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IAB Global Summit Discussion 
October 1, 2014
2 
Agenda 
I. Market Overview 
A. IPO and Public Markets 
B. M&A and VC Markets 
II. Selected Digital Media Trends 
III. Summary Thoughts
I. Market Overview
A. IPO and Public Markets
2014 YTD Global Market Performance 
+8% 
+8% 
+3% 
+5% 
5 
50% 
30% 
10% 
(10%) 
50% 
30% 
10% 
(10%) 
(30%) 
FTSE 100 DAX 
Bovespa 
+3% 
Jan Feb Mar May Jun Jul Sep 
50% 
30% 
10% 
(10%) 
50% 
30% 
10% 
(10%) 
(30%) 
S&P 500 DJIA NASDAQ 
Nikkei 225 Hang Seng 
Jan Feb Mar May Jun Jul Sep 
(30%) 
Jan Feb Mar May Jun Jul Sep 
(30%) 
Jan Feb Mar May Jun Jul Sep 
Source: Capital IQ, as of September 25, 2014. 
0% 
U.S. Market Index Performance European Market Index Performance 
Latin American Asian Market Index Performance Market Index Performance 
+3% 
+12%
U.S. Equity Market at a Glance 
6 
Market Value 2014 YTD Since 2008 
($ in billions) 
$392 7% 73% 
149 (19%) 250% 
39 (4%) 66% 
65 (4%) 58% 
201 41% NA 
219 32% NA 
100% 
80% 
60% 
40% 
20% 
0% 
(20%) 
(40%) 
(60%) 
U.S. Market Index Performance 
Source: Capital IQ, as of September 25, 2014. 
+30% Performance of Internet Bellwethers 
Strong Market Despite Some Skepticism 
• Anticipated correction yet to occur 
• Ukrainian and Israeli conflicts still 
unresolved; ISIS impact growing 
• 10-year Treasuries reaching lows 
2013 
+38% 
+27% 
2014 YTD 
+8% 
+8% 
+3%
Digital Media Equity Market Performance 
• Performance has been very mixed: 82% of all Digital Media stocks  this year 
• 50% of all Digital Media IPOs  this year 
• AdTech has struggled 
Median Stock Price Performance of Digital Media Sectors 
7 
Median % Change 
2012 2013 2014YTD 
Digital Media +20.6% +59.7% (9.4%) 
Internet Titans +33.1% +87.4% (1.8%) 
Digital Marketing (31.2%) +29.3% (26.1%) 
eCommerce +23.4% +80.5% (5.6%) 
Market Indices 
S&P 500 +13.4% +29.6% +8.1% 
Dow Jones +7.3% +26.5% +2.9% 
Nasdaq +15.9% +38.3% +8.0%
Global IPO Volume 
($ billions) 
64% 
66% 
• Issuances are up in all geographies 
• The US IPO market has been particularly 
51% 
28% 
United States Latin America Europe Asia/Pacific Africa/Middle East 
8 
$106.0 
$234.4 
$135.9 
$99.6 
$137.0 
$90.6 
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H 2014 
Source: Capital IQ; Renaissance Capital; Annual Global IPO Reviews. 
42% 
33% 
21% 
16% 25% 40% 38% 
6% 
12% 
19% 10% 
20% 
40% 
31% 
active
U.S. and Global IPO Issuance and Deal Volume 
9 
500 
400 
300 
200 
100 
0 
$120 
$100 
$80 
$60 
$40 
$20 
$0 
$400 
$300 
$200 
$100 
Source: Renaissance Capital; Dealogic; EY Global IPO Trends, Factset. 
YTD as of September 25, 2014. 
Global IPO Issuance 
IPO Deal Volume 
# of IPOs 
U.S. IPO Issuance 
# of IPOs 
IPO Deal Volume 
($ in billions) 
Alibaba 
$ Volume # IPOs 
2,500 
2,000 
1,500 
1,000 
500 
0 
$0
Digital Media Sector IPO Performance 
($ in millions) Market Cap Price Performance 
Date Company Subsector IPO Size @ IPO Day 1 Since IPO 
2014 (12) 
Sep 18 Alibaba Group Holding Limited eCommerce $21,767 $167,620.4 38.1% 30.8% 
Jul 18 Globant S.A. Digital Agency 59 333.5 15.1% 29.7% 
Jul 17 TubeMogul, Inc. AdTech 44 200.8 64.3% 60.9% 
May 21 JD.com, Inc. Social 1,780 25,974.6 10.0% 39.8% 
May 19 TrueCar, Inc. eCommerce 70 639.3 5.6% 98.8% 
Mar 21 Borderfree, Inc. eCommerce 80 487.6 20.4% (17.3%) 
Apr 04 GrubHub Inc. eCommerce 193 1,934.0 33.8% 33.5% 
Mar 25 King Digital Entertainment plc Digital Content 500 7,086.0 (15.6%) (41.1%) 
Apr 02 The Rubicon Project, Inc. AdTech 102 520.7 32.3% (19.0%) 
Mar 06 Coupons.com Incorporated eCommerce 168 1,170.7 87.5% (22.2%) 
Mar 28 Everyday Health, Inc. Digital Content 100 415.5 (0.1%) (6.0%) 
Jan 24 Care.com, Inc. eCommerce 91 505.7 46.5% (51.9%) 
2014 Median 101 580.0 26.4% 11.9% 
2013 (11) 
Nov 14 zulily, Inc. eCommerce 253 2,685.4 63.7% 80.4% 
Nov 06 Twitter, Inc. Social 1,820 14,162.1 72.7% 97.9% 
Oct 29 Criteo SA Ad Tech 251 1,714.2 14.2% 12.2% 
Sep 19 Rocket Fuel Inc. Ad Tech 116 942.3 93.4% (47.2%) 
Aug 06 YuMe, Inc. Ad Tech 46 286.2 0.0% (45.0%) 
Jul 18 RetailMeNot, Inc. Retail 191 1,054.3 31.9% (20.7%) 
Jun 26 Tremor Video, Inc. Ad Tech 75 494.2 (15.0%) (74.3%) 
May 22 ChannelAdvisor eCommerce 81 286.6 31.7% 11.9% 
May 16 Marketo, Inc. Marketing Auto 79 465.2 77.7% 138.2% 
Mar 21 Marin Software Digital Marketing 105 432.8 16.1% (38.3%) 
Mar 04 Professional Diversity Social 21 29.1 (4.1%) (36.3%) 
2013 Median 105 494.2 31.7% (20.7%) 
Overall Median 102 520.7 31.7% (6.0%) 
10 
Source: Capital IQ.
…Digital Media Companies Going Public Today Have 
Higher Growth Profiles/Reasonable Valuations 
EBITDA 
Margin 
NM 
35% 
NM 
NM 
21% 
28% 
11 
44.2% 
42.1% 
33.1% 
32.1% 
29.7% 
27.3% 
21.0% 
15.0% 
26.2% 
35.8% 
48.3% 
Public Comp Universe at End of 2012 
’12-’13 Revenue Growth 
24.2% 
23.0% 
21.0% 
17.2% 
10.8% 
(16.4%) 
76.1% 
Millennial Media Inc. 
ValueClick, Inc. 
ChannelAdvisor 
Corporation 
ReachLocal, Inc. 
Constant Contact, Inc. 
Bankrate, Inc. 
QuinStreet, Inc. 
2012 
Revenue 
Multiple 
2.5x 
2.5x 
13.8x 
0.6x 
2.8x 
4.1x 
1.0x 
6% 
Median: 22.0% 2.7x 24% 
Source: Capital IQ. 
