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Online fraud is still a big problem and as long as the number of online shoppers continues to grow, so will the
number of fraud cases. According to the European Central Bank there were 7.9 million cases of fraud with a value
of 1.16 billion euros in 2011 of which 56% took place in e-commerce.
European Merchant Services organizes the EMS RISK EVENT annually for retailers who are active in e-commerce
and multichannel. It is an excellent opportunity to increase your knowledge in the field of online fraud, risk
management and advanced fraud prevention and detection tools. We help you to stay ahead of online fraudsters
and to protect your online business by sharing the knowledge and experience of our fraud and risk experts, our
customers and our partners.
Do you want to attend next year’s EMS RISK EVENT?
Please contact the EMS Marketing Department at T +31 20 660 3054 or send an email to
marketing@emscard.com. For more information visit www.emscard.com/riskevent
Follow us on:
Understanding the impact of
your fraud strategy
Kieran Mongey
Senior Fraud Consultant, EMEA
24th September 2013
3
What we are going to address
• Understanding drivers behind the business case for your fraud strategy
• What are the most effective strategies we should be adopting?
• How can we safely embrace new market opportunities – US Cards example?
4
First, a word about ReD
Specialist provider of fraud prevention and payment services
to card issuers, acquirers, merchants, switches and processors worldwide
• Services are agnostic of payment type, payment channel and currency
• Provided as managed services, hosted services or installed software
• Tailored, by expert analysts, to the needs of individual customers
• More than 300 large, blue-chip customers, on six continents
• Hundreds of additional merchants connected through Payment Service Providers
• Proprietary technology and databases; patented neural network technologies
• Privately owned, debt free, profitable and high growth
Trusted by the world’s biggest
brands – and by global and
regional partners
3
The Business Case
6
Understanding Profit & Loss in your own business
How is managing fraud different in each sector?
• Retail – Furniture & Homeware
• Retail – Electronics
• Telco – Top Up
• Telco – Contract (with Handset)
• Insurance – Car
• Gaming
• Credit Risk
• Travel
• Financial Services
7
Revenue – Costs = Profit
Revenue considerations
• Competitors
• 3DSecure
• Payment Methods (cost per txn)
• Payment Methods (fraud)
• Payment Methods (new customers)
• International card acceptance
• International business expansion
• Saturation point - Products
• Fulfilment risk
• Marketing strategies
• Customer Service ethos
• Product Margin
8
Costs to consider
• Manual Review FTE
• Manual Review (other)
• Chargeback Processing
• Fraud Vendor Costs
• Cash Management / Finance
• Customer Service alignment
• Fulfilment monitoring
• IT roadmap
• IT systems capacity
• Head Office Time / Head Count / Consultancy
• Audit (Internal)
• Acquiring Interchange (3DS)
9
Business decisions – how do they impact your fraud team?
10
Fraud
Team
Systems API
Marketing
Fulfilment
Budget &
Finance
Product
assortment
Acquiring/
PSP process
functionality
Cost centre or revenue centre?
11
Decline Rate
- Fraud
- False positives
Manual Review Rate
- Staff
- Other costs
New Channels
- Cards
- Fulfilment
- IP
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Net Contribution
Net Contribution
Best Practice Fraud Strategies
12
People and process supporting technology
13
Data
Analysis
Reporting
Education
Rules
Profiling – why is it so critical? (both positive & negative)
14
Consumers are continuously presented with offers to spend more money
Banks, Insurers & Retailers are great at it – all driven through marketing and customer
profiling
Card number
Amount
Purchase velocities
Billing / shipping details
Email
CV2 AVS
Historically
Standard profiles / data
Low chargebacks or
low insults – not both
15
Profile data
Card number
Amount
Purchase velocities
Billing / shipping details
Email
CV2 AVS
Payment details / 3DS responses
Shopper history
Global negative lists / merchant
specific positive lists
Unlimited bespoke data field functionality
Product / delivery / customer details
Today
16
Profile segmentation
Same day/next day
delivery
Click & collect
International
Marketing segments
PayPal / alternative paymentsNon registered / registered
High risk technology
Aligned to customer service
proposition
3D secure status
Mobile payments
Call centre sales
Risk strategies aligned to business requirements
Today
17
Turning data into rules
Data
Analysis
Reporting
Education
Rules
18
Industry standard merchant KPIs are improving
Prior to Collaboration Today
FRAUD EXPOSURE
REDUCED BY
41DAYS
1. Chargeback received from Acquirer 40 days
• 72% within 30 Days of Transaction Date
2. Reporting developed 2 days
3. Screening Database Population 1 day
4. Analysis of data 2 days
5. Education / Present findings 1 day
6. Rule changes 2 hours
TOTAL 46 days
1. Fraud data received from Acquirer 3 days
• 72% within 3 Days of Transaction Date
2. Reporting developed - BI 15 minutes
3. Screening Database Population 5 minutes
4. Analysis of data 2 hours
5. Education / Present findings 1 day
6. Rule changes 2 hours
TOTAL Under 5 days
Data
Analysis
Reporting
Education
Rules Data
Analysis
Reporting
Education
Rules
19
Fraud affects all players in the payments chain – what are the issues?
