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Stock market special report by epic research 27th june 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
27th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
Asian shares got off to a tentative start on Friday after a
weak performance on Wall Street, and global bond yields
dropped on creeping doubts on the strength of the U.S.
economic recovery. Japan's Nikkei .N225 dipped 0.3 per-
cent in early trade while South Korean shares fell 0.5 per-
cent .KS11. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was flat.
European shares came under pressure on Thursday after
a top Federal Reserve official suggested the U.S. econ-
omy would be ready for an interest rate hike in early
2015. The market was also pegged back by weakness in
banking shares, with the fallers' list topped by Barclays
after the New York Attorney General filed a lawsuit
against it.
Wall Street Update
US stocks ended slightly lower on Thursday after the
president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis said
interest-rate increases should come sooner rather than
later. Six of the 10 S&P 500 sectors were in negative terri-
tory. The S&P financial index slipped 0.3 percent and
ranked among those leading the market's decline. The
Dow Jones industrial average fell 21.38 points or 0.13
percent, to end at 16,846.13. The S&P 500 slipped 2.31
points or 0.12 percent, to 1,957.22. The Nasdaq Compos-
ite dipped 0.71 of a point or 0.02 percent, to 4,379.05.
Previous day Roundup
Sharp sell-off in oil & gas stocks and also cautiousness
due to F&O expiry dragged Indian market yesterday. The
Nifty ended June series below 7500, down 76.05 points
at 7493.20.The Sensex was down 251.07 points at
25062.67. Though the broader markets traded in the
negative zone but outperformed the benchmark indices
as the BSE Small-cap and Mid-cap indices ended 0.3%
lower. The breadth at the BSE ended weak as 1,540 scrips
declined while 1,488 counters advanced.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial
indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up
60.32pts], Capital Goods [up 139.36pts], PSU [up
215.45pts], FMCG [down 24.50pts], Realty [down
57.44pts], Power [down 18.17pts], Auto [up 20.03pts],
Healthcare [up 36.67pts], IT [down 2.38pts], Metals
[down 151.94pts], TECK [up 7.75pts], Oil& Gas [down
4443.57pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 16846.13 -0.13
S&P 500 1957.22 -0.12
NASDAQ 4379.05 -0.02
EURO STO 3233.19 -0.59
FTSE 100 6735.12 +0.02
Nikkei 225 15213.04 -0.62
Hong Kong 23202.86 +0.02
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
WIPRO 538.1 8.95 +1.69
TECHM 2049 30.80 +1.53
LT 1670 19.95 +1.21
HCLTECH 1435 16.10 +1.13
DRREDDY 2506 27.75 +1.12
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
ONGC 413.8 23.05 -5.28
DLF 210 7.20 -3.31
RELIANCE 1017.75 33.25 -3.16
NTPC 152.7 4.15 -2.65
MCDWELL-N 2576.00 66.30 -2.51
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ASIANPAINT 586.9 0.40 +0.07
AUROPHARMA 741.75 6.95 -0.93
BAJAJAUTO 2281.85 6.00 +0.26
BIOCON 521.00 13.10 +2.58
CENTURYTEX 568.25 7.40 +1.32
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 7493.20 -76.05 -1.00
SENSEX 25062.07 -251.60 -0.99
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
2. DAILY REPORT
27th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. ARVIND FUTURE
ARVIND FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up
has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains
above 230 levels. We advise buying around 229-230 levels
with strict stop loss 225 for the targets of 234-238 levels.
2. BIOCON FUTURE
BIOCON FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up
has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains
above 520 levels. We advise buying around 515-520 levels
with strict stop oss 500 for the targets of 530-545 levels.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. SONATASOFT
SONATASOFT trend line breakout on daily chart. We advise
selling around 73 level with strict stop loss 75.50 for the
targets of 71.50-70.
MACRO NEWS
Japanese retail giant Uniglo ready to set up 1000 stores in
India
Banks and loan collection agencies are employing skip-
trace, a method to extract and analyse creditor informa-
tion that was difficult to obtain before.
The govt on Wednesday postponed revision in natural gas
prices by 3months pending "comprehensive" review to
make controversial pricing formula more palatable.
Comments from a U.S. Federal Reserve official that raising
interest rates by the end of the first quarter in 2015 will
be appropriate also pressured investor sentiment in
global markets.