2014 Digital Media IPOs 
’14-’15 Revenue Growth 
2014E 
Revenue 
Multiple 
1.7x 
1.2x 
3.5x 
5.9x 
19.5x 
3.5x 
2.8x 
10.8x 
2.1x 
2.2x 
2.3x 
1.6x 
EBITDA 
Margin 
NM 
NM 
NM 
8% 
54% 
14% 
NM 
32% 
7% 
20% 
20% 
39% 
Median: 32.1% 2.5x 20%
B. M&A and VC Markets
U.S. and Global M&A Deal Volume 
13 
20,000 
18,000 
16,000 
14,000 
12,000 
10,000 
8,000 
6,000 
4,000 
2,000 
0 
$2,000 
$1,500 
$1,000 
$500 
$0 
$3,000 
$2,500 
$2,000 
$1,500 
$1,000 
$500 
Source: Dealogic, Capital IQ. 
YTD as of September 25, 2014. 
Global M&A Deals 
Deal Volume 
# of Deals 
U.S. M&A Deals 
# of Deals 
Deal Volume 
($ in billions) 
$ Volume # Deals 
60,000 
50,000 
40,000 
30,000 
20,000 
10,000 
0 
$0
Global M&A Deal Volume and VC Financings 
Global M&A Volume ($ billions) Global VC Financings ($ billions) 
14 
33% 
23% 
37% 
31% 
23% 
35% 
29% 
22% 
39% 
Source: Capital IQ; Annual Global IPO Reviews. 
YTD as of September 25, 2014. 
32% 
21% 
39% 
26% 
23% 
45% 
36% 
29% 
29% 
24% 
37% 
27% 
13% 
61% 
18% 
22% 
38% 
29% 
16% 
35% 
37% 
$1,919 
$2,280 
$2,511 
$2,351 
$2,543 
$2,799 
$82.5 
$155.8 
$278.6 
$150.6 
$128.1 
$115.5 
United States Latin America and Caribbean Europe Asia/Pacific Africa/Middle East
U.S. M&A and VC Markets 
Annual M&A Deal Volume 
($ in billions) 
$1,263 
20,000 
18,000 
16,000 
14,000 
12,000 
10,000 
8,000 
6,000 
4,000 
2,000 
$1,400 
$1,200 
$1,000 
$800 
$600 
$400 
$200 
$35 
$30 
$25 
$20 
$15 
$10 
$5 
Source: Capital IQ, PwC National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree Report. 
15 
YTD as of September 25, 2014. 
Annual VC Financing Volume 
$711 
$800 
$982 
$908 
$1,150 
0 
$0 
4,500 
4,000 
3,500 
3,000 
# of Deals 
Deal Volume 
$ Volume # Deals 
$20 
$23 
$30 
$27 $28 
$23 
2,500 
2,000 
1,500 
1,000 
500 
0 
$0
Financial Sponsor M&A Activity 
Top Global Private Equity Deals of 2014 (All U.S.) 
U.S. Private Equity (% Total) Global Private Equity M&A (% Total) 
35.0% 
30.0% 
25.0% 
20.0% 
15.0% 
10.0% 
5.0% 
16 
6.3% 
10.1% 11.2% 12.1% 
15.5% 15.0% 
0.0% 
2009 2010 2011 2012 20132014YTD 
24.9% 
22.6% 
26.1% 26.0% 
32.2% 
34.1% 
35.0% 
30.0% 
25.0% 
20.0% 
15.0% 
10.0% 
5.0% 
0.0% 
2009 2010 2011 2012 20132014YTD 
Sources: Thomson Reuters; Capital IQ. 
YTD as of September 25, 2014. 
$4.2BN 
$4.2BN 
$3.6BN
2014 Has Been a Good Year for U.S. Venture Backed Exits 
Total Disclosed M&A $ Value ($ billions) Total IPO $ Amount ($ billions) 
17 
600 
500 
400 
300 
200 
100 
0 
$30 
$25 
$20 
$15 
$10 
$5 
$0 
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H 
2014 
600 
500 
400 
300 
200 
100 
$30 
$25 
$20 
$15 
$10 
$5 
Sources: Thomson Reuters, Natural Venture Capital Association, July 2014. 
Deal Volume 
# of Deals 
($ in billions) 
$ Volume # Deals 
= 
0 
$0 
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H 
2014
Key Themes in the U.S. Digital Media M&A Market 
• AdTech Consolidation Continues…still too many companies 
• Enterprise Software Giants Continue to Build Out their 
Marketing Stack 
• A Few Traditional Strategics Get “Digital Courage” via M&A 
• Early M&A Deals in the “Internet of Things” 
• PE Firms Place $1 Billion+ Bets on Traditional Marketing 
Services Businesses 
18
Top U.S. Digital Media Deals – YTD 2014 
Implied Enterprise Value to LTM 
Date Acquirer Size Revenue 
19 
($ in Millions) 
EBITDA 
Target 
Feb. 2014 $19,500 NA NA 
Apr. 2014 3,305 19.0x NA 
Jun. 2014 2,600 13.1x 52.4x 
Sep. 2014 2,448 4.12x 12.4x 
Aug. 2014 1,827 30.9x 11.6x 
Sep. 2014 1,000 NA NA 
May 2014 1,000 32.3x NA 
Aug. 2014 970 NA 18x 
Sep. 2014 950 NA NA 
Source: Capital IQ
Internet “Titans” M&A in 2014 
Company # Deals in 2014 Notable Deals 
20 
28 
15 
12 
Mkt. Value ($bn) 
$40.7 
$369.2 
$37.6 
$138.6 
$69.0 
$3.4 
$181.5 
4 
3 
2 
Machine Translation Technology 
Division 
10 
Source: Capital IQ
Return of the Traditional Strategic Buyers 
Implied Enterprise Value to LTM 
Date Acquirer Size Revenue 
May. 2014 $1,000 15.5x NA 
Mar. 2014 950 NA NA 
Sep. 2014 950 NA NA 
Jul. 2014 422 2.3x 24.7x 
Mar. 2014 360 10.3x NA 
May. 2014 310 12.4x NA 
Jul. 2014 281 0.7x NA 
Apr. 2014 205 2.1x NA 
Aug. 2014 160 2.3x NA 
2014 NA NA NA 
21 
($ in Millions) 
EBITDA 
Target 
Source: Capital IQ
Key 2014 Digital Investment Themes 
• Niche eCommerce and Content Companies Still Getting Funded 
• Companies Doing Record-Breaking Late Stage Financings as 
22 
Alternative to IPO 
• Ad Tech M&A Consolidation  Fewer Ad Tech Startups Doing 
Large Rounds 
• Data Analytics and Cloud Storage Continue to See Many New 
Entrants
Notable 2014 Digital Private Financings 
Date Company Investors Size 
Jun. 2014 Mobile $1,400 $18,400 
Aug. 2014 Content 500 2,500 
Apr. 2014 eCommerce 475 10,000 
Mar. 2014 Mobile 285 1,100 
Mar. 2014 Mobile 250 950 
May 2014 Social 200 5,200 
May 2014 Content 160 1,160 
Jan. 2014 eCommerce 157 2,000 
Jun. 2014 Content Not Disclosed 150 2,300 
Jul. 2014 Content 120 1,000 
Jan. 2014 eCommerce 112 912 
Mar. 2014 Ad Tech 100 NA 
Sep. 2014 Mobile 100 6,000 
23 
($ in Millions) 
Implied 
Valuation Sector 
Source: Capital IQ 
(a) Selection criteria based on size and publicly available information. 
(a)
II. Digital Media Activity by Subsector
Mobile 
25 
Sector 
Ad Tech 
eCommerce 
Marketing Automation 
Internet of Things 
Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services
26 
Key Trends in Ad Tech 
• Recent IPOs have brought new life into the Ad Tech community 
‒ Creating urgency to get scale 
‒ Establishing clarity around value for high growth advertising 
stories 
• Noise level on Privacy/Cookie debate up; although still very 
exploratory in terms of going forward models 
• Programmatic ad buying is getting closer to being the “new norm” 
• Category leaders getting funding, but otherwise hard market for new 
capital 
• Convergence of marketing and advertising technologies not leading to 
considerable strategic activity yet
Continuing Influence of RTB 
Technology and transparency leading to greater buying efficiencies for advertisers 
27 
Sources: e-Marketer. 