CardholderMerchant
IssuerAcquirer
• Security and confidence
• Speed (to enable faster delivery)
• Positive customer experience
• Reduced fraud and chargebacks
• Reduced costs of managing fraud
• Protection for genuine customers, to enable sales
• Speed (to enable faster delivery)
• Support for merchants in tackling fraud
• Fraud prevention re-sell opportunities
• Control of merchant fraud
• Reduced fraud losses and control of chargebacks
• Faster fraud detection for improved cardholder experience
• Robust, scalable fraud prevention solutions to support growth
20
ReD Fraud XchangeTM
Data – fast detection leads to minimal exposure
Key negative data points to be tapping into:
• Negative Databases
• 500,000 distinct data fields loaded in June 2013
• Fraudulent card, email, phone, address, IP, Device and generic customer data
fields – therefore detects ‘LIVE’ data elements
• Fully automated processing ensures efficiencies in loading data quickly and
therefore value of ‘current’ fraud detected
• Data feeds from Underground Online Fraud Lists
• Automated Merchant chargeback files
• Click & Block declines
• Work with Acquirers & PSPs to leverage their intelligence
• Internal databases – marketing / operations / fulfilment
21
Data – not just Chargeback monitoring
• Related Fraud, Confirmed Fraud & Chargeback Analytics
• Fraud / Data Flags – Profile Building
• Data can be marked in accordance with business objectives – not just fraud
• Marketing / New Business / New Markets
• Products
• Payment Types
• Proactive Fraud Alerts
• Rule Effectiveness Reporting ensures efficiencies are maintained
• Continuous enrichment of data as retailers grow and new fraud trends emerge. What
you see as fraud today will not be the MO or trend tomorrow – but it still needs to be
stopped!
22
Extracting intelligent data
23
• Self-service Business Intelligence portal and Operational portal
• real-time and near-real-time access to transaction data
• proactive fraud alerts
Intelligence into effective & quantifiable rules
Rule Functionality
1. Silent Rules – profiling & understand rule impacts pre deployment
2. Click & Block - instant Blacklisting / Whitelisting stopping / accepting immediately
3. Hard / Soft Rules – prioritise rules according to impact & risk appetite
4. Auto analyst rules – reduce volumes in review queues during peak times
5. Auto pilot rules – create subset rules for a defined duration from certain rules
6. Sub-client rules – aligned to how the rule strategy in segmented / KPIs / available data
7. Bespoke rules – commonly building multi-layered rules (5 data combinations)
8. Tumbling & Swapping / Velocity – detects auto-generating cards and emails
Rule Maintenance
1. Rule Effectiveness Reporting – ability to constantly monitor and substantiate
performance of rules / modify accordingly
2. Rule Manager – rules can be changed through an easy to use Interface OR through
working with your risk analyst
24
Rules aligned to sales strategies
Fraud strategies aligned to
marketing campaigns to deliver ROI
DENY MORE THAN 4 CARDS PER IP IN 3 DAYS NOT IN EXCLUSIONS LIST
TOTAL HITS IN LAST 30 DAYS 158
TOTAL FRAUD IN LAST 30 DAYS 28
FRAUD RATE 17.7%
MARKETING CAMPAIGN TO UNIVERSITIES LATE SEPTEMBER
TOTAL HITS IN 3 DAYS 419
TOTAL FRAUD IN 3 DAYS 7
FRAUD RATE 1.7%
25
The devil is in the detail
