1. ADOPT the A doption and D iffusion O utcome P rediction T ool

7. Adoption influences conceptualised as quadrants Relative Advantage for the Population Population -specific influences on the ability to learn about the Innovation Learnability Characteristics of the Innovation Relative Advantage of the Innovation

8. ADOPT Conceptual Framework ADOPT Conceptual Framework Relative Advantage for the Population Population -specific influences on the ability to learn about the Innovation Learnability Characteristics of the Innovation Relative Advantage of the Innovation 11.Group involvement 10. Advisory support 12. Relevant existing skills and knowledge Networks Farmers networks & skills Learning of Relative Advantage Time to Peak Adoption Trialability of innovation 8. Innovation complexity 7. Trialing ease 9. Observability 13. Innovation awareness Peak Adoption Level 14. Relative upfront cost of innovation 15. Reversibility of innovation 3. Risk orientation 4. Enterprise scale 5. Management horizon 1. Profit orientation 6. Short-term constraints 2. Environmental orientation 18. Time for profit benefits to be realised 20. Time for environmental benefits to be realised 19. Environment 22. Ease & convenience 21. Risk Investment cost 17. Profit benefit in future 16. Profit benefit in years used Relative Advantage

9. Data entry page (22 questions)

10. Each question requires users to make a choice between responses

11. Numeric outputs are: Time to Peak Adoption & Peak Adoption Level

12. A sensitivity chart can be generated This allows users to identify the variables having the largest effect on adoption and diffusion

13. All outputs can also be generated as a printed report

16. ADOPT was validated using the introduction of narrow-leafed lupins in Western Australia The prediction provided by ADOPT Actual lupin diffusion curves

17. For more information on ADOPT contact: Dr. Geoff Kuehne [email_address] or Dr. Rick Llewellyn (project leader) [email_address]