U.S. Digital Display Ad Spend 
• Improved 
ROI 
• Growth of 
digital 
share of 
total ad 
spend 
23% 25% 27% 28% 29% 31% 
Digital % 
Overall Ad 
Spend:
Select Ad Tech M&A in 2014YTD 
28 
($ in Millions) 
Implied Enterprise Value to LTM 
Date Acquirer Target 
Size Revenue EBITDA 
Jul. 2014 $382 3.5x 21.0x 
Feb. 2014 408 6.5x NA 
Mar. 2014 360 10.3x NA 
May 2014 101 8.1x NA 
Apr. 2014 205 2.1x NA 
Aug. 2014 230 2.7x NA 
Jun. 2014 350 6.6x 44.0x 
May 2014 310 12.4x NA 
Jul. 2014 240 4.8x NA 
Sep. 2014 107 17.6x NA 
Oct. 2013 119 9.9x NA 
Jul. 2014 144 1.4x NA 
Jun. 2014 235 1.3x NA 
Jun. 2014 150 5.8x NA 
Mar. 2014 200 NA NA 
Source: Capital IQ 
(a) Selection criteria based on size and publicly available information. 
(a)
Mobile 
Internet of Things 
29 
Sector 
Ad Tech 
eCommerce 
Marketing Automation 
Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services
Big Industry Growth Opportunity in eCommerce 
U.S. ($ Trillions) 
■ eCommerce ■ Traditional Retail 
2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 
8% 11% 
Source: eMarketer, April 2014; Goldman Sachs, “eCommerce Expected to Accelerate 
Globally in 2014”; Forrester Research , 2014 
30 
$4.3 $4.5 
$4.7 
$4.9 $5.1 
$5.3 
$5.5 
7% 
Traditional 
Y/Y Growth (%) 
5.2 4.2 4.4 4.3 4.0 4.0 4.0 
eCommerce 
Y/Y Growth (%) 
16.0 15.9 16.1 15.6 14.8 13.7 12.6
Mobile Will Play an Increasingly Important Role 
U.S. ($ Billions) Global ($ Billions) 
■ Mobile Commerce ■ Desktop Commerce 
2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 
$545 
$638 
$752 
14% 24% 32% 11% 27% 
47% 
31 
2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 
Source: Goldman Sachs, “eCommerce Expected to Accelerate Globally in 2014” 
$882 
$1,024 
$1,179 
$1,346 
$179 
$208 
$241 
$279 
$320 
$364 
$410
eCommerce M&A Dynamics 
• Early Days for eCommerce M&A 
32 
• Complicated Because… 
− Logical Buyers = Traditional Retail, Trade at Low Multiples 
− Many eCommerce Companies Choose Growth Over Profits 
− Many Specialty Verticals Hit the “$100mm Wall” 
− Lots of VC/PE $$ Invested…Big EXIT Expectations 
• Role of Social eCommerce M&A – Not There Yet
Select eCommerce M&A in 2014YTD 
Implied Enterprise Value to LTM 
Date Acquirer Size(1) Revenue 
Jul. 2014 $3,305 19.0x NA 
Feb. 2014 2,600 13.1x 43.3x 
Jul. 2014 970 NA NA 
Mar. 2014 422 2.3x 24.7x 
Jul. 2014 300 1.4x NA 
May 2014 281 0.7x NA 
Sep 2014 200 7.6x NA 
Apr. 2014 160 8.7x NA 
Aug. 2014 121 0.7x NA 
Oct. 2013 100 9.9x NA 
Sep. 2014 50 2.5x NA 
Jul. 2014 42 0.4x NA 
33 
($ in Millions) 
EBITDA 
Target 
Source: Capital IQ 
(a) Selection criteria based on size and publicly available information. 
(a)
Mobile 
Internet of Things 
34 
Sector 
Ad Tech 
eCommerce 
Marketing Automation 
Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services
Evolution of Marketing Software 
1995-2001 2002-2007 2009-2010 2011-2014YTD 
35 
Dotcom Bubble 
•Email and the Internet 
are in their introduction / 
growth stage, as 
mainstream adoption 
begins to occur. 
• Companies like 
Google, MSN, and 
Yahoo were launched in 
order to support the 
demand for email and 
internet content 
Dotcom Bubble 
Burst and the 
Emergence of 
Social 
•After the Dot.com bubble 
burst, there was a drought 
of funding for new internet 
businesses. 
• Shortly after, a new 
generation of companies 
were founded as people’s 
use of the internet evolved 
and became more 
integrated with their daily 
lives 
The Rise of the 
Devices 
•As social media consolidation 
occurs ad acquirers try to add 
critical capabilities to their own 
product suite 
Critical Mass in the Need 
for Data Automation 
& 
Do Not Call List 
Can-Spam Act 
Launched 
IPOs 
Key Acquisitions 
Launched 
Legislation 
Key Acquisitions 
Source: Capital IQ
Basics of Marketing Automation Lifecycle 
36 
Lead Generation 
• Management 
• Scoring 
• Segmentation 
• Nurturing 
Measurement 
• Analytics 
• Tracking 
• Optimization 
Management 
• Campaigns 
• Monitoring 
• Surveys 
• Advertising 
• Personalization 
CALL 
MOBILE 
SEO 
EMAIL 
SOCIAL 
CRM
Marketing is Becoming a Key Strategic Imperative 
37 
CRM 
(Database) 
Marketing 
Automation 
Alignment 
Client  Sales 
Sales  Marketing 
CMO/CTO  CFO/CEO 
Key Objectives 
RPM 
(revenue 
performance 
management) 
• Identify, organize, and assign leads 
and prospects 
• Sophisticated conversion from lead to 
prospect 
• Integrated measurement across 
channels/touch points 
• Incorporate social channels 
(Campaign management vs. 
marketing tool management) 
• Cloud-based platform allows for rapid 
prototyping and ongoing development 
• Marketing viewed as revenue 
generator vs. cost center 
• Attribute marketing activities against 
financial performance 
• Plot most direct course through sales 
funnel to maximize marketing ROI
Marketing Automation Ecosystem 
Database Marketing (2) Web Analytics (3) Mobile Marketing (8) 
38 
Site Optimization (4) 
Attribution (2) 
CRM (9) 
Demand Side Platform 
(4) 
Email (8) 
Social Marketing (19) 
Display/Search 
Retargeters (4) 
Marketing Automation 
Predictive Analytics 
Personalization
Marketing Automation Will Increasingly Be a Multi- 
Channel Story 
Mobile Web 
Social Email 
39 
• Emerging marketing 
channel with highest 
growth in customer 
engagement 
• Considerable 
opportunities for growth 
and scale 
• Greatly increases 
conversion rates 
• Established channel, 
considerable 
optimization 
possibilities 
• Category has quickly 
scaled and developed 
comprehensive 
management capabilities 
• Many companies are 
centering digital “suite” 
capabilities around social 
capabilities 
• Email remains the most 
scalable and effective 
digital communication 
channel 
• Email providers leading 
innovation around the 
email channel
Select Marketing Automation M&A in 2014YTD 
Implied Enterprise Value to LTM 
Date Acquirer Size Revenue 
Apr. 2014 $492 2.6x NA 
Jul. 2014 390 NA NA 
Apr. 2014 275 3.4x NA 
Jul. 2014 175 4.4x NA 
40 
($ in Millions) 
EBITDA 
Target 
Source: Capital IQ 
(a) Selection criteria based on size and publicly available information. 