Related
fraud
volumes
International
delivery
reject rates
Mobile
payment
revenue
3D Secure
drop out
Marketing
campaign
success rates
Positive list
performance
Foreign
card
acceptance
Call centre
overheads
Challenged
and released
revenue
Continuous performance improvement delivering ROI
The US Opportunity
27
The opportunity
• US ecommerce estimated
to reach $278.9 billion by
2015 (Forrester)
• 2.84 million tourists visited
the UK from the USA in
2012
• These tourists spent £2.4
billion (almost £1 billion
more than any other
country)
28
$280bn
The size of the problem
29
0,00% 0,20% 0,40% 0,60% 0,80% 1,00% 1,20% 1,40% 1,60%
USA
Australia
France
Canada
Brazil
Netherlands
UK
Germany
Italy
Spain
Norway
Denmark
Saudi Arabia
Belgium
Switzerland
Sweden
UAE
Japan
Portugal
Russian Federation
Attempted Fraud Rate (by value)
by card issuing country
Source: ReD European customers, January – June 2013
What makes accepting US cards so difficult?
Problems
• Fraud is high compared to the
genuine volume
• Scheme fines and blocks
• Business decision to block
transactions
• European fraudsters are buying
US cards, and monetising through
European retailers
30
Causes
• Genuine volume is low
• Business decision to accept US
cards leading to increased fraud
• Fraudsters prefer to use US cards
– costs less
What is driving European fraudsters toward US cards?
• Compromised US credit cards are cheaper to buy
• $10 compared to $50 (Federal Court Case in the US)
• supply and demand - the market is flooded with cards from the US
• Lower US security - cards are easier to compromise and use
31
USA Card Country and Time on File <14
Ship
Country
Accepted
TXN
Confirmed
Fraud
Confirmed
Fraud Rate
Related
Fraud
Related
Fraud Rate
UK 1849 624 34% 1470 80%
Spain 37 24 65% 30 81%
USA 741 11 1% 20 3%
Italy 22 5 23% 15 68%
Turkey 7 4 57% 6 86%
Macedonia 40 4 10% 40 100%
Others 90 3 3% 22 24%
Total 2786 675 24% 1603 58%
Case study – large European airline
Problem
• Denying all US (and Canadian) cards
through internal fraud rules, due to
scheme requirements
Solution
• Worked with ReD to create a
targeted rule strategy to release US
transactions
Results
• Released transactions worth €2.7m
in the first 3 months with a
chargeback rate of 0.1%
32
Case study – growing MVNO UK telco
Problem
• Declining all transactions on US
cards, but during the Olympics
wanted to open up market
Solution
• Targeted rules opened channel
allowing low value top ups,
targeting tourists and students
Result
• Now accepting c.1000
transaction per month and
growing
33
Case study – large UK travel company
Problem
• 90% of chargebacks
coming from US cards,
fined heavily by schemes
Solution
• Created tailored rules
Results
• Reduced chargeback
rates from 18% to 1.2%
• US cards now account
for only 26% of all
chargebacks
34
Solutions
implemented
to reduce fraud New solution
implemented
to reduce fraud
Time
Value of
fraud
Fraud begins to rise as
fraudsters adapt
Source: Datamonitor
ReD continues to track fraudsters’ movements through
reporting and business intelligence tools
Let’s monetise the US opportunity – safely!
• Use your data
• Tailor your rules
• Continuously report and monitor
35
Data
Analysis
Reporting
Education
Rules
Don’t block the US revenue opportunity
– it is possible to safely accept these transactions
What have we learnt?
