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Global Forum 2012
  Smart and innovative visions for the future




             Gérald Santucci, Head of Unit
European Commission, DG CONNECT 02 – Knowledge Sharing
                              SHAPING A CONNECTED DIGITAL FUTURE
          Visions, Challenges, Opportunities for Organizations and People in a Smart World
                      Monday 12th & Tuesday 13th November 2012, Stockholm
Political framework: Europe 2020
7 flagships
Digital Agenda for Europe
    • Youth on the move
    • Innovation Union
    • An industrial policy for the globalisation era
    • New skills for jobs
    • European Platform against poverty
    • Resource efficient Europe
Digital Agenda for Europe: background


• Digital Agenda for Europe (DAE) - key strand of
  the Commission's EU2020 strategy.

• DAE: to establish sustainable economic growth
  and social benefits via digital technologies.
What is the Digital Agenda about?

Single European Market
    in digital sphere          Interoperability & standards
  Basic broadband for all
   Europeans by 2013 and              Trust & security online
   faster rollout of
     high speed internet       ICT research & innovation
  E-skills for all Europeans
                                 ICT solutions for ageing,
                                      climate change,
                                  cleaner transport,
                                e-government, e-health …
ICT boosts productivity




                 Sources of average annual labour productivity growth, 2000-2007

•Investment in ICT generates a bigger return to productivity growth
•than most other forms of capital investment.
                  •(Source: Oxford Economics, Capturing the ICT Dividend, 2011)
Broadband drives competiveness
                                                                           Correlation Fixed Broadband Penetration and Competitiveness

                                          5.8

                                          5.6                                                                                                           Sweden
   WEF's Global Competitive Index score




                                                                                                                                           Finland
                                                                                                                       Japan      US        UK        Germany                      Netherlands
                                          5.4                                                                                                                            Denmark

                                          5.2                                                                                          Belgium
                                                                                                       Austria                                        France

                                           5                                                                                                     Luxembourg      Korea


                                          4.8                                                        Ireland

                                          4.6                                                                                  Estonia
                                                                                     Czech Rep.                Spain
                                                            Poland             Portugal      Lithuania Italy
                                          4.4                                                                    Cyprus
                                                                                              Hungary              Slovenia              Malta
                                          4.2         Bulgaria                            Latvia
                                                                          Slovakia

                                           4                     Romania

                                                0.1                0.15                     0.2                        0.25                  0.3                  0.35                0.4        0.45
                                                                                                         Fixed broadband lines per 100 population

                                                                                                                                                                         European Commission, 2011
 A 10% increase in the broadband penetration rate results in 1 to 1.5% increase
in annual GDP per-capita. Faster broadband = higher GDP growth. (Czernich et al. -
                                                                                                   University of Munich, 2009)
Still Europe is lagging in going digital
Increase regular use from 60% to 75% - Halve the % of the
  population that have never used the internet by 2015
                                        Regular Internet users and non-users in % of population

   100%


   90%


   80%


   70%


   60%


   50%


   40%


   30%


   20%


   10%


    0%
                         PT




                                                                                                         AT
                                        LT




                                                             T
                R

                    IT




                                                                                                                                  LU
       O




                                                                 LV




                                                                                                                             FI
                                   PL




                                                                         U
                               Y




                                                                                                 FR




                                                                                                               E



                                                                                                                         K




                                                                                                                                        K
                                                   Z




                                                                                                                                             L
                                                       SI
           BG




                                                                        27

                                                                                 IE
                                             ES




                                                                                      SK

                                                                                           EE




                                                                                                                   BE




                                                                                                                                                 SE
                                                            M




                                                                                                                                            N
                                                  C
                              C




                                                                                                              D



                                                                                                                        U




                                                                                                                                       D
                G




                                                                        H
      R




                                                                      EU




                                                       Regular Internet users   never use the Internet
Confidence/trust in IT skills is low, especially those related to
              work and privacy and security
                          % of people feeling confident in performing certain computer
                                   and internet activities, 2011 (Scoreboard)




           Protect private computer
              from virus or other
              computer infection


                                                                                       …only
              Protect personal data                                                    53% of
                                                                                     the active
        Look for a job or change job
                                                                                       labour
               within a year
                                                                                        force

             Communicate over the
                  internet



                                       0%   10%   20%      30%     40%      50%      60%   70%
e-Commerce – not enough cross-border purchases
 Target: 20% of the population should buy cross border
                    online by 2015
                                                            eCommerce: citizens

   80%


   70%


   60%


   50%


   40%


   30%


   20%


   10%


   0%
                                                 CY




                                                                  PL




                                                                                                                                         NL
                                                                                        EU27
                                                                       CZ