(a)
Mobile 
41 
Sector 
Ad Tech 
eCommerce 
Marketing Automation 
Internet of Things 
Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services
Mobile = Most Important Broad Theme in 2014 
42 
Average Timespend Per Day (minutes) 
142 
153 147 
139 
10 
22 
43 
67 
1 
12 
40 
63 
2010 2011 2012 2013 
Desktop/laptop Smartphone Tablet 
Source: eMarketer, Jul. 2013. US Data 
Mobile Timespend is Spread Broadly 
Source: Experian Marketing Services. US Data 
(in billions) 
3.0 
2.5 
2.0 
1.5 
1.0 
0.5 
0.0 
Desktops+Notebooks 
Smartphones+Tablets 
2013 Projected Inflection 
Point 
Mobile Usage > PC Usage 
2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 
Note: Notebook PCs include Netbooks. Assumes the following lifecycles: 
Desktop PCs – 5 years: Notebook PCs – 4 years; Smartphones – 2 
years; Tablets – 2.5 years. Source: Equity Research, 2012. Global data. 
Non-Talk Applications 
= 70% Of Timespend 
Global Installed Base 
Text 
20% 
Email 
9% 
Browser 
14% 
Social 
16% 
Talk 
26% 
Games 
8% 
Other 
7%
Mobile Scalability is Increasing Dramatically 
Unprecedented Mobile Adoption Cycle 
Time It Took to Reach 50 Million Users (Years) 
4 3.5 
43 
38 
13 
Source: Digital Buzz Blog, Extreme Networks 
0.5 
50 
days 
35 
days 
Radio TV Internet
Mobile Starting to Dominate as Primary Social 
Channel 
AJpurliyl 22001133 AJuplryi l2 2001144 July 2013 July 2014 
July 2013 July 2014 July 2013 July 2014 
44 
Source: DigiDay, 2014 
Share of Time Spent on Mobile 
88% 
April 2013 April 2014 
15% 
92% 
48% 
April 2013 April 2014 
62% 
72% 
68% 
93% 
April 2013 April 2014
Mobile is Becoming the Key Tool in Commerce 
Mobile Influences Path To Purchase 
90% Of Smartphone Shoppers Use Their Phone for Pre-Shopping 
Activities 
Of Smartphone Shoppers Use Their Devices to Help Shop While in a Store 
Shoppers Use Their Smartphones to Find Information Instead of Asking Store 
84% 
1 in 3 
Mobile Increases Median Basket Sizes 
50% 34% 
40% 25% 
Source: “Mobile In-Store Research,” Google and Shopper Marketing Council. 
45 
Employees 
Increase in Health & Beauty 
Increase in Electronics 
Increase in Household Care 
Increase in Appliances
Consumer Usage is Ahead of Mobile Ad Spend 
% of Time Spent in Media vs. % of Advertising Spending, USA 2013 
46 
5% 
12% 
38% 
Internet Ad = $43B 
Mobile Ad = $7.1B 
25% 
19% 20% 
10% 
45% 
22% 
4% 
Print Radio TV Internet Mobile 
% of Total Media Consumption 
Time or Advertising Spending 
~$30B+ 
Opportunity 
in US 
Consumer Time Spent 
Ad Spend 
Source: Mary Meeker’s 2014 “Internet Trends”, Advertising spend based on IAB data for full year 2013. Print includes newspaper and magazine. 
$30B+ opportunity calculated assuming Internet and Mobile ad spend share equal their respective time spent share.
Mobile Has Plenty of Room to Disrupt Traditional 
Advertising and Retail 
Mobile % of Time Spent vs. % Total Ad Spending vs. % Total Retail 
47 
20% 
4% 
2% 
25% 
20% 
15% 
10% 
5% 
0% 
Consumer Time 
Spent 
Mobile Ad 
Spending 
Mobile 
Commerce 
% of Total 
Consumption 
Source: Mary Meeker’s 2014 “Internet Trends”, Advertising spend based on IAB data for full year 2013. Print includes newspaper and magazine.
$1 Billion+ Vertical Based Mobile Categories 
Section/Leader Competitors Adjacent Verticals $BN Category 2014 Highlights 
48 
• Proliferation of the “Uber 
model” into other 
transportation-related 
verticals 
• Pandora only non-game top 10 
iPhone app of 2013 
• “Pandora model” replicated in 
other content verticals 
• Other privacy apps compete and 
specialty messaging apps gain 
traction 
• WhatsApp has >600mm active 
users 
• Exercise gamification 
• Convergence of mobile & 
wearables 
• Top iOS app of 2013 
• 9 of top 10 most downloaded 
apps are in gaming 
Utilities 
Media & 
Entertainment 
Messaging 
Health & Wellness 
Gaming 
 
 
 
 

Select Mobile M&A in 2014YTD 
Implied Enterprise Value to LTM 
Date Acquirer Size Revenue 
Feb. 2014 $19,000 NA NA 
Feb. 2014 900 594x NA 
May 2014 360 NA NA 
Jul. 2014 100 2.3x 8x 
Feb. 2014 17 NA NA 
Aug. 2014 NA NA NA 
Aug. 2014 NA NA NA 
49 
($ in Millions) 
EBITDA 
Target 
Source: Capital IQ 
(a) Selection criteria based on size and publicly available information. 
(a)
Mobile 
50 
Sector 
Ad Tech 
eCommerce 
Marketing Automation 
Internet of Things 
Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services
“Internet of Things” = Key Growth Area for the 
Broader Technology Ecosystem 
51 
Lower cost 
of hardware 
development 
Ubiquity of 
wireless 
protocols 
and 
applications 
Digitization 
of the 
physical 
world 
Enabling 
factors for 
mass 
consumer 
adoption 
Key Themes 
Source: Cisco 
Connected Objects Around the World: 2014 – 2020 (billions of devices) 
14.4 
18.2 
22.9 
28.4 
34.8 
42.1 
50.1 
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Select Internet of Things M&A in 2014YTD 
Implied Enterprise Value to LTM 
Date Acquirer Size Revenue 
Jan. 2014 $3,200 NA NA 
May 2014 3,000 NA NA 
Jun. 2014 555 NA NA 
Aug. 2014 200 NA NA 
Jul. 2014 170 NA NA 
52 
/ 
($ in Millions) 
EBITDA 
Target 
Source: Capital IQ 
(a) Selection criteria based on size and publicly available information. 
(a)
53 
Sector 
© 2013 Gridley & Company LLC 
Ad Tech 
eCommerce 
Marketing Automation 
Internet of Things 
Mobile 
Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services
Secular Shift in Ad Spend to Digital 
54 
U.S. Total Ad Spending Share 
4.0% 4.0% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 
5.8% 5.2% 4.5% 4.0% 3.6% 3.2% 2.9% 
9.9% 9.6% 9.3% 9.2% 9.0% 8.8% 8.5% 
24.7% 
17.1% 
22.6% 
20.2% 
20.7% 
19.3% 18.1% 17.4% 16.6% 
22.5% 24.8% 26.8% 28.3% 29.2% 
38.4% 38.3% 38.9% 38.7% 38.4% 38.2% 38.6% 
100% 
90% 
80% 
70% 
60% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 
TV Digital Print Radio Directories Outdoor 
U.S. Total Ad Spending ($ in Billions) 
$158.3 
$166.0 
$171.7 
$178.4 
$183.2 
$189.2 
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 
Sources: eMarketer..
Key Threats to Core Traditional Agency Services 
Key Threats Key Thoughts 
55 
• Increased 
measurability and 
targeting capabilities 
• Multichannel creative 
applicability and 
execution 
Creative 
• Multi-channel integration 
• New “angles” in mobile, 
social, and eCommerce 
• Integration with ad 
measurement platforms 
Prod-uction 
• Efficient offshore 
models 
• Enable large scale 
production, driving 
revenue, at low cost 
• Develop in-house offshore 
teams, e.g. 