Our fraud management checklist:
• The importance of understanding how Fraud impacts Profit outside of just
the chargeback line of a P&L – thus driving appropriate fraud strategies
• Adopt best practice strategies at both a micro and macro level
• Use your fraud strategy to open up new revenue streams
36
Thank you
Kieran Mongey
Senior Fraud Consultant, EMEA
kmongey@redworldwide.com
+44 (0) 7957 494 119
37

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Understanding the impact of your fraud strategy

  • 1.
  • 2. Online fraud is still a big problem and as long as the number of online shoppers continues to grow, so will the number of fraud cases. According to the European Central Bank there were 7.9 million cases of fraud with a value of 1.16 billion euros in 2011 of which 56% took place in e-commerce. European Merchant Services organizes the EMS RISK EVENT annually for retailers who are active in e-commerce and multichannel. It is an excellent opportunity to increase your knowledge in the field of online fraud, risk management and advanced fraud prevention and detection tools. We help you to stay ahead of online fraudsters and to protect your online business by sharing the knowledge and experience of our fraud and risk experts, our customers and our partners. Do you want to attend next year’s EMS RISK EVENT? Please contact the EMS Marketing Department at T +31 20 660 3054 or send an email to marketing@emscard.com. For more information visit www.emscard.com/riskevent Follow us on:
  • 3. Understanding the impact of your fraud strategy Kieran Mongey Senior Fraud Consultant, EMEA 24th September 2013 3
  • 4. What we are going to address • Understanding drivers behind the business case for your fraud strategy • What are the most effective strategies we should be adopting? • How can we safely embrace new market opportunities – US Cards example? 4
  • 5. First, a word about ReD Specialist provider of fraud prevention and payment services to card issuers, acquirers, merchants, switches and processors worldwide • Services are agnostic of payment type, payment channel and currency • Provided as managed services, hosted services or installed software • Tailored, by expert analysts, to the needs of individual customers • More than 300 large, blue-chip customers, on six continents • Hundreds of additional merchants connected through Payment Service Providers • Proprietary technology and databases; patented neural network technologies • Privately owned, debt free, profitable and high growth Trusted by the world’s biggest brands – and by global and regional partners 3
  • 7. Understanding Profit & Loss in your own business How is managing fraud different in each sector? • Retail – Furniture & Homeware • Retail – Electronics • Telco – Top Up • Telco – Contract (with Handset) • Insurance – Car • Gaming • Credit Risk • Travel • Financial Services 7 Revenue – Costs = Profit
  • 8. Revenue considerations • Competitors • 3DSecure • Payment Methods (cost per txn) • Payment Methods (fraud) • Payment Methods (new customers) • International card acceptance • International business expansion • Saturation point - Products • Fulfilment risk • Marketing strategies • Customer Service ethos • Product Margin 8
  • 9. Costs to consider • Manual Review FTE • Manual Review (other) • Chargeback Processing • Fraud Vendor Costs • Cash Management / Finance • Customer Service alignment • Fulfilment monitoring • IT roadmap • IT systems capacity • Head Office Time / Head Count / Consultancy • Audit (Internal) • Acquiring Interchange (3DS) 9
  • 10. Business decisions – how do they impact your fraud team? 10 Fraud Team Systems API Marketing Fulfilment Budget & Finance Product assortment Acquiring/ PSP process functionality
  • 11. Cost centre or revenue centre? 11 Decline Rate - Fraud - False positives Manual Review Rate - Staff - Other costs New Channels - Cards - Fulfilment - IP -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Net Contribution Net Contribution
  • 12. Best Practice Fraud Strategies 12
  • 13. People and process supporting technology 13 Data Analysis Reporting Education Rules
  • 14. Profiling – why is it so critical? (both positive & negative) 14 Consumers are continuously presented with offers to spend more money Banks, Insurers & Retailers are great at it – all driven through marketing and customer profiling
