Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 12 September 2023

Valuation Webinar
September 2023
Poll Question
What is the average multiple that a £700,000 EBITDA UK business sells for now?
Page 2
1x to 2.5x
2.6x to 5x
5.1x to 7.5x
7.6x to 10x
10.1x to 12.5x
12.6x +
a
b
c
d
e
f
UK-based targets accounted for 218 transactions –
approximately 70% in each period for sub £50m EV.
Between August 2022
and July 2023, there
were 218 reported UK
acquisitions made by
trade and PE.
Of these 118 were
profitable, reported and
EBITDA multiple and was
not considered an outlier
(Multiple above 25x).
Aug 22 – Oct 22 had the
most transactions at 76.
Feb 23 – Apr 23 had the
fewest transactions at 40.
Page 3
Outliers are companies that did not report an EBITDA multiple, were loss-making or had
an EBITDA multiple in excess of 25x.
76
59
40 43
42
35
20 21
55
41
29 30
29
21
11 10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Aug22 - Oct22 Nov22 - Jan23 Feb23 - Apr23 May23 - Jul23
No. of Transactions - UK Targets
All Transactions All Transactions exc. Outliers
Sub £50m Sub £50m EV exc. Outliers
EBITDA Multiples have trended upwards
EBITDA multiples have
trended upwards
through the last twelve
months after a dip in
Feb23 through Apr23.
The most recent quarter
includes a comparatively
higher number of
transactions at an EV
over £250m – which
typically attract a
premium multiple.
Page 4
Outliers are companies that did not report an EBITDA multiple, were loss-making or had
an EBITDA multiple in excess of 25x.
7.57
9.60
8.23
9.52
6.4
7.69
7.98
8.56
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
10
Aug22 - Oct22 Nov22 - Jan23 Feb23 - Apr23 May23 - Jul23
EBITDA Multiples by Quarter
Median EBITDA Multiple
Median EBITDA Multiple (Sub £50m EV)
Growing EBITDA has an outsized impact on valuations
We would typically
expect that a larger
company would warrant
a higher EBITDA multiple
owing to factors such as
increased market share
and pricing power
(amongst many other
factors).
There are comparatively
fewer transactions in
‘high-value’ sectors such
as Healthcare and
Financial Services in the
£50m - £250m EV
bracket.
Page 5
Outliers are companies that did not report an EBITDA multiple, were loss-making or had
an EBITDA multiple in excess of 25x.
4.89
8.12
12.02
6.29
13.06
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Less than
£5m
£5m - £25m £25m - £50m £50m - £250m Over £250m
Median EBITDA Multiple by EV
Healthcare and Financial Service attract multiples
above 10x
After removing those
transactions described as
outliers, a wide spread
exists within individuals
industries.
Healthcare and Financial
Services reported the
highest median multiples
at 12.11x and 10.99x
respectively.
Property reported the
lowest at a median
EBITDA multiple of 7.25x.
Page 6
Outliers are companies that did not report an EBITDA multiple, were loss-making or had
an EBITDA multiple in excess of 25x.
US dominates overseas acquisitions of UK companies
Overseas transactions
are typically reserved for
the most valuable
companies – in part due
to the complexity of
completing the deal and
managing operations in a
foreign jurisdiction.
Of 71 transactions valued
at under £50m EV, only
13 were acquired by an
overseas entity.
Page 7
Acquirer Base
No. of
Transactions
Median EV
No. of Transactions
(Sub £50m EV)
UK 150 £7,079,966 58
US 24 £130,847,500 2
Australia 8 £15,924,645 3
Canada 6 £1,332,700,000 2
Sweden 6 £12,500,000 2
South Africa 3 £182,000,000 0
Germany 3 £415,000,000 1
France 3 £1,120,000,000 0
Other 15 £37,658,000 3
Total 218 £13,100,000 71
Poll Question
How do you increase valuation?
Please write your answers and suggestions in the chat box.
Page 8
- Appropriately including the impact of COVID on a business:
- Determining whether a poor performing year is a one-off or
the start of a downwards trend.
- Leisure-based industries were closed during most of 2020,
then had the ‘staycation’ boom in 2021.
- BREXIT – issues with cross-border trade, extra administration
and associated time, work permit issues esp. farming.