Digitas/Publicis 
Emerging 
Competitors 
Vertical Oriented 
Solutions 
Mobile Oriented 
Solutions
Key Threats to Core Traditional Agency Services 
(cont’d) 
Key Threats Key Thoughts 
56 
• Cheaper, real-time 
data collection 
• Plentiful peer reviews 
and social media 
Market 
Research 
• Online surveys replacing 
traditional focus groups 
• Social media (“likes”) 
becoming a proxy for 
survey data 
Media 
Buying 
• “Managed service 
technology” providers 
‒ DSPs, DMPs and 
other ad tech tools 
• Ad Tech moving 
upstream, forging 
relationships directly with 
agency clients 
• Media buying agency claims 
face dramatic upheaval 
• The commoditization of DSPs 
‒ Agency trading desks 
must build proprietary 
buying tech in order to 
compete 
• DMP begin to supply 
“research”-enabled RTB 
Emerging 
Competitors
PE Firms Invest in Traditional Advertising / 
Marketing Services 
Implied Enterprise Value to LTM 
Date Acquirer Size Revenue 
Jun. 2014 $4,200 0.8x NA 
Jan. 2014 1,840 NA NA 
Apr. 2014 446 2.4x NA 
Jul. 2014 NA NA NA 
Jan. 2014 NA NA NA 
Mar. 2014 NA NA NA 
57 
($ in Millions) 
EBITDA 
Target 
Source: Capital IQ
III. Summary Thoughts
59 
Summary Thoughts 
• Digital Media Private Financings: Bigger Checks 
− Higher Valuations 
− An Increasing Number of $1billion+ Babies 
• Digital Media IPO’s: Lots of Exits in 2013 and 2014 
− Mixed Performance 
• Digital Media M&A: Good Deal Year with Many Solid Growth 
Themes 
− Variety to Size and Scale 
− Broadening Buyer Universe 
• Favorite Gridley 2015 Investment Themes: 
− Mobile 
− eCommerce Services 
− Ad Agency Disruption
This document is intended to serve as information only, and to suggest that further analysis and consideration may be 
warranted. Unless otherwise indicated, AGC does not believe that the information contained herein is sufficient to serve 
as the basis of an investment decision. There can be no assurance that these statements, estimates or forecasts will be 
attained and actual results may be materially different. Only those representations or warranties which are made in a 
definitive purchase agreement will have any legal effect. To learn more about the company/companies that is/are the 
subject of this commentary, contact one of persons named herein who can give you additional information. 
Linda Gridley 
Partner & Co-Head of Digital Media Group 
AGC Partners 
60 East 42nd Street, Suite 2200 
New York, NY 10165 
Phone: (212) 400-9710 | Mobile: (917) 282-0395 
60 
Disclaimer

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Gridley iab Summit

  • 1. IAB Global Summit Discussion October 1, 2014
  • 2. 2 Agenda I. Market Overview A. IPO and Public Markets B. M&A and VC Markets II. Selected Digital Media Trends III. Summary Thoughts
  • 4. A. IPO and Public Markets
  • 5. 2014 YTD Global Market Performance +8% +8% +3% +5% 5 50% 30% 10% (10%) 50% 30% 10% (10%) (30%) FTSE 100 DAX Bovespa +3% Jan Feb Mar May Jun Jul Sep 50% 30% 10% (10%) 50% 30% 10% (10%) (30%) S&P 500 DJIA NASDAQ Nikkei 225 Hang Seng Jan Feb Mar May Jun Jul Sep (30%) Jan Feb Mar May Jun Jul Sep (30%) Jan Feb Mar May Jun Jul Sep Source: Capital IQ, as of September 25, 2014. 0% U.S. Market Index Performance European Market Index Performance Latin American Asian Market Index Performance Market Index Performance +3% +12%
  • 6. U.S. Equity Market at a Glance 6 Market Value 2014 YTD Since 2008 ($ in billions) $392 7% 73% 149 (19%) 250% 39 (4%) 66% 65 (4%) 58% 201 41% NA 219 32% NA 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% (20%) (40%) (60%) U.S. Market Index Performance Source: Capital IQ, as of September 25, 2014. +30% Performance of Internet Bellwethers Strong Market Despite Some Skepticism • Anticipated correction yet to occur • Ukrainian and Israeli conflicts still unresolved; ISIS impact growing • 10-year Treasuries reaching lows 2013 +38% +27% 2014 YTD +8% +8% +3%
  • 7. Digital Media Equity Market Performance • Performance has been very mixed: 82% of all Digital Media stocks  this year • 50% of all Digital Media IPOs  this year • AdTech has struggled Median Stock Price Performance of Digital Media Sectors 7 Median % Change 2012 2013 2014YTD Digital Media +20.6% +59.7% (9.4%) Internet Titans +33.1% +87.4% (1.8%) Digital Marketing (31.2%) +29.3% (26.1%) eCommerce +23.4% +80.5% (5.6%) Market Indices S&P 500 +13.4% +29.6% +8.1% Dow Jones +7.3% +26.5% +2.9% Nasdaq +15.9% +38.3% +8.0%
  • 8. Global IPO Volume ($ billions) 64% 66% • Issuances are up in all geographies • The US IPO market has been particularly 51% 28% United States Latin America Europe Asia/Pacific Africa/Middle East 8 $106.0 $234.4 $135.9 $99.6 $137.0 $90.6 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H 2014 Source: Capital IQ; Renaissance Capital; Annual Global IPO Reviews. 42% 33% 21% 16% 25% 40% 38% 6% 12% 19% 10% 20% 40% 31% active
  • 9. U.S. and Global IPO Issuance and Deal Volume 9 500 400 300 200 100 0 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 $400 $300 $200 $100 Source: Renaissance Capital; Dealogic; EY Global IPO Trends, Factset. YTD as of September 25, 2014. Global IPO Issuance IPO Deal Volume # of IPOs U.S. IPO Issuance # of IPOs IPO Deal Volume ($ in billions) Alibaba $ Volume # IPOs 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 $0
  • 10. Digital Media Sector IPO Performance ($ in millions) Market Cap Price Performance Date Company Subsector IPO Size @ IPO Day 1 Since IPO 2014 (12) Sep 18 Alibaba Group Holding Limited eCommerce $21,767 $167,620.4 38.1% 30.8% Jul 18 Globant S.A. Digital Agency 59 333.5 15.1% 29.7% Jul 17 TubeMogul, Inc. AdTech 44 200.8 64.3% 60.9% May 21 JD.com, Inc. Social 1,780 25,974.6 10.0% 39.8% May 19 TrueCar, Inc. eCommerce 70 639.3 5.6% 98.8% Mar 21 Borderfree, Inc. eCommerce 80 487.6 20.4% (17.3%) Apr 04 GrubHub Inc. eCommerce 193 1,934.0 33.8% 33.5% Mar 25 King Digital Entertainment plc Digital Content 500 7,086.0 (15.6%) (41.1%) Apr 02 The Rubicon Project, Inc. AdTech 102 520.7 32.3% (19.0%) Mar 06 Coupons.com Incorporated eCommerce 168 1,170.7 87.5% (22.2%) Mar 28 Everyday Health, Inc. Digital Content 100 415.5 (0.1%) (6.0%) Jan 24 Care.com, Inc. eCommerce 91 505.7 46.5% (51.9%) 2014 Median 101 580.0 26.4% 11.9% 2013 (11) Nov 14 zulily, Inc. eCommerce 253 2,685.4 63.7% 80.4% Nov 06 Twitter, Inc. Social 1,820 14,162.1 72.7% 97.9% Oct 29 Criteo SA Ad Tech 251 1,714.2 14.2% 12.2% Sep 19 Rocket Fuel Inc. Ad Tech 116 942.3 93.4% (47.2%) Aug 06 YuMe, Inc. Ad Tech 46 286.2 0.0% (45.0%) Jul 18 RetailMeNot, Inc. Retail 191 1,054.3 31.9% (20.7%) Jun 26 Tremor Video, Inc. Ad Tech 75 494.2 (15.0%) (74.3%) May 22 ChannelAdvisor eCommerce 81 286.6 31.7% 11.9% May 16 Marketo, Inc. Marketing Auto 79 465.2 77.7% 138.2% Mar 21 Marin Software Digital Marketing 105 432.8 16.1% (38.3%) Mar 04 Professional Diversity Social 21 29.1 (4.1%) (36.3%) 2013 Median 105 494.2 31.7% (20.7%) Overall Median 102 520.7 31.7% (6.0%) 10 Source: Capital IQ.
