Venture Backed IPOs in FinTech

Frontline Ventures
Frontline VenturesFrontline Ventures
Venture Backed
IPOs in FinTech
THOMAS OLSZEWSKI
04/2017Lessons from Publicly Traded FinTech Companies
FinTechs make up a small piece of total listed tech companies
2
300+ public tech companies
±100 enterprise
SaaS companies
<20 public
FinTechs
Although a rich pipeline of private
FinTechs suggest this may change
3
$4,500m
$1,955m
$654m
$620m
$521m
$509m
$488m
$417m
Total Equity Funding
This presentation will look at 6
recent venture backed IPOs in FinTech
$5.4b market cap
$12b market cap
$7.9b market cap
$4.7b market cap
2014 2016 2018
$1.7b market cap
2012
S&P 500
£250m market cap
$1.2b market cap
(appendix)
IPO Market Cap
Across 4 markets segments, in the US, UK and China
Lending:
Payments:
Insurance:
Real Estate:
What makes these companies so sucessful?
PurpleBricks
Zhongan
Qudian
RedFin
LendingClub
Square
0% 40% 80% 120% 160%
20%
26%
43%
70%
84%
150% $19.0b
$13.0b
$3.4b
$1.8b$1.3b$1.3b
Last reported revenue growth rate Current Market Capitalization (USD)
Public filings
China’s $8bn payday lender - Qudian
China was the FinTech IPO leader in 2017. How do they do it?
6060:HK
QD
PPDF
LX
JT
$931m
$954m
$101m
$345m
$186m
Company Ticker Funds Raised Investors
FinTech Trends to Watch in 2018 CBinsights
Qudian (QD) raised $900m in a IPO valued at
$8.4b 3 years after the company was founded
9
2015 2016 2017 (Q1-Q3)
$646m
$213m
$35m
2015 2016 2017 (Q1-Q3)
18.2m
6.1m
1.2m
Revenue Number of Active borrowers
Q3 2016 - Q3 2017,
Revenue growth +308%
Q3 2016 - Q3 2017, active
borrower growth +174%
With a $139 average loan size, QD resembles a payday lender
10
$139 Average loan size
2.4 Months loan duration
54.5% Approval rate
.50% More than 1 month delinquent
100% mobile
Draw downs distributed to Alipay
accounts
Assessing ability to repay but
willingness to do so
Based on social, shopping,
behavioural data, demographics
What makes QD so successful? A strategic partnership (for
distribution) with Ant Financial, the financial arm of Alibaba
11
QD engage majority of customers
through AliPay (product owned by Ant
Financial)
Ant Financial “Zhima Credit” provides
data for credit scoring
Ant Financial operates its own
consumer credit business
Qudian is having hard time since the IPO as
regulators crack down on short term lenders
12
Shares are down 40%
Since IPO 4 months ago
Zhongan - intelligent insurance
Founded in 2013, Zhongan is another unprecedented success
story, raising $1.5b in a Softbank lead IPO @ a $8.5b valuation
14
2014 2015 2016 2017
$944m
$490m
$351m
$129m
492m policy holders
2014 -2017 GWP growth
7.2m billion policies
$1.97 avg customer
spend
http://quicktake.morningstar.com/stocknet/secdocuments.aspx?symbol=06060&country=hkg
Softbank acquires 5%
of Zhongan in IPO
It has a diverse product offering
15
32%
7%
9%
4%
48%
Lifestyle
• eCommerce shipping returns,
dmanage, merchants bonds
•Phone damage
•Drone insurance
•Furniture
•Online payment fraud
•Bike share accidents
Travel
•Flight accidents, delays
•Flight ticket changes
•Train accidents
•Hotel cancelations
Customer Finance
•Credit guarantees
•Consumer finance platforms
Health
•Clinic visits
•Online clinic visits
•Wellness
•Employee health
•Specific disease
•Children
Motor
•Comprehensive
•Tyre damage
http://quicktake.morningstar.com/stocknet/secdocuments.aspx?symbol=06060&country=hkg
But like QD, relies on a few key partnerships for most of its sales
16
Alibaba’s Taobao, a digital
shopping mall, accounts
for 47% of revenues
89% of revenues come from
channel partnerships
Lifestyle Travel Finance Health Other
4.4%6.9%9.3%
31%
47%
https://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2017-09-15/tiny-zhongan-plants-an-acorn-for-china-s-fintech-giant
