9. “the future is already
here it’s just not
evenly distributed”
– William Gibson
10. Anti-Pattern 3:Prediction Predilection
Our predilection for prediction
and the certainty of uncertainty
Based on
those
assumptions
Of course
Our Prediction Predilection
37. SO WE LOVE HISTORY, BUT THE FUTURE IS ALL WE HAVE LEFT
QUICK GUIDE TO
BECOMING A FUTURIST
38. 1 Collect signals from the future
Futurist squirrelling
Collect clues
Notice signals
Watch/listen
39. 4 Questions
What kind of change from what to what?
What’s driving the change? – what’s the future force
What will the world be like if this signal is amplified?
normal//common//ubiquitous
Do we want that future?
47. HEALTHCARE FUTURES FROM EHEALTH BLOCKATHON
Teleportation of medicines to crisis
areas
Obstacle courses with incentives
Healthcard with points
Bank to store points
Health centre with automated
scanners
Health gate with controls
Work swarming for crisis mgmt.
• Magic pools with magic water
• Swimming pools and recreation
• Clean water
• Good food (modern twist on the
pig farm)
• Horse farm
• Solar cars & clean environment
• Medicine shooting gun
• Robotic medicine distribution
53. Scenarios Defined
Stories built around a methodically constructed plot.
A tool for identifying strategic options in the face of
long-range uncertainty.
A framework and a vocabulary for an on-going strategic
conversation.
66. “A reliable way of
making people believe
in falsehoods is frequent
repetition, because
familiarity is not easily
distinguished from
truth.”
Daniel Kahneman
68. ∆delta
/ˈdɛltə/
(maths) an incremental change in a variable, as Δ or δ
(transformation) a measurable change in an organisation or person
agent
/ˈeɪdʒənt/
a person that produces a particular effect or change
a person or thing that acts or has the power to act
= measure of transformation
= operator, catalyst of transformationAGENT
digital
/ˈdɪdʒɪt(ə)l/
(tech) a signal transmission that conveys information through a series of coded pulses in 1s & 0s
(business) digital business is the creation of new business designs by blurring the digital and physical
worlds
= digital businessDIGITAL