  • 15. Card number Amount Purchase velocities Billing / shipping details Email CV2 AVS Historically Standard profiles / data Low chargebacks or low insults – not both 15
  • 16. Profile data Card number Amount Purchase velocities Billing / shipping details Email CV2 AVS Payment details / 3DS responses Shopper history Global negative lists / merchant specific positive lists Unlimited bespoke data field functionality Product / delivery / customer details Today 16
  • 17. Profile segmentation Same day/next day delivery Click & collect International Marketing segments PayPal / alternative paymentsNon registered / registered High risk technology Aligned to customer service proposition 3D secure status Mobile payments Call centre sales Risk strategies aligned to business requirements Today 17
  • 18. Turning data into rules Data Analysis Reporting Education Rules 18
  • 19. Industry standard merchant KPIs are improving Prior to Collaboration Today FRAUD EXPOSURE REDUCED BY 41DAYS 1. Chargeback received from Acquirer 40 days • 72% within 30 Days of Transaction Date 2. Reporting developed 2 days 3. Screening Database Population 1 day 4. Analysis of data 2 days 5. Education / Present findings 1 day 6. Rule changes 2 hours TOTAL 46 days 1. Fraud data received from Acquirer 3 days • 72% within 3 Days of Transaction Date 2. Reporting developed - BI 15 minutes 3. Screening Database Population 5 minutes 4. Analysis of data 2 hours 5. Education / Present findings 1 day 6. Rule changes 2 hours TOTAL Under 5 days Data Analysis Reporting Education Rules Data Analysis Reporting Education Rules 19
  • 20. Fraud affects all players in the payments chain – what are the issues? CardholderMerchant IssuerAcquirer • Security and confidence • Speed (to enable faster delivery) • Positive customer experience • Reduced fraud and chargebacks • Reduced costs of managing fraud • Protection for genuine customers, to enable sales • Speed (to enable faster delivery) • Support for merchants in tackling fraud • Fraud prevention re-sell opportunities • Control of merchant fraud • Reduced fraud losses and control of chargebacks • Faster fraud detection for improved cardholder experience • Robust, scalable fraud prevention solutions to support growth 20 ReD Fraud XchangeTM
  • 21. Data – fast detection leads to minimal exposure Key negative data points to be tapping into: • Negative Databases • 500,000 distinct data fields loaded in June 2013 • Fraudulent card, email, phone, address, IP, Device and generic customer data fields – therefore detects ‘LIVE’ data elements • Fully automated processing ensures efficiencies in loading data quickly and therefore value of ‘current’ fraud detected • Data feeds from Underground Online Fraud Lists • Automated Merchant chargeback files • Click & Block declines • Work with Acquirers & PSPs to leverage their intelligence • Internal databases – marketing / operations / fulfilment 21
  • 22. Data – not just Chargeback monitoring • Related Fraud, Confirmed Fraud & Chargeback Analytics • Fraud / Data Flags – Profile Building • Data can be marked in accordance with business objectives – not just fraud • Marketing / New Business / New Markets • Products • Payment Types • Proactive Fraud Alerts • Rule Effectiveness Reporting ensures efficiencies are maintained • Continuous enrichment of data as retailers grow and new fraud trends emerge. What you see as fraud today will not be the MO or trend tomorrow – but it still needs to be stopped! 22
  • 23. Extracting intelligent data 23 • Self-service Business Intelligence portal and Operational portal • real-time and near-real-time access to transaction data • proactive fraud alerts
  • 24. Intelligence into effective & quantifiable rules Rule Functionality 1. Silent Rules – profiling & understand rule impacts pre deployment 2. Click & Block - instant Blacklisting / Whitelisting stopping / accepting immediately 3. Hard / Soft Rules – prioritise rules according to impact & risk appetite 4. Auto analyst rules – reduce volumes in review queues during peak times 5. Auto pilot rules – create subset rules for a defined duration from certain rules 6. Sub-client rules – aligned to how the rule strategy in segmented / KPIs / available data 7. Bespoke rules – commonly building multi-layered rules (5 data combinations) 8. Tumbling & Swapping / Velocity – detects auto-generating cards and emails Rule Maintenance 1. Rule Effectiveness Reporting – ability to constantly monitor and substantiate performance of rules / modify accordingly 2. Rule Manager – rules can be changed through an easy to use Interface OR through working with your risk analyst 24