Real Estate
Tech companies in real estate are going after the
large market of commissions on residential property
18
Country Transactions Average Sale Avg Commission
Annual
Commission Pool
USA 5.6m $223k 5% $62b
Australia 500k $471k 2% $4.7b
UK 1.2m $275k 1.4% $4.6b
NZ 90k $318 2.8% $801m
Total $72b
https://www.slideshare.net/MikeDelPrete/2018-emerging-models-in-real-estate-report
3 leading online brokers target different
segments of the market with different fee structures
19
16k 50k 43k
Annual Revenues
Market Cap
2.5-3%1-1.5%2.5-3%Listing fees
Transaction est
$350m $117m
Avg Sale Price
$370m
$875k $221k $459k
(private) £850m $1.8b
Private LSE: PURP NASDAQ: RDFN
https://www.slideshare.net/MikeDelPrete/2018-emerging-models-in-real-estate-report
Fixed fee models dramatically undercut
incumbents while offering similar services
20
Fee is the same
regardless of sale price
Online agents offer
broadly the same
services
Typical agent charges
£3000 on average vs
PurpleBricks flat £849
https://www.slideshare.net/MikeDelPrete/2018-emerging-models-in-real-estate-report
Purplebricks has quickly achieved dominant
position in UK market with 74% of online listings
21https://www.purplebricksplc.com/investors/latest_results
PurpleBricks stands out as an incredibly fast growing public
company, with revenues increasing +150% YoY
22https://www.purplebricksplc.com/investors/latest_results
In the US RedFin growing steadily for 15 years,
albeit at a slower cap than Purplebricks
23http://investors.redfin.com/static-files/33df6c63-2545-45ab-a6f1-a4105ca96d08
Payments
Square: started with a simple payments
device - now offers many products
25
Point of sale systems
Employee management
Business intelligence
Small business lending
eCommerce
Square cash
Nears profiability as revenues approach $500m quarterly
26Square Shareholder Letter
Banking - the next chapter for square?
27
One of two FinTechs pursuing a industrial
banking charter*
In an Accenture survey Square ranked
ahead of Google, Amazon, and Paypal as
non-banks companies consumers would
bank with
App Store rank for Square cash is 40 vs
Venmo @ 72
The other being Varo Money. SoFi withdrew its charter application: CBinsights Square Strategy Teardown
87% of Squares revenues comes from
transaction processing fees
28The other being Varo Money. SoFi withdrew its application: CBinsights Square Strategy Teardown, Square Shareholder Letter
2%
11%
87%
Transaction Based
Revenues
Subscriptions Hardware
As transaction costs remain high,
Squares gross margin in 2017 was 38%
29The other being Varo Money. SoFi withdrew its charter application: CBinsights Square Strategy Teardown
Square capital has facilitated more than $2.5bn
of loans with an average loan size of $6k
30CBinsights Square Strategy Teardown
Partnerships with Upserve and
bigCommerce allow Square to
make loans outside of its
existing merchant base
Lending in the USA - LendingClub
FinTechs have grown rapidly to account for
30% of consumer lending volume in the USA
32Transunion: FinTech Taking Large Share of Personal Loan Market
LendingClub, +86% annual CAGR from 1Q 2014 - 1Q 2016
33http://ir.lendingclub.com/Cache/1001230258.PDF?Y=&O=PDF&D=&fid=1001230258&T=&iid=4213397
Dropped -30% in 2Q16 and never recovered
34http://ir.lendingclub.com/Cache/1001230258.PDF?Y=&O=PDF&D=&fid=1001230258&T=&iid=4213397
Market reacts negatively as LC optimises
for profitability (rather than growth)
35
Growing revenues at 26% not enough to excite investors
36http://ir.lendingclub.com/Cache/1500107799.PDF?Y=&O=PDF&D=&fid=1500107799&T=&iid=4213397
2017 had two new listings of online lenders operating in the USA
37
NYSE: ELVT
$580m annual revenue
Growing at 30% YoY
IPO market cap of $300m
Subprime lender
ASX: CRD
