Publicité
Publicité

Contenu connexe

Publicité

Macro 21.pdf

  1. Lecture 23 Macroeconomics
  2. Opening Prayer
  3. Quiz Master
  4. The 4 Cases for Trade Theoretical Case Moral Case Political Case Empirical Case
  5. Theoretical Case Trade and Specialization Adam Smith Comparative Advantage David Ricardo
  6. Moral Case Natural Rights Human Freedom to create value relationships
  7. Political Case Cooperation promotes peace Bastiat
  8. Empirical Case Evidence and Experience Support
  9. The 14 Arguments for Protection
  10. 1 National Defense 2 Infant Industries 3 Debt 4 Jobs 5 Subsidy 6 Environmental Standards 7 Labor Standards 8 Negotiating Strategy 9 Retaliation 10 Dumping 11 Culture 12 Self-Reliance Independence 13 Tari ff Tax Revenue 14 Supply Chain Arguments for Protectionism
  11. National Defense
  12. Save Domestic Jobs
  13. Infant Industries
  14. Competitor Enjoys Subsidies
  15. Lower Environmental Standards
  16. Lower Labor Standards
  17. Retaliation
  18. Foreigner is dumping at below cost
  19. Culture
  20. Self-Reliance Independence Autarky
  21. Government Tax Revenue
  22. Supply Chain
  23. Chapter 20 International Finance
  24. 100+ Currencies https://www.tradingview.com/markets/currencies/cross-rates-overview-prices/
  25. one unit of this will buy ___ units of that
  26. https://www.tradingview.com/markets/currencies/cross-rates-overview-prices/
  27. Why buy Dollars? Buy American Stuff Invest in America Trade for other currencies Hold and Hope
  28. Demand Dollars Yuan Per Dollar Supply Higher U.S. Interest Rate 6.44 6.50 Depreciating Cost more to buy a dollar Losing Value
  29. Demand Dollars Yuan Per Dollar Supply Lower U.S. Interest Rate 6.44 6.25 Appreciating Cost Less to buy a Dollar Gaining Value
  30. Big Mac Index
  31. Big Mac Index Country Currency Price Rate Dollars Phillipines Peso 140 0.019 $2.66 Vietnam Dong 65,000 0.000043 $2.80 China Yuan 20.50 0.15 $3.08 Saudi Arabia Riyal 12 0.265 $3.18 Switzerland Franc 6.5 1.0 $6.50
  32. Arbitrage Buy low and sell high Buy here and sell there Buy today and sell tomorrow
  33. Arbitrage Are the price differences different than the exchange rate? If so, buy low and sell high
  34. The Law of One Price Arbitrage closes price gaps Bid up the low price - Demand Bid down the high price - Supply
  35. 1.00 Dollar to 6.92 Yuan USD to CNY $ to ¥ $ 5.00 x 6.92 = ¥ 34.60 ¥ 30.00 ÷ 6.92 = $ 4.34
  36. $ 5.00 $ 4.34 increase demand increase supply $ 4.67 one price Price Arbitrage Arbitragers
  37. Arbitraging 1. Pick a product and review the prices in both countries 2. Are the prices different than the exchange rates? 3. Buy currency in the low priced country 4. Buy the product in the low priced country 5. Move to the high priced country 6. Sell in the high priced country
  38. 1.00 Dollar to 51.91 Peso USD to PHP $ to ₱ $ 50.00 x 51.91 = ₱ 2,595 ₱ 1,973 ÷ 51.91 = $ 38.00
  39. $38 $40 $40 Supply More Supply Demand More Demand Price Quantity Price Quantity Demand Supply $50 ₱ 1,973
  40. Cost? Arbitraging 1. Traded $38 for ₱ 1,973 2. Bought shoes for ₱ 1,973 3. Shipped to U.S. 4. Sold in U.S. for $50 5. Traded $38 for $50 6. Made $12 on $38 7. Made 31 percent profit 8. Repeat
  41. 1. Dollar to Won (KRW) rate is 1 to 1,176 2. Cell Phone in U.S. is $600 3. Same Cell Phone in South Korea is 600,000 4. Cost to ship is $5 5. What should you do and how much will you make? Dollars and percent?
Publicité