  • 11. …Digital Media Companies Going Public Today Have Higher Growth Profiles/Reasonable Valuations EBITDA Margin NM 35% NM NM 21% 28% 11 44.2% 42.1% 33.1% 32.1% 29.7% 27.3% 21.0% 15.0% 26.2% 35.8% 48.3% Public Comp Universe at End of 2012 ’12-’13 Revenue Growth 24.2% 23.0% 21.0% 17.2% 10.8% (16.4%) 76.1% Millennial Media Inc. ValueClick, Inc. ChannelAdvisor Corporation ReachLocal, Inc. Constant Contact, Inc. Bankrate, Inc. QuinStreet, Inc. 2012 Revenue Multiple 2.5x 2.5x 13.8x 0.6x 2.8x 4.1x 1.0x 6% Median: 22.0% 2.7x 24% Source: Capital IQ. 2014 Digital Media IPOs ’14-’15 Revenue Growth 2014E Revenue Multiple 1.7x 1.2x 3.5x 5.9x 19.5x 3.5x 2.8x 10.8x 2.1x 2.2x 2.3x 1.6x EBITDA Margin NM NM NM 8% 54% 14% NM 32% 7% 20% 20% 39% Median: 32.1% 2.5x 20%
  • 12. B. M&A and VC Markets
  • 13. U.S. and Global M&A Deal Volume 13 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $0 $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 Source: Dealogic, Capital IQ. YTD as of September 25, 2014. Global M&A Deals Deal Volume # of Deals U.S. M&A Deals # of Deals Deal Volume ($ in billions) $ Volume # Deals 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 $0
  • 14. Global M&A Deal Volume and VC Financings Global M&A Volume ($ billions) Global VC Financings ($ billions) 14 33% 23% 37% 31% 23% 35% 29% 22% 39% Source: Capital IQ; Annual Global IPO Reviews. YTD as of September 25, 2014. 32% 21% 39% 26% 23% 45% 36% 29% 29% 24% 37% 27% 13% 61% 18% 22% 38% 29% 16% 35% 37% $1,919 $2,280 $2,511 $2,351 $2,543 $2,799 $82.5 $155.8 $278.6 $150.6 $128.1 $115.5 United States Latin America and Caribbean Europe Asia/Pacific Africa/Middle East
  • 15. U.S. M&A and VC Markets Annual M&A Deal Volume ($ in billions) $1,263 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 Source: Capital IQ, PwC National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree Report. 15 YTD as of September 25, 2014. Annual VC Financing Volume $711 $800 $982 $908 $1,150 0 $0 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 # of Deals Deal Volume $ Volume # Deals $20 $23 $30 $27 $28 $23 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 $0
  • 16. Financial Sponsor M&A Activity Top Global Private Equity Deals of 2014 (All U.S.) U.S. Private Equity (% Total) Global Private Equity M&A (% Total) 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 16 6.3% 10.1% 11.2% 12.1% 15.5% 15.0% 0.0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 20132014YTD 24.9% 22.6% 26.1% 26.0% 32.2% 34.1% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 20132014YTD Sources: Thomson Reuters; Capital IQ. YTD as of September 25, 2014. $4.2BN $4.2BN $3.6BN
  • 17. 2014 Has Been a Good Year for U.S. Venture Backed Exits Total Disclosed M&A $ Value ($ billions) Total IPO $ Amount ($ billions) 17 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H 2014 600 500 400 300 200 100 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 Sources: Thomson Reuters, Natural Venture Capital Association, July 2014. Deal Volume # of Deals ($ in billions) $ Volume # Deals = 0 $0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H 2014
  • 18. Key Themes in the U.S. Digital Media M&A Market • AdTech Consolidation Continues…still too many companies • Enterprise Software Giants Continue to Build Out their Marketing Stack • A Few Traditional Strategics Get “Digital Courage” via M&A • Early M&A Deals in the “Internet of Things” • PE Firms Place $1 Billion+ Bets on Traditional Marketing Services Businesses 18
  • 19. Top U.S. Digital Media Deals – YTD 2014 Implied Enterprise Value to LTM Date Acquirer Size Revenue 19 ($ in Millions) EBITDA Target Feb. 2014 $19,500 NA NA Apr. 2014 3,305 19.0x NA Jun. 2014 2,600 13.1x 52.4x Sep. 2014 2,448 4.12x 12.4x Aug. 2014 1,827 30.9x 11.6x Sep. 2014 1,000 NA NA May 2014 1,000 32.3x NA Aug. 2014 970 NA 18x Sep. 2014 950 NA NA Source: Capital IQ
  • 20. Internet “Titans” M&A in 2014 Company # Deals in 2014 Notable Deals 20 28 15 12 Mkt. Value ($bn) $40.7 $369.2 $37.6 $138.6 $69.0 $3.4 $181.5 4 3 2 Machine Translation Technology Division 10 Source: Capital IQ
  • 21. Return of the Traditional Strategic Buyers Implied Enterprise Value to LTM Date Acquirer Size Revenue May. 2014 $1,000 15.5x NA Mar. 2014 950 NA NA Sep. 2014 950 NA NA Jul. 2014 422 2.3x 24.7x Mar. 2014 360 10.3x NA May. 2014 310 12.4x NA Jul. 2014 281 0.7x NA Apr. 2014 205 2.1x NA Aug. 2014 160 2.3x NA 2014 NA NA NA 21 ($ in Millions) EBITDA Target Source: Capital IQ
  • 22. Key 2014 Digital Investment Themes • Niche eCommerce and Content Companies Still Getting Funded • Companies Doing Record-Breaking Late Stage Financings as 22 Alternative to IPO • Ad Tech M&A Consolidation  Fewer Ad Tech Startups Doing Large Rounds • Data Analytics and Cloud Storage Continue to See Many New Entrants
  • 23. Notable 2014 Digital Private Financings Date Company Investors Size Jun. 2014 Mobile $1,400 $18,400 Aug. 2014 Content 500 2,500 Apr. 2014 eCommerce 475 10,000 Mar. 2014 Mobile 285 1,100 Mar. 2014 Mobile 250 950 May 2014 Social 200 5,200 May 2014 Content 160 1,160 Jan. 2014 eCommerce 157 2,000 Jun. 2014 Content Not Disclosed 150 2,300 Jul. 2014 Content 120 1,000 Jan. 2014 eCommerce 112 912 Mar. 2014 Ad Tech 100 NA Sep. 2014 Mobile 100 6,000 23 ($ in Millions) Implied Valuation Sector Source: Capital IQ (a) Selection criteria based on size and publicly available information. (a)
  • 24. II. Digital Media Activity by Subsector
  • 25. Mobile 25 Sector Ad Tech eCommerce Marketing Automation Internet of Things Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services
  • 26. 26 Key Trends in Ad Tech • Recent IPOs have brought new life into the Ad Tech community ‒ Creating urgency to get scale ‒ Establishing clarity around value for high growth advertising stories • Noise level on Privacy/Cookie debate up; although still very exploratory in terms of going forward models • Programmatic ad buying is getting closer to being the “new norm” • Category leaders getting funding, but otherwise hard market for new capital • Convergence of marketing and advertising technologies not leading to considerable strategic activity yet
  • 27. Continuing Influence of RTB Technology and transparency leading to greater buying efficiencies for advertisers 27 Sources: e-Marketer. U.S. Digital Display Ad Spend • Improved ROI • Growth of digital share of total ad spend 23% 25% 27% 28% 29% 31% Digital % Overall Ad Spend:
  • 28. Select Ad Tech M&A in 2014YTD 28 ($ in Millions) Implied Enterprise Value to LTM Date Acquirer Target Size Revenue EBITDA Jul. 2014 $382 3.5x 21.0x Feb. 2014 408 6.5x NA Mar. 2014 360 10.3x NA May 2014 101 8.1x NA Apr. 2014 205 2.1x NA Aug. 2014 230 2.7x NA Jun. 2014 350 6.6x 44.0x May 2014 310 12.4x NA Jul. 2014 240 4.8x NA Sep. 2014 107 17.6x NA Oct. 2013 119 9.9x NA Jul. 2014 144 1.4x NA Jun. 2014 235 1.3x NA Jun. 2014 150 5.8x NA Mar. 2014 200 NA NA Source: Capital IQ (a) Selection criteria based on size and publicly available information. (a)
  • 29. Mobile Internet of Things 29 Sector Ad Tech eCommerce Marketing Automation Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services
  • 30. Big Industry Growth Opportunity in eCommerce U.S. ($ Trillions) ■ eCommerce ■ Traditional Retail 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 8% 11% Source: eMarketer, April 2014; Goldman Sachs, “eCommerce Expected to Accelerate Globally in 2014”; Forrester Research , 2014 30 $4.3 $4.5 $4.7 $4.9 $5.1 $5.3 $5.5 7% Traditional Y/Y Growth (%) 5.2 4.2 4.4 4.3 4.0 4.0 4.0 eCommerce Y/Y Growth (%) 16.0 15.9 16.1 15.6 14.8 13.7 12.6