$18m pro-forma 2017
Growing at 110% YoY
IPO market cap of $300m
Consumer finance
Conclusion
A selection of Europes emerging FinTech startups
39
Banking for immigrantsBanking data API Insurance for self employed
Account for the Underbanked
Drone insurance
Mortage broker
Home energy finance
SME Accounting + Banking
Lending API
Money Transfer API
Business Banking Recurring payments
Takaways
40
Pace of FinTech IPOs
to grow exponentially
over the next 3 years
China has been a home
to some of the fastest
growing FinTechs
Payday lenders are
very out of favour in
public markets
Takaways
41
Mega trend: “re-bundling”
of services as Square
enters new markets
Public FinTechs
require tremendous
growth and scale to
please investors
We are in the early
innings of PropTech
penetration
2014 2015 2016 2017
$944m
$490m
$351m
$129m
Zhongan GWP Growth
Twitter Medium Quora
Disclosure - author of this presentation is invested in: Purplebricks, RedFin and ZhongAn
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Appendix
Everbank a US based online bank
45
Growing deposits for 15 years organically and via acquisitions
46
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
$19.6b
$18.2b
$15.5b
$13.2b$13.1b$13b
$12b
$8.1b
$7b
$5.5b
$4.2b$3.7b
$3.1b
$2.1b$1.7b$1.5b$0.6b
25% 16 year CAGR deposit growth
IPO values
Everbank at
$1.1b
Acquired
for $2.5b
IPO’d in 2012, raising $192m. Acquired
by TIAA Creff in 2016 for $2.5b
47
$110k
Average deposit size, 2×
the industry average2
575k Customers1
8% Leverage ratio, implying $12.50
lent for every $1 of deposits1
14.5% Return on average equity1
Online and retail locations
Offering competitive
investment products
Attracting deposits with high
yields on savings
S-1 IPO Filing 20121, 10-k Filing in 20162
1 sur 47

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Venture Backed IPOs in FinTech

  • 1. Venture Backed IPOs in FinTech THOMAS OLSZEWSKI 04/2017Lessons from Publicly Traded FinTech Companies
  • 2. FinTechs make up a small piece of total listed tech companies 2 300+ public tech companies ±100 enterprise SaaS companies <20 public FinTechs
  • 3. Although a rich pipeline of private FinTechs suggest this may change 3 $4,500m $1,955m $654m $620m $521m $509m $488m $417m Total Equity Funding
  • 4. This presentation will look at 6 recent venture backed IPOs in FinTech $5.4b market cap $12b market cap $7.9b market cap $4.7b market cap 2014 2016 2018 $1.7b market cap 2012 S&P 500 £250m market cap $1.2b market cap (appendix) IPO Market Cap
  • 5. Across 4 markets segments, in the US, UK and China Lending: Payments: Insurance: Real Estate:
  • 6. What makes these companies so sucessful? PurpleBricks Zhongan Qudian RedFin LendingClub Square 0% 40% 80% 120% 160% 20% 26% 43% 70% 84% 150% $19.0b $13.0b $3.4b $1.8b$1.3b$1.3b Last reported revenue growth rate Current Market Capitalization (USD) Public filings
  • 7. China’s $8bn payday lender - Qudian
  • 8. China was the FinTech IPO leader in 2017. How do they do it? 6060:HK QD PPDF LX JT $931m $954m $101m $345m $186m Company Ticker Funds Raised Investors FinTech Trends to Watch in 2018 CBinsights
  • 9. Qudian (QD) raised $900m in a IPO valued at $8.4b 3 years after the company was founded 9 2015 2016 2017 (Q1-Q3) $646m $213m $35m 2015 2016 2017 (Q1-Q3) 18.2m 6.1m 1.2m Revenue Number of Active borrowers Q3 2016 - Q3 2017, Revenue growth +308% Q3 2016 - Q3 2017, active borrower growth +174%
  • 10. With a $139 average loan size, QD resembles a payday lender 10 $139 Average loan size 2.4 Months loan duration 54.5% Approval rate .50% More than 1 month delinquent 100% mobile Draw downs distributed to Alipay accounts Assessing ability to repay but willingness to do so Based on social, shopping, behavioural data, demographics
