By Jennifer Morgan, Director, Climate and Energy Program. Presented at Transforming Transportation, January 27, 2012, Washington, D.C.

1. Transport in the context of
COP 17 in Durban: What’s
next?
Jennifer Morgan, Director Climate and Energy Program

2. Transportation Contributes ~20%
of Global CO2 Emissions
Global CO2 Emissions Sales
Transport CO2: 6.6
billion metric tons
Transport CO2
6.6 billion metric tons
Non-Transport
CO2: 22.8 billion
metric tons
Non-Transport CO2
22.7 billion metric tons
Source: IEA, 2010

3. Growth in Transportation sector
liquids consumption is significant
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook, 2011

4. Kyoto Protocol Track LCA track
Agree to amend Kyoto Protocol Art. 3.1 Pledged targets and actions in
with target and/or ranges from Parties COP decision with greater
information
• Agreement to a second commitment period
that will start 1/1/13 • Decisions to clarify targets and actions
• Target to be finalized at CMP8
• Commitment period of [5][8] years
Operationalisation of Cancun
Agreements and Bali Action Plan
Kyoto Amendments
• Finance: Launched GCF and Standing
• Takes note of amendments in Durban Committee ; minor steps on long-term
finance and transparency
• Adopt amendments at CMP8 in 2012
• MRV: Guidelines and processes for biennial
• Agreement on rules on LULUCF (with work
reports, NatComms, IAR, ICA; enhanced
programme to explore land-based
support
accounting and additional LULUCF activities
under CDM); greenhouse gases (expanded • Steps to operationalise NAMAs registry
to SF6 and NF3); GWPs; inventories (2006 • Adaptation: Progress on NAP guidelines and
IPCC Guidelines); flexibility mechanisms support; Adaptation Committee; Loss and
(with a provision to review commitment Damage; Nairobi Work Programme
period reserve). Continue discussions on • Progress on technology
carryover of AAUs • Decision to have a new market mechanism
KP Parties with no target in CP2 could Process to conclude negotiations
voluntarily apply amended KP rules (no on a legally binding
decision to do so in Durban) instrument, protocol or agreed
outcome with legal force by 2015
• Ad hoc working group on the Durban
Platform for Enhanced Action

5. IMPLEMENTATION of Kyoto Protocol and Cancun Pledges
KP CP2 = Kyoto
Protocol, Second
Commitment Period
Wokrplan
for ambition
IMMEDIATE actions to increase LBI = Legally binding
mitigation ambition between 2011 and instrument
2020: submissions and workshops LBC = Legally binding
commitments
Decision to amend KP
KP CP2 KP CP2
Adopt LBI with post-2020 LBCs
Negotiate LBI, including
Roadmap for LBI
post-2020 binding Prompt-start application +ratification + Implement Post-2020
commitments entry into force of new LBI binding commitments
1st periodic Review
COP17 COP18 COP19 COP20 COP21 COP22 COP23 COP24 COP25 COP26 COP27 COP28
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

6. Opportunities for Transport
LEDs
NAMAs
Namas
Registry
GCF Sustainable
Low Carbon
Transport

7. Types of Mitigation Actions
Emissions
Intensity
Reductions
GHG-Framed Carbon
Mitigation Neutrality
Mitigation Actions Goals
From a Base Year
Actions Other Absolute
Mitigation Emissions
Actions Reductions From Business
As Usual

8. Submitted NAMAs
Non Annex I
Actions
Absolute
relative to Absolute relative Carbon
BAU to base year Intensity Neutrality Bottom-Up NAMAs
Brazil Antigua and Barbuda China Bhutan Algeria Ghana
Chile Marshall Islands India Costa Rica Argentina Indonesia
Indonesia Republic of Moldova Maldives Armenia Jordan
Israel Papua New Guinea Benin Madagascar
Mexico Botswana Mauritius
Papua New
Guinea Brazil Mauritania
Republic of
Korea Cambodia Mongolia
Singapore Cameroon Morroco
Central African
South Africa Republic Peru
Chad San Marino
Colombia Sierra Leone
Congo Tajikistan
Cote d'Ivoire Macedonia
Ethiopia Togo
Eritrea Tunisia
Gabon

9. Mexico

10. South Africa

11. Where to focus
• Engage in national level LEDs debate
• Engage in NAMAs identification and
formulation
– Clarifications due on 1 March
• Seek opportunities through
registry, technology mechanism and GCF
developments.

12. Thank you
jmorgan @wri.org