer London Haringey 9.12 Lewisham Inner London 1-1.6 1-1.6 ± Enfield Change Bromley Sutton Croydon Legend Selected Boroughs 0 1 2 4 6 8 Miles Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy Inner London 5
  • 7. Estimating the Policy Effect  607 pairs of pre- and post-reform developments matched by location and development type  The average reform effect on parking supply: 𝑌 = 𝑋𝛽 + 𝛿𝑍 + 𝜀  Pairwise difference estimator: 𝐸 𝑖 = 𝑌𝑖 𝑚𝑖𝑛 − 𝑌𝑖 𝑚𝑎𝑥 = 𝜀𝑖 Pre-reform parking supply 𝑚𝑖𝑛 − 𝜀𝑖 𝑚𝑎𝑥 Capping effect Binding effect − 𝛿 Post-reform parking supply Parking standard Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy 6
  • 8. Results Average Reform Effect (𝜹) Percent Bound by Minimum Parking Standards (%) Average Binding Effect Percent Capped by Maximum Parking Standards (%) Average Capping Effect Inner London 0.65 (62%) 27.3 0.87 (81%) 8.2 0.49 (30%) Outer London 0.81 (28%) 28.4 0.75 (41%) 20.1 0.90 (33%) Total 0.73 (45%) 27.8 0.81 (61%) 14.2 0.78 (32%) Figures in parentheses are the percentages of reduction in pre-reform parking supply. Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy 7
  • 9. Conclusions & Policy Implications  A larger part of the average effect in London parking reform is attributable to the elimination of minimum parking standards  Minimum parking standards cause greater market distortion in the inner city  The London parking reform suggests the potential for an efficient parking market with minimal regulation on off-street parking provision and flexible on-street parking prices Lee Schipper Memorial Scholarship for Sustainable Transport and Energy 8