  • 11. What makes QD so successful? A strategic partnership (for distribution) with Ant Financial, the financial arm of Alibaba 11 QD engage majority of customers through AliPay (product owned by Ant Financial) Ant Financial “Zhima Credit” provides data for credit scoring Ant Financial operates its own consumer credit business
  • 12. Qudian is having hard time since the IPO as regulators crack down on short term lenders 12 Shares are down 40% Since IPO 4 months ago
  • 14. Founded in 2013, Zhongan is another unprecedented success story, raising $1.5b in a Softbank lead IPO @ a $8.5b valuation 14 2014 2015 2016 2017 $944m $490m $351m $129m 492m policy holders 2014 -2017 GWP growth 7.2m billion policies $1.97 avg customer spend http://quicktake.morningstar.com/stocknet/secdocuments.aspx?symbol=06060&country=hkg Softbank acquires 5% of Zhongan in IPO
  • 15. It has a diverse product offering 15 32% 7% 9% 4% 48% Lifestyle • eCommerce shipping returns, dmanage, merchants bonds •Phone damage •Drone insurance •Furniture •Online payment fraud •Bike share accidents Travel •Flight accidents, delays •Flight ticket changes •Train accidents •Hotel cancelations Customer Finance •Credit guarantees •Consumer finance platforms Health •Clinic visits •Online clinic visits •Wellness •Employee health •Specific disease •Children Motor •Comprehensive •Tyre damage http://quicktake.morningstar.com/stocknet/secdocuments.aspx?symbol=06060&country=hkg
  • 16. But like QD, relies on a few key partnerships for most of its sales 16 Alibaba’s Taobao, a digital shopping mall, accounts for 47% of revenues 89% of revenues come from channel partnerships Lifestyle Travel Finance Health Other 4.4%6.9%9.3% 31% 47% https://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2017-09-15/tiny-zhongan-plants-an-acorn-for-china-s-fintech-giant
  • 18. Tech companies in real estate are going after the large market of commissions on residential property 18 Country Transactions Average Sale Avg Commission Annual Commission Pool USA 5.6m $223k 5% $62b Australia 500k $471k 2% $4.7b UK 1.2m $275k 1.4% $4.6b NZ 90k $318 2.8% $801m Total $72b https://www.slideshare.net/MikeDelPrete/2018-emerging-models-in-real-estate-report
  • 19. 3 leading online brokers target different segments of the market with different fee structures 19 16k 50k 43k Annual Revenues Market Cap 2.5-3%1-1.5%2.5-3%Listing fees Transaction est $350m $117m Avg Sale Price $370m $875k $221k $459k (private) £850m $1.8b Private LSE: PURP NASDAQ: RDFN https://www.slideshare.net/MikeDelPrete/2018-emerging-models-in-real-estate-report
  • 20. Fixed fee models dramatically undercut incumbents while offering similar services 20 Fee is the same regardless of sale price Online agents offer broadly the same services Typical agent charges £3000 on average vs PurpleBricks flat £849 https://www.slideshare.net/MikeDelPrete/2018-emerging-models-in-real-estate-report
  • 21. Purplebricks has quickly achieved dominant position in UK market with 74% of online listings 21https://www.purplebricksplc.com/investors/latest_results
  • 22. PurpleBricks stands out as an incredibly fast growing public company, with revenues increasing +150% YoY 22https://www.purplebricksplc.com/investors/latest_results
  • 23. In the US RedFin growing steadily for 15 years, albeit at a slower cap than Purplebricks 23http://investors.redfin.com/static-files/33df6c63-2545-45ab-a6f1-a4105ca96d08
  • 25. Square: started with a simple payments device - now offers many products 25 Point of sale systems Employee management Business intelligence Small business lending eCommerce Square cash
  • 26. Nears profiability as revenues approach $500m quarterly 26Square Shareholder Letter