Government may undertake defense FDI in calibrated
manner, it may increase defense FDI cap to 51 percent
initially. Currently defense FDI allowed over 26 percent on
case to case basis.
India pays Iran USD 550 mn to partly clear oils import
dues. Oil ministry grants Oil India shale gas, oil rights for 5
acreages.
RComm and Reliance Jio may function as one, commpany
may consider roaming and spectrum sharing pacts once
rule permits.
3. DAILY REPORT
27th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts
)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 7,500 7.5 13,95,126 17,60,350
NIFTY PE 7,550 47.3 5,25,120 5,21,650
BANKNIFTY PE 7,600 108 4,28,216 6,57,850
BANKNIFTY PE 15,200 148 1,04,367 50,625
SBIN PE 2,700 43.25 6,227 1,33,000
RELIANCE PE 1,020 7 5,130 1,89,750
MCDOWELL-N PE 2,600 22.1 3,248 1,48,750
INFY PE 3,200 12 3,027 87,250
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 7,600 0.05 11,88,655 1,01,61,400
NIFTY CE 7,500 0.05 9,35,246 68,98,600
BANKNIFTY CE 7,550 0.05 9,14,971 48,90,800
BANKNIFTY CE 15,300 0.1 1,26,126 5,21,775
RELIANCE CE 2,700 0.1 13,680 6,23,000
SBIN CE 2,700 0.1 9,047 5,67,750
INFY CE 1,020 0.05 5,882 3,25,500
RELIANCE CE 3,200 0.1 5,039 1,93,750
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 137416 5190.20 133369 5036.50 302297 11403.17 153.70
INDEX OPTIONS 504449 18998.62 488145 18313.21 999369 37446.48 685.41
STOCK FUTURES 358090 13063.13 390865 14375.78 1454996 53399.12 -1312.65
STOCK OPTIONS 58711 2272.74 47945 1875.39 7138 255.78 397.35
TOTAL -76.20
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 7,603.80 7,548.50 7,514.90 7,459.60 7,426.00
BANK NIFTY 15,447.23 15,248.62 15,134.63 14,936.02 14,822.03
STOCKS IN NEWS
ONGC thinks it unfair to expect gas price decision by
new govt so soon.
The rating agency have upgraded the credit rating of
DHFL.
The subsidiary L&T, L&T Technology Services pur-
chased 74% equity stake in Thales Software India.
Ranbaxy gets USFDA nod for Valsartan: Agencies.
Tata Communications plans to terminate registration
of its ADRs.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed downside in the last trading session.
We advise selling around 7500 levels with strict stop loss
of 7550 for the targets of 7450-7400
4. DAILY REPORT
27th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 44850 TGT 45050,45350 SL BELOW
44600
SELL SILVER BELOW 44470 TGT 44270,43970 SL ABOVE
44770
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 27750 TGT 27830,27930 SL BELOW
27650
SELL GOLD BELOW 27620 TGT 27540,27440 SL ABOVE
27720
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Silver futures fell 0.52% to Rs 44,419 per kg yesterday as
speculators reduced positions on weak cues from global
markets. At the MCX, silver for delivery in July eased by Rs
234, or 0.52%, to Rs 44,419 per kg in a business turnover of
464 lots. Similarly, the white metal for delivery in Septem-
ber lost Rs 227, or 0.50%, to Rs 44,925 per kg in 91 lots. A
weak trend overseas as stronger equities dented the pre-
cious metals' safe-haven appeal, mainly pulled down silver
prices at futures trade. Meanwhile, silver slipped 0.30% to
$20.97 an ounce in Singapore yesterday.
The geo-political tensions in Iraq have escalated and begun
spilling over into neighbouring countries. Brent crude
dropped under $114 a barrel on Thursday as most of Iraq's
oil output remained unaffected by the militant insurgency
in the country, although worries over the conflict kept a
floor under prices. This surge in activity comes after Iraqi
Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki said he will not bow to inter-
national pressure on forming a national unity government
to tackle the rebellion. He has called the idea, which was
the crux of John Kerry's diplomatic mission
Gold was little changed early in Asian trading on Friday but
looked likely to fall as concerns grew over weak physical
demand and discovery of $15 billion of loans tied to falsi-
fied gold deals in top consumer China. Chinese gold proc-
essing firms have since 2012 used falsified gold transactions
to borrow 94.4 billion yuan ($15.2 billion) from banks, the
country's chief auditor said.