                                                                            SI




                                                                                                                          FI
                                                                                                                MT
                                       LV

                                            EE




                                                             ES




                                                                                 SK



                                                                                                 IE

                                                                                                      BE




                                                                                                                               DE




                                                                                                                                              DK

                                                                                                                                                   SE

                                                                                                                                                        UK
                                                                                                                     FR




                                                                                                                                    LU
                             GR




                                                      HU
         RO

              BG

                   IT

                        LT



                                  PT




                                                                                                           AT




                                                           bought online cross-border          bought online
Cross-border e-commerce
Basic and high-speed broadband penetration:
                           needs to increase
     45,0%



     40,0%



     35,0%



     30,0%



     25,0%



     20,0%



     15,0%



     10,0%



      5,0%



      0,0%
             RO   BG   SK   PL   LV   PT   EL   HU   IT   LT   CZ   IE   SI   ES    CY   AT     EE   EU   FI   MT   UK   LU   SE   BE   DE   FR   DK   NL

                                                                          Basic    High-speed
Source: Commission services based on COCOM Total number of subscription by households and enterprises divided by
population.
Digital Agenda
  Scoreboard
• Annual state of play of progress in
  all 101 Digital Agenda actions in all
  27 EU Member States
• Overall progress good:
  • 38 actions completed
  • 49 on track
  • 14 actions behind schedule, but
       delivery dates in 2012
  • Forthcoming DAE Review will
       provide analysis
DAE Review: on-going
•   Why review: fast moving area, new developments, new
    virtuous cycles of ICT use and savings both in public and
    private sector – need to refocus DAE:
    •   Very Fast Internet

    •   Cloud Computing

    •   Internet security

    •   Entrepreneurship and ICT for Jobs & Skills

    •   Digital Single Market, including online public services

    •   A strategic research and innovation agenda
Technological futures & related challenges (ver. 07/12)




                                                                Challenges/Issues
                    Resource                                                                         Trans-humanism
                                  Climate                                                                               ~Immortality
  Sustainability    efficiency                      Property,
                                  changes                                           Balanced
                                                   Ownership
                                                                                    resource              Governance
Financial                                                                                                                 Interim/beta status
                              Trust                                                  sharing
  crisis                                                                                       Participative
              Healthy        Security     Governance
                                                                                                decision       Body/mind adaptation
              ageing         privacy




              Cloud       Cognitive and
                                             Complex                                                 Implanted/ Embedded
            computing      soft robots




                                                                Technologies
                                             systems                                     “Organic” (bio-neuro-cogno-nano)
                                                                                                                             Bionics
                                             modeling                                    computing
      Internet                                                                                                             and cyborgs
                     Energy                                                                             Energy
                                                                                      Quantum Internet             “Play &
                     efficient    Virtualisation                                                        positive
                                                                                                                   Rewind”




               “Conventional” ICT (Silicon based,                                                     Future foundatinos:
                                                                Foundations




                 Packet switching, Boolean, …)                                                    ICT-Bio-Nano-Neuro-Cogno-
                                                                                                     Quantum convergence




                        2015-20                                                                          2040-50                       15/10
Stakeholder engagement

                      Online stakeholder engagement platform

                       https://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/



Monitoring country       Digital Agenda Assembly               Connecting with
progress – explore                                             local stakeholders
open data
Concluding Remarks

• DAE progress positive – but room for improvement. DAE Review
  identifies solutions to barriers to Europe's digital transformation.

• Going Local, DAA and online platform are important sources for
  acquiring stakeholder feedback and input – we will continue to
  engage.

• Commitment - political and financial - vital to secure Europe's
  place in a globally competitive digital future.
Thank you

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Gerald Santucci Keynote Address at Global Forum 2012