  • 27. Banking - the next chapter for square? 27 One of two FinTechs pursuing a industrial banking charter* In an Accenture survey Square ranked ahead of Google, Amazon, and Paypal as non-banks companies consumers would bank with App Store rank for Square cash is 40 vs Venmo @ 72 The other being Varo Money. SoFi withdrew its charter application: CBinsights Square Strategy Teardown
  • 28. 87% of Squares revenues comes from transaction processing fees 28The other being Varo Money. SoFi withdrew its application: CBinsights Square Strategy Teardown, Square Shareholder Letter 2% 11% 87% Transaction Based Revenues Subscriptions Hardware
  • 29. As transaction costs remain high, Squares gross margin in 2017 was 38% 29The other being Varo Money. SoFi withdrew its charter application: CBinsights Square Strategy Teardown
  • 30. Square capital has facilitated more than $2.5bn of loans with an average loan size of $6k 30CBinsights Square Strategy Teardown Partnerships with Upserve and bigCommerce allow Square to make loans outside of its existing merchant base
  • 31. Lending in the USA - LendingClub
  • 32. FinTechs have grown rapidly to account for 30% of consumer lending volume in the USA 32Transunion: FinTech Taking Large Share of Personal Loan Market
  • 33. LendingClub, +86% annual CAGR from 1Q 2014 - 1Q 2016 33http://ir.lendingclub.com/Cache/1001230258.PDF?Y=&O=PDF&D=&fid=1001230258&T=&iid=4213397
  • 34. Dropped -30% in 2Q16 and never recovered 34http://ir.lendingclub.com/Cache/1001230258.PDF?Y=&O=PDF&D=&fid=1001230258&T=&iid=4213397
  • 35. Market reacts negatively as LC optimises for profitability (rather than growth) 35
  • 36. Growing revenues at 26% not enough to excite investors 36http://ir.lendingclub.com/Cache/1500107799.PDF?Y=&O=PDF&D=&fid=1500107799&T=&iid=4213397
  • 37. 2017 had two new listings of online lenders operating in the USA 37 NYSE: ELVT $580m annual revenue Growing at 30% YoY IPO market cap of $300m Subprime lender ASX: CRD $18m pro-forma 2017 Growing at 110% YoY IPO market cap of $300m Consumer finance
  • 39. A selection of Europes emerging FinTech startups 39 Banking for immigrantsBanking data API Insurance for self employed Account for the Underbanked Drone insurance Mortage broker Home energy finance SME Accounting + Banking Lending API Money Transfer API Business Banking Recurring payments
  • 40. Takaways 40 Pace of FinTech IPOs to grow exponentially over the next 3 years China has been a home to some of the fastest growing FinTechs Payday lenders are very out of favour in public markets
  • 41. Takaways 41 Mega trend: “re-bundling” of services as Square enters new markets Public FinTechs require tremendous growth and scale to please investors We are in the early innings of PropTech penetration 2014 2015 2016 2017 $944m $490m $351m $129m Zhongan GWP Growth
  • 42. Twitter Medium Quora Disclosure - author of this presentation is invested in: Purplebricks, RedFin and ZhongAn
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  • 45. Everbank a US based online bank 45
  • 46. Growing deposits for 15 years organically and via acquisitions 46 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 $19.6b $18.2b $15.5b $13.2b$13.1b$13b $12b $8.1b $7b $5.5b $4.2b$3.7b $3.1b $2.1b$1.7b$1.5b$0.6b 25% 16 year CAGR deposit growth IPO values Everbank at $1.1b Acquired for $2.5b
  • 47. IPO’d in 2012, raising $192m. Acquired by TIAA Creff in 2016 for $2.5b 47 $110k Average deposit size, 2× the industry average2 575k Customers1 8% Leverage ratio, implying $12.50 lent for every $1 of deposits1 14.5% Return on average equity1 Online and retail locations Offering competitive investment products Attracting deposits with high yields on savings S-1 IPO Filing 20121, 10-k Filing in 20162