  • 31. Mobile Will Play an Increasingly Important Role U.S. ($ Billions) Global ($ Billions) ■ Mobile Commerce ■ Desktop Commerce 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E $545 $638 $752 14% 24% 32% 11% 27% 47% 31 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E Source: Goldman Sachs, “eCommerce Expected to Accelerate Globally in 2014” $882 $1,024 $1,179 $1,346 $179 $208 $241 $279 $320 $364 $410
  • 32. eCommerce M&A Dynamics • Early Days for eCommerce M&A 32 • Complicated Because… − Logical Buyers = Traditional Retail, Trade at Low Multiples − Many eCommerce Companies Choose Growth Over Profits − Many Specialty Verticals Hit the “$100mm Wall” − Lots of VC/PE $$ Invested…Big EXIT Expectations • Role of Social eCommerce M&A – Not There Yet
  • 33. Select eCommerce M&A in 2014YTD Implied Enterprise Value to LTM Date Acquirer Size(1) Revenue Jul. 2014 $3,305 19.0x NA Feb. 2014 2,600 13.1x 43.3x Jul. 2014 970 NA NA Mar. 2014 422 2.3x 24.7x Jul. 2014 300 1.4x NA May 2014 281 0.7x NA Sep 2014 200 7.6x NA Apr. 2014 160 8.7x NA Aug. 2014 121 0.7x NA Oct. 2013 100 9.9x NA Sep. 2014 50 2.5x NA Jul. 2014 42 0.4x NA 33 ($ in Millions) EBITDA Target Source: Capital IQ (a) Selection criteria based on size and publicly available information. (a)
  • 34. Mobile Internet of Things 34 Sector Ad Tech eCommerce Marketing Automation Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services
  • 35. Evolution of Marketing Software 1995-2001 2002-2007 2009-2010 2011-2014YTD 35 Dotcom Bubble •Email and the Internet are in their introduction / growth stage, as mainstream adoption begins to occur. • Companies like Google, MSN, and Yahoo were launched in order to support the demand for email and internet content Dotcom Bubble Burst and the Emergence of Social •After the Dot.com bubble burst, there was a drought of funding for new internet businesses. • Shortly after, a new generation of companies were founded as people’s use of the internet evolved and became more integrated with their daily lives The Rise of the Devices •As social media consolidation occurs ad acquirers try to add critical capabilities to their own product suite Critical Mass in the Need for Data Automation & Do Not Call List Can-Spam Act Launched IPOs Key Acquisitions Launched Legislation Key Acquisitions Source: Capital IQ
  • 36. Basics of Marketing Automation Lifecycle 36 Lead Generation • Management • Scoring • Segmentation • Nurturing Measurement • Analytics • Tracking • Optimization Management • Campaigns • Monitoring • Surveys • Advertising • Personalization CALL MOBILE SEO EMAIL SOCIAL CRM
  • 37. Marketing is Becoming a Key Strategic Imperative 37 CRM (Database) Marketing Automation Alignment Client  Sales Sales  Marketing CMO/CTO  CFO/CEO Key Objectives RPM (revenue performance management) • Identify, organize, and assign leads and prospects • Sophisticated conversion from lead to prospect • Integrated measurement across channels/touch points • Incorporate social channels (Campaign management vs. marketing tool management) • Cloud-based platform allows for rapid prototyping and ongoing development • Marketing viewed as revenue generator vs. cost center • Attribute marketing activities against financial performance • Plot most direct course through sales funnel to maximize marketing ROI
  • 38. Marketing Automation Ecosystem Database Marketing (2) Web Analytics (3) Mobile Marketing (8) 38 Site Optimization (4) Attribution (2) CRM (9) Demand Side Platform (4) Email (8) Social Marketing (19) Display/Search Retargeters (4) Marketing Automation Predictive Analytics Personalization
  • 39. Marketing Automation Will Increasingly Be a Multi- Channel Story Mobile Web Social Email 39 • Emerging marketing channel with highest growth in customer engagement • Considerable opportunities for growth and scale • Greatly increases conversion rates • Established channel, considerable optimization possibilities • Category has quickly scaled and developed comprehensive management capabilities • Many companies are centering digital “suite” capabilities around social capabilities • Email remains the most scalable and effective digital communication channel • Email providers leading innovation around the email channel
  • 40. Select Marketing Automation M&A in 2014YTD Implied Enterprise Value to LTM Date Acquirer Size Revenue Apr. 2014 $492 2.6x NA Jul. 2014 390 NA NA Apr. 2014 275 3.4x NA Jul. 2014 175 4.4x NA 40 ($ in Millions) EBITDA Target Source: Capital IQ (a) Selection criteria based on size and publicly available information. (a)
  • 41. Mobile 41 Sector Ad Tech eCommerce Marketing Automation Internet of Things Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services
  • 42. Mobile = Most Important Broad Theme in 2014 42 Average Timespend Per Day (minutes) 142 153 147 139 10 22 43 67 1 12 40 63 2010 2011 2012 2013 Desktop/laptop Smartphone Tablet Source: eMarketer, Jul. 2013. US Data Mobile Timespend is Spread Broadly Source: Experian Marketing Services. US Data (in billions) 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Desktops+Notebooks Smartphones+Tablets 2013 Projected Inflection Point Mobile Usage > PC Usage 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E Note: Notebook PCs include Netbooks. Assumes the following lifecycles: Desktop PCs – 5 years: Notebook PCs – 4 years; Smartphones – 2 years; Tablets – 2.5 years. Source: Equity Research, 2012. Global data. Non-Talk Applications = 70% Of Timespend Global Installed Base Text 20% Email 9% Browser 14% Social 16% Talk 26% Games 8% Other 7%
  • 43. Mobile Scalability is Increasing Dramatically Unprecedented Mobile Adoption Cycle Time It Took to Reach 50 Million Users (Years) 4 3.5 43 38 13 Source: Digital Buzz Blog, Extreme Networks 0.5 50 days 35 days Radio TV Internet
  • 44. Mobile Starting to Dominate as Primary Social Channel AJpurliyl 22001133 AJuplryi l2 2001144 July 2013 July 2014 July 2013 July 2014 July 2013 July 2014 44 Source: DigiDay, 2014 Share of Time Spent on Mobile 88% April 2013 April 2014 15% 92% 48% April 2013 April 2014 62% 72% 68% 93% April 2013 April 2014
  • 45. Mobile is Becoming the Key Tool in Commerce Mobile Influences Path To Purchase 90% Of Smartphone Shoppers Use Their Phone for Pre-Shopping Activities Of Smartphone Shoppers Use Their Devices to Help Shop While in a Store Shoppers Use Their Smartphones to Find Information Instead of Asking Store 84% 1 in 3 Mobile Increases Median Basket Sizes 50% 34% 40% 25% Source: “Mobile In-Store Research,” Google and Shopper Marketing Council. 45 Employees Increase in Health & Beauty Increase in Electronics Increase in Household Care Increase in Appliances
  • 46. Consumer Usage is Ahead of Mobile Ad Spend % of Time Spent in Media vs. % of Advertising Spending, USA 2013 46 5% 12% 38% Internet Ad = $43B Mobile Ad = $7.1B 25% 19% 20% 10% 45% 22% 4% Print Radio TV Internet Mobile % of Total Media Consumption Time or Advertising Spending ~$30B+ Opportunity in US Consumer Time Spent Ad Spend Source: Mary Meeker’s 2014 “Internet Trends”, Advertising spend based on IAB data for full year 2013. Print includes newspaper and magazine. $30B+ opportunity calculated assuming Internet and Mobile ad spend share equal their respective time spent share.