Gold prices fell by 0.30% to Rs 27,667 per 10 grams in fu-
tures trade yesterday amidst a weak trend overseas and
profit-booking by speculators. At the MCX, gold for delivery
in August eased by Rs 84, or 0.30%, to Rs 27,667 per 10
grams with a business volume of of 269 lots. Likewise, the
metal for delivery in October was down by Rs 67, or 0.24%,
to Rs 27,770 per 10 grams in 7 lots. Besides profit-booking
by speculators, a weak trend in the overseas markets as
stronger equities reduced the metal's safe-haven appeal,
put pressure on gold prices in futures trade here. Globally,
gold was trading lower at $ 1,316.66 an ounce in Singapore
today from $ 1,319.18 yesterday.
5. DAILY REPORT
27th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA JUL ABOVE 10630 TGTS 10660,10710 SL
10580
SELL DHANIYA JUL BELOW 10500 TGTS 10470,10420 SL
10550
GUARSEED
BUY GUARSEED JUL ABOVE 5680 TGTS 5710,5760 SL 5630
SELL GUARSEED JUL BELOW 5550 TGTS 5520,5470 SL 5600
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Castor Seed 4377 -2.47
Chana 2827 -1.12
Coriander 10575 -1.16
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1654 -0.18
Guarseed 5635 -0.88
Jeera 11210 -1.15
Mustard seed 3523 -0.48
Soy Bean 3917 +0.03
Sugar M Grade 3108 -0.64
Turmeric 6424 -1.98
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Snapping its two-day rising streak, sugar prices fell by 0.58%
to Rs 3,110 per quintal in futures trade yesterday as specu-
lators locked-in gains at prevailing higher levels. In addition,
stabilizing prices at wholesale markets, following pick-up in
supplies also influenced the prices of the sweetener. At
NCDEX, sugar for delivery in July eased by Rs 18, or 0.58%,
to Rs 3,110 per quintal with an open interest of 29,290 lots.
The sweetener for delivery in August also traded lower by
Rs 15, or 0.48%, to Rs 3,140 per quintal in 27,610 lots.
Supported by strong domestic and export demand, carda-
mom prices traded 0.56% higher to Rs 945.10 per kg in fu-
tures trade yesterday as speculators enlarged positions. Be-
sides, tight supplies from producing regions influenced car-
damom prices. At MCX cardamom for delivery in July rose
by Rs 5.30, or 0.56%, to Rs 945.10 per kg in a business turn-
over of 570 lots. Similarly, the spice for delivery in August
gained Rs 4.80, or 0.52%, to Rs 919.80 per kg in 116 lots.
Apart from strong domestic and export demand in the spot
market, tight supplies from producing belts mainly led to
the rise in cardamom prices in futures trade here.
Fearing an input shortage due to the decision to raise the
level of compulsory blending of ethanol in petrol, the
chemical industry has urged the Union government to roll
back the decision without delay.
6. DAILY REPORT
27th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
USD/INR
SELL USD/INR BELOW 60.36 TGTS 60.21, 60.06 SL 60.57.
BUY USD/INR ABOVE 60.64 TGTS 60.79, 60.94 SL 60.43.
GBP/INR
BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 103.08 TGTS 103.23, 103.38 SL 102.87.
SELL GBP/INR BELOW 102.78 TGTS 102.63,102.48 SL 102.99.
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The Indian rupee ended weak on Thursday, dragged down
by month-end importer dollar demand and lower stocks,
while uncertainty over Iraq turmoil kept traders cautious.
However, good dollar inflows prevented the unit from slid-
ing sharply despite domestic stocks falling by nearly 1%.
Foreign funds have bought shares worth $2.3 billion and
debt worth $2.90 billion so far in June, taking total inflows
in the year to $9.9 billion and $10.5 billion, respectively. The
Indian rupee ended at 60.14/60.15 to the dollar after trad-
ing in a narrow 60.08-60.20 band compared with Wednes-
day's close of 60.1250/1350.
Asian currencies were up with South Korean won leading
the gains as a disappointing contraction in the U.S. economy
during the first quarter raised expectations that the Federal
Reserve may not hurry to increase interest rates. In the off-
shore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month contract
was at 60.40, while the three-month was at 60.98.