  • 25. Rules aligned to sales strategies Fraud strategies aligned to marketing campaigns to deliver ROI DENY MORE THAN 4 CARDS PER IP IN 3 DAYS NOT IN EXCLUSIONS LIST TOTAL HITS IN LAST 30 DAYS 158 TOTAL FRAUD IN LAST 30 DAYS 28 FRAUD RATE 17.7% MARKETING CAMPAIGN TO UNIVERSITIES LATE SEPTEMBER TOTAL HITS IN 3 DAYS 419 TOTAL FRAUD IN 3 DAYS 7 FRAUD RATE 1.7% 25
  • 26. The devil is in the detail Related fraud volumes International delivery reject rates Mobile payment revenue 3D Secure drop out Marketing campaign success rates Positive list performance Foreign card acceptance Call centre overheads Challenged and released revenue Continuous performance improvement delivering ROI
  • 28. The opportunity • US ecommerce estimated to reach $278.9 billion by 2015 (Forrester) • 2.84 million tourists visited the UK from the USA in 2012 • These tourists spent £2.4 billion (almost £1 billion more than any other country) 28 $280bn
  • 29. The size of the problem 29 0,00% 0,20% 0,40% 0,60% 0,80% 1,00% 1,20% 1,40% 1,60% USA Australia France Canada Brazil Netherlands UK Germany Italy Spain Norway Denmark Saudi Arabia Belgium Switzerland Sweden UAE Japan Portugal Russian Federation Attempted Fraud Rate (by value) by card issuing country Source: ReD European customers, January – June 2013
  • 30. What makes accepting US cards so difficult? Problems • Fraud is high compared to the genuine volume • Scheme fines and blocks • Business decision to block transactions • European fraudsters are buying US cards, and monetising through European retailers 30 Causes • Genuine volume is low • Business decision to accept US cards leading to increased fraud • Fraudsters prefer to use US cards – costs less
  • 31. What is driving European fraudsters toward US cards? • Compromised US credit cards are cheaper to buy • $10 compared to $50 (Federal Court Case in the US) • supply and demand - the market is flooded with cards from the US • Lower US security - cards are easier to compromise and use 31 USA Card Country and Time on File <14 Ship Country Accepted TXN Confirmed Fraud Confirmed Fraud Rate Related Fraud Related Fraud Rate UK 1849 624 34% 1470 80% Spain 37 24 65% 30 81% USA 741 11 1% 20 3% Italy 22 5 23% 15 68% Turkey 7 4 57% 6 86% Macedonia 40 4 10% 40 100% Others 90 3 3% 22 24% Total 2786 675 24% 1603 58%
  • 32. Case study – large European airline Problem • Denying all US (and Canadian) cards through internal fraud rules, due to scheme requirements Solution • Worked with ReD to create a targeted rule strategy to release US transactions Results • Released transactions worth €2.7m in the first 3 months with a chargeback rate of 0.1% 32
  • 33. Case study – growing MVNO UK telco Problem • Declining all transactions on US cards, but during the Olympics wanted to open up market Solution • Targeted rules opened channel allowing low value top ups, targeting tourists and students Result • Now accepting c.1000 transaction per month and growing 33
  • 34. Case study – large UK travel company Problem • 90% of chargebacks coming from US cards, fined heavily by schemes Solution • Created tailored rules Results • Reduced chargeback rates from 18% to 1.2% • US cards now account for only 26% of all chargebacks 34 Solutions implemented to reduce fraud New solution implemented to reduce fraud Time Value of fraud Fraud begins to rise as fraudsters adapt Source: Datamonitor ReD continues to track fraudsters’ movements through reporting and business intelligence tools
  • 35. Let’s monetise the US opportunity – safely! • Use your data • Tailor your rules • Continuously report and monitor 35 Data Analysis Reporting Education Rules Don’t block the US revenue opportunity – it is possible to safely accept these transactions
  • 36. What have we learnt? Our fraud management checklist: • The importance of understanding how Fraud impacts Profit outside of just the chargeback line of a P&L – thus driving appropriate fraud strategies • Adopt best practice strategies at both a micro and macro level • Use your fraud strategy to open up new revenue streams 36
  • 37. Thank you Kieran Mongey Senior Fraud Consultant, EMEA kmongey@redworldwide.com +44 (0) 7957 494 119 37