  • 1. Global Forum 2012 Smart and innovative visions for the future Gérald Santucci, Head of Unit European Commission, DG CONNECT 02 – Knowledge Sharing SHAPING A CONNECTED DIGITAL FUTURE Visions, Challenges, Opportunities for Organizations and People in a Smart World Monday 12th & Tuesday 13th November 2012, Stockholm
  • 2. Political framework: Europe 2020 7 flagships Digital Agenda for Europe • Youth on the move • Innovation Union • An industrial policy for the globalisation era • New skills for jobs • European Platform against poverty • Resource efficient Europe
  • 3. Digital Agenda for Europe: background • Digital Agenda for Europe (DAE) - key strand of the Commission's EU2020 strategy. • DAE: to establish sustainable economic growth and social benefits via digital technologies.
  • 4. What is the Digital Agenda about? Single European Market in digital sphere Interoperability & standards Basic broadband for all Europeans by 2013 and Trust & security online faster rollout of high speed internet ICT research & innovation E-skills for all Europeans ICT solutions for ageing, climate change, cleaner transport, e-government, e-health …
  • 5. ICT boosts productivity Sources of average annual labour productivity growth, 2000-2007 •Investment in ICT generates a bigger return to productivity growth •than most other forms of capital investment. •(Source: Oxford Economics, Capturing the ICT Dividend, 2011)
  • 6. Broadband drives competiveness Correlation Fixed Broadband Penetration and Competitiveness 5.8 5.6 Sweden WEF's Global Competitive Index score Finland Japan US UK Germany Netherlands 5.4 Denmark 5.2 Belgium Austria France 5 Luxembourg Korea 4.8 Ireland 4.6 Estonia Czech Rep. Spain Poland Portugal Lithuania Italy 4.4 Cyprus Hungary Slovenia Malta 4.2 Bulgaria Latvia Slovakia 4 Romania 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 Fixed broadband lines per 100 population European Commission, 2011 A 10% increase in the broadband penetration rate results in 1 to 1.5% increase in annual GDP per-capita. Faster broadband = higher GDP growth. (Czernich et al. - University of Munich, 2009)
  • 7. Still Europe is lagging in going digital
  • 8. Increase regular use from 60% to 75% - Halve the % of the population that have never used the internet by 2015 Regular Internet users and non-users in % of population 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% PT AT LT T R IT LU O LV FI PL U Y FR E K K Z L SI BG 27 IE ES SK EE BE SE M N C C D U D G H R EU Regular Internet users never use the Internet
  • 9. Confidence/trust in IT skills is low, especially those related to work and privacy and security % of people feeling confident in performing certain computer and internet activities, 2011 (Scoreboard) Protect private computer from virus or other computer infection …only Protect personal data 53% of the active Look for a job or change job labour within a year force Communicate over the internet 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
  • 10. e-Commerce – not enough cross-border purchases Target: 20% of the population should buy cross border online by 2015 eCommerce: citizens 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% CY PL NL EU27 CZ SI FI MT LV EE ES SK IE BE DE DK SE UK FR LU GR HU RO BG IT LT PT AT bought online cross-border bought online
  • 12. Basic and high-speed broadband penetration: needs to increase 45,0% 40,0% 35,0% 30,0% 25,0% 20,0% 15,0% 10,0% 5,0% 0,0% RO BG SK PL LV PT EL HU IT LT CZ IE SI ES CY AT EE EU FI MT UK LU SE BE DE FR DK NL Basic High-speed Source: Commission services based on COCOM Total number of subscription by households and enterprises divided by population.
  • 13. Digital Agenda Scoreboard • Annual state of play of progress in all 101 Digital Agenda actions in all 27 EU Member States • Overall progress good: • 38 actions completed • 49 on track • 14 actions behind schedule, but delivery dates in 2012 • Forthcoming DAE Review will provide analysis
  • 14. DAE Review: on-going • Why review: fast moving area, new developments, new virtuous cycles of ICT use and savings both in public and private sector – need to refocus DAE: • Very Fast Internet • Cloud Computing • Internet security • Entrepreneurship and ICT for Jobs & Skills • Digital Single Market, including online public services • A strategic research and innovation agenda
  • 15. Technological futures & related challenges (ver. 07/12) Challenges/Issues Resource Trans-humanism Climate ~Immortality Sustainability efficiency Property, changes Balanced Ownership resource Governance Financial Interim/beta status Trust sharing crisis Participative Healthy Security Governance decision Body/mind adaptation ageing privacy Cloud Cognitive and Complex Implanted/ Embedded computing soft robots Technologies systems “Organic” (bio-neuro-cogno-nano) Bionics modeling computing Internet and cyborgs Energy Energy Quantum Internet “Play & efficient Virtualisation positive Rewind” “Conventional” ICT (Silicon based, Future foundatinos: Foundations Packet switching, Boolean, …) ICT-Bio-Nano-Neuro-Cogno- Quantum convergence 2015-20 2040-50 15/10
  • 16. Stakeholder engagement Online stakeholder engagement platform https://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/ Monitoring country Digital Agenda Assembly Connecting with progress – explore local stakeholders open data
  • 17. Concluding Remarks • DAE progress positive – but room for improvement. DAE Review identifies solutions to barriers to Europe's digital transformation. • Going Local, DAA and online platform are important sources for acquiring stakeholder feedback and input – we will continue to engage. • Commitment - political and financial - vital to secure Europe's place in a globally competitive digital future.