  • 47. Mobile Has Plenty of Room to Disrupt Traditional Advertising and Retail Mobile % of Time Spent vs. % Total Ad Spending vs. % Total Retail 47 20% 4% 2% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Consumer Time Spent Mobile Ad Spending Mobile Commerce % of Total Consumption Source: Mary Meeker’s 2014 “Internet Trends”, Advertising spend based on IAB data for full year 2013. Print includes newspaper and magazine.
  • 48. $1 Billion+ Vertical Based Mobile Categories Section/Leader Competitors Adjacent Verticals $BN Category 2014 Highlights 48 • Proliferation of the “Uber model” into other transportation-related verticals • Pandora only non-game top 10 iPhone app of 2013 • “Pandora model” replicated in other content verticals • Other privacy apps compete and specialty messaging apps gain traction • WhatsApp has >600mm active users • Exercise gamification • Convergence of mobile & wearables • Top iOS app of 2013 • 9 of top 10 most downloaded apps are in gaming Utilities Media & Entertainment Messaging Health & Wellness Gaming     
  • 49. Select Mobile M&A in 2014YTD Implied Enterprise Value to LTM Date Acquirer Size Revenue Feb. 2014 $19,000 NA NA Feb. 2014 900 594x NA May 2014 360 NA NA Jul. 2014 100 2.3x 8x Feb. 2014 17 NA NA Aug. 2014 NA NA NA Aug. 2014 NA NA NA 49 ($ in Millions) EBITDA Target Source: Capital IQ (a) Selection criteria based on size and publicly available information. (a)
  • 50. Mobile 50 Sector Ad Tech eCommerce Marketing Automation Internet of Things Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services
  • 51. “Internet of Things” = Key Growth Area for the Broader Technology Ecosystem 51 Lower cost of hardware development Ubiquity of wireless protocols and applications Digitization of the physical world Enabling factors for mass consumer adoption Key Themes Source: Cisco Connected Objects Around the World: 2014 – 2020 (billions of devices) 14.4 18.2 22.9 28.4 34.8 42.1 50.1 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
  • 52. Select Internet of Things M&A in 2014YTD Implied Enterprise Value to LTM Date Acquirer Size Revenue Jan. 2014 $3,200 NA NA May 2014 3,000 NA NA Jun. 2014 555 NA NA Aug. 2014 200 NA NA Jul. 2014 170 NA NA 52 / ($ in Millions) EBITDA Target Source: Capital IQ (a) Selection criteria based on size and publicly available information. (a)
  • 53. 53 Sector © 2013 Gridley & Company LLC Ad Tech eCommerce Marketing Automation Internet of Things Mobile Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services
  • 54. Secular Shift in Ad Spend to Digital 54 U.S. Total Ad Spending Share 4.0% 4.0% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 5.8% 5.2% 4.5% 4.0% 3.6% 3.2% 2.9% 9.9% 9.6% 9.3% 9.2% 9.0% 8.8% 8.5% 24.7% 17.1% 22.6% 20.2% 20.7% 19.3% 18.1% 17.4% 16.6% 22.5% 24.8% 26.8% 28.3% 29.2% 38.4% 38.3% 38.9% 38.7% 38.4% 38.2% 38.6% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TV Digital Print Radio Directories Outdoor U.S. Total Ad Spending ($ in Billions) $158.3 $166.0 $171.7 $178.4 $183.2 $189.2 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Sources: eMarketer..
  • 55. Key Threats to Core Traditional Agency Services Key Threats Key Thoughts 55 • Increased measurability and targeting capabilities • Multichannel creative applicability and execution Creative • Multi-channel integration • New “angles” in mobile, social, and eCommerce • Integration with ad measurement platforms Prod-uction • Efficient offshore models • Enable large scale production, driving revenue, at low cost • Develop in-house offshore teams, e.g. Digitas/Publicis Emerging Competitors Vertical Oriented Solutions Mobile Oriented Solutions
  • 56. Key Threats to Core Traditional Agency Services (cont’d) Key Threats Key Thoughts 56 • Cheaper, real-time data collection • Plentiful peer reviews and social media Market Research • Online surveys replacing traditional focus groups • Social media (“likes”) becoming a proxy for survey data Media Buying • “Managed service technology” providers ‒ DSPs, DMPs and other ad tech tools • Ad Tech moving upstream, forging relationships directly with agency clients • Media buying agency claims face dramatic upheaval • The commoditization of DSPs ‒ Agency trading desks must build proprietary buying tech in order to compete • DMP begin to supply “research”-enabled RTB Emerging Competitors
  • 57. PE Firms Invest in Traditional Advertising / Marketing Services Implied Enterprise Value to LTM Date Acquirer Size Revenue Jun. 2014 $4,200 0.8x NA Jan. 2014 1,840 NA NA Apr. 2014 446 2.4x NA Jul. 2014 NA NA NA Jan. 2014 NA NA NA Mar. 2014 NA NA NA 57 ($ in Millions) EBITDA Target Source: Capital IQ
  • 59. 59 Summary Thoughts • Digital Media Private Financings: Bigger Checks − Higher Valuations − An Increasing Number of $1billion+ Babies • Digital Media IPO’s: Lots of Exits in 2013 and 2014 − Mixed Performance • Digital Media M&A: Good Deal Year with Many Solid Growth Themes − Variety to Size and Scale − Broadening Buyer Universe • Favorite Gridley 2015 Investment Themes: − Mobile − eCommerce Services − Ad Agency Disruption
  • 60. This document is intended to serve as information only, and to suggest that further analysis and consideration may be warranted. Unless otherwise indicated, AGC does not believe that the information contained herein is sufficient to serve as the basis of an investment decision. There can be no assurance that these statements, estimates or forecasts will be attained and actual results may be materially different. Only those representations or warranties which are made in a definitive purchase agreement will have any legal effect. To learn more about the company/companies that is/are the subject of this commentary, contact one of persons named herein who can give you additional information. Linda Gridley Partner & Co-Head of Digital Media Group AGC Partners 60 East 42nd Street, Suite 2200 New York, NY 10165 Phone: (212) 400-9710 | Mobile: (917) 282-0395 60 Disclaimer