- Interest rates and inflationary environment – increasing cost
base, risks of fixed pricing contracts.
- Supply chain limitations – energy prices, container issues, raw
material shortages (e.g. microchips).
Valuation Issues
Page 9
Limitations
Financial information may be incomplete for some entries – Our sources
of information are limited to the disclosures made by either party in a
particular transaction, or through investigative journalism conducted by
our data providers or other reputable news source in discussion with
either company participating in the transaction.
Financial information is subject to restatement – A subject company may
restate various financial data at a date later than the analysis was
conducted.
Various deals may not be captured by the above search criteria –
Reasonable efforts have been made to ensure that the entries included
within the dataset are appropriate, but we cannot ensure that all
relevant details are captured, as this is influenced by the classification
techniques of our data providers and by the disclosures made by
transacting companies.
Previous deal data may not be indicative of future market trends –
Valuations (and multiples) may fluctuate with the economic cycle.
Adjustments made to Enterprise Value are subjective – The adjustments
made to the Enterprise Value to arrive at Equity Value will depend on
the particular companies and transactions in a number of respects.
We note that the data analysis may be naturally limited in some respects.
Page 10
Next webinar: 5 December 2023
Page 11
Bishop’s Stortford +44 (0) 1279 155888
Cambridge +44 (0) 1223 565035
Caribbean +1 758 451 9251
Channel Islands +44 (0) 1481 715669
City of London +44 (0) 20 7065 2660
Dubai +971 (0) 48786360
Ely +44 (0) 1353 662892
Mayfair +44 (0) 20 3909 04807
Newmarket +44 (0) 1638 666160
Norwich +44 (0) 1603 709330
Sawston +44 (0) 1223 578787
Page 12
Contact us
Chand Chudasama
Partner
Strategic Corporate Finance
E simon.blake@pricebailey.co.uk
T +44 (0)1223 507639
T +44 (0)7702665342
Simon Blake
Partner
Strategic Corporate Finance
E chand.chudasama@pricebailey.co.uk
T +44 (0)20 3829 1739
T +44 (0)782 414 5475
Mark Ellis
Assistant Manager
Strategic Corporate Finance
E mark.ellis@pricebailey.co.uk
T +44 (0)1603 567841
T +44 (0)7899 890846
1 sur 12

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Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 12 September 2023

  • 2. Poll Question What is the average multiple that a £700,000 EBITDA UK business sells for now? Page 2 1x to 2.5x 2.6x to 5x 5.1x to 7.5x 7.6x to 10x 10.1x to 12.5x 12.6x + a b c d e f
  • 3. UK-based targets accounted for 218 transactions – approximately 70% in each period for sub £50m EV. Between August 2022 and July 2023, there were 218 reported UK acquisitions made by trade and PE. Of these 118 were profitable, reported and EBITDA multiple and was not considered an outlier (Multiple above 25x). Aug 22 – Oct 22 had the most transactions at 76. Feb 23 – Apr 23 had the fewest transactions at 40. Page 3 Outliers are companies that did not report an EBITDA multiple, were loss-making or had an EBITDA multiple in excess of 25x. 76 59 40 43 42 35 20 21 55 41 29 30 29 21 11 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Aug22 - Oct22 Nov22 - Jan23 Feb23 - Apr23 May23 - Jul23 No. of Transactions - UK Targets All Transactions All Transactions exc. Outliers Sub £50m Sub £50m EV exc. Outliers
  • 4. EBITDA Multiples have trended upwards EBITDA multiples have trended upwards through the last twelve months after a dip in Feb23 through Apr23. The most recent quarter includes a comparatively higher number of transactions at an EV over £250m – which typically attract a premium multiple. Page 4 Outliers are companies that did not report an EBITDA multiple, were loss-making or had an EBITDA multiple in excess of 25x. 7.57 9.60 8.23 9.52 6.4 7.69 7.98 8.56 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 9 9.5 10 Aug22 - Oct22 Nov22 - Jan23 Feb23 - Apr23 May23 - Jul23 EBITDA Multiples by Quarter Median EBITDA Multiple Median EBITDA Multiple (Sub £50m EV)
  • 5. Growing EBITDA has an outsized impact on valuations We would typically expect that a larger company would warrant a higher EBITDA multiple owing to factors such as increased market share and pricing power (amongst many other factors). There are comparatively fewer transactions in ‘high-value’ sectors such as Healthcare and Financial Services in the £50m - £250m EV bracket. Page 5 Outliers are companies that did not report an EBITDA multiple, were loss-making or had an EBITDA multiple in excess of 25x. 4.89 8.12 12.02 6.29 13.06 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Less than £5m £5m - £25m £25m - £50m £50m - £250m Over £250m Median EBITDA Multiple by EV
  • 6. Healthcare and Financial Service attract multiples above 10x After removing those transactions described as outliers, a wide spread exists within individuals industries. Healthcare and Financial Services reported the highest median multiples at 12.11x and 10.99x respectively. Property reported the lowest at a median EBITDA multiple of 7.25x. Page 6 Outliers are companies that did not report an EBITDA multiple, were loss-making or had an EBITDA multiple in excess of 25x.