The dollar was mixed against the other major currencies on
Thursday, after disappointing U.S. data on Wednesday
sparked expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep
rates hold for longer. The dollar edged higher against the
euro, with EUR/USD down 0.10% to 1.3616. The dollar came
under pressure after the Commerce Department on
Wednesday said gross domestic product contracted at an
annual rate of 2.9% in the first three months of the year,
compared to the consensus forecast for a decline of 1.7%.
The pound held steady against the dollar, with GBP/USD
inching up 0.02% to 1.6986. The dollar was lower against
the yen, with USD/JPY slipping 0.10% to 101.77 and higher
against the Swiss franc, with USD/CHF adding 0.10% to
0.8936. The greenback was steady to lower against the Aus-
tralian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars, with AUD/USD
up 0.06% to 0.9412, NZD/USD gaining 0.35% to 0.8768 and
USD/CAD falling 0.10% to 1.0709. The US Dollar Index,
which tracks the performance of the greenback versus a
basket of six other major currencies, was up 0.04% to 80.29.
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 60.1618 Yen-100 59.1200
Euro 82.0440 GBP 102.2329
7. DAILY REPORT
27th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
26/06/14 MCX GOLD AUG. BUY 27820 27900-2800 27790 NOT EXECUTED
26/06/14 MCX GOLD AUG. SELL 27690 27610-27510 27790
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
26/06/14 MCX SILVER JULY BUY 44700 44900-45300 44400
NO PROFIT NO
LOSS
26/06/14 MCX SILVER JULY SELL 44470 44270-43970 44770 BOOKED PROFIT
26/06/14 NCDEX GUARSEED JULY BUY 5760 5790-5840 5710 SL TRIGGERED
26/06/14 NCDEX GUARSEED JULY SELL 5550 5520-5470 5600 NOT EXECUTED
26/06/14 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY BUY 10750 71780-10830 10700 NOT EXECUTED
26/06/14 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY SELL 10555 10525-10475 10605 BOOKED PROFIT
26/06/14 USD/INR JUNE BUY 60.42 60.57-60.72 60.27 NOT EXECUTED
26/06/14 USD/INR JUNE SELL 60.08 59.98-59.78 60.29 NOT EXECUTED
26/06/14 EUR/INR JUNE SELL 81.74 81.59-81.44 81.95 NOT EXECUTED
26/06/14 EUR/INR JUNE BUY 82.15 82.30-82.45 91.94 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
26/06/14 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 7625 7575-7725 7575 NOT EXECUTED
26/06/14 BIOCON FUTURE BUY 500-505 512-520 492 NOT EXECUTED
26/06/14 IRB FUTURE BUY 225-228 234-238 221 CALL OPEN
26/06/14
SHOBHA DEVEL-
OPER
CASH BUY 535 555-565 545 NOT EXECUTED
25/06/14 HINDPETRO FUTURE SELL 415-420 435-450 405 SL TRIGGERED
16/06/14 HINDUNILVR FUTURE BUY 635-640 655-675 610 CALL OPEN
16/06/14 DIVIS LAB FUTURE BUY 1340-1360 1400-1465 1290 CALL OPEN
10/06/14 POWER GRID FUTURE SELL 135 142-145 130 CALL OPEN
8. DAILY REPORT
27th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL
CONSENSUS
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JUNE 23
8:30 AM CHICAGO FED NATIONAL ACTIVITY INDEX MAY -- 0.19
9:45 AM MARKIT FLASH PMI JUNE -- 56.4
10 AM EXISTING HOME SALES MAY 4.70 MLN 4.65 MLN
TUESDAY, JUNE 24
9 AM CASE-SHILLER HOME PRICES APRIL --
9 AM FHFA HOME PRICES APRIL --
10 AM CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX JUNE 83.3 83.0
10 AM NEW HOME SALES MAY 440,000 433,000
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 25
8:30 AM GDP REVISION 1Q -2.0% -1.0%
8:30 AM DURABLE GOODS ORDERS MAY -1.1% 0.6%
THURSDAY, JUNE 26
8:30 A.M. WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS 6/21 N/A N/A
FRIDAY, JUNE 27
8:30 AM PERSONAL INCOME MAY 0.3% 0.3%
8:30 AM CONSUMER SPENDING MAY 0.4% -0.1%
9:55 AM CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX JUNE 82.0 81.2