  • 7. US dominates overseas acquisitions of UK companies Overseas transactions are typically reserved for the most valuable companies – in part due to the complexity of completing the deal and managing operations in a foreign jurisdiction. Of 71 transactions valued at under £50m EV, only 13 were acquired by an overseas entity. Page 7 Acquirer Base No. of Transactions Median EV No. of Transactions (Sub £50m EV) UK 150 £7,079,966 58 US 24 £130,847,500 2 Australia 8 £15,924,645 3 Canada 6 £1,332,700,000 2 Sweden 6 £12,500,000 2 South Africa 3 £182,000,000 0 Germany 3 £415,000,000 1 France 3 £1,120,000,000 0 Other 15 £37,658,000 3 Total 218 £13,100,000 71
  • 8. Poll Question How do you increase valuation? Please write your answers and suggestions in the chat box. Page 8
  • 9. - Appropriately including the impact of COVID on a business: - Determining whether a poor performing year is a one-off or the start of a downwards trend. - Leisure-based industries were closed during most of 2020, then had the ‘staycation’ boom in 2021. - BREXIT – issues with cross-border trade, extra administration and associated time, work permit issues esp. farming. - Interest rates and inflationary environment – increasing cost base, risks of fixed pricing contracts. - Supply chain limitations – energy prices, container issues, raw material shortages (e.g. microchips). Valuation Issues Page 9
  • 10. Limitations Financial information may be incomplete for some entries – Our sources of information are limited to the disclosures made by either party in a particular transaction, or through investigative journalism conducted by our data providers or other reputable news source in discussion with either company participating in the transaction. Financial information is subject to restatement – A subject company may restate various financial data at a date later than the analysis was conducted. Various deals may not be captured by the above search criteria – Reasonable efforts have been made to ensure that the entries included within the dataset are appropriate, but we cannot ensure that all relevant details are captured, as this is influenced by the classification techniques of our data providers and by the disclosures made by transacting companies. Previous deal data may not be indicative of future market trends – Valuations (and multiples) may fluctuate with the economic cycle. Adjustments made to Enterprise Value are subjective – The adjustments made to the Enterprise Value to arrive at Equity Value will depend on the particular companies and transactions in a number of respects. We note that the data analysis may be naturally limited in some respects. Page 10
  • 11. Next webinar: 5 December 2023 Page 11 Bishop’s Stortford +44 (0) 1279 155888 Cambridge +44 (0) 1223 565035 Caribbean +1 758 451 9251 Channel Islands +44 (0) 1481 715669 City of London +44 (0) 20 7065 2660 Dubai +971 (0) 48786360 Ely +44 (0) 1353 662892 Mayfair +44 (0) 20 3909 04807 Newmarket +44 (0) 1638 666160 Norwich +44 (0) 1603 709330 Sawston +44 (0) 1223 578787
  • 12. Page 12 Contact us Chand Chudasama Partner Strategic Corporate Finance E simon.blake@pricebailey.co.uk T +44 (0)1223 507639 T +44 (0)7702665342 Simon Blake Partner Strategic Corporate Finance E chand.chudasama@pricebailey.co.uk T +44 (0)20 3829 1739 T +44 (0)782 414 5475 Mark Ellis Assistant Manager Strategic Corporate Finance E mark.ellis@pricebailey.co.uk T +44 (0)1603 567841 T +44